• Past Mars solar powered probes present a major risk

    From RichA@21:1/5 to All on Thu Aug 3 23:14:00 2023
    The need to power a probe beyond Mars logically means using RTGs or radio(active) thermal generators. But, for some reason, they elect not to use them on some probes and use solar panels. Problem is, you need to hibernate probes during the journey to
    areas like Jupiter because even the largest solar panels won't provide enough power. With the Rosetta comet probe, emerging from hibernation worked, but the risk is very high it will fail. So probes in the future destined for past-Mars destinations
    should use RTGs until and if they find a better solution than solar panels for power.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From AB@21:1/5 to RichA on Fri Aug 4 02:34:28 2023
    On 8/4/23 2:14 AM, RichA wrote:
    The need to power a probe beyond Mars logically means using RTGs or radio(active) thermal generators. But, for some reason, they elect not to use them on some probes and use solar panels. Problem is, you need to hibernate probes during the journey to
    areas like Jupiter because even the largest solar panels won't provide enough power. With the Rosetta comet probe, emerging from hibernation worked, but the risk is very high it will fail. So probes in the future destined for past-Mars destinations
    should use RTGs until and if they find a better solution than solar panels for power.

    Is this something you're conjuring up, or is it the consensus of the
    actual scientists dealing with this subject?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Chris L Peterson@21:1/5 to All on Fri Aug 4 08:20:03 2023
    On Thu, 3 Aug 2023 23:14:00 -0700 (PDT), RichA <rander3128@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    The need to power a probe beyond Mars logically means using RTGs or radio(active) thermal generators. But, for some reason, they elect not to use them on some probes and use solar panels. Problem is, you need to hibernate probes during the journey to
    areas like Jupiter because even the largest solar panels won't provide enough power. With the Rosetta comet probe, emerging from hibernation worked, but the risk is very high it will fail. So probes in the future destined for past-Mars destinations
    should use RTGs until and if they find a better solution than solar panels for power.

    Each mission uses the power source that makes the best engineering
    sense. But as you do not understand engineering (or good sense), this
    concept is beyond you.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From RichA@21:1/5 to All on Sat Aug 5 03:07:52 2023
    On Friday, 4 August 2023 at 02:34:32 UTC-4, AB wrote:
    On 8/4/23 2:14 AM, RichA wrote:
    The need to power a probe beyond Mars logically means using RTGs or radio(active) thermal generators. But, for some reason, they elect not to use them on some probes and use solar panels. Problem is, you need to hibernate probes during the journey to
    areas like Jupiter because even the largest solar panels won't provide enough power. With the Rosetta comet probe, emerging from hibernation worked, but the risk is very high it will fail. So probes in the future destined for past-Mars destinations
    should use RTGs until and if they find a better solution than solar panels for power.
    Is this something you're conjuring up, or is it the consensus of the
    actual scientists dealing with this subject?

    Look up the probe Philae that they landed on the comet. Read the story.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From RichA@21:1/5 to Chris L Peterson on Sat Aug 5 03:06:45 2023
    On Friday, 4 August 2023 at 10:20:11 UTC-4, Chris L Peterson wrote:
    On Thu, 3 Aug 2023 23:14:00 -0700 (PDT), RichA <rande...@gmail.com>
    wrote:
    The need to power a probe beyond Mars logically means using RTGs or radio(active) thermal generators. But, for some reason, they elect not to use them on some probes and use solar panels. Problem is, you need to hibernate probes during the journey to
    areas like Jupiter because even the largest solar panels won't provide enough power. With the Rosetta comet probe, emerging from hibernation worked, but the risk is very high it will fail. So probes in the future destined for past-Mars destinations
    should use RTGs until and if they find a better solution than solar panels for power.
    Each mission uses the power source that makes the best engineering
    sense. But as you do not understand engineering (or good sense), this concept is beyond you.

    That's like saying making cancer patients wait for isotopes because of a shortage is a sound engineering decision. It is RIFE with politics and economics having NOTHING to do with engineering.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Chris L Peterson@21:1/5 to All on Sat Aug 5 07:27:57 2023
    On Sat, 5 Aug 2023 03:06:45 -0700 (PDT), RichA <rander3128@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Friday, 4 August 2023 at 10:20:11 UTC-4, Chris L Peterson wrote:
    On Thu, 3 Aug 2023 23:14:00 -0700 (PDT), RichA <rande...@gmail.com>
    wrote:
    The need to power a probe beyond Mars logically means using RTGs or radio(active) thermal generators. But, for some reason, they elect not to use them on some probes and use solar panels. Problem is, you need to hibernate probes during the journey to
    areas like Jupiter because even the largest solar panels won't provide enough power. With the Rosetta comet probe, emerging from hibernation worked, but the risk is very high it will fail. So probes in the future destined for past-Mars destinations
    should use RTGs until and if they find a better solution than solar panels for power.
    Each mission uses the power source that makes the best engineering
    sense. But as you do not understand engineering (or good sense), this
    concept is beyond you.

    That's like saying making cancer patients wait for isotopes because of a shortage is a sound engineering decision. It is RIFE with politics and economics having NOTHING to do with engineering.

    How stupid. It is everything to do with engineering. In almost all
    cases, solar panels are the best choice. They provide more power, they
    are cheaper, and they reduce the mission costs, which allows more
    budget to be allocated to science. Where RTGs are the best choice,
    they are consistently used.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Quadibloc@21:1/5 to RichA on Wed Aug 9 02:22:42 2023
    On Friday, August 4, 2023 at 12:14:02 AM UTC-6, RichA wrote:
    The need to power a probe beyond Mars logically means
    using RTGs or radio(active) thermal generators.

    Risk involves unpredictable factors.

    The inverse-square law is well-understood. Hence, sending a probe
    to Pluto powered by huge solar panels may be inappropriate due to
    being inefficient, but it doesn't need to imply an increased risk that
    the probe will fail to function correctly.

    John Savard

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Quadibloc@21:1/5 to Chris L Peterson on Wed Aug 9 02:36:35 2023
    On Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 7:28:03 AM UTC-6, Chris L Peterson wrote:
    Where RTGs are the best choice,
    they are consistently used.

    While I do agree that RichA takes a position that is too extreme, I don't entirely share your optimism.
    I think that it is entirely possible that due to public anti-nuclear hysteria, instead of decisions being made in accordance with the best engineering practice, there is a degree of bias against RTGs and nuclear propulsion that
    is leading them to be used only where there is no other choice - basically,
    in desperation, as a last resort.
    Mars has dust storms that can obstruct solar panels, although there may be other ways to deal with that than the use of RTGs. And in general, using
    solar panels instead of RTGs a bit more often is not a big deal - and, of course, given that rockets do sometimes blow up on the pad, and having radioactive material scattered far and wide is indeed a very bad thing, a
    bit of apparently excessive caution is not really a problem.

    What _is_ a problem, though, is that the stigma under which nuclear power
    has been has stunted the development of nuclear propulsion technolgies
    like NERVA. This _is_ seriously interfering with our ability to explore space.

    John Savard

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Chris L Peterson@21:1/5 to All on Wed Aug 9 08:25:16 2023
    On Wed, 9 Aug 2023 02:36:35 -0700 (PDT), Quadibloc <jsavard@ecn.ab.ca>
    wrote:

    On Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 7:28:03?AM UTC-6, Chris L Peterson wrote:
    Where RTGs are the best choice,
    they are consistently used.

    While I do agree that RichA takes a position that is too extreme, I don't >entirely share your optimism.
    I think that it is entirely possible that due to public anti-nuclear hysteria, >instead of decisions being made in accordance with the best engineering >practice, there is a degree of bias against RTGs and nuclear propulsion that >is leading them to be used only where there is no other choice - basically, >in desperation, as a last resort.
    Mars has dust storms that can obstruct solar panels, although there may be >other ways to deal with that than the use of RTGs. And in general, using >solar panels instead of RTGs a bit more often is not a big deal - and, of >course, given that rockets do sometimes blow up on the pad, and having >radioactive material scattered far and wide is indeed a very bad thing, a
    bit of apparently excessive caution is not really a problem.

    What _is_ a problem, though, is that the stigma under which nuclear power
    has been has stunted the development of nuclear propulsion technolgies
    like NERVA. This _is_ seriously interfering with our ability to explore space.

    John Savard

    Solar panels are generally preferred on Mars even with dust because
    RTGs can't deliver much power, which requires power cycling... where
    the probe is put into a low power state to allow the RTG to charge
    batteries which can then be used for high power tasks.

    RTGs are inherently risky to launch, and always will be, which does
    mean that more precautions must be taken, and that means higher launch
    costs. That is rational, and is unlikely to change. So it remains a
    factor on the budgeting side of things.

    With the development of increasingly efficient ion propulsion systems,
    it is unclear whether nuclear thermal propulsion has much use (and it
    comes with very high costs). For manned flight to other planets, yes.
    But that's a waste of money in the first place, and hopefully isn't
    something that we'll engage in to any significant degree.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Quadibloc@21:1/5 to Chris L Peterson on Wed Aug 9 17:03:32 2023
    On Wednesday, August 9, 2023 at 8:25:23 AM UTC-6, Chris L Peterson wrote:

    With the development of increasingly efficient ion propulsion systems,
    it is unclear whether nuclear thermal propulsion has much use (and it
    comes with very high costs). For manned flight to other planets, yes.
    But that's a waste of money in the first place, and hopefully isn't something that we'll engage in to any significant degree.

    I can agree that the space program should emphasize science, which can
    be done cheaper with instrumented probes.

    However, I still hope that eventually our capabilities in space advance, to the point where manned flight to the outer planets eventually becomes routine.

    John Savard

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Martin Brown@21:1/5 to Quadibloc on Thu Aug 10 12:26:58 2023
    On 10/08/2023 01:03, Quadibloc wrote:
    On Wednesday, August 9, 2023 at 8:25:23 AM UTC-6, Chris L Peterson wrote:

    With the development of increasingly efficient ion propulsion systems,
    it is unclear whether nuclear thermal propulsion has much use (and it
    comes with very high costs). For manned flight to other planets, yes.
    But that's a waste of money in the first place, and hopefully isn't
    something that we'll engage in to any significant degree.

    I can agree that the space program should emphasize science, which can
    be done cheaper with instrumented probes.

    However, I still hope that eventually our capabilities in space advance, to the
    point where manned flight to the outer planets eventually becomes routine.

    Hell will freeze over before manned missions to the outer planets ever
    become routine. Robotics and AI probes are the way forward for science.

    The only way we could realistically do that would be with a lot of new
    physics that either made it quicker to get there or suspended animation.

    Humans are just too fragile, require far too many resources just to stay
    alive and easily damaged by radiation. Silicon is very much tougher.

    I expect someone will eventually set foot on Mars but more as a "Big
    Brother" entertainment show with teeth than for scientific purposes.

    I'd like to see someone return to one of the Apollo landing sites (not
    11) and bring back a sun bleached Hasselblad film camera just to annoy
    the naysayers. The Moon landings were not faked!

    --
    Martin Brown

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Quadibloc@21:1/5 to Martin Brown on Sat Aug 12 16:54:39 2023
    On Thursday, August 10, 2023 at 5:27:02 AM UTC-6, Martin Brown wrote:

    Hell will freeze over before manned missions to the outer planets ever become routine.

    I don't know about _that_, but indeed the Earth will become cooler before manned missions to the outer planets become routine. We will have to solve
    our energy problems, and, in doing so, also solve the problem of global warming.

    It would definitely take "new physics" to travel to other solar systems at speeds faster than light, as so often takes place in science fiction. But to make travel to the outer planets routine? All that's needed is a massive increase in real per capita wealth, resulting from human civilization advancing a fraction of a step up the Kardashev ladder.

    Fusion power, lunar mining, spaceship manufacturing in the L4 or L5 points
    of the Earth-Moon system... those things don't take new physics. A space elevator from Earth's surface, though, would require impossibly hard materials, but there are alternatives.

    Suspended animation has also been a mainstay of traditional science fiction, but despite the odd tantalizing discovery in some small animals, it doesn't look
    like we're getting there quickly. A more recent science-fiction idea, *uploading*,
    however, although usually discussed in the context of incredibly advanced technology, might actually have some promise.

    John Savard

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Chris L Peterson@21:1/5 to jsavard@ecn.ab.ca on Sun Aug 13 07:26:53 2023
    On Sat, 12 Aug 2023 16:54:39 -0700 (PDT), Quadibloc
    <jsavard@ecn.ab.ca> wrote:

    On Thursday, August 10, 2023 at 5:27:02?AM UTC-6, Martin Brown wrote:

    Hell will freeze over before manned missions to the outer planets ever
    become routine.

    I don't know about _that_, but indeed the Earth will become cooler before >manned missions to the outer planets become routine. We will have to solve >our energy problems, and, in doing so, also solve the problem of global >warming.

    It would definitely take "new physics" to travel to other solar systems at >speeds faster than light, as so often takes place in science fiction. But to >make travel to the outer planets routine? All that's needed is a massive >increase in real per capita wealth, resulting from human civilization advancing
    a fraction of a step up the Kardashev ladder.

    It would also require a reason to do so. And there really are none.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Chris L Peterson@21:1/5 to NASA Liars on Tue Aug 15 09:03:53 2023
    On Mon, 14 Aug 2023 21:30:14 -0500, NASA Liars <nasa@liar.s> wrote:

    On Wed, 9 Aug 2023 02:22:42 -0700 (PDT)
    Quadibloc <jsavard@ecn.ab.ca> wrote:

    On Friday, August 4, 2023 at 12:14:02?AM UTC-6, RichA wrote:
    The need to power a probe beyond Mars logically means
    using RTGs or radio(active) thermal generators.

    Risk involves unpredictable factors.

    The inverse-square law is well-understood. Hence, sending a probe
    to Pluto powered by huge solar panels may be inappropriate due to
    being inefficient, but it doesn't need to imply an increased risk that
    the probe will fail to function correctly.

    John Savard

    Unlike most 'internet astronomers' I was raised from eight years old
    with a telescope. I actually observed the sky and celestial objects
    regularly for the past forty years. I memorized all the tables of
    celestial distances and planetary and star compositions. It wasn't
    until later in life I actually started to do the math around those
    figures to find out they are fictitious.

    According to the inverse square law of light all the other planets and
    stars would be completely invisible with the distances given by NASA.

    It would also mean that to even see Mars, disregarding the inverse
    square law, Mars would have to be glowing bright enough to burn out
    your eye sockets from orbit for any visible amount of its light to reach >earth at an average of 140 million miles distance. For Mars to reflect
    that much sunlight the earth would have to be a ball of superheated
    magma with no atmosphere from all the solar energy reaching it. The
    moon would also glow red hot even on its dark side.

    It would also mean that Alpha Centauri at more than 4 light years
    (24.7 trillion miles) away, would need to be more than a
    million times brighter than the sun to see its light, if the inverse
    square law weren't applicable. But because of the inverse square law,
    even at a million times the brightness of the sun, Rigil would be
    totally invisible both to the human eye and to telescopes, if the
    distances provided by NASA were true, which they aren't. The distances >provided by NASA are false. Alpha Centauri is roughly 3,700 miles above
    the surface of the earth, and its rapidly changing shape and plasma
    discharge rings can be seen clearly with a 90-power telescope through a
    clear sky.

    This means that space believers are rubes who can't do simple maths.
    The physicists who sell you this fake astronomy bullshit are so beholden
    to the grift for their careers they will never expose it.

    But you will cling to your fairy tales rather than admit that simple
    math exposes the charade known as the 'space program'.

    You and Gerald should sit down together in a pub somewhere.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From AB@21:1/5 to Chris L Peterson on Tue Aug 15 15:53:53 2023
    On 8/15/23 11:03 AM, Chris L Peterson wrote:
    On Mon, 14 Aug 2023 21:30:14 -0500, NASA Liars <nasa@liar.s> wrote:

    On Wed, 9 Aug 2023 02:22:42 -0700 (PDT)
    Quadibloc <jsavard@ecn.ab.ca> wrote:

    On Friday, August 4, 2023 at 12:14:02?AM UTC-6, RichA wrote:
    The need to power a probe beyond Mars logically means
    using RTGs or radio(active) thermal generators.

    Risk involves unpredictable factors.

    The inverse-square law is well-understood. Hence, sending a probe
    to Pluto powered by huge solar panels may be inappropriate due to
    being inefficient, but it doesn't need to imply an increased risk that
    the probe will fail to function correctly.

    John Savard

    Unlike most 'internet astronomers' I was raised from eight years old
    with a telescope. I actually observed the sky and celestial objects
    regularly for the past forty years. I memorized all the tables of
    celestial distances and planetary and star compositions. It wasn't
    until later in life I actually started to do the math around those
    figures to find out they are fictitious.

    According to the inverse square law of light all the other planets and
    stars would be completely invisible with the distances given by NASA.

    It would also mean that to even see Mars, disregarding the inverse
    square law, Mars would have to be glowing bright enough to burn out
    your eye sockets from orbit for any visible amount of its light to reach
    earth at an average of 140 million miles distance. For Mars to reflect
    that much sunlight the earth would have to be a ball of superheated
    magma with no atmosphere from all the solar energy reaching it. The
    moon would also glow red hot even on its dark side.

    It would also mean that Alpha Centauri at more than 4 light years
    (24.7 trillion miles) away, would need to be more than a
    million times brighter than the sun to see its light, if the inverse
    square law weren't applicable. But because of the inverse square law,
    even at a million times the brightness of the sun, Rigil would be
    totally invisible both to the human eye and to telescopes, if the
    distances provided by NASA were true, which they aren't. The distances
    provided by NASA are false. Alpha Centauri is roughly 3,700 miles above
    the surface of the earth, and its rapidly changing shape and plasma
    discharge rings can be seen clearly with a 90-power telescope through a
    clear sky.

    This means that space believers are rubes who can't do simple maths.
    The physicists who sell you this fake astronomy bullshit are so beholden
    to the grift for their careers they will never expose it.

    But you will cling to your fairy tales rather than admit that simple
    math exposes the charade known as the 'space program'.

    You and Gerald should sit down together in a pub somewhere.

    Rich can be their moderator.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Quadibloc@21:1/5 to NASA Liars on Wed Aug 16 19:10:16 2023
    On Monday, August 14, 2023 at 8:25:27 PM UTC-6, NASA Liars wrote:

    It would also mean that to even see Mars, disregarding the inverse
    square law, Mars would have to be glowing bright enough to burn out
    your eye sockets from orbit for any visible amount of its light to reach earth at an average of 140 million miles distance.

    Why? Does light get tired when it travels through a vacuum?

    John Savard

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Quadibloc@21:1/5 to NASA Liars on Wed Aug 16 19:26:44 2023
    On Monday, August 14, 2023 at 8:25:27 PM UTC-6, NASA Liars wrote:

    According to the inverse square law of light all the other planets and
    stars would be completely invisible with the distances given by NASA.

    No.

    What you've probably done is made an easy arithmetical error that
    turns the inverse _square_ law into an inverse fourth-power law.

    Mars orbits the Sun at a distance of 1.524 AU. This means that
    sunlight on the surface of Mars is 0.43 times as bright as sunlight
    on the surface of the Earth. If that was too dim to be seen, then
    we also wouldn't be able to see when we went indoors to rooms
    lighted through small windows or with artificial lighting.

    But Mars is very far away! Mars might look bright if you were
    standing on its surface, but here on Earth, we're many, many
    times further away from it than that!

    But what the inverse square law applies to is the *total* amount
    of light any one of us receives from Mars. And Mars is a lot
    smaller in our sky than it would be than if, say, we were looking at
    it from one of its moons.

    Since the _size_ of Mars shrinks as the square of its distance too,
    its brightness _per unit area_ does *not* decrease with distance,
    but stays the same. (Applying the inverse-square law to surface
    brightness gives the inverse-fourth-power law I noted above.)

    When you look through a telescope at Mars, the aperture of the
    telescope is bigger than the pupil of your eye, and so a magnified
    Mars remains visible. (But only "just as bright" if you are using
    a "richest-field telescope", which planetary telescopes usually
    aren't.)

    John Savard

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From RichA@21:1/5 to All on Thu Aug 17 18:53:38 2023
    On Friday, 4 August 2023 at 02:34:32 UTC-4, AB wrote:
    On 8/4/23 2:14 AM, RichA wrote:
    The need to power a probe beyond Mars logically means using RTGs or radio(active) thermal generators. But, for some reason, they elect not to use them on some probes and use solar panels. Problem is, you need to hibernate probes during the journey to
    areas like Jupiter because even the largest solar panels won't provide enough power. With the Rosetta comet probe, emerging from hibernation worked, but the risk is very high it will fail. So probes in the future destined for past-Mars destinations
    should use RTGs until and if they find a better solution than solar panels for power.
    Is this something you're conjuring up, or is it the consensus of the
    actual scientists dealing with this subject?

    Voyager is at 15 billions miles from the sun still relaying back information. Solar panels? HAHHAHAHA.
    The scientists on the project (Rosetta) were the ones who said hibernation was a risk.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)