• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0793

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed May 15 19:24:50 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 151924
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 151924=20
    NCZ000-SCZ000-152130-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0793
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0224 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024

    Areas affected...Portions of southern NC into SC

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 245...

    Valid 151924Z - 152130Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 245
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Scattered damaging winds and severe hail should occur with thunderstorms moving eastward across parts of southern North
    Carolina into South Carolina this afternoon.

    DISCUSSION...Multiple thunderstorms have developed this afternoon
    along/near a surface front that remains draped across parts of
    western/southern NC, near the SC border. Marginally severe hail has
    occurred with some of this initially more discrete activity. Recent
    tendency has been for some clustering to occur near the boundary in
    southern NC. The threat for scattered damaging winds should increase
    as these small clusters spread eastward over the next couple of
    hours, as low-level lapse rates continue to steepen with diurnal
    heating amid low/mid-level westerly winds gradually strengthening
    with height. Farther south into SC, a more isolated/cellular mode
    amid 35-40 kt of deep-layer shear should support a continued threat
    for severe hail, along with occasional strong/damaging winds.

    ..Gleason.. 05/15/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_IKObaz3sjxRHd_LqZnIgJ04f7IPoug5AvNTavShRSLgUwyVLeDGZ5feZE-c6IyqkdaAg8qkK= 8iRd2AcE8wikGMLD0M$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...

    LAT...LON 35598204 35818134 35357993 34917754 34117779 33247915
    33508175 34438249 35598204=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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