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like the flu every winter.
with COVID's basic reproduction number (R0) of 3.8-8.9, compared to the flu's 0.9-2.1.
And the recovery time seems much much longer
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basic_reproduction_number
We don't know COVID would stop at 50 Million Cases. Herd immunity is not 10 million people:
Mayo Clinic says: "Even if infection with the COVID-19 virus creates long-lasting
immunity, a large number of people would have to become infected to reach the herd
immunity threshold. Experts estimate that in the U.S., 70% of the population —
more than 200 million people — would have to recover from COVID-19 to halt the
epidemic."
https://www.mayoclinic.org/diseases-conditions/coronavirus/in-depth/herd-immunity-and-coronavirus/art-20486808
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