ACUS11 KWNS 262031
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262031=20
LAZ000-TXZ000-262200-
Mesoscale Discussion 1430
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0331 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024
Areas affected...Southeast Texas into west-central Louisiana
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 465...
Valid 262031Z - 262200Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 465
continues.
SUMMARY...A convective line moving south across East TX into
West-Central LA will continue to move south and weaken as it exits
the WW area. While additional convective development is ongoing
ahead of the line, additional downstream WW issuance is not expected
due an anticipated lack of convective organization.
DISCUSSION...A bowing line of thunderstorms is exiting the watch
area into West-Central LA and East TX. Radar trends indicate the
overall coverage and intensity of convection is weakening, and the
severe threat both ahead and behind the line will decrease this
afternoon... though isolated severe wind gusts may be possible in
the short term.=20
Further south, daytime airmass thunderstorms have developed in
West-Central LA, but remain unorganized with the absence of
supportive deep-layer vertical shear.=20
Given current convective trends, downstream weather watch issuance
is not expected.
..Halbert/Weinman.. 06/26/2024
...Please see
https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7MtDXm9lQ1sKl_aoqTB48nlY1i3Ds65pe7ikotReuhTwPayoB2v3EKDwxO_7FEwqSUzBbxVYM= Q0tSv4XAa1nmigA72k$ for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...
LAT...LON 31609445 31649405 31669323 31689279 31529227 31219217
30979224 30789250 30649272 30549309 30569355 30549389
30569427 30679465 30769485 31089515 31089515 31259523
31469526 31609445=20
=3D =3D =3D
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