• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0728

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thu May 9 14:39:59 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 091439
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 091439=20
    SCZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-091615-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0728
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0939 AM CDT Thu May 09 2024

    Areas affected...central/eastern SC...central/south GA...southeast
    AL

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 216...217...

    Valid 091439Z - 091615Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 216, 217 continues.

    SUMMARY...Leading convective line across the Savannah Valley may
    necessitate an additional downstream watch issuance into the coastal
    plain of South Carolina and Georgia in the near-term. Greater severe
    potential is expected to evolve from upstream clusters and lines
    shifting east-southeast from eastern Alabama, with likely watch
    issuance into south Georgia.

    DISCUSSION...A leading line of storms across parts of the Savannah
    Valley into the SC Midlands has struggled to intensify with measured
    gusts holding below 30 mph. However, full boundary-layer heating is
    underway downstream to the coast. This coupled with a favorable low
    to deep-layer shear environment per CAE VWP data will support
    probable intensification of this line as it approaches the coastal
    plain through early afternoon. An increase in damaging wind
    potential, as well as brief embedded tornadoes may occur.

    More prominent severe potential should emanate out of initially
    semi-discrete supercells across parts of south AL spreading east of
    the Chattahoochee River into GA, as well as an organized linear
    cluster moving southeast from east-central AL. It appears likely
    that further upscale growth will occur into this afternoon, yielding
    a broader linear cluster/QLCS pushing southeast across much of
    central and south GA.

    ..Grams.. 05/09/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-1hflk5zUs6HF8KKPSKLn53rXx_vBmFdoZNmZXroHsQUaQCm8ZVXVkRt9Fqp0qVvDu4RCmqnm= hGKdxuymoqvRzgbP00$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...

    LAT...LON 34028110 33908025 33977974 33857919 33557909 33157926
    31708116 31078167 30868350 30988488 31518587 32598617
    33098591 33388499 33248352 33478229 34028110=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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