• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1240

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed Jun 12 21:51:46 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 122151
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 122151=20
    WIZ000-ILZ000-130015-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1240
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0451 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024

    Areas affected...southern Wisconsin into far northern Illinois

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 122151Z - 130015Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

    SUMMARY...A corridor of strong to locally damaging gusts may extend
    across the rest of southern Wisconsin, and perhaps into far northern
    Illinois.

    DISCUSSION...A well-defined MCV is moving rapidly eastward across
    southwest WI, with periodically strong cores along the leading
    outflow. KOVS in southwest WI measured a 56 kt gust at 2107Z.

    Overall moisture and instability is weak. However, temperatures have
    warmed into the 90s F, with steep low-level lapse rates present.
    Visible imagery further shows Cu fields across IL, south of the
    cirrus to the north. Given southwesterly surface winds, sufficient
    warming may remain ahead of the MCV to support periodic upticks in
    intensity despite limited moisture. Strong gusts should continue to
    be the main threat, though a watch is not expected.

    ..Jewell.. 06/12/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9jE6pC61uQ8iPI0PMceRlHXoeEGVauwssWe6ZCkYhO_OjnlipeJqq8v2MbaAlC_j_3KAXzNBb= pLytV7s3YKB8skVg_w$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...LOT...MKX...DVN...ARX...

    LAT...LON 43159020 42908776 42558767 42208790 42288834 42468964
    42639032 42979045 43159020=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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