ACUS11 KWNS 282048
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 282047=20
TXZ000-282145-

Mesoscale Discussion 0563
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0347 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

Areas affected...a part of east-central TX

Concerning...Tornado Watch 158...

Valid 282047Z - 282145Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 158 continues.

SUMMARY...A few supercells should continue to pose a primary threat
of tornadoes across a part of east-central Texas into early evening.

DISCUSSION...The two initially sustained supercells in east-central
TX both produced reportedly brief tornadoes earlier this hour. A
third supercell is trying to intensify upshear of the middle one (in
Robertson County), but appears displaced northwest of convective
outflow from the lead storms. It is plausible that the middle of the
trio will become the more dominant/longer-lasting of the supercells
given its more east-northeastward movement and broader access to
uninterrupted inflow emanating northward from southeast TX. While
low-level shear is more modest with southwest extent, it will remain
adequate for multiple tornadogenesis cycles into early evening.

..Grams.. 04/28/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!43PhSj4j1hdoTCVyBktFXdgpkMDMDpYnhtHgPtBT4Hq633A7T4U0qK1GsxuAhrTaizPQuInWs= ukItFBkbpycbQSBqDQ$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...FWD...EWX...

LAT...LON 31849593 32059526 31929488 31639483 31119532 30449662
30469712 30799725 30879724 31849593=20


=3D =3D =3D
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