ACUS11 KWNS 142038
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142037=20
OHZ000-WVZ000-KYZ000-142200-
Mesoscale Discussion 1616
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0337 PM CDT Sun Jul 14 2024
Areas affected...Parts of southern/central OH into northern KY and
western WV
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 532...
Valid 142037Z - 142200Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 532
continues.
SUMMARY...Isolated damaging to severe wind gusts remain possible
into early evening.
DISCUSSION...An MCS moving across southwest OH has recently produced
a 51 kt measured gust at KDAY and 57 kt at KILN. The immediate
downstream thermodynamic environment remains somewhat favorable,
with steep low-level lapse rates and MLCAPE of 1000-1500 J/kg, so
potentially damaging wind gusts of 50-65 mph will remain possible
through late afternoon.=20
Farther downstream, instability weakens within a drier environment
across southeast OH into western WV. With some warming of cloud tops
already noted on IR imagery, gradual weakening of this MCS seems
likely with time into the evening. With the remaining threat
potentially becoming rather isolated and confined in areal extent,
downstream watch issuance is considered unlikely at this time.
However, some threat for isolated damaging wind may persist into
parts of southeast OH and extreme western WV into early evening.
..Dean/Hart.. 07/14/2024
...Please see
https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9uckqiH5svneP1WjUYnkTux0pu2tgdRmXfA8X3nwAekQ8ctE960R86o7feD4JGhFvBj1iHiWJ= v0cGwz0un5f9C3wtxU$ for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...
LAT...LON 40438290 40388193 40098139 38998150 38588240 38548345
38538378 38708412 38848428 39118436 39168404 39208373
39418337 40438290=20
=3D =3D =3D
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