• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0724

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thu May 9 06:16:55 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 090616
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 090616=20
    SCZ000-GAZ000-090815-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0724
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0116 AM CDT Thu May 09 2024

    Areas affected...Northern Georgia...South Carolina

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 214...

    Valid 090616Z - 090815Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 214 continues.

    SUMMARY...A wind damage, hail and isolated tornado threat will
    likely continue across northern Georgia and western South Carolina
    over the next couple hours. The threats are expected to eventually
    spread east-southeastward into north-central Georgia and central
    South Carolina, where additional weather watch issuance may be
    needed.

    DISCUSSION...The latest hi-resolution radar imagery from Atlanta
    shows an MCS oriented from east-to-west from northern Georgia into
    far western South Carolina. The RAP suggests that MLCAPE ranges from
    near 2000 J/kg in northwest Georgia to around 750 J/kg across
    central South Carolina. Regional WSR-88D VWPs at Atlanta, GA and
    Columbia, SC have 0-6 km shear in the 40 to 50 knot range,
    suggesting that supercell development will continue. The strongest
    low-level shear is in South Carolina, where 0-3 km storm-relative
    helicity is estimated to be near 400 m2/s2, according to the RAP.
    This should continue to support an isolated tornado threat with the
    more intense rotating storms. Wind damage will be possible along the
    entire length of the MCS, with the greatest potential along the
    leading edge of the faster-moving bowing line segments.

    ..Broyles.. 05/09/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8NbxQWlh7x6FfDE6R7YUUAyVN03F_n50vTULXDsxs87HRn8jLj0EqoryZvfe4W0K-SK0AGJaV= 4DqE29EnEn8q0lHHxw$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...FFC...

    LAT...LON 33757968 33497994 33488108 33618287 33758452 33988524
    34448540 34718500 34618385 34438140 34298016 34117974
    33757968=20


    =3D =3D =3D
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)