ACUS11 KWNS 090029
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 090029=20
TNZ000-ALZ000-KYZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-090130-
Mesoscale Discussion 0716
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0729 PM CDT Wed May 08 2024
Areas affected...central and northern Arkansas...and western/Middle
Tennessee
Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely=20
Valid 090029Z - 090130Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent
SUMMARY...A band of severe/rotating storms from the Ozarks to far
eastern Oklahoma, and developing convection across the western
Tennessee area in soon-to-expire WW 209, will require new Tornado
Watch issuance.
DISCUSSION...Latest Springfield, MO (KSGF) radar loop shows a band
of severe/supercell storms moving across south-central Missouri and northwestern Arkansas. Meanwhile, convection is gradually
increasing farther east, across western Tennessee.=20=20
The airmass across this region remains very unstable, with
mixed-layer CAPE in the 3000 to 4000 J/kg range. This should be
more than sufficient to sustain vigorous updrafts, support CAM runs
which increase convective coverage over the next several hours.=20
Strong deep-layer winds will support organized convection, with an
all-hazards severe risk likely to continue through the evening and
into the overnight hours -- warranting new tornado watch issuance
across this region.
..Goss/Hart.. 05/09/2024
...Please see
https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_14xWNkY3u8ffF1MxKi-jhEgdZwK2XuKseqMT1Qu9xuzCCny7p2MAPAOIEUqDVeF-0Cpz2LoF= ziJT8N023i3CC98PBM$ for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MRX...OHX...HUN...PAH...MEG...LZK...SGF...SHV...
LAT...LON 36399273 36599029 36568440 35438492 34898810 34779015
33939349 34739361 36399273=20
=3D =3D =3D
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