• EMP < Carrington < Miyake Event. Probably a Lynn question.

    From petertrei@gmail.com@21:1/5 to All on Mon Oct 9 14:30:14 2023
    I know that Lynn is partial to the burgeoning post-EMP survival novel genre (Goodreads lists over 100 of them). Mostly, they seem to be imposed on (usually) the US by a nefarious foreign power, exploding nukes high in the atmosphere.

    But there are natural phenomena which can match or surpass man made EMPs. The Carrington event is long known, but recently we've found far more powerful 'Miyake Events', which can be 10x as powerful, and affect the whole planet simultaneously.

    Have such natural events been used as the hook for a story? https://www.newsweek.com/tree-rings-reveal-most-powerful-solar-storm-ever-1833028

    pt

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Robert Woodward@21:1/5 to pete...@gmail.com on Mon Oct 9 21:42:21 2023
    In article <d61e8542-5d82-4828-a6a4-ebe9df46fb14n@googlegroups.com>,
    "pete...@gmail.com" <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:

    I know that Lynn is partial to the burgeoning post-EMP survival novel genre (Goodreads lists over 100 of them). Mostly, they seem to be imposed on (usually) the US by a nefarious foreign power, exploding nukes high in the atmosphere.

    But there are natural phenomena which can match or surpass man made EMPs. The Carrington event is long known, but recently we've found far more powerful 'Miyake Events', which can be 10x as powerful, and affect the whole planet simultaneously.

    Have such natural events been used as the hook for a story? https://www.newsweek.com/tree-rings-reveal-most-powerful-solar-storm-ever-1833
    028


    What about Niven's "Inconstant Moon"? That was probably an even bigger
    solar flare (one whose luminosity briefly exceeded the rest of the Sun).

    --
    "We have advanced to new and surprising levels of bafflement."
    Imperial Auditor Miles Vorkosigan describes progress in _Komarr_. —-----------------------------------------------------
    Robert Woodward robertaw@drizzle.com

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  • From Ted Nolan @21:1/5 to robertaw@drizzle.com on Tue Oct 10 05:29:09 2023
    In article <robertaw-7327CB.21422109102023@news.individual.net>,
    Robert Woodward <robertaw@drizzle.com> wrote:
    In article <d61e8542-5d82-4828-a6a4-ebe9df46fb14n@googlegroups.com>,
    "pete...@gmail.com" <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:

    I know that Lynn is partial to the burgeoning post-EMP survival novel genre >> (Goodreads lists over 100 of them). Mostly, they seem to be imposed on
    (usually) the US by a nefarious foreign power, exploding nukes high in the >> atmosphere.

    But there are natural phenomena which can match or surpass man made EMPs. The
    Carrington event is long known, but recently we've found far more powerful >> 'Miyake Events', which can be 10x as powerful, and affect the whole planet >> simultaneously.

    Have such natural events been used as the hook for a story?
    https://www.newsweek.com/tree-rings-reveal-most-powerful-solar-storm-ever-1833
    028


    What about Niven's "Inconstant Moon"? That was probably an even bigger
    solar flare (one whose luminosity briefly exceeded the rest of the Sun).


    Well, if you go Niven, how about blowing up the core of the galaxy?
    --
    columbiaclosings.com
    What's not in Columbia anymore..

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Scott Dorsey@21:1/5 to pete...@gmail.com on Tue Oct 10 20:47:24 2023
    pete...@gmail.com <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:
    But there are natural phenomena which can match or surpass man made EMPs. The Carrington event is long known, but recently we've found far more powerful 'Miyake Events', which can be 10x as powerful, and affect the whole planet simultaneously.

    Different things altogether. The Carrington Event is a big fast risetime
    RF pulse... we got one in August of '72 that set off mines in Hanoi harbor which was likely in the same order of magnitude as the Carrington. So we have a pretty good idea of what the results of such a thing would be.

    The Miyake Event is ionizing radiation. Much more scary.
    --scott
    --
    "C'est un Nagra. C'est suisse, et tres, tres precis."

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  • From Moriarty@21:1/5 to pete...@gmail.com on Tue Oct 10 14:51:21 2023
    On Tuesday, October 10, 2023 at 8:30:17 AM UTC+11, pete...@gmail.com wrote:
    I know that Lynn is partial to the burgeoning post-EMP survival novel genre (Goodreads lists over 100 of them). Mostly, they seem to be imposed on (usually) the US by a nefarious foreign power, exploding nukes high in the atmosphere.

    But there are natural phenomena which can match or surpass man made EMPs. The Carrington event is long known, but recently we've found far more powerful 'Miyake Events', which can be 10x as powerful, and affect the whole planet simultaneously.

    Have such natural events been used as the hook for a story? https://www.newsweek.com/tree-rings-reveal-most-powerful-solar-storm-ever-1833028

    A binary neutron star system decaying into collision featured in Greg Egan's excellent "Diaspora". IIRC Egan placed the GRB about 6,000ly away, close enough to cause a mass extinction event, but not so close to actually destroy the Earth.

    -Moriarty

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  • From Lynn McGuire@21:1/5 to pete...@gmail.com on Tue Oct 10 17:06:50 2023
    On 10/9/2023 4:30 PM, pete...@gmail.com wrote:
    I know that Lynn is partial to the burgeoning post-EMP survival novel genre (Goodreads lists over 100 of them). Mostly, they seem to be imposed on (usually) the US by a nefarious foreign power, exploding nukes high in the atmosphere.

    But there are natural phenomena which can match or surpass man made EMPs. The Carrington event is long known, but recently we've found far more powerful 'Miyake Events', which can be 10x as powerful, and affect the whole planet simultaneously.

    Have such natural events been used as the hook for a story? https://www.newsweek.com/tree-rings-reveal-most-powerful-solar-storm-ever-1833028

    pt

    Yup, several books and movies. "The Maze Runner (Book 1)" by James
    Dashner, book one of a five book series with three blockbuster movies.
    The Sun flares and raises the average temperature on Earth by 20 F
    called the Scorch.
    https://www.amazon.com/Maze-Runner-Book-1/dp/0385737955/

    Lynn

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  • From Lynn McGuire@21:1/5 to pete...@gmail.com on Tue Oct 10 17:10:09 2023
    On 10/9/2023 4:30 PM, pete...@gmail.com wrote:
    I know that Lynn is partial to the burgeoning post-EMP survival novel genre (Goodreads lists over 100 of them). Mostly, they seem to be imposed on (usually) the US by a nefarious foreign power, exploding nukes high in the atmosphere.

    But there are natural phenomena which can match or surpass man made EMPs. The Carrington event is long known, but recently we've found far more powerful 'Miyake Events', which can be 10x as powerful, and affect the whole planet simultaneously.

    Have such natural events been used as the hook for a story? https://www.newsweek.com/tree-rings-reveal-most-powerful-solar-storm-ever-1833028

    pt

    BTW, several of the EMP books are not carried out by nefarious foreign
    powers, they are carried out as a False Flag event.

    Lynn

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  • From Robert Carnegie@21:1/5 to pete...@gmail.com on Tue Oct 10 16:34:37 2023
    On Monday, 9 October 2023 at 22:30:17 UTC+1, pete...@gmail.com wrote:
    I know that Lynn is partial to the burgeoning post-EMP survival novel genre (Goodreads lists over 100 of them). Mostly, they seem to be imposed on (usually) the US by a nefarious foreign power, exploding nukes high in the atmosphere.

    But there are natural phenomena which can match or surpass man made EMPs. The Carrington event is long known, but recently we've found far more powerful 'Miyake Events', which can be 10x as powerful, and affect the whole planet simultaneously.

    Have such natural events been used as the hook for a story? https://www.newsweek.com/tree-rings-reveal-most-powerful-solar-storm-ever-1833028

    <https://sf-encyclopedia.com> doesn't seem to
    recognise the name of Miyake. But many stories
    portray a natural global disaster or the situation
    afterwards. It isn't necessarily sudden. I think
    a recent piece by James Nicoll, at Tor.com,
    mentioned a story where a shower of space dust
    causes metal to evaporate or something.
    In _The Day of the Triffids_, a bright display
    of meteors leaves everyone who saw it blind
    the next morning, after which some recently
    domesticated plants, the man-sized omnivorous
    walking triffids, understandably cause considerable
    trouble, although it's not quite clear to me that
    the blindness wasn't enough of a disruption
    of the civilised world to make a novel. The triffids
    did reduce an unwieldy cast of characters.

    <https://thefinchandpea.com/2014/08/17/the-first-modern-post-apocalypse-novel-after-london/>
    reports, with some editing by me, that
    "Gothic and Romantic writers wrote the first important
    End of the World fiction early in the 19th century. But the
    nascent genre languished" until _After London_ (1885)
    by Richard Jeffries, whose narrator doesn't really
    know what happened to London and to civilisation
    in England and probably worldwide, but it happened
    pretty hard, and London is underwater.

    A catastrophe that is our own fault seems to be
    outside the field of your question. There's a lot of
    those in fiction. And alien invasions, of course.
    They seem to like de-civilising us.

    In <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sword_of_the_Spirits>
    a natural event of global cooling seems to be the
    main cause of uncivilising the world, but "scientists"
    are blamed for spoiling it first, and a significant
    number of human "dwarfs" and also mutants,
    and a giant amphibious sea monster outbreak
    (one seen, but it's pretty big), imply that the natural
    world took a beating from our scientific progress
    before the cooling happened.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Quadibloc@21:1/5 to Scott Dorsey on Tue Oct 10 19:53:00 2023
    On Tuesday, October 10, 2023 at 2:47:30 PM UTC-6, Scott Dorsey wrote:

    Different things altogether. The Carrington Event is a big fast risetime
    RF pulse... we got one in August of '72 that set off mines in Hanoi harbor which was likely in the same order of magnitude as the Carrington.

    This came as news to me, and so I did a Google search - which, naturally,
    led to a Wikipedia article:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/August_1972_solar_storms

    and it cites an article in _Space Weather_ from 2018 by Knipp, Fraser, Shea
    and Smart that states that this event was likely to have been comparable to
    the Carrington event in some respects.

    A few months before, in February of 1972, the HP-35 went on sale, and as
    we know, the HP-35 calculators in existence weren't all fried - or even mostly fried - in August.

    I've found both dimensions and die shots for the AMI versions of two of the microchips in the HP-35; I'm hoping, though, to find an explicit reference to what process these PMOS chips were made in. I found one statement, in a
    ROM die shot elsewhere, that the feature size is 10 um, which is believable.

    John Savard

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  • From Tim McCaffrey@21:1/5 to Quadibloc on Wed Oct 11 07:18:57 2023
    On Tuesday, October 10, 2023 at 10:53:03 PM UTC-4, Quadibloc wrote:
    On Tuesday, October 10, 2023 at 2:47:30 PM UTC-6, Scott Dorsey wrote:

    Different things altogether. The Carrington Event is a big fast risetime RF pulse... we got one in August of '72 that set off mines in Hanoi harbor which was likely in the same order of magnitude as the Carrington.
    This came as news to me, and so I did a Google search - which, naturally, led to a Wikipedia article:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/August_1972_solar_storms

    and it cites an article in _Space Weather_ from 2018 by Knipp, Fraser, Shea and Smart that states that this event was likely to have been comparable to the Carrington event in some respects.

    A few months before, in February of 1972, the HP-35 went on sale, and as
    we know, the HP-35 calculators in existence weren't all fried - or even mostly
    fried - in August.

    I've found both dimensions and die shots for the AMI versions of two of the microchips in the HP-35; I'm hoping, though, to find an explicit reference to
    what process these PMOS chips were made in. I found one statement, in a
    ROM die shot elsewhere, that the feature size is 10 um, which is believable.

    John Savard

    IIRC, I figured out about ~2000 that the entire 4004 (circa 1971(?)) could be implemented
    on a then modern process in about the space of one of the original 4004's transistors.

    And things have just gotten smaller since then (and much more voltage sensitive).

    - Tim

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  • From petertrei@gmail.com@21:1/5 to Quadibloc on Wed Oct 11 07:16:52 2023
    On Tuesday, October 10, 2023 at 10:53:03 PM UTC-4, Quadibloc wrote:
    On Tuesday, October 10, 2023 at 2:47:30 PM UTC-6, Scott Dorsey wrote:

    Different things altogether. The Carrington Event is a big fast risetime RF pulse... we got one in August of '72 that set off mines in Hanoi harbor which was likely in the same order of magnitude as the Carrington.
    This came as news to me, and so I did a Google search - which, naturally, led to a Wikipedia article:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/August_1972_solar_storms

    and it cites an article in _Space Weather_ from 2018 by Knipp, Fraser, Shea and Smart that states that this event was likely to have been comparable to the Carrington event in some respects.

    This was new to me too. I'm surprised I don't remember hearing about it at the time.

    pt

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Ted Nolan @21:1/5 to pete...@gmail.com on Wed Oct 11 14:26:13 2023
    In article <33e04eec-168e-4a66-a20b-766a80b85b60n@googlegroups.com>, pete...@gmail.com <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Tuesday, October 10, 2023 at 10:53:03 PM UTC-4, Quadibloc wrote:
    On Tuesday, October 10, 2023 at 2:47:30 PM UTC-6, Scott Dorsey wrote:

    Different things altogether. The Carrington Event is a big fast risetime >> > RF pulse... we got one in August of '72 that set off mines in Hanoi harbor >> > which was likely in the same order of magnitude as the Carrington.
    This came as news to me, and so I did a Google search - which, naturally,
    led to a Wikipedia article:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/August_1972_solar_storms

    and it cites an article in _Space Weather_ from 2018 by Knipp, Fraser, Shea >> and Smart that states that this event was likely to have been comparable to >> the Carrington event in some respects.

    This was new to me too. I'm surprised I don't remember hearing about it at the >time.

    pt

    Over the miles and the years, the gases drifted. Waste
    matter from ten thousand suns, a diffuse miasma of spent
    explosions, of dead hell fires and the furies of a hundred
    million raging sunspots -- formless, purposeless. But it
    was the beginning. Into the great dark the gases crept.
    Calcium was in them, and sodium, and hydrogen; and the speed
    of the drift varied up to twenty miles a second. There was
    a timeless period while gravitation performed its function.
    The inchoate mass became masses. Great blobs of gas took a
    semblance of shape in widely separate areas, and moved on
    and on and on. They came finally to where a thousand flaring
    seetee suns had long before doggedly "crossed the street"
    of the main stream of terrene suns. Had crossed, and left
    their excrement of gases. The first clash quickened the
    vast worlds of gas. The electron haze of terrene plunged
    like spurred horses and sped deeper into the equally violently
    reacting positron haze of contraterrene. Instantly, the
    lighter orbital positrons and electrons went up in a blaze
    of hard radiation. The storm was on. The stripped seetee
    nuclei carried now terrific and unbalanced negative charges
    and repelled electrons, but tended to attract terrene atom
    nuclei. In their turn the stripped terrene nuclei attracted
    contraterrene. Violent beyond all conception were the
    resulting cancellations of charges. The two opposing masses
    heaved and spun in a cataclysm of partial adjustment. They
    had been heading in different directions. More and more
    they became one tangled, seething whirlpool. The new course,
    uncertain at first, steadied and became a line drive through
    the midnight heavens. On a front of nine light years, at a
    solid fraction of the velocity of light, the storm roared
    toward its destiny. Suns were engulfed for half a hundred
    years -- and left behind with only a hammering of cosmic
    rays to show that they had been the centers of otherwise
    invisible, impalpable atomic devastation. In its four
    hundred and ninetieth Sidereal year, the storm intersected
    the orbit of a Nova at the flash moment. It began to move!
    --
    columbiaclosings.com
    What's not in Columbia anymore..

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Dorothy J Heydt@21:1/5 to timcaffrey@aol.com on Wed Oct 11 17:25:02 2023
    In article <6d40d53f-c47d-4011-b156-d07b5d3499b3n@googlegroups.com>,
    Tim McCaffrey <timcaffrey@aol.com> wrote:
    IIRC, I figured out about ~2000 that the entire 4004 (circa 1971(?))
    could be implemented
    on a then modern process in about the space of one of the original
    4004's transistors.

    And things have just gotten smaller since then (and much more voltage >sensitive).

    [Hal Heydt]
    Raspberry Pi Ltd. (RPT) developed an I/O handing chip (aka "south
    bridge") which is just coming into use on the announced--but not
    quite released--Raspberry Pi 5. The chip was implemented using
    40nm process as a way to make it less sensitive to electrostatic
    discharge and have better tolerance for higher voltages on the
    GPIO pins. The SoC for the board--BCM2712--uses a 16nm node. The
    RP1 south bridge can survive 5v on the GPIO pins, though is not
    official "5v tolerant" because that rating would require it to
    survive having 5.5v applied.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to Dorothy J Heydt on Wed Oct 11 19:33:01 2023
    djheydt@kithrup.com (Dorothy J Heydt) writes:
    In article <6d40d53f-c47d-4011-b156-d07b5d3499b3n@googlegroups.com>,
    Tim McCaffrey <timcaffrey@aol.com> wrote:
    IIRC, I figured out about ~2000 that the entire 4004 (circa 1971(?))
    could be implemented
    on a then modern process in about the space of one of the original
    4004's transistors.

    And things have just gotten smaller since then (and much more voltage >>sensitive).

    [Hal Heydt]
    Raspberry Pi Ltd. (RPT) developed an I/O handing chip (aka "south
    bridge") which is just coming into use on the announced--but not
    quite released--Raspberry Pi 5. The chip was implemented using
    40nm process as a way to make it less sensitive to electrostatic
    discharge and have better tolerance for higher voltages on the
    GPIO pins.

    And 40nm process is much less expensive than 16nm.

    AMD does similar things with their chiplets, with processor
    on the newest node (e.g. 7 nm) and the I/O chiplet(s) on a
    mature node (14nm). Packaged as a MCM.

    Decoupling the I/O from the processor also allows room for
    additional processors on the die at a given node.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Dorothy J Heydt@21:1/5 to Scott Lurndal on Wed Oct 11 20:18:29 2023
    In article <NLCVM.76577$2fS.48488@fx16.iad>,
    Scott Lurndal <slp53@pacbell.net> wrote:
    djheydt@kithrup.com (Dorothy J Heydt) writes:
    In article <6d40d53f-c47d-4011-b156-d07b5d3499b3n@googlegroups.com>,
    Tim McCaffrey <timcaffrey@aol.com> wrote:
    IIRC, I figured out about ~2000 that the entire 4004 (circa 1971(?)) >>>could be implemented
    on a then modern process in about the space of one of the original
    4004's transistors.

    And things have just gotten smaller since then (and much more voltage >>>sensitive).

    [Hal Heydt]
    Raspberry Pi Ltd. (RPT) developed an I/O handing chip (aka "south
    bridge") which is just coming into use on the announced--but not
    quite released--Raspberry Pi 5. The chip was implemented using
    40nm process as a way to make it less sensitive to electrostatic
    discharge and have better tolerance for higher voltages on the
    GPIO pins.

    And 40nm process is much less expensive than 16nm.

    [Hal Heydt]
    However, you get fewer chips (of any given complexity) at 40nm
    than you do at a smaller process node. There is more than one
    tradoff involved.

    AMD does similar things with their chiplets, with processor
    on the newest node (e.g. 7 nm) and the I/O chiplet(s) on a
    mature node (14nm). Packaged as a MCM.

    Going to be a long time (I think) before anyone sees a Pi SoC in
    7nm...let alone the current cutting edge of 2nm. While the
    BCM2712 uses 16nm, the preceding SoC--BCM2711--was on a 28nm node
    and all Pi SoCs prior to that were at 40nm. Their "home grown"
    MCU, the RP2040 is also a 40nm part. (And--FYI--if anyone wants
    to play with MCUs, you can buy RP2040s for $1 each, or already on
    a board with everything installed at $4 to $6, depending on
    features. Just look for the Pi Pico.)

    Decoupling the I/O from the processor also allows room for
    additional processors on the die at a given node.

    Ever since the Pi3B, they've stuck with quad CPU designs. What
    they've done (besides going to a smaller proccess node) is
    miggrate from Cortex-A53 to (for the Pi5) Cortex-A76.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Lynn McGuire@21:1/5 to pete...@gmail.com on Wed Oct 11 16:29:27 2023
    On 10/9/2023 4:30 PM, pete...@gmail.com wrote:
    I know that Lynn is partial to the burgeoning post-EMP survival novel genre (Goodreads lists over 100 of them). Mostly, they seem to be imposed on (usually) the US by a nefarious foreign power, exploding nukes high in the atmosphere.

    But there are natural phenomena which can match or surpass man made EMPs. The Carrington event is long known, but recently we've found far more powerful 'Miyake Events', which can be 10x as powerful, and affect the whole planet simultaneously.

    Have such natural events been used as the hook for a story? https://www.newsweek.com/tree-rings-reveal-most-powerful-solar-storm-ever-1833028

    pt

    "48 Hours: A Novel" by William R. Forstchen
    https://www.amazon.com/48-Hours-William-R-Forstchen/dp/0765397935/

    "A solitary science fiction apocalyptic book, no prequels, no sequels. I
    read the well printed and well bound MMPB published by Forge Fiction (Macmillan) in 2020. If there are any more books in the series then I
    will purchase and read them."

    "So how would our society react to a level five CME (coronal mass
    ejection) event ? Level five is the same level as the hurricane levels,
    except that the entire planet is affected. And then two months later, a
    level six CME occurs, and the Earth is positioned to catch the CME event
    again. How will our various governments react ? How will the people
    react ? And how will our machinery and computers survive these events ?
    The author takes a deep look into this rare but possible scenario with
    severe life threatening results."

    I gave it five stars in my 2021 review.

    Lynn

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From petertrei@gmail.com@21:1/5 to Lynn McGuire on Wed Oct 11 14:45:49 2023
    On Wednesday, October 11, 2023 at 5:29:32 PM UTC-4, Lynn McGuire wrote:
    On 10/9/2023 4:30 PM, pete...@gmail.com wrote:
    I know that Lynn is partial to the burgeoning post-EMP survival novel genre (Goodreads lists over 100 of them). Mostly, they seem to be imposed on (usually) the US by a nefarious foreign power, exploding nukes high in the atmosphere.

    But there are natural phenomena which can match or surpass man made EMPs. The Carrington event is long known, but recently we've found far more powerful 'Miyake Events', which can be 10x as powerful, and affect the whole planet simultaneously.

    Have such natural events been used as the hook for a story? https://www.newsweek.com/tree-rings-reveal-most-powerful-solar-storm-ever-1833028

    pt
    "48 Hours: A Novel" by William R. Forstchen https://www.amazon.com/48-Hours-William-R-Forstchen/dp/0765397935/

    Thanks! I was sure you'd come through.

    pt

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Lynn McGuire@21:1/5 to pete...@gmail.com on Wed Oct 11 16:51:26 2023
    On 10/11/2023 4:45 PM, pete...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 11, 2023 at 5:29:32 PM UTC-4, Lynn McGuire wrote:
    On 10/9/2023 4:30 PM, pete...@gmail.com wrote:
    I know that Lynn is partial to the burgeoning post-EMP survival novel genre (Goodreads lists over 100 of them). Mostly, they seem to be imposed on (usually) the US by a nefarious foreign power, exploding nukes high in the atmosphere.

    But there are natural phenomena which can match or surpass man made EMPs. The Carrington event is long known, but recently we've found far more powerful 'Miyake Events', which can be 10x as powerful, and affect the whole planet simultaneously.

    Have such natural events been used as the hook for a story?
    https://www.newsweek.com/tree-rings-reveal-most-powerful-solar-storm-ever-1833028

    pt
    "48 Hours: A Novel" by William R. Forstchen
    https://www.amazon.com/48-Hours-William-R-Forstchen/dp/0765397935/

    Thanks! I was sure you'd come through.

    pt

    You are welcome. I assume that you saw "The Maze Runner" post too.
    That was not a solitary event but the Sun got hotter for the time being.

    Lynn

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Lynn McGuire@21:1/5 to Lynn McGuire on Wed Oct 11 16:53:35 2023
    On 10/11/2023 4:51 PM, Lynn McGuire wrote:
    On 10/11/2023 4:45 PM, pete...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 11, 2023 at 5:29:32 PM UTC-4, Lynn McGuire wrote: >>> On 10/9/2023 4:30 PM, pete...@gmail.com wrote:
    I know that Lynn is partial to the burgeoning post-EMP survival
    novel genre (Goodreads lists over 100 of them). Mostly, they seem to
    be imposed on (usually) the US by a nefarious foreign power,
    exploding nukes high in the atmosphere.

    But there are natural phenomena which can match or surpass man made
    EMPs. The Carrington event is long known, but recently we've found
    far more powerful 'Miyake Events', which can be 10x as powerful, and
    affect the whole planet simultaneously.

    Have such natural events been used as the hook for a story?
    https://www.newsweek.com/tree-rings-reveal-most-powerful-solar-storm-ever-1833028

    pt
    "48 Hours: A Novel" by William R. Forstchen
    https://www.amazon.com/48-Hours-William-R-Forstchen/dp/0765397935/

    Thanks! I was sure  you'd come through.

    pt

    You are welcome.  I assume that you saw "The Maze Runner" post too. That
    was not a solitary event but the Sun got hotter for the time being.

    Lynn

    And now I want to reread the book as I do not remember it much.

    I was reading three books simultaneously but I finished one. One of the
    other books is 432 chapters with two million words.

    Lynn

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From danny burstein@21:1/5 to All on Thu Oct 12 05:13:39 2023
    [just about everything snipped, leaving just one paragraph for reference]

    But there are natural phenomena which can match or surpass man made EMPs
    The Carrington event is long known, but recently we've found far more powerful 'Miyake Events', which can be 10x as powerful, and affect
    the whole planet simultaneously.

    Looks like the Wall Street Journal has a lurker here:

    [WSJ]
    THE FUTURE OF EVERYTHING

    The Next Big Solar Storm Could Fry the Grid

    Scientists are using artificial intelligence to better predict what the sun will do and give Earth more warning to protect satellites and electronics

    One day, you wake up, and the power is out. You try to get information
    on your phone, and you have no internet access. Gradually you discover
    millions of people across the U.S. are in the same situation - one that
    will bring months or years of rebuilding.

    A gigantic solar storm has hit Earth.
    =====
    rest (freebie/gifted URL]

    https://www.wsj.com/science/environment/solar-storm-early-warning-system-b6324524?st=lhdjdn4k8k9stzb&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink


    --
    _____________________________________________________
    Knowledge may be power, but communications is the key
    dannyb@panix.com
    [to foil spammers, my address has been double rot-13 encoded]

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Charles Packer@21:1/5 to danny burstein on Thu Oct 12 10:26:07 2023
    On Thu, 12 Oct 2023 05:13:39 +0000, danny burstein wrote:

    [just about everything snipped, leaving just one paragraph for
    reference]

    But there are natural phenomena which can match or surpass man made
    EMPs The Carrington event is long known, but recently we've found far
    more powerful 'Miyake Events', which can be 10x as powerful, and affect
    the whole planet simultaneously.

    Looks like the Wall Street Journal has a lurker here:

    [WSJ]
    THE FUTURE OF EVERYTHING

    The Next Big Solar Storm Could Fry the Grid

    Scientists are using artificial intelligence to better predict what the
    sun will do and give Earth more warning to protect satellites and
    electronics

    One day, you wake up, and the power is out. You try to get information
    on your phone, and you have no internet access. Gradually you discover millions of people across the U.S. are in the same situation - one that
    will bring months or years of rebuilding.

    A gigantic solar storm has hit Earth.
    =====
    rest (freebie/gifted URL]

    https://www.wsj.com/science/environment/solar-storm-early-warning-
    system-b6324524?st=lhdjdn4k8k9stzb&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink


    The U.S. government may have already implemented a plan for
    short-term backup electric power to key facilities in case a
    Carrington event knocks out the grid.

    http://cpacker.org/parksite

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From danny burstein@21:1/5 to Paul S Person on Thu Oct 12 16:11:46 2023
    In <886giidcdrra7pgbams0i9kuppk35k6rgo@4ax.com> Paul S Person <psperson@old.netcom.invalid> writes:

    [snip]

    One day, you wake up, and the power is out. You try to get information=20 >>on your phone, and you have no internet access. Gradually you discover=20 >>millions of people across the U.S. are in the same situation - one that=20 >>will bring months or years of rebuilding.

    I wonder how soon those printed newpaper boxes will re-appear?

    Of course, that presupposes that the presses will still run.

    Bringing this thread back to... SF writings...

    http://brightempire.com/Waveries.htm

    --
    _____________________________________________________
    Knowledge may be power, but communications is the key
    dannyb@panix.com
    [to foil spammers, my address has been double rot-13 encoded]

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to dannyb@panix.com on Thu Oct 12 09:07:27 2023
    On Thu, 12 Oct 2023 05:13:39 -0000 (UTC), danny burstein
    <dannyb@panix.com> wrote:

    [just about everything snipped, leaving just one paragraph for reference]

    But there are natural phenomena which can match or surpass man made EMPs
    The Carrington event is long known, but recently we've found far more
    powerful 'Miyake Events', which can be 10x as powerful, and affect
    the whole planet simultaneously.

    Looks like the Wall Street Journal has a lurker here:

    [WSJ]
    THE FUTURE OF EVERYTHING

    The Next Big Solar Storm Could Fry the Grid

    Scientists are using artificial intelligence to better predict what the sun >will do and give Earth more warning to protect satellites and electronics

    One day, you wake up, and the power is out. You try to get information
    on your phone, and you have no internet access. Gradually you discover >millions of people across the U.S. are in the same situation - one that
    will bring months or years of rebuilding.

    I wonder how soon those printed newpaper boxes will re-appear?

    Of course, that presupposes that the presses will still run.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From a425couple@21:1/5 to Scott Dorsey on Thu Oct 12 11:08:52 2023
    On 10/10/23 13:47, Scott Dorsey wrote:
    pete...@gmail.com <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:
    But there are natural phenomena which can match or surpass man made EMPs. The Carrington event is long known, but recently we've found far more powerful 'Miyake Events', which can be 10x as powerful, and affect the whole planet simultaneously.

    Different things altogether. The Carrington Event is a big fast risetime
    RF pulse... we got one in August of '72 that set off mines in Hanoi harbor --scott


    Total change of topic, side question for Scott,
    Where were you in 1972?

    I was with 3rd Marine Division headquarters.
    Interesting times.
    When a Guerilla War turned into Blitzkrieg.
    But the public was too tired of it to care.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Scott Dorsey@21:1/5 to jsavard@ecn.ab.ca on Thu Oct 12 23:40:57 2023
    Quadibloc <jsavard@ecn.ab.ca> wrote: >https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/August_1972_solar_storms

    and it cites an article in _Space Weather_ from 2018 by Knipp, Fraser, Shea >and Smart that states that this event was likely to have been comparable to >the Carrington event in some respects.

    Yes, but by 1972 we knew stuff like that happened, so telephone circuits all had resistive fuses and MOVs. A lot of fuses blew and had to be replaced,
    and radio communications was screwed up for a couple weeks. People were getting BBC TV on the east coast of the US and bringing their sets in for repair because they couldn't keep the picture from rolling and the fine
    tuning wouldn't get both the sound and the picture at the same time.

    A few months before, in February of 1972, the HP-35 went on sale, and as
    we know, the HP-35 calculators in existence weren't all fried - or even mos= >tly
    fried - in August.

    Stuff like that is safe because they don't have long wires on them. A phone line going cross-country is going to have a considerable potential with respect to ground on it. But a couple inches of PC board trace isn't going to pick
    up anything to worry about.

    I've found both dimensions and die shots for the AMI versions of two of the >microchips in the HP-35; I'm hoping, though, to find an explicit reference = >to
    what process these PMOS chips were made in. I found one statement, in a
    ROM die shot elsewhere, that the feature size is 10 um, which is believable=

    That's way smaller than the 555 transistors!
    --scott
    --
    "C'est un Nagra. C'est suisse, et tres, tres precis."

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Jack Bohn@21:1/5 to Among the things Scott Dorsey on Fri Oct 13 07:08:51 2023
    Among the things Scott Dorsey wrote:
    Quadibloc <jsa...@ecn.ab.ca> wrote: >https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/August_1972_solar_storms

    and it cites an article in _Space Weather_ from 2018 by Knipp, Fraser, Shea >and Smart that states that this event was likely to have been comparable to >the Carrington event in some respects.

    Yes, but by 1972 we knew stuff like that happened, so telephone circuits all had resistive fuses and MOVs. A lot of fuses blew and had to be replaced, and radio communications was screwed up for a couple weeks. People were getting BBC TV on the east coast of the US and bringing their sets in for repair because they couldn't keep the picture from rolling and the fine tuning wouldn't get both the sound and the picture at the same time.

    That certainly sounds odd. I know British TV was encoded differently from North American TV, more scan lines and at a different frame rate, and -of course- their colour information was formatted differently from our color. Sound is (well, was) just FM
    radio, but in the bandwidth of frequencies for each respective channel (IIRC and our entire FM radio band is between what was channels 6 and 7). Which causes me to realize I don't even know what frequencies BBCTV transmitted on.

    --
    -Jack

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to jack.bohn64@gmail.com on Fri Oct 13 08:26:37 2023
    On Fri, 13 Oct 2023 07:08:51 -0700 (PDT), Jack Bohn
    <jack.bohn64@gmail.com> wrote:

    Among the things Scott Dorsey wrote:
    Quadibloc <jsa...@ecn.ab.ca> wrote:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/August_1972_solar_storms

    and it cites an article in _Space Weather_ from 2018 by Knipp, Fraser, Shea
    and Smart that states that this event was likely to have been comparable to
    the Carrington event in some respects.

    Yes, but by 1972 we knew stuff like that happened, so telephone circuits all
    had resistive fuses and MOVs. A lot of fuses blew and had to be replaced, >> and radio communications was screwed up for a couple weeks. People were
    getting BBC TV on the east coast of the US and bringing their sets in for >> repair because they couldn't keep the picture from rolling and the fine
    tuning wouldn't get both the sound and the picture at the same time.

    That certainly sounds odd. I know British TV was encoded differently from North American TV, more scan lines and at a different frame rate, and -of course- their colour information was formatted differently from our color. Sound is (well, was) just FM
    radio, but in the bandwidth of frequencies for each respective channel (IIRC and our entire FM radio band is between what was channels 6 and 7). Which causes me to realize I don't even know what frequencies BBCTV transmitted on.

    Indeed they are.

    Which is why the DVD that came with the CD for the musical /Lord of
    the Rings/ is R1 but will only play on my computer because R1 DVD/BD
    Players generally cannot handle PAL -- with is an R2 format, BTW.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Dorsey@21:1/5 to jack.bohn64@gmail.com on Sat Oct 14 00:40:53 2023
    Jack Bohn <jack.bohn64@gmail.com> wrote:
    Among the things Scott Dorsey wrote:
    and radio communications was screwed up for a couple weeks. People were= >=20
    getting BBC TV on the east coast of the US and bringing their sets in for= >=20
    repair because they couldn't keep the picture from rolling and the fine= >=20
    tuning wouldn't get both the sound and the picture at the same time.

    That certainly sounds odd. I know British TV was encoded differently from = >North American TV, more scan lines and at a different frame rate, and -of c= >ourse- their colour information was formatted differently from our color. = >Sound is (well, was) just FM radio, but in the bandwidth of frequencies for=
    each respective channel (IIRC and our entire FM radio band is between what= was channels 6 and 7). Which causes me to realize I don't even know what =
    frequencies BBCTV transmitted on.

    In the days with vertical and horizontal hold controls, you could tweak your
    TV to kind of operate with different frame rates, but because the number of lines was too short, you could never keep it from jumping and rolling.

    The sound carrier and picture carrier were closer on British 405 line TV
    than on American NTSC TV. So if your TV is designed for a certain offset
    it won't be possible to get picture and sound at the same time with a
    different offset.

    TV circuits back then were incredibly sloppy compared with that of sets
    a decade later when Philips came out with much fancier synch detectors.
    --scott
    --
    "C'est un Nagra. C'est suisse, et tres, tres precis."

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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