• GP could be struck off for protesting against oil.

    From Pancho@21:1/5 to All on Thu Apr 18 11:04:36 2024
    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for
    protesting, breaching an interim injunction, etc. What I don't
    understand is what this has to with her ability to act as a GP. Why she
    could be struck off the medical register?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Colin Bignell@21:1/5 to Pancho on Thu Apr 18 13:33:43 2024
    On 18/04/2024 11:04, Pancho wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for
    protesting, breaching an interim injunction, etc. What I don't
    understand is what this has to with her ability to act as a GP. Why she
    could be struck off the medical register?



    Anybody working for the health services in the UK has to declare
    criminal convictions and may be subject to a review of whether that
    could affect their fitness to work in the NHS. Could be struck off makes
    a much better headline than might get a slapped wrist or might have no
    action taken.

    --
    Colin Bignell

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to Pancho on Thu Apr 18 12:09:51 2024
    On 18 Apr 2024 at 11:04:36 BST, "Pancho" <Pancho.Jones@proton.me> wrote:


    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for
    protesting, breaching an interim injunction, etc. What I don't
    understand is what this has to with her ability to act as a GP. Why she
    could be struck off the medical register?

    Any criminal offence, including but not limited to, driving offences heard in
    a court can result in GMC action against a doctor's registration. The GMC used to be run by doctors but is now a government agency and is used for political purposes against doctors with unacceptable political views. That clearly includes climate protests as well as NHS whistleblowing. Probably anything against the good Tory/Labour accepted political line. The fact that this was not apparently a crime but a civil offence won't stop them.

    Doctors are regularly struck off for things that a normal person would think
    to be unrelated to their ability to practice medicine appropriately.

    --

    Roger Hayter

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  • From GB@21:1/5 to Colin Bignell on Thu Apr 18 13:56:51 2024
    On 18/04/2024 13:33, Colin Bignell wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 11:04, Pancho wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for
    protesting, breaching an interim injunction, etc. What I don't
    understand is what this has to with her ability to act as a GP. Why
    she could be struck off the medical register?



    Anybody working for the health services in the UK has to declare
    criminal convictions and may be subject to a review of whether that
    could affect their fitness to work in the NHS. Could be struck off makes
    a much better headline than might get a slapped wrist or might have no
    action taken.


    Even so, the hearing is over a week long, which in itself is a
    punishment. Her defence costs will be considerable, although her PI
    insurance may cover that.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Andy Burns@21:1/5 to Roger Hayter on Thu Apr 18 15:12:32 2024
    Roger Hayter wrote:

    The GMC used to be run by doctors but is now a government agency

    You'd never think so from reading their website ...

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Jon Ribbens@21:1/5 to Simon Parker on Thu Apr 18 15:21:01 2024
    On 2024-04-18, Simon Parker <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 11:04, Pancho wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for
    protesting, breaching an interim injunction, etc. What I don't
    understand is what this has to with her ability to act as a GP. Why she
    could be struck off the medical register?

    What don't you understand?

    What on earth protesting about climate change has to do with medical
    fitness to practice. Most people would probably say the one has nothing whatsoever to do with the other. If she had been going on "anti-vax"
    protests then it might be a different matter.

    "The tribunal will inquire into the allegation that on 26 April 2022, 4
    May 2022 and 14 September 2022, Dr Benn engaged in peaceful protest
    within a prohibited buffer zone at Kingsbury Oil Terminal in breach of
    an interim injunction granted on 14 April 2022.

    So, they are considering whether to award her some sort of medal or
    other commendation?

    It is not her ability that is being questioned, but her fitness to
    practise.

    Why is that being questioned when there is no question of there being
    a problem with it?

    She has been arrested on three separate occasions for breaching a court
    order and was imprisoned for 31 days.

    The MPTS tribunal need to determine if:

    (1) the facts alleged have been found proved;
    (2) the doctor's fitness to practise is impaired;
    (3) any action should be taken.

    Why do they need to determine any of that?

    Each positive result in one step does not mean that the following step
    is inevitable.

    The tribunal can conclude that no action need be taken.

    I allege that Dr Hypothetical has been observed on several occasions
    eating meat on a Friday. To whom do I send my allegations, and how
    long a delay should I expect until their fitness to practice hearing
    is held, at which they may be struck off the register?

    She could be struck off the medical register in the same way that she
    could be struck by a meteorite, or lightning, on her way to the tribunal.

    What on earth is that supposed to mean? Are you saying MPTS tribunal
    decisions are inexplicable and meaningless acts of god that fall out
    of the sky with no rhyme nor reason? If so, isn't that a problem that
    somebody should fix rather urgently?

    Dr Benn is the first of three GPs that will need to face a MPTS tribunal
    as a result of breaching court orders whilst supporting JSO hence JSO
    issuing a press release and trying to whip up sympathy for Dr Benn as
    the following MPTS tribunals will likely take their lead from the first.

    Well it's working.

    Personally, I find it quite right and proper that a doctor that breaches court orders on numerous occasions and is imprisoned as a result should
    have their behaviour formally reviewed by their professional body.

    Because...?

    The same would certainly happen to someone working in the legal field
    and numerous other professional fields.

    I'm sure if you think about it for long enough you might be able to come
    up with an obscure and deeply-hidden reason why a *lawyer* breaking the
    *law* is a problem in a way that doesn't apply to people in most other professions.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Pancho@21:1/5 to Colin Bignell on Thu Apr 18 17:10:37 2024
    On 18/04/2024 13:33, Colin Bignell wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 11:04, Pancho wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for
    protesting, breaching an interim injunction, etc. What I don't
    understand is what this has to with her ability to act as a GP. Why
    she could be struck off the medical register?



    Anybody working for the health services in the UK has to declare
    criminal convictions and may be subject to a review of whether that
    could affect their fitness to work in the NHS. Could be struck off makes
    a much better headline than might get a slapped wrist or might have no
    action taken.


    Yes, you are probably right, but I was getting into the spirit of things
    :-).

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Pancho@21:1/5 to Simon Parker on Thu Apr 18 17:11:13 2024
    On 18/04/2024 13:35, Simon Parker wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 11:04, Pancho wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for
    protesting, breaching an interim injunction, etc. What I don't
    understand is what this has to with her ability to act as a GP. Why
    she could be struck off the medical register?

    What don't you understand?


    I do not understand, in what way, going to an oil protest would affect
    her performance delivering GP services.

    From the article you cited:

    Dr Sarah Benn, a GP from Birmingham, was arrested after taking part in a
    Just Stop Oil protest in Warwickshire in 2022.

    She was subsequently found to be in breach of a civil injunction and was imprisoned for 31 days.

    The Medical Practitioners Tribunal Service is holding a hearing to
    decide if Dr. Benn can maintain her licence to practice medicine.

    The MPTS have provided more details of the hearing (which again is
    quoted in the article you cited):

    "The tribunal will inquire into the allegation that on 26 April 2022, 4
    May 2022 and 14 September 2022, Dr Benn engaged in peaceful protest
    within a prohibited buffer zone at Kingsbury Oil Terminal in breach of
    an interim injunction granted on 14 April 2022.

    "It is alleged that Dr Benn's actions amounted to a contempt of court
    and resulted in a custodial service."

    It is not her ability that is being questioned, but her fitness to
    practise.


    I do not understand the difference between “her ability to act as GP”
    and her fitness to practice.

    My metric for fitness is how well someone delivers a GP service. I do
    not see how that is affected by political activism.

    [snip]


    Personally, I find it quite right and proper that a doctor that breaches court orders on numerous occasions and is imprisoned as a result should
    have their behaviour formally reviewed by their professional body.


    Why? I was hoping someone would explain why they thought it is a good
    idea. I wondered if there was a reason other than providing an obvious mechanism to increase the power of the state to punish political dissidents.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From JNugent@21:1/5 to Pancho on Thu Apr 18 17:20:48 2024
    On 18/04/2024 11:04 am, Pancho wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for
    protesting,

    Is there an offence of "protesting"?

    The offence must be something that would have been illegal whether or
    not deployed as part of a protest.

    breaching an interim injunction, etc. What I don't
    understand is what this has to with her ability to act as a GP. Why she
    could be struck off the medical register?

    Within reason, professions require practitioners to be of good character.

    Convictions for certain types of offence (not all) will breach that requirement.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Mark Goodge@21:1/5 to cpb@bignellREMOVETHIS.me.uk on Thu Apr 18 17:31:44 2024
    On Thu, 18 Apr 2024 13:33:43 +0100, Colin Bignell
    <cpb@bignellREMOVETHIS.me.uk> wrote:

    On 18/04/2024 11:04, Pancho wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for
    protesting, breaching an interim injunction, etc. What I don't
    understand is what this has to with her ability to act as a GP. Why she
    could be struck off the medical register?

    Anybody working for the health services in the UK has to declare
    criminal convictions and may be subject to a review of whether that
    could affect their fitness to work in the NHS. Could be struck off makes
    a much better headline than might get a slapped wrist or might have no
    action taken.

    Yes, indeed. it's standard journalistic clickbaiting.

    In this particular case, I think she will avoid any significant sanctions.
    But she can't avoid the review itself, since that's an automatic consequence
    of a conviction. And the review panel does have the power to strike her off, because it needs that power in some cases. So it's not inaccurate per se to
    say that she "could be struck off". It's just that it would be more accurate
    to add "but probably won't be".

    Mark

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to Andy Burns on Thu Apr 18 18:10:37 2024
    On 18 Apr 2024 at 15:12:32 BST, "Andy Burns" <usenet@andyburns.uk> wrote:


    Roger Hayter wrote:

    The GMC used to be run by doctors but is now a government agency

    You'd never think so from reading their website ...

    No, they cultivate a "professional" image.

    --
    Roger Hayter

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to Pancho on Thu Apr 18 18:13:56 2024
    On 18 Apr 2024 at 17:10:37 BST, "Pancho" <Pancho.Jones@proton.me> wrote:

    On 18/04/2024 13:33, Colin Bignell wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 11:04, Pancho wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for
    protesting, breaching an interim injunction, etc. What I don't
    understand is what this has to with her ability to act as a GP. Why
    she could be struck off the medical register?



    Anybody working for the health services in the UK has to declare
    criminal convictions and may be subject to a review of whether that
    could affect their fitness to work in the NHS. Could be struck off makes
    a much better headline than might get a slapped wrist or might have no
    action taken.


    Yes, you are probably right, but I was getting into the spirit of things
    :-).

    In theory, NHS employment is completely orthogonal to GMC registration. But they do tend to work together, being both government run. And there is an element of double jeopardy, treble if you count the original judicial punishment. Of course, doctors do not have to work for the NHS, and there are
    a significant number who don't.


    --
    Roger Hayter

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to Pancho on Thu Apr 18 18:18:55 2024
    On 18 Apr 2024 at 17:11:13 BST, "Pancho" <Pancho.Jones@proton.me> wrote:



    Why? I was hoping someone would explain why they thought it is a good
    idea. I wondered if there was a reason other than providing an obvious mechanism to increase the power of the state to punish political dissidents.

    As recent pronouncements on "extremism" by our prime minister have shown, the present government is very keen to do precisely that. And the opposition leader's eagerness to expel anyone who criticises Israel rather suggests that Tweedledee won't be very different.



    --


    Roger Hayter

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  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to JNugent on Thu Apr 18 18:20:39 2024
    On 18 Apr 2024 at 17:20:48 BST, "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote:

    On 18/04/2024 11:04 am, Pancho wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for
    protesting,

    Is there an offence of "protesting"?

    The offence must be something that would have been illegal whether or
    not deployed as part of a protest.

    You are mistaken. The "offence" was to do something which breached a civil injunction, which act might otherwise have been completely legal.




    breaching an interim injunction, etc. What I don't
    understand is what this has to with her ability to act as a GP. Why she
    could be struck off the medical register?

    Within reason, professions require practitioners to be of good character.

    Convictions for certain types of offence (not all) will breach that requirement.


    --
    Roger Hayter

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Colin Bignell@21:1/5 to Pancho on Thu Apr 18 19:31:04 2024
    On 18/04/2024 17:11, Pancho wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 13:35, Simon Parker wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 11:04, Pancho wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for
    protesting, breaching an interim injunction, etc. What I don't
    understand is what this has to with her ability to act as a GP. Why
    she could be struck off the medical register?

    What don't you understand?


    I do not understand, in what way, going to an oil protest would affect
    her performance delivering GP services...

    The tribunal appears to be concerned about the fact that it resulted in
    her being unavailable to her patients for a month, rather than the
    actions that put her in prison.


    --
    Colin Bignell

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Les. Hayward@21:1/5 to JNugent on Thu Apr 18 20:07:00 2024
    On 18/04/2024 17:20, JNugent wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 11:04 am, Pancho wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for protesting,

    Is there an offence of "protesting"?

    The offence must be something that would have been illegal whether or
    not deployed as part of a protest.

    breaching an interim injunction, etc. What I don't understand is what
    this has to with her ability to act as a GP. Why she could be struck
    off the medical register?

    Within reason, professions require practitioners to be of good character.

    Convictions for certain types of offence (not all) will breach that requirement.

    Well someone who is spending their time attending numerous protests with
    time off for court appearances, is hardly likely to be in a position to
    also provide a reliable and consistent service as a GP.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Colin Bignell@21:1/5 to All on Thu Apr 18 19:45:08 2024
    On 18/04/2024 13:56, GB wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 13:33, Colin Bignell wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 11:04, Pancho wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for
    protesting, breaching an interim injunction, etc. What I don't
    understand is what this has to with her ability to act as a GP. Why
    she could be struck off the medical register?



    Anybody working for the health services in the UK has to declare
    criminal convictions and may be subject to a review of whether that
    could affect their fitness to work in the NHS. Could be struck off
    makes a much better headline than might get a slapped wrist or might
    have no action taken.


    Even so, the hearing is over a week long, which in itself is a
    punishment. Her defence costs will be considerable,

    All of which could have been avoided by not getting a criminal
    conviction in the first place.

    although her PI
    insurance may cover that.


    --
    Colin Bignell

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to All on Thu Apr 18 20:29:48 2024
    On 18 Apr 2024 at 20:12:02 BST, "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 18/04/2024 17:11, Pancho wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 13:35, Simon Parker wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 11:04, Pancho wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for
    protesting, breaching an interim injunction, etc. What I don't
    understand is what this has to with her ability to act as a GP. Why
    she could be struck off the medical register?

    What don't you understand?

    I do not understand, in what way, going to an oil protest would affect
    her performance delivering GP services.

    There's no problem whatsoever with her having attended an oil protest.

    There is a problem with breaching a court order on numerous occasions
    which may amount to a contempt of court which is a serious issue for a doctor.

    Similarly, there can be no doubt that her having been imprisoned for 31
    days for having breached aforementioned court order on numerous
    occasions did have something of a negative effect on her "performance delivering GP services" during the period of her imprisonment.


    *If* the tribunal is taking this position then it is probably misdirecting itself. If the doctor is a GP partner then she and any other partners are responsible for finding replacement staff. If she was not a partner then the employing practice has to find a replacement. The GMC is not the HR
    department of the General Practice. Making yourself unavailable for work is something done regularly in those countries where slavery is not the norm.






    From the article you cited:

    Dr Sarah Benn, a GP from Birmingham, was arrested after taking part in
    a Just Stop Oil protest in Warwickshire in 2022.

    She was subsequently found to be in breach of a civil injunction and
    was imprisoned for 31 days.

    The Medical Practitioners Tribunal Service is holding a hearing to
    decide if Dr. Benn can maintain her licence to practice medicine.

    The MPTS have provided more details of the hearing (which again is
    quoted in the article you cited):

    "The tribunal will inquire into the allegation that on 26 April 2022,
    4 May 2022 and 14 September 2022, Dr Benn engaged in peaceful protest
    within a prohibited buffer zone at Kingsbury Oil Terminal in breach of
    an interim injunction granted on 14 April 2022.

    "It is alleged that Dr Benn's actions amounted to a contempt of court
    and resulted in a custodial service."

    It is not her ability that is being questioned, but her fitness to
    practise.


    I do not understand the difference between “her ability to act as GP”
    and her fitness to practice.

    My metric for fitness is how well someone delivers a GP service. I do
    not see how that is affected by political activism.

    Perhaps it may help your reasoning if you consider how many GP
    appointments she fulfilled during her period of imprisonment.

    And how her patients were supposed to access GP services during the
    period of her imprisonment.

    The protesting isn't the issue.

    Deliberately breaching court orders on multiple occasions and being imprisoned as a result are the issues that have landed her before an
    MPTS tribunal.


    [snip]

    Personally, I find it quite right and proper that a doctor that
    breaches court orders on numerous occasions and is imprisoned as a
    result should have their behaviour formally reviewed by their
    professional body.

    Why? I was hoping someone would explain why they thought it is a good
    idea. I wondered if there was a reason other than providing an obvious
    mechanism to increase the power of the state to punish political
    dissidents.

    As I've just said in a parallel post to Jon Ribbens, both individual
    patients of a specific doctor and the wider public in general, must be
    able to trust that doctors will abide by the rule of law.

    Were that not the case, what happens if the court makes an order
    regarding a patient's treatment and a doctor refuses to comply with the
    court order because he doesn't agree with it?

    Or what happens if a doctor is repeatedly unable to perform their duties
    for months at a time because they have been imprisoned? For how long is their employer to be expected to keep the position open? For how many instances of incarceration should they do this?

    The GMC is not an employer organisation. Or at least it is not supposed to be.
    These calculations, just as if she were frequently off sick, are ones for her employer or partners, not the medical regulator.





    Regards

    S.P.


    --
    Roger Hayter

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  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to All on Thu Apr 18 20:35:43 2024
    On 18 Apr 2024 at 20:12:02 BST, "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 18/04/2024 17:11, Pancho wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 13:35, Simon Parker wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 11:04, Pancho wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for
    protesting, breaching an interim injunction, etc. What I don't
    understand is what this has to with her ability to act as a GP. Why
    she could be struck off the medical register?

    What don't you understand?

    I do not understand, in what way, going to an oil protest would affect
    her performance delivering GP services.

    There's no problem whatsoever with her having attended an oil protest.

    There is a problem with breaching a court order on numerous occasions
    which may amount to a contempt of court which is a serious issue for a doctor.

    Similarly, there can be no doubt that her having been imprisoned for 31
    days for having breached aforementioned court order on numerous
    occasions did have something of a negative effect on her "performance delivering GP services" during the period of her imprisonment.


    From the article you cited:

    Dr Sarah Benn, a GP from Birmingham, was arrested after taking part in
    a Just Stop Oil protest in Warwickshire in 2022.

    She was subsequently found to be in breach of a civil injunction and
    was imprisoned for 31 days.

    The Medical Practitioners Tribunal Service is holding a hearing to
    decide if Dr. Benn can maintain her licence to practice medicine.

    The MPTS have provided more details of the hearing (which again is
    quoted in the article you cited):

    "The tribunal will inquire into the allegation that on 26 April 2022,
    4 May 2022 and 14 September 2022, Dr Benn engaged in peaceful protest
    within a prohibited buffer zone at Kingsbury Oil Terminal in breach of
    an interim injunction granted on 14 April 2022.

    "It is alleged that Dr Benn's actions amounted to a contempt of court
    and resulted in a custodial service."

    It is not her ability that is being questioned, but her fitness to
    practise.


    I do not understand the difference between “her ability to act as GP”
    and her fitness to practice.

    My metric for fitness is how well someone delivers a GP service. I do
    not see how that is affected by political activism.

    Perhaps it may help your reasoning if you consider how many GP
    appointments she fulfilled during her period of imprisonment.

    And how her patients were supposed to access GP services during the
    period of her imprisonment.

    The protesting isn't the issue.

    Deliberately breaching court orders on multiple occasions and being imprisoned as a result are the issues that have landed her before an
    MPTS tribunal.


    [snip]

    Personally, I find it quite right and proper that a doctor that
    breaches court orders on numerous occasions and is imprisoned as a
    result should have their behaviour formally reviewed by their
    professional body.

    Why? I was hoping someone would explain why they thought it is a good
    idea. I wondered if there was a reason other than providing an obvious
    mechanism to increase the power of the state to punish political
    dissidents.

    As I've just said in a parallel post to Jon Ribbens, both individual
    patients of a specific doctor and the wider public in general, must be
    able to trust that doctors will abide by the rule of law.

    Were that not the case, what happens if the court makes an order
    regarding a patient's treatment and a doctor refuses to comply with the
    court order because he doesn't agree with it?



    Provided that the doctor does not try to prevent the order being complied with then nothing! A court cannot normally order a particular doctor to carry out a treatment. Though perhaps they can order that a particular treatment is not carried out. At least, their employer may be upset by them not doing their
    work but that is entirely an employment matter, not legal or ethical obligation. No doctor should be forced to carry out treatment they do not
    agree with - we (or at least our newspapers) were quite upset when soviet psychiatrists were forced to treat political dissidents in the soviet union, why do we want that here?




    Or what happens if a doctor is repeatedly unable to perform their duties
    for months at a time because they have been imprisoned? For how long is their employer to be expected to keep the position open? For how many instances of incarceration should they do this?

    Regards

    S.P.
    Again that is an employment matter and only indirectly (because lack of
    current experience) a medical registration matter.

    --
    Roger Hayter

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  • From Mark Goodge@21:1/5 to jon+usenet@unequivocal.eu on Thu Apr 18 21:55:11 2024
    On Thu, 18 Apr 2024 15:21:01 -0000 (UTC), Jon Ribbens <jon+usenet@unequivocal.eu> wrote:

    On 2024-04-18, Simon Parker <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 11:04, Pancho wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for
    protesting, breaching an interim injunction, etc. What I don't
    understand is what this has to with her ability to act as a GP. Why she
    could be struck off the medical register?

    What don't you understand?

    What on earth protesting about climate change has to do with medical
    fitness to practice.

    It's not the protesting. It's the fact that she has a criminal conviction
    for which she has been imprisoned. The reason why she now has that criminal record is immaterial insofar as the review is concerned, any conviction will automatically trigger a review.

    When she gets to the review, she can, of course, argue that her actions were justifiable and that her conviction does not affect her ability to practice. And the panel may well agree with her. But that's an argument which needs to
    be made to the review panel, and a decision which needs to be made by the review panel.

    Mark

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to Les. Hayward on Thu Apr 18 20:55:30 2024
    On 18 Apr 2024 at 20:07:00 BST, ""Les. Hayward"" <les@nospam.invalid> wrote:

    On 18/04/2024 17:20, JNugent wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 11:04 am, Pancho wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for protesting, >>
    Is there an offence of "protesting"?

    The offence must be something that would have been illegal whether or
    not deployed as part of a protest.

    breaching an interim injunction, etc. What I don't understand is what
    this has to with her ability to act as a GP. Why she could be struck
    off the medical register?

    Within reason, professions require practitioners to be of good character.

    Convictions for certain types of offence (not all) will breach that
    requirement.

    Well someone who is spending their time attending numerous protests with
    time off for court appearances, is hardly likely to be in a position to
    also provide a reliable and consistent service as a GP.

    That is an employment or contractual matter. If she habitually lets down her colleagues or employer at short notice then that might be a matter for the
    GMC, but how long she spends doing general pracice with proper notice and arrangements is not. Academic GPs, or GPs running large medical businesses (both of whom are generally well respected) are not up before the GMC even though they may only do a few days a month GP work. How much of her life she devotes to work and how much to politics is her business, providing she makes proper arrangements with partners or employer. Should the GMC be involved if a GP is elected to Parliament and therefore more or less unavailable to
    practice?


    --
    Roger Hayter

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  • From Jon Ribbens@21:1/5 to Simon Parker on Thu Apr 18 21:06:43 2024
    On 2024-04-18, Simon Parker <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 16:21, Jon Ribbens wrote:
    What on earth protesting about climate change has to do with medical
    fitness to practice. Most people would probably say the one has nothing
    whatsoever to do with the other. If she had been going on "anti-vax"
    protests then it might be a different matter.

    The issue, which was made quite clear in my post, is that she has been arrested on three separate occasions for breaching a court order which
    led to her being imprisoned for 31 days.

    Ok. What's that got to do with anything?

    Let's say her former partner had obtained an injunction banning her from coming within 200 metres of them and she'd been arrested on three
    separate occasions for breaching that order and then imprisoned for 31
    days as a result.

    Would you consider it reasonable for the MPTS to hold a tribunal in
    those circumstances and why do you so answer?

    I'd need to know more information, but it seems likely that it would
    be reasonable, because she would be demonstrating that she couldn't be
    trusted around people, which is kind've important for a doctor - unlike anything the doctor we are actually talking about has actually done.

    "The tribunal will inquire into the allegation that on 26 April 2022, 4
    May 2022 and 14 September 2022, Dr Benn engaged in peaceful protest
    within a prohibited buffer zone at Kingsbury Oil Terminal in breach of
    an interim injunction granted on 14 April 2022.

    So, they are considering whether to award her some sort of medal or
    other commendation?

    No, as was made clear in my previous post, a key consideration will be whether or not her actions amounted to a contempt of court.

    A second key consideration would be around her custodial service.

    And they are considering giving her a medal or other commendation on
    this basis?

    Why is that being questioned when there is no question of there being
    a problem with it?

    How many of Dr Benn's patients were able to obtain an appointment with
    her, as their GP, whilst she was imprisoned for 31 days?

    Were she to continue protesting in a similar manner and receive a
    similar or longer sentence in future, from where should Dr Benn's
    patients procure GP services whilst she is imprisoned?

    For how long should her employer keep her role open before considering disciplinary action? How many periods of imprisonment do you think they should tolerate before considering that she is unable to perform the
    duties of her contract of employment?

    What on earth does any of that have to do with being potentially struck
    off the medical register (or suspended, or threatened with future
    suspensions or strikings-off, or whatever).

    She has been arrested on three separate occasions for breaching a court
    order and was imprisoned for 31 days.

    The MPTS tribunal need to determine if:

    (1) the facts alleged have been found proved;
    (2) the doctor's fitness to practise is impaired;
    (3) any action should be taken.

    Why do they need to determine any of that?

    Because that's how MPTS tribunals work

    But why do they need to do *any* work in relation to this doctor?

    She could be struck off the medical register in the same way that she
    could be struck by a meteorite, or lightning, on her way to the tribunal. >>
    What on earth is that supposed to mean?

    I'm sure if you think about it for long enough you might be able to come
    up with an obscure and deeply-hidden reason why the likelihood of Dr
    Benn being struck off the medical register at this tribunal might be
    compared to the likelihood of her being struck by lightning or a
    meteorite on her way to attend the tribunal each day.

    Ok, so I assume that you were, in an amnbiguous and convoluted way,
    saying that it is incredibly unlikely she will be struck off.

    If so, isn't that a problem that somebody should fix rather urgently?

    You sound like just the man for the job. I beseech you to reach out to
    them with your concerns as as matter of great urgency and proffer your services forthwith(!).

    I thank you for your vote of confidence, but I wasn't putting myself
    forward for the role and am sadly otherwise engaged in any case.

    Dr Benn is the first of three GPs that will need to face a MPTS tribunal >>> as a result of breaching court orders whilst supporting JSO hence JSO
    issuing a press release and trying to whip up sympathy for Dr Benn as
    the following MPTS tribunals will likely take their lead from the first.

    Well it's working.

    Thankfully, I expect the MPTS tribunal members, at least one of whom is likely to be legally qualified, to give the JSO press release the full consideration it deserves when it comes to their deliberations.

    You think that JSO is trying to influence the tribunal, rather than
    the public? That seems rather a long shot, especially if it is true
    that, as you apparently say, it is extremely unlikely that they would
    be considering striking-off regardless.

    Personally, I find it quite right and proper that a doctor that breaches >>> court orders on numerous occasions and is imprisoned as a result should
    have their behaviour formally reviewed by their professional body.

    Because...?

    She deliberately breached court orders which may amount to a contempt of court. Doctors literally have people's lives in their hands. A
    doctor's patients and the wider public at large must be able to trust a doctor to abide by the rule of law.

    Because...?

    Furthermore, as a consequence of deliberately breaching court orders,
    she was imprisoned for 31 days. During that period, she was unable to perform her contracted duties. Were she to continue breaching court
    orders, the likelihood of further imprisonment, possibly for increasing durations, remains a risk that needs to be considered.

    Ok so that sounds like a matter for her employer, not the tribunal.

    I'm sure if you think about it for long enough you might be able to come
    up with an obscure and deeply-hidden reason why a *lawyer* breaking the
    *law* is a problem in a way that doesn't apply to people in most other
    professions.

    I respectfully disagree and invite you to read the following "Reasons"
    from the Employment Tribunal that considered the case of Mr Niamke
    Doffou v Sainsbury's Supermarket's Limited earlier this year, recently published and therefore in the news of late. [^1]

    Ok I've read that. What in the name of Samwise Gamgee do you think that
    a case involving a person being sacked by their employer for theft from
    said employer has even remotely to do with a MPTS tribunal considering
    a doctor who is not suspected of any wrongdoing against their employer,
    indeed not suspected of any dishonesty at all?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to usenet@listmail.good-stuff.co.uk on Thu Apr 18 21:22:55 2024
    On 18 Apr 2024 at 21:55:11 BST, "Mark Goodge" <usenet@listmail.good-stuff.co.uk> wrote:

    On Thu, 18 Apr 2024 15:21:01 -0000 (UTC), Jon Ribbens <jon+usenet@unequivocal.eu> wrote:

    On 2024-04-18, Simon Parker <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 11:04, Pancho wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for
    protesting, breaching an interim injunction, etc. What I don't
    understand is what this has to with her ability to act as a GP. Why she >>>> could be struck off the medical register?

    What don't you understand?

    What on earth protesting about climate change has to do with medical
    fitness to practice.

    It's not the protesting. It's the fact that she has a criminal conviction
    for which she has been imprisoned. The reason why she now has that criminal record is immaterial insofar as the review is concerned, any conviction will automatically trigger a review.


    Is it actually a criminal conviction?


    When she gets to the review, she can, of course, argue that her actions were justifiable and that her conviction does not affect her ability to practice. And the panel may well agree with her. But that's an argument which needs to be made to the review panel, and a decision which needs to be made by the review panel.

    Mark


    --
    Roger Hayter

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  • From Pancho@21:1/5 to Simon Parker on Thu Apr 18 23:04:52 2024
    On 18/04/2024 20:12, Simon Parker wrote:
    [snip]

    As I've just said in a parallel post to Jon Ribbens, both individual
    patients of a specific doctor and the wider public in general, must be
    able to trust that doctors will abide by the rule of law.


    Personally, I know my doctor doesn't obey the law, and that is with
    respect to things relevant to my treatment. I know the NHS do not obey
    the law.

    In general, there is no practical way to force doctors to obey the law.
    To get a dose of reality, have a look at the ratings for the
    “Parliamentary and Health Service Ombudsman” on Trustpilot, Yes, GPs
    can be punished for serious offences, but a blind eye is turned to
    everyday breaches.

    From an outsider's viewpoint, the system looks corrupt, containing
    impractical rules that have to be broken to get the job done. I imagine
    this must make the job very stressful to do.

    So my GP provides a service to me, I'm pragmatic as to the constraints
    on that service. I do not expect them to be saints. They are certainly
    not people I “trust”.

    Were that not the case, what happens if the court makes an order
    regarding a patient's treatment and a doctor refuses to comply with the
    court order because he doesn't agree with it?


    That is a completely different thing. On balance, being altruistic,
    morally motivated, I would tend to trust this doctor more than average.

    Or what happens if a doctor is repeatedly unable to perform their duties
    for months at a time because they have been imprisoned?  For how long is their employer to be expected to keep the position open?  For how many instances of incarceration should they do this?


    That should be up to her employer, not the MPTS or GMC. But, there was
    no failure to provide patient care, as she didn't have a job.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Colin Bignell@21:1/5 to Roger Hayter on Thu Apr 18 23:06:18 2024
    On 18/04/2024 21:29, Roger Hayter wrote:
    On 18 Apr 2024 at 20:12:02 BST, "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 18/04/2024 17:11, Pancho wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 13:35, Simon Parker wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 11:04, Pancho wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for
    protesting, breaching an interim injunction, etc. What I don't
    understand is what this has to with her ability to act as a GP. Why
    she could be struck off the medical register?

    What don't you understand?

    I do not understand, in what way, going to an oil protest would affect
    her performance delivering GP services.

    There's no problem whatsoever with her having attended an oil protest.

    There is a problem with breaching a court order on numerous occasions
    which may amount to a contempt of court which is a serious issue for a
    doctor.

    Similarly, there can be no doubt that her having been imprisoned for 31
    days for having breached aforementioned court order on numerous
    occasions did have something of a negative effect on her "performance
    delivering GP services" during the period of her imprisonment.


    *If* the tribunal is taking this position then it is probably misdirecting itself. If the doctor is a GP partner then she and any other partners are responsible for finding replacement staff. If she was not a partner then the employing practice has to find a replacement...

    At very short notice, in an environment where there is a serious
    shortage of GPs. My GP surgery typically takes months to fill a vacancy,
    even with a temporary GP.


    --
    Colin Bignell

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to All on Thu Apr 18 23:21:23 2024
    On 18 Apr 2024 at 23:06:18 BST, "Colin Bignell" <cpb@bignellREMOVETHIS.me.uk> wrote:

    On 18/04/2024 21:29, Roger Hayter wrote:
    On 18 Apr 2024 at 20:12:02 BST, "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On 18/04/2024 17:11, Pancho wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 13:35, Simon Parker wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 11:04, Pancho wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for
    protesting, breaching an interim injunction, etc. What I don't
    understand is what this has to with her ability to act as a GP. Why >>>>>> she could be struck off the medical register?

    What don't you understand?

    I do not understand, in what way, going to an oil protest would affect >>>> her performance delivering GP services.

    There's no problem whatsoever with her having attended an oil protest.

    There is a problem with breaching a court order on numerous occasions
    which may amount to a contempt of court which is a serious issue for a
    doctor.

    Similarly, there can be no doubt that her having been imprisoned for 31
    days for having breached aforementioned court order on numerous
    occasions did have something of a negative effect on her "performance
    delivering GP services" during the period of her imprisonment.


    *If* the tribunal is taking this position then it is probably misdirecting >> itself. If the doctor is a GP partner then she and any other partners are
    responsible for finding replacement staff. If she was not a partner then the >> employing practice has to find a replacement...

    At very short notice, in an environment where there is a serious
    shortage of GPs. My GP surgery typically takes months to fill a vacancy,
    even with a temporary GP.

    What makes you think she gave them very short notice? Do you have any
    evidence for this? Unlike you, she knew when her case would be heard and may well have known the likely outcome.


    --


    Roger Hayter

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Colin Bignell@21:1/5 to Roger Hayter on Thu Apr 18 23:49:01 2024
    On 18/04/2024 22:22, Roger Hayter wrote:
    On 18 Apr 2024 at 21:55:11 BST, "Mark Goodge" <usenet@listmail.good-stuff.co.uk> wrote:

    On Thu, 18 Apr 2024 15:21:01 -0000 (UTC), Jon Ribbens
    <jon+usenet@unequivocal.eu> wrote:

    On 2024-04-18, Simon Parker <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 11:04, Pancho wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for
    protesting, breaching an interim injunction, etc. What I don't
    understand is what this has to with her ability to act as a GP. Why she >>>>> could be struck off the medical register?

    What don't you understand?

    What on earth protesting about climate change has to do with medical
    fitness to practice.

    It's not the protesting. It's the fact that she has a criminal conviction
    for which she has been imprisoned. The reason why she now has that criminal >> record is immaterial insofar as the review is concerned, any conviction will >> automatically trigger a review.


    Is it actually a criminal conviction?

    Is it possible for a custodial sentence to be imposed for anything other
    than a criminal conviction?



    When she gets to the review, she can, of course, argue that her actions were >> justifiable and that her conviction does not affect her ability to practice. >> And the panel may well agree with her. But that's an argument which needs to >> be made to the review panel, and a decision which needs to be made by the
    review panel.

    Mark



    --
    Colin Bignell

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Jon Ribbens@21:1/5 to Colin Bignell on Fri Apr 19 09:38:26 2024
    On 2024-04-18, Colin Bignell <cpb@bignellREMOVETHIS.me.uk> wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 22:22, Roger Hayter wrote:
    Is it actually a criminal conviction?

    Is it possible for a custodial sentence to be imposed for anything other
    than a criminal conviction?

    Yes. You can go to prison for a few non-criminal things, for example non-payment of certain debts such as council tax or child maintenance,
    or - the relevant one in this case - contempt of court.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Colin Bignell@21:1/5 to Roger Hayter on Fri Apr 19 08:45:09 2024
    On 19/04/2024 00:21, Roger Hayter wrote:
    On 18 Apr 2024 at 23:06:18 BST, "Colin Bignell" <cpb@bignellREMOVETHIS.me.uk> wrote:

    On 18/04/2024 21:29, Roger Hayter wrote:
    On 18 Apr 2024 at 20:12:02 BST, "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> >>> wrote:

    On 18/04/2024 17:11, Pancho wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 13:35, Simon Parker wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 11:04, Pancho wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for
    protesting, breaching an interim injunction, etc. What I don't
    understand is what this has to with her ability to act as a GP. Why >>>>>>> she could be struck off the medical register?

    What don't you understand?

    I do not understand, in what way, going to an oil protest would affect >>>>> her performance delivering GP services.

    There's no problem whatsoever with her having attended an oil protest. >>>>
    There is a problem with breaching a court order on numerous occasions
    which may amount to a contempt of court which is a serious issue for a >>>> doctor.

    Similarly, there can be no doubt that her having been imprisoned for 31 >>>> days for having breached aforementioned court order on numerous
    occasions did have something of a negative effect on her "performance
    delivering GP services" during the period of her imprisonment.


    *If* the tribunal is taking this position then it is probably misdirecting >>> itself. If the doctor is a GP partner then she and any other partners are >>> responsible for finding replacement staff. If she was not a partner then the
    employing practice has to find a replacement...

    At very short notice, in an environment where there is a serious
    shortage of GPs. My GP surgery typically takes months to fill a vacancy,
    even with a temporary GP.

    What makes you think she gave them very short notice? Do you have any evidence for this? Unlike you, she knew when her case would be heard and may well have known the likely outcome.



    She wouldn't have known the length of the sentence, if any, which would
    have meant that it would be very difficult to recruit a stand-in until
    the verdict was known.

    --
    Colin Bignell

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to All on Fri Apr 19 08:58:44 2024
    On 18 Apr 2024 at 23:49:01 BST, "Colin Bignell" <cpb@bignellREMOVETHIS.me.uk> wrote:

    On 18/04/2024 22:22, Roger Hayter wrote:
    On 18 Apr 2024 at 21:55:11 BST, "Mark Goodge"
    <usenet@listmail.good-stuff.co.uk> wrote:

    On Thu, 18 Apr 2024 15:21:01 -0000 (UTC), Jon Ribbens
    <jon+usenet@unequivocal.eu> wrote:

    On 2024-04-18, Simon Parker <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 11:04, Pancho wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for
    protesting, breaching an interim injunction, etc. What I don't
    understand is what this has to with her ability to act as a GP. Why she >>>>>> could be struck off the medical register?

    What don't you understand?

    What on earth protesting about climate change has to do with medical
    fitness to practice.

    It's not the protesting. It's the fact that she has a criminal conviction >>> for which she has been imprisoned. The reason why she now has that criminal >>> record is immaterial insofar as the review is concerned, any conviction will
    automatically trigger a review.


    Is it actually a criminal conviction?

    Is it possible for a custodial sentence to be imposed for anything other
    than a criminal conviction?

    I suspect it is possible. Though casual research finds concepts like "criminal contempt of court" cropping up, so I am really not sure. At one stage, of course, we had debtors' prisons, but that is possibly irrelevant.








    When she gets to the review, she can, of course, argue that her actions were
    justifiable and that her conviction does not affect her ability to practice.
    And the panel may well agree with her. But that's an argument which needs to
    be made to the review panel, and a decision which needs to be made by the >>> review panel.

    Mark




    --
    Roger Hayter

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From JNugent@21:1/5 to Roger Hayter on Fri Apr 19 11:08:13 2024
    On 18/04/2024 07:20 pm, Roger Hayter wrote:

    On 18 Apr 2024 at 17:20:48 BST, "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 11:04 am, Pancho wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for
    protesting,

    Is there an offence of "protesting"?
    The offence must be something that would have been illegal whether or
    not deployed as part of a protest.

    You are mistaken. The "offence" was to do something which breached a civil injunction, which act might otherwise have been completely legal.

    A bit like an ASBO (or whatever the current name for that is), in effect.

    For perfectly valid reasons of which we are aware and do not need to
    discuss, behaviour which is ostensibly lawful - such as knocking on your
    front door at 01:00 - might be the subject of a legal prohibition order. Breaching such an order, whether it is one operating in general within
    an area or applying specifically to the individual is subject to sanction.

    Is this not well-known?

    breaching an interim injunction, etc. What I don't
    understand is what this has to with her ability to act as a GP. Why she
    could be struck off the medical register?

    Within reason, professions require practitioners to be of good character.

    Convictions for certain types of offence (not all) will breach that
    requirement.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From JNugent@21:1/5 to Les. Hayward on Fri Apr 19 11:10:17 2024
    On 18/04/2024 08:07 pm, Les. Hayward wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 17:20, JNugent wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 11:04 am, Pancho wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for
    protesting,

    Is there an offence of "protesting"?

    The offence must be something that would have been illegal whether or
    not deployed as part of a protest.

    breaching an interim injunction, etc. What I don't understand is what
    this has to with her ability to act as a GP. Why she could be struck
    off the medical register?

    Within reason, professions require practitioners to be of good character.

    Convictions for certain types of offence (not all) will breach that
    requirement.

    Well someone who is spending their time attending numerous protests with
    time off for court appearances, is hardly likely to be in a position to
    also provide a reliable and consistent service as a GP.

    I take your point, but it isn't, I think, likely to be the main
    consideration, if a consideration at all.

    A doctor at the local group practice once went off on a month's holiday
    to Oceania, without adverse comment as far as I am aware.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From JNugent@21:1/5 to Pancho on Fri Apr 19 11:13:58 2024
    On 18/04/2024 11:04 pm, Pancho wrote:

    On 18/04/2024 20:12, Simon Parker wrote:

    [snip]

    As I've just said in a parallel post to Jon Ribbens, both individual
    patients of a specific doctor and the wider public in general, must be
    able to trust that doctors will abide by the rule of law.


    Personally, I know my doctor doesn't obey the law, and that is with
    respect to things relevant to my treatment. I know the NHS do not obey
    the law.

    In general, there is no practical way to force doctors to obey the law.

    [ ... ]

    In general, that is true of everybody, not just doctors.

    It's why there's a queue of cases every weekday morning at the mags' court.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From GB@21:1/5 to Colin Bignell on Fri Apr 19 11:42:09 2024
    On 18/04/2024 19:45, Colin Bignell wrote:

    Anybody working for the health services in the UK has to declare
    criminal convictions and may be subject to a review of whether that
    could affect their fitness to work in the NHS. Could be struck off
    makes a much better headline than might get a slapped wrist or might
    have no action taken.


    Even so, the hearing is over a week long, which in itself is a
    punishment. Her defence costs will be considerable,

    All of which could have been avoided by not getting a criminal
    conviction in the first place.

    That's rather begging the question. The point the OP was making is that
    there must be a filter mechanism in place, for the GMC to decide which
    cases deserve a full tribunal hearing, and it's not clear why oil
    protesters have been flagged up for a hearing.










    although her PI insurance may cover that.



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  • From GB@21:1/5 to Mark Goodge on Fri Apr 19 11:46:40 2024
    On 18/04/2024 17:31, Mark Goodge wrote:

    In this particular case, I think she will avoid any significant sanctions. But she can't avoid the review itself, since that's *an automatic consequence of a conviction*.

    Do you have a reference for that? I wouldn't expect a doctor convicted
    for speeding to be hauled before a tribunal. But ICBW.

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  • From GB@21:1/5 to Colin Bignell on Fri Apr 19 14:10:01 2024
    On 18/04/2024 23:49, Colin Bignell wrote:

    Is it possible for a custodial sentence to be imposed for anything other
    than a criminal conviction?

    Contempt of court?

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  • From GB@21:1/5 to Simon Parker on Fri Apr 19 14:46:22 2024
    On 18/04/2024 20:12, Simon Parker wrote:


    Similarly, there can be no doubt that her having been imprisoned for 31
    days for having breached aforementioned court order on numerous
    occasions did have something of a negative effect on her "performance delivering GP services" during the period of her imprisonment.

    That's a poor point, Simon, as she wouldn't face a tribunal for failing
    to deliver GP services because she had become ill, for example.

    The point must surely be that the circumstances of this case warrant a tribunal. Doctors break the law in minor ways all the time, as do many
    of us, but few such transgressions result in a tribunal hearing. So, an explanation of why a tribunal hearing is necessary in this case would be helpful.

    I suspect that the answer lies in the detail of the GMC rules. For
    example, they may require a tribunal in any case where a custodial
    sentence has been imposed.

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  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to All on Fri Apr 19 16:21:56 2024
    On 19 Apr 2024 at 08:45:09 BST, "Colin Bignell" <cpb@bignellREMOVETHIS.me.uk> wrote:

    On 19/04/2024 00:21, Roger Hayter wrote:
    On 18 Apr 2024 at 23:06:18 BST, "Colin Bignell" <cpb@bignellREMOVETHIS.me.uk>
    wrote:

    On 18/04/2024 21:29, Roger Hayter wrote:
    On 18 Apr 2024 at 20:12:02 BST, "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> >>>> wrote:

    On 18/04/2024 17:11, Pancho wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 13:35, Simon Parker wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 11:04, Pancho wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for
    protesting, breaching an interim injunction, etc. What I don't >>>>>>>> understand is what this has to with her ability to act as a GP. Why >>>>>>>> she could be struck off the medical register?

    What don't you understand?

    I do not understand, in what way, going to an oil protest would affect >>>>>> her performance delivering GP services.

    There's no problem whatsoever with her having attended an oil protest. >>>>>
    There is a problem with breaching a court order on numerous occasions >>>>> which may amount to a contempt of court which is a serious issue for a >>>>> doctor.

    Similarly, there can be no doubt that her having been imprisoned for 31 >>>>> days for having breached aforementioned court order on numerous
    occasions did have something of a negative effect on her "performance >>>>> delivering GP services" during the period of her imprisonment.


    *If* the tribunal is taking this position then it is probably misdirecting >>>> itself. If the doctor is a GP partner then she and any other partners are >>>> responsible for finding replacement staff. If she was not a partner then the
    employing practice has to find a replacement...

    At very short notice, in an environment where there is a serious
    shortage of GPs. My GP surgery typically takes months to fill a vacancy, >>> even with a temporary GP.

    What makes you think she gave them very short notice? Do you have any
    evidence for this? Unlike you, she knew when her case would be heard and may >> well have known the likely outcome.



    She wouldn't have known the length of the sentence, if any, which would
    have meant that it would be very difficult to recruit a stand-in until
    the verdict was known.

    Which is possibly why she took the precaution of having no job to go back to.
    And no, it isn't that hard to recruit a locum on a week by week basis. Why do you seek to invent offences for her to have committed?


    --
    Roger Hayter

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  • From Colin Bignell@21:1/5 to All on Fri Apr 19 18:27:33 2024
    On 19/04/2024 14:46, GB wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 20:12, Simon Parker wrote:


    Similarly, there can be no doubt that her having been imprisoned for
    31 days for having breached aforementioned court order on numerous
    occasions did have something of a negative effect on her "performance
    delivering GP services" during the period of her imprisonment.

    That's a poor point, Simon, as she wouldn't face a tribunal for failing
    to deliver GP services because she had become ill, for example.

    Falling ill is not avoidable. Breaching an injunction is.

    The point must surely be that the circumstances of this case warrant a tribunal. Doctors break the law in minor ways all the time, as do many
    of us, but few such transgressions result in a tribunal hearing. So, an explanation of why a tribunal hearing is necessary in this case would be helpful.

    I suspect that the answer lies in the detail of the GMC rules. For
    example, they may require a tribunal in any case where a custodial
    sentence has been imposed.

    They do.

    --
    Colin Bignell

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  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to JNugent on Fri Apr 19 18:57:56 2024
    On 19 Apr 2024 at 11:08:13 BST, "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote:

    On 18/04/2024 07:20 pm, Roger Hayter wrote:

    On 18 Apr 2024 at 17:20:48 BST, "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 11:04 am, Pancho wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for
    protesting,

    Is there an offence of "protesting"?
    The offence must be something that would have been illegal whether or
    not deployed as part of a protest.

    You are mistaken. The "offence" was to do something which breached a civil >> injunction, which act might otherwise have been completely legal.

    A bit like an ASBO (or whatever the current name for that is), in effect.

    For perfectly valid reasons of which we are aware and do not need to
    discuss, behaviour which is ostensibly lawful - such as knocking on your front door at 01:00 - might be the subject of a legal prohibition order. Breaching such an order, whether it is one operating in general within
    an area or applying specifically to the individual is subject to sanction.

    Is this not well-known?


    Breaching an ASBO *is* (or at least usually is) a criminal offence. ASBOs are part of the criminal law, not civil injunctions.





    breaching an interim injunction, etc. What I don't
    understand is what this has to with her ability to act as a GP. Why she >>>> could be struck off the medical register?

    Within reason, professions require practitioners to be of good character. >>
    Convictions for certain types of offence (not all) will breach that
    requirement.


    --
    Roger Hayter

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  • From Mark Goodge@21:1/5 to NOTsomeone@microsoft.invalid on Fri Apr 19 20:47:17 2024
    On Fri, 19 Apr 2024 11:42:09 +0100, GB <NOTsomeone@microsoft.invalid> wrote:

    On 18/04/2024 19:45, Colin Bignell wrote:

    Anybody working for the health services in the UK has to declare
    criminal convictions and may be subject to a review of whether that
    could affect their fitness to work in the NHS. Could be struck off
    makes a much better headline than might get a slapped wrist or might
    have no action taken.


    Even so, the hearing is over a week long, which in itself is a
    punishment. Her defence costs will be considerable,

    All of which could have been avoided by not getting a criminal
    conviction in the first place.

    That's rather begging the question. The point the OP was making is that
    there must be a filter mechanism in place, for the GMC to decide which
    cases deserve a full tribunal hearing, and it's not clear why oil
    protesters have been flagged up for a hearing.

    The point is that imprisonment is always serious enough to trigger an investigation, irrespective of what it is for. It's then up to the review
    panel to decide if it warrants actual sanctions. So oil protesters haven't
    been flagged up for a hearing. People imprisoned have been flagged up for a hearing. The reason they were imprisoned is not germane to that flagging.

    That's neither unreasonable nor unusual. If it was an MP, for example, imprisonment would trigger a recall petition. A taxi driver would be subject
    to a hearing to decide if his licence should be revoked. It would be grounds for termination in almost any employment contract. That doesn't mean that recall, or revocation, or dismissal, is inevitable or automatic. It merely means that the option is there.

    Similarly with a GP. The public-facing nature of a GP's role means that it
    is entirely reasonable for any prison sentence to trigger a review. It would
    be unacceptable for it not to do so. That doesn't mean the review panel has
    to order sanctions. It could conclude that the GP's actions were justified
    and that their ability to practise medicine is not impaired. But it has to
    be able to make that decision, and not have it pre-empted.

    Mark

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  • From Mark Goodge@21:1/5 to NOTsomeone@microsoft.invalid on Fri Apr 19 21:03:24 2024
    On Fri, 19 Apr 2024 11:46:40 +0100, GB <NOTsomeone@microsoft.invalid> wrote:

    On 18/04/2024 17:31, Mark Goodge wrote:

    In this particular case, I think she will avoid any significant sanctions. >> But she can't avoid the review itself, since that's *an automatic consequence
    of a conviction*.

    Do you have a reference for that? I wouldn't expect a doctor convicted
    for speeding to be hauled before a tribunal. But ICBW.

    The GMC's website says that medical professionals they regulate will be referred to a tribunal for "a criminal conviction or caution"[1]. It doesn't
    go into detail, but I suspect that offences (eg, speeding) dealt with by
    means of an FPN don't count, as they don't appear on your criminal record either. My presumption is that it's only recordable offences, as defined by PACE (ie, offences which will appear on a standard DBS check), which would trigger a referral by the GMC to a tribunal. But anything which carries a prison sentence (whether imposed or not) is recordable.

    [1] https://tinyurl.com/yp9aer94 as shortened from https://www.gmc-uk.org/concerns/information-for-doctors-under-investigation/our-sanctions/referral-for-a-hearing-at-the-mpts

    Mark

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  • From Colin Bignell@21:1/5 to All on Fri Apr 19 22:10:09 2024
    On 19/04/2024 11:46, GB wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 17:31, Mark Goodge wrote:

    In this particular case, I think she will avoid any significant
    sanctions.
    But she can't avoid the review itself, since that's *an automatic
    consequence
    of a conviction*.

    Do you have a reference for that? I wouldn't expect a doctor convicted
    for speeding to be hauled before a tribunal. But ICBW.

    This is the guidance as to what has to be declared:

    https://www.bma.org.uk/pay-and-contracts/contracts/criminal-record-checks-and-declarations/declaring-a-criminal-conviction

    Note the paragraph about it being part of the contract of employment.

    --
    Colin Bignell

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  • From Colin Bignell@21:1/5 to All on Fri Apr 19 21:41:53 2024
    On 19/04/2024 11:42, GB wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 19:45, Colin Bignell wrote:

    Anybody working for the health services in the UK has to declare
    criminal convictions and may be subject to a review of whether that
    could affect their fitness to work in the NHS. Could be struck off
    makes a much better headline than might get a slapped wrist or might
    have no action taken.


    Even so, the hearing is over a week long, which in itself is a
    punishment. Her defence costs will be considerable,

    All of which could have been avoided by not getting a criminal
    conviction in the first place.

    That's rather begging the question. The point the OP was making is that
    there must be a filter mechanism in place, for the GMC to decide which
    cases deserve a full tribunal hearing,

    Any that involve a custodial sentence.

    and it's not clear why oil
    protesters have been flagged up for a hearing.

    It is the custodial sentence, not the protest that triggered the hearing.

    --
    Colin Bignell

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  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to All on Fri Apr 19 23:34:36 2024
    On 19 Apr 2024 at 22:10:09 BST, "Colin Bignell" <cpb@bignellREMOVETHIS.me.uk> wrote:

    On 19/04/2024 11:46, GB wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 17:31, Mark Goodge wrote:

    In this particular case, I think she will avoid any significant
    sanctions.
    But she can't avoid the review itself, since that's *an automatic
    consequence
    of a conviction*.

    Do you have a reference for that? I wouldn't expect a doctor convicted
    for speeding to be hauled before a tribunal. But ICBW.

    This is the guidance as to what has to be declared:

    https://www.bma.org.uk/pay-and-contracts/contracts/criminal-record-checks-and-declarations/declaring-a-criminal-conviction

    Note the paragraph about it being part of the contract of employment.

    That is all very true, but totally irrelevant to reporting convictions to the GMC, guidance regarding which is actually linked to in the BMA text.


    --
    Roger Hayter

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  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to All on Fri Apr 19 23:31:21 2024
    On 19 Apr 2024 at 23:05:10 BST, "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 19/04/2024 11:42, GB wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 19:45, Colin Bignell wrote:

    Anybody working for the health services in the UK has to declare
    criminal convictions and may be subject to a review of whether that
    could affect their fitness to work in the NHS. Could be struck off
    makes a much better headline than might get a slapped wrist or might >>>>> have no action taken.


    Even so, the hearing is over a week long, which in itself is a
    punishment. Her defence costs will be considerable,

    All of which could have been avoided by not getting a criminal
    conviction in the first place.

    That's rather begging the question. The point the OP was making is that
    there must be a filter mechanism in place, for the GMC to decide which
    cases deserve a full tribunal hearing, and it's not clear why oil
    protesters have been flagged up for a hearing.

    The "filter mechanism", to use your term, is "a conviction resulting in
    the imposition of a custodial sentence, whether immediate or suspended".

    In the instant case, the doctor self-reported each arrest and the
    subsequent imprisonment, as she was required to do.

    Once the report of the imprisonment had been received, the rule is that
    "the Registrar shall refer an allegation falling within section
    35C(2)(c) of the Act relating to a conviction resulting in the
    imposition of a custodial sentence, whether immediate or suspended,
    directly to the MPTS for them to arrange for it to be considered by a
    Medical Practitioners Tribunal."

    It is perhaps reasonable of the GMC to have treated this custodial sentence in the same way as one resulting from a conviction, but I am not sure, as it did not result from a conviction, that they were obliged to do so.

    snip



    --

    Roger Hayter

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  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to All on Fri Apr 19 23:35:31 2024
    On 19 Apr 2024 at 23:06:17 BST, "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 19/04/2024 11:46, GB wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 17:31, Mark Goodge wrote:

    In this particular case, I think she will avoid any significant
    sanctions.
    But she can't avoid the review itself, since that's *an automatic
    consequence
    of a conviction*.

    Do you have a reference for that? I wouldn't expect a doctor convicted
    for speeding to be hauled before a tribunal. But ICBW.

    The General Medical Council (Fitness to Practise) Rules Order of Council 2004, Rule 5.

    As detailed in a post elsewhere to the thread, for a conviction there is
    some discretion and a Registrar may refer the matter to Case Examiners
    who may do the equivalent of issuing an NFA.

    However, the imposition of a custodial sentence, even a suspended one,
    is a mandatory referral to the MPTS who must arrange for a tribunal to consider the matter.

    Regards

    S.P.

    Again, are convictions relevant to the case under discussion?

    --
    Roger Hayter

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  • From Jon Ribbens@21:1/5 to Simon Parker on Sat Apr 20 00:28:10 2024
    On 2024-04-19, Simon Parker <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 22:06, Jon Ribbens wrote:
    On 2024-04-18, Simon Parker <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 16:21, Jon Ribbens wrote:
    What on earth protesting about climate change has to do with medical
    fitness to practice. Most people would probably say the one has nothing >>>> whatsoever to do with the other. If she had been going on "anti-vax"
    protests then it might be a different matter.

    The issue, which was made quite clear in my post, is that she has been
    arrested on three separate occasions for breaching a court order which
    led to her being imprisoned for 31 days.

    Ok. What's that got to do with anything?

    Each arrest required a referral to a Registrar of the GMC.

    The imposition of a custodial sentence required a mandatory MPTS Tribunal.

    Contrariwise, attending a JSO protest did not require referral to a
    Registrar of the GMC.

    It is *nothing* to do with attending a JSO protest and *everything* to
    do with being arrested multiple times for breaching a court order and
    being imprisoned as a consequence.

    Ok. I'm glad you've finally googled that are now able to enlighten us :-)

    Let's say her former partner had obtained an injunction banning her from >>> coming within 200 metres of them and she'd been arrested on three
    separate occasions for breaching that order and then imprisoned for 31
    days as a result.

    Would you consider it reasonable for the MPTS to hold a tribunal in
    those circumstances and why do you so answer?

    I'd need to know more information, but it seems likely that it would
    be reasonable, because she would be demonstrating that she couldn't be
    trusted around people, which is kind've important for a doctor - unlike
    anything the doctor we are actually talking about has actually done.

    No further information is required, but thank you for confirming that
    you are posting from a position of ignorance.

    We are all posting from a position of ignorance. It is the natural state
    of humanity. But you didn't ask whether I "thought it was a legal or contractual requirement", you asked if I "considered it reasonable".
    I think you may need to re-evaluate your conclusions.

    And they are considering giving her a medal or other commendation on
    this basis?

    I do not believe they are considering giving her a medal or other commendation on this basis, no. Why do you think the tribunal has been convened?

    Well since she has been engaging in meritorious conduct, one would hope
    that they have been convened to consider if she should be awarded some
    sort of award.

    Why is that being questioned when there is no question of there being
    a problem with it?

    How many of Dr Benn's patients were able to obtain an appointment with
    her, as their GP, whilst she was imprisoned for 31 days?

    Were she to continue protesting in a similar manner and receive a
    similar or longer sentence in future, from where should Dr Benn's
    patients procure GP services whilst she is imprisoned?

    For how long should her employer keep her role open before considering
    disciplinary action? How many periods of imprisonment do you think they >>> should tolerate before considering that she is unable to perform the
    duties of her contract of employment?

    What on earth does any of that have to do with being potentially struck
    off the medical register (or suspended, or threatened with future
    suspensions or strikings-off, or whatever).

    I know you think she was 'fighting for a noble cause', (and I've been
    careful not to express an opinion on that either way), but she knew the consequences of being arrested and the likelihood of being imprisoned
    with each subsequent arrest. Furthermore, she knew that imprisonment
    would automatically trigger a tribunal.

    She can't now turn around and say, "Well this is most unexpected." or
    "This is most unfair." She knew the likely consequences of her actions.
    she went ahead and did it anyway. She must now face the consequences, whatever they may be.

    To her credit, she's actually said as much.

    Ok. None of that is an answer to my question, but good for you.
    You seem to be getting a bit muddled up between her employment
    and her GMC registration.

    She could be struck off the medical register in the same way that she >>>>> could be struck by a meteorite, or lightning, on her way to the
    tribunal.

    What on earth is that supposed to mean?

    I'm sure if you think about it for long enough you might be able to come >>> up with an obscure and deeply-hidden reason why the likelihood of Dr
    Benn being struck off the medical register at this tribunal might be
    compared to the likelihood of her being struck by lightning or a
    meteorite on her way to attend the tribunal each day.

    Ok, so I assume that you were, in an amnbiguous and convoluted way,
    saying that it is incredibly unlikely she will be struck off.

    There was nothing ambiguous or convoluted about it. Stating that [x]
    could happen 'in the same way' as [y] or [z] could happen, when it is
    known that [y] and [z] are incredibly unlikely events is a clear
    expression that I consider [x] to be as unlikely as [y] or [z].

    It is clear only if it is obvious that the unlikelihood of the event
    is the specific thing that you are referring to. You didn't mention that.

    Thankfully, I expect the MPTS tribunal members, at least one of whom is
    likely to be legally qualified, to give the JSO press release the full
    consideration it deserves when it comes to their deliberations.

    You think that JSO is trying to influence the tribunal, rather than
    the public? That seems rather a long shot, especially if it is true
    that, as you apparently say, it is extremely unlikely that they would
    be considering striking-off regardless.

    Influencing the tribunal and the public are not mutually exclusive.
    Rather, whipping up the latter can be an indirect means of influencing
    the former, as I'm sure you know.

    Ah, so when you said that you expected "MPTS tribunal members" to
    "give the JSO press release the full consideration it deserves",
    that was a "clear expression" of your actual meaning, that you
    expect them to give the *public reaction* to the press release the
    full consideration *that* deserves. Obviously.

    Personally, I find it quite right and proper that a doctor that breaches >>>>> court orders on numerous occasions and is imprisoned as a result should >>>>> have their behaviour formally reviewed by their professional body.

    Because...?

    She deliberately breached court orders which may amount to a contempt of >>> court. Doctors literally have people's lives in their hands. A
    doctor's patients and the wider public at large must be able to trust a
    doctor to abide by the rule of law.

    Because...?

    I recommend re-reading the above paragraph. The answer you seek is
    there if you look more carefully second time around.

    I've looked a second and even third time, and it still seems to me that
    you're just proclaiming an unsupported opinion.

    I'm sure if you think about it for long enough you might be able to come >>>> up with an obscure and deeply-hidden reason why a *lawyer* breaking the >>>> *law* is a problem in a way that doesn't apply to people in most other >>>> professions.

    I respectfully disagree and invite you to read the following "Reasons"
    from the Employment Tribunal that considered the case of Mr Niamke
    Doffou v Sainsbury's Supermarket's Limited earlier this year, recently
    published and therefore in the news of late. [^1]

    Ok I've read that. What in the name of Samwise Gamgee do you think that
    a case involving a person being sacked by their employer for theft from
    said employer has even remotely to do with a MPTS tribunal considering
    a doctor who is not suspected of any wrongdoing against their employer,
    indeed not suspected of any dishonesty at all?

    Workers breaking the law, especially in regulated professions, has consequences beyond those that may be imposed by the legal system. In
    Mr Doffou's case, the value of the goods taken, and the possibility that
    it may have been an inadvertent error meant he faced no criminal
    sanctions. But he still lost his job. Your claim was that the
    consequences of "a lawyer breaking the law" is vastly different to "most other professions". I provided an example, (and chose the one I did
    mainly because it was recently published and therefore was foremost in
    my mind), of a lowly shop worker, (i.e. not a "regulated profession")
    facing severe consequences for an action he claims was unintentional.

    Ok. You've still completely failed to make any link whatsoever between
    that case and this one. Everyone knows that if you steal from your
    employer then you may be sacked by them, and nobody sensible thinks
    that is unreasonable. What does that have to do with doctors being (potentially) struck off and prevented from ever working as doctors
    again for (exemplary) conduct that has absolutely no bearing on their
    fitness to be a doctor?

    Compare and contrast with the doctor in the instant case who knew the consequences of arrest and imprisonment in advance of her arrest and subsequent imprisonment.

    Ok I've compared them and the contrast is that one is an apple
    and the other is not so much an orange as it is a class 2 carbon-fibre hang-glider.

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  • From GB@21:1/5 to Colin Bignell on Sat Apr 20 10:25:26 2024
    On 19/04/2024 18:27, Colin Bignell wrote:
    On 19/04/2024 14:46, GB wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 20:12, Simon Parker wrote:


    Similarly, there can be no doubt that her having been imprisoned for
    31 days for having breached aforementioned court order on numerous
    occasions did have something of a negative effect on her "performance
    delivering GP services" during the period of her imprisonment.

    That's a poor point, Simon, as she wouldn't face a tribunal for
    failing to deliver GP services because she had become ill, for example.

    Falling ill is not avoidable. Breaching an injunction is.

    That's also a poor point. The doctor might have become injured whilst
    taking part in some highly dangerous pastime.






    The point must surely be that the circumstances of this case warrant a
    tribunal. Doctors break the law in minor ways all the time, as do many
    of us, but few such transgressions result in a tribunal hearing. So,
    an explanation of why a tribunal hearing is necessary in this case
    would be helpful.

    I suspect that the answer lies in the detail of the GMC rules. For
    example, they may require a tribunal in any case where a custodial
    sentence has been imposed.

    They do.


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  • From GB@21:1/5 to Mark Goodge on Sat Apr 20 10:40:39 2024
    On 19/04/2024 21:03, Mark Goodge wrote:
    On Fri, 19 Apr 2024 11:46:40 +0100, GB <NOTsomeone@microsoft.invalid> wrote:

    On 18/04/2024 17:31, Mark Goodge wrote:

    In this particular case, I think she will avoid any significant sanctions. >>> But she can't avoid the review itself, since that's *an automatic consequence
    of a conviction*.

    Do you have a reference for that? I wouldn't expect a doctor convicted
    for speeding to be hauled before a tribunal. But ICBW.

    The GMC's website says that medical professionals they regulate will be referred to a tribunal for "a criminal conviction or caution"[1]. It doesn't go into detail, but I suspect that offences (eg, speeding) dealt with by means of an FPN don't count, as they don't appear on your criminal record either. My presumption is that it's only recordable offences, as defined by PACE (ie, offences which will appear on a standard DBS check), which would trigger a referral by the GMC to a tribunal. But anything which carries a prison sentence (whether imposed or not) is recordable.

    [1] https://tinyurl.com/yp9aer94 as shortened from https://www.gmc-uk.org/concerns/information-for-doctors-under-investigation/our-sanctions/referral-for-a-hearing-at-the-mpts

    Mark



    Thanks for the reference. It also says:

    "We also consider whether the doctor’s failings are easily remediable, whether they have been remedied (and to what extent), and whether they
    are likely to be repeated.

    Case examiners can recommend that the doctor is invited to comply with undertakings, without the need for a medical practitioners tribunal
    hearing, where that would be sufficient to protect patients and maintain
    public confidence."

    I think that an undertaking would have been sufficient, but, alas, I
    don't think the doctor was prepared to sign one.

    Even so, given that a severe sanction seems unlikely, a tribunal hearing
    seems like a waste of public money. Not to mention the doctor's.

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  • From GB@21:1/5 to Jon Ribbens on Sat Apr 20 11:15:03 2024
    On 20/04/2024 01:28, Jon Ribbens wrote:

    Well since she has been engaging in meritorious conduct, one would hope
    that they have been convened to consider if she should be awarded some
    sort of award.

    JSO have the same mentality as those who blame the sugar companies for
    people ruining their health with sugar. It's convenient to blame someone
    else, rather than taking responsibility for the crap we choose to stuff
    into ourselves.

    If we simply stopped using oil overnight, our present society could not function, and we would have mass starvation. In medieval times, this
    country could only support a population of around 3 million, and without
    power that's roughly the population that could be supported now.

    Whilst climate change is serious, the transition to zero carbon needs to
    be managed, and starving 95% of the population to death, whilst
    undoubtedly effective, is not the best way to do it.

    So, maybe, the good doctor's fitness to practise does need to be examined?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From AnthonyL@21:1/5 to simonparkerulm@gmail.com on Sat Apr 20 12:17:02 2024
    On Fri, 19 Apr 2024 23:16:35 +0100, Simon Parker
    <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> wrote:


    When she gets to the review, she can, of course, argue that her actions were >> justifiable and that her conviction does not affect her ability to practice.

    She's actually issued a statement ahead of appearing at the tribunal:

    "As a doctor, my fundamental duty is to protect health and life. This >includes proactive efforts to prevent disease and death. The climate
    crisis is the most significant existential threat to global health we
    have ever faced. It's disheartening to see governments worldwide declare >climate emergencies, yet fail to act beyond these declarations. In
    medicine, when an emergency is declared, immediate action is
    expected—not just words. This is the essence of our job, and it's often
    a daunting responsibility, but it is essential.

    "This is why I felt compelled to address what I see as the most critical >health crisis currently unfolding—one that is already causing widespread >death, disease, and destruction globally and is set to worsen. We're
    trained as doctors to intervene decisively to avert tragedy, therefore,
    this situation requires nothing less than decisive intervention.

    "While initiatives like 'greening the NHS' are commendable and would
    have been a welcome start in the 1980s, today's crisis demands more
    radical and immediate action. We are out of time, with only a narrow
    window remaining to prevent a total collapse of our systems.

    "The protests and disruptions I've participated in are not actions I
    take lightly. I find no joy in causing inconvenience or distress.
    However, we must be clear about the magnitude of the crisis we face. The >disruptions caused by peaceful protest are nothing compared to the >catastrophic impacts of continuing to burn fossil fuels.

    "I have been clear about my reasons for taking action from the very
    start. I will be sad and upset if I am removed from the register, but
    that will have no effect on my future plans. I will continue carrying
    out what I believe is my responsibility as long as the government
    refuses to commit to stopping oil and gas."



    One day someone might explain to her what happens if all the gas and
    oil is stopped. I feel my health is more endagered by such thinking
    and worry about all that hospital equipment rendered useless, ppe
    banned and only magically re-charged electric emergency transport.

    Perhaps she should have been lobbying for more nuclear 40yrs ago, or
    even better, focus her attention on not making it more difficult to
    make an appointment with a doctor.

    (yes, all off-topic but as one who has just found out that on-going
    medical intervention is likely to be needed and discovering the delays
    in getting seen this whole attitude pisses me off. I believe one of
    the leaders in blocking off the motorway a few months back is a doctor
    and I envisaged arranging a ton of bricks being dropped off to block
    his exit from his driveway. ps I'm not anti legal protest that does
    not impede people going about their normal business)..


    --
    AnthonyL

    Why ever wait to finish a job before starting the next?

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  • From JNugent@21:1/5 to Roger Hayter on Sat Apr 20 13:52:29 2024
    On 19/04/2024 07:57 pm, Roger Hayter wrote:
    On 19 Apr 2024 at 11:08:13 BST, "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote:

    On 18/04/2024 07:20 pm, Roger Hayter wrote:

    On 18 Apr 2024 at 17:20:48 BST, "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 11:04 am, Pancho wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for
    protesting,

    Is there an offence of "protesting"?
    The offence must be something that would have been illegal whether or
    not deployed as part of a protest.

    You are mistaken. The "offence" was to do something which breached a civil >>> injunction, which act might otherwise have been completely legal.

    A bit like an ASBO (or whatever the current name for that is), in effect.

    For perfectly valid reasons of which we are aware and do not need to
    discuss, behaviour which is ostensibly lawful - such as knocking on your
    front door at 01:00 - might be the subject of a legal prohibition order.
    Breaching such an order, whether it is one operating in general within
    an area or applying specifically to the individual is subject to sanction. >>
    Is this not well-known?


    Breaching an ASBO *is* (or at least usually is) a criminal offence. ASBOs are part of the criminal law, not civil injunctions.

    And that is why I used the phrase "a bit like an ASBO".

    And it is a bit like an ASBO, certainly in its effect.

    What would be the point in a court issuing injunctions which cannot be
    enforced by sanction?

    breaching an interim injunction, etc. What I don't
    understand is what this has to with her ability to act as a GP. Why she >>>>> could be struck off the medical register?

    Within reason, professions require practitioners to be of good character. >>>> Convictions for certain types of offence (not all) will breach that
    requirement.

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  • From Spike@21:1/5 to Simon Parker on Sat Apr 20 18:30:12 2024
    Simon Parker <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 21:55, Mark Goodge wrote:
    On Thu, 18 Apr 2024 15:21:01 -0000 (UTC), Jon Ribbens
    <jon+usenet@unequivocal.eu> wrote:

    On 2024-04-18, Simon Parker <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 11:04, Pancho wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for
    protesting, breaching an interim injunction, etc. What I don't
    understand is what this has to with her ability to act as a GP. Why she >>>>> could be struck off the medical register?

    What don't you understand?

    What on earth protesting about climate change has to do with medical
    fitness to practice.

    It's not the protesting. It's the fact that she has a criminal conviction
    for which she has been imprisoned. The reason why she now has that criminal >> record is immaterial insofar as the review is concerned, any conviction will >> automatically trigger a review.

    Point of Order#1: In the instant case, it isn't a criminal conviction
    that is an issue, but that she was arrested on three separate occasions,
    each of which must be reported to the GMC.

    Point of Order#2: Her imprisonment is the trigger for a mandatory tribunal.


    When she gets to the review, she can, of course, argue that her actions were >> justifiable and that her conviction does not affect her ability to practice.

    She's actually issued a statement ahead of appearing at the tribunal:

    "As a doctor, my fundamental duty is to protect health and life. This includes proactive efforts to prevent disease and death. The climate
    crisis is the most significant existential threat to global health we
    have ever faced. It's disheartening to see governments worldwide declare climate emergencies, yet fail to act beyond these declarations. In
    medicine, when an emergency is declared, immediate action is
    expected—not just words. This is the essence of our job, and it's often
    a daunting responsibility, but it is essential.

    "This is why I felt compelled to address what I see as the most critical health crisis currently unfolding—one that is already causing widespread death, disease, and destruction globally and is set to worsen. We're
    trained as doctors to intervene decisively to avert tragedy, therefore,
    this situation requires nothing less than decisive intervention.

    "While initiatives like 'greening the NHS' are commendable and would
    have been a welcome start in the 1980s, today's crisis demands more
    radical and immediate action. We are out of time, with only a narrow
    window remaining to prevent a total collapse of our systems.

    "The protests and disruptions I've participated in are not actions I
    take lightly. I find no joy in causing inconvenience or distress.
    However, we must be clear about the magnitude of the crisis we face. The disruptions caused by peaceful protest are nothing compared to the catastrophic impacts of continuing to burn fossil fuels.

    "I have been clear about my reasons for taking action from the very
    start. I will be sad and upset if I am removed from the register, but
    that will have no effect on my future plans. I will continue carrying
    out what I believe is my responsibility as long as the government
    refuses to commit to stopping oil and gas."

    And the panel may well agree with her. But that's an argument which needs to >> be made to the review panel, and a decision which needs to be made by the
    review panel.

    Following the outpouring quoted above of the GP concerned, it seems a pity
    that she did not crunch some numbers before waving her banner all over the place (figure of speech) and getting her collar felt (colloquial).

    She mentions specifically the actions of the UK government regarding oil
    and gas. Very well, let’s take this to the limit and see what the effect
    is.

    The UK is estimated to have added a total of 4% of the increase in CO2 in
    the atmosphere, since the Industrial Age began. Using the IPCC’s own
    equation connecting changes in CO2 levels with changes of temperature, and recalling that those levels of CO2 started at 180ppm and are now 420ppm, we
    can calculate the temperature rise for which the UK is responsible.

    The IPCC equation, well buried in footnotes to background papers to keep it
    out of sight of decision makers and the general public, is deltaT= 1.42 ln (C/C0).

    So 4% of (420-180) is 9ppm. The deltaT is therefore given by 1.42ln(189/180)degC = 0.07 degC.

    This is probably the sort of temperature difference one might expect
    between the Northern and Southern extremities of a small geographic area, perhaps the size of Bristol, and the resulting deaths from this temperature difference can be expected to be around zero.

    The implied massive saving of lives would be the result of not only
    stopping all UK emissions now, but at the cost of several £trillion, also capturing all the UK’s previous emissions too.

    Note:

    The logarithmic relationship used by the IPCC is derived from a scientific paper (The Effect of Carbonic Acid…) by Arrhenius, who used it after it was published by Langley in a paper titled The Temperature of the Moon. This
    was a convenient empirical finding by Langley, and was not subsequently supported by a theoretical derivation.

    The yearly average temperatures of Exeter and Edinburgh differ by 2.2degC,
    and it would be interesting to compare the differences in climate-related deaths between the two, keeping in mind the fabulously expensive measures
    so far taken on the path to ‘net zero’ (whatever that is).

    Over the last circa 40 years, the value of the constant in the calculation
    of deltaT has fallen from circa 5.6 to its current value of 1.42, no explanation for this appears to be immediately available, but ‘Winding the IPCC’s neck in’ after a decade or two of wild claims, might have something to do with it.

    --
    Spike

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  • From Jon Ribbens@21:1/5 to Martin Harran on Sat Apr 20 22:33:19 2024
    On 2024-04-20, Martin Harran <martinharran@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 19 Apr 2024 23:31:21 GMT, Roger Hayter <roger@hayter.org> wrote:
    On 19 Apr 2024 at 23:05:10 BST, "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> >>wrote:
    Once the report of the imprisonment had been received, the rule is that
    "the Registrar shall refer an allegation falling within section
    35C(2)(c) of the Act relating to a conviction resulting in the
    imposition of a custodial sentence, whether immediate or suspended,
    directly to the MPTS for them to arrange for it to be considered by a
    Medical Practitioners Tribunal."

    It is perhaps reasonable of the GMC to have treated this custodial
    sentence in the same way as one resulting from a conviction, but I am
    not sure, as it did not result from a conviction, that they were
    obliged to do so.

    How is it *not* a conviction?

    She was imprisoned for breach of a civil injunction, which is not
    a criminal offence. So it is no sense a "conviction".

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  • From Jon Ribbens@21:1/5 to NOTsomeone@microsoft.invalid on Sat Apr 20 22:27:04 2024
    On 2024-04-20, GB <NOTsomeone@microsoft.invalid> wrote:
    On 20/04/2024 01:28, Jon Ribbens wrote:
    Well since she has been engaging in meritorious conduct, one would hope
    that they have been convened to consider if she should be awarded some
    sort of award.

    JSO have the same mentality as those who blame the sugar companies for
    people ruining their health with sugar. It's convenient to blame someone else, rather than taking responsibility for the crap we choose to stuff
    into ourselves.

    If we simply stopped using oil overnight

    Are you somehow under the impression that that is something that
    someone has demanded?

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  • From Colin Bignell@21:1/5 to All on Sat Apr 20 21:13:17 2024
    On 20/04/2024 10:25, GB wrote:
    On 19/04/2024 18:27, Colin Bignell wrote:
    On 19/04/2024 14:46, GB wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 20:12, Simon Parker wrote:


    Similarly, there can be no doubt that her having been imprisoned for
    31 days for having breached aforementioned court order on numerous
    occasions did have something of a negative effect on her
    "performance delivering GP services" during the period of her
    imprisonment.

    That's a poor point, Simon, as she wouldn't face a tribunal for
    failing to deliver GP services because she had become ill, for example.

    Falling ill is not avoidable. Breaching an injunction is.

    That's also a poor point. The doctor might have become injured whilst
    taking part in some highly dangerous pastime.

    I would not classify that as falling ill.


    The point must surely be that the circumstances of this case warrant
    a tribunal. Doctors break the law in minor ways all the time, as do
    many of us, but few such transgressions result in a tribunal hearing.
    So, an explanation of why a tribunal hearing is necessary in this
    case would be helpful.

    I suspect that the answer lies in the detail of the GMC rules. For
    example, they may require a tribunal in any case where a custodial
    sentence has been imposed.

    They do.




    --
    Colin Bignell

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  • From Pancho@21:1/5 to All on Sat Apr 20 21:45:28 2024
    On 20/04/2024 11:15, GB wrote:
    On 20/04/2024 01:28, Jon Ribbens wrote:

    Well since she has been engaging in meritorious conduct, one would hope
    that they have been convened to consider if she should be awarded some
    sort of award.

    JSO have the same mentality as those who blame the sugar companies for
    people ruining their health with sugar. It's convenient to blame someone else, rather than taking responsibility for the crap we choose to stuff
    into ourselves.


    That isn't fair. Sugar is a personal choice, air pollution affects other people.

    If we simply stopped using oil overnight, our present society could not function, and we would have mass starvation. In medieval times, this
    country could only support a population of around 3 million, and without power that's roughly the population that could be supported now.


    The idea is not to stop oil overnight, but to apply pressure to restrict
    oil supply, no new fields, and thus promote the development of
    alternatives. It seems sensible to do this. Indeed it is similar to the
    idea behind Carbon Credits.

    We have a perfectly viable alternative energy source, which isn't
    particularly expensive, nuclear power. The reason we haven't developed
    it is political will, and short term economics, natural gas *was*
    cheaper. This is something going back to Margaret Thatcher in the 1980s.
    Artificially restricting carbon power now, will focus politicians on
    the task at hand. i.e. it will compensate for the problem we have with political short termism.

    Whilst climate change is serious, the transition to zero carbon needs to
    be managed, and starving 95% of the population to death, whilst
    undoubtedly effective, is not the best way to do it.


    You seem to have built yourself a straw man.

    So, maybe, the good doctor's fitness to practise does need to be examined?


    I suspect the good doctor's arguments are significantly different and
    more plausible than your straw man. The sign she was holding read "No
    new oil". Note the use of "new". I left it out of the title, because I
    thought people would understand the gist of her argument, but apparently
    not.

    Note, I'm not saying I agree with her position, I just recognise that it
    is a sensible position.

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  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to All on Sat Apr 20 22:08:30 2024
    On 20 Apr 2024 at 12:11:50 BST, "Martin Harran" <martinharran@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On 19 Apr 2024 23:31:21 GMT, Roger Hayter <roger@hayter.org> wrote:

    On 19 Apr 2024 at 23:05:10 BST, "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On 19/04/2024 11:42, GB wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 19:45, Colin Bignell wrote:

    Anybody working for the health services in the UK has to declare >>>>>>> criminal convictions and may be subject to a review of whether that >>>>>>> could affect their fitness to work in the NHS. Could be struck off >>>>>>> makes a much better headline than might get a slapped wrist or might >>>>>>> have no action taken.


    Even so, the hearing is over a week long, which in itself is a
    punishment. Her defence costs will be considerable,

    All of which could have been avoided by not getting a criminal
    conviction in the first place.

    That's rather begging the question. The point the OP was making is that >>>> there must be a filter mechanism in place, for the GMC to decide which >>>> cases deserve a full tribunal hearing, and it's not clear why oil
    protesters have been flagged up for a hearing.

    The "filter mechanism", to use your term, is "a conviction resulting in
    the imposition of a custodial sentence, whether immediate or suspended". >>>
    In the instant case, the doctor self-reported each arrest and the
    subsequent imprisonment, as she was required to do.

    Once the report of the imprisonment had been received, the rule is that
    "the Registrar shall refer an allegation falling within section
    35C(2)(c) of the Act relating to a conviction resulting in the
    imposition of a custodial sentence, whether immediate or suspended,
    directly to the MPTS for them to arrange for it to be considered by a
    Medical Practitioners Tribunal."

    It is perhaps reasonable of the GMC to have treated this custodial sentence in
    the same way as one resulting from a conviction, but I am not sure, as it did
    not result from a conviction, that they were obliged to do so.

    How is it *not* a conviction?


    In the same way that a cabbage is not a conviction. It is a worthy thing in
    its own way, but not a conviction.


    --

    Roger Hayter

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  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to NOTsomeone@microsoft.invalid on Sat Apr 20 22:17:23 2024
    On 20 Apr 2024 at 10:40:39 BST, "GB" <NOTsomeone@microsoft.invalid> wrote:

    On 19/04/2024 21:03, Mark Goodge wrote:
    On Fri, 19 Apr 2024 11:46:40 +0100, GB <NOTsomeone@microsoft.invalid> wrote: >>
    On 18/04/2024 17:31, Mark Goodge wrote:

    In this particular case, I think she will avoid any significant sanctions. >>>> But she can't avoid the review itself, since that's *an automatic consequence
    of a conviction*.

    Do you have a reference for that? I wouldn't expect a doctor convicted
    for speeding to be hauled before a tribunal. But ICBW.

    The GMC's website says that medical professionals they regulate will be
    referred to a tribunal for "a criminal conviction or caution"[1]. It doesn't >> go into detail, but I suspect that offences (eg, speeding) dealt with by
    means of an FPN don't count, as they don't appear on your criminal record
    either. My presumption is that it's only recordable offences, as defined by >> PACE (ie, offences which will appear on a standard DBS check), which would >> trigger a referral by the GMC to a tribunal. But anything which carries a
    prison sentence (whether imposed or not) is recordable.

    [1] https://tinyurl.com/yp9aer94 as shortened from
    https://www.gmc-uk.org/concerns/information-for-doctors-under-investigation/our-sanctions/referral-for-a-hearing-at-the-mpts

    Mark



    Thanks for the reference. It also says:

    "We also consider whether the doctor’s failings are easily remediable, whether they have been remedied (and to what extent), and whether they
    are likely to be repeated.

    Case examiners can recommend that the doctor is invited to comply with undertakings, without the need for a medical practitioners tribunal
    hearing, where that would be sufficient to protect patients and maintain public confidence."

    I think that an undertaking would have been sufficient, but, alas, I
    don't think the doctor was prepared to sign one.

    Even so, given that a severe sanction seems unlikely, a tribunal hearing seems like a waste of public money. Not to mention the doctor's.

    I think you are mistaken about severe sanctions being unlikely. It is government policy to exclude political dissidents ("extremists" - very Orwellian) from public life, and the GMC is fawingly supportive of the government. Especially when punishing NHS whistleblowers.

    My prediction is suspension of registration to be reviewed subject to her giving up political activism.


    --
    Roger Hayter

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  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to JNugent on Sat Apr 20 22:21:40 2024
    On 20 Apr 2024 at 13:52:29 BST, "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote:

    On 19/04/2024 07:57 pm, Roger Hayter wrote:
    On 19 Apr 2024 at 11:08:13 BST, "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote:

    On 18/04/2024 07:20 pm, Roger Hayter wrote:

    On 18 Apr 2024 at 17:20:48 BST, "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote: >>>>> On 18/04/2024 11:04 am, Pancho wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for
    protesting,

    Is there an offence of "protesting"?
    The offence must be something that would have been illegal whether or >>>>> not deployed as part of a protest.

    You are mistaken. The "offence" was to do something which breached a civil >>>> injunction, which act might otherwise have been completely legal.

    A bit like an ASBO (or whatever the current name for that is), in effect. >>>
    For perfectly valid reasons of which we are aware and do not need to
    discuss, behaviour which is ostensibly lawful - such as knocking on your >>> front door at 01:00 - might be the subject of a legal prohibition order. >>> Breaching such an order, whether it is one operating in general within
    an area or applying specifically to the individual is subject to sanction. >>>
    Is this not well-known?


    Breaching an ASBO *is* (or at least usually is) a criminal offence. ASBOs are
    part of the criminal law, not civil injunctions.

    And that is why I used the phrase "a bit like an ASBO".

    And it is a bit like an ASBO, certainly in its effect.

    What would be the point in a court issuing injunctions which cannot be enforced by sanction?

    In the case of the ASBO it is a criminal sanction. In the case of the Doctor
    it is a civil sanction. In a legal newsgroup surely legal niceties should not be disregarded purely for rhetorical reasons?





    breaching an interim injunction, etc. What I don't
    understand is what this has to with her ability to act as a GP. Why she >>>>>> could be struck off the medical register?

    Within reason, professions require practitioners to be of good character. >>>>> Convictions for certain types of offence (not all) will breach that
    requirement.


    --
    Roger Hayter

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  • From Colin Bignell@21:1/5 to Pancho on Sun Apr 21 07:41:12 2024
    On 20/04/2024 21:45, Pancho wrote:
    On 20/04/2024 11:15, GB wrote:
    On 20/04/2024 01:28, Jon Ribbens wrote:

    Well since she has been engaging in meritorious conduct, one would hope
    that they have been convened to consider if she should be awarded some
    sort of award.

    JSO have the same mentality as those who blame the sugar companies for
    people ruining their health with sugar. It's convenient to blame
    someone else, rather than taking responsibility for the crap we choose
    to stuff into ourselves.


    That isn't fair. Sugar is a personal choice, air pollution affects other people.

    If we simply stopped using oil overnight, our present society could
    not function, and we would have mass starvation. In medieval times,
    this country could only support a population of around 3 million, and
    without power that's roughly the population that could be supported now.


    The idea is not to stop oil overnight, but to apply pressure to restrict
    oil supply, no new fields, and thus promote the development of
    alternatives. It seems sensible to do this. Indeed it is similar to the
    idea behind Carbon Credits....

    Around one third of all oil consumption is for non fuel uses, such as
    making the blades for wind turbines. Some plastics can be made from
    plant oils, but that needs lots of land, which is likely to result in wholescale deforestation.


    --
    Colin Bignell

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  • From GB@21:1/5 to Jon Ribbens on Sun Apr 21 11:38:24 2024
    On 20/04/2024 23:27, Jon Ribbens wrote:
    On 2024-04-20, GB <NOTsomeone@microsoft.invalid> wrote:
    On 20/04/2024 01:28, Jon Ribbens wrote:
    Well since she has been engaging in meritorious conduct, one would hope
    that they have been convened to consider if she should be awarded some
    sort of award.

    JSO have the same mentality as those who blame the sugar companies for
    people ruining their health with sugar. It's convenient to blame someone
    else, rather than taking responsibility for the crap we choose to stuff
    into ourselves.

    If we simply stopped using oil overnight

    Are you somehow under the impression that that is something that
    someone has demanded?



    Let's think about the sign she was actually holding up: "No new oil".
    Oil fields have a limited lifespan, and oil companies typically work on
    a cycle where they have around 10 years production in hand.

    So, no new oil means no oil at all in 10 years. Which is practically
    overnight.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From GB@21:1/5 to Colin Bignell on Sun Apr 21 11:44:07 2024
    On 20/04/2024 21:13, Colin Bignell wrote:
    On 20/04/2024 10:25, GB wrote:
    On 19/04/2024 18:27, Colin Bignell wrote:
    On 19/04/2024 14:46, GB wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 20:12, Simon Parker wrote:


    Similarly, there can be no doubt that her having been imprisoned
    for 31 days for having breached aforementioned court order on
    numerous occasions did have something of a negative effect on her
    "performance delivering GP services" during the period of her
    imprisonment.

    That's a poor point, Simon, as she wouldn't face a tribunal for
    failing to deliver GP services because she had become ill, for example. >>>
    Falling ill is not avoidable. Breaching an injunction is.

    That's also a poor point. The doctor might have become injured whilst
    taking part in some highly dangerous pastime.

    I would not classify that as falling ill.


    I think you must have missed where I wrote "for example"?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From JNugent@21:1/5 to Roger Hayter on Sun Apr 21 12:51:21 2024
    On 20/04/2024 11:21 pm, Roger Hayter wrote:
    On 20 Apr 2024 at 13:52:29 BST, "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote:

    On 19/04/2024 07:57 pm, Roger Hayter wrote:
    On 19 Apr 2024 at 11:08:13 BST, "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote:

    On 18/04/2024 07:20 pm, Roger Hayter wrote:

    On 18 Apr 2024 at 17:20:48 BST, "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote: >>>>>> On 18/04/2024 11:04 am, Pancho wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for
    protesting,

    Is there an offence of "protesting"?
    The offence must be something that would have been illegal whether or >>>>>> not deployed as part of a protest.

    You are mistaken. The "offence" was to do something which breached a civil
    injunction, which act might otherwise have been completely legal.

    A bit like an ASBO (or whatever the current name for that is), in effect. >>>>
    For perfectly valid reasons of which we are aware and do not need to
    discuss, behaviour which is ostensibly lawful - such as knocking on your >>>> front door at 01:00 - might be the subject of a legal prohibition order. >>>> Breaching such an order, whether it is one operating in general within >>>> an area or applying specifically to the individual is subject to sanction. >>>>
    Is this not well-known?


    Breaching an ASBO *is* (or at least usually is) a criminal offence. ASBOs are
    part of the criminal law, not civil injunctions.

    And that is why I used the phrase "a bit like an ASBO".

    And it is a bit like an ASBO, certainly in its effect.

    What would be the point in a court issuing injunctions which cannot be
    enforced by sanction?

    In the case of the ASBO it is a criminal sanction. In the case of the Doctor it is a civil sanction. In a legal newsgroup surely legal niceties should not be disregarded purely for rhetorical reasons?

    They are both legally-created.

    Are you claiming that a "civil injunction" is not the slightest bit like
    an ASBO?

    Really?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Jon Ribbens@21:1/5 to NOTsomeone@microsoft.invalid on Sun Apr 21 12:27:23 2024
    On 2024-04-21, GB <NOTsomeone@microsoft.invalid> wrote:
    On 20/04/2024 23:27, Jon Ribbens wrote:
    On 2024-04-20, GB <NOTsomeone@microsoft.invalid> wrote:
    If we simply stopped using oil overnight

    Are you somehow under the impression that that is something that
    someone has demanded?

    Let's think about the sign she was actually holding up: "No new oil".
    Oil fields have a limited lifespan, and oil companies typically work on
    a cycle where they have around 10 years production in hand.

    So, no new oil means no oil at all in 10 years. Which is practically overnight.

    I don't believe that for a moment.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Mark Goodge@21:1/5 to Roger Hayter on Sun Apr 21 13:36:53 2024
    On 20 Apr 2024 22:21:40 GMT, Roger Hayter <roger@hayter.org> wrote:

    On 20 Apr 2024 at 13:52:29 BST, "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote:


    What would be the point in a court issuing injunctions which cannot be
    enforced by sanction?

    In the case of the ASBO it is a criminal sanction. In the case of the Doctor >it is a civil sanction. In a legal newsgroup surely legal niceties should not >be disregarded purely for rhetorical reasons?

    The distinction between civil and criminal contempt of court isn't as
    clear-cut as that. By and large, criminal contempt is committed in the court (eg, by being disruptive) and civil contempt is committed outside it (eg, by breaching an injunction or restriction), but both types of contempt can
    apply to both civil and criminal courts, and there are exceptions to both general rules. Both have similar penalties - there's no sense in which
    criminal contempt is considered more serious than civil contempt - and
    someone accused of either is entitled to criminal legal aid if eligible. In some cases, the question of whether someone is accused of civil or criminal contempt can come down to matters of procedural convenience rather than depending on the nature of the actions which amount to contempt.

    So I think it's perfectly reasonable for the GMC, or any other regulatory
    body, to treat civil and criminal contempt in the same way. Otherwise,
    someone guilty of a serious civil contempt would be treated more leniently
    than someone guilty of a relatively trivial criminal contempt, which would
    be contrary to natural justice. Basing the threshold for disciplinary action
    on the level of the punishment (ie, in this case, imprisonment), rather than the precise nature of the offence leading to it is both more consistent and easier to administer.

    Mark

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Colin Bignell@21:1/5 to All on Sun Apr 21 14:31:09 2024
    On 21/04/2024 11:44, GB wrote:
    On 20/04/2024 21:13, Colin Bignell wrote:
    On 20/04/2024 10:25, GB wrote:
    On 19/04/2024 18:27, Colin Bignell wrote:
    On 19/04/2024 14:46, GB wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 20:12, Simon Parker wrote:


    Similarly, there can be no doubt that her having been imprisoned
    for 31 days for having breached aforementioned court order on
    numerous occasions did have something of a negative effect on her
    "performance delivering GP services" during the period of her
    imprisonment.

    That's a poor point, Simon, as she wouldn't face a tribunal for
    failing to deliver GP services because she had become ill, for
    example.

    Falling ill is not avoidable. Breaching an injunction is.

    That's also a poor point. The doctor might have become injured whilst
    taking part in some highly dangerous pastime.

    I would not classify that as falling ill.


    I think you must have missed where I wrote "for example"?

    Not at all, but I took that to mean events that are beyond the control
    of the person involved.

    --
    Colin Bignell

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to JNugent on Sun Apr 21 12:46:44 2024
    On 21 Apr 2024 at 12:51:21 BST, "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote:

    On 20/04/2024 11:21 pm, Roger Hayter wrote:
    On 20 Apr 2024 at 13:52:29 BST, "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote:

    On 19/04/2024 07:57 pm, Roger Hayter wrote:
    On 19 Apr 2024 at 11:08:13 BST, "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote:

    On 18/04/2024 07:20 pm, Roger Hayter wrote:

    On 18 Apr 2024 at 17:20:48 BST, "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote: >>>>>>> On 18/04/2024 11:04 am, Pancho wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for
    protesting,

    Is there an offence of "protesting"?
    The offence must be something that would have been illegal whether or >>>>>>> not deployed as part of a protest.

    You are mistaken. The "offence" was to do something which breached a civil
    injunction, which act might otherwise have been completely legal.

    A bit like an ASBO (or whatever the current name for that is), in effect. >>>>>
    For perfectly valid reasons of which we are aware and do not need to >>>>> discuss, behaviour which is ostensibly lawful - such as knocking on your >>>>> front door at 01:00 - might be the subject of a legal prohibition order. >>>>> Breaching such an order, whether it is one operating in general within >>>>> an area or applying specifically to the individual is subject to sanction.

    Is this not well-known?


    Breaching an ASBO *is* (or at least usually is) a criminal offence. ASBOs are
    part of the criminal law, not civil injunctions.

    And that is why I used the phrase "a bit like an ASBO".

    And it is a bit like an ASBO, certainly in its effect.

    What would be the point in a court issuing injunctions which cannot be
    enforced by sanction?

    In the case of the ASBO it is a criminal sanction. In the case of the Doctor >> it is a civil sanction. In a legal newsgroup surely legal niceties should not
    be disregarded purely for rhetorical reasons?

    They are both legally-created.

    Are you claiming that a "civil injunction" is not the slightest bit like
    an ASBO?

    Really?

    So's planning permission legally created. Are you really saying that being refused planning permission is just as culpable as murder?


    --
    Roger Hayter

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to usenet@listmail.good-stuff.co.uk on Sun Apr 21 13:57:41 2024
    On 21 Apr 2024 at 13:36:53 BST, "Mark Goodge" <usenet@listmail.good-stuff.co.uk> wrote:

    On 20 Apr 2024 22:21:40 GMT, Roger Hayter <roger@hayter.org> wrote:

    On 20 Apr 2024 at 13:52:29 BST, "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote:


    What would be the point in a court issuing injunctions which cannot be
    enforced by sanction?

    In the case of the ASBO it is a criminal sanction. In the case of the Doctor >> it is a civil sanction. In a legal newsgroup surely legal niceties should not
    be disregarded purely for rhetorical reasons?

    The distinction between civil and criminal contempt of court isn't as clear-cut as that. By and large, criminal contempt is committed in the court (eg, by being disruptive) and civil contempt is committed outside it (eg, by breaching an injunction or restriction), but both types of contempt can
    apply to both civil and criminal courts, and there are exceptions to both general rules. Both have similar penalties - there's no sense in which criminal contempt is considered more serious than civil contempt - and someone accused of either is entitled to criminal legal aid if eligible. In some cases, the question of whether someone is accused of civil or criminal contempt can come down to matters of procedural convenience rather than depending on the nature of the actions which amount to contempt.

    So I think it's perfectly reasonable for the GMC, or any other regulatory body, to treat civil and criminal contempt in the same way. Otherwise, someone guilty of a serious civil contempt would be treated more leniently than someone guilty of a relatively trivial criminal contempt, which would
    be contrary to natural justice. Basing the threshold for disciplinary action on the level of the punishment (ie, in this case, imprisonment), rather than the precise nature of the offence leading to it is both more consistent and easier to administer.

    Mark

    I think that is perfectly reasonable too! But someone, who I believe should know better, quoted a statute that compels the GMC to hold a hearing in the case of a criminal conviction leading to a custodial sentence and claimed it applied to this case. I am pointing out that this is untrue. I am not in any way claiming that it was unreasonable for the GP to hold a hearing in this case.


    --
    Roger Hayter

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From JNugent@21:1/5 to Roger Hayter on Sun Apr 21 15:31:11 2024
    On 21/04/2024 01:46 pm, Roger Hayter wrote:
    On 21 Apr 2024 at 12:51:21 BST, "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote:

    On 20/04/2024 11:21 pm, Roger Hayter wrote:
    On 20 Apr 2024 at 13:52:29 BST, "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote:

    On 19/04/2024 07:57 pm, Roger Hayter wrote:
    On 19 Apr 2024 at 11:08:13 BST, "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote: >>>>>
    On 18/04/2024 07:20 pm, Roger Hayter wrote:

    On 18 Apr 2024 at 17:20:48 BST, "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote: >>>>>>>> On 18/04/2024 11:04 am, Pancho wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for >>>>>>>>> protesting,

    Is there an offence of "protesting"?
    The offence must be something that would have been illegal whether or >>>>>>>> not deployed as part of a protest.

    You are mistaken. The "offence" was to do something which breached a civil
    injunction, which act might otherwise have been completely legal. >>>>>>
    A bit like an ASBO (or whatever the current name for that is), in effect.

    For perfectly valid reasons of which we are aware and do not need to >>>>>> discuss, behaviour which is ostensibly lawful - such as knocking on your >>>>>> front door at 01:00 - might be the subject of a legal prohibition order. >>>>>> Breaching such an order, whether it is one operating in general within >>>>>> an area or applying specifically to the individual is subject to sanction.

    Is this not well-known?


    Breaching an ASBO *is* (or at least usually is) a criminal offence. ASBOs are
    part of the criminal law, not civil injunctions.

    And that is why I used the phrase "a bit like an ASBO".

    And it is a bit like an ASBO, certainly in its effect.

    What would be the point in a court issuing injunctions which cannot be >>>> enforced by sanction?

    In the case of the ASBO it is a criminal sanction. In the case of the Doctor
    it is a civil sanction. In a legal newsgroup surely legal niceties should not
    be disregarded purely for rhetorical reasons?

    They are both legally-created.

    Are you claiming that a "civil injunction" is not the slightest bit like
    an ASBO?

    Really?

    So's planning permission legally created. Are you really saying that being refused planning permission is just as culpable as murder?

    Is it necessary for me to write a response to that?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to All on Sun Apr 21 21:18:03 2024
    On 21 Apr 2024 at 20:07:33 BST, "Martin Harran" <martinharran@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Sat, 20 Apr 2024 22:33:19 -0000 (UTC), Jon Ribbens <jon+usenet@unequivocal.eu> wrote:

    On 2024-04-20, Martin Harran <martinharran@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 19 Apr 2024 23:31:21 GMT, Roger Hayter <roger@hayter.org> wrote:
    On 19 Apr 2024 at 23:05:10 BST, "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> >>>> wrote:
    Once the report of the imprisonment had been received, the rule is that >>>>> "the Registrar shall refer an allegation falling within section
    35C(2)(c) of the Act relating to a conviction resulting in the
    imposition of a custodial sentence, whether immediate or suspended,
    directly to the MPTS for them to arrange for it to be considered by a >>>>> Medical Practitioners Tribunal."

    It is perhaps reasonable of the GMC to have treated this custodial
    sentence in the same way as one resulting from a conviction, but I am
    not sure, as it did not result from a conviction, that they were
    obliged to do so.

    How is it *not* a conviction?

    She was imprisoned for breach of a civil injunction, which is not
    a criminal offence. So it is no sense a "conviction".

    According to newspaper reports, she was jailed for contempt of court;
    is that not a crime?

    It can be, but is not in this case.

    --
    Roger Hayter

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Jon Ribbens@21:1/5 to Martin Harran on Sun Apr 21 21:29:10 2024
    On 2024-04-21, Martin Harran <martinharran@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Sat, 20 Apr 2024 22:33:19 -0000 (UTC), Jon Ribbens
    <jon+usenet@unequivocal.eu> wrote:

    On 2024-04-20, Martin Harran <martinharran@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 19 Apr 2024 23:31:21 GMT, Roger Hayter <roger@hayter.org> wrote:
    On 19 Apr 2024 at 23:05:10 BST, "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> >>>>wrote:
    Once the report of the imprisonment had been received, the rule is that >>>>> "the Registrar shall refer an allegation falling within section
    35C(2)(c) of the Act relating to a conviction resulting in the
    imposition of a custodial sentence, whether immediate or suspended,
    directly to the MPTS for them to arrange for it to be considered by a >>>>> Medical Practitioners Tribunal."

    It is perhaps reasonable of the GMC to have treated this custodial >>>>sentence in the same way as one resulting from a conviction, but I am >>>>not sure, as it did not result from a conviction, that they were >>>>obliged to do so.

    How is it *not* a conviction?

    She was imprisoned for breach of a civil injunction, which is not
    a criminal offence. So it is no sense a "conviction".

    According to newspaper reports, she was jailed for contempt of court;
    is that not a crime?

    Civil contempt is not a crime.

    We discussed this here in November 2022 in the thread "My day on the
    M25".

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Jon Ribbens@21:1/5 to Martin Harran on Mon Apr 22 10:40:41 2024
    On 2024-04-22, Martin Harran <martinharran@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Sun, 21 Apr 2024 21:29:10 -0000 (UTC), Jon Ribbens
    <jon+usenet@unequivocal.eu> wrote:

    On 2024-04-21, Martin Harran <martinharran@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Sat, 20 Apr 2024 22:33:19 -0000 (UTC), Jon Ribbens >>><jon+usenet@unequivocal.eu> wrote:

    On 2024-04-20, Martin Harran <martinharran@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 19 Apr 2024 23:31:21 GMT, Roger Hayter <roger@hayter.org> wrote: >>>>>>On 19 Apr 2024 at 23:05:10 BST, "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> >>>>>>wrote:
    Once the report of the imprisonment had been received, the rule is that >>>>>>> "the Registrar shall refer an allegation falling within section
    35C(2)(c) of the Act relating to a conviction resulting in the
    imposition of a custodial sentence, whether immediate or suspended, >>>>>>> directly to the MPTS for them to arrange for it to be considered by a >>>>>>> Medical Practitioners Tribunal."

    It is perhaps reasonable of the GMC to have treated this custodial >>>>>>sentence in the same way as one resulting from a conviction, but I am >>>>>>not sure, as it did not result from a conviction, that they were >>>>>>obliged to do so.

    How is it *not* a conviction?

    She was imprisoned for breach of a civil injunction, which is not
    a criminal offence. So it is no sense a "conviction".

    According to newspaper reports, she was jailed for contempt of court;
    is that not a crime?

    Civil contempt is not a crime.

    We discussed this here in November 2022 in the thread "My day on the
    M25".

    Sorry, I have no appetite for ploughing through a thread from 18
    months ago with over 600 posts in it. Care to summarise how it is not
    a crime?

    Sure. It is not a crime because there is no law that makes it a crime.
    It is not a crime in the same way that stepping on the cracks in the
    pavement is not a crime.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From GB@21:1/5 to Jon Ribbens on Mon Apr 22 13:10:39 2024
    On 21/04/2024 13:27, Jon Ribbens wrote:
    On 2024-04-21, GB <NOTsomeone@microsoft.invalid> wrote:
    On 20/04/2024 23:27, Jon Ribbens wrote:
    On 2024-04-20, GB <NOTsomeone@microsoft.invalid> wrote:
    If we simply stopped using oil overnight

    Are you somehow under the impression that that is something that
    someone has demanded?

    Let's think about the sign she was actually holding up: "No new oil".
    Oil fields have a limited lifespan, and oil companies typically work on
    a cycle where they have around 10 years production in hand.

    So, no new oil means no oil at all in 10 years. Which is practically
    overnight.

    I don't believe that for a moment.


    Interesting prejudice. :)

    Maybe, you'd like to check?
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_oil_fields

    World consumption is currently 82 mb/d

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From GB@21:1/5 to Colin Bignell on Mon Apr 22 13:15:41 2024
    On 21/04/2024 14:31, Colin Bignell wrote:
    On 21/04/2024 11:44, GB wrote:
    On 20/04/2024 21:13, Colin Bignell wrote:
    On 20/04/2024 10:25, GB wrote:
    On 19/04/2024 18:27, Colin Bignell wrote:
    On 19/04/2024 14:46, GB wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 20:12, Simon Parker wrote:


    Similarly, there can be no doubt that her having been imprisoned >>>>>>> for 31 days for having breached aforementioned court order on
    numerous occasions did have something of a negative effect on her >>>>>>> "performance delivering GP services" during the period of her
    imprisonment.

    That's a poor point, Simon, as she wouldn't face a tribunal for
    failing to deliver GP services because she had become ill, for
    example.

    Falling ill is not avoidable. Breaching an injunction is.

    That's also a poor point. The doctor might have become injured
    whilst taking part in some highly dangerous pastime.

    I would not classify that as falling ill.


    I think you must have missed where I wrote "for example"?

    Not at all, but I took that to mean events that are beyond the control
    of the person involved.



    It's a matter of debate whether injuring yourself hang-gliding is beyond
    the control of the individual, but I'm sure you'd agree that a doctor
    who is unable to see patients because of that would not be hauled before
    a tribunal.

    Similarly, a GP who wilfully chose to retire would not face a tribunal.

    So, I think we have conclusively proved that Simon's point about
    'failing to deliver GP services' is a poor one. Why you chose to debate
    that is beyond me, Colin.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Jon Ribbens@21:1/5 to Martin Harran on Mon Apr 22 13:00:24 2024
    On 2024-04-22, Martin Harran <martinharran@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Mon, 22 Apr 2024 10:40:41 -0000 (UTC), Jon Ribbens
    <jon+usenet@unequivocal.eu> wrote:

    On 2024-04-22, Martin Harran <martinharran@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Sun, 21 Apr 2024 21:29:10 -0000 (UTC), Jon Ribbens >>><jon+usenet@unequivocal.eu> wrote:

    On 2024-04-21, Martin Harran <martinharran@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Sat, 20 Apr 2024 22:33:19 -0000 (UTC), Jon Ribbens >>>>><jon+usenet@unequivocal.eu> wrote:

    On 2024-04-20, Martin Harran <martinharran@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 19 Apr 2024 23:31:21 GMT, Roger Hayter <roger@hayter.org> wrote: >>>>>>>>On 19 Apr 2024 at 23:05:10 BST, "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com>
    wrote:
    Once the report of the imprisonment had been received, the rule is that
    "the Registrar shall refer an allegation falling within section >>>>>>>>> 35C(2)(c) of the Act relating to a conviction resulting in the >>>>>>>>> imposition of a custodial sentence, whether immediate or suspended, >>>>>>>>> directly to the MPTS for them to arrange for it to be considered by a >>>>>>>>> Medical Practitioners Tribunal."

    It is perhaps reasonable of the GMC to have treated this custodial >>>>>>>>sentence in the same way as one resulting from a conviction, but I am >>>>>>>>not sure, as it did not result from a conviction, that they were >>>>>>>>obliged to do so.

    How is it *not* a conviction?

    She was imprisoned for breach of a civil injunction, which is not
    a criminal offence. So it is no sense a "conviction".

    According to newspaper reports, she was jailed for contempt of court; >>>>> is that not a crime?

    Civil contempt is not a crime.

    We discussed this here in November 2022 in the thread "My day on the >>>>M25".

    Sorry, I have no appetite for ploughing through a thread from 18
    months ago with over 600 posts in it. Care to summarise how it is not
    a crime?

    Sure. It is not a crime because there is no law that makes it a crime.
    It is not a crime in the same way that stepping on the cracks in the >>pavement is not a crime.

    Perhaps I've led a sheltered life but I've never known anyone get sent
    to jail for stepping on the cracks in the pavement.

    Ok. What's your point? I don't know what you want me to tell you.

    As has already been mentioned by myself and others, you can go to prison
    for some things which are not criminal offences. See for example
    the 'Civil prisoners' section of this web page:

    https://prisonreformtrust.org.uk/adviceguide/unconvicted-unsentenced-and-civil-prisoners/

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Jon Ribbens@21:1/5 to NOTsomeone@microsoft.invalid on Mon Apr 22 12:57:21 2024
    On 2024-04-22, GB <NOTsomeone@microsoft.invalid> wrote:
    On 21/04/2024 13:27, Jon Ribbens wrote:
    On 2024-04-21, GB <NOTsomeone@microsoft.invalid> wrote:
    On 20/04/2024 23:27, Jon Ribbens wrote:
    On 2024-04-20, GB <NOTsomeone@microsoft.invalid> wrote:
    If we simply stopped using oil overnight

    Are you somehow under the impression that that is something that
    someone has demanded?

    Let's think about the sign she was actually holding up: "No new oil".
    Oil fields have a limited lifespan, and oil companies typically work on
    a cycle where they have around 10 years production in hand.

    So, no new oil means no oil at all in 10 years. Which is practically
    overnight.

    I don't believe that for a moment.

    Interesting prejudice. :)

    I don't know what you mean by "prejudice" there.

    Maybe, you'd like to check?
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_oil_fields

    I don't know what you expect that to tell me.

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  • From Colin Bignell@21:1/5 to All on Mon Apr 22 14:42:17 2024
    On 22/04/2024 13:10, GB wrote:
    On 21/04/2024 13:27, Jon Ribbens wrote:
    On 2024-04-21, GB <NOTsomeone@microsoft.invalid> wrote:
    On 20/04/2024 23:27, Jon Ribbens wrote:
    On 2024-04-20, GB <NOTsomeone@microsoft.invalid> wrote:
    If we simply stopped using oil overnight

    Are you somehow under the impression that that is something that
    someone has demanded?

    Let's think about the sign she was actually holding up: "No new oil".
    Oil fields have a limited lifespan, and oil companies typically work on
    a cycle where they have around 10 years production in hand.

    So, no new oil means no oil at all in 10 years. Which is practically
    overnight.

    I don't believe that for a moment.


    Interesting prejudice. :)

    Maybe, you'd like to check?
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_oil_fields

    World consumption is currently 82 mb/d

    However, it should be noted that those figures are proved reserves +
    cumulative production. Proved reserves are those at P90, i.e. there is a
    90% probability that that amount, or more, exists in a field. If you use
    P50, or proved + probable reserves, there is an awful lot more oil
    around than at P90.

    --
    Colin Bignell

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  • From Colin Bignell@21:1/5 to All on Mon Apr 22 15:33:39 2024
    On 22/04/2024 13:15, GB wrote:
    On 21/04/2024 14:31, Colin Bignell wrote:
    On 21/04/2024 11:44, GB wrote:
    On 20/04/2024 21:13, Colin Bignell wrote:
    On 20/04/2024 10:25, GB wrote:
    On 19/04/2024 18:27, Colin Bignell wrote:
    On 19/04/2024 14:46, GB wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 20:12, Simon Parker wrote:


    Similarly, there can be no doubt that her having been imprisoned >>>>>>>> for 31 days for having breached aforementioned court order on
    numerous occasions did have something of a negative effect on
    her "performance delivering GP services" during the period of
    her imprisonment.

    That's a poor point, Simon, as she wouldn't face a tribunal for
    failing to deliver GP services because she had become ill, for
    example.

    Falling ill is not avoidable. Breaching an injunction is.

    That's also a poor point. The doctor might have become injured
    whilst taking part in some highly dangerous pastime.

    I would not classify that as falling ill.


    I think you must have missed where I wrote "for example"?

    Not at all, but I took that to mean events that are beyond the control
    of the person involved.



    It's a matter of debate whether injuring yourself hang-gliding is beyond
    the control of the individual, but I'm sure you'd agree that a doctor
    who is unable to see patients because of that would not be hauled before
    a tribunal.

    Similarly, a GP who wilfully chose to retire would not face a tribunal.

    So, I think we have conclusively proved that Simon's point about
    'failing to deliver GP services' is a poor one.  Why you chose to debate that is beyond me, Colin.

    Probably because I disagree with you about that conclusion.

    --
    Colin Bignell

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  • From Mark Goodge@21:1/5 to All on Mon Apr 22 17:30:21 2024
    On Mon, 22 Apr 2024 15:00:36 +0100, Simon Parker <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> wrote:

    When drafting the order that became the SI back in 2004, I do not
    believe that the GMC turned their minds to the fact that one could be >imprisoned for breaching a civil injunction for contempt of court but
    rather that they saw imprisonment, even if suspended, as mandating an >appearance before a tribunal. I've spoken with a friend that's a GP
    over the weekend, and his thoughts, without referring to the precise
    wording of anything, is that all doctors know and understand that a
    custodial sentence of any description will land one before an MPTS tribunal.

    That sounds entirely plausible.

    When I pointed out the precise wording of the Order in force, he
    response was: "Well that will be changed the next time they amend it."

    I suspect he's right.

    In an unusual stance for me to take, I think there is too much splitting
    of hairs over the difference between civil and criminal contempt and the >emphasis on a "criminal conviction leading to a custodial sentence" when
    it is clear that the "red line" for the GMC is imprisonment and that as
    this occurred in this case there must be an MPTS tribunal.

    Contempt of court is a strange beast, and the distinction between civil contempt and criminal contempt isn't necessarily intuitive. It probably all ought to be properly defined in statute rather than the current half and
    half of statute law and common law.

    Mark

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  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to All on Mon Apr 22 14:43:54 2024
    On 22 Apr 2024 at 14:40:43 BST, "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 20/04/2024 00:31, Roger Hayter wrote:
    On 19 Apr 2024 at 23:05:10 BST, "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On 19/04/2024 11:42, GB wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 19:45, Colin Bignell wrote:

    Anybody working for the health services in the UK has to declare >>>>>>> criminal convictions and may be subject to a review of whether that >>>>>>> could affect their fitness to work in the NHS. Could be struck off >>>>>>> makes a much better headline than might get a slapped wrist or might >>>>>>> have no action taken.


    Even so, the hearing is over a week long, which in itself is a
    punishment. Her defence costs will be considerable,

    All of which could have been avoided by not getting a criminal
    conviction in the first place.

    That's rather begging the question. The point the OP was making is that >>>> there must be a filter mechanism in place, for the GMC to decide which >>>> cases deserve a full tribunal hearing, and it's not clear why oil
    protesters have been flagged up for a hearing.

    The "filter mechanism", to use your term, is "a conviction resulting in
    the imposition of a custodial sentence, whether immediate or suspended". >>>
    In the instant case, the doctor self-reported each arrest and the
    subsequent imprisonment, as she was required to do.

    Once the report of the imprisonment had been received, the rule is that
    "the Registrar shall refer an allegation falling within section
    35C(2)(c) of the Act relating to a conviction resulting in the
    imposition of a custodial sentence, whether immediate or suspended,
    directly to the MPTS for them to arrange for it to be considered by a
    Medical Practitioners Tribunal."

    It is perhaps reasonable of the GMC to have treated this custodial sentence in
    the same way as one resulting from a conviction, but I am not sure, as it did
    not result from a conviction, that they were obliged to do so.

    For what is, or is not, reasonable of the GMC, I refer you the statement
    from the MPTS ahead of the tribunal setting out the details of the
    hearing of which, incidentally, I posted a copy in Message-ID: <l8cicrFc729U27@mid.individual.net> in a direct reply to the OP's post
    within a couple of hours of it being made.

    In case you've forgotten:

    "The tribunal will inquire into the allegation that on 26 April 2022, 4
    May 2022 and 14 September 2022, Dr Benn engaged in peaceful protest
    within a prohibited buffer zone at Kingsbury Oil Terminal in breach of
    an interim injunction granted on 14 April 2022.

    "It is alleged that Dr Benn's actions amounted to a contempt of court
    and resulted in a custodial service."

    The facts of the tribunal's point of reference have been known and
    available since before the tribunal started.

    Regards

    S.P.

    Indeed. I was only remarking on the non-relevance of "allegation falling
    within section
    35C(2)(c) of the Act" which you quoted above. I was not seeking to disagree with how the GMC used its discretion, just pointing out that it had some.

    --

    Roger Hayter

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  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to All on Mon Apr 22 14:49:14 2024
    On 22 Apr 2024 at 14:41:12 BST, "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 20/04/2024 00:35, Roger Hayter wrote:
    On 19 Apr 2024 at 23:06:17 BST, "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On 19/04/2024 11:46, GB wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 17:31, Mark Goodge wrote:

    In this particular case, I think she will avoid any significant
    sanctions.
    But she can't avoid the review itself, since that's *an automatic
    consequence
    of a conviction*.

    Do you have a reference for that? I wouldn't expect a doctor convicted >>>> for speeding to be hauled before a tribunal. But ICBW.

    The General Medical Council (Fitness to Practise) Rules Order of Council >>> 2004, Rule 5.

    As detailed in a post elsewhere to the thread, for a conviction there is >>> some discretion and a Registrar may refer the matter to Case Examiners
    who may do the equivalent of issuing an NFA.

    However, the imposition of a custodial sentence, even a suspended one,
    is a mandatory referral to the MPTS who must arrange for a tribunal to
    consider the matter.

    Again, are convictions relevant to the case under discussion?

    Please replace the word "conviction" in my paragraph above with the word "arrest" as I shouldn't have used the word conviction.

    It is arrests that must be referred to the GMC, all of which are
    reviewed by Case Examiners, and custodial sentences that mandate a hearing.

    Regards

    S.P.

    Again, it is my reading of the relevant act that it is only custodial
    sentences following a criminal conviction that *mandate* a hearing. Though other custodial sentences are very likely indeed to lead to a discretionary hearing. As we see.

    --

    Roger Hayter

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  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to All on Mon Apr 22 15:20:51 2024
    On 22 Apr 2024 at 14:50:44 BST, "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 18/04/2024 21:35, Roger Hayter wrote:
    On 18 Apr 2024 at 20:12:02 BST, "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com>
    wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 17:11, Pancho wrote:

    Why? I was hoping someone would explain why they thought it is a good
    idea. I wondered if there was a reason other than providing an obvious >>>> mechanism to increase the power of the state to punish political
    dissidents.

    As I've just said in a parallel post to Jon Ribbens, both individual
    patients of a specific doctor and the wider public in general, must be
    able to trust that doctors will abide by the rule of law.

    Were that not the case, what happens if the court makes an order
    regarding a patient's treatment and a doctor refuses to comply with the
    court order because he doesn't agree with it?

    Provided that the doctor does not try to prevent the order being complied with
    then nothing! A court cannot normally order a particular doctor to carry out a
    treatment. Though perhaps they can order that a particular treatment is not >> carried out. At least, their employer may be upset by them not doing their >> work but that is entirely an employment matter, not legal or ethical
    obligation. No doctor should be forced to carry out treatment they do not
    agree with - we (or at least our newspapers) were quite upset when soviet
    psychiatrists were forced to treat political dissidents in the soviet union, >> why do we want that here?

    You miss the point.


    *I* miss the point? If you intended to refer to a doctor being forbidden to carry out a treatment by a court then you should have done so. But you didn't.




    --

    Roger Hayter

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  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to All on Mon Apr 22 14:58:02 2024
    On 22 Apr 2024 at 14:46:01 BST, "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 20/04/2024 01:28, Jon Ribbens wrote:
    On 2024-04-19, Simon Parker <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 22:06, Jon Ribbens wrote:
    On 2024-04-18, Simon Parker <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> wrote:

    The issue, which was made quite clear in my post, is that she has been >>>>> arrested on three separate occasions for breaching a court order which >>>>> led to her being imprisoned for 31 days.

    Ok. What's that got to do with anything?

    Each arrest required a referral to a Registrar of the GMC.

    The imposition of a custodial sentence required a mandatory MPTS Tribunal. >>>
    Contrariwise, attending a JSO protest did not require referral to a
    Registrar of the GMC.

    It is *nothing* to do with attending a JSO protest and *everything* to
    do with being arrested multiple times for breaching a court order and
    being imprisoned as a consequence.

    Ok. I'm glad you've finally googled that are now able to enlighten us :-)

    I think you mean, "Thank you for educating me as to the facts of the
    matter. I am glad one of us has a clue about these things as that makes
    for a far more productive exchange."

    And, of course, "You're welcome." :-)

    P.S. I have stated from the beginning that the issue was the arrests and imprisonment rather than the protest, so I don't know why you consider
    this a change of direction that required the use of Google?


    Let's say her former partner had obtained an injunction banning her from >>>>> coming within 200 metres of them and she'd been arrested on three
    separate occasions for breaching that order and then imprisoned for 31 >>>>> days as a result.

    Would you consider it reasonable for the MPTS to hold a tribunal in
    those circumstances and why do you so answer?

    I'd need to know more information, but it seems likely that it would
    be reasonable, because she would be demonstrating that she couldn't be >>>> trusted around people, which is kind've important for a doctor - unlike >>>> anything the doctor we are actually talking about has actually done.

    No further information is required, but thank you for confirming that
    you are posting from a position of ignorance.

    We are all posting from a position of ignorance.

    But some of us are more ignorant than others? :-)


    It is the natural state
    of humanity.

    There are many who will strive to defend the sanctity of ignorance and
    then expect others to be impressed with their efforts.


    But you didn't ask whether I "thought it was a legal or
    contractual requirement", you asked if I "considered it reasonable".
    I think you may need to re-evaluate your conclusions.

    I'm quite happy with my conclusions, thank you, and am confident no
    further evaluation is required nor will it be of any benefit to do so.


    And they are considering giving her a medal or other commendation on
    this basis?

    I do not believe they are considering giving her a medal or other
    commendation on this basis, no. Why do you think the tribunal has been
    convened?

    Well since she has been engaging in meritorious conduct, one would hope
    that they have been convened to consider if she should be awarded some
    sort of award.

    The precis issued in advance of the hearing by the MPTS mentioned
    neither "meritorious conduct" nor an "award". Are you sure you're not projecting rather than considering the facts of the matter?


    What on earth does any of that have to do with being potentially struck >>>> off the medical register (or suspended, or threatened with future
    suspensions or strikings-off, or whatever).

    I know you think she was 'fighting for a noble cause', (and I've been
    careful not to express an opinion on that either way), but she knew the
    consequences of being arrested and the likelihood of being imprisoned
    with each subsequent arrest. Furthermore, she knew that imprisonment
    would automatically trigger a tribunal.

    She can't now turn around and say, "Well this is most unexpected." or
    "This is most unfair." She knew the likely consequences of her actions. >>> she went ahead and did it anyway. She must now face the consequences, >>> whatever they may be.

    To her credit, she's actually said as much.

    Ok. None of that is an answer to my question, but good for you.
    You seem to be getting a bit muddled up between her employment
    and her GMC registration.

    There's no confusion on my part. You now seem to accept that others
    were affected by Dr Benn's imprisonment. I consider that progress and
    see no need to labour the point further.


    Ok, so I assume that you were, in an amnbiguous and convoluted way,
    saying that it is incredibly unlikely she will be struck off.

    There was nothing ambiguous or convoluted about it. Stating that [x]
    could happen 'in the same way' as [y] or [z] could happen, when it is
    known that [y] and [z] are incredibly unlikely events is a clear
    expression that I consider [x] to be as unlikely as [y] or [z].

    It is clear only if it is obvious that the unlikelihood of the event
    is the specific thing that you are referring to. You didn't mention that.

    I recommend looking up the word "idiom" in your dictionary of choice.
    Then consider that the generally accepted answer for the chances of
    being struck by a meteorite is one in 840,000,000 with a known recorded instance of precisely one person ever having been struck by a meteorite.


    You think that JSO is trying to influence the tribunal, rather than
    the public? That seems rather a long shot, especially if it is true
    that, as you apparently say, it is extremely unlikely that they would
    be considering striking-off regardless.

    Influencing the tribunal and the public are not mutually exclusive.
    Rather, whipping up the latter can be an indirect means of influencing
    the former, as I'm sure you know.

    Ah, so when you said that you expected "MPTS tribunal members" to
    "give the JSO press release the full consideration it deserves",
    that was a "clear expression" of your actual meaning, that you
    expect them to give the *public reaction* to the press release the
    full consideration *that* deserves. Obviously.

    I expect the MPTS tribunal members to ignore the JSO press release
    entirely. However, a part of the issue before the tribunal is the
    effect Dr Benn's actions had on the public and whether or not this
    affected their trust and confidence in the medical profession. Hence
    the desire for JSO to ensure there is a public outpouring of praise for
    Dr Benn to which you are clearly more than happy to lend your voice.
    (Ed: I don't believe MPTS tribunal members read ULM.)


    Personally, I find it quite right and proper that a doctor that breaches
    court orders on numerous occasions and is imprisoned as a result should >>>>>>> have their behaviour formally reviewed by their professional body. >>>>>>
    Because...?

    She deliberately breached court orders which may amount to a contempt of >>>>> court. Doctors literally have people's lives in their hands. A
    doctor's patients and the wider public at large must be able to trust a >>>>> doctor to abide by the rule of law.

    Because...?

    I recommend re-reading the above paragraph. The answer you seek is
    there if you look more carefully second time around.

    I've looked a second and even third time, and it still seems to me that
    you're just proclaiming an unsupported opinion.

    Let's posit an example to see if I can assist your understanding of the issue.

    An acquaintance of mine is a KC who specialises is medical cases, (he
    usually appears on behalf of CAFCASS), where there is a dispute between
    the doctors and the parents, and / or depending on the competency of the child, the child, as to the best course of action. Typically, the
    doctors wish to perform a medical procedure on a child, (or withdraw
    medical services in some cases), and the parents / child object. The
    matter is taken to court and the court issues an order that the
    procedure should / should not be carried out / that the equipment should
    be left in place for the time being / should be switched off. Assume a doctor disagrees with the order and places their personal belief ahead
    of that of the court and carries out the procedure / withdraws medical support in defiance of the court order.


    A court will never oblige a particular doctor to carry out a particular treatment. Clearly a doctor cannot carry out a different treatment in defiance of a court order, but he or she (unless perhaps they are the only person who can carry out a treatment, in which case the court will not have made such an order without their acquiescence)does not have to carry out the treatment, though clearly they should not impede it. In practice I do not believe a
    court will ever order a particular treatment unless a doctor is available who is willing to carry it out.




    "Ah, but that isn't what happened here!", I imagine you exclaiming. "Dr
    Benn was taking a principled stand for a cause in which she held strong beliefs that was nothing to do with medical treatments."

    The decision before the MTPS tribunal is whether or not it makes a difference. Can a doctor choose which orders of the court they obey if
    they want to remain a doctor, or must they obey them all regardless of
    their personal beliefs on the matter?

    I happened to be speaking to a friend that's a GP over the weekend and,
    when discussing the case, he described the MTPS' position as "difficult".


    I'm sure if you think about it for long enough you might be able to come >>>>>> up with an obscure and deeply-hidden reason why a *lawyer* breaking the >>>>>> *law* is a problem in a way that doesn't apply to people in most other >>>>>> professions.

    I respectfully disagree and invite you to read the following "Reasons" >>>>> from the Employment Tribunal that considered the case of Mr Niamke
    Doffou v Sainsbury's Supermarket's Limited earlier this year, recently >>>>> published and therefore in the news of late. [^1]

    Ok I've read that. What in the name of Samwise Gamgee do you think that >>>> a case involving a person being sacked by their employer for theft from >>>> said employer has even remotely to do with a MPTS tribunal considering >>>> a doctor who is not suspected of any wrongdoing against their employer, >>>> indeed not suspected of any dishonesty at all?

    Workers breaking the law, especially in regulated professions, has
    consequences beyond those that may be imposed by the legal system. In
    Mr Doffou's case, the value of the goods taken, and the possibility that >>> it may have been an inadvertent error meant he faced no criminal
    sanctions. But he still lost his job. Your claim was that the
    consequences of "a lawyer breaking the law" is vastly different to "most >>> other professions". I provided an example, (and chose the one I did
    mainly because it was recently published and therefore was foremost in
    my mind), of a lowly shop worker, (i.e. not a "regulated profession")
    facing severe consequences for an action he claims was unintentional.

    Ok. You've still completely failed to make any link whatsoever between
    that case and this one. Everyone knows that if you steal from your
    employer then you may be sacked by them, and nobody sensible thinks
    that is unreasonable. What does that have to do with doctors being
    (potentially) struck off and prevented from ever working as doctors
    again for (exemplary) conduct that has absolutely no bearing on their
    fitness to be a doctor?

    I do not consider that breaking a court order on multiple occasions to
    be exemplary behaviour, and neither do the courts, it would seem, as
    they felt it necessary to imprison the doctor as a result.

    That aside, your claim was that "a *lawyer* breaking the *law* is a
    problem in a way that doesn't apply to people in most other professions".

    Mr Doffou's case shows that for most workers in most forms of
    employment, breaking the law is a problem, more so should it result in a custodial sentence.

    Those in the legal field are not a special case. I have friends and acquaintances that work in finance, banking, science and engineering, to
    name but a few, and all of then would expect their professional body / regulator to become involved should they serve a term of imprisonment.


    Compare and contrast with the doctor in the instant case who knew the
    consequences of arrest and imprisonment in advance of her arrest and
    subsequent imprisonment.

    Ok I've compared them and the contrast is that one is an apple
    and the other is not so much an orange as it is a class 2 carbon-fibre
    hang-glider.

    I fear you are seeing only what you want to see.

    Regards

    S.P.


    --
    Roger Hayter

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  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to All on Mon Apr 22 15:05:57 2024
    On 22 Apr 2024 at 14:49:56 BST, "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 18/04/2024 21:29, Roger Hayter wrote:
    On 18 Apr 2024 at 20:12:02 BST, "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com>
    wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 17:11, Pancho wrote:

    I do not understand, in what way, going to an oil protest would affect >>>> her performance delivering GP services.

    There's no problem whatsoever with her having attended an oil protest.

    There is a problem with breaching a court order on numerous occasions
    which may amount to a contempt of court which is a serious issue for a
    doctor.

    Similarly, there can be no doubt that her having been imprisoned for 31
    days for having breached aforementioned court order on numerous
    occasions did have something of a negative effect on her "performance
    delivering GP services" during the period of her imprisonment.

    *If* the tribunal is taking this position then it is probably misdirecting >> itself.

    That isn't the tribunal's position. Your statement was: "I do not understand, in what way, going to an oil protest would affect her
    performance delivering GP services."

    I was pointing out that going to an oil protest likely didn't "affect
    her performance delivering GP services". However, a 31 day term of imprisonment will have had a significant and profound effect on "her performance delivering GP services", unless you were thinking she held
    her surgery in the visiting suite at the prison and her patients came to
    see her there. (Pedantically, her term of imprisonment was 46 days but
    the sentence imposed by the court was 32 days to take account of the 14
    days already spent on remand at that point.)

    Importantly, going to an oil protest, despite the subject of the thread
    which mirrors claims made by JSO, did not land the doctor in front of an
    MPTS tribunal.

    Interestingly, being arrested on three separate occasions for
    deliberately breaching a court order did not land the doctor in front of
    an MPTS tribunal either.

    Rather, it was the imposition of a 31 day term of imprisonment that
    triggered her appearance before an MPTS tribunal.

    But I suppose "Doctor could be struck off for being imprisoned for
    repeatedly ignoring court orders" isn't quite so click-baity as a headline.


    If the doctor is a GP partner then she and any other partners are
    responsible for finding replacement staff. If she was not a partner then the >> employing practice has to find a replacement. The GMC is not the HR
    department of the General Practice. Making yourself unavailable for work is >> something done regularly in those countries where slavery is not the norm.

    I remind you that your statement was: "I do not understand, in what way, going to an oil protest would affect her performance delivering GP
    services." not "I do not understand, in what way, her having being
    imprisoned for 31 days would affect her performance delivering GP
    services when a suitable replacement had been sourced to provide cover
    during her period of incarceration."

    This is a legal newsgroup. The devil is (nearly) always in the detail.


    [snip text to which you hadn't responded]

    Personally, I find it quite right and proper that a doctor that
    breaches court orders on numerous occasions and is imprisoned as a
    result should have their behaviour formally reviewed by their
    professional body.

    Why? I was hoping someone would explain why they thought it is a good
    idea. I wondered if there was a reason other than providing an obvious >>>> mechanism to increase the power of the state to punish political
    dissidents.

    As I've just said in a parallel post to Jon Ribbens, both individual
    patients of a specific doctor and the wider public in general, must be
    able to trust that doctors will abide by the rule of law.

    Were that not the case, what happens if the court makes an order
    regarding a patient's treatment and a doctor refuses to comply with the
    court order because he doesn't agree with it?

    Or what happens if a doctor is repeatedly unable to perform their duties >>> for months at a time because they have been imprisoned? For how long is >>> their employer to be expected to keep the position open? For how many
    instances of incarceration should they do this?

    The GMC is not an employer organisation. Or at least it is not supposed to be.
    These calculations, just as if she were frequently off sick, are ones for her
    employer or partners, not the medical regulator.

    You've addressed only half of what I wrote.

    Did you miss the bit about it being necessary for a doctor to abide by
    the rule of law?

    Do you think a doctor that repeatedly refuses to obey court orders and
    is imprisoned as a result is a matter for the GMC or should they look
    they other way?

    Regards

    S.P.

    As a debating tactic, condemning one's opponent's point by referring to a totally different one is somewhat dependent on an audience whose minds are wandering.

    FTAOD, I think it entirely proper that a doctor in the habit of ignoring court orders should have their registrationt examined.

    But, you and others continue to labour the point that her action might affect patients, or NHS services despite the woman concerned having ceased to
    practice medicine two years ago. And when challenged you resort to "surely people who break court orders should be disciplined" which is to evade the point, and verging on populist rhetoric.

    Or do you think any trained doctor resident in this country should be forced
    to work for the NHS at gun point?


    --

    Roger Hayter

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  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to All on Mon Apr 22 15:23:10 2024
    On 22 Apr 2024 at 15:33:39 BST, "Colin Bignell" <cpb@bignellREMOVETHIS.me.uk> wrote:

    On 22/04/2024 13:15, GB wrote:
    On 21/04/2024 14:31, Colin Bignell wrote:
    On 21/04/2024 11:44, GB wrote:
    On 20/04/2024 21:13, Colin Bignell wrote:
    On 20/04/2024 10:25, GB wrote:
    On 19/04/2024 18:27, Colin Bignell wrote:
    On 19/04/2024 14:46, GB wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 20:12, Simon Parker wrote:


    Similarly, there can be no doubt that her having been imprisoned >>>>>>>>> for 31 days for having breached aforementioned court order on >>>>>>>>> numerous occasions did have something of a negative effect on >>>>>>>>> her "performance delivering GP services" during the period of >>>>>>>>> her imprisonment.

    That's a poor point, Simon, as she wouldn't face a tribunal for >>>>>>>> failing to deliver GP services because she had become ill, for >>>>>>>> example.

    Falling ill is not avoidable. Breaching an injunction is.

    That's also a poor point. The doctor might have become injured
    whilst taking part in some highly dangerous pastime.

    I would not classify that as falling ill.


    I think you must have missed where I wrote "for example"?

    Not at all, but I took that to mean events that are beyond the control
    of the person involved.



    It's a matter of debate whether injuring yourself hang-gliding is beyond
    the control of the individual, but I'm sure you'd agree that a doctor
    who is unable to see patients because of that would not be hauled before
    a tribunal.

    Similarly, a GP who wilfully chose to retire would not face a tribunal.

    So, I think we have conclusively proved that Simon's point about
    'failing to deliver GP services' is a poor one. Why you chose to debate
    that is beyond me, Colin.

    Probably because I disagree with you about that conclusion.

    So you feel that a doctor who has retired from medical practice for a reason you don't think appropriate should be forced to go back to work? Does that
    also apply to doctors who become script writers or MPs? Or just doctors whose politics you disagree with?


    --
    Roger Hayter

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  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to All on Mon Apr 22 15:27:36 2024
    On 22 Apr 2024 at 15:00:36 BST, "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 21/04/2024 14:57, Roger Hayter wrote:
    On 21 Apr 2024 at 13:36:53 BST, "Mark Goodge"
    <usenet@listmail.good-stuff.co.uk> wrote:
    On 20 Apr 2024 22:21:40 GMT, Roger Hayter <roger@hayter.org> wrote:

    In the case of the ASBO it is a criminal sanction. In the case of the Doctor
    it is a civil sanction. In a legal newsgroup surely legal niceties should not
    be disregarded purely for rhetorical reasons?

    The distinction between civil and criminal contempt of court isn't as
    clear-cut as that. By and large, criminal contempt is committed in the court
    (eg, by being disruptive) and civil contempt is committed outside it (eg, by
    breaching an injunction or restriction), but both types of contempt can
    apply to both civil and criminal courts, and there are exceptions to both >>> general rules. Both have similar penalties - there's no sense in which
    criminal contempt is considered more serious than civil contempt - and
    someone accused of either is entitled to criminal legal aid if eligible. In >>> some cases, the question of whether someone is accused of civil or criminal >>> contempt can come down to matters of procedural convenience rather than
    depending on the nature of the actions which amount to contempt.

    So I think it's perfectly reasonable for the GMC, or any other regulatory >>> body, to treat civil and criminal contempt in the same way. Otherwise,
    someone guilty of a serious civil contempt would be treated more leniently >>> than someone guilty of a relatively trivial criminal contempt, which would >>> be contrary to natural justice. Basing the threshold for disciplinary action
    on the level of the punishment (ie, in this case, imprisonment), rather than
    the precise nature of the offence leading to it is both more consistent and >>> easier to administer.

    I think that is perfectly reasonable too! But someone, who I believe should >> know better, quoted a statute that compels the GMC to hold a hearing in the >> case of a criminal conviction leading to a custodial sentence and claimed it >> applied to this case. I am pointing out that this is untrue. I am not in any >> way claiming that it was unreasonable for the GP to hold a hearing in this >> case.

    When drafting the order that became the SI back in 2004, I do not
    believe that the GMC turned their minds to the fact that one could be imprisoned for breaching a civil injunction for contempt of court but
    rather that they saw imprisonment, even if suspended, as mandating an appearance before a tribunal. I've spoken with a friend that's a GP
    over the weekend, and his thoughts, without referring to the precise
    wording of anything, is that all doctors know and understand that a
    custodial sentence of any description will land one before an MPTS tribunal.

    When I pointed out the precise wording of the Order in force, he
    response was: "Well that will be changed the next time they amend it."

    In an unusual stance for me to take, I think there is too much splitting
    of hairs over the difference between civil and criminal contempt and the emphasis on a "criminal conviction leading to a custodial sentence" when
    it is clear that the "red line" for the GMC is imprisonment and that as
    this occurred in this case there must be an MPTS tribunal.

    So in all your long threads with Norman objecting when he asserts he knows better what the law should be are futile splitting of hairs? Interesting!

    I am in no sense supporting this doctor's conduct, but I think we should confine ourselves to the law, not distort it deliberately.


    snip





    --

    Roger Hayter

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  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to All on Mon Apr 22 15:59:50 2024
    On 22 Apr 2024 at 15:00:36 BST, "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> wrote:

    snip

    Recording offences on the PNC is governed by the National Police Records (Recordable Offences) Regulations 2000, Regulation 3 of which specifies
    "any offence punishable with imprisonment" may be recorded on the PNC
    whilst referring to these as "crime recordable offences". The PNC has
    three codes for different forms of contempt, which also cover contempt
    of court for breaching a civil order, (as in this case), meaning
    contempt is a "crime recordable offence" and imprisonment for same is
    going to be recorded on the PNC, despite some being convinced the doctor
    has committed no crime so how can a "crime recordable offence" be
    recorded on the PNC?

    snip
    Are we sure that breaching a civil injunction is an "offence" and that the police are entitled to record these punishments? It would not be the first time that the police had exceeded their authority to record infomation on a database.


    --
    Roger Hayter

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  • From Colin Bignell@21:1/5 to Roger Hayter on Mon Apr 22 19:37:58 2024
    On 22/04/2024 16:23, Roger Hayter wrote:
    On 22 Apr 2024 at 15:33:39 BST, "Colin Bignell" <cpb@bignellREMOVETHIS.me.uk> wrote:

    On 22/04/2024 13:15, GB wrote:
    On 21/04/2024 14:31, Colin Bignell wrote:
    On 21/04/2024 11:44, GB wrote:
    On 20/04/2024 21:13, Colin Bignell wrote:
    On 20/04/2024 10:25, GB wrote:
    On 19/04/2024 18:27, Colin Bignell wrote:
    On 19/04/2024 14:46, GB wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 20:12, Simon Parker wrote:


    Similarly, there can be no doubt that her having been imprisoned >>>>>>>>>> for 31 days for having breached aforementioned court order on >>>>>>>>>> numerous occasions did have something of a negative effect on >>>>>>>>>> her "performance delivering GP services" during the period of >>>>>>>>>> her imprisonment.

    That's a poor point, Simon, as she wouldn't face a tribunal for >>>>>>>>> failing to deliver GP services because she had become ill, for >>>>>>>>> example.

    Falling ill is not avoidable. Breaching an injunction is.

    That's also a poor point. The doctor might have become injured
    whilst taking part in some highly dangerous pastime.

    I would not classify that as falling ill.


    I think you must have missed where I wrote "for example"?

    Not at all, but I took that to mean events that are beyond the control >>>> of the person involved.



    It's a matter of debate whether injuring yourself hang-gliding is beyond >>> the control of the individual, but I'm sure you'd agree that a doctor
    who is unable to see patients because of that would not be hauled before >>> a tribunal.

    Similarly, a GP who wilfully chose to retire would not face a tribunal.

    So, I think we have conclusively proved that Simon's point about
    'failing to deliver GP services' is a poor one. Why you chose to debate >>> that is beyond me, Colin.

    Probably because I disagree with you about that conclusion.

    So you feel that a doctor who has retired from medical practice for a reason you don't think appropriate should be forced to go back to work? Does that also apply to doctors who become script writers or MPs? Or just doctors whose politics you disagree with?



    I didn't say that. My view is that it is perfectly reasonable that a GP
    who fails to provide patient services because they are in prison should
    have to be subject to review. All the other reasons put forward for
    failing to provide services are simply red herrings, which appear to be
    aimed at justifying her actions.


    --
    Colin Bignell

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  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to All on Mon Apr 22 19:18:36 2024
    On 22 Apr 2024 at 19:37:58 BST, "Colin Bignell" <cpb@bignellREMOVETHIS.me.uk> wrote:

    On 22/04/2024 16:23, Roger Hayter wrote:
    On 22 Apr 2024 at 15:33:39 BST, "Colin Bignell" <cpb@bignellREMOVETHIS.me.uk>
    wrote:

    On 22/04/2024 13:15, GB wrote:
    On 21/04/2024 14:31, Colin Bignell wrote:
    On 21/04/2024 11:44, GB wrote:
    On 20/04/2024 21:13, Colin Bignell wrote:
    On 20/04/2024 10:25, GB wrote:
    On 19/04/2024 18:27, Colin Bignell wrote:
    On 19/04/2024 14:46, GB wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 20:12, Simon Parker wrote:


    Similarly, there can be no doubt that her having been imprisoned >>>>>>>>>>> for 31 days for having breached aforementioned court order on >>>>>>>>>>> numerous occasions did have something of a negative effect on >>>>>>>>>>> her "performance delivering GP services" during the period of >>>>>>>>>>> her imprisonment.

    That's a poor point, Simon, as she wouldn't face a tribunal for >>>>>>>>>> failing to deliver GP services because she had become ill, for >>>>>>>>>> example.

    Falling ill is not avoidable. Breaching an injunction is.

    That's also a poor point. The doctor might have become injured >>>>>>>> whilst taking part in some highly dangerous pastime.

    I would not classify that as falling ill.


    I think you must have missed where I wrote "for example"?

    Not at all, but I took that to mean events that are beyond the control >>>>> of the person involved.



    It's a matter of debate whether injuring yourself hang-gliding is beyond >>>> the control of the individual, but I'm sure you'd agree that a doctor
    who is unable to see patients because of that would not be hauled before >>>> a tribunal.

    Similarly, a GP who wilfully chose to retire would not face a tribunal. >>>>
    So, I think we have conclusively proved that Simon's point about
    'failing to deliver GP services' is a poor one. Why you chose to debate >>>> that is beyond me, Colin.

    Probably because I disagree with you about that conclusion.

    So you feel that a doctor who has retired from medical practice for a reason >> you don't think appropriate should be forced to go back to work? Does that >> also apply to doctors who become script writers or MPs? Or just doctors whose
    politics you disagree with?



    I didn't say that. My view is that it is perfectly reasonable that a GP
    who fails to provide patient services because they are in prison should
    have to be subject to review. All the other reasons put forward for
    failing to provide services are simply red herrings, which appear to be
    aimed at justifying her actions.

    The reason the GP in question "failed to provide GP services" while in prison is that she had not practiced medicine for two years in order to concentrate
    on camapaigning. Are you saying she should have been punished for not giving herself the option to suddenly apply for another job while she was in prison?
    Or what?

    --
    Roger Hayter

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  • From Jon Ribbens@21:1/5 to Martin Harran on Mon Apr 22 22:07:50 2024
    On 2024-04-22, Martin Harran <martinharran@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Mon, 22 Apr 2024 13:00:24 -0000 (UTC), Jon Ribbens
    <jon+usenet@unequivocal.eu> wrote:

    On 2024-04-22, Martin Harran <martinharran@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Mon, 22 Apr 2024 10:40:41 -0000 (UTC), Jon Ribbens >>><jon+usenet@unequivocal.eu> wrote:

    On 2024-04-22, Martin Harran <martinharran@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Sun, 21 Apr 2024 21:29:10 -0000 (UTC), Jon Ribbens >>>>><jon+usenet@unequivocal.eu> wrote:

    On 2024-04-21, Martin Harran <martinharran@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Sat, 20 Apr 2024 22:33:19 -0000 (UTC), Jon Ribbens >>>>>>><jon+usenet@unequivocal.eu> wrote:

    On 2024-04-20, Martin Harran <martinharran@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 19 Apr 2024 23:31:21 GMT, Roger Hayter <roger@hayter.org> wrote: >>>>>>>>>>On 19 Apr 2024 at 23:05:10 BST, "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com>
    wrote:
    Once the report of the imprisonment had been received, the rule is that
    "the Registrar shall refer an allegation falling within section >>>>>>>>>>> 35C(2)(c) of the Act relating to a conviction resulting in the >>>>>>>>>>> imposition of a custodial sentence, whether immediate or suspended, >>>>>>>>>>> directly to the MPTS for them to arrange for it to be considered by a
    Medical Practitioners Tribunal."

    It is perhaps reasonable of the GMC to have treated this custodial >>>>>>>>>>sentence in the same way as one resulting from a conviction, but I am >>>>>>>>>>not sure, as it did not result from a conviction, that they were >>>>>>>>>>obliged to do so.

    How is it *not* a conviction?

    She was imprisoned for breach of a civil injunction, which is not >>>>>>>>a criminal offence. So it is no sense a "conviction".

    According to newspaper reports, she was jailed for contempt of court; >>>>>>> is that not a crime?

    Civil contempt is not a crime.

    We discussed this here in November 2022 in the thread "My day on the >>>>>>M25".

    Sorry, I have no appetite for ploughing through a thread from 18
    months ago with over 600 posts in it. Care to summarise how it is not >>>>> a crime?

    Sure. It is not a crime because there is no law that makes it a crime. >>>>It is not a crime in the same way that stepping on the cracks in the >>>>pavement is not a crime.

    Perhaps I've led a sheltered life but I've never known anyone get sent
    to jail for stepping on the cracks in the pavement.

    Ok. What's your point? I don't know what you want me to tell you.

    As has already been mentioned by myself and others, you can go to prison >>for some things which are not criminal offences. See for example
    the 'Civil prisoners' section of this web page:
    https://prisonreformtrust.org.uk/adviceguide/unconvicted-unsentenced-and-civil-prisoners/

    OK, I see on that site that "Civil Prisoners are treated as convicted
    and should be categorised, unless the sentence is very short."

    I know that a sentence less than 12 months is considered short but I
    don't know if 31 days is considered *very* short. Either way, it would
    have been helpful for you or Roger to explain that rather than
    rambling about cabbages and cracks in pavements.

    What are you talking about now? What does whether or not they are
    categorised in prison have to do with anything?

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  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to All on Tue Apr 23 10:26:15 2024
    On 23 Apr 2024 at 11:04:24 BST, "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 22/04/2024 15:43, Roger Hayter wrote:
    On 22 Apr 2024 at 14:40:43 BST, "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On 20/04/2024 00:31, Roger Hayter wrote:

    It is perhaps reasonable of the GMC to have treated this custodial sentence in
    the same way as one resulting from a conviction, but I am not sure, as it did
    not result from a conviction, that they were obliged to do so.

    For what is, or is not, reasonable of the GMC, I refer you the statement >>> from the MPTS ahead of the tribunal setting out the details of the
    hearing of which, incidentally, I posted a copy in Message-ID:
    <l8cicrFc729U27@mid.individual.net> in a direct reply to the OP's post
    within a couple of hours of it being made.

    In case you've forgotten:

    "The tribunal will inquire into the allegation that on 26 April 2022, 4
    May 2022 and 14 September 2022, Dr Benn engaged in peaceful protest
    within a prohibited buffer zone at Kingsbury Oil Terminal in breach of
    an interim injunction granted on 14 April 2022.

    "It is alleged that Dr Benn's actions amounted to a contempt of court
    and resulted in a custodial service."

    The facts of the tribunal's point of reference have been known and
    available since before the tribunal started.

    Indeed. I was only remarking on the non-relevance of "allegation falling
    within section
    35C(2)(c) of the Act" which you quoted above. I was not seeking to disagree >> with how the GMC used its discretion, just pointing out that it had some.

    I am informed, reliably I consider, by someone that ought to know far
    better than you or I, that there is no discretion, regardless of how the underlying legislation may be framed.

    The GMC's operational policy is that the imposition of a period of imprisonment, even should it be suspended, will always result in an MPTS tribunal and everybody over whom the GMC has oversight, including Doctor Benn, is eminently aware of this fact.

    Regards

    S.P.

    You are playing with words. The GMC has drawn up that operational policy at
    its own discretion, not by law.

    --
    Roger Hayter

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  • From Colin Bignell@21:1/5 to Roger Hayter on Tue Apr 23 12:03:08 2024
    On 22/04/2024 20:18, Roger Hayter wrote:
    On 22 Apr 2024 at 19:37:58 BST, "Colin Bignell" <cpb@bignellREMOVETHIS.me.uk> wrote:

    On 22/04/2024 16:23, Roger Hayter wrote:
    On 22 Apr 2024 at 15:33:39 BST, "Colin Bignell" <cpb@bignellREMOVETHIS.me.uk>
    wrote:

    On 22/04/2024 13:15, GB wrote:
    On 21/04/2024 14:31, Colin Bignell wrote:
    On 21/04/2024 11:44, GB wrote:
    On 20/04/2024 21:13, Colin Bignell wrote:
    On 20/04/2024 10:25, GB wrote:
    On 19/04/2024 18:27, Colin Bignell wrote:
    On 19/04/2024 14:46, GB wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 20:12, Simon Parker wrote:


    Similarly, there can be no doubt that her having been imprisoned >>>>>>>>>>>> for 31 days for having breached aforementioned court order on >>>>>>>>>>>> numerous occasions did have something of a negative effect on >>>>>>>>>>>> her "performance delivering GP services" during the period of >>>>>>>>>>>> her imprisonment.

    That's a poor point, Simon, as she wouldn't face a tribunal for >>>>>>>>>>> failing to deliver GP services because she had become ill, for >>>>>>>>>>> example.

    Falling ill is not avoidable. Breaching an injunction is.

    That's also a poor point. The doctor might have become injured >>>>>>>>> whilst taking part in some highly dangerous pastime.

    I would not classify that as falling ill.


    I think you must have missed where I wrote "for example"?

    Not at all, but I took that to mean events that are beyond the control >>>>>> of the person involved.



    It's a matter of debate whether injuring yourself hang-gliding is beyond >>>>> the control of the individual, but I'm sure you'd agree that a doctor >>>>> who is unable to see patients because of that would not be hauled before >>>>> a tribunal.

    Similarly, a GP who wilfully chose to retire would not face a tribunal. >>>>>
    So, I think we have conclusively proved that Simon's point about
    'failing to deliver GP services' is a poor one. Why you chose to debate >>>>> that is beyond me, Colin.

    Probably because I disagree with you about that conclusion.

    So you feel that a doctor who has retired from medical practice for a reason
    you don't think appropriate should be forced to go back to work? Does that >>> also apply to doctors who become script writers or MPs? Or just doctors whose
    politics you disagree with?



    I didn't say that. My view is that it is perfectly reasonable that a GP
    who fails to provide patient services because they are in prison should
    have to be subject to review. All the other reasons put forward for
    failing to provide services are simply red herrings, which appear to be
    aimed at justifying her actions.

    The reason the GP in question "failed to provide GP services" while in prison is that she had not practiced medicine for two years in order to concentrate on camapaigning. Are you saying she should have been punished for not giving herself the option to suddenly apply for another job while she was in prison?
    Or what?


    So, she denied her patients treatment for two years to follow an
    obsession? That is even worse.


    --
    Colin Bignell

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  • From GB@21:1/5 to Colin Bignell on Tue Apr 23 13:35:09 2024
    On 22/04/2024 19:37, Colin Bignell wrote:

    I didn't say that. My view is that it is perfectly reasonable that a GP
    who fails to provide patient services because they are in prison should
    have to be subject to review. All the other reasons put forward for
    failing to provide services are simply red herrings, which appear to be
    aimed at justifying her actions.

    It's called fitness to practise, but that's a bit of a misnomer. In this
    case, she's accused of bringing the profession into disrepute and
    reducing public trust in the profession.

    Nobody (apart from you and Simon) has suggested that it's her failure to practise medicine that is important.









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  • From GB@21:1/5 to Colin Bignell on Tue Apr 23 14:06:51 2024
    On 22/04/2024 14:42, Colin Bignell wrote:
    On 22/04/2024 13:10, GB wrote:
    On 21/04/2024 13:27, Jon Ribbens wrote:
    On 2024-04-21, GB <NOTsomeone@microsoft.invalid> wrote:
    On 20/04/2024 23:27, Jon Ribbens wrote:
    On 2024-04-20, GB <NOTsomeone@microsoft.invalid> wrote:
    If we simply stopped using oil overnight

    Are you somehow under the impression that that is something that
    someone has demanded?

    Let's think about the sign she was actually holding up: "No new oil".
    Oil fields have a limited lifespan, and oil companies typically work on >>>> a cycle where they have around 10 years production in hand.

    So, no new oil means no oil at all in 10 years. Which is practically
    overnight.

    I don't believe that for a moment.


    Interesting prejudice. :)

    Maybe, you'd like to check?
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_oil_fields

    World consumption is currently 82 mb/d

    However, it should be noted that those figures are proved reserves + cumulative production. Proved reserves are those at P90, i.e. there is a
    90% probability that that amount, or more, exists in a field. If you use
    P50, or proved + probable reserves, there is an awful lot more oil
    around than at P90.


    I suspect that we may have different ideas about what 'no new oil'
    means. Indeed, the placard probably needed a lengthy footnote to explain.

    Prospecting is expensive. The world is aiming to reduce its dependence
    on oil over the next 10-20 years, so oil companies are not going to
    spend massive amounts on proving new reserves unless they are expected
    to be needed in the fairly short term.

    In addition, we are in the ridiculous position where the West is not
    importing Russian oil. Instead, that oil is sent to India and China,
    where it is processed and re-exported to the West, having travelled a
    far longer distance than it would have before the Ukraine war.

    If we really do want to do without Russian oil, we most definitely do
    need a lot of 'new oil'.

    I agree that climate change is a very important issue. I just disagree
    with the tactics being used.

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  • From Pancho@21:1/5 to Simon Parker on Tue Apr 23 13:41:50 2024
    On 23/04/2024 11:08, Simon Parker wrote:
    On 22/04/2024 16:20, Roger Hayter wrote:
    On 22 Apr 2024 at 14:50:44 BST, "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On 18/04/2024 21:35, Roger Hayter wrote:
    On 18 Apr 2024 at 20:12:02 BST, "Simon Parker"
    <simonparkerulm@gmail.com>
    wrote:
    On 18/04/2024 17:11, Pancho wrote:

    Why? I was hoping someone would explain why they thought it is a good >>>>>> idea. I wondered if there was a reason other than providing an
    obvious
    mechanism to increase the power of the state to punish political
    dissidents.

    As I've just said in a parallel post to Jon Ribbens, both individual >>>>> patients of a specific doctor and the wider public in general, must be >>>>> able to trust that doctors will abide by the rule of law.

    Were that not the case, what happens if the court makes an order
    regarding a patient's treatment and a doctor refuses to comply with
    the
    court order because he doesn't agree with it?

    Provided that the doctor does not try to prevent the order being
    complied with
    then nothing! A court cannot normally order a particular doctor to
    carry out a
    treatment. Though perhaps they can order that a particular treatment
    is not
    carried out. At least, their employer may be upset by them not doing
    their
    work but that is entirely an employment matter, not legal or ethical
    obligation. No doctor should be forced to carry out treatment they
    do not
    agree with - we (or at least our newspapers) were quite upset when
    soviet
    psychiatrists were forced to treat political dissidents in the
    soviet union,
    why do we want that here?

    You miss the point.


    *I* miss the point?

    Yes.


    If you intended to refer to a doctor being forbidden to
    carry out a treatment by a court then you should have done so. But you
    didn't.

    The doctor ignored a court order prohibiting protest within an exclusion
    zone and protested anyway on numerous occasions because she disagreed
    with the court order.


    So what?


    A parallel in the medical world would be a doctor ignoring a court order prohibiting a certain procedure being performed and the doctor
    performing it anyway because they disagreed with the court order.


    Parallel? What does that mean?

    If a doctor breaks medical rules, it is a medical matter. If a doctor
    breaks the law in the course of a political protest, it is a legal
    matter. There is no particular reason to suppose civil disobedience
    implies a disregard for medical rules.

    Similarly, if a doctor repeatedly commits traffic offences, it is
    entirely right and proper they are punished, but there is no particular
    reason to see why it stops them practising medicine.

    If you need that spelling out, that I recommend skipping past my posts
    as I expect certain fundamental issues to be taken as read without
    needing to be stated explicitly.


    Perhaps it would help if you spelt those fundamental beliefs out.

    So far, your arguments seem to based on at least two points I don't
    understand.

    Firstly, some type of presumption she should have been providing medical services, whilst in jail. That it was professional misconduct not to do
    so. This, despite the fact she was under no obligation to provide these services.

    Secondly, you keep repeating that the MPTS were obliged to investigate
    her imprisonment. My point wasn't about the MPTS investigating, it was
    about them finding her guilty of professional misconduct.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Jon Ribbens@21:1/5 to Colin Bignell on Tue Apr 23 14:20:40 2024
    On 2024-04-23, Colin Bignell <cpb@bignellREMOVETHIS.me.uk> wrote:
    On 22/04/2024 20:18, Roger Hayter wrote:
    The reason the GP in question "failed to provide GP services" while
    in prison is that she had not practiced medicine for two years in
    order to concentrate on camapaigning. Are you saying she should have
    been punished for not giving herself the option to suddenly apply for
    another job while she was in prison?
    Or what?

    So, she denied her patients treatment for two years to follow an
    obsession? That is even worse.

    So you think that anyone capable of practicing medicine must be forced
    to do so full time all day every day until they drop down dead?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Pancho@21:1/5 to All on Tue Apr 23 14:53:32 2024
    On 23/04/2024 13:35, GB wrote:
    On 22/04/2024 19:37, Colin Bignell wrote:

    I didn't say that. My view is that it is perfectly reasonable that a
    GP who fails to provide patient services because they are in prison
    should have to be subject to review. All the other reasons put forward
    for failing to provide services are simply red herrings, which appear
    to be aimed at justifying her actions.

    It's called fitness to practise, but that's a bit of a misnomer. In this case, she's accused of bringing the profession into disrepute and
    reducing public trust in the profession.


    But it is six of one and half a dozen of the other. A huge proportion of
    the population believe it is right to protest. Believe that it would
    bring the profession into disrepute to stand by and do nothing.

    The GMC should recognise it is a political issue, a matter of principle.
    They should let the law deal with it.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Colin Bignell@21:1/5 to All on Tue Apr 23 18:28:25 2024
    On 23/04/2024 14:06, GB wrote:
    On 22/04/2024 14:42, Colin Bignell wrote:
    On 22/04/2024 13:10, GB wrote:
    On 21/04/2024 13:27, Jon Ribbens wrote:
    On 2024-04-21, GB <NOTsomeone@microsoft.invalid> wrote:
    On 20/04/2024 23:27, Jon Ribbens wrote:
    On 2024-04-20, GB <NOTsomeone@microsoft.invalid> wrote:
    If we simply stopped using oil overnight

    Are you somehow under the impression that that is something that
    someone has demanded?

    Let's think about the sign she was actually holding up: "No new oil". >>>>> Oil fields have a limited lifespan, and oil companies typically
    work on
    a cycle where they have around 10 years production in hand.

    So, no new oil means no oil at all in 10 years. Which is practically >>>>> overnight.

    I don't believe that for a moment.


    Interesting prejudice. :)

    Maybe, you'd like to check?
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_oil_fields

    World consumption is currently 82 mb/d

    However, it should be noted that those figures are proved reserves +
    cumulative production. Proved reserves are those at P90, i.e. there is
    a 90% probability that that amount, or more, exists in a field. If you
    use P50, or proved + probable reserves, there is an awful lot more oil
    around than at P90.


    I suspect that we may have different ideas about what 'no new oil'
    means. Indeed, the placard probably needed a lengthy footnote to explain.

    Prospecting is expensive. The world is aiming to reduce its dependence
    on oil over the next 10-20 years, so oil companies are not going to
    spend massive amounts on proving new reserves unless they are expected
    to be needed in the fairly short term.

    The oil companies make their decisions based upon P90, as that is going
    to have a high probability of them making a profit from an individual
    oil field. While P50 represents the probable output of all oil fields
    globally, they don't want to base decisions on that, as they might be
    investing in the 50% that don't produce the expected yield.


    In addition, we are in the ridiculous position where the West is not importing Russian oil. Instead, that oil is sent to India and China,
    where it is processed and re-exported to the West, having travelled a
    far longer distance than it would have before the Ukraine war.

    If we really do want to do without Russian oil, we most definitely do
    need a lot of 'new oil'.

    There is a lot of existing oil that is simply too expensive to extract
    at current prices. Oil shortages would make them much more attractive.
    The trigger point seems to be around $100 a barrel.


    I agree that climate change is a very important issue. I just disagree
    with the tactics being used.

    I don't think that there is much chance of stopping it. I think the
    money would be better spent on preparing for the effects of climate change.


    --
    Colin Bignell

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Colin Bignell@21:1/5 to Jon Ribbens on Tue Apr 23 18:37:24 2024
    On 23/04/2024 15:20, Jon Ribbens wrote:
    On 2024-04-23, Colin Bignell <cpb@bignellREMOVETHIS.me.uk> wrote:
    On 22/04/2024 20:18, Roger Hayter wrote:
    The reason the GP in question "failed to provide GP services" while
    in prison is that she had not practiced medicine for two years in
    order to concentrate on camapaigning. Are you saying she should have
    been punished for not giving herself the option to suddenly apply for
    another job while she was in prison?
    Or what?

    So, she denied her patients treatment for two years to follow an
    obsession? That is even worse.

    So you think that anyone capable of practicing medicine must be forced
    to do so full time all day every day until they drop down dead?


    I haven't said that. However, I do think that a doctor who puts a desire
    to take part in disruptive protests ahead of their duty of care to
    patients does call into question their fitness to continue to practice.


    --
    Colin Bignell

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to All on Tue Apr 23 20:06:51 2024
    On 23 Apr 2024 at 18:37:24 BST, "Colin Bignell" <cpb@bignellREMOVETHIS.me.uk> wrote:

    On 23/04/2024 15:20, Jon Ribbens wrote:
    On 2024-04-23, Colin Bignell <cpb@bignellREMOVETHIS.me.uk> wrote:
    On 22/04/2024 20:18, Roger Hayter wrote:
    The reason the GP in question "failed to provide GP services" while
    in prison is that she had not practiced medicine for two years in
    order to concentrate on camapaigning. Are you saying she should have
    been punished for not giving herself the option to suddenly apply for
    another job while she was in prison?
    Or what?

    So, she denied her patients treatment for two years to follow an
    obsession? That is even worse.

    So you think that anyone capable of practicing medicine must be forced
    to do so full time all day every day until they drop down dead?


    I haven't said that. However, I do think that a doctor who puts a desire
    to take part in disruptive protests ahead of their duty of care to
    patients does call into question their fitness to continue to practice.

    Doctors' duty of care does not extend to future patients or to see again previous patients they are not currently treating. They may have some obligations to previous patients but that certainly does not extend to an obligation to see them again. Mainly it is one of confidentiality, but in our modern police state that is far from absolute. A doctor has the same right to stop working or change career as anyone else. And no more duty than anyone else to refrain from politically unpopular but legal activities. Clearly illegal activities may affect their right to practice medicine. But not
    wanting to resume medical practice is neither illegal nor unethical. Illegal acts may affect fitness to practice but preferring "disruptive protest" to medical practice certainly does not. One could, for instance, be a Tory MP, a state of dubious ethical standing, for twenty years and remain registered as a medical practioner.



    --
    Roger Hayter

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Jon Ribbens@21:1/5 to Pancho on Tue Apr 23 22:50:57 2024
    On 2024-04-18, Pancho <Pancho.Jones@proton.me> wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for
    protesting, breaching an interim injunction, etc. What I don't
    understand is what this has to with her ability to act as a GP. Why she
    could be struck off the medical register?

    I guess lightning strikes are more probable than anticipated;
    Dr Benn has been suspended for 5 months. And also the hearing
    wasn't just a technicality required by the rules, they actively
    advocated against her.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c6pygw71w3go

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From billy bookcase@21:1/5 to Simon Parker on Wed Apr 24 13:03:08 2024
    "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> wrote in message news:l8s9g9Fc728U57@mid.individual.net...

    It does, however, serve as a cautionary warning to any other doctors that might be
    thinking of repeatedly breaching court orders and failing to answer bail whilst off
    protesting.


    Indeed.

    Eat your heart out, Harold Shipman


    bb.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to All on Wed Apr 24 12:24:20 2024
    On 24 Apr 2024 at 12:35:14 BST, "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 23/04/2024 11:26, Roger Hayter wrote:
    On 23 Apr 2024 at 11:04:24 BST, "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On 22/04/2024 15:43, Roger Hayter wrote:
    On 22 Apr 2024 at 14:40:43 BST, "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> >>>> wrote:

    On 20/04/2024 00:31, Roger Hayter wrote:

    It is perhaps reasonable of the GMC to have treated this custodial sentence in
    the same way as one resulting from a conviction, but I am not sure, as it did
    not result from a conviction, that they were obliged to do so.

    For what is, or is not, reasonable of the GMC, I refer you the statement >>>>> from the MPTS ahead of the tribunal setting out the details of the
    hearing of which, incidentally, I posted a copy in Message-ID:
    <l8cicrFc729U27@mid.individual.net> in a direct reply to the OP's post >>>>> within a couple of hours of it being made.

    In case you've forgotten:

    "The tribunal will inquire into the allegation that on 26 April 2022, 4 >>>>> May 2022 and 14 September 2022, Dr Benn engaged in peaceful protest
    within a prohibited buffer zone at Kingsbury Oil Terminal in breach of >>>>> an interim injunction granted on 14 April 2022.

    "It is alleged that Dr Benn's actions amounted to a contempt of court >>>>> and resulted in a custodial service."

    The facts of the tribunal's point of reference have been known and
    available since before the tribunal started.

    Indeed. I was only remarking on the non-relevance of "allegation falling >>>> within section
    35C(2)(c) of the Act" which you quoted above. I was not seeking to disagree
    with how the GMC used its discretion, just pointing out that it had some. >>>
    I am informed, reliably I consider, by someone that ought to know far
    better than you or I, that there is no discretion, regardless of how the >>> underlying legislation may be framed.

    The GMC's operational policy is that the imposition of a period of
    imprisonment, even should it be suspended, will always result in an MPTS >>> tribunal and everybody over whom the GMC has oversight, including Doctor >>> Benn, is eminently aware of this fact.

    You are playing with words. The GMC has drawn up that operational policy at >> its own discretion, not by law.

    Doctor Benn was required to self-report her arrests and imprisonment to
    the GMC. These reports will have been looked at by a registrar to
    determine the next step.

    Given that, following the outcome of Dr Benn's tribunal, the GMC has
    formally confirmed that "if a doctor receives a custodial sentence
    following civil proceedings" the response of the GMC will be "similar to
    our approach to a criminal conviction" and, as has been quoted earlier,
    their "approach to a criminal conviction" leading to imprisonment is a mandatory tribunal hearing, perhaps you could outline precisely what
    options were available to the registrar reviewing the report of Dr
    Benn's imprisonment and how much discretion they had over what their
    next step was going to be?

    Bearing in mind that we now know that Dr Benn had previously been issued warnings as to her conduct following the prior arrests.

    Doctor Benn knew she was likely to be imprisoned were she to be arrested
    for breaching the court order for a third time. She knew that she would
    need to report that arrest and imprisonment to the GMC. And, she knew
    that reporting a period of imprisonment, even the imposition of a
    suspended sentence, would automatically trigger an MPTS tribunal.

    This is not playing with words. It matters not whether the automatic
    process is one underpinned by legislation of the policies and procedures
    of the GMC.

    Imprisonment = Tribunal.

    Regards

    S.P.

    I have never sought to deny that a sentence of imprisonment (at least in the UK) will always result in a tribunal hearing as a result of GMC policy. I merely pointed out that the law you quoted about criminal convictions did not oblige the GMC to make this its policy. Had you addressed the point I made a long and circular discussion could have been avoided. An appropriate answer would be: "Ok the law does not force them to do so, but their own very reasonable policy is hold a hearing when a civil sentence of imprisonment is immposed." You are always telling Norman to admit he's wrong rather than erect straw persons, why not follow that advice?


    --
    Roger Hayter

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to All on Wed Apr 24 12:29:55 2024
    On 24 Apr 2024 at 12:42:00 BST, "Simon Parker" <simonparkerulm@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 23/04/2024 23:50, Jon Ribbens wrote:
    On 2024-04-18, Pancho <Pancho.Jones@proton.me> wrote:

    <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    I don't understand this. I accept that she was prosecuted for
    protesting, breaching an interim injunction, etc. What I don't
    understand is what this has to with her ability to act as a GP. Why she
    could be struck off the medical register?

    I guess lightning strikes are more probable than anticipated;
    Dr Benn has been suspended for 5 months. And also the hearing
    wasn't just a technicality required by the rules, they actively
    advocated against her.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c6pygw71w3go

    She hasn't been struck off, so no lightning strikes at this point.

    It transpires she had previously been warned by the MPTS about her
    conduct following her arrests.

    Additionally, she failed to answer her bail on 4th May 2022 and instead
    went to the protest taking place that day and was held on remand for
    eight days for this.

    I doubt she could be held on remand as a punishment *for* this. The logic
    would rather be that she had shown herself likely to not turn up to court hearing and remand in custody was proportionate response to ensure her future attendance. If she were imprisoned as a punishment for missing the hearing (which is possible) then this would not be "remand".





    She clearly has no regard for the rule of law and has thus been suspended.

    But as she hasn't held a license to practise since 30 August 2022 her suspension makes no practical difference to her.

    It does, however, serve as a cautionary warning to any other doctors
    that might be thinking of repeatedly breaching court orders and failing
    to answer bail whilst off protesting.

    Regards

    S.P.


    --
    Roger Hayter

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Pancho@21:1/5 to Simon Parker on Thu Apr 25 07:28:26 2024
    On 24/04/2024 12:38, Simon Parker wrote:
    On 23/04/2024 13:41, Pancho wrote:
    On 23/04/2024 11:08, Simon Parker wrote:
    On 22/04/2024 16:20, Roger Hayter wrote:


    If you intended to refer to a doctor being forbidden to
    carry out a treatment by a court then you should have done so. But
    you didn't.

    The doctor ignored a court order prohibiting protest within an
    exclusion zone and protested anyway on numerous occasions because she
    disagreed with the court order.

    So what?

    To quote the GMC, "patients and the public rightly have a high degree of trust in doctors and that trust can be eroded if doctors repeatedly fail
    to comply with the law." (which pretty much mirrors what I've been
    saying throughout this thread was likely to be their stance, in advance
    of them formerly confirming it).


    You can quote the GMC, but we have no particular reason to believe or
    respect their statement. There is very little evidence to suggest that
    widely supported altruistic civil disobedience by doctors does erode
    public trust. We have no reason to believe the public respect or trust
    the GMC. No reason to believe the public regard the GMS as anything
    other than the political apparatchiks they appear to be. I've already
    directed people to Trustpilot once in this thread.


    A parallel in the medical world would be a doctor ignoring a court
    order prohibiting a certain procedure being performed and the doctor
    performing it anyway because they disagreed with the court order.

    Parallel? What does that mean?

    Similar or analogous to another.


    But it really wasn't. One is about abstract politics, the other is about technical issues relating to how well someone performs their job. These
    are generally recognised as very, very distinct things.


    If a doctor breaks medical rules, it is a medical matter. If a doctor
    breaks the law in the course of a political protest, it is a legal
    matter. There is no particular reason to suppose civil disobedience
    implies a disregard for medical rules.

    Unfortunately for you, the GMC disagrees with you.  Going forward,
    doctors must therefore choose whether to behave according to the
    statement issued by the GMC following the outcome of Dr Benn's tribunal hearing, or to follow the claim you've made above.


    It is unfortunate for us all that we have such poor political
    leadership. Poor with respect to environmental policy, energy policy and
    public health. It is hard to know how to influence it for the better. I
    believe one way is to defend civil disobedience.

    I wonder which way the majority of them will go?


    Similarly, if a doctor repeatedly commits traffic offences, it is
    entirely right and proper they are punished, but there is no
    particular reason to see why it stops them practising medicine.

    Your 'similarly' is misplaced.  The GMC has stated quite unequivocally
    that "patients and the public rightly have a high degree of trust in
    doctors and that trust can be eroded if doctors repeatedly fail to
    comply with the law."


    Yes, you keep saying that, but we have no reason to respect it, to
    believe it is true. As opposed to the self-serving nonsense politicians regularly spout in order to justify their own agenda.

    Additionally, the MPTS tribunal "concluded that by consistently
    breaching a court order Dr Benn’s actions amounted to misconduct".

    They are the facts of the matter.  You may disagree with them as
    strongly as you like, but as the GMC has oversight of the professional standards for doctors, your thoughts on the matter are of no consequence.


    My thoughts are of little consequence, but in a democracy, lots of
    little consequences can add up to something more.

    I have to assume that you've never worked in a regulated profession
    where the body overseeing the profession has not only the right but an obligation to ensure that those working in the profession abide a set of standards that are higher than those for ordinary members of the public.


    Making an incorrect assumption on the basis of little evidence, ignoring
    the evidence you have been presented, is not sensible.

    [snip]


    So far, your arguments seem to based on at least two points I don't
    understand.

    Firstly, some type of presumption she should have been providing
    medical services, whilst in jail. That it was professional misconduct
    not to do so. This, despite the fact she was under no obligation to
    provide these services.

    No, my positions has consistently been that it could be considered professional misconduct to breach a court order on multiple occasions, especially when the breaches reach the point where one is imprisoned as
    a result.  It now transpires that the GMC have confirmed that, at least
    in the case of Doctor Benn, they did consider it professional misconduct.


    We know it was judged to be professional misconduct. We haven't been
    given good reasons why.


    As at least two other doctors are facing tribunals for behaviour similar
    to Dr Benn, they now know what to expect, as do any doctors thinking of deliberately breaching civil court orders in the future.


    Secondly, you keep repeating that the MPTS were obliged to investigate
    her imprisonment. My point wasn't about the MPTS investigating, it was
    about them finding her guilty of professional misconduct.

    Doctor Benn was found guilty of misconduct on Friday with her sanctions
    for misconduct being announced on Tuesday (by the GMC - at the time of writing the MPTS web-site still shows the hearing as ongoing).


    Yes, I have known that she had been found guilty from the start of this
    thread. Discussing the obligation to investigate was one of many
    irrelevances introduced to muddy the water.

    Therefore, it is my sad duty to inform you that you are flogging a dead horse.


    My goal is not to defend Dr Benn, but to expose the political/legal
    system for what it is. It is hard to tell if I have succeeded or failed.

    The sanctions against Dr Benn seem to hurt the public more than Dr Benn.
    One less doctor in a time of shortage. This is often the case, the
    political priority of defending the powerful does not care if the common
    man bears the cost. They do not care that medical capability is
    subverted to support unrelated legal control. The legal system has the
    tools to punish civil disobedience, it is just that they are reluctant
    to use them because the public disapproves. They don't want to create
    martyrs.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Jon Ribbens@21:1/5 to Pancho on Thu Apr 25 08:53:52 2024
    On 2024-04-25, Pancho <Pancho.Jones@proton.me> wrote:
    On 24/04/2024 12:38, Simon Parker wrote:
    On 23/04/2024 13:41, Pancho wrote:
    On 23/04/2024 11:08, Simon Parker wrote:
    On 22/04/2024 16:20, Roger Hayter wrote:
    If you intended to refer to a doctor being forbidden to
    carry out a treatment by a court then you should have done so. But
    you didn't.

    The doctor ignored a court order prohibiting protest within an
    exclusion zone and protested anyway on numerous occasions because she
    disagreed with the court order.

    So what?

    To quote the GMC, "patients and the public rightly have a high degree of
    trust in doctors and that trust can be eroded if doctors repeatedly fail
    to comply with the law." (which pretty much mirrors what I've been
    saying throughout this thread was likely to be their stance, in advance
    of them formerly confirming it).

    You can quote the GMC, but we have no particular reason to believe or
    respect their statement. There is very little evidence to suggest that
    widely supported altruistic civil disobedience by doctors does erode
    public trust. We have no reason to believe the public respect or trust
    the GMC. No reason to believe the public regard the GMS as anything
    other than the political apparatchiks they appear to be. I've already directed people to Trustpilot once in this thread.

    Indeed. The only involved party in this affair that has eroded my trust
    in doctors is the GMC. They should presumably strike themselves off
    forthwith.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From JNugent@21:1/5 to Pancho on Thu Apr 25 14:27:47 2024
    On 25/04/2024 07:28 am, Pancho wrote:
    On 24/04/2024 12:38, Simon Parker wrote:
    On 23/04/2024 13:41, Pancho wrote:
    On 23/04/2024 11:08, Simon Parker wrote:
    On 22/04/2024 16:20, Roger Hayter wrote:


    If you intended to refer to a doctor being forbidden to
    carry out a treatment by a court then you should have done so. But
    you didn't.

    The doctor ignored a court order prohibiting protest within an
    exclusion zone and protested anyway on numerous occasions because
    she disagreed with the court order.

    So what?

    To quote the GMC, "patients and the public rightly have a high degree
    of trust in doctors and that trust can be eroded if doctors repeatedly
    fail to comply with the law." (which pretty much mirrors what I've
    been saying throughout this thread was likely to be their stance, in
    advance of them formerly confirming it).


    You can quote the GMC, but we have no particular reason to believe or
    respect their statement. There is very little evidence to suggest that
    widely supported altruistic civil disobedience by doctors does erode
    public trust. We have no reason to believe the public respect or trust
    the GMC. No reason to believe the public regard the GMS as anything
    other than the political apparatchiks they appear to be. I've already directed people to Trustpilot once in this thread.


    A parallel in the medical world would be a doctor ignoring a court
    order prohibiting a certain procedure being performed and the doctor
    performing it anyway because they disagreed with the court order.

    Parallel? What does that mean?

    Similar or analogous to another.


    But it really wasn't. One is about abstract politics, the other is about technical issues relating to how well someone performs their job. These
    are generally recognised as very, very distinct things.


    If a doctor breaks medical rules, it is a medical matter. If a doctor
    breaks the law in the course of a political protest, it is a legal
    matter. There is no particular reason to suppose civil disobedience
    implies a disregard for medical rules.

    Unfortunately for you, the GMC disagrees with you.  Going forward,
    doctors must therefore choose whether to behave according to the
    statement issued by the GMC following the outcome of Dr Benn's
    tribunal hearing, or to follow the claim you've made above.


    It is unfortunate for us all that we have such poor political
    leadership. Poor with respect to environmental policy, energy policy and public health. It is hard to know how to influence it for the better. I believe one way is to defend civil disobedience.

    I wonder which way the majority of them will go?


    Similarly, if a doctor repeatedly commits traffic offences, it is
    entirely right and proper they are punished, but there is no
    particular reason to see why it stops them practising medicine.

    Your 'similarly' is misplaced.  The GMC has stated quite unequivocally
    that "patients and the public rightly have a high degree of trust in
    doctors and that trust can be eroded if doctors repeatedly fail to
    comply with the law."


    Yes, you keep saying that, but we have no reason to respect it, to
    believe it is true. As opposed to the self-serving nonsense politicians regularly spout in order to justify their own agenda.

    Additionally, the MPTS tribunal "concluded that by consistently
    breaching a court order Dr Benn’s actions amounted to misconduct".

    They are the facts of the matter.  You may disagree with them as
    strongly as you like, but as the GMC has oversight of the professional
    standards for doctors, your thoughts on the matter are of no consequence.


    My thoughts are of little consequence, but in a democracy, lots of
    little consequences can add up to something more.

    I have to assume that you've never worked in a regulated profession
    where the body overseeing the profession has not only the right but an
    obligation to ensure that those working in the profession abide a set
    of standards that are higher than those for ordinary members of the
    public.


    Making an incorrect assumption on the basis of little evidence, ignoring
    the evidence you have been presented, is not sensible.

    [snip]


    So far, your arguments seem to based on at least two points I don't
    understand.

    Firstly, some type of presumption she should have been providing
    medical services, whilst in jail. That it was professional misconduct
    not to do so. This, despite the fact she was under no obligation to
    provide these services.

    No, my positions has consistently been that it could be considered
    professional misconduct to breach a court order on multiple occasions,
    especially when the breaches reach the point where one is imprisoned
    as a result.  It now transpires that the GMC have confirmed that, at
    least in the case of Doctor Benn, they did consider it professional
    misconduct.


    We know it was judged to be professional misconduct. We haven't been
    given good reasons why.


    As at least two other doctors are facing tribunals for behaviour
    similar to Dr Benn, they now know what to expect, as do any doctors
    thinking of deliberately breaching civil court orders in the future.


    Secondly, you keep repeating that the MPTS were obliged to
    investigate her imprisonment. My point wasn't about the MPTS
    investigating, it was about them finding her guilty of professional
    misconduct.

    Doctor Benn was found guilty of misconduct on Friday with her
    sanctions for misconduct being announced on Tuesday (by the GMC - at
    the time of writing the MPTS web-site still shows the hearing as
    ongoing).


    Yes, I have known that she had been found guilty from the start of this thread. Discussing the obligation to investigate was one of many
    irrelevances introduced to muddy the water.

    Therefore, it is my sad duty to inform you that you are flogging a
    dead horse.


    My goal is not to defend Dr Benn, but to expose the political/legal
    system for what it is. It is hard to tell if I have succeeded or failed.

    The sanctions against Dr Benn seem to hurt the public more than Dr Benn.
    One less doctor in a time of shortage.

    You're right.

    Clearly, Harold Shipman should never have been prosecuted in a time of
    doctor shortage.

    This is often the case, the
    political priority of defending the powerful does not care if the common
    man bears the cost. They do not care that medical capability is
    subverted to support unrelated legal control. The legal system has the
    tools to punish civil disobedience, it is just that they are reluctant
    to use them because the public disapproves. They don't want to create martyrs.




    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From billy bookcase@21:1/5 to JNugent on Thu Apr 25 19:50:12 2024
    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message news:l8v42jFtu0hU3@mid.individual.net...
    On 25/04/2024 07:28 am, Pancho wrote:

    The sanctions against Dr Benn seem to hurt the public more than Dr Benn. One less
    doctor in a time of shortage.

    You're right.

    Clearly, Harold Shipman should never have been prosecuted in a time of doctor shortage.

    But you've rather missed the point, that what stopped Harold Shipman in
    his tracks, was being suspected by the relatives of one of his victims who reported him to the police. Not being struck off, or suspended, by the MPTS.

    As we know Shipman was found guilty of murdering 15 of his patients although there are suggestions his victims might have numbered as many as
    150, or more.

    So that on the other hand....

    If Harold Shipman had been a climate protester who regular breached
    Court Injunctions, and was being regularly suspended as a result, quite possibly that might have brought the numbers down.

    Who's to know ?


    bb

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From JNugent@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Fri Apr 26 00:41:47 2024
    On 25/04/2024 07:50 pm, billy bookcase wrote:

    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote:
    Pancho wrote:

    The sanctions against Dr Benn seem to hurt the public more than Dr Benn. One less
    doctor in a time of shortage.

    You're right.
    Clearly, Harold Shipman should never have been prosecuted in a time of doctor shortage.

    But you've rather missed the point,

    Er... not really.

    I wasn't being 100% serious (as you may have guessed).

    The underlying point wasn't a comparison of the odiousness of the
    offence. It was a response to the notion that being in a "shortage"
    profession should somehow exempt people from punishment for antisocial behaviour.

    that what stopped Harold Shipman in
    his tracks, was being suspected by the relatives of one of his victims who reported him to the police. Not being struck off, or suspended, by the MPTS.

    As we know Shipman was found guilty of murdering 15 of his patients although there are suggestions his victims might have numbered as many as
    150, or more.

    So that on the other hand....

    If Harold Shipman had been a climate protester who regular breached
    Court Injunctions, and was being regularly suspended as a result, quite possibly that might have brought the numbers down.

    Who's to know ?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From billy bookcase@21:1/5 to JNugent on Fri Apr 26 09:49:07 2024
    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message news:l9081rF4lf2U1@mid.individual.net...

    The underlying point wasn't a comparison of the odiousness of the offence. It was a
    response to the notion that being in a "shortage" profession should somehow exempt
    people from punishment for antisocial behaviour.

    That's all very fine were it not for the fact that Dr Benn "was" indeed punished.

    Despite being in a "shortage" profession, as you put it, she was imprisoned
    for 31 days.*

    he point at issue is whether having already been punished for their antisocial behaviour, people in "shortage professions" should "in addition" be suspended from
    practising those professions for what are essentially "token" periods.

    Which don't actually achieve anything except disrupt established routines
    and in this instance further inconvenience patients. for whose sole benefit
    the whole system supposedly exists

    A cynic might suggest that the primary function of many regulatory bodies administrators etc. appears to be to justify their own existence, roles, and salaries by seeming overzealousness; rather than furthering the objectives towards which they were supposedly set up.

    As we know Shipman was found guilty of murdering 15 of his patients although >> there are suggestions his victims might have numbered as many as
    150, or more.

    This should of course have read as many as 250 victims or more

    The Shipman Enquiry of 2002 concluded he had murdered at least 218 victims with the Tribunal Head HH Janet Smith admitting the possibility of many more


    bb


    * <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cv20p4e1zy5o>

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Pancho@21:1/5 to JNugent on Fri Apr 26 09:28:51 2024
    On 26/04/2024 00:41, JNugent wrote:
    On 25/04/2024 07:50 pm, billy bookcase wrote:

    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote:
    Pancho wrote:

    The sanctions against Dr Benn seem to hurt the public more than Dr
    Benn. One less
    doctor in a time of shortage.

    You're right.
    Clearly, Harold Shipman should never have been prosecuted in a time
    of doctor shortage.

    But you've rather missed the point,

    Er... not really.

    I wasn't being 100% serious (as you may have guessed).

    The underlying point wasn't a comparison of the odiousness of the
    offence. It was a response to the notion that being in a "shortage" profession should somehow exempt people from punishment for antisocial behaviour.

    My previous GP surgery dabbled in serial killing, but they kept murder
    in the family rather than with patients. FWIW, that wasn't why I
    switched practice.

    My general point was that we should separate our concerns. The justice
    system should deal with the general concern of antisocial behaviour, the
    health service should restrict itself to concerns that affect health care.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Jethro_uk@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Fri Apr 26 10:11:09 2024
    On Thu, 25 Apr 2024 19:50:12 +0100, billy bookcase wrote:

    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message news:l8v42jFtu0hU3@mid.individual.net...
    On 25/04/2024 07:28 am, Pancho wrote:

    The sanctions against Dr Benn seem to hurt the public more than Dr
    Benn. One less doctor in a time of shortage.

    You're right.

    Clearly, Harold Shipman should never have been prosecuted in a time of
    doctor shortage.

    But you've rather missed the point, that what stopped Harold Shipman in
    his tracks, was being suspected by the relatives of one of his victims
    who reported him to the police. Not being struck off, or suspended, by
    the MPTS.

    As we know Shipman was found guilty of murdering 15 of his patients
    although there are suggestions his victims might have numbered as many
    as 150, or more.

    So that on the other hand....

    If Harold Shipman had been a climate protester who regular breached
    Court Injunctions, and was being regularly suspended as a result, quite possibly that might have brought the numbers down.

    Who's to know ?


    bb

    This is like the case where a spate of killings stop and the authorities
    have to guess as to whether the killer is dead, incarcerated or moved
    on ...

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From billy bookcase@21:1/5 to jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com on Fri Apr 26 12:22:39 2024
    "Jethro_uk" <jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com> wrote in message news:v0fujt$2fdut$5@dont-email.me...
    On Thu, 25 Apr 2024 19:50:12 +0100, billy bookcase wrote:

    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l8v42jFtu0hU3@mid.individual.net...
    On 25/04/2024 07:28 am, Pancho wrote:

    The sanctions against Dr Benn seem to hurt the public more than Dr
    Benn. One less doctor in a time of shortage.

    You're right.

    Clearly, Harold Shipman should never have been prosecuted in a time of
    doctor shortage.

    But you've rather missed the point, that what stopped Harold Shipman in
    his tracks, was being suspected by the relatives of one of his victims
    who reported him to the police. Not being struck off, or suspended, by
    the MPTS.

    As we know Shipman was found guilty of murdering 15 of his patients
    although there are suggestions his victims might have numbered as many
    as 150, or more.

    So that on the other hand....

    If Harold Shipman had been a climate protester who regular breached
    Court Injunctions, and was being regularly suspended as a result, quite
    possibly that might have brought the numbers down.

    Who's to know ?


    bb

    This is like the case where a spate of killings stop and the authorities
    have to guess as to whether the killer is dead, incarcerated or moved
    on ...

    Although in Harold Shipman's case in terms of actually catching him,
    rather than simply reducing the total, any such enforced breaks probably wouldn't have made a blind bit of difference.

    Shipman only came under suspicion at all in 1998, the year of his arrest.
    First in March by a doctor who reported her concerns about the high death
    rate and number of cremations among his patients;and then a taxi driver
    who noticed the high death rate among his customers. But the police
    found nothing. In then meantime Shipman murdered another three patients
    before the daughter of his final victim, a solicitor reported her
    suspicions too leading to his arrest on Sep 7th 1998

    But at least the relatives of his victims will have the consolation of
    knowing that on 11 February, 11 days after his conviction, the General
    Medical Council (GMC) finally got around to striking him off
    the register. Thus ensuring he would never again be able to murder
    any elderly patients.

    While The GMC later charged six doctors who signed cremation forms for Shipman's victims with misconduct, claiming they should have noticed
    the pattern between Shipman's home visits and his patients' deaths.
    All these doctors were found not guilty.


    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Harold_Shipman



    bb

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From JNugent@21:1/5 to Pancho on Fri Apr 26 15:37:08 2024
    On 26/04/2024 09:28 am, Pancho wrote:

    On 26/04/2024 00:41, JNugent wrote:
    On 25/04/2024 07:50 pm, billy bookcase wrote:
    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote:
    Pancho wrote:

    The sanctions against Dr Benn seem to hurt the public more than Dr
    Benn. One less doctor in a time of shortage.

    You're right.
    Clearly, Harold Shipman should never have been prosecuted in a time
    of doctor shortage.

    But you've rather missed the point,

    Er... not really.
    I wasn't being 100% serious (as you may have guessed).
    The underlying point wasn't a comparison of the odiousness of the
    offence. It was a response to the notion that being in a "shortage"
    profession should somehow exempt people from punishment for antisocial
    behaviour.

    My previous GP surgery dabbled in serial killing, but they kept murder
    in the family rather than with patients. FWIW, that wasn't why I
    switched practice.

    Many would have switched for that reason, though.

    My general point was that we should separate our concerns. The justice
    system should deal with the general concern of antisocial behaviour, the health service should restrict itself to concerns that affect health care...

    ...which can certainly include the antecedents of practitioners, as I am
    sure you will agree.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From JNugent@21:1/5 to All on Fri Apr 26 15:45:34 2024
    On 26/04/2024 11:11 am, Jethro_uk wrote:
    On Thu, 25 Apr 2024 19:50:12 +0100, billy bookcase wrote:

    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l8v42jFtu0hU3@mid.individual.net...
    On 25/04/2024 07:28 am, Pancho wrote:

    The sanctions against Dr Benn seem to hurt the public more than Dr
    Benn. One less doctor in a time of shortage.

    You're right.

    Clearly, Harold Shipman should never have been prosecuted in a time of
    doctor shortage.

    But you've rather missed the point, that what stopped Harold Shipman in
    his tracks, was being suspected by the relatives of one of his victims
    who reported him to the police. Not being struck off, or suspended, by
    the MPTS.

    As we know Shipman was found guilty of murdering 15 of his patients
    although there are suggestions his victims might have numbered as many
    as 150, or more.

    So that on the other hand....

    If Harold Shipman had been a climate protester who regular breached
    Court Injunctions, and was being regularly suspended as a result, quite
    possibly that might have brought the numbers down.

    Who's to know ?


    bb

    This is like the case where a spate of killings stop and the authorities
    have to guess as to whether the killer is dead, incarcerated or moved
    on ...

    ...or has been sentenced to six months for TWOCing.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From GB@21:1/5 to Simon Parker on Fri Apr 26 16:50:33 2024
    On 24/04/2024 12:41, Simon Parker wrote:


    However, if they go on deliberately to breach court orders and are
    imprisoned as a result, they do so knowing that this will land them
    before a MPTS tribunal where we now know a suspension is likely.

    We know this, but I think we have different views as to whether that's a
    good thing. It's nothing to do with whether we support JSO, but whether
    the disrepute the doctor has brought upon the profession is sufficient
    to warrant a suspension.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From JNugent@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Fri Apr 26 15:43:39 2024
    On 26/04/2024 09:49 am, billy bookcase wrote:
    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message news:l9081rF4lf2U1@mid.individual.net...

    The underlying point wasn't a comparison of the odiousness of the offence. It was a
    response to the notion that being in a "shortage" profession should somehow exempt
    people from punishment for antisocial behaviour.

    That's all very fine were it not for the fact that Dr Benn "was" indeed punished.

    Oh, quite so.

    I am not one of those saying she shouldn't have been punished.

    But others have been saying or implying exactly that.

    Despite being in a "shortage" profession, as you put it, she was imprisoned for 31 days.*

    I was not putting that forward as a serious defence. I mentioned it only
    to point up how weak an argument it is.

    he point at issue is whether having already been punished for their antisocial
    behaviour, people in "shortage professions" should "in addition" be suspended from
    practising those professions for what are essentially "token" periods.
    Which don't actually achieve anything except disrupt established routines
    and in this instance further inconvenience patients. for whose sole benefit the whole system supposedly exists

    You appear to be in danger of arguing that (say) a ver', ver' drunken
    doctor caught driving a Land Rover at 55mph at 17:30 on a weekday in
    Charing Cross Road should not get the short prison sentence which might
    well be imposed for a pure drink-drive offence (no collisions, no
    injuries, no fatalities).

    A cynic might suggest that the primary function of many regulatory bodies administrators etc. appears to be to justify their own existence, roles, and salaries by seeming overzealousness; rather than furthering the objectives towards which they were supposedly set up.

    Cynics might argue absolutely anything. In some cases, they might even
    be right.

    As we know Shipman was found guilty of murdering 15 of his patients although
    there are suggestions his victims might have numbered as many as
    150, or more.

    I don't remember the number of convictions, but note what you say. Let
    me remind you that I was making a perverse point in order to show the
    weakness of the "shortage professions" argument.

    This should of course have read as many as 250 victims or more

    Who knows? Certainly not I.

    The Shipman Enquiry of 2002 concluded he had murdered at least 218 victims with
    the Tribunal Head HH Janet Smith admitting the possibility of many more

    It makes my point (about "shortage professions") all the more strongly.
    Thanks for that.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From billy bookcase@21:1/5 to JNugent on Sat Apr 27 08:31:45 2024
    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message news:l91sssFc7eqU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 26/04/2024 09:49 am, billy bookcase wrote:

    snippage

    {T] he point at issue is whether having already been punished for their antisocial
    behaviour, people in "shortage professions" should "in addition" be suspended from
    practising those professions for what are essentially "token" periods.
    Which don't actually achieve anything except disrupt established routines
    and in this instance further inconvenience patients. for whose sole benefit >> the whole system supposedly exists

    You appear to be in danger of arguing that (say) a ver', ver' drunken doctor caught
    driving a Land Rover at 55mph at 17:30 on a weekday in Charing Cross Road should not
    get the short prison sentence which might well be imposed for a pure drink-drive
    offence (no collisions, no injuries, no fatalities).

    You appear to be in danger of completely overlooking the especial emphasis I placed on the phrase "in addition" in the above quoted passage; and somehow thereby inferred that both myself and quite possibly other posters
    were in any way referring to the "Criminal Justice System". When in fact
    the whole emphasis, right from the start has been on the regulatory
    regime and the imposition of "additional sanctions"; in this case by
    the MTPS of the GMC

    snippage



    bb

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Jethro_uk@21:1/5 to JNugent on Sat Apr 27 08:26:36 2024
    On Fri, 26 Apr 2024 15:45:34 +0100, JNugent wrote:

    On 26/04/2024 11:11 am, Jethro_uk wrote:
    On Thu, 25 Apr 2024 19:50:12 +0100, billy bookcase wrote:

    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l8v42jFtu0hU3@mid.individual.net...
    On 25/04/2024 07:28 am, Pancho wrote:

    The sanctions against Dr Benn seem to hurt the public more than Dr
    Benn. One less doctor in a time of shortage.

    You're right.

    Clearly, Harold Shipman should never have been prosecuted in a time
    of doctor shortage.

    But you've rather missed the point, that what stopped Harold Shipman
    in his tracks, was being suspected by the relatives of one of his
    victims who reported him to the police. Not being struck off, or
    suspended, by the MPTS.

    As we know Shipman was found guilty of murdering 15 of his patients
    although there are suggestions his victims might have numbered as many
    as 150, or more.

    So that on the other hand....

    If Harold Shipman had been a climate protester who regular breached
    Court Injunctions, and was being regularly suspended as a result,
    quite possibly that might have brought the numbers down.

    Who's to know ?


    bb

    This is like the case where a spate of killings stop and the
    authorities have to guess as to whether the killer is dead,
    incarcerated or moved on ...

    ...or has been sentenced to six months for TWOCing.

    An interesting intersection of crimes :)

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From JNugent@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Sat Apr 27 14:11:50 2024
    On 27/04/2024 08:31 am, billy bookcase wrote:
    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message news:l91sssFc7eqU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 26/04/2024 09:49 am, billy bookcase wrote:

    snippage

    {T] he point at issue is whether having already been punished for their antisocial
    behaviour, people in "shortage professions" should "in addition" be suspended from
    practising those professions for what are essentially "token" periods.
    Which don't actually achieve anything except disrupt established routines >>> and in this instance further inconvenience patients. for whose sole benefit >>> the whole system supposedly exists

    You appear to be in danger of arguing that (say) a ver', ver' drunken doctor caught
    driving a Land Rover at 55mph at 17:30 on a weekday in Charing Cross Road should not
    get the short prison sentence which might well be imposed for a pure drink-drive
    offence (no collisions, no injuries, no fatalities).

    You appear to be in danger of completely overlooking the especial emphasis I placed on the phrase "in addition" in the above quoted passage; and somehow thereby inferred that both myself and quite possibly other posters
    were in any way referring to the "Criminal Justice System". When in fact
    the whole emphasis, right from the start has been on the regulatory
    regime and the imposition of "additional sanctions"; in this case by
    the MTPS of the GMC

    Fair enough.

    But there HAD been some commentary (over a few recent posts) to the
    effect that doctors should not be professionally sanctioned because of a shortage of medical personnel.

    On that basis, if it were sound, one could argue that even the normal
    criminal sanctions should be waived.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From JNugent@21:1/5 to All on Sat Apr 27 14:09:07 2024
    On 27/04/2024 09:26 am, Jethro_uk wrote:
    On Fri, 26 Apr 2024 15:45:34 +0100, JNugent wrote:

    On 26/04/2024 11:11 am, Jethro_uk wrote:
    On Thu, 25 Apr 2024 19:50:12 +0100, billy bookcase wrote:

    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l8v42jFtu0hU3@mid.individual.net...
    On 25/04/2024 07:28 am, Pancho wrote:

    The sanctions against Dr Benn seem to hurt the public more than Dr >>>>>> Benn. One less doctor in a time of shortage.

    You're right.

    Clearly, Harold Shipman should never have been prosecuted in a time
    of doctor shortage.

    But you've rather missed the point, that what stopped Harold Shipman
    in his tracks, was being suspected by the relatives of one of his
    victims who reported him to the police. Not being struck off, or
    suspended, by the MPTS.

    As we know Shipman was found guilty of murdering 15 of his patients
    although there are suggestions his victims might have numbered as many >>>> as 150, or more.

    So that on the other hand....

    If Harold Shipman had been a climate protester who regular breached
    Court Injunctions, and was being regularly suspended as a result,
    quite possibly that might have brought the numbers down.

    Who's to know ?


    bb

    This is like the case where a spate of killings stop and the
    authorities have to guess as to whether the killer is dead,
    incarcerated or moved on ...

    ...or has been sentenced to six months for TWOCing.

    An interesting intersection of crimes :)

    It happens.

    An arrest for something minor (not that TWOCing is trivial) leads to
    detection of other, more serious crimes.

    IIRC, Peter Sutcliffe was initially apprehended only for kerb-crawling.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Jethro_uk@21:1/5 to JNugent on Sat Apr 27 14:02:40 2024
    On Sat, 27 Apr 2024 14:09:07 +0100, JNugent wrote:

    On 27/04/2024 09:26 am, Jethro_uk wrote:
    On Fri, 26 Apr 2024 15:45:34 +0100, JNugent wrote:

    On 26/04/2024 11:11 am, Jethro_uk wrote:
    On Thu, 25 Apr 2024 19:50:12 +0100, billy bookcase wrote:

    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l8v42jFtu0hU3@mid.individual.net...
    On 25/04/2024 07:28 am, Pancho wrote:

    The sanctions against Dr Benn seem to hurt the public more than Dr >>>>>>> Benn. One less doctor in a time of shortage.

    You're right.

    Clearly, Harold Shipman should never have been prosecuted in a time >>>>>> of doctor shortage.

    But you've rather missed the point, that what stopped Harold Shipman >>>>> in his tracks, was being suspected by the relatives of one of his
    victims who reported him to the police. Not being struck off, or
    suspended, by the MPTS.

    As we know Shipman was found guilty of murdering 15 of his patients
    although there are suggestions his victims might have numbered as
    many as 150, or more.

    So that on the other hand....

    If Harold Shipman had been a climate protester who regular breached
    Court Injunctions, and was being regularly suspended as a result,
    quite possibly that might have brought the numbers down.

    Who's to know ?


    bb

    This is like the case where a spate of killings stop and the
    authorities have to guess as to whether the killer is dead,
    incarcerated or moved on ...

    ...or has been sentenced to six months for TWOCing.

    An interesting intersection of crimes :)

    It happens.

    An arrest for something minor (not that TWOCing is trivial) leads to detection of other, more serious crimes.

    IIRC, Peter Sutcliffe was initially apprehended only for kerb-crawling.

    Which time ? He was arrested years before he went on to commit more
    murders.

    He *almost* went on to commit more again if it hadn't been for the spidey senses of the policeman who arrested him going back to the scene of the
    arrest and discovering the murder kit.

    Such occurrences are paradigms of my assertion that all criminals are unbelievably thick. I mean really really mind bogglingly thick. To the
    extent that Liz Truss could probably beat them.

    If you put yourself into a position where your freedom (and possibly
    existence) could be wiped out by a simple traffic stop, then you my dim
    friend, did not think it through.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Pancho@21:1/5 to Simon Parker on Sat Apr 27 17:55:41 2024
    On 26/04/2024 10:52, Simon Parker wrote:
    On 25/04/2024 07:28, Pancho wrote:
    On 24/04/2024 12:38, Simon Parker wrote:
    On 23/04/2024 13:41, Pancho wrote:

    So what?

    To quote the GMC, "patients and the public rightly have a high degree
    of trust in doctors and that trust can be eroded if doctors
    repeatedly fail to comply with the law." (which pretty much mirrors
    what I've been saying throughout this thread was likely to be their
    stance, in advance of them formerly confirming it).


    You can quote the GMC, but we have no particular reason to believe or
    respect their statement.

    Who is this "we" on whose behalf you are speaking and when and by what process were you elected as their spokesperson?


    We = myself and the reader. It is used to discuss objective evidence,
    evidence available to the general reader. This is a common style in technical/scientific writing.

    I'm not making an argument to authority, if I were, I would try to give
    a cite.

    If you think the statement wrong, that we do have reasons to believe and respect the GMC, you are free to explain what these reasons are.

    [snip]

    We know it was judged to be professional misconduct. We haven't been
    given good reasons why.

    I assume you've read all 44 pages of the MPTS determination of facts
    before making that statement? [^1]


    Why would you assume that?

    There was a summary that contained the essence of the determination. The
    MPTS believed Dr Benn's behaviour undermined public confidence in GPs in general, that this had a negative effect on public health. Simples!
    Unsupported opinion, but simple to understand.

    I made the point about lack of confidence in the GMC and MPTS, I don't
    know why you would expect me to expend time and energy on a document I
    have very little reason to believe would provide insight.

    This is like saying if I read the Bible I would believe in God, or if I
    read Mein Kamfp, I would be convinced of Nazi ideology.

    Because it would not be "sensible" to have made the statement above
    without having first read it.


    I do not support the philosophy of Adolf Hitler, but I have not read
    Mein Kampf. Is that not “sensible” of me?

    You seem to have trouble accepting that some other people do not share
    your faith in these organisations. Do not share your faith in “authority”.


    Secondly, you keep repeating that the MPTS were obliged to
    investigate her imprisonment. My point wasn't about the MPTS
    investigating, it was about them finding her guilty of professional
    misconduct.

    Doctor Benn was found guilty of misconduct on Friday with her
    sanctions for misconduct being announced on Tuesday (by the GMC - at
    the time of writing the MPTS web-site still shows the hearing as
    ongoing).

    Yes, I have known that she had been found guilty from the start of
    this thread. Discussing the obligation to investigate was one of many
    irrelevances introduced to muddy the water.

    The tribunal started sitting on the 15 April.  JSO issued their press release the same day.  It hit mainstream media shortly thereafter and
    this thread started on 18 April, whilst the tribunal was still sitting
    and had not issued an outcome.

    If you knew on the 18th, when the thread started, that she had been
    found guilty (rather than strongly suspected that she might be), I can
    but assume you are a time traveller from the future.

    May I therefore trouble you to e-mail me this week's lottery numbers
    please?


    The Morning Star published the verdict on 18th.

    <https://morningstaronline.co.uk/article/doctor-found-guilty-professional-misconduct-after-taking-part-climate-protest>

    [snip]

    Dr Benn gave up being a GP so she could protest.  If anyone is
    responsible for their being one less doctor in the system "in a time of shortage" it is JSO as Dr Benn is out protesting rather than seeing patients.  (Which I consider her right, for the avoidance of doubt.) You seem to think that the suspension will have any effect on the number of
    GPs working?  Dr Benn wasn't working as a GP before the suspension,
    won't be working as a GP during the suspension and is unlikely to work
    as a GP following the suspension, (the latter point made clear in the
    MPTS Tribunal findings, for anyone that's bothered to read them).  Or weren't you aware of this and were merely intent on parroting your views without reference to the facts of the case in hand?


    The suspicion is that she gave up being a GP because she, correctly, anticipated conflict with the GMC.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Pancho@21:1/5 to JNugent on Sat Apr 27 18:05:04 2024
    On 27/04/2024 14:11, JNugent wrote:

    You appear to be in danger of completely overlooking the especial
    emphasis I
    placed on the phrase "in addition" in the above quoted passage; and
    somehow
    thereby inferred that both myself and quite possibly other posters
    were in any way referring to the "Criminal Justice System". When in fact
    the whole emphasis, right from the start has been on the regulatory
    regime and the imposition of "additional sanctions"; in this case by
    the MTPS of the GMC

    Fair enough.

    But there HAD been some commentary (over a few recent posts) to the
    effect that doctors should not be professionally sanctioned because of a shortage of medical personnel.


    I made the point that there was a public cost to sanctioning the doctor.
    It is always sensible to consider costs when taking actions.

    On that basis, if it were sound, one could argue that even the normal criminal sanctions should be waived.


    It is common for criminal sanctions to be waived due to cost. Motorists
    claim hardship to avoid motoring bans. Women avoid jail because they
    have to look after children. Men avoid jail because they have a family
    to support. In general people are not sent to jail due to overcrowding
    or general cost of their imprisonment. This is what happens in the real
    world.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Spike@21:1/5 to Pancho on Sat Apr 27 21:02:43 2024
    Pancho <Pancho.Jones@proton.me> wrote:

    The Morning Star published the verdict on 18th.

    <https://morningstaronline.co.uk/article/doctor-found-guilty-professional-misconduct-after-taking-part-climate-protest>

    Quote from the article:

    “Charity Plan B warned that the tribunal’s finding sets a disturbing precedent for the increasing numbers of medical professionals taking direct action in response to climate breakdown.”

    Since the climate is the climate, and it changes all the time, what is this ‘climate breakdown’ of which ‘Charity Plan B’ speaks and which exercises
    increasing numbers of medical professionals so?

    Presumably increasing numbers of medical professionals appear to be being
    led by the nose, not being climate experts.

    ne supra crepidam sutor iudicaret, perhaps.

    --
    Spike

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From billy bookcase@21:1/5 to Spike on Sun Apr 28 00:09:37 2024
    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message news:l957fjFregtU1@mid.individual.net...

    Presumably increasing numbers of medical professionals appear to be being
    led by the nose, not being climate experts.

    Presumably therefore, you also are being led by the nose in respect of
    every topic on which you yourself, are not an expert.


    bb

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From JNugent@21:1/5 to All on Sun Apr 28 01:37:50 2024
    On 27/04/2024 03:02 pm, Jethro_uk wrote:
    On Sat, 27 Apr 2024 14:09:07 +0100, JNugent wrote:

    On 27/04/2024 09:26 am, Jethro_uk wrote:
    On Fri, 26 Apr 2024 15:45:34 +0100, JNugent wrote:

    On 26/04/2024 11:11 am, Jethro_uk wrote:
    On Thu, 25 Apr 2024 19:50:12 +0100, billy bookcase wrote:

    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l8v42jFtu0hU3@mid.individual.net...
    On 25/04/2024 07:28 am, Pancho wrote:

    The sanctions against Dr Benn seem to hurt the public more than Dr >>>>>>>> Benn. One less doctor in a time of shortage.

    You're right.

    Clearly, Harold Shipman should never have been prosecuted in a time >>>>>>> of doctor shortage.

    But you've rather missed the point, that what stopped Harold Shipman >>>>>> in his tracks, was being suspected by the relatives of one of his
    victims who reported him to the police. Not being struck off, or
    suspended, by the MPTS.

    As we know Shipman was found guilty of murdering 15 of his patients >>>>>> although there are suggestions his victims might have numbered as
    many as 150, or more.

    So that on the other hand....

    If Harold Shipman had been a climate protester who regular breached >>>>>> Court Injunctions, and was being regularly suspended as a result,
    quite possibly that might have brought the numbers down.

    Who's to know ?


    bb

    This is like the case where a spate of killings stop and the
    authorities have to guess as to whether the killer is dead,
    incarcerated or moved on ...

    ...or has been sentenced to six months for TWOCing.

    An interesting intersection of crimes :)

    It happens.

    An arrest for something minor (not that TWOCing is trivial) leads to
    detection of other, more serious crimes.

    IIRC, Peter Sutcliffe was initially apprehended only for kerb-crawling.

    Which time ? He was arrested years before he went on to commit more
    murders.

    The history of the case is hardly a secret.

    He *almost* went on to commit more again if it hadn't been for the spidey senses of the policeman who arrested him going back to the scene of the arrest and discovering the murder kit.

    But he was arrested by accident. He was not suspected of being the
    Yorkshire Ripper. That came later.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From JNugent@21:1/5 to Pancho on Sun Apr 28 01:40:48 2024
    On 27/04/2024 06:05 pm, Pancho wrote:

    On 27/04/2024 14:11, JNugent wrote:

    [in response to BB saying:]

    You appear to be in danger of completely overlooking the especial
    emphasis I
    placed on the phrase "in addition" in the above quoted passage; and
    somehow
    thereby inferred that both myself and quite possibly other posters
    were in any way referring to the "Criminal Justice System". When in fact >>> the whole emphasis, right from the start has been on the regulatory
    regime and the imposition of "additional sanctions"; in this case by
    the MTPS of the GMC

    Fair enough.
    But there HAD been some commentary (over a few recent posts) to the
    effect that doctors should not be professionally sanctioned because of
    a shortage of medical personnel.

    I made the point that there was a public cost to sanctioning the doctor.
    It is always sensible to consider costs when taking actions.

    On that basis, if it were sound, one could argue that even the normal
    criminal sanctions should be waived.

    It is common for criminal sanctions to be waived due to cost. Motorists
    claim hardship to avoid motoring bans. Women avoid jail because they
    have to look after children. Men avoid jail because they have a family
    to support. In general people are not sent to jail due to overcrowding
    or general cost of their imprisonment. This is what happens in the real world.

    Of course it does. No-one, however, argues that a practitioners in a
    particular trade or calling should be exempt from punishment because
    it's hard to find a window-cleaner or a painter & decorator.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From billy bookcase@21:1/5 to jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com on Sun Apr 28 09:57:57 2024
    "Jethro_uk" <jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com> wrote in message news:v0j0i0$ch1o$4@dont-email.me...
    On Sat, 27 Apr 2024 14:09:07 +0100, JNugent wrote:

    On 27/04/2024 09:26 am, Jethro_uk wrote:
    On Fri, 26 Apr 2024 15:45:34 +0100, JNugent wrote:

    On 26/04/2024 11:11 am, Jethro_uk wrote:
    On Thu, 25 Apr 2024 19:50:12 +0100, billy bookcase wrote:

    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l8v42jFtu0hU3@mid.individual.net...
    On 25/04/2024 07:28 am, Pancho wrote:

    The sanctions against Dr Benn seem to hurt the public more than Dr >>>>>>>> Benn. One less doctor in a time of shortage.

    You're right.

    Clearly, Harold Shipman should never have been prosecuted in a time >>>>>>> of doctor shortage.

    But you've rather missed the point, that what stopped Harold Shipman >>>>>> in his tracks, was being suspected by the relatives of one of his
    victims who reported him to the police. Not being struck off, or
    suspended, by the MPTS.

    As we know Shipman was found guilty of murdering 15 of his patients >>>>>> although there are suggestions his victims might have numbered as
    many as 150, or more.

    So that on the other hand....

    If Harold Shipman had been a climate protester who regular breached >>>>>> Court Injunctions, and was being regularly suspended as a result,
    quite possibly that might have brought the numbers down.

    Who's to know ?


    bb

    This is like the case where a spate of killings stop and the
    authorities have to guess as to whether the killer is dead,
    incarcerated or moved on ...

    ...or has been sentenced to six months for TWOCing.

    An interesting intersection of crimes :)

    It happens.

    An arrest for something minor (not that TWOCing is trivial) leads to
    detection of other, more serious crimes.

    IIRC, Peter Sutcliffe was initially apprehended only for kerb-crawling.

    Which time ? He was arrested years before he went on to commit more
    murders.

    He *almost* went on to commit more again if it hadn't been for the spidey senses of the policeman who arrested him going back to the scene of the arrest and discovering the murder kit.

    Such occurrences are paradigms of my assertion that all criminals are unbelievably thick.

    Only the ones that get caught, surely ?

    And the point about psycopaths is that they're driven by irrational
    impulses to start with; and so evading capture won't necessarily be their
    main priority in any case . Most are just lucky. As most people simply
    don't ever expect to ever encounter a serial killer and so give them the benefit of the doubt,


    bb


    I mean really really mind bogglingly thick. To the
    extent that Liz Truss could probably beat them.

    If you put yourself into a position where your freedom (and possibly existence) could be wiped out by a simple traffic stop, then you my dim friend, did not think it through.


    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Jethro_uk@21:1/5 to JNugent on Sun Apr 28 10:21:38 2024
    On Sun, 28 Apr 2024 01:37:50 +0100, JNugent wrote:

    On 27/04/2024 03:02 pm, Jethro_uk wrote:
    On Sat, 27 Apr 2024 14:09:07 +0100, JNugent wrote:

    On 27/04/2024 09:26 am, Jethro_uk wrote:
    On Fri, 26 Apr 2024 15:45:34 +0100, JNugent wrote:

    On 26/04/2024 11:11 am, Jethro_uk wrote:
    On Thu, 25 Apr 2024 19:50:12 +0100, billy bookcase wrote:

    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l8v42jFtu0hU3@mid.individual.net...
    On 25/04/2024 07:28 am, Pancho wrote:

    The sanctions against Dr Benn seem to hurt the public more than >>>>>>>>> Dr Benn. One less doctor in a time of shortage.

    You're right.

    Clearly, Harold Shipman should never have been prosecuted in a >>>>>>>> time of doctor shortage.

    But you've rather missed the point, that what stopped Harold
    Shipman in his tracks, was being suspected by the relatives of one >>>>>>> of his victims who reported him to the police. Not being struck
    off, or suspended, by the MPTS.

    As we know Shipman was found guilty of murdering 15 of his
    patients although there are suggestions his victims might have
    numbered as many as 150, or more.

    So that on the other hand....

    If Harold Shipman had been a climate protester who regular
    breached Court Injunctions, and was being regularly suspended as a >>>>>>> result, quite possibly that might have brought the numbers down. >>>>>>>
    Who's to know ?


    bb

    This is like the case where a spate of killings stop and the
    authorities have to guess as to whether the killer is dead,
    incarcerated or moved on ...

    ...or has been sentenced to six months for TWOCing.

    An interesting intersection of crimes :)

    It happens.

    An arrest for something minor (not that TWOCing is trivial) leads to
    detection of other, more serious crimes.

    IIRC, Peter Sutcliffe was initially apprehended only for
    kerb-crawling.

    Which time ? He was arrested years before he went on to commit more
    murders.

    The history of the case is hardly a secret.

    He *almost* went on to commit more again if it hadn't been for the
    spidey senses of the policeman who arrested him going back to the scene
    of the arrest and discovering the murder kit.

    But he was arrested by accident. He was not suspected of being the
    Yorkshire Ripper. That came later.

    Entirely my point. His entire career of crime came crashing down with an *accidental* arrest. If your career plan is so vulnerable, you really
    need to work on your risk calculations.

    That said, I am well aware that a lot of crims are so dim they never
    quite catch on how dim they were. A few years ago, some bad lads decided
    to move some quite heavy artillery from one location to another. They
    would probably have gotten away with it if they had used a taxed and
    insured car. They didn't, and drove it through the most dense network of traffic cameras in the West Midlands, if not the universe.

    I am sure you can see where this is going.

    Personally I reckon they were being tailed from the off. The "stop" was
    just too easy though. Nothing to explain in court really. "Why did you
    stop my client ?" "Well apart from no tax or insurance ?"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Spike@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Sun Apr 28 09:04:25 2024
    billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:

    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message news:l957fjFregtU1@mid.individual.net...

    Presumably increasing numbers of medical professionals appear to be being
    led by the nose, not being climate experts.

    Presumably therefore, you also are being led by the nose in respect of
    every topic on which you yourself, are not an expert.

    I think we ought to move away from the idea of doctors being razor-brained people. But that doesn’t stop them from doing some research on topics they have an over-riding interest in.

    For example, ‘climate activists’ seem totally oblivious of the science (or perhaps that should more correctly read ‘lack of science’) on which their fears are based.

    I posted a message earlier in this thread which calculated how much the planetary temperatures would fall if the UK not only stopped emitting CO2 today, but sequestered all the CO2 it had ever produced since the
    industrial age began. That’s far more drastic a measure than JSO campaigns for. It’s a trivial 0.07degC, probably too small for any sensor to measure reliably.

    But I also pointed out that this was based on an empirical finding in a different piece of research, that AFAICT had never been supported theoretically. That’s a shaky foundation on which to base a $10trillion ‘climate change’ income stream. But people have now had 30-odd years of relentless climate propaganda shoved at them, and that has worked. No-one
    now mentions ‘the science’, partly because the beneficiaries of that income stream don’t want the issue reopened.

    Message-Id: <l8iftkF21hdU1@mid.individual.net>

    Date: 20 Apr 2024 18:30:12 GMT

    --
    Spike

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From JNugent@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Sun Apr 28 16:15:15 2024
    On 28/04/2024 12:09 am, billy bookcase wrote:

    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote...

    Presumably increasing numbers of medical professionals appear to be being
    led by the nose, not being climate experts.

    Presumably therefore, you also are being led by the nose in respect of
    every topic on which you yourself, are not an expert.

    That is arguably the way (semantics permitting) in which everyone is led
    by experts in matters of which they (the led) know little.

    And it isn't as though an expert witness has never been proven to have
    been wrong.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From billy bookcase@21:1/5 to Spike on Sun Apr 28 20:12:30 2024
    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message news:l96hopF2t1iU1@mid.individual.net...
    billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:

    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l957fjFregtU1@mid.individual.net...

    Presumably increasing numbers of medical professionals appear to be being >>> led by the nose, not being climate experts.

    Presumably therefore, you also are being led by the nose in respect of
    every topic on which you yourself, are not an expert.

    I think we ought to move away from the idea of doctors being razor-brained people. But that doesn't stop them from doing some research on topics they have an over-riding interest in.

    For example, 'climate activists' seem totally oblivious of the science (or perhaps that should more correctly read 'lack of science') on which their fears are based.

    I posted a message earlier in this thread which calculated how much the planetary temperatures would fall if the UK not only stopped emitting CO2 today, but sequestered all the CO2 it had ever produced since the
    industrial age began. That's far more drastic a measure than JSO campaigns for. It's a trivial 0.07degC, probably too small for any sensor to measure reliably.

    But I also pointed out that this was based on an empirical finding in a different piece of research, that AFAICT had never been supported theoretically. That's a shaky foundation on which to base a $10trillion 'climate change' income stream. But people have now had 30-odd years of relentless climate propaganda shoved at them, and that has worked. No-one
    now mentions 'the science', partly because the beneficiaries of that income stream don't want the issue reopened.

    So just to be clear.

    I assume you consider yourself to be a climate expert ?.

    And so there's no possibility whatsoever of your having been led by the nose yourself.

    Because otherwise, if you're not a climate expert then it follows that as with the doctors, at least so you argue, there's no reason to suppose you've not been
    led by the nose as well.

    Is there ?


    bb

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From billy bookcase@21:1/5 to JNugent on Mon Apr 29 08:20:34 2024
    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message news:l977g3F60crU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 28/04/2024 12:09 am, billy bookcase wrote:

    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote...

    Presumably increasing numbers of medical professionals appear to be being >>> led by the nose, not being climate experts.

    Presumably therefore, you also are being led by the nose in respect of
    every topic on which you yourself, are not an expert.

    That is arguably the way (semantics permitting) in which everyone is led by experts in
    matters of which they (the led) know little.

    And it isn't as though an expert witness has never been proven to have been wrong.

    But that's not what the OP is arguing, is it ? Irrespective of whether
    the expert is right or wrong, anyone who's not an expert themselves is
    being led by the nose

    Although in this instance, it's not a single expert being talked about,
    but a consensus. Such that well over 90% of actively publishing climate scientists agree that humans are causing global warming and climate change.

    And there are plenty of links to reputable sources confirming that claim.

    So there's a consensus on the consensus.

    So now presumably, everyone who's not a climate expert themselves
    is being led by the nose by the over 90% of actively publishing
    climate scientists, who have somehow succeeded in fooling Govts
    worldwide by deliberately falsifying or deliberately ignoring
    relevant data, and arriving at manifestly false conclusions
    thereby.

    And to what end ?

    Presumably it's all at the behest of a worldwide consortium of solar
    panel, windmill, EV, and bicycle manufacturers; who would be the only
    real beneficiaries from such a deception.

    While back in the real world, Big Oil* still budgets USD 22 bilion
    annually on exploration alone


    bb

    * Chemistry and physics dictate that nuclear and taxation aside,
    compared with all others hydrocarbons are by far the cheapest and
    most highly concentrated sources of energy available. And so by far
    the most profitable. And so far better placed to buy off over
    90% of the world's climate scientists, if such were possible.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Jon Ribbens@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Sun Apr 28 22:39:56 2024
    On 2024-04-28, billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:
    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message news:l96hopF2t1iU1@mid.individual.net...
    billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:
    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l957fjFregtU1@mid.individual.net...
    Presumably increasing numbers of medical professionals appear to be being >>>> led by the nose, not being climate experts.

    Presumably therefore, you also are being led by the nose in respect of
    every topic on which you yourself, are not an expert.

    I think we ought to move away from the idea of doctors being razor-brained >> people. But that doesn't stop them from doing some research on topics they >> have an over-riding interest in.

    For example, 'climate activists' seem totally oblivious of the science (or >> perhaps that should more correctly read 'lack of science') on which their
    fears are based.

    I posted a message earlier in this thread which calculated how much the
    planetary temperatures would fall if the UK not only stopped emitting CO2
    today, but sequestered all the CO2 it had ever produced since the
    industrial age began. That's far more drastic a measure than JSO campaigns >> for. It's a trivial 0.07degC, probably too small for any sensor to measure >> reliably.

    But I also pointed out that this was based on an empirical finding in a
    different piece of research, that AFAICT had never been supported
    theoretically. That's a shaky foundation on which to base a $10trillion
    'climate change' income stream. But people have now had 30-odd years of
    relentless climate propaganda shoved at them, and that has worked. No-one
    now mentions 'the science', partly because the beneficiaries of that income >> stream don't want the issue reopened.

    So just to be clear.

    I assume you consider yourself to be a climate expert ?.

    And so there's no possibility whatsoever of your having been led by
    the nose yourself.

    Because otherwise, if you're not a climate expert then it follows that
    as with the doctors, at least so you argue, there's no reason to
    suppose you've not been led by the nose as well.

    Is there ?

    No, no, I'm sure the logical explanation is that every climate scientist
    and expert in the world is wrong, and "Spike from the Internet" is right.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From JNugent@21:1/5 to All on Sun Apr 28 23:22:57 2024
    On 28/04/2024 11:21 am, Jethro_uk wrote:
    On Sun, 28 Apr 2024 01:37:50 +0100, JNugent wrote:

    On 27/04/2024 03:02 pm, Jethro_uk wrote:
    On Sat, 27 Apr 2024 14:09:07 +0100, JNugent wrote:

    On 27/04/2024 09:26 am, Jethro_uk wrote:
    On Fri, 26 Apr 2024 15:45:34 +0100, JNugent wrote:

    On 26/04/2024 11:11 am, Jethro_uk wrote:
    On Thu, 25 Apr 2024 19:50:12 +0100, billy bookcase wrote:

    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l8v42jFtu0hU3@mid.individual.net...
    On 25/04/2024 07:28 am, Pancho wrote:

    The sanctions against Dr Benn seem to hurt the public more than >>>>>>>>>> Dr Benn. One less doctor in a time of shortage.

    You're right.

    Clearly, Harold Shipman should never have been prosecuted in a >>>>>>>>> time of doctor shortage.

    But you've rather missed the point, that what stopped Harold
    Shipman in his tracks, was being suspected by the relatives of one >>>>>>>> of his victims who reported him to the police. Not being struck >>>>>>>> off, or suspended, by the MPTS.

    As we know Shipman was found guilty of murdering 15 of his
    patients although there are suggestions his victims might have >>>>>>>> numbered as many as 150, or more.

    So that on the other hand....

    If Harold Shipman had been a climate protester who regular
    breached Court Injunctions, and was being regularly suspended as a >>>>>>>> result, quite possibly that might have brought the numbers down. >>>>>>>>
    Who's to know ?


    bb

    This is like the case where a spate of killings stop and the
    authorities have to guess as to whether the killer is dead,
    incarcerated or moved on ...

    ...or has been sentenced to six months for TWOCing.

    An interesting intersection of crimes :)

    It happens.

    An arrest for something minor (not that TWOCing is trivial) leads to
    detection of other, more serious crimes.

    IIRC, Peter Sutcliffe was initially apprehended only for
    kerb-crawling.

    Which time ? He was arrested years before he went on to commit more
    murders.

    The history of the case is hardly a secret.

    He *almost* went on to commit more again if it hadn't been for the
    spidey senses of the policeman who arrested him going back to the scene
    of the arrest and discovering the murder kit.

    But he was arrested by accident. He was not suspected of being the
    Yorkshire Ripper. That came later.

    Entirely my point. His entire career of crime came crashing down with an *accidental* arrest. If your career plan is so vulnerable, you really
    need to work on your risk calculations.

    In the scenario posited (a theoretical serial killer's crimes stopping
    without explanation, leaving the police to wonder what had happened),
    the offender's being in prison (for something unrelated to the murders)
    would be an obvious bar to his committing any further offences for some
    time.

    That's all I was saying.

    That said, I am well aware that a lot of crims are so dim they never
    quite catch on how dim they were. A few years ago, some bad lads decided
    to move some quite heavy artillery from one location to another. They
    would probably have gotten away with it if they had used a taxed and
    insured car. They didn't, and drove it through the most dense network of traffic cameras in the West Midlands, if not the universe.

    I am sure you can see where this is going.

    Personally I reckon they were being tailed from the off. The "stop" was
    just too easy though. Nothing to explain in court really. "Why did you
    stop my client ?" "Well apart from no tax or insurance ?"

    There's a lot in what you say. The police aren't as incompetent as some
    people think they are.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Spike@21:1/5 to Jon Ribbens on Mon Apr 29 10:32:02 2024
    Jon Ribbens <jon+usenet@unequivocal.eu> wrote:
    On 2024-04-28, billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:
    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message news:l96hopF2t1iU1@mid.individual.net...
    billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:
    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l957fjFregtU1@mid.individual.net...
    Presumably increasing numbers of medical professionals appear to be being >>>>> led by the nose, not being climate experts.

    Presumably therefore, you also are being led by the nose in respect of >>>> every topic on which you yourself, are not an expert.

    I think we ought to move away from the idea of doctors being razor-brained >>> people. But that doesn't stop them from doing some research on topics they >>> have an over-riding interest in.

    For example, 'climate activists' seem totally oblivious of the science (or >>> perhaps that should more correctly read 'lack of science') on which their >>> fears are based.

    I posted a message earlier in this thread which calculated how much the
    planetary temperatures would fall if the UK not only stopped emitting CO2 >>> today, but sequestered all the CO2 it had ever produced since the
    industrial age began. That's far more drastic a measure than JSO campaigns >>> for. It's a trivial 0.07degC, probably too small for any sensor to measure >>> reliably.

    But I also pointed out that this was based on an empirical finding in a
    different piece of research, that AFAICT had never been supported
    theoretically. That's a shaky foundation on which to base a $10trillion
    'climate change' income stream. But people have now had 30-odd years of
    relentless climate propaganda shoved at them, and that has worked. No-one >>> now mentions 'the science', partly because the beneficiaries of that income >>> stream don't want the issue reopened.

    So just to be clear.

    I assume you consider yourself to be a climate expert ?.

    And so there's no possibility whatsoever of your having been led by
    the nose yourself.

    Because otherwise, if you're not a climate expert then it follows that
    as with the doctors, at least so you argue, there's no reason to
    suppose you've not been led by the nose as well.

    Is there ?

    No, no, I'm sure the logical explanation is that every climate scientist
    and expert in the world is wrong, and "Spike from the Internet" is right.

    Spike from the Internet is quoting the science.

    Who or what are you quoting from?

    --
    Spike

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Spike@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Mon Apr 29 10:32:01 2024
    billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:

    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message news:l96hopF2t1iU1@mid.individual.net...
    billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:

    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l957fjFregtU1@mid.individual.net...

    Presumably increasing numbers of medical professionals appear to be being >>>> led by the nose, not being climate experts.

    Presumably therefore, you also are being led by the nose in respect of
    every topic on which you yourself, are not an expert.

    I think we ought to move away from the idea of doctors being razor-brained >> people. But that doesn't stop them from doing some research on topics they >> have an over-riding interest in.

    For example, 'climate activists' seem totally oblivious of the science (or >> perhaps that should more correctly read 'lack of science') on which their
    fears are based.

    I posted a message earlier in this thread which calculated how much the
    planetary temperatures would fall if the UK not only stopped emitting CO2
    today, but sequestered all the CO2 it had ever produced since the
    industrial age began. That's far more drastic a measure than JSO campaigns >> for. It's a trivial 0.07degC, probably too small for any sensor to measure >> reliably.

    But I also pointed out that this was based on an empirical finding in a
    different piece of research, that AFAICT had never been supported
    theoretically. That's a shaky foundation on which to base a $10trillion
    'climate change' income stream. But people have now had 30-odd years of
    relentless climate propaganda shoved at them, and that has worked. No-one
    now mentions 'the science', partly because the beneficiaries of that income >> stream don't want the issue reopened.

    So just to be clear.

    I assume you consider yourself to be a climate expert ?.

    And so there's no possibility whatsoever of your having been led by the nose yourself.

    Having traced the source of the deltaT claim back to Arrhenius’ paper and Langley’s paper on which it was based, both of which being scientific
    papers were published in the open literature, it follows that anyone who supports ‘climate change’ based on that must acknowledge it’s fundamental weakness: there is no theory to support it, merely a correlation operating
    over a limited range.

    Even in the lifetime of the <spit> IPCC, the constant in the deltaT
    equation has morphed from circa 5.6 to its current level of 1.42. This of course means that the early hysteria based on this was overhyped by a
    factor close to 4x. No wonder the forecast of the Maldives being under
    water by 2015 has, like the then imminent extinction of the polar bears,
    been quietly forgotten by those led by the nose.

    Because otherwise, if you're not a climate expert then it follows that as with
    the doctors, at least so you argue, there's no reason to suppose you've not been
    led by the nose as well.

    Unlike people who parrot shibboleths, I speak of the science.

    --
    Spike

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Pamela@21:1/5 to Pancho on Mon Apr 29 14:34:00 2024
    On 17:55 27 Apr 2024, Pancho said:
    On 26/04/2024 10:52, Simon Parker wrote:


    Dr Benn gave up being a GP so she could protest. If anyone is
    responsible for their being one less doctor in the system "in a time
    of shortage" it is JSO as Dr Benn is out protesting rather than
    seeing patients. (Which I consider her right, for the avoidance of
    doubt.) You seem to think that the suspension will have any effect on
    the number of GPs working? Dr Benn wasn't working as a GP before
    the suspension, won't be working as a GP during the suspension and is
    unlikely to work as a GP following the suspension, (the latter point
    made clear in the MPTS Tribunal findings, for anyone that's bothered
    to read them). Or weren't you aware of this and were merely intent
    on parroting your views without reference to the facts of the case in
    hand?


    The suspicion is that she gave up being a GP because she, correctly, anticipated conflict with the GMC.

    Nevertheless, as Simon's link to the MPTS site shows, Dr Sarah Benn
    attended the tribunal and sought to avoid being sanctioned.

    I repost it below in case it got overlooked in his detailed post.

    <https://www.mpts-uk.org/-/media/mpts-rod-files/dr-sarah-benn-23-apr-
    24.pdf>

    --
    From message http://al.howardknight.net/?ID=171439753100

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From billy bookcase@21:1/5 to Spike on Mon Apr 29 13:23:38 2024
    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message news:l99b94Ffnc4U3@mid.individual.net...
    billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:

    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l977g3F60crU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 28/04/2024 12:09 am, billy bookcase wrote:

    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote...

    Presumably increasing numbers of medical professionals appear to be being >>>>> led by the nose, not being climate experts.

    Presumably therefore, you also are being led by the nose in respect of >>>> every topic on which you yourself, are not an expert.

    That is arguably the way (semantics permitting) in which everyone is led by experts
    in
    matters of which they (the led) know little.

    And it isn't as though an expert witness has never been proven to have been wrong.

    But that's not what the OP is arguing, is it ? Irrespective of whether
    the expert is right or wrong, anyone who's not an expert themselves is
    being led by the nose

    Although in this instance, it's not a single expert being talked about,
    but a consensus. Such that well over 90% of actively publishing climate
    scientists agree that humans are causing global warming and climate change.

    Ah, this fairy tale of >90% consensus.

    Some 10,000 scientific papers mentioning 'climate change' were examined to see whether they supported it or otherwise. 66% expressed no view, 34% expressed a possible correlation, with 33% mentioning the possibility of it being anthropogenic.

    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%, a famous much-trumpeted figure when it comes to an alleged scientific consensus on AGW.

    It take it you know all this, of course.

    No, not at all.

    Because up until now at least, I'd always believed that if you divide
    33 by 34 you got 103%.

    So its always useful to be corrected by a real expert on the subject.

    As to the actual figures here's what another bunch of stooges and
    patsies*, eight in all, who are all presumably in the pay of solar
    panel, windmill, EV, and bicycle manufacturers, have to say on the
    subject of consensus

    quote:

    Surveys of climate scientists have found strong agreement (97-98%)
    regarding AGW amongst publishing climate experts (Doran and Zimmerman
    2009, Anderegg et al 2010). Repeated surveys of scientists found that scientific agreement about AGW steadily increased from 1996 to 2009
    (Bray 2010). This is reflected in the increasingly definitive statements
    issued by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change on the attribution
    of recent GW (Houghton et al 1996, 2001, Solomon et al 2007).

    The peer-reviewed scientific literature provides a ground-level assessment
    of the degree of consensus among publishing scientists. An analysis of abstracts published from 1993-2003 matching the search 'global climate
    change' found that none of 928 papers disagreed with the consensus
    position on AGW (Oreskes 2004). This is consistent with an analysis of
    citation networks that found a consensus on AGW forming in the early
    1990s (Shwed and Bearman 2010).

    :unquote

    https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/024024


    bb


    * This claim is made for ironic purposes only.


    snip

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Pamela@21:1/5 to Spike on Mon Apr 29 14:44:52 2024
    On 11:32 29 Apr 2024, Spike said:

    billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:

    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l977g3F60crU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 28/04/2024 12:09 am, billy bookcase wrote:

    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote...

    Presumably increasing numbers of medical professionals appear to
    be being led by the nose, not being climate experts.

    Presumably therefore, you also are being led by the nose in respect
    of every topic on which you yourself, are not an expert.

    That is arguably the way (semantics permitting) in which everyone is
    led by experts in matters of which they (the led) know little.

    And it isn't as though an expert witness has never been proven to
    have been wrong.

    But that's not what the OP is arguing, is it ? Irrespective of
    whether the expert is right or wrong, anyone who's not an expert
    themselves is being led by the nose

    Although in this instance, it's not a single expert being talked
    about, but a consensus. Such that well over 90% of actively
    publishing climate scientists agree that humans are causing global
    warming and climate change.

    Ah, this fairy tale of >90% consensus.

    Some 10,000 scientific papers mentioning ‘climate change’ were
    examined to see whether they supported it or otherwise. 66% expressed
    no view, 34% expressed a possible correlation, with 33% mentioning the possibility of it being anthropogenic.

    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%, a famous much-trumpeted figure
    when it comes to an alleged scientific consensus on AGW.

    It take it you know all this, of course.

    I hadn't heard of that and wouldn't have believed it, until I downloaded
    the paper after reading your post to see where it was stated.

    It's a deplorable misuse of statistics. Sadly this sort of misleading
    thing is all too common in today's world with its post-modern logic. Truly
    junk science is now pouring out of some university departments.

    ----

    "Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming"

    <https://www.ufjf.br/engsanitariaeambiental/files/2013/05/Cook-et-al.- 2013.pdf>

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From RJH@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Mon Apr 29 14:42:03 2024
    On 29 Apr 2024 at 13:23:38 BST, "billy bookcase" wrote:


    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message news:l99b94Ffnc4U3@mid.individual.net...
    billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:

    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l977g3F60crU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 28/04/2024 12:09 am, billy bookcase wrote:

    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote...

    Presumably increasing numbers of medical professionals appear to be being
    led by the nose, not being climate experts.

    Presumably therefore, you also are being led by the nose in respect of >>>>> every topic on which you yourself, are not an expert.

    That is arguably the way (semantics permitting) in which everyone is led by
    experts
    in
    matters of which they (the led) know little.

    And it isn't as though an expert witness has never been proven to have been
    wrong.

    But that's not what the OP is arguing, is it ? Irrespective of whether
    the expert is right or wrong, anyone who's not an expert themselves is
    being led by the nose

    Although in this instance, it's not a single expert being talked about,
    but a consensus. Such that well over 90% of actively publishing climate
    scientists agree that humans are causing global warming and climate change. >>
    Ah, this fairy tale of >90% consensus.

    Some 10,000 scientific papers mentioning 'climate change' were examined to >> see whether they supported it or otherwise. 66% expressed no view, 34%
    expressed a possible correlation, with 33% mentioning the possibility of it >> being anthropogenic.

    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%, a famous much-trumpeted figure when it >> comes to an alleged scientific consensus on AGW.

    It take it you know all this, of course.

    No, not at all.

    Because up until now at least, I'd always believed that if you divide
    33 by 34 you got 103%.

    So its always useful to be corrected by a real expert on the subject.

    As to the actual figures here's what another bunch of stooges and
    patsies*, eight in all, who are all presumably in the pay of solar
    panel, windmill, EV, and bicycle manufacturers, have to say on the
    subject of consensus

    quote:

    Surveys of climate scientists have found strong agreement (97-98%)
    regarding AGW amongst publishing climate experts (Doran and Zimmerman
    2009, Anderegg et al 2010). Repeated surveys of scientists found that scientific agreement about AGW steadily increased from 1996 to 2009
    (Bray 2010). This is reflected in the increasingly definitive statements issued by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change on the attribution
    of recent GW (Houghton et al 1996, 2001, Solomon et al 2007).

    The peer-reviewed scientific literature provides a ground-level assessment
    of the degree of consensus among publishing scientists. An analysis of abstracts published from 1993-2003 matching the search 'global climate change' found that none

    Shouldn't that me 'most'?! Oreskes' 2004 paper is the one most misinterpreted in connection with the 97% figure, but it did conclude that anthropogenic climate change was a thing, and a posotion supported by most climate scientists. As to 'how many is most', about 80% seems to be about right:

    https://www.forbes.com/sites/uhenergy/2016/12/14/fact-checking-the-97-consensus-on-anthropogenic-climate-change/?sh=1b46a7e81157


    of 928 papers disagreed with the consensus
    position on AGW (Oreskes 2004). This is consistent with an analysis of citation networks that found a consensus on AGW forming in the early
    1990s (Shwed and Bearman 2010).

    :unquote

    https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/024024


    bb


    * This claim is made for ironic purposes only.


    snip


    --
    Cheers, Rob, Sheffield UK

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From JNugent@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Mon Apr 29 16:22:58 2024
    On 29/04/2024 08:20 am, billy bookcase wrote:

    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote:
    On 28/04/2024 12:09 am, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote...

    Presumably increasing numbers of medical professionals appear to be being >>>> led by the nose, not being climate experts.

    Presumably therefore, you also are being led by the nose in respect of
    every topic on which you yourself, are not an expert.

    That is arguably the way (semantics permitting) in which everyone is led by experts in
    matters of which they (the led) know little.

    And it isn't as though an expert witness has never been proven to have been wrong.

    But that's not what the OP is arguing, is it ?

    Yes, I think it is.

    Irrespective of whether
    the expert is right or wrong, anyone who's not an expert themselves is
    being led by the nose

    There will be obvious issues arising for some from the wording, but
    that's it in a nutshell. It always has been.

    Although in this instance, it's not a single expert being talked about,
    but a consensus. Such that well over 90% of actively publishing climate scientists agree that humans are causing global warming and climate change.

    And there are plenty of links to reputable sources confirming that claim.

    So there's a consensus on the consensus.

    Now you are addressing the case instead of the principles and the
    generalities.

    So now presumably, everyone who's not a climate expert themselves
    is being led by the nose by the over 90% of actively publishing
    climate scientists, who have somehow succeeded in fooling Govts
    worldwide by deliberately falsifying or deliberately ignoring
    relevant data, and arriving at manifestly false conclusions
    thereby.

    And to what end ?

    Presumably it's all at the behest of a worldwide consortium of solar
    panel, windmill, EV, and bicycle manufacturers; who would be the only
    real beneficiaries from such a deception.

    While back in the real world, Big Oil* still budgets USD 22 bilion
    annually on exploration alone

    And all of it necessary and desirable. Ever driven a Tesla? Tried to
    find somewhere to charge it while part-way through a journey?

    No, me neither. But I knew enough about it to refuse a Tesla at the
    airport last autumn and insist on the alternative of a Toyota. I
    intended to do an 800+ mile (each way) interstate trip and did so.

    Let others wait for the AAA at the side of the freeway. If it makes them
    feel virtuous, so much the better.
    bb

    * Chemistry and physics dictate that nuclear and taxation aside,
    compared with all others hydrocarbons are by far the cheapest and
    most highly concentrated sources of energy available.

    Indeed. Least demanding of scarce resources and delivering the most
    utility to the user.

    And so by far
    the most profitable. And so far better placed to buy off over
    90% of the world's climate scientists, if such were possible.

    Why do any of them want to mis-sell electric cars (or the idea of
    electric cars) to the public when they know as well as everyone else
    that those vehicles go nowhere near suiting the requirements of the
    average person?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From JNugent@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Mon Apr 29 16:29:09 2024
    On 29/04/2024 01:23 pm, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message news:l99b94Ffnc4U3@mid.individual.net...
    billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:

    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l977g3F60crU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 28/04/2024 12:09 am, billy bookcase wrote:

    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote...

    Presumably increasing numbers of medical professionals appear to be being
    led by the nose, not being climate experts.

    Presumably therefore, you also are being led by the nose in respect of >>>>> every topic on which you yourself, are not an expert.

    That is arguably the way (semantics permitting) in which everyone is led by experts
    in
    matters of which they (the led) know little.

    And it isn't as though an expert witness has never been proven to have been wrong.

    But that's not what the OP is arguing, is it ? Irrespective of whether
    the expert is right or wrong, anyone who's not an expert themselves is
    being led by the nose

    Although in this instance, it's not a single expert being talked about,
    but a consensus. Such that well over 90% of actively publishing climate
    scientists agree that humans are causing global warming and climate change. >>
    Ah, this fairy tale of >90% consensus.

    Some 10,000 scientific papers mentioning 'climate change' were examined to >> see whether they supported it or otherwise. 66% expressed no view, 34%
    expressed a possible correlation, with 33% mentioning the possibility of it >> being anthropogenic.

    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%, a famous much-trumpeted figure when it >> comes to an alleged scientific consensus on AGW.

    It take it you know all this, of course.

    No, not at all.

    Because up until now at least, I'd always believed that if you divide
    33 by 34 you got 103%.

    So its always useful to be corrected by a real expert on the subject.

    Have you got the Windows Calculator app on that device?

    Try: 33 ÷ 34.

    I assure you that it comes out at 0.9705882352941176 (or put another
    way, 97% to two significant figures).

    On the other hand, 34 ÷ 33 does come out at (in round terms) 103%.

    As to the actual figures here's what another bunch of stooges and
    patsies*, eight in all, who are all presumably in the pay of solar
    panel, windmill, EV, and bicycle manufacturers, have to say on the
    subject of consensus

    quote:

    Surveys of climate scientists have found strong agreement (97-98%)
    regarding AGW amongst publishing climate experts (Doran and Zimmerman
    2009, Anderegg et al 2010). Repeated surveys of scientists found that scientific agreement about AGW steadily increased from 1996 to 2009
    (Bray 2010). This is reflected in the increasingly definitive statements issued by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change on the attribution
    of recent GW (Houghton et al 1996, 2001, Solomon et al 2007).

    The peer-reviewed scientific literature provides a ground-level assessment
    of the degree of consensus among publishing scientists. An analysis of abstracts published from 1993-2003 matching the search 'global climate change' found that none of 928 papers disagreed with the consensus
    position on AGW (Oreskes 2004). This is consistent with an analysis of citation networks that found a consensus on AGW forming in the early
    1990s (Shwed and Bearman 2010).

    :unquote

    https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/024024


    bb


    * This claim is made for ironic purposes only.


    snip





    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Brian@21:1/5 to JNugent on Mon Apr 29 17:45:42 2024
    On 28/04/2024 17:15, JNugent wrote:
    On 28/04/2024 12:09 am, billy bookcase wrote:

    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote...

    Presumably increasing numbers of medical professionals appear to be
    being
    led by the nose, not being climate experts.

    Presumably therefore, you also are being led by the nose in respect of
    every topic on which you yourself, are not an expert.

    That is arguably the way (semantics permitting) in which everyone is led
    by experts in matters of which they (the led) know little.

    And it isn't as though an expert witness has never been proven to have
    been wrong.


    She isn't being struck off for her scientific belief (which I don't
    support). It seems the issue was her behaviour.



    As for the climate 'experts' and their doom mongering, how many of their
    dire predictions have come to pass?

    New York under water. Various islands submerged. No polar icecaps. .....


    No forgetting the case of the ship sent to investigate the vanishing
    polar ice getting stuck, in polar ice.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From billy bookcase@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Mon Apr 29 18:19:59 2024
    "billy bookcase" <billy@anon.com> wrote in message news:...


    A cursory reading also might suggest that had Dr Benn not repeatedly self-reported, the GMC might have preferred to simply ignore her;
    rather than embroil themselves in a public controversy they could
    probably never hope to win. But I stand to be corrected on this
    latter point.

    which of course is total nonsense.

    Dr Benn had to report any infractions as a condition of her contract.

    So that had she not done so, she would have been suspended but not
    for an offence of her own choosing.

    The misbehaviour in question *might* not simply consist of the
    repeated infractions over which Dr Benn was warned, but which
    never made the papers. But the fact that she deliberately used her
    position as a doctor to generate publicity for her cause
    by deliberately provoking the GMC into suspending her.
    Thus generating the required publicity while giving them no
    real choice



    bb

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From billy bookcase@21:1/5 to JNugent on Mon Apr 29 18:57:25 2024
    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message news:l99sm5Fi8mgU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 29/04/2024 01:23 pm, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l99b94Ffnc4U3@mid.individual.net...

    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%, a famous much-trumpeted figure when it >>> comes to an alleged scientific consensus on AGW.

    It take it you know all this, of course.

    No, not at all.

    Because up until now at least, I'd always believed that if you divide
    33 by 34 you got 103%.

    So its always useful to be corrected by a real expert on the subject.

    Have you got the Windows Calculator app on that device?

    Try: 33 34

    Eh ?

    I assure you that it comes out at 0.9705882352941176 (or put another way, 97% to two
    significant figures)

    Which when expressed as percentage is

    100/(33/34)=103.030303030303030%

    .
    bb

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From billy bookcase@21:1/5 to RJH on Mon Apr 29 19:37:01 2024
    "RJH" <patchmoney@gmx.com> wrote in message news:v0objr$1q2ur$1@dont-email.me...
    On 29 Apr 2024 at 13:23:38 BST, "billy bookcase" wrote:


    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l99b94Ffnc4U3@mid.individual.net...
    billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:

    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l977g3F60crU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 28/04/2024 12:09 am, billy bookcase wrote:

    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote...

    Presumably increasing numbers of medical professionals appear to be being
    led by the nose, not being climate experts.

    Presumably therefore, you also are being led by the nose in respect of >>>>>> every topic on which you yourself, are not an expert.

    That is arguably the way (semantics permitting) in which everyone is led by
    experts
    in
    matters of which they (the led) know little.

    And it isn't as though an expert witness has never been proven to have been
    wrong.

    But that's not what the OP is arguing, is it ? Irrespective of whether >>>> the expert is right or wrong, anyone who's not an expert themselves is >>>> being led by the nose

    Although in this instance, it's not a single expert being talked about, >>>> but a consensus. Such that well over 90% of actively publishing climate >>>> scientists agree that humans are causing global warming and climate change.

    Ah, this fairy tale of >90% consensus.

    Some 10,000 scientific papers mentioning 'climate change' were examined to >>> see whether they supported it or otherwise. 66% expressed no view, 34%
    expressed a possible correlation, with 33% mentioning the possibility of it >>> being anthropogenic.

    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%, a famous much-trumpeted figure when it >>> comes to an alleged scientific consensus on AGW.

    It take it you know all this, of course.

    No, not at all.

    Because up until now at least, I'd always believed that if you divide
    33 by 34 you got 103%.

    So its always useful to be corrected by a real expert on the subject.

    As to the actual figures here's what another bunch of stooges and
    patsies*, eight in all, who are all presumably in the pay of solar
    panel, windmill, EV, and bicycle manufacturers, have to say on the
    subject of consensus

    quote:

    Surveys of climate scientists have found strong agreement (97-98%)
    regarding AGW amongst publishing climate experts (Doran and Zimmerman
    2009, Anderegg et al 2010). Repeated surveys of scientists found that
    scientific agreement about AGW steadily increased from 1996 to 2009
    (Bray 2010). This is reflected in the increasingly definitive statements
    issued by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change on the attribution >> of recent GW (Houghton et al 1996, 2001, Solomon et al 2007).

    The peer-reviewed scientific literature provides a ground-level assessment >> of the degree of consensus among publishing scientists. An analysis of
    abstracts published from 1993-2003 matching the search 'global climate
    change' found that none

    Shouldn't that [b]e 'most'?!

    Er no. None of 982 disagreed with the consenuse

    Oreskes' 2004 paper is the one most misinterpreted
    in connection with the 97% figure,

    Only from people who expect every paper on climate science to
    express an opinion on AGW.

    While not claiming to be any expert in any way, I would imagine most
    papers on climate science are mainly concerned with various methods
    of data acquisition and measurement, methods of reconciling different
    sources of data and just simply amassing and analysing data without speculating on topics outside of the scope of that paper

    Whereas if the 34 papers who did specifically mention AGW,.
    that's 34 - (the big number) is divided by the 33 who agreed with
    the consensus (the samll number) the result does indeed come out
    at 97%

    That's a rather better way of approaching things than dividing the number
    who agreed (the small number) by the total who mentioned AGW
    (the big number). Which indeed comes to 103%

    but it did conclude that anthropogenic
    climate change was a thing, and a posotion supported by most climate scientists. As to 'how many is most', about 80% seems to be about right:

    https://www.forbes.com/sites/uhenergy/2016/12/14/fact-checking-the-97-consensus-on-anthropogenic-climate-change/?sh=1b46a7e81157

    Unfortunately nobody has yet come up with a satisfoctory explanation as to how a consortium of solar panel, windmill, EV and bicycle manufactures
    have somehow garnered sufficient resources to outspend BIG Oil when to
    comes to briblng climate scientists into publishing grossly misleading and flawed research

    snip

    bb



    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Norman Wells@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Mon Apr 29 23:24:51 2024
    On 29/04/2024 18:57, billy bookcase wrote:
    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message news:l99sm5Fi8mgU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 29/04/2024 01:23 pm, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l99b94Ffnc4U3@mid.individual.net...

    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%, a famous much-trumpeted figure when it
    comes to an alleged scientific consensus on AGW.

    It take it you know all this, of course.

    No, not at all.

    Because up until now at least, I'd always believed that if you divide
    33 by 34 you got 103%.

    So its always useful to be corrected by a real expert on the subject.

    Have you got the Windows Calculator app on that device?

    Try: 33 ÷ 34

    Eh ?

    I assure you that it comes out at 0.9705882352941176 (or put another way, 97% to two
    significant figures)

    Which when expressed as percentage is

    100/(33/34)=103.030303030303030%

    Sorry, no it isn't. It's 100*(33/34).

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From billy bookcase@21:1/5 to Norman Wells on Tue Apr 30 07:57:42 2024
    "Norman Wells" <hex@unseen.ac.am> wrote in message news:l9al1jFlqjnU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 29/04/2024 18:57, billy bookcase wrote:
    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l99sm5Fi8mgU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 29/04/2024 01:23 pm, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l99b94Ffnc4U3@mid.individual.net...

    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%, a famous much-trumpeted figure when it
    comes to an alleged scientific consensus on AGW.

    It take it you know all this, of course.

    No, not at all.

    Because up until now at least, I'd always believed that if you divide
    33 by 34 you got 103%.

    So its always useful to be corrected by a real expert on the subject.

    Have you got the Windows Calculator app on that device?

    Try: 33 34

    Eh ?

    I assure you that it comes out at 0.9705882352941176 (or put another way, 97% to two
    significant figures)

    Which when expressed as percentage is

    100/(33/34)=103.030303030303030%

    Sorry, no it isn't. It's 100*(33/34).

    So just to be clear.

    You're claiming that 34 (the big number) is only 97% of 33 (the small number), are you ?.

    As in

    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message

    " If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%"


    bb

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Spike@21:1/5 to Pamela on Tue Apr 30 08:29:58 2024
    Pamela <uklm@permabulator.33mail.com> wrote:
    On 11:32 29 Apr 2024, Spike said:

    billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:

    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l977g3F60crU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 28/04/2024 12:09 am, billy bookcase wrote:

    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote...

    Presumably increasing numbers of medical professionals appear to
    be being led by the nose, not being climate experts.

    Presumably therefore, you also are being led by the nose in respect
    of every topic on which you yourself, are not an expert.

    That is arguably the way (semantics permitting) in which everyone is
    led by experts in matters of which they (the led) know little.

    And it isn't as though an expert witness has never been proven to
    have been wrong.

    But that's not what the OP is arguing, is it ? Irrespective of
    whether the expert is right or wrong, anyone who's not an expert
    themselves is being led by the nose

    Although in this instance, it's not a single expert being talked
    about, but a consensus. Such that well over 90% of actively
    publishing climate scientists agree that humans are causing global
    warming and climate change.

    Ah, this fairy tale of >90% consensus.

    Some 10,000 scientific papers mentioning ‘climate change’ were
    examined to see whether they supported it or otherwise. 66% expressed
    no view, 34% expressed a possible correlation, with 33% mentioning the
    possibility of it being anthropogenic.

    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%, a famous much-trumpeted figure
    when it comes to an alleged scientific consensus on AGW.

    It take it you know all this, of course.

    I hadn't heard of that and wouldn't have believed it, until I downloaded
    the paper after reading your post to see where it was stated.

    It's a deplorable misuse of statistics. Sadly this sort of misleading
    thing is all too common in today's world with its post-modern logic. Truly junk science is now pouring out of some university departments.

    ----

    "Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming"

    <https://www.ufjf.br/engsanitariaeambiental/files/2013/05/Cook-et-al.- 2013.pdf>

    Many thanks for posting that. Unfortunately we live in a period in which
    people believe that 33 divided by 34 gives, as a percentage, 103.

    --
    Spike

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Spike@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Tue Apr 30 08:30:01 2024
    billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:

    "Norman Wells" <hex@unseen.ac.am> wrote in message news:l9al1jFlqjnU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 29/04/2024 18:57, billy bookcase wrote:
    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l99sm5Fi8mgU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 29/04/2024 01:23 pm, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l99b94Ffnc4U3@mid.individual.net...

    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%, a famous much-trumpeted figure when it
    comes to an alleged scientific consensus on AGW.

    It take it you know all this, of course.

    No, not at all.

    Because up until now at least, I'd always believed that if you divide >>>>> 33 by 34 you got 103%.

    So its always useful to be corrected by a real expert on the subject. >>>>
    Have you got the Windows Calculator app on that device?

    Try: 33 ч 34

    Eh ?

    I assure you that it comes out at 0.9705882352941176 (or put another way, 97% to two
    significant figures)

    Which when expressed as percentage is

    100/(33/34)=103.030303030303030%

    Sorry, no it isn't. It's 100*(33/34).

    So just to be clear.

    You're claiming that 34 (the big number) is only 97% of 33 (the small number), are you ?.

    As in

    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message

    " If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%"


    bb





    “Some 10,000 scientific papers mentioning ‘climate change’ were examined to
    see whether they supported it or otherwise. 66% expressed no view, 34% expressed a possible correlation, with 33% mentioning the possibility of it being anthropogenic.

    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%, a famous much-trumpeted figure when it comes to an alleged scientific consensus on AGW.”

    Keep in mind that climate change is advanced by its supporters as being man-made, the 33% mentioned. But this arises from the 34% who said it was ‘correlated’ with (but not necessarily caused by) human activity.

    It follows that of those that expressed a possibility of AGW, some 34% of
    the total surveyed, some 33% of those surveyed alleged it was man-made. So,
    of the total expressing a view, 33 out of 34 claimed it was caused by man,
    some 97%, or 50% of the total number of papers.


    --
    Spike

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Spike@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Tue Apr 30 08:29:57 2024
    billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:

    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message news:l99b94Ffnc4U3@mid.individual.net...
    billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:

    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l977g3F60crU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 28/04/2024 12:09 am, billy bookcase wrote:

    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote...

    Presumably increasing numbers of medical professionals appear to be being
    led by the nose, not being climate experts.

    Presumably therefore, you also are being led by the nose in respect of >>>>> every topic on which you yourself, are not an expert.

    That is arguably the way (semantics permitting) in which everyone is led by experts
    in
    matters of which they (the led) know little.

    And it isn't as though an expert witness has never been proven to have been wrong.

    But that's not what the OP is arguing, is it ? Irrespective of whether
    the expert is right or wrong, anyone who's not an expert themselves is
    being led by the nose

    Although in this instance, it's not a single expert being talked about,
    but a consensus. Such that well over 90% of actively publishing climate
    scientists agree that humans are causing global warming and climate change. >>
    Ah, this fairy tale of >90% consensus.

    Some 10,000 scientific papers mentioning 'climate change' were examined to >> see whether they supported it or otherwise. 66% expressed no view, 34%
    expressed a possible correlation, with 33% mentioning the possibility of it >> being anthropogenic.

    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%, a famous much-trumpeted figure when it >> comes to an alleged scientific consensus on AGW.

    It take it you know all this, of course.

    No, not at all.

    Because up until now at least, I'd always believed that if you divide
    33 by 34 you got 103%.

    Oh dear. You just seem to have lost some credibility, at least in the arithmetic sphere.

    You might benefit from a very careful re-read of what I wrote.

    So it’s always useful to be corrected by a real expert on the subject.

    As to the actual figures here's what another bunch of stooges and
    patsies*, eight in all, who are all presumably in the pay of solar
    panel, windmill, EV, and bicycle manufacturers, have to say on the
    subject of consensus

    quote:

    Surveys of climate scientists

    Some climate scientists?

    All climate scientists?

    Just those climate scientists whose funding depends on climate-related
    issues?

    have found strong agreement (97-98%)
    regarding AGW amongst publishing climate experts (Doran and Zimmerman
    2009, Anderegg et al 2010). Repeated surveys of scientists found that scientific agreement about AGW steadily increased from 1996 to 2009
    (Bray 2010). This is reflected in the increasingly definitive statements issued by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change on the attribution
    of recent GW (Houghton et al 1996, 2001, Solomon et al 2007).

    The peer-reviewed scientific literature provides a ground-level assessment
    of the degree of consensus among publishing scientists. An analysis of abstracts published from 1993-2003 matching the search 'global climate change' found that none of 928 papers disagreed with the consensus
    position on AGW (Oreskes 2004). This is consistent with an analysis of citation networks that found a consensus on AGW forming in the early
    1990s (Shwed and Bearman 2010).

    :unquote

    https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/024024


    bb


    * This claim is made for ironic purposes only.


    snip






    An interesting quote. Now tell us the basis on which it was funded,
    researched, and drawn up.

    --
    Spike

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From billy bookcase@21:1/5 to BrritSki on Tue Apr 30 12:58:02 2024
    "BrritSki" <rtilburyTAKEOUT@gmail.com> wrote in message news:l9bsjfF36k7U4@mid.individual.net...
    On 29/04/2024 13:23, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l99b94Ffnc4U3@mid.individual.net...

    Some 10,000 scientific papers mentioning 'climate change' were examined to >>> see whether they supported it or otherwise. 66% expressed no view, 34%
    expressed a possible correlation, with 33% mentioning the possibility of it >>> being anthropogenic.

    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%, a famous much-trumpeted figure when it >>> comes to an alleged scientific consensus on AGW.


    Because up until now at least, I'd always believed that if you divide
    33 by 34 you got 103%.

    Spike's calculation is correct assuming his original numbers are correct

    Oh really ?

    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97% ?

    Are you sure ?

    So what percentage do you think you get, if you divide 33 by 33 ?

    I'd say it was 100% myself. Do you agree ?

    So if 34 is bigger than 33,, then how can it be represent a
    smaller percentage of 33 than 33 itself ?

    Remainder snipped



    bb

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to Spike on Tue Apr 30 11:51:29 2024
    On 30 Apr 2024 at 09:30:00 BST, "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote:

    billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:

    "RJH" <patchmoney@gmx.com> wrote in message
    news:v0objr$1q2ur$1@dont-email.me...
    On 29 Apr 2024 at 13:23:38 BST, "billy bookcase" wrote:


    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l99b94Ffnc4U3@mid.individual.net...
    billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:

    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l977g3F60crU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 28/04/2024 12:09 am, billy bookcase wrote:

    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote...

    Presumably increasing numbers of medical professionals appear to be being
    led by the nose, not being climate experts.

    Presumably therefore, you also are being led by the nose in respect of >>>>>>>> every topic on which you yourself, are not an expert.

    That is arguably the way (semantics permitting) in which everyone is led by
    experts
    in
    matters of which they (the led) know little.

    And it isn't as though an expert witness has never been proven to have been
    wrong.

    But that's not what the OP is arguing, is it ? Irrespective of whether >>>>>> the expert is right or wrong, anyone who's not an expert themselves is >>>>>> being led by the nose

    Although in this instance, it's not a single expert being talked about, >>>>>> but a consensus. Such that well over 90% of actively publishing climate >>>>>> scientists agree that humans are causing global warming and climate change.

    Ah, this fairy tale of >90% consensus.

    Some 10,000 scientific papers mentioning 'climate change' were examined to
    see whether they supported it or otherwise. 66% expressed no view, 34% >>>>> expressed a possible correlation, with 33% mentioning the possibility of it
    being anthropogenic.

    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%, a famous much-trumpeted figure when it
    comes to an alleged scientific consensus on AGW.

    It take it you know all this, of course.

    No, not at all.

    Because up until now at least, I'd always believed that if you divide
    33 by 34 you got 103%.

    So its always useful to be corrected by a real expert on the subject.

    As to the actual figures here's what another bunch of stooges and
    patsies*, eight in all, who are all presumably in the pay of solar
    panel, windmill, EV, and bicycle manufacturers, have to say on the
    subject of consensus

    quote:

    Surveys of climate scientists have found strong agreement (97-98%)
    regarding AGW amongst publishing climate experts (Doran and Zimmerman
    2009, Anderegg et al 2010). Repeated surveys of scientists found that
    scientific agreement about AGW steadily increased from 1996 to 2009
    (Bray 2010). This is reflected in the increasingly definitive statements >>>> issued by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change on the attribution >>>> of recent GW (Houghton et al 1996, 2001, Solomon et al 2007).

    The peer-reviewed scientific literature provides a ground-level assessment >>>> of the degree of consensus among publishing scientists. An analysis of >>>> abstracts published from 1993-2003 matching the search 'global climate >>>> change' found that none

    Shouldn't that [b]e 'most'?!

    Er no. None of 982 disagreed with the consenuse

    Oreskes' 2004 paper is the one most misinterpreted
    in connection with the 97% figure,

    Only from people who expect every paper on climate science to
    express an opinion on AGW.

    While not claiming to be any expert in any way, I would imagine most
    papers on climate science are mainly concerned with various methods
    of data acquisition and measurement, methods of reconciling different
    sources of data and just simply amassing and analysing data without
    speculating on topics outside of the scope of that paper

    Whereas if the 34 papers who did specifically mention AGW,.
    that's 34 - (the big number) is divided by the 33 who agreed with
    the consensus (the samll number) the result does indeed come out
    at 97%

    That's a rather better way of approaching things than dividing the number
    who agreed (the small number) by the total who mentioned AGW
    (the big number). Which indeed comes to 103%

    but it did conclude that anthropogenic
    climate change was a thing, and a posotion supported by most climate
    scientists. As to 'how many is most', about 80% seems to be about right: >>>
    https://www.forbes.com/sites/uhenergy/2016/12/14/fact-checking-the-97-consensus-on-anthropogenic-climate-change/?sh=1b46a7e81157

    Unfortunately nobody has yet come up with a satisfoctory explanation as to >> how a consortium of solar panel, windmill, EV and bicycle manufactures
    have somehow garnered sufficient resources to outspend BIG Oil when to
    comes to briblng climate scientists into publishing grossly misleading and >> flawed research

    snip

    bb







    The thing that you are overlooking here is that 66% of papers expressed no opinion at all about AGW, so the real sum you should perform is 33/66 =
    50%.

    Which means that papers supporting the concept of anthropogenic climate change amounted to only half of those published, a very long way from your
    97 or 103%.

    I don't want to take sides on your main conspiracy theory, but that logic is nonsense. I am sure the majority of climate papers don't express an opinion on AGW because it is irrelevant to the subject of the paper. This might be on weather radar in the Arctic, cloud-seeding experiments or a new design of anemometer or anything else which gives no excuse, let alone an obligation,
    for expressing an opinion on climate change. So to say that the writers of those papers therefore don't support AGW is absurd.

    --
    Roger Hayter

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From JNugent@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Tue Apr 30 13:16:38 2024
    On 29/04/2024 06:57 pm, billy bookcase wrote:
    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message news:l99sm5Fi8mgU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 29/04/2024 01:23 pm, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l99b94Ffnc4U3@mid.individual.net...

    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%, a famous much-trumpeted figure when it
    comes to an alleged scientific consensus on AGW.

    It take it you know all this, of course.

    No, not at all.

    Because up until now at least, I'd always believed that if you divide
    33 by 34 you got 103%.

    So its always useful to be corrected by a real expert on the subject.

    Have you got the Windows Calculator app on that device?

    Try: 33 ÷ 34

    Eh ?

    I assure you that it comes out at 0.9705882352941176 (or put another way, 97% to two
    significant figures)

    Which when expressed as percentage is

    100/(33/34)=103.030303030303030%

    I *said* that you can get that result - but only dividing 34 by 33. You
    snipped that.

    The actual calculation was 33 divided by 34.

    Dividing any number by a number which is larger than it is bound to come
    out at less than 1 and cannot possibly come out at 1.03.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From JNugent@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Tue Apr 30 14:02:41 2024
    On 30/04/2024 07:57 am, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Norman Wells" <hex@unseen.ac.am> wrote in message news:l9al1jFlqjnU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 29/04/2024 18:57, billy bookcase wrote:
    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l99sm5Fi8mgU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 29/04/2024 01:23 pm, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l99b94Ffnc4U3@mid.individual.net...

    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%, a famous much-trumpeted figure when it
    comes to an alleged scientific consensus on AGW.

    It take it you know all this, of course.

    No, not at all.

    Because up until now at least, I'd always believed that if you divide >>>>> 33 by 34 you got 103%.

    So its always useful to be corrected by a real expert on the subject. >>>>
    Have you got the Windows Calculator app on that device?

    Try: 33 ÷ 34

    Eh ?

    I assure you that it comes out at 0.9705882352941176 (or put another way, 97% to two
    significant figures)

    Which when expressed as percentage is

    100/(33/34)=103.030303030303030%

    Sorry, no it isn't. It's 100*(33/34).

    So just to be clear.

    You're claiming that 34 (the big number) is only 97% of 33 (the small number), are you ?.

    It's the other way round. Where a fraction consists of N/N+y, the result
    has to be less than 1. Where it is N+y/N, the result has to be greater
    than 1.

    As in

    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message

    " If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%"...

    ...which is correct. Try it on a calculator.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From JNugent@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Tue Apr 30 13:17:59 2024
    On 29/04/2024 07:37 pm, billy bookcase wrote:
    "RJH" <patchmoney@gmx.com> wrote in message news:v0objr$1q2ur$1@dont-email.me...
    On 29 Apr 2024 at 13:23:38 BST, "billy bookcase" wrote:


    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l99b94Ffnc4U3@mid.individual.net...
    billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:

    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l977g3F60crU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 28/04/2024 12:09 am, billy bookcase wrote:

    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote...

    Presumably increasing numbers of medical professionals appear to be being
    led by the nose, not being climate experts.

    Presumably therefore, you also are being led by the nose in respect of >>>>>>> every topic on which you yourself, are not an expert.

    That is arguably the way (semantics permitting) in which everyone is led by
    experts
    in
    matters of which they (the led) know little.

    And it isn't as though an expert witness has never been proven to have been
    wrong.

    But that's not what the OP is arguing, is it ? Irrespective of whether >>>>> the expert is right or wrong, anyone who's not an expert themselves is >>>>> being led by the nose

    Although in this instance, it's not a single expert being talked about, >>>>> but a consensus. Such that well over 90% of actively publishing climate >>>>> scientists agree that humans are causing global warming and climate change.

    Ah, this fairy tale of >90% consensus.

    Some 10,000 scientific papers mentioning 'climate change' were examined to >>>> see whether they supported it or otherwise. 66% expressed no view, 34% >>>> expressed a possible correlation, with 33% mentioning the possibility of it
    being anthropogenic.

    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%, a famous much-trumpeted figure when it
    comes to an alleged scientific consensus on AGW.

    It take it you know all this, of course.

    No, not at all.

    Because up until now at least, I'd always believed that if you divide
    33 by 34 you got 103%.

    So its always useful to be corrected by a real expert on the subject.

    As to the actual figures here's what another bunch of stooges and
    patsies*, eight in all, who are all presumably in the pay of solar
    panel, windmill, EV, and bicycle manufacturers, have to say on the
    subject of consensus

    quote:

    Surveys of climate scientists have found strong agreement (97-98%)
    regarding AGW amongst publishing climate experts (Doran and Zimmerman
    2009, Anderegg et al 2010). Repeated surveys of scientists found that
    scientific agreement about AGW steadily increased from 1996 to 2009
    (Bray 2010). This is reflected in the increasingly definitive statements >>> issued by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change on the attribution >>> of recent GW (Houghton et al 1996, 2001, Solomon et al 2007).

    The peer-reviewed scientific literature provides a ground-level assessment >>> of the degree of consensus among publishing scientists. An analysis of
    abstracts published from 1993-2003 matching the search 'global climate
    change' found that none

    Shouldn't that [b]e 'most'?!

    Er no. None of 982 disagreed with the consenuse

    Oreskes' 2004 paper is the one most misinterpreted
    in connection with the 97% figure,

    Only from people who expect every paper on climate science to
    express an opinion on AGW.

    While not claiming to be any expert in any way, I would imagine most
    papers on climate science are mainly concerned with various methods
    of data acquisition and measurement, methods of reconciling different
    sources of data and just simply amassing and analysing data without speculating on topics outside of the scope of that paper

    Whereas if the 34 papers who did specifically mention AGW,.
    that's 34 - (the big number) is divided by the 33 who agreed with
    the consensus (the samll number) the result does indeed come out
    at 97%

    It's the other way round.

    33 divided by 34 is 0.97.

    34 divided by 33 is 1.03.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Pamela@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Tue Apr 30 14:24:19 2024
    On 19:37 29 Apr 2024, billy bookcase said:
    "RJH" <patchmoney@gmx.com> wrote in message news:v0objr$1q2ur$1@dont-email.me...

    [SNIP]

    Oreskes' 2004 paper is the one most misinterpreted in connection with
    the 97% figure,

    Only from people who expect every paper on climate science to express
    an opinion on AGW.

    While not claiming to be any expert in any way, I would imagine most
    papers on climate science are mainly concerned with various methods
    of data acquisition and measurement, methods of reconciling different
    sources of data and just simply amassing and analysing data without speculating on topics outside of the scope of that paper

    Whereas if the 34 papers who did specifically mention AGW,. that's 34
    - (the big number) is divided by the 33 who agreed with the consensus
    (the samll number) the result does indeed come out at 97%

    Unfortunately that result is wrong. The parts in your percentage
    calculations are exactly upside down.

    Some calculators require the user to first enter the denominator for a percentage calculation and then they allow the user to enter several
    different numerators for repeated percentage calculations on the same
    base.

    Perhaps your understanding about how to calculate percentages is basd on
    such a calculator, but it is using numbers entered back to front.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Pancho@21:1/5 to JNugent on Tue Apr 30 15:57:32 2024
    On 30/04/2024 13:16, JNugent wrote:


    Dividing any number by a number which is larger than it is bound to come
    out at less than 1 and cannot possibly come out at 1.03.


    -100 > -103 and -103/-100 = 1.03

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Jon Ribbens@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Tue Apr 30 15:06:29 2024
    On 2024-04-30, billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:
    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97% ?

    Are you sure ?

    So what percentage do you think you get, if you divide 33 by 33 ?

    I'd say it was 100% myself. Do you agree ?

    So if 34 is bigger than 33,, then how can it be represent a
    smaller percentage of 33 than 33 itself ?

    This is getting very silly. I don't know if you're engaged in some sort
    of protracted attempt at humour but it's quite tedious.

    "Divide X by Y" or "X divided by Y" means X ÷ Y. It does not mean Y ÷ X.

    "Divide 3 by 4" means 3 ÷ 4, i.e. three-quarters, 0.75, or 75%.

    "Divide 33 by 34" means 33 ÷ 34, i.e. 0.97 or 97%.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From JNugent@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Tue Apr 30 16:07:41 2024
    On 30/04/2024 12:58 pm, billy bookcase wrote:
    "BrritSki" <rtilburyTAKEOUT@gmail.com> wrote in message news:l9bsjfF36k7U4@mid.individual.net...
    On 29/04/2024 13:23, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l99b94Ffnc4U3@mid.individual.net...

    Some 10,000 scientific papers mentioning 'climate change' were examined to >>>> see whether they supported it or otherwise. 66% expressed no view, 34% >>>> expressed a possible correlation, with 33% mentioning the possibility of it
    being anthropogenic.

    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%, a famous much-trumpeted figure when it
    comes to an alleged scientific consensus on AGW.


    Because up until now at least, I'd always believed that if you divide
    33 by 34 you got 103%.

    Spike's calculation is correct assuming his original numbers are correct

    Oh really ?

    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97% ?

    Strictly, it is 0.97, but yes, that can also be expressed as 97%.

    Are you sure ?

    I certainly am.

    So what percentage do you think you get, if you divide 33 by 33 ?

    You'd get 1, which you could express as 100%.

    I'd say it was 100% myself. Do you agree ?

    I certainly do.

    So if 34 is bigger than 33,, then how can it be represent a
    smaller percentage of 33 than 33 itself ?

    Who says it does?

    It doesn't.

    Remainder snipped

    Honestly, try the calculation on a calculator.

    33 ÷ 34 = 0.97

    34 ÷ 33 = 1.03.

    Here it is in Excel with the E1 cell highlighted and the E1 formula
    visible above.

    <https://ibb.co/9WG5rMM>

    (SFW)

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From JNugent@21:1/5 to Pancho on Tue Apr 30 16:09:43 2024
    On 30/04/2024 03:57 pm, Pancho wrote:
    On 30/04/2024 13:16, JNugent wrote:


    Dividing any number by a number which is larger than it is bound to
    come out at less than 1 and cannot possibly come out at 1.03.


    -100 > -103 and -103/-100 = 1.03

    I don't understand what you are doing there.

    100/103 = 97.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From billy bookcase@21:1/5 to Pamela on Tue Apr 30 16:12:40 2024
    "Pamela" <uklm@permabulator.33mail.com> wrote in message news:XnsB164928A7D9171F3QA2@135.181.20.170...
    On 19:37 29 Apr 2024, billy bookcase said:
    "RJH" <patchmoney@gmx.com> wrote in message
    news:v0objr$1q2ur$1@dont-email.me...

    [SNIP]

    Oreskes' 2004 paper is the one most misinterpreted in connection with
    the 97% figure,

    Only from people who expect every paper on climate science to express
    an opinion on AGW.

    While not claiming to be any expert in any way, I would imagine most
    papers on climate science are mainly concerned with various methods
    of data acquisition and measurement, methods of reconciling different
    sources of data and just simply amassing and analysing data without
    speculating on topics outside of the scope of that paper

    Whereas if the 34 papers who did specifically mention AGW,. that's 34
    - (the big number) is divided by the 33 who agreed with the consensus
    (the samll number) the result does indeed come out at 97%

    Unfortunately that result is wrong.

    So that according to you, 33 isn't 97% of 34 ?

    Or 97.058 to be more precise


    thee parts in your percentage
    calculations are exactly upside down.

    Some calculators require the user to first enter the denominator for a percentage calculation and then they allow the user to enter several different numerators for repeated percentage calculations on the same
    base.

    Perhaps your understanding about how to calculate percentages is basd on
    such a calculator, but it is using numbers entered back to front.

    What *are* you talking about ?

    a) 90 (the smaller number) is 90% of 100 (the bigger number)

    b) 110 (the bigger number) is 110% of 100 (now the smaller number)

    c) IOW "Bigger numbers are always more than 100% of smaller numbers"

    Which of those three statements do you disagree with, and why ?


    bb



    bb



    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From billy bookcase@21:1/5 to Spike on Tue Apr 30 16:18:40 2024
    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message news:l9bog5Fqr8mU1@mid.individual.net...
    billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:

    snip


    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%, a famous much-trumpeted figure when it >>> comes to an alleged scientific consensus on AGW.

    It take it you know all this, of course.

    No, not at all.

    Because up until now at least, I'd always believed that if you divide
    33 by 34 you got 103%.

    Oh dear. You just seem to have lost some credibility, at least in the arithmetic sphere.

    You might benefit from a very careful re-read of what I wrote.

    No need.

    You wrote

    "If you divide 33 *by* 34, you get 97%"

    And not, "If you divide 33 *into* 34, you get 97%"

    Which would have been correct.

    Penny dropped yet ?

    remainder snipped


    bb

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Pancho@21:1/5 to Roger Hayter on Tue Apr 30 16:30:43 2024
    On 30/04/2024 12:51, Roger Hayter wrote:
    On 30 Apr 2024 at 09:30:00 BST, "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote:

    billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:

    "RJH" <patchmoney@gmx.com> wrote in message
    news:v0objr$1q2ur$1@dont-email.me...
    On 29 Apr 2024 at 13:23:38 BST, "billy bookcase" wrote:


    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l99b94Ffnc4U3@mid.individual.net...
    billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:

    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l977g3F60crU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 28/04/2024 12:09 am, billy bookcase wrote:

    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote...

    Presumably increasing numbers of medical professionals appear to be being
    led by the nose, not being climate experts.

    Presumably therefore, you also are being led by the nose in respect of
    every topic on which you yourself, are not an expert.

    That is arguably the way (semantics permitting) in which everyone is led by
    experts
    in
    matters of which they (the led) know little.

    And it isn't as though an expert witness has never been proven to have been
    wrong.

    But that's not what the OP is arguing, is it ? Irrespective of whether >>>>>>> the expert is right or wrong, anyone who's not an expert themselves is >>>>>>> being led by the nose

    Although in this instance, it's not a single expert being talked about, >>>>>>> but a consensus. Such that well over 90% of actively publishing climate >>>>>>> scientists agree that humans are causing global warming and climate change.

    Ah, this fairy tale of >90% consensus.

    Some 10,000 scientific papers mentioning 'climate change' were examined to
    see whether they supported it or otherwise. 66% expressed no view, 34% >>>>>> expressed a possible correlation, with 33% mentioning the possibility of it
    being anthropogenic.

    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%, a famous much-trumpeted figure when it
    comes to an alleged scientific consensus on AGW.

    It take it you know all this, of course.

    No, not at all.

    Because up until now at least, I'd always believed that if you divide >>>>> 33 by 34 you got 103%.

    So its always useful to be corrected by a real expert on the subject. >>>>>
    As to the actual figures here's what another bunch of stooges and
    patsies*, eight in all, who are all presumably in the pay of solar
    panel, windmill, EV, and bicycle manufacturers, have to say on the
    subject of consensus

    quote:

    Surveys of climate scientists have found strong agreement (97-98%)
    regarding AGW amongst publishing climate experts (Doran and Zimmerman >>>>> 2009, Anderegg et al 2010). Repeated surveys of scientists found that >>>>> scientific agreement about AGW steadily increased from 1996 to 2009
    (Bray 2010). This is reflected in the increasingly definitive statements >>>>> issued by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change on the attribution
    of recent GW (Houghton et al 1996, 2001, Solomon et al 2007).

    The peer-reviewed scientific literature provides a ground-level assessment
    of the degree of consensus among publishing scientists. An analysis of >>>>> abstracts published from 1993-2003 matching the search 'global climate >>>>> change' found that none

    Shouldn't that [b]e 'most'?!

    Er no. None of 982 disagreed with the consenuse

    Oreskes' 2004 paper is the one most misinterpreted
    in connection with the 97% figure,

    Only from people who expect every paper on climate science to
    express an opinion on AGW.

    While not claiming to be any expert in any way, I would imagine most
    papers on climate science are mainly concerned with various methods
    of data acquisition and measurement, methods of reconciling different
    sources of data and just simply amassing and analysing data without
    speculating on topics outside of the scope of that paper

    Whereas if the 34 papers who did specifically mention AGW,.
    that's 34 - (the big number) is divided by the 33 who agreed with
    the consensus (the samll number) the result does indeed come out
    at 97%

    That's a rather better way of approaching things than dividing the number >>> who agreed (the small number) by the total who mentioned AGW
    (the big number). Which indeed comes to 103%

    but it did conclude that anthropogenic
    climate change was a thing, and a posotion supported by most climate
    scientists. As to 'how many is most', about 80% seems to be about right: >>>>
    https://www.forbes.com/sites/uhenergy/2016/12/14/fact-checking-the-97-consensus-on-anthropogenic-climate-change/?sh=1b46a7e81157

    Unfortunately nobody has yet come up with a satisfoctory explanation as to
    how a consortium of solar panel, windmill, EV and bicycle manufactures
    have somehow garnered sufficient resources to outspend BIG Oil when to
    comes to briblng climate scientists into publishing grossly misleading and >>> flawed research

    snip

    bb







    The thing that you are overlooking here is that 66% of papers expressed no >> opinion at all about AGW, so the real sum you should perform is 33/66 =
    50%.

    Which means that papers supporting the concept of anthropogenic climate
    change amounted to only half of those published, a very long way from your >> 97 or 103%.

    I don't want to take sides on your main conspiracy theory, but that logic is nonsense. I am sure the majority of climate papers don't express an opinion on
    AGW because it is irrelevant to the subject of the paper. This might be on weather radar in the Arctic, cloud-seeding experiments or a new design of anemometer or anything else which gives no excuse, let alone an obligation, for expressing an opinion on climate change. So to say that the writers of those papers therefore don't support AGW is absurd.


    The problem is that, in general, climate scientists aren't the sharpest
    tools in the box, compared to hard physics types. It was just by chance
    that climate science became an important issue, and they found
    themselves promoted above their talent level. Liberal arts media types
    focus on presentational flair rather than strength of evidence/argument.

    This has the result that some hard science types react against clearly
    silly dogma presented by thick climate scientists and the liberal arts
    media.

    Focusing on stupid people, stupid arguments, does absolutely nothing to
    shed any light on the real scientific debate. Saying something is wrong
    doesn't show us what is right.

    I'm convinced it is sensible to limit CO2 emissions, with urgency, and
    at great expense. I'm not convinced that I can explain why I believe
    this to an audience without a strong background in mathematics and risk.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From billy bookcase@21:1/5 to JNugent on Tue Apr 30 16:45:46 2024
    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message news:l9c8fiFt6h1U1@mid.individual.net...
    On 30/04/2024 07:57 am, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Norman Wells" <hex@unseen.ac.am> wrote in message
    news:l9al1jFlqjnU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 29/04/2024 18:57, billy bookcase wrote:
    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l99sm5Fi8mgU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 29/04/2024 01:23 pm, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l99b94Ffnc4U3@mid.individual.net...

    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%, a famous much-trumpeted figure when it
    comes to an alleged scientific consensus on AGW.

    It take it you know all this, of course.

    No, not at all.

    Because up until now at least, I'd always believed that if you divide >>>>>> 33 by 34 you got 103%.

    So its always useful to be corrected by a real expert on the subject. >>>>>
    Have you got the Windows Calculator app on that device?

    Try: 33 34

    Eh ?

    I assure you that it comes out at 0.9705882352941176 (or put another way, 97% to
    two
    significant figures)

    Which when expressed as percentage is

    100/(33/34)=103.030303030303030%

    Sorry, no it isn't. It's 100*(33/34).

    So just to be clear.

    You're claiming that 34 (the big number) is only 97% of 33 (the small number), are you
    ?.

    It's the other way round. Where a fraction consists of N/N+y, the result has to be less
    than 1. Where it is N+y/N, the result has to be greater than 1.

    Will you please just answer the question.

    Is 34 97% of 33 ?

    Yes or no ?


    As in

    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message

    " If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%"...

    ...which is correct. Try it on a calculator.

    Never mind calculators.

    So you're saying that 34 is 97% of 33.?

    Is that correct ?

    Do you agree that 33 is 100 % of 33 ?

    Yes or no ?

    In which case how can 34 which is 1 bigger, be only 97% of 33 ?


    bb




    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Sir Tim@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Tue Apr 30 16:02:22 2024
    billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:

    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message news:l99sm5Fi8mgU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 29/04/2024 01:23 pm, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l99b94Ffnc4U3@mid.individual.net...

    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%, a famous much-trumpeted figure when it
    comes to an alleged scientific consensus on AGW.

    It take it you know all this, of course.

    No, not at all.

    Because up until now at least, I'd always believed that if you divide
    33 by 34 you got 103%.

    So its always useful to be corrected by a real expert on the subject.

    Have you got the Windows Calculator app on that device?

    Try: 33 ч 34

    Eh ?

    I assure you that it comes out at 0.9705882352941176 (or put another way, 97% to two
    significant figures)

    Which when expressed as percentage is

    100/(33/34)=103.030303030303030%

    I’ve not been following all the ramifications of this thread but surely we can agree that to express A as a percentage of B the correct formula is: A/B*100


    --
    Sir Tim

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Spike@21:1/5 to Roger Hayter on Tue Apr 30 16:10:13 2024
    Roger Hayter <roger@hayter.org> wrote:
    On 30 Apr 2024 at 09:30:00 BST, "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote:

    billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:

    "RJH" <patchmoney@gmx.com> wrote in message
    news:v0objr$1q2ur$1@dont-email.me...
    On 29 Apr 2024 at 13:23:38 BST, "billy bookcase" wrote:


    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l99b94Ffnc4U3@mid.individual.net...
    billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:

    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l977g3F60crU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 28/04/2024 12:09 am, billy bookcase wrote:

    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote...

    Presumably increasing numbers of medical professionals appear to be being
    led by the nose, not being climate experts.

    Presumably therefore, you also are being led by the nose in respect of
    every topic on which you yourself, are not an expert.

    That is arguably the way (semantics permitting) in which everyone is led by
    experts
    in
    matters of which they (the led) know little.

    And it isn't as though an expert witness has never been proven to have been
    wrong.

    But that's not what the OP is arguing, is it ? Irrespective of whether >>>>>>> the expert is right or wrong, anyone who's not an expert themselves is >>>>>>> being led by the nose

    Although in this instance, it's not a single expert being talked about, >>>>>>> but a consensus. Such that well over 90% of actively publishing climate >>>>>>> scientists agree that humans are causing global warming and climate change.

    Ah, this fairy tale of >90% consensus.

    Some 10,000 scientific papers mentioning 'climate change' were examined to
    see whether they supported it or otherwise. 66% expressed no view, 34% >>>>>> expressed a possible correlation, with 33% mentioning the possibility of it
    being anthropogenic.

    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%, a famous much-trumpeted figure when it
    comes to an alleged scientific consensus on AGW.

    It take it you know all this, of course.

    No, not at all.

    Because up until now at least, I'd always believed that if you divide >>>>> 33 by 34 you got 103%.

    So its always useful to be corrected by a real expert on the subject. >>>>>
    As to the actual figures here's what another bunch of stooges and
    patsies*, eight in all, who are all presumably in the pay of solar
    panel, windmill, EV, and bicycle manufacturers, have to say on the
    subject of consensus

    quote:

    Surveys of climate scientists have found strong agreement (97-98%)
    regarding AGW amongst publishing climate experts (Doran and Zimmerman >>>>> 2009, Anderegg et al 2010). Repeated surveys of scientists found that >>>>> scientific agreement about AGW steadily increased from 1996 to 2009
    (Bray 2010). This is reflected in the increasingly definitive statements >>>>> issued by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change on the attribution
    of recent GW (Houghton et al 1996, 2001, Solomon et al 2007).

    The peer-reviewed scientific literature provides a ground-level assessment
    of the degree of consensus among publishing scientists. An analysis of >>>>> abstracts published from 1993-2003 matching the search 'global climate >>>>> change' found that none

    Shouldn't that [b]e 'most'?!

    Er no. None of 982 disagreed with the consenuse

    Oreskes' 2004 paper is the one most misinterpreted
    in connection with the 97% figure,

    Only from people who expect every paper on climate science to
    express an opinion on AGW.

    While not claiming to be any expert in any way, I would imagine most
    papers on climate science are mainly concerned with various methods
    of data acquisition and measurement, methods of reconciling different
    sources of data and just simply amassing and analysing data without
    speculating on topics outside of the scope of that paper

    Whereas if the 34 papers who did specifically mention AGW,.
    that's 34 - (the big number) is divided by the 33 who agreed with
    the consensus (the samll number) the result does indeed come out
    at 97%

    That's a rather better way of approaching things than dividing the number >>> who agreed (the small number) by the total who mentioned AGW
    (the big number). Which indeed comes to 103%

    but it did conclude that anthropogenic
    climate change was a thing, and a posotion supported by most climate
    scientists. As to 'how many is most', about 80% seems to be about right: >>>>
    https://www.forbes.com/sites/uhenergy/2016/12/14/fact-checking-the-97-consensus-on-anthropogenic-climate-change/?sh=1b46a7e81157

    Unfortunately nobody has yet come up with a satisfoctory explanation as to
    how a consortium of solar panel, windmill, EV and bicycle manufactures
    have somehow garnered sufficient resources to outspend BIG Oil when to
    comes to briblng climate scientists into publishing grossly misleading and >>> flawed research

    snip

    bb







    The thing that you are overlooking here is that 66% of papers expressed no >> opinion at all about AGW, so the real sum you should perform is 33/66 =
    50%.

    Which means that papers supporting the concept of anthropogenic climate
    change amounted to only half of those published, a very long way from your >> 97 or 103%.

    I don't want to take sides on your main conspiracy theory, but that logic is nonsense. I am sure the majority of climate papers don't express an opinion on
    AGW because it is irrelevant to the subject of the paper. This might be on weather radar in the Arctic, cloud-seeding experiments or a new design of anemometer or anything else which gives no excuse, let alone an obligation, for expressing an opinion on climate change. So to say that the writers of those papers therefore don't support AGW is absurd.

    If that’s your considered opinion, I suggest you take up the matter with
    the paper’s authors. Pamela has given a link to the paper quite recently in this thread.

    --
    Spike

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Spike@21:1/5 to Pamela on Tue Apr 30 16:10:14 2024
    Pamela <uklm@permabulator.33mail.com> wrote:
    On 19:37 29 Apr 2024, billy bookcase said:
    "RJH" <patchmoney@gmx.com> wrote in message
    news:v0objr$1q2ur$1@dont-email.me...

    [SNIP]

    Oreskes' 2004 paper is the one most misinterpreted in connection with
    the 97% figure,

    Only from people who expect every paper on climate science to express
    an opinion on AGW.

    While not claiming to be any expert in any way, I would imagine most
    papers on climate science are mainly concerned with various methods
    of data acquisition and measurement, methods of reconciling different
    sources of data and just simply amassing and analysing data without
    speculating on topics outside of the scope of that paper

    Whereas if the 34 papers who did specifically mention AGW,. that's 34
    - (the big number) is divided by the 33 who agreed with the consensus
    (the samll number) the result does indeed come out at 97%

    Unfortunately that result is wrong. The parts in your percentage
    calculations are exactly upside down.

    Some calculators require the user to first enter the denominator for a percentage calculation and then they allow the user to enter several different numerators for repeated percentage calculations on the same
    base.

    Perhaps your understanding about how to calculate percentages is basd on
    such a calculator, but it is using numbers entered back to front.

    An algebraic calculator would have it

    3 3 / 3 4 = giving 0.97 as the result.

    A Lukaszewicz calculator would have it

    3 3 enter 3 4 / giving 0.97 as the result.

    Either way, one doesn’t get 1.03…

    I can’t understand billy bookcase missing the logic of “…out of the remaining 34% some 33% mentioned…”.


    --
    Spike

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From billy bookcase@21:1/5 to Sir Tim on Tue Apr 30 20:50:41 2024
    "Sir Tim" <no_email@invalid.invalid> wrote in message news:l9cj0eF8apU1@mid.individual.net...
    billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:

    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l99sm5Fi8mgU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 29/04/2024 01:23 pm, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l99b94Ffnc4U3@mid.individual.net...

    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%, a famous much-trumpeted figure when it
    comes to an alleged scientific consensus on AGW.

    It take it you know all this, of course.

    No, not at all.

    Because up until now at least, I'd always believed that if you divide
    33 by 34 you got 103%.

    So its always useful to be corrected by a real expert on the subject.

    Have you got the Windows Calculator app on that device?

    Try: 33 ? 34

    Eh ?

    I assure you that it comes out at 0.9705882352941176 (or put another way, 97% to two
    significant figures)

    Which when expressed as percentage is

    100/(33/34)=103.030303030303030%

    I've not been following all the ramifications of this thread but surely we can agree that to express A as a percentage of B the correct formula is: A/B*100

    The OP gave as his result 0.9705882352941176.

    Which is 33/34

    And so to convert 33/34 into a percentage you divide it into 100.

    Which gives the correct result. of 103%

    Now had the OP instead divided 34 by 33 he would
    have produced a result of 1,030303

    And to covert *that* to a percentage it is indeed multiplied by 100

    Which as expected, again gives 103%; as the two formulae are
    mathematically equivalent

    Except he didn't; he gave his result as 0.9705882352941176


    bb

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Jon Ribbens@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Tue Apr 30 23:10:19 2024
    On 2024-04-30, billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:
    The OP gave as his result 0.9705882352941176.

    Which is 33/34

    And so to convert 33/34 into a percentage you divide it into 100.

    Which gives the correct result. of 103%

    I'm honestly starting to worry that you're having a stroke.

    Any more of this I will reject as off-topic if I get to it first.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From JNugent@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Wed May 1 00:31:10 2024
    On 30/04/2024 04:45 pm, billy bookcase wrote:
    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message news:l9c8fiFt6h1U1@mid.individual.net...
    On 30/04/2024 07:57 am, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Norman Wells" <hex@unseen.ac.am> wrote in message
    news:l9al1jFlqjnU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 29/04/2024 18:57, billy bookcase wrote:
    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l99sm5Fi8mgU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 29/04/2024 01:23 pm, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l99b94Ffnc4U3@mid.individual.net...

    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%, a famous much-trumpeted figure when it
    comes to an alleged scientific consensus on AGW.

    It take it you know all this, of course.

    No, not at all.

    Because up until now at least, I'd always believed that if you divide >>>>>>> 33 by 34 you got 103%.

    So its always useful to be corrected by a real expert on the subject. >>>>>>
    Have you got the Windows Calculator app on that device?

    Try: 33 ÷ 34

    Eh ?

    I assure you that it comes out at 0.9705882352941176 (or put another way, 97% to
    two significant figures)

    Which when expressed as percentage is

    100/(33/34)=103.030303030303030%

    Sorry, no it isn't. It's 100*(33/34).

    So just to be clear.

    You're claiming that 34 (the big number) is only 97% of 33 (the small number), are you
    ?.

    It's the other way round. Where a fraction consists of N/N+y, the result has to be less
    than 1. Where it is N+y/N, the result has to be greater than 1.

    Will you please just answer the question.

    Is 34 97% of 33 ?

    Yes or no ?

    Of course it isn't.


    As in

    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message

    " If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%"...

    ...which is correct. Try it on a calculator.

    Never mind calculators.

    So you're saying that 34 is 97% of 33.?

    Is that correct ?

    I am not saying that and have never said it. You are now attempting a
    sleight of hand.

    Do you agree that 33 is 100 % of 33 ?

    Yes or no ?

    In which case how can 34 which is 1 bigger, be only 97% of 33 ?

    You are answering a question which is completely different from the one
    you set yourself some hours ago.

    That question was: "What is the answer to 33 ÷ 34?".

    And the correct answer to that, to two significant figures, is 0.97
    (which may be expressed as 97% if you prefer).

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Tue Apr 30 23:17:40 2024
    On 30 Apr 2024 at 20:50:41 BST, ""billy bookcase"" <billy@anon.com> wrote:


    "Sir Tim" <no_email@invalid.invalid> wrote in message news:l9cj0eF8apU1@mid.individual.net...
    billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:

    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l99sm5Fi8mgU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 29/04/2024 01:23 pm, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l99b94Ffnc4U3@mid.individual.net...

    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%, a famous much-trumpeted figure when it
    comes to an alleged scientific consensus on AGW.

    It take it you know all this, of course.

    No, not at all.

    Because up until now at least, I'd always believed that if you divide >>>>> 33 by 34 you got 103%.

    So its always useful to be corrected by a real expert on the subject. >>>>
    Have you got the Windows Calculator app on that device?

    Try: 33 ? 34

    Eh ?

    I assure you that it comes out at 0.9705882352941176 (or put another way, >>>> 97% to two
    significant figures)

    Which when expressed as percentage is

    100/(33/34)=103.030303030303030%

    I've not been following all the ramifications of this thread but surely we >> can agree that to express A as a percentage of B the correct formula is:
    A/B*100

    The OP gave as his result 0.9705882352941176.

    Which is 33/34

    And so to convert 33/34 into a percentage you divide it into 100.

    This is your mistake. To turn a fraction (decimal or otherwise, proper or improper) into a percentage you *multiply* it by a 100!



    snip



    --

    Roger Hayter

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From RJH@21:1/5 to JNugent on Wed May 1 04:02:55 2024
    On 1 May 2024 at 00:31:10 BST, JNugent wrote:

    That question was: "What is the answer to 33 ÷ 34?".

    And the correct answer to that, to two significant figures, is 0.97
    (which may be expressed as 97% if you prefer).

    Two decimal places. I'll get me coat . . .
    --
    Cheers, Rob, Sheffield UK

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From billy bookcase@21:1/5 to JNugent on Wed May 1 08:35:19 2024
    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message news:l9dd9vF4306U1@mid.individual.net...
    On 30/04/2024 04:45 pm, billy bookcase wrote:
    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l9c8fiFt6h1U1@mid.individual.net...
    On 30/04/2024 07:57 am, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Norman Wells" <hex@unseen.ac.am> wrote in message
    news:l9al1jFlqjnU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 29/04/2024 18:57, billy bookcase wrote:
    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l99sm5Fi8mgU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 29/04/2024 01:23 pm, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l99b94Ffnc4U3@mid.individual.net...

    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%, a famous much-trumpeted figure when it
    comes to an alleged scientific consensus on AGW.

    It take it you know all this, of course.

    No, not at all.

    Because up until now at least, I'd always believed that if you divide >>>>>>>> 33 by 34 you got 103%.

    So its always useful to be corrected by a real expert on the subject. >>>>>>>
    Have you got the Windows Calculator app on that device?

    Try: 33 34

    Eh ?

    I assure you that it comes out at 0.9705882352941176 (or put another way, 97% to
    two significant figures)

    Which when expressed as percentage is

    100/(33/34)=103.030303030303030%

    Sorry, no it isn't. It's 100*(33/34).

    So just to be clear.

    You're claiming that 34 (the big number) is only 97% of 33 (the small number), are
    you
    ?.

    It's the other way round. Where a fraction consists of N/N+y, the result has to be
    less
    than 1. Where it is N+y/N, the result has to be greater than 1.

    Will you please just answer the question.

    Is 34 97% of 33 ?

    Yes or no ?

    Of course it isn't.


    As in

    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message

    " If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%"...

    ...which is correct. Try it on a calculator.

    Never mind calculators.

    So you're saying that 34 is 97% of 33.?

    Is that correct ?

    I am not saying that and have never said it. You are now attempting a sleight of hand.

    Do you agree that 33 is 100 % of 33 ?

    Yes or no ?

    In which case how can 34 which is 1 bigger, be only 97% of 33 ?

    You are answering a question which is completely different from the one you set
    yourself some hours ago.

    That question was: "What is the answer to 33 34?".

    And the correct answer to that, to two significant figures, is 0.97 (which may be
    expressed as 97% if you prefer).

    I think I've located the source of the/my problem

    The 0.97 or 97% above doesn't mean that 34 is 0.97 or 97%. of 33;;
    but rather that 33 only has room for 0.97 or 97% of 34.

    From which it follows that 33 is .0.97 or 97% of 34.

    However while the maths and logic are impeccable I nevertheless
    find I have a mental block in visualising that last implication.

    Which is possibly why I've always found it inuitively easier
    to divide the big number by the small number and calculate
    percentages that way

    thus 100/(34/33) = 97%

    Protext used to have a very nice command line calculator
    same as in now offered by Powertoys.

    However I'd imagine there must be some very good reason why
    it seems everyone else instead chooses to use the (33/34)*100
    form, despite the result being always identical. .


    bb







    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Spike@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Wed May 1 08:42:32 2024
    billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:

    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message news:l9dd9vF4306U1@mid.individual.net...
    On 30/04/2024 04:45 pm, billy bookcase wrote:
    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l9c8fiFt6h1U1@mid.individual.net...
    On 30/04/2024 07:57 am, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Norman Wells" <hex@unseen.ac.am> wrote in message
    news:l9al1jFlqjnU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 29/04/2024 18:57, billy bookcase wrote:
    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l99sm5Fi8mgU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 29/04/2024 01:23 pm, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l99b94Ffnc4U3@mid.individual.net...

    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%, a famous much-trumpeted figure when it
    comes to an alleged scientific consensus on AGW.

    It take it you know all this, of course.

    No, not at all.

    Because up until now at least, I'd always believed that if you divide >>>>>>>>> 33 by 34 you got 103%.

    So its always useful to be corrected by a real expert on the subject. >>>>>>>>
    Have you got the Windows Calculator app on that device?

    Try: 33 ч 34

    Eh ?

    I assure you that it comes out at 0.9705882352941176 (or put another way, 97% to
    two significant figures)

    Which when expressed as percentage is

    100/(33/34)=103.030303030303030%

    Sorry, no it isn't. It's 100*(33/34).

    So just to be clear.

    You're claiming that 34 (the big number) is only 97% of 33 (the small number), are
    you
    ?.

    It's the other way round. Where a fraction consists of N/N+y, the result has to be
    less
    than 1. Where it is N+y/N, the result has to be greater than 1.

    Will you please just answer the question.

    Is 34 97% of 33 ?

    Yes or no ?

    Of course it isn't.


    As in

    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message

    " If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%"...

    ...which is correct. Try it on a calculator.

    Never mind calculators.

    So you're saying that 34 is 97% of 33.?

    Is that correct ?

    I am not saying that and have never said it. You are now attempting a sleight of hand.

    Do you agree that 33 is 100 % of 33 ?

    Yes or no ?

    In which case how can 34 which is 1 bigger, be only 97% of 33 ?

    You are answering a question which is completely different from the one you set
    yourself some hours ago.

    That question was: "What is the answer to 33 ч 34?".

    And the correct answer to that, to two significant figures, is 0.97 (which may be
    expressed as 97% if you prefer).

    I think I've located the source of the/my problem

    The 0.97 or 97% above doesn't mean that 34 is 0.97 or 97%. of 33;;
    but rather that 33 only has room for 0.97 or 97% of 34.

    From which it follows that 33 is .0.97 or 97% of 34.

    However while the maths and logic are impeccable I nevertheless
    find I have a mental block in visualising that last implication.

    Which is possibly why I've always found it inuitively easier
    to divide the big number by the small number and calculate
    percentages that way

    thus 100/(34/33) = 97%

    Protext used to have a very nice command line calculator
    same as in now offered by Powertoys.

    However I'd imagine there must be some very good reason why
    it seems everyone else instead chooses to use the (33/34)*100
    form, despite the result being always identical. .

    The (33/34)*100 method requires no further steps before performing the calculation, but your method requires an extra one, which is the inversion
    of the basic division, to give 34/33, and then another division into 100 to give the %age, with an extra chance of making an error.

    --
    Spike

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From kat@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Wed May 1 09:54:20 2024
    On 01/05/2024 08:35, billy bookcase wrote:
    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message news:l9dd9vF4306U1@mid.individual.net...
    On 30/04/2024 04:45 pm, billy bookcase wrote:
    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l9c8fiFt6h1U1@mid.individual.net...
    On 30/04/2024 07:57 am, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Norman Wells" <hex@unseen.ac.am> wrote in message
    news:l9al1jFlqjnU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 29/04/2024 18:57, billy bookcase wrote:
    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l99sm5Fi8mgU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 29/04/2024 01:23 pm, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l99b94Ffnc4U3@mid.individual.net...

    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%, a famous much-trumpeted figure when it
    comes to an alleged scientific consensus on AGW.

    It take it you know all this, of course.

    No, not at all.

    Because up until now at least, I'd always believed that if you divide >>>>>>>>> 33 by 34 you got 103%.

    So its always useful to be corrected by a real expert on the subject. >>>>>>>>
    Have you got the Windows Calculator app on that device?

    Try: 33 ÷ 34

    Eh ?

    I assure you that it comes out at 0.9705882352941176 (or put another way, 97% to
    two significant figures)

    Which when expressed as percentage is

    100/(33/34)=103.030303030303030%

    Sorry, no it isn't. It's 100*(33/34).

    So just to be clear.

    You're claiming that 34 (the big number) is only 97% of 33 (the small number), are
    you
    ?.

    It's the other way round. Where a fraction consists of N/N+y, the result has to be
    less
    than 1. Where it is N+y/N, the result has to be greater than 1.

    Will you please just answer the question.

    Is 34 97% of 33 ?

    Yes or no ?

    Of course it isn't.


    As in

    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message

    " If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%"...

    ...which is correct. Try it on a calculator.

    Never mind calculators.

    So you're saying that 34 is 97% of 33.?

    Is that correct ?

    I am not saying that and have never said it. You are now attempting a sleight of hand.

    Do you agree that 33 is 100 % of 33 ?

    Yes or no ?

    In which case how can 34 which is 1 bigger, be only 97% of 33 ?

    You are answering a question which is completely different from the one you set
    yourself some hours ago.

    That question was: "What is the answer to 33 ÷ 34?".

    And the correct answer to that, to two significant figures, is 0.97 (which may be
    expressed as 97% if you prefer).

    I think I've located the source of the/my problem

    The 0.97 or 97% above doesn't mean that 34 is 0.97 or 97%. of 33;;
    but rather that 33 only has room for 0.97 or 97% of 34.

    From which it follows that 33 is .0.97 or 97% of 34.

    However while the maths and logic are impeccable I nevertheless
    find I have a mental block in visualising that last implication.

    Which is possibly why I've always found it inuitively easier
    to divide the big number by the small number and calculate
    percentages that way

    thus 100/(34/33) = 97%

    Protext used to have a very nice command line calculator
    same as in now offered by Powertoys.

    However I'd imagine there must be some very good reason why
    it seems everyone else instead chooses to use the (33/34)*100
    form, despite the result being always identical. .


    No doubt it is how we were all taught at school. Maybe that is the way you were taught? There seems to be fashions in how to do the simplest calculations - some
    of which get very complicated!

    --
    kat
    >^..^<

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From JNugent@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Wed May 1 14:59:02 2024
    On 01/05/2024 08:35 am, billy bookcase wrote:

    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote:

    [huge snip]

    Do you agree that 33 is 100 % of 33 ?
    Yes or no ?
    In which case how can 34 which is 1 bigger, be only 97% of 33 ?

    You are answering a question which is completely different from the one you set
    yourself some hours ago.

    That question was: "What is the answer to 33 ÷ 34?".

    And the correct answer to that, to two significant figures, is 0.97 (which may be
    expressed as 97% if you prefer).

    I think I've located the source of the/my problem

    The 0.97 or 97% above doesn't mean that 34 is 0.97 or 97%. of 33;;

    Bingo! It certainly doesn't.

    but rather that 33 only has room for 0.97 or 97% of 34.

    That's a way of putting it which I haven't previously encountered, but
    since 34 is larger than 33, er... 33 can't be larger than 34.

    From which it follows that 33 is .0.97 or 97% of 34.

    Correct (suitably rounded, of course).

    However while the maths and logic are impeccable I nevertheless
    find I have a mental block in visualising that last implication.

    Which is possibly why I've always found it inuitively easier
    to divide the big number by the small number and calculate
    percentages that way

    thus 100/(34/33) = 97%

    It should be (33/34)*100.

    Protext used to have a very nice command line calculator
    same as in now offered by Powertoys.

    However I'd imagine there must be some very good reason why
    it seems everyone else instead chooses to use the (33/34)*100
    form, despite the result being always identical.

    That's only because it is a correct way to do it.

    If a calculation "shows" that an obviously smaller number is larger than
    an obviously larger number, the calculation has to be wrong, either in
    method or execution.

    I hated maths at school. Still do.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From billy bookcase@21:1/5 to Spike on Thu May 2 08:49:43 2024
    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message news:l9edjoF8jp0U1@mid.individual.net...
    billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:

    snip


    However I'd imagine there must be some very good reason why
    it seems everyone else instead chooses to use the (33/34)*100
    form, despite the result being always identical. .

    The (33/34)*100 method requires no further steps before performing the calculation, but your method requires an extra one, which is the inversion
    of the basic division, to give 34/33, and then another division into 100 to give the %age, with an extra chance of making an error.

    An error ?

    Consider say numbers under 150, leaving out prime numbers.

    I don't know about nowadays, but

    <brass band> in the old days we were all taught our tables </brass band>

    Such as that if you walked up to many such people in the street and asked
    them "what is 56 divided by 7 ?" or "what is 108 divided by 9 ?" or "how many 3's are there in 36 ?" they'd answer you almost immediately if not straight away. They certainly wouldn't have to get a pencil and piece of paper.

    Now it's your turn

    Walk up to those self same people in the street and ask them "What is 7 divided by 56 ?" or "what is 9 divided by 108?" or what is "3 divided by 36 ?" and how long do
    you think they'd take to answer ? That's is after scratching round Columbo style, for a piece of paper and a pencil.

    Which for practical purposed means that people are more likely
    to be able to identify mistakes using the "wrong method" without
    having to check using pencil and paper

    Then having done that there's the "simple matter" of multiplying by 100.
    Which is this case doesn't simply involve sticking two nought on the
    end

    At least not to 0.083333333333333 it doesn't.

    That's 9 divided by 108 by the way as I'm sure you already knew.

    And so much more "interesting" than boring old 12, the answer to
    doing it the "wrong way"

    So no. To multiply that by 100 you need to move the decimal point
    by two places (or was it three, no definitely two ) and nobodies
    ever heard of mistakes being made by putting the decimal point
    in the wrong place.

    Not that many would ever notice in any case.

    As what's the odd .833, 8.33, or .000833 among friends ?

    And in any case with calculators its simply a matter of keying
    in the same three numbers along with two brackets along and two
    different symbols in a slightly different order.


    bb

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From billy bookcase@21:1/5 to JNugent on Thu May 2 09:08:11 2024
    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message news:l9f056Fb9fuU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 01/05/2024 08:35 am, billy bookcase wrote:

    The 0.97 or 97% above doesn't mean that 34 is 0.97 or 97%. of 33;;

    Bingo! It certainly doesn't.

    but rather that 33 only has room for 0.97 or 97% of 34.

    That's a way of putting it which I haven't previously encountered, but since 34 is
    larger than 33, er... 33 can't be larger than 34.

    So how *do* you put it ?

    As I'm genuinely interested as it might help me visualise it.


    I hated maths at school. Still do.

    Maths can be useful But maybe not the stuff we were taught at school.
    I only ever needed to use percentages years later and having
    conveniently forgotten the proper method I simply worked
    backwards. Something like "I know 6 is 25% of 24, so how can I juggle
    24, 6, and 100 to get 25 ?. And for fairly obvious reasons I divided
    24 by 6 and not the other way round.
    Prime numbers for instance are interesting. Despite men being jumped up chimpanzees and or/cavemen they eventually devised a system of
    symbols and rules usually using ten as a base same as our fingers
    which somehow has all these *hidden* properties which mathematicians
    struggle to discover and then create theorems etc. and then they and others
    try and prove. So that did these "mathematical truths" exist before Big Bang for instance ? Which is admittedly more like the perfect chess game than anything to do with measuring your kitchen or anything.


    bb

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Spike@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Thu May 2 08:41:22 2024
    billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:

    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message news:l9edjoF8jp0U1@mid.individual.net...
    billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:

    snip


    However I'd imagine there must be some very good reason why
    it seems everyone else instead chooses to use the (33/34)*100
    form, despite the result being always identical. .

    The (33/34)*100 method requires no further steps before performing the
    calculation, but your method requires an extra one, which is the inversion >> of the basic division, to give 34/33, and then another division into 100 to >> give the %age, with an extra chance of making an error.

    An error ?

    Consider say numbers under 150, leaving out prime numbers.

    I don't know about nowadays, but

    <brass band> in the old days we were all taught our tables </brass band>

    Such as that if you walked up to many such people in the street and asked them "what is 56 divided by 7 ?" or "what is 108 divided by 9 ?" or "how many
    3's are there in 36 ?" they'd answer you almost immediately if not straight away. They certainly wouldn't have to get a pencil and piece of paper.

    Now it's your turn

    Walk up to those self same people in the street and ask them "What is 7 divided
    by 56 ?" or "what is 9 divided by 108?" or what is "3 divided by 36 ?" and how long do
    you think they'd take to answer ? That's is after scratching round Columbo style, for a piece of paper and a pencil.

    Which for practical purposed means that people are more likely
    to be able to identify mistakes using the "wrong method" without
    having to check using pencil and paper

    Then having done that there's the "simple matter" of multiplying by 100. Which is this case doesn't simply involve sticking two nought on the
    end

    At least not to 0.083333333333333 it doesn't.

    That's 9 divided by 108 by the way as I'm sure you already knew.

    And so much more "interesting" than boring old 12, the answer to
    doing it the "wrong way"

    So no. To multiply that by 100 you need to move the decimal point
    by two places (or was it three, no definitely two ) and nobodies
    ever heard of mistakes being made by putting the decimal point
    in the wrong place.

    Not that many would ever notice in any case.

    As what's the odd .833, 8.33, or .000833 among friends ?

    And in any case with calculators its simply a matter of keying
    in the same three numbers along with two brackets along and two
    different symbols in a slightly different order.

    The problem with your method is the inverted logic required to perform it.

    --
    Spike

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Jon Ribbens@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Thu May 2 09:42:45 2024
    On 2024-05-02, billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:
    Prime numbers for instance are interesting. Despite men being jumped up chimpanzees and or/cavemen they eventually devised a system of
    symbols and rules usually using ten as a base same as our fingers
    which somehow has all these *hidden* properties which mathematicians struggle to discover and then create theorems etc. and then they and others try and prove.

    Most mathematical properties don't have anything to do with what base
    you use. The number 17 for example is prime no matter whether you write
    it as 17, 0x11, or 0b10001.

    So that did these "mathematical truths" exist before Big Bang for
    instance ? Which is admittedly more like the perfect chess game than
    anything to do with measuring your kitchen or anything.

    Yes. Rules and constants of physics may change in other areas of the
    universe, or at different times, or indeed in other universes. But 17
    is prime from the beginning of time to the end of time and in any
    alternate universes that might exist too, it's pure maths, it's
    independent of physical reality.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From billy bookcase@21:1/5 to BrritSki on Thu May 2 10:36:05 2024
    "BrritSki" <rtilburyTAKEOUT@gmail.com> wrote in message news:l9gvvkFk43kU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 01/05/2024 14:59, JNugent wrote:

    Interestingly [FSVO interesting] I just came across this which goes to the source of
    the 97% consensus with links to the original studies so they can be checked against the
    comments made in the article.

    <https://wattsupwiththat.com/2024/05/01/the-in-depth-story-behind-the-97-of-scientists-climate-fraud/>



    Never mind blind links, which particular evidence and arguments proposed in that link
    do you yourself find the most convincing ?

    While the comments in the article appear to be mainly concerned with American politics and former President Obama and Al Gore and a study published in 2011.

    Since which time of course, things have hardly improved

    "The 10 warmest years in the 174-year record have all occurred during the
    last decade (2014-2023)."

    https://www.climate.gov/news-features/featured-images/2023-was-warmest-year-modern-temperature-record

    Doubtless brought to you by another team of stooges, patsies, and corrupt politicians
    who are all on the payroll of that self same-consortium of solar panel, windmill
    EV and bicycle manufacturers who are somehow financing the whole thing.

    And who nowadays are also probably all Chinese.

    Its maybe just as well nobody has yet copped on to that one

    Climate hoax all the work of China !



    bb

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to All on Thu May 2 10:56:45 2024
    On 2 May 2024 at 10:42:45 BST, "Jon Ribbens" <jon+usenet@unequivocal.eu>
    wrote:

    On 2024-05-02, billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:
    Prime numbers for instance are interesting. Despite men being jumped up
    chimpanzees and or/cavemen they eventually devised a system of
    symbols and rules usually using ten as a base same as our fingers
    which somehow has all these *hidden* properties which mathematicians
    struggle to discover and then create theorems etc. and then they and others >> try and prove.

    Most mathematical properties don't have anything to do with what base
    you use. The number 17 for example is prime no matter whether you write
    it as 17, 0x11, or 0b10001.

    So that did these "mathematical truths" exist before Big Bang for
    instance ? Which is admittedly more like the perfect chess game than
    anything to do with measuring your kitchen or anything.

    Yes. Rules and constants of physics may change in other areas of the universe, or at different times, or indeed in other universes. But 17
    is prime from the beginning of time to the end of time and in any
    alternate universes that might exist too, it's pure maths, it's
    independent of physical reality.

    However, numbers are to an extent a human construct. It is hard, but probably not impossible, to envisage an intelligent species who had no concept of number. Grains of sand on the seashore are really not affected by primeness.


    --
    Roger Hayter

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From JNugent@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Thu May 2 13:28:35 2024
    On 02/05/2024 09:08 am, billy bookcase wrote:

    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote:
    On 01/05/2024 08:35 am, billy bookcase wrote:

    The 0.97 or 97% above doesn't mean that 34 is 0.97 or 97%. of 33;;

    Bingo! It certainly doesn't.

    but rather that 33 only has room for 0.97 or 97% of 34.

    That's a way of putting it which I haven't previously encountered, but since 34 is
    larger than 33, er... 33 can't be larger than 34.

    So how *do* you put it ?

    As I'm genuinely interested as it might help me visualise it.


    I hated maths at school. Still do.

    Maths can be useful But maybe not the stuff we were taught at school.
    I only ever needed to use percentages years later and having
    conveniently forgotten the proper method I simply worked
    backwards. Something like "I know 6 is 25% of 24, so how can I juggle
    24, 6, and 100 to get 25 ?. And for fairly obvious reasons I divided
    24 by 6 and not the other way round.
    Prime numbers for instance are interesting. Despite men being jumped up chimpanzees and or/cavemen they eventually devised a system of
    symbols and rules usually using ten as a base same as our fingers
    which somehow has all these *hidden* properties which mathematicians struggle to discover and then create theorems etc. and then they and others try and prove. So that did these "mathematical truths" exist before Big Bang for instance ? Which is admittedly more like the perfect chess game than anything to do with measuring your kitchen or anything.

    I'm interested too.

    Let me have a think about a proper response.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From JNugent@21:1/5 to BrritSki on Thu May 2 13:33:13 2024
    On 02/05/2024 09:08 am, BrritSki wrote:

    On 01/05/2024 14:59, JNugent wrote:

    Interestingly [FSVO interesting] I just came across this which goes to
    the source of the 97% consensus with links to the original studies so
    they can be checked against the comments made in the article.

    <https://wattsupwiththat.com/2024/05/01/the-in-depth-story-behind-the-97-of-scientists-climate-fraud/>

    Thanks.

    Climate-change is not a burning issue for me, but that is an interesting article.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From JNugent@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Thu May 2 13:35:33 2024
    On 02/05/2024 10:36 am, billy bookcase wrote:

    "BrritSki" <rtilburyTAKEOUT@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 01/05/2024 14:59, JNugent wrote:

    [nothing that has been quoted]

    Interestingly [FSVO interesting] I just came across this which goes to the source of
    the 97% consensus with links to the original studies so they can be checked against the
    comments made in the article.

    <https://wattsupwiththat.com/2024/05/01/the-in-depth-story-behind-the-97-of-scientists-climate-fraud/>

    Never mind blind links, which particular evidence and arguments proposed in that link
    do you yourself find the most convincing ?
    While the comments in the article appear to be mainly concerned with American politics and former President Obama and Al Gore and a study published in 2011.
    Since which time of course, things have hardly improved
    "The 10 warmest years in the 174-year record have all occurred during the last decade (2014-2023)."

    You'd *expect* that if the last mini-ice-age manifested until the mid nineteenth century, wouldn't you?

    https://www.climate.gov/news-features/featured-images/2023-was-warmest-year-modern-temperature-record

    Doubtless brought to you by another team of stooges, patsies, and corrupt politicians
    who are all on the payroll of that self same-consortium of solar panel, windmill
    EV and bicycle manufacturers who are somehow financing the whole thing.

    And who nowadays are also probably all Chinese.

    Its maybe just as well nobody has yet copped on to that one

    Climate hoax all the work of China !

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From billy bookcase@21:1/5 to Jon Ribbens on Fri May 3 10:20:06 2024
    "Jon Ribbens" <jon+usenet@unequivocal.eu> wrote in message news:slrnv36o0l.4ab.jon+usenet@raven.unequivocal.eu...
    On 2024-05-02, billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:
    Prime numbers for instance are interesting. Despite men being jumped up
    chimpanzees and or/cavemen they eventually devised a system of
    symbols and rules usually using ten as a base same as our fingers
    which somehow has all these *hidden* properties which mathematicians
    struggle to discover and then create theorems etc. and then they and others >> try and prove.

    Most mathematical properties don't have anything to do with what base
    you use. The number 17 for example is prime no matter whether you write
    it as 17, 0x11, or 0b10001.

    So that did these "mathematical truths" exist before Big Bang for
    instance ? Which is admittedly more like the perfect chess game than
    anything to do with measuring your kitchen or anything.

    Yes. Rules and constants of physics may change in other areas of the universe, or at different times, or indeed in other universes. But 17
    is prime from the beginning of time to the end of time and in any
    alternate universes that might exist too, it's pure maths, it's
    independent of physical reality.

    Pure maths is concerned with examining chains of logical inferences,
    why for instance 7, 17, 37,47 57,67 but not 27,or 77 turn out to be
    prime numbers in, in this case, any numbering system starting with
    1 and incrementing by 1. But the only reason humans adopted such a
    numbering system in the first place, was for purely practical purposes;
    in order to interact satisfactorily with physical reality.

    In addition abstract concepts such as mathematical truths only
    have any meaning in relation to a physical organisms i.e human
    brains which are capable of conceptualising them.

    Or in the case of pure maths, appreciating the beauty and simplicity
    of a particular solution. Something which one might imagine
    would be well beyond the capability of your average chimpanzee.
    One without A Level maths at least.*

    Either before or after Big Bang.

    At least unless you want to invoke the old Guy ** in the clouds
    with the beard. In which case of course all bets are off.


    bb


    * "A Level maths ? Wozzat grandad ?

    ** Capital G please note:just to be on the safe side

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Owen Rees@21:1/5 to All on Sun May 5 22:37:21 2024
    On Wed, 1 May 2024 08:35:19 +0100, "billy bookcase" <billy@anon.com>
    wrote in <v0srbs$31oj0$1@dont-email.me>:

    However I'd imagine there must be some very good reason why
    it seems everyone else instead chooses to use the (33/34)*100
    form, despite the result being always identical. .

    It is closer to the (33*100)/34 form which is easier to derive from the
    meaning of "percent" - per hundred. The percentage is the numerator when
    the value is expressed as a fraction with denominator 100.

    If you start with a/b=n/100 and want the value of n the simple
    transformation is to multiply both sides by 100: (a*100)/b=n.

    Applying a little algebra you can get a lot of other equivalent formulae provided that b is not zero.

    Understanding mathematics can help to avoid the situation that arose in
    Indiana in 1894 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indiana_pi_bill "the
    Indiana State Legislature had laid itself open to ridicule".

    Unfortunately, mathematics does not help to avoid writing other doubtful
    claims into law.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From billy bookcase@21:1/5 to Owen Rees on Mon May 6 11:52:58 2024
    "Owen Rees" <orees@hotmail.com> wrote in message news:krrf3jdgh5uk9q8v7lp6srf8ni9il5o3cj@4ax.com...
    On Wed, 1 May 2024 08:35:19 +0100, "billy bookcase" <billy@anon.com>
    wrote in <v0srbs$31oj0$1@dont-email.me>:

    However I'd imagine there must be some very good reason why
    it seems everyone else instead chooses to use the (33/34)*100
    form, despite the result being always identical. .

    It is closer to the (33*100)/34 form which is easier to derive from the meaning of "percent" - per hundred. The percentage is the numerator when
    the value is expressed as a fraction with denominator 100.

    If you start with a/b=n/100 and want the value of n the simple
    transformation is to multiply both sides by 100: (a*100)/b=n.

    Applying a little algebra you can get a lot of other equivalent formulae provided that b is not zero.

    Understanding mathematics can help to avoid the situation that arose in Indiana in 1894 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indiana_pi_bill "the
    Indiana State Legislature had laid itself open to ridicule".

    Unfortunately, mathematics does not help to avoid writing other doubtful claims into law.

    It certainly didn't seem to help Sally Clark a solicitor. At least at the
    hands of Sir Roy Meadow, a pediatrician. He 'correctly' asserted that
    the probability of a random baby dying a cot death (SIDS) if the mother
    is greater than 26 years old, affluent, and a nonsmoker, is 1 in 8,543

    And therefore.... wait for it.....wait for it, the probability of two
    children from such a family both having a cot death is......
    (1 in 8,543) x (1 in 8,543) = 1 chance in 73 million.

    To repeat 1 chance in 73 million

    This certainly impressed both the judge, the jury, presumably all present, along with subsequently, the Court of Appeal.

    Thus the original trial judge Mr Justice Harrison]

    quote:

    "Although we do not convict people in these courts on statistics . the statistics in this case are compelling." After her conviction one juror
    said: "Whatever you say about Sally Clark, you can't get around the 1
    in 73 million figure." Clark's conviction was upheld on appeal.

    :unquote

    This error resulted from the simple multiplication rule of multiplying probabilities as if they were independent when fairly obviously
    they weren't in this case

    The cause/s of cot deaths are unknown. At a rough guess they may be genetic/environmental/or behavioural on the part of the parents.
    None of which is any way deliberate.

    So that the "actual" probability of a cot death is in reality the
    probability of one or more of these factors affecting a family.

    So the first cot death was an unavoidable tragedy.

    After which the genetic factor will have been unchanged as may also
    have been the environmental or behavioural factors which led to the
    first death. So that given we don't actually know causes of cot
    death the probability of a second cot death might be...

    I'm sorry, but this is just so much "Common Sense", to me at least

    quote:

    In 2002, Ray Hill, professor of mathematics at the University of Salford, analysed other published data. He concluded that the probability of
    having a second child die a cot death, given a first child had a
    cot death, may be as high as 1 in 60.

    In 2003, after spending three years in jail, Clark's second appeal
    was upheld, and she was released from jail. This was only after a new
    pro bono lawyer, while reviewing the evidence, discovered a pathology
    report revealing that Harry was infected with staphylococcus aureus,
    and that this fact had been hidden from her defense team.

    Sally Clark died in 2007.

    unquote:

    So that she still wasn't released on the basis that she'd been jailed
    on the basis of totally bogus probability claims; and AFAIAA anyway
    no judges or paediatricians were admonished, or sent on remedial
    courses in probability.

    But released on the basis of the cause of death of the second baby;
    and the fact that this evidence had somehow been "lost" presumably
    by an under-resourced CPS

    https://significancemagazine.com/statistics-in-court-incorrect-probabilities/


    bb

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Pamela@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Mon May 6 12:03:58 2024
    On 07:57 30 Apr 2024, billy bookcase said:
    "Norman Wells" <hex@unseen.ac.am> wrote in message news:l9al1jFlqjnU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 29/04/2024 18:57, billy bookcase wrote:
    "JNugent" <JNugent73@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l99sm5Fi8mgU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 29/04/2024 01:23 pm, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l99b94Ffnc4U3@mid.individual.net...

    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%, a famous much-trumpeted
    figure when it comes to an alleged scientific consensus on AGW.

    It take it you know all this, of course.

    No, not at all.

    Because up until now at least, I'd always believed that if you
    divide 33 by 34 you got 103%.

    So its always useful to be corrected by a real expert on the
    subject.

    Have you got the Windows Calculator app on that device?

    Try: 33 34

    Eh ?

    I assure you that it comes out at 0.9705882352941176 (or put
    another way, 97% to two significant figures)

    Which when expressed as percentage is

    100/(33/34)=103.030303030303030%

    Sorry, no it isn't. It's 100*(33/34).

    So just to be clear.

    You're claiming that 34 (the big number) is only 97% of 33 (the small number), are you ?.

    As in

    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message

    " If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%"

    bb

    You have the parts in your percentage calculations exactly upside down.

    Some calculators require the user to enter the denominator first and
    then invite the user to repeat the percentage calculation for different
    amounts by entering the numerator again and again.

    Maybe your understanding how to calculate percentages is drawn from
    that, but it's misleading.

    In general, unless you're doing repeated markup or markdowns of dozens
    of prices in a shop, it's never necessary to touch the percent key on a calculator.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Pamela@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Mon May 6 12:07:28 2024
    On 16:18 30 Apr 2024, billy bookcase said:
    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message news:l9bog5Fqr8mU1@mid.individual.net...
    billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:

    snip


    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%, a famous much-trumpeted figure
    when it comes to an alleged scientific consensus on AGW.

    It take it you know all this, of course.

    No, not at all.

    Because up until now at least, I'd always believed that if you
    divide 33 by 34 you got 103%.

    Oh dear. You just seem to have lost some credibility, at least in the
    arithmetic sphere.

    You might benefit from a very careful re-read of what I wrote.

    No need.

    You wrote

    "If you divide 33 *by* 34, you get 97%"

    And not, "If you divide 33 *into* 34, you get 97%"

    Which would have been correct.

    Penny dropped yet ?

    remainder snipped


    bb

    I presume you realise you made a mistake about percentages. These
    statements of yours about calculating a percentage are incorrect.

    "If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97% ? Are you sure ?"
    Message-ID: <v0qmce$2emvo$1@dont-email.me>

    "And so to convert 33/34 into a percentage you divide it into 100."
    Message-ID: <v0ri2m$2lefj$1@dont-email.me>

    "Because up until now at least, I'd always believed that if you
    divide 33 by 34 you got 103%."
    Message-ID: <v0o3gc$1o50q$1@dont-email.me>

    Unfortunately, your restatement (replacing "divided by" with "divided
    into") is illogical.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Jethro_uk@21:1/5 to All on Mon May 6 13:33:36 2024
    Shades of the shonky stats NASA used for safety around the Challenger
    disaster that Feynman saw through.

    I think the crux of the issues was a 1/1000 chance x a 1/1000 chance is
    *not* a 1/1000,000 chance.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From billy bookcase@21:1/5 to Pamela on Mon May 6 15:25:10 2024
    "Pamela" <uklm@permabulator.33mail.com> wrote in message news:XnsB16A7B56B23BF1F3QA2@135.181.20.170...
    On 16:18 30 Apr 2024, billy bookcase said:
    "Spike" <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote in message
    news:l9bog5Fqr8mU1@mid.individual.net...
    billy bookcase <billy@anon.com> wrote:

    snip


    If you divide 33 by 34, you get 97%, a famous much-trumpeted figure
    when it comes to an alleged scientific consensus on AGW.

    It take it you know all this, of course.

    No, not at all.

    Because up until now at least, I'd always believed that if you
    divide 33 by 34 you got 103%.

    Oh dear. You just seem to have lost some credibility, at least in the
    arithmetic sphere.

    You might benefit from a very careful re-read of what I wrote.

    No need.

    You wrote

    "If you divide 33 *by* 34, you get 97%"

    And not, "If you divide 33 *into* 34, you get 97%"

    Which would have been correct.

    Penny dropped yet ?

    remainder snipped


    bb

    I presume you realise you made a mistake about percentages.

    Indeed.

    Unfortunately the medal-awarding ceremonies and laps
    of honour all took place two days ago; and the stadium
    is now totally deserted.


    bb

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Fredxx@21:1/5 to All on Mon May 6 17:18:01 2024
    On 06/05/2024 14:33, Jethro_uk wrote:
    Shades of the shonky stats NASA used for safety around the Challenger disaster that Feynman saw through.

    I think the crux of the issues was a 1/1000 chance x a 1/1000 chance is
    *not* a 1/1000,000 chance.

    That depends if the events are independent. If they are it is 1/1000 x
    1/1000

    The shonky stats surrounding NASA was more down to communication rather
    than anything else:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rogers_Commission_Report

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Fredxx@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Mon May 6 17:20:59 2024
    On 06/05/2024 11:52, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Owen Rees" <orees@hotmail.com> wrote in message news:krrf3jdgh5uk9q8v7lp6srf8ni9il5o3cj@4ax.com...
    On Wed, 1 May 2024 08:35:19 +0100, "billy bookcase" <billy@anon.com>
    wrote in <v0srbs$31oj0$1@dont-email.me>:

    However I'd imagine there must be some very good reason why
    it seems everyone else instead chooses to use the (33/34)*100
    form, despite the result being always identical. .

    It is closer to the (33*100)/34 form which is easier to derive from the
    meaning of "percent" - per hundred. The percentage is the numerator when
    the value is expressed as a fraction with denominator 100.

    If you start with a/b=n/100 and want the value of n the simple
    transformation is to multiply both sides by 100: (a*100)/b=n.

    Applying a little algebra you can get a lot of other equivalent formulae
    provided that b is not zero.

    Understanding mathematics can help to avoid the situation that arose in
    Indiana in 1894 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indiana_pi_bill "the
    Indiana State Legislature had laid itself open to ridicule".

    Unfortunately, mathematics does not help to avoid writing other doubtful
    claims into law.

    It certainly didn't seem to help Sally Clark a solicitor. At least at the hands of Sir Roy Meadow, a pediatrician. He 'correctly' asserted that
    the probability of a random baby dying a cot death (SIDS) if the mother
    is greater than 26 years old, affluent, and a nonsmoker, is 1 in 8,543

    And therefore.... wait for it.....wait for it, the probability of two children from such a family both having a cot death is......
    (1 in 8,543) x (1 in 8,543) = 1 chance in 73 million.

    To repeat 1 chance in 73 million

    Yes, at the time it was believed that cot death was a independent event,
    and not associated with genes or environment. That has since been
    correctly ridiculed. However Roy Meadows simple repeated the thinking at
    the time. He was then made a scape-goat.

    Either way, it's probably better than DNA evidence we seem to be so
    reliant on.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Owen Rees@21:1/5 to All on Mon May 6 23:24:17 2024
    On Mon, 6 May 2024 11:52:58 +0100, "billy bookcase" <billy@anon.com>
    wrote in <v1acqd$2h383$1@dont-email.me>:


    "Owen Rees" <orees@hotmail.com> wrote in message >news:krrf3jdgh5uk9q8v7lp6srf8ni9il5o3cj@4ax.com...
    On Wed, 1 May 2024 08:35:19 +0100, "billy bookcase" <billy@anon.com>
    wrote in <v0srbs$31oj0$1@dont-email.me>:

    However I'd imagine there must be some very good reason why
    it seems everyone else instead chooses to use the (33/34)*100
    form, despite the result being always identical. .

    It is closer to the (33*100)/34 form which is easier to derive from the
    meaning of "percent" - per hundred. The percentage is the numerator when
    the value is expressed as a fraction with denominator 100.

    If you start with a/b=n/100 and want the value of n the simple
    transformation is to multiply both sides by 100: (a*100)/b=n.

    Applying a little algebra you can get a lot of other equivalent formulae
    provided that b is not zero.

    Understanding mathematics can help to avoid the situation that arose in
    Indiana in 1894 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indiana_pi_bill "the
    Indiana State Legislature had laid itself open to ridicule".

    Unfortunately, mathematics does not help to avoid writing other doubtful
    claims into law.

    It certainly didn't seem to help Sally Clark a solicitor. At least at the >hands of Sir Roy Meadow, a pediatrician. He 'correctly' asserted that
    the probability of a random baby dying a cot death (SIDS) if the mother
    is greater than 26 years old, affluent, and a nonsmoker, is 1 in 8,543

    And therefore.... wait for it.....wait for it, the probability of two >children from such a family both having a cot death is......
    (1 in 8,543) x (1 in 8,543) = 1 chance in 73 million.

    Rather than faulty applicatioon of mathematics as in that specific case,
    I was thinking of doubtful claims being written into law - i.e. in the legislation.

    https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2024/8/2024-04-25 "Safety of Rwanda (Asylum and Immigration) Act 2024" is quite short.

    ====

    1(2)(b) this Act gives effect to the judgement of Parliament that the
    Republic of Rwanda is a safe country.

    ====

    Parliament has voted therefore it must be true!

    I did not see anything in the act to say for how long Rwanda is
    officially 'safe' for the purposes of UK law.

    If there were to be a coup overnight in Rwanda that installed an
    extremist group that believed that all people born outside Rwanda (or
    any other criterion of your choice) were devils incarnate and to be
    killed on sight, Rwanda would still be 'safe' according to UK law until
    the Act could be repealed.

    Does 1(3) which says what the government of Rwanda has agreed to do have
    any meaningful effect on the rest of the act? I did not see anything
    that says that any of the other provisions depend on performance by the government of Rwanda.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From billy bookcase@21:1/5 to Fred on Mon May 6 20:25:24 2024
    "Fred" <fredxx@spam.invalid> wrote in message news:v1b01b$2lhjj$2@dont-email.me...
    On 06/05/2024 11:52, Billy bookcase wrote:
    "Owen Reps" <orees@hotmail.com> wrote in message
    news:krrf3jdgh5uk9q8v7lp6srf8ni9il5o3cj@4ax.com...
    On Wed, 1 May 2024 08:35:19 +0100, "Billy bookcase" <billy@anon.com>
    wrote in <v0srbs$31oj0$1@dont-email.me>:

    However I'd imagine there must be some very good reason why
    it seems everyone else instead chooses to use the (33/34)*100
    form, despite the result being always identical. .

    It is closer to the (33*100)/34 form which is easier to derive from the
    meaning of "percent" - per hundred. The percentage is the numerator when >>> the value is expressed as a fraction with denominator 100.

    If you start with a/b=n/100 and want the value of n the simple
    transformation is to multiply both sides by 100: (a*100)/b=n.

    Applying a little algebra you can get a lot of other equivalent formulae >>> provided that b is not zero.

    Understanding mathematics can help to avoid the situation that arose in
    Indiana in 1894 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indiana_pi_bill "the
    Indiana State Legislature had laid itself open to ridicule".

    Unfortunately, mathematics does not help to avoid writing other doubtful >>> claims into law.

    It certainly didn't seem to help Sally Clark a solicitor. At least at the
    hands of Sir Roy Meadow, a paediatrician. He 'correctly' asserted that
    the probability of a random baby dying a cot death (IDS) if the mother
    is greater than 26 years old, affluent, and a non-smoker, is 1 in 8,543

    And therefore.... wait for it.....wait for it, the probability of two
    children from such a family both having a cot death is......
    (1 in 8,543) x (1 in 8,543) = 1 chance in 73 million.

    To repeat 1 chance in 73 million

    Yes, at the time it was believed that cot death was a independent event, and not
    associated with genes or environment. That has since been correctly ridiculed. However
    Roy Meadows simple repeated the thinking at the time. He was then made a scope-goat.

    Additional facts garnered from Wikipedia

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sally_Clark

    But how could a paediatrician *of all people" imagine genuine cot death
    i.e not deliberately caused, was without some sort of cause ?

    The fact that they were "unexplained" doesn't mean that they didn't have
    a cause of some kind possibly mixed ?

    Which are then more likely to repeat themselves in families ?

    How could anyone have thought any different ?

    We're not talking about 1399 here, nor 1699. Meadow wasn't treating
    patients with leeches.

    But 1999. Admittedly this was all of 25 years ago but we already had
    colour TV and the Internet by then.

    In fact things were *much worse* than I described.

    Far from it being the fault of the CPS in not disclosing evidence
    it was in fact the Home Office pathologist Dr Alan Williams who deliberately withheld the results of post mortem bacteriology tests such that the CPS
    never got to hear of them. What's also astonishing in retrospect is that nobody in the CPS seems to have a basic grasp of statistics - or basic
    reasoning ability for that matter, either.

    Again Sally Clark for three years while in prison was regarded by her fellow inmates staff and tabloid press as a double baby-murderer. Another
    Myra Hindley basically and treated accordingly. With similar revulsion
    by For three whole years

    As a result of which, after her realease,she remained psychologically
    a broken woman and was unable to recover. Such that few years later she
    was subsequently found dead under questionable but not suspicious circumstances,

    And you claim that Meadow was made a "scapegoat" ?

    His career of being suspended and then reinstated by the GMC
    is recounted on Wiki.

    While all that seems to have happened to Dr Alan Williams -
    the Home Office pathologist who in addition to withholding evidence
    on the second death also changed his original opinion regarding the first
    baby, from death caused by lower respiratory infection to unnatural death

    Read that again

    As well as fitting up Sally Clark for the second death by withholding evidence he had a touch of the seconds and decided to fit here her up for the first death as well.

    And the result ?

    William's was banned from Home Office pathology work and coroners' cases for three years after the General Medical Council found him guilty of "serious professional
    misconduct" in the Clark case.

    "Serious professional misconduct" by effectively destroying Sally Clark so banned for
    "three whole years".

    It does make you wonder what he would have needed to have done to banned for say
    five years. Maybe go on some protests and defy some Court injunctions ?

    And he appealed, as well !


    Either way, it's probably better than DNA evidence we seem to be so reliant on.


    The issues in this case are probably a whole lot easier to comprehend at first glance
    nevertheless.


    bb

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Pancho@21:1/5 to Owen Rees on Tue May 7 11:02:51 2024
    On 06/05/2024 23:24, Owen Rees wrote:


    1(2)(b) this Act gives effect to the judgement of Parliament that the Republic of Rwanda is a safe country.

    ====

    Parliament has voted therefore it must be true!


    Isn't this just shorthand, safe = "designated safe".

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Pancho@21:1/5 to Fredxx on Tue May 7 10:56:07 2024
    On 06/05/2024 17:20, Fredxx wrote:
    On 06/05/2024 11:52, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Owen Rees" <orees@hotmail.com> wrote in message
    news:krrf3jdgh5uk9q8v7lp6srf8ni9il5o3cj@4ax.com...
    On Wed, 1 May 2024 08:35:19 +0100, "billy bookcase" <billy@anon.com>
    wrote in <v0srbs$31oj0$1@dont-email.me>:

    However I'd imagine there must be some very good reason why
    it seems everyone else instead chooses to use the (33/34)*100
    form, despite the result being always identical.  .

    It is closer to the (33*100)/34 form which is easier to derive from the
    meaning of "percent" - per hundred. The percentage is the numerator when >>> the value is expressed as a fraction with denominator 100.

    If you start with a/b=n/100 and want the value of n the simple
    transformation is to multiply both sides by 100: (a*100)/b=n.

    Applying a little algebra you can get a lot of other equivalent formulae >>> provided that b is not zero.

    Understanding mathematics can help to avoid the situation that arose in
    Indiana in 1894 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indiana_pi_bill "the
    Indiana State Legislature had laid itself open to ridicule".

    Unfortunately, mathematics does not help to avoid writing other doubtful >>> claims into law.

    It certainly didn't seem to help Sally Clark a solicitor. At least at the
    hands of  Sir Roy Meadow, a pediatrician. He 'correctly' asserted that
    the probability of a random baby dying a cot death (SIDS) if the mother
    is greater than 26 years old, affluent, and a nonsmoker, is 1 in 8,543

    And therefore.... wait for it.....wait for it, the probability of two
    children from such a family both having a cot death is......
    (1 in 8,543) x (1 in 8,543) = 1 chance in 73 million.

    To repeat 1 chance in 73 million

    Yes, at the time it was believed that cot death was a independent event,
    and not associated with genes or environment. That has since been
    correctly ridiculed. However Roy Meadows simple repeated the thinking at
    the time. He was then made a scape-goat.


    No, it was not “believed” multiple family cot deaths were independent events. In science and to a lesser extent medicine, there needs to be
    evidence to support assertions. Independence would be a very strong
    assertion, not what we would naively expect. It would need very strong evidence.

    Throughout the 1990s the NHS issued guidance to parents about how to
    avoid cot death, this would be pointless if environment was irrelevant.
    i.e. the NHS clearly did not believe cot death was independent of
    environment.

    The only sense in which Meadow was a scapegoat is the expectation that a medical professional present a ballpark scientifically sound argument,
    even when performing on the pantomime stage of a criminal trial.


    Either way, it's probably better than DNA evidence we seem to be so
    reliant on.

    DNA evidence is astonishingly powerful, astonishingly precise. Misrepresentation by innumerate legal professionals is not to do with
    the DNA evidence itself.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The Todal@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Tue May 7 11:13:18 2024
    On 06/05/2024 11:52, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Owen Rees" <orees@hotmail.com> wrote in message news:krrf3jdgh5uk9q8v7lp6srf8ni9il5o3cj@4ax.com...
    On Wed, 1 May 2024 08:35:19 +0100, "billy bookcase" <billy@anon.com>
    wrote in <v0srbs$31oj0$1@dont-email.me>:

    However I'd imagine there must be some very good reason why
    it seems everyone else instead chooses to use the (33/34)*100
    form, despite the result being always identical. .

    It is closer to the (33*100)/34 form which is easier to derive from the
    meaning of "percent" - per hundred. The percentage is the numerator when
    the value is expressed as a fraction with denominator 100.

    If you start with a/b=n/100 and want the value of n the simple
    transformation is to multiply both sides by 100: (a*100)/b=n.

    Applying a little algebra you can get a lot of other equivalent formulae
    provided that b is not zero.

    Understanding mathematics can help to avoid the situation that arose in
    Indiana in 1894 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indiana_pi_bill "the
    Indiana State Legislature had laid itself open to ridicule".

    Unfortunately, mathematics does not help to avoid writing other doubtful
    claims into law.

    It certainly didn't seem to help Sally Clark a solicitor. At least at the hands of Sir Roy Meadow, a pediatrician. He 'correctly' asserted that
    the probability of a random baby dying a cot death (SIDS) if the mother
    is greater than 26 years old, affluent, and a nonsmoker, is 1 in 8,543

    And therefore.... wait for it.....wait for it, the probability of two children from such a family both having a cot death is......
    (1 in 8,543) x (1 in 8,543) = 1 chance in 73 million.

    To repeat 1 chance in 73 million

    This certainly impressed both the judge, the jury, presumably all present, along with subsequently, the Court of Appeal.

    Thus the original trial judge Mr Justice Harrison]

    quote:

    "Although we do not convict people in these courts on statistics . the statistics in this case are compelling." After her conviction one juror
    said: "Whatever you say about Sally Clark, you can't get around the 1
    in 73 million figure." Clark's conviction was upheld on appeal.

    :unquote

    This error resulted from the simple multiplication rule of multiplying probabilities as if they were independent when fairly obviously
    they weren't in this case

    The cause/s of cot deaths are unknown. At a rough guess they may be genetic/environmental/or behavioural on the part of the parents.
    None of which is any way deliberate.

    So that the "actual" probability of a cot death is in reality the
    probability of one or more of these factors affecting a family.

    So the first cot death was an unavoidable tragedy.

    After which the genetic factor will have been unchanged as may also
    have been the environmental or behavioural factors which led to the
    first death. So that given we don't actually know causes of cot
    death the probability of a second cot death might be...

    I'm sorry, but this is just so much "Common Sense", to me at least

    quote:

    In 2002, Ray Hill, professor of mathematics at the University of Salford, analysed other published data. He concluded that the probability of
    having a second child die a cot death, given a first child had a
    cot death, may be as high as 1 in 60.

    In 2003, after spending three years in jail, Clark's second appeal
    was upheld, and she was released from jail. This was only after a new
    pro bono lawyer, while reviewing the evidence, discovered a pathology
    report revealing that Harry was infected with staphylococcus aureus,
    and that this fact had been hidden from her defense team.

    Sally Clark died in 2007.

    unquote:

    So that she still wasn't released on the basis that she'd been jailed
    on the basis of totally bogus probability claims; and AFAIAA anyway
    no judges or paediatricians were admonished, or sent on remedial
    courses in probability.

    But released on the basis of the cause of death of the second baby;
    and the fact that this evidence had somehow been "lost" presumably
    by an under-resourced CPS

    https://significancemagazine.com/statistics-in-court-incorrect-probabilities/


    Once again, the much misunderstood Sally Clark case emerges from its
    coffin to haunt us.

    Sally Clark has died, long ago. An alcoholic who died of alcohol
    poisoning. It is, obviously, extremely unlikely that two cot deaths
    could occur in the same house, in the presence of the mother. She was
    very lucky to be exonerated eventually because some vital autopsy
    evidence had not been disclosed. After all, objectively it was
    absolutely reasonable to find her guilty of murder or manslaughter.

    Always tempting for the ignorant press and the mathematicians with no understanding of court procedure, to blame Professor Meadow, the
    paediatrician. He was not in court to give statistical evidence but was encouraged by the barristers to give it. It was up to the judge and the barristers to decide whether he should stray from his rightful area of expertise, and if so whether to remind him and the jury of the well
    known "Prosecutor's Fallacy". The barristers blundered, and so did the
    judge. Professor Meadow acted entirely properly. And the first Court of
    Appeal assessed all the evidence and decided, rightly, that the
    statistical evidence was a very minor factor in the jury's deliberations
    and did not render the verdict unsafe.

    Sally Clark is not a heroine or the victim of a monstrous miscarriage of justice. Professor Meadow, on the other hand, was unjustly pilloried and bullied by the idiots who were determined to portray Clark as an
    innocent bereaved mother and who believed that So Called Experts were
    always intent on finding the parents guilty of injuring their children. Actually, almost every week we see a parent convicted of battering their
    child, on overwhelming evidence.

    From one of the Court of Appeal judgments:

    It was the prosecution case at trial that the appellant had murdered Christopher by smothering. Until shortly before the trial, the case in
    relation to Harry was that he had been murdered by shaking. For reasons
    that we will consider later, however, the case at the trial itself was presented on the basis that Harry had been subjected to a violent trauma
    to the spine, the mechanism of which was not clear, and had then been
    the victim of suffocation which caused his death. It was alleged that
    neither death could be considered SIDS because of the existence of
    recent and old injuries that had been found in each case, and there was
    no sufficient evidence as to how they had been caused. The circumstances
    of both deaths shared similarities which would make it an affront to
    common sense to conclude that either death was natural, and it was
    beyond coincidence for history to so repeat itself. In summary, six main similarities were relied upon: (1) the babies were about the same age at
    the time of death, namely 11 weeks and 8 weeks; (2) they were each found
    by the appellant unconscious in the same room; (3) both were found at
    about the same time, shortly after having been fed; (4) the appellant
    had been alone with each child when he was discovered lifeless; (5) in
    each case Mr Clark was either away or about to go away; (6) in each
    case, according to the prosecution, there was evidence of previous abuse
    and of deliberate injury recently inflicted.

    Thus the central issue on each count was whether the Crown could exclude
    death by natural causes. The effect of the medical evidence as a whole
    was that neither baby was the subject of a SIDS death and there was
    consensus, as the lowest common denominator, that each death was
    unexplained and was consistent with an unnatural death. But the medical evidence did not stand alone. In the circumstances the credibility of
    the parents' evidence was crucial for the jury to consider. The absence
    of any explanation by the appellant for the medical findings, and the inaccuracy of the husband's evidence on the important matter of the time
    of his return home on the night of Harry's death, were matters of great potential significance.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The Todal@21:1/5 to Fredxx on Tue May 7 11:15:39 2024
    On 06/05/2024 17:20, Fredxx wrote:
    On 06/05/2024 11:52, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Owen Rees" <orees@hotmail.com> wrote in message
    news:krrf3jdgh5uk9q8v7lp6srf8ni9il5o3cj@4ax.com...
    On Wed, 1 May 2024 08:35:19 +0100, "billy bookcase" <billy@anon.com>
    wrote in <v0srbs$31oj0$1@dont-email.me>:

    However I'd imagine there must be some very good reason why
    it seems everyone else instead chooses to use the (33/34)*100
    form, despite the result being always identical.  .

    It is closer to the (33*100)/34 form which is easier to derive from the
    meaning of "percent" - per hundred. The percentage is the numerator when >>> the value is expressed as a fraction with denominator 100.

    If you start with a/b=n/100 and want the value of n the simple
    transformation is to multiply both sides by 100: (a*100)/b=n.

    Applying a little algebra you can get a lot of other equivalent formulae >>> provided that b is not zero.

    Understanding mathematics can help to avoid the situation that arose in
    Indiana in 1894 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indiana_pi_bill "the
    Indiana State Legislature had laid itself open to ridicule".

    Unfortunately, mathematics does not help to avoid writing other doubtful >>> claims into law.

    It certainly didn't seem to help Sally Clark a solicitor. At least at the
    hands of  Sir Roy Meadow, a pediatrician. He 'correctly' asserted that
    the probability of a random baby dying a cot death (SIDS) if the mother
    is greater than 26 years old, affluent, and a nonsmoker, is 1 in 8,543

    And therefore.... wait for it.....wait for it, the probability of two
    children from such a family both having a cot death is......
    (1 in 8,543) x (1 in 8,543) = 1 chance in 73 million.

    To repeat 1 chance in 73 million

    Yes, at the time it was believed that cot death was a independent event,
    and not associated with genes or environment. That has since been
    correctly ridiculed. However Roy Meadows simple repeated the thinking at
    the time. He was then made a scape-goat.

    Either way, it's probably better than DNA evidence we seem to be so
    reliant on.



    I think most people forget that the jury was presented with a great deal
    of evidence which pointed strongly to Sally Clark's guilt, and in all probability the jury did come to the correct decision.

    I've posted separately about the ignorance that causes some people - not lawyers, usually - to blame Professor Roy Meadow.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The Todal@21:1/5 to Pancho on Tue May 7 11:25:00 2024
    On 07/05/2024 10:56, Pancho wrote:
    On 06/05/2024 17:20, Fredxx wrote:
    On 06/05/2024 11:52, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Owen Rees" <orees@hotmail.com> wrote in message
    news:krrf3jdgh5uk9q8v7lp6srf8ni9il5o3cj@4ax.com...
    On Wed, 1 May 2024 08:35:19 +0100, "billy bookcase" <billy@anon.com>
    wrote in <v0srbs$31oj0$1@dont-email.me>:

    However I'd imagine there must be some very good reason why
    it seems everyone else instead chooses to use the (33/34)*100
    form, despite the result being always identical.  .

    It is closer to the (33*100)/34 form which is easier to derive from the >>>> meaning of "percent" - per hundred. The percentage is the numerator
    when
    the value is expressed as a fraction with denominator 100.

    If you start with a/b=n/100 and want the value of n the simple
    transformation is to multiply both sides by 100: (a*100)/b=n.

    Applying a little algebra you can get a lot of other equivalent
    formulae
    provided that b is not zero.

    Understanding mathematics can help to avoid the situation that arose in >>>> Indiana in 1894 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indiana_pi_bill "the
    Indiana State Legislature had laid itself open to ridicule".

    Unfortunately, mathematics does not help to avoid writing other
    doubtful
    claims into law.

    It certainly didn't seem to help Sally Clark a solicitor. At least at
    the
    hands of  Sir Roy Meadow, a pediatrician. He 'correctly' asserted that
    the probability of a random baby dying a cot death (SIDS) if the mother
    is greater than 26 years old, affluent, and a nonsmoker, is 1 in 8,543

    And therefore.... wait for it.....wait for it, the probability of two
    children from such a family both having a cot death is......
    (1 in 8,543) x (1 in 8,543) = 1 chance in 73 million.

    To repeat 1 chance in 73 million

    Yes, at the time it was believed that cot death was a independent
    event, and not associated with genes or environment. That has since
    been correctly ridiculed. However Roy Meadows simple repeated the
    thinking at the time. He was then made a scape-goat.


    No, it was not “believed” multiple family cot deaths were independent events. In science and to a lesser extent medicine, there needs to be evidence to support assertions. Independence would be a very strong assertion, not what we would naively expect. It would need very strong evidence.

    The evidence against Sally Clark was overwhelmingly in favour of her
    guilt. Careless journalists inevitably can't be bothered to read the
    full transcripts and focus only on the statistical evidence which then
    feeds into their favourite type of story, "miscarriage of justice, which
    brave lawyers managed to overturn, now cut to photos of weeping
    defendant emerging from court".



    Throughout the 1990s the NHS issued guidance to parents about how to
    avoid cot death, this would be pointless if environment was irrelevant.
    i.e. the NHS clearly did not believe cot death was independent of environment.

    The only sense in which Meadow was a scapegoat is the expectation that a medical professional present a ballpark scientifically sound argument,
    even when performing on the pantomime stage of a criminal trial.

    He was the real victim of a miscarriage of justice and his persecution
    by ignorant people including those at the GMC will have deterred other
    medical experts from getting involved in child-battering cases. The
    ultimate victors are the men and women who batter and kill their children.




    Either way, it's probably better than DNA evidence we seem to be so
    reliant on.

    DNA evidence is astonishingly powerful, astonishingly precise. Misrepresentation by innumerate legal professionals is not to do with
    the DNA evidence itself.




    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Spike@21:1/5 to Owen Rees on Tue May 7 10:24:11 2024
    Owen Rees <orees@hotmail.com> wrote:
    On Mon, 6 May 2024 11:52:58 +0100, "billy bookcase" <billy@anon.com>
    wrote in <v1acqd$2h383$1@dont-email.me>:


    "Owen Rees" <orees@hotmail.com> wrote in message
    news:krrf3jdgh5uk9q8v7lp6srf8ni9il5o3cj@4ax.com...
    On Wed, 1 May 2024 08:35:19 +0100, "billy bookcase" <billy@anon.com>
    wrote in <v0srbs$31oj0$1@dont-email.me>:

    However I'd imagine there must be some very good reason why
    it seems everyone else instead chooses to use the (33/34)*100
    form, despite the result being always identical. .

    It is closer to the (33*100)/34 form which is easier to derive from the
    meaning of "percent" - per hundred. The percentage is the numerator when >>> the value is expressed as a fraction with denominator 100.

    If you start with a/b=n/100 and want the value of n the simple
    transformation is to multiply both sides by 100: (a*100)/b=n.

    Applying a little algebra you can get a lot of other equivalent formulae >>> provided that b is not zero.

    Understanding mathematics can help to avoid the situation that arose in
    Indiana in 1894 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indiana_pi_bill "the
    Indiana State Legislature had laid itself open to ridicule".

    Unfortunately, mathematics does not help to avoid writing other doubtful >>> claims into law.

    It certainly didn't seem to help Sally Clark a solicitor. At least at the
    hands of Sir Roy Meadow, a pediatrician. He 'correctly' asserted that
    the probability of a random baby dying a cot death (SIDS) if the mother
    is greater than 26 years old, affluent, and a nonsmoker, is 1 in 8,543

    And therefore.... wait for it.....wait for it, the probability of two
    children from such a family both having a cot death is......
    (1 in 8,543) x (1 in 8,543) = 1 chance in 73 million.

    Rather than faulty applicatioon of mathematics as in that specific case,
    I was thinking of doubtful claims being written into law - i.e. in the legislation.

    https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2024/8/2024-04-25 "Safety of Rwanda (Asylum and Immigration) Act 2024" is quite short.

    ====

    1(2)(b) this Act gives effect to the judgement of Parliament that the Republic of Rwanda is a safe country.

    ====

    Parliament has voted therefore it must be true!

    I did not see anything in the act to say for how long Rwanda is
    officially 'safe' for the purposes of UK law.

    If there were to be a coup overnight in Rwanda that installed an
    extremist group that believed that all people born outside Rwanda (or
    any other criterion of your choice) were devils incarnate and to be
    killed on sight, Rwanda would still be 'safe' according to UK law until
    the Act could be repealed.

    Does 1(3) which says what the government of Rwanda has agreed to do have
    any meaningful effect on the rest of the act? I did not see anything
    that says that any of the other provisions depend on performance by the government of Rwanda.

    As we seem to be labouring the concept of ‘safe countries’, would anyone care to name a country - any country will do - that counts as ‘safe’?

    London has a murder every two or three days, for example, and In E&W some
    1400 people are killed annually on the roads. Some 900 or so die from
    falling down steps or stairs.

    So what counts as ‘safe’?

    --
    Spike

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to billy bookcase on Tue May 7 12:54:08 2024
    On 6 May 2024 at 11:52:58 BST, ""billy bookcase"" <billy@anon.com> wrote:


    "Owen Rees" <orees@hotmail.com> wrote in message news:krrf3jdgh5uk9q8v7lp6srf8ni9il5o3cj@4ax.com...
    On Wed, 1 May 2024 08:35:19 +0100, "billy bookcase" <billy@anon.com>
    wrote in <v0srbs$31oj0$1@dont-email.me>:

    However I'd imagine there must be some very good reason why
    it seems everyone else instead chooses to use the (33/34)*100
    form, despite the result being always identical. .

    It is closer to the (33*100)/34 form which is easier to derive from the
    meaning of "percent" - per hundred. The percentage is the numerator when
    the value is expressed as a fraction with denominator 100.

    If you start with a/b=n/100 and want the value of n the simple
    transformation is to multiply both sides by 100: (a*100)/b=n.

    Applying a little algebra you can get a lot of other equivalent formulae
    provided that b is not zero.

    Understanding mathematics can help to avoid the situation that arose in
    Indiana in 1894 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indiana_pi_bill "the
    Indiana State Legislature had laid itself open to ridicule".

    Unfortunately, mathematics does not help to avoid writing other doubtful
    claims into law.

    It certainly didn't seem to help Sally Clark a solicitor. At least at the hands of Sir Roy Meadow, a pediatrician. He 'correctly' asserted that
    the probability of a random baby dying a cot death (SIDS) if the mother
    is greater than 26 years old, affluent, and a nonsmoker, is 1 in 8,543

    And therefore.... wait for it.....wait for it, the probability of two children from such a family both having a cot death is......
    (1 in 8,543) x (1 in 8,543) = 1 chance in 73 million.

    To repeat 1 chance in 73 million

    This certainly impressed both the judge, the jury, presumably all present, along with subsequently, the Court of Appeal.

    Thus the original trial judge Mr Justice Harrison]

    quote:

    "Although we do not convict people in these courts on statistics . the statistics in this case are compelling." After her conviction one juror
    said: "Whatever you say about Sally Clark, you can't get around the 1
    in 73 million figure." Clark's conviction was upheld on appeal.

    :unquote

    This error resulted from the simple multiplication rule of multiplying probabilities as if they were independent when fairly obviously
    they weren't in this case

    The cause/s of cot deaths are unknown. At a rough guess they may be genetic/environmental/or behavioural on the part of the parents.
    None of which is any way deliberate.

    So that the "actual" probability of a cot death is in reality the
    probability of one or more of these factors affecting a family.

    So the first cot death was an unavoidable tragedy.

    After which the genetic factor will have been unchanged as may also
    have been the environmental or behavioural factors which led to the
    first death. So that given we don't actually know causes of cot
    death the probability of a second cot death might be...

    I'm sorry, but this is just so much "Common Sense", to me at least

    quote:

    In 2002, Ray Hill, professor of mathematics at the University of Salford, analysed other published data. He concluded that the probability of
    having a second child die a cot death, given a first child had a
    cot death, may be as high as 1 in 60.

    In 2003, after spending three years in jail, Clark's second appeal
    was upheld, and she was released from jail. This was only after a new
    pro bono lawyer, while reviewing the evidence, discovered a pathology
    report revealing that Harry was infected with staphylococcus aureus,
    and that this fact had been hidden from her defense team.

    Sally Clark died in 2007.

    unquote:

    So that she still wasn't released on the basis that she'd been jailed
    on the basis of totally bogus probability claims; and AFAIAA anyway
    no judges or paediatricians were admonished, or sent on remedial
    courses in probability.

    Roy Meadows was penalised by the GMC, mainly for offering a confident (nay, self-satisfied) expert opinion on something upon which he was not expert.


    But released on the basis of the cause of death of the second baby;
    and the fact that this evidence had somehow been "lost" presumably
    by an under-resourced CPS

    https://significancemagazine.com/statistics-in-court-incorrect-probabilities/


    bb

    I find the idea that the defence lawyers had not seen and read the post mortem report, and at least asked any passing doctor the possible significance of the Staph infection, totally incomprehensible.



    --
    Roger Hayter

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com on Tue May 7 13:00:04 2024
    On 6 May 2024 at 14:33:36 BST, "Jethro_uk" <jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com> wrote:

    Shades of the shonky stats NASA used for safety around the Challenger disaster that Feynman saw through.

    I think the crux of the issues was a 1/1000 chance x a 1/1000 chance is
    *not* a 1/1000,000 chance.

    Well it is - *if* the two risks are entirely independent, which they almost never are in practical cases.


    --
    Roger Hayter

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to Fredxx on Tue May 7 13:01:50 2024
    On 6 May 2024 at 17:20:59 BST, "Fredxx" <fredxx@spam.invalid> wrote:

    On 06/05/2024 11:52, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Owen Rees" <orees@hotmail.com> wrote in message
    news:krrf3jdgh5uk9q8v7lp6srf8ni9il5o3cj@4ax.com...
    On Wed, 1 May 2024 08:35:19 +0100, "billy bookcase" <billy@anon.com>
    wrote in <v0srbs$31oj0$1@dont-email.me>:

    However I'd imagine there must be some very good reason why
    it seems everyone else instead chooses to use the (33/34)*100
    form, despite the result being always identical. .

    It is closer to the (33*100)/34 form which is easier to derive from the
    meaning of "percent" - per hundred. The percentage is the numerator when >>> the value is expressed as a fraction with denominator 100.

    If you start with a/b=n/100 and want the value of n the simple
    transformation is to multiply both sides by 100: (a*100)/b=n.

    Applying a little algebra you can get a lot of other equivalent formulae >>> provided that b is not zero.

    Understanding mathematics can help to avoid the situation that arose in
    Indiana in 1894 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indiana_pi_bill "the
    Indiana State Legislature had laid itself open to ridicule".

    Unfortunately, mathematics does not help to avoid writing other doubtful >>> claims into law.

    It certainly didn't seem to help Sally Clark a solicitor. At least at the
    hands of Sir Roy Meadow, a pediatrician. He 'correctly' asserted that
    the probability of a random baby dying a cot death (SIDS) if the mother
    is greater than 26 years old, affluent, and a nonsmoker, is 1 in 8,543

    And therefore.... wait for it.....wait for it, the probability of two
    children from such a family both having a cot death is......
    (1 in 8,543) x (1 in 8,543) = 1 chance in 73 million.

    To repeat 1 chance in 73 million

    Yes, at the time it was believed that cot death was a independent event,
    and not associated with genes or environment. That has since been
    correctly ridiculed. However Roy Meadows simple repeated the thinking at
    the time. He was then made a scape-goat.

    No one, at least no-one with any epidemiological knowledge has ever thought anything of the sort!




    Either way, it's probably better than DNA evidence we seem to be so
    reliant on.

    We can agree on that.

    --
    Roger Hayter

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to Pancho on Tue May 7 13:04:32 2024
    On 7 May 2024 at 10:56:07 BST, "Pancho" <Pancho.Jones@proton.me> wrote:

    On 06/05/2024 17:20, Fredxx wrote:
    On 06/05/2024 11:52, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Owen Rees" <orees@hotmail.com> wrote in message
    news:krrf3jdgh5uk9q8v7lp6srf8ni9il5o3cj@4ax.com...
    On Wed, 1 May 2024 08:35:19 +0100, "billy bookcase" <billy@anon.com>
    wrote in <v0srbs$31oj0$1@dont-email.me>:

    However I'd imagine there must be some very good reason why
    it seems everyone else instead chooses to use the (33/34)*100
    form, despite the result being always identical. .

    It is closer to the (33*100)/34 form which is easier to derive from the >>>> meaning of "percent" - per hundred. The percentage is the numerator when >>>> the value is expressed as a fraction with denominator 100.

    If you start with a/b=n/100 and want the value of n the simple
    transformation is to multiply both sides by 100: (a*100)/b=n.

    Applying a little algebra you can get a lot of other equivalent formulae >>>> provided that b is not zero.

    Understanding mathematics can help to avoid the situation that arose in >>>> Indiana in 1894 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indiana_pi_bill "the
    Indiana State Legislature had laid itself open to ridicule".

    Unfortunately, mathematics does not help to avoid writing other doubtful >>>> claims into law.

    It certainly didn't seem to help Sally Clark a solicitor. At least at the >>> hands of Sir Roy Meadow, a pediatrician. He 'correctly' asserted that
    the probability of a random baby dying a cot death (SIDS) if the mother
    is greater than 26 years old, affluent, and a nonsmoker, is 1 in 8,543

    And therefore.... wait for it.....wait for it, the probability of two
    children from such a family both having a cot death is......
    (1 in 8,543) x (1 in 8,543) = 1 chance in 73 million.

    To repeat 1 chance in 73 million

    Yes, at the time it was believed that cot death was a independent event,
    and not associated with genes or environment. That has since been
    correctly ridiculed. However Roy Meadows simple repeated the thinking at
    the time. He was then made a scape-goat.


    No, it was not “believed” multiple family cot deaths were independent events. In science and to a lesser extent medicine, there needs to be evidence to support assertions. Independence would be a very strong assertion, not what we would naively expect. It would need very strong evidence.

    Throughout the 1990s the NHS issued guidance to parents about how to
    avoid cot death, this would be pointless if environment was irrelevant.
    i.e. the NHS clearly did not believe cot death was independent of environment.

    The only sense in which Meadow was a scapegoat is the expectation that a medical professional present a ballpark scientifically sound argument,
    even when performing on the pantomime stage of a criminal trial.


    Either way, it's probably better than DNA evidence we seem to be so
    reliant on.

    DNA evidence is astonishingly powerful, astonishingly precise. Misrepresentation by innumerate legal professionals is not to do with
    the DNA evidence itself.

    And astonishingly vulnerable to cross-contamination, accidental or otherwise.

    --
    Roger Hayter

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to The Todal on Tue May 7 13:10:47 2024
    On 7 May 2024 at 11:15:39 BST, "The Todal" <the_todal@icloud.com> wrote:

    On 06/05/2024 17:20, Fredxx wrote:
    On 06/05/2024 11:52, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Owen Rees" <orees@hotmail.com> wrote in message
    news:krrf3jdgh5uk9q8v7lp6srf8ni9il5o3cj@4ax.com...
    On Wed, 1 May 2024 08:35:19 +0100, "billy bookcase" <billy@anon.com>
    wrote in <v0srbs$31oj0$1@dont-email.me>:

    However I'd imagine there must be some very good reason why
    it seems everyone else instead chooses to use the (33/34)*100
    form, despite the result being always identical. .

    It is closer to the (33*100)/34 form which is easier to derive from the >>>> meaning of "percent" - per hundred. The percentage is the numerator when >>>> the value is expressed as a fraction with denominator 100.

    If you start with a/b=n/100 and want the value of n the simple
    transformation is to multiply both sides by 100: (a*100)/b=n.

    Applying a little algebra you can get a lot of other equivalent formulae >>>> provided that b is not zero.

    Understanding mathematics can help to avoid the situation that arose in >>>> Indiana in 1894 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indiana_pi_bill "the
    Indiana State Legislature had laid itself open to ridicule".

    Unfortunately, mathematics does not help to avoid writing other doubtful >>>> claims into law.

    It certainly didn't seem to help Sally Clark a solicitor. At least at the >>> hands of Sir Roy Meadow, a pediatrician. He 'correctly' asserted that
    the probability of a random baby dying a cot death (SIDS) if the mother
    is greater than 26 years old, affluent, and a nonsmoker, is 1 in 8,543

    And therefore.... wait for it.....wait for it, the probability of two
    children from such a family both having a cot death is......
    (1 in 8,543) x (1 in 8,543) = 1 chance in 73 million.

    To repeat 1 chance in 73 million

    Yes, at the time it was believed that cot death was a independent event,
    and not associated with genes or environment. That has since been
    correctly ridiculed. However Roy Meadows simple repeated the thinking at
    the time. He was then made a scape-goat.

    Either way, it's probably better than DNA evidence we seem to be so
    reliant on.



    I think most people forget that the jury was presented with a great deal
    of evidence which pointed strongly to Sally Clark's guilt, and in all probability the jury did come to the correct decision.

    I've posted separately about the ignorance that causes some people - not lawyers, usually - to blame Professor Roy Meadow.

    Whether Clark was guilty or not, Meadows either deliberately lied or, more likely, made a crassly incorrect statement out of invincible ignorance. He was acting as an expert witness and had a legal and ethical obligation to do neither. I don't know how much his evidence influenced the original verdict, but he condemned himself and showed why campaigners should not act as experts if their campaigning zeal leads them to give their expert testimony other than competently and in good faith.


    --
    Roger Hayter

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From billy bookcase@21:1/5 to Owen Rees on Tue May 7 19:56:31 2024
    "Owen Rees" <orees@hotmail.com> wrote in message news:4aki3jpagqihhnfanlr397b0boo9ipoatv@4ax.com...
    On Mon, 6 May 2024 11:52:58 +0100, "billy bookcase" <billy@anon.com>
    wrote in <v1acqd$2h383$1@dont-email.me>:


    "Owen Rees" <orees@hotmail.com> wrote in message >>news:krrf3jdgh5uk9q8v7lp6srf8ni9il5o3cj@4ax.com...
    On Wed, 1 May 2024 08:35:19 +0100, "billy bookcase" <billy@anon.com>
    wrote in <v0srbs$31oj0$1@dont-email.me>:

    However I'd imagine there must be some very good reason why
    it seems everyone else instead chooses to use the (33/34)*100
    form, despite the result being always identical. .

    It is closer to the (33*100)/34 form which is easier to derive from the
    meaning of "percent" - per hundred. The percentage is the numerator when >>> the value is expressed as a fraction with denominator 100.

    If you start with a/b=n/100 and want the value of n the simple
    transformation is to multiply both sides by 100: (a*100)/b=n.

    Applying a little algebra you can get a lot of other equivalent formulae >>> provided that b is not zero.

    Understanding mathematics can help to avoid the situation that arose in
    Indiana in 1894 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indiana_pi_bill "the
    Indiana State Legislature had laid itself open to ridicule".

    Unfortunately, mathematics does not help to avoid writing other doubtful >>> claims into law.

    It certainly didn't seem to help Sally Clark a solicitor. At least at the >>hands of Sir Roy Meadow, a pediatrician. He 'correctly' asserted that
    the probability of a random baby dying a cot death (SIDS) if the mother
    is greater than 26 years old, affluent, and a nonsmoker, is 1 in 8,543

    And therefore.... wait for it.....wait for it, the probability of two >>children from such a family both having a cot death is......
    (1 in 8,543) x (1 in 8,543) = 1 chance in 73 million.

    Rather than faulty applicatioon of mathematics as in that specific case,
    I was thinking of doubtful claims being written into law - i.e. in the legislation.

    https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2024/8/2024-04-25 "Safety of Rwanda (Asylum and Immigration) Act 2024" is quite short.

    ====

    1(2)(b) this Act gives effect to the judgement of Parliament that the Republic of Rwanda is a safe country.

    ====

    Parliament has voted therefore it must be true!

    I did not see anything in the act to say for how long Rwanda is
    officially 'safe' for the purposes of UK law.

    If there were to be a coup overnight in Rwanda that installed an
    extremist group that believed that all people born outside Rwanda (or
    any other criterion of your choice) were devils incarnate and to be
    killed on sight, Rwanda would still be 'safe' according to UK law until
    the Act could be repealed.

    Does 1(3) which says what the government of Rwanda has agreed to do have
    any meaningful effect on the rest of the act? I did not see anything
    that says that any of the other provisions depend on performance by the government of Rwanda.

    Basically this is the sort of policy which would typically have been
    dreamed up by right-wing nut-jobs. Or at least people who would have
    been regarded as right wing nut-jobs, up until few years ago.
    So that in adopting such a policy the Tories are both appeasing
    the right-wing nuts-jobs and in the proccess gaining maxumum publicity
    for the schems in terms of the outrage its generating; presumably
    working on tne assumption that most potential asylum seekers
    are also avid "Guardian" readers.


    bb

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From billy bookcase@21:1/5 to The Todal on Tue May 7 16:47:15 2024
    "The Todal" <the_todal@icloud.com> wrote in message news:l9ud5vFko8sU1@mid.individual.net...
    On 06/05/2024 11:52, billy bookcase wrote:
    "Owen Rees" <orees@hotmail.com> wrote in message
    news:krrf3jdgh5uk9q8v7lp6srf8ni9il5o3cj@4ax.com...
    On Wed, 1 May 2024 08:35:19 +0100, "billy bookcase" <billy@anon.com>
    wrote in <v0srbs$31oj0$1@dont-email.me>:

    However I'd imagine there must be some very good reason why
    it seems everyone else instead chooses to use the (33/34)*100
    form, despite the result being always identical. .

    It is closer to the (33*100)/34 form which is easier to derive from the
    meaning of "percent" - per hundred. The percentage is the numerator when >>> the value is expressed as a fraction with denominator 100.

    If you start with a/b=n/100 and want the value of n the simple
    transformation is to multiply both sides by 100: (a*100)/b=n.

    Applying a little algebra you can get a lot of other equivalent formulae >>> provided that b is not zero.

    Understanding mathematics can help to avoid the situation that arose in
    Indiana in 1894 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indiana_pi_bill "the
    Indiana State Legislature had laid itself open to ridicule".

    Unfortunately, mathematics does not help to avoid writing other doubtful >>> claims into law.

    It certainly didn't seem to help Sally Clark a solicitor. At least at the
    hands of Sir Roy Meadow, a pediatrician. He 'correctly' asserted that
    the probability of a random baby dying a cot death (SIDS) if the mother
    is greater than 26 years old, affluent, and a nonsmoker, is 1 in 8,543

    And therefore.... wait for it.....wait for it, the probability of two
    children from such a family both having a cot death is......
    (1 in 8,543) x (1 in 8,543) = 1 chance in 73 million.

    To repeat 1 chance in 73 million

    This certainly impressed both the judge, the jury, presumably all present, >> along with subsequently, the Court of Appeal.

    Thus the original trial judge Mr Justice Harrison]

    quote:

    "Although we do not convict people in these courts on statistics . the
    statistics in this case are compelling." After her conviction one juror
    said: "Whatever you say about Sally Clark, you can't get around the 1
    in 73 million figure." Clark's conviction was upheld on appeal.

    :unquote

    This error resulted from the simple multiplication rule of multiplying
    probabilities as if they were independent when fairly obviously
    they weren't in this case

    The cause/s of cot deaths are unknown. At a rough guess they may be
    genetic/environmental/or behavioural on the part of the parents.
    None of which is any way deliberate.

    So that the "actual" probability of a cot death is in reality the
    probability of one or more of these factors affecting a family.

    So the first cot death was an unavoidable tragedy.

    After which the genetic factor will have been unchanged as may also
    have been the environmental or behavioural factors which led to the
    first death. So that given we don't actually know causes of cot
    death the probability of a second cot death might be...

    I'm sorry, but this is just so much "Common Sense", to me at least

    quote:

    In 2002, Ray Hill, professor of mathematics at the University of Salford,
    analysed other published data. He concluded that the probability of
    having a second child die a cot death, given a first child had a
    cot death, may be as high as 1 in 60.

    In 2003, after spending three years in jail, Clark's second appeal
    was upheld, and she was released from jail. This was only after a new
    pro bono lawyer, while reviewing the evidence, discovered a pathology
    report revealing that Harry was infected with staphylococcus aureus,
    and that this fact had been hidden from her defense team.

    Sally Clark died in 2007.

    unquote:

    So that she still wasn't released on the basis that she'd been jailed
    on the basis of totally bogus probability claims; and AFAIAA anyway
    no judges or paediatricians were admonished, or sent on remedial
    courses in probability.

    But released on the basis of the cause of death of the second baby;
    and the fact that this evidence had somehow been "lost" presumably
    by an under-resourced CPS

    https://significancemagazine.com/statistics-in-court-incorrect-probabilities/


    Once again, the much misunderstood Sally Clark case emerges from its coffin to haunt
    us.

    Sally Clark has died, long ago. An alcoholic who died of alcohol poisoning.

    Was she was an alcolholic before her conviction ?

    It is, obviously, extremely unlikely that two cot deaths could occur in the same house,
    in the presence of the mother

    Obviously extremely unlikely ?.

    So who do you suggest is more likely to be present at any cot death
    other than the mother ?

    In the original post -mortem it was found by Alan Williams, the Home Office pathologist that Christopher had been suffering from by a lower respiratory infection. Now either the child had been suffering from a lower respiratory infection or he hadn't. A fact. which will have been established by the presence of the relevant bacteria. Which may have been a contributory
    cause of death. Unless its being suggested of course that a lower
    respiratory infection can be caused by smothering.

    After all if you're going to back-fit your evidence you might as well
    go all the way.

    So that's one of Professor Meadow's possible 8,543 in 1 chances out of the way

    So now the question now becomes what is the probability of a second baby
    dying of an infection of some kind in a household where a baby has already
    died of an infection ? Especially if no possible remedial measures have been taken in the meantime ?

    She was very lucky to be exonerated eventually because some vital autopsy evidence had
    not been disclosed.

    Indeed ! Those vital post - mortem microbiological tests which showed that Harry
    had a colonisation of Staphylococcus aureus bacteria, indicating so it was later
    found that he had died from natural causes


    But then if microbiological tests are both necessary and sufficient to establish
    a cause of death then aren't they a "vital part" of any post mortem ? If only to establish a negative ?

    So why then didn't the expert witness Professor Meadow notice their absence and ask to examine the microbiological test report, before pronouncing so assuredly on Harry's cause of death ?

    Why should it have taken a pro bono divorce lawyer to establish that a vital part of the post mortem evidence had always been missing and not Professor Meadow.?

    As it turns out the tests showed the presence of the bacterium Staphylococcus aureus
    in multiple sites including his cerebro-spinal fluid.

    Which makes it all the more remarkable that Williams the Home Office Pathologists
    should have sought to suppress the report.

    And as to transmission " S. aureus is most often spread to others by contaminated
    hands."

    So that's two babies each showing presence of infection the latter sufficient to be
    accepted as the cause of death.

    After all, objectively it was absolutely reasonable to find her guilty of murder or
    manslaughter.

    Only owing to Maedow's failure to notice the missing test results.

    Always tempting for the ignorant press and the mathematicians with no understanding of
    court procedure, to blame Professor Meadow, the paediatrician. He was not in court to
    give statistical evidence but was encouraged by the barristers to give it. It was up to
    the judge and the barristers to decide whether he should stray from his rightful area
    of expertise, and if so whether to remind him and the jury of the well known "Prosecutor's Fallacy". The barristers blundered, and so did the judge. Professor
    Meadow acted entirely properly.

    In completely failing to notice the absence of the vital microbiological test results, from the post-mortem report itself ?

    And the first Court of Appeal assessed all the evidence and decided, rightly, that the
    statistical evidence was a very minor factor in the jury's deliberations and did not
    render the verdict unsafe.

    Sally Clark is not a heroine or the victim of a monstrous miscarriage of justice.
    Professor Meadow, on the other hand, was unjustly pilloried and bullied by the idiots
    who were determined to portray Clark as an innocent bereaved mother and who believed
    that So Called Experts were always intent on finding the parents guilty of injuring
    their children. Actually, almost every week we see a parent convicted of battering
    their child, on overwhelming evidence.

    So because some parents are convicted of battering their children every week there's no possibility that anyone could be wrongly accused ?


    From one of the Court of Appeal judgments:

    It was the prosecution case at trial that the appellant had murdered Christopher by
    smothering. Until shortly before the trial, the case in relation to Harry was that he
    had been murdered by shaking. For reasons that we will consider later, however, the
    case at the trial itself was presented on the basis that Harry had been subjected to a
    violent trauma to the spine, the mechanism of which was not clear, and had then been
    the victim of suffocation which caused his death. It was alleged that neither death
    could be considered SIDS because of the existence of recent and old injuries that had
    been found in each case,

    Another fallacy.

    If the causes of SIDS is unknown then its impossible to be certain that
    any death hasn't been cause by SIDS.

    The only relevant statistic here would be how likely the recent injuries were to have proved fatal.

    and there was no sufficient evidence as to how they had been caused. The circumstances
    of both deaths shared similarities which would make it an affront to common sense to
    conclude that either death was natural,

    But had the expert witness Professor Meadow had noticed the absence of
    any microbiological test results from the post-mortem report he would have been able to report in the case of Harry the presence of the bacterium Staphylococcus aureus
    in multiple sites including his cerebro-spinal fluid which was subsequently accepted as the cause of death.



    and it was beyond coincidence for history to so repeat itself. In summary, six main
    similarities were relied upon: (1) the babies were about the same age at the time of
    death, namely 11 weeks and 8 weeks; (2) they were each found by the appellant unconscious in the same room; (3) both were found at about the same time, shortly after
    having been fed; (4) the appellant had been alone with each child when he was discovered lifeless; (5) in each case Mr Clark was either away or about to go away; (6)
    in each case, according to the prosecution, there was evidence of previous abuse and of
    deliberate injury recently inflicted.

    None of which had any relevance to the subsequently undisputed fact that both babies were suffering from infections at the time of their death. A fact which would
    have been established had Professor Meadow been a bit more painstaking
    in his examination of Harry's post -mortem report, And notced the glaring omission.

    A central issue on each count was whether the Crown could exclude death by natural
    causes. The effect of the medical evidence as a whole was that neither baby was the
    subject of a SIDS death and there was consensus, as the lowest common denominator, that
    each death was unexplained and was consistent with an unnatural death. But the medical
    evidence did not stand alone. In the circumstances the credibility of the parents'
    evidence was crucial for the jury to consider. The absence of any explanation by the
    appellant for the medical findings, and the inaccuracy of the husband's evidence on the
    important matter of the time of his return home on the night of Harry's death, were
    matters of great potential significance.


    bb





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