ACUS11 KWNS 092324
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092324=20
MSZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-100100-
Mesoscale Discussion 0736
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0624 PM CDT Thu May 09 2024
Areas affected...northeastern Louisiana...southeastern
Arkansas...and west-central Mississippi
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20
Valid 092324Z - 100100Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent
SUMMARY...Storms continue to gradually increase across the
west-central Mississippi Vicinity. Additional storm development may
require WW issuance to be considered.
DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows convection gradually increasing
in coverage and intensity across the west-central Mississippi
vicinity, in the vicinity of a west-to-east baroclinic zone. Though broad-scale ascent remains weak, the thermodynamic environment
(characterized by 4000 to 5000 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE) remains
strongly favorable for intense convection. Given enhanced mid-level
westerlies contributing to favorable shear for organized storms,
conditional severe-weather potential may be realized across this
region over the next few hours. We will continue to monitor
convective evolution, with additional development potentially
requiring consideration of new WW issuance, or extension of
existing/nearby watches.
..Goss/Hart.. 05/09/2024
...Please see
https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7ZZlYYJFFp54HxAyVAfjVxR20-d9yRzBnZ4Sn8m2k3qgJdWwuLr0qerb6TEnhptxD-9zbEcBt= V9uw3umqknnaM7VyaI$ for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...
LAT...LON 33919194 34209061 34018960 32678929 32469005 32139191
33919194=20
=3D =3D =3D
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