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    From alan_m@21:1/5 to Animal on Fri Jan 12 08:36:08 2024
    On 10/01/2024 20:18, Animal wrote:

    HMG is trying to force people to build in already traffic jammed towns & cities. The result is higher costs & ever more productive time lost in ever worsening traffic. Building new towns & > expand existing villages would avoid this

    You are erroneously assuming that infrastructure to support new builds
    in villages and small towns exists. It's not just a matter of assigning
    a few fields for a housing estate and expecting things like the local
    sewers and roads to cope with the extra demand. For villages and small
    towns without meaningful public transport building a few hundred houses
    will not magically create a bus route, nor necessarily reopen the local
    pub or village shop. Furthermore, there also has to be enough
    (worthwhile) jobs locally to prevent "higher costs & ever more
    productive time lost in ever worsening traffic" and long commutes.



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  • From Jeff Layman@21:1/5 to All on Fri Jan 12 09:10:43 2024
    On 12/01/2024 08:36, alan_m wrote:
    On 10/01/2024 20:18, Animal wrote:

    HMG is trying to force people to build in already traffic jammed towns & cities. The result is higher costs & ever more productive time lost in ever worsening traffic. Building new towns & > expand existing villages would avoid this

    You are erroneously assuming that infrastructure to support new builds
    in villages and small towns exists. It's not just a matter of assigning
    a few fields for a housing estate and expecting things like the local
    sewers and roads to cope with the extra demand. For villages and small
    towns without meaningful public transport building a few hundred houses
    will not magically create a bus route, nor necessarily reopen the local
    pub or village shop. Furthermore, there also has to be enough
    (worthwhile) jobs locally to prevent "higher costs & ever more
    productive time lost in ever worsening traffic" and long commutes.

    Some do consider infrastructure first: <https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-hampshire-67349241>

    At a cost...:
    <https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-hampshire-67807794>

    --

    Jeff

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  • From alan_m@21:1/5 to Jeff Layman on Fri Jan 12 10:11:41 2024
    On 12/01/2024 09:10, Jeff Layman wrote:
    On 12/01/2024 08:36, alan_m wrote:
    On 10/01/2024 20:18, Animal wrote:

    HMG is trying to force people to build in already traffic jammed
    towns & cities. The result is higher costs & ever more productive
    time lost in ever worsening traffic. Building new towns & > expand
    existing villages would avoid this

    You are erroneously assuming that infrastructure to support new builds
    in villages and small towns exists. It's not just a matter of assigning
    a few fields for a housing estate and expecting things like the local
    sewers and roads to cope with the extra demand. For villages and small
    towns without meaningful public transport building a few hundred houses
    will not magically create a bus route, nor necessarily reopen the local
    pub or village shop.  Furthermore, there also has to be enough
    (worthwhile) jobs locally to prevent "higher costs & ever more
    productive time lost in ever worsening traffic" and long commutes.

    Some do consider infrastructure first: <https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-hampshire-67349241>

    Where does that article say anything about the existing infrastructure?
    2500 to 3000 houses isn't a small extension to the housing for a village
    or small town.
    That development just seem to be joining up the green land on the
    outskirts of Southampton in much the same way as urban sprawl is
    occurring around many large towns/cities.


    At a cost...:
    <https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-hampshire-67807794>


    £160k(ish) per house (assuming NOTHING goes wrong)*.

    The cost to the council, with a yearly "income" of £65 million, is
    approx x10 this amount and up front to finance the project.

    I assume the local jobs created are only temporary while the building
    work takes place and the people who will eventually occupy those houses
    will mainly commute on the already gridlocked roads to the nearby city.

    *Around my way there is a large uncompleted estate where none of the
    semi completed buildings have watertight roofs because the
    developer/supplier has recently gone bust. Work has been abandoned. It
    also looks if other similar projects have stalled in the past 6/9 months.


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  • From Jeff Layman@21:1/5 to All on Fri Jan 12 18:20:51 2024
    On 12/01/2024 10:11, alan_m wrote:
    On 12/01/2024 09:10, Jeff Layman wrote:
    On 12/01/2024 08:36, alan_m wrote:
    On 10/01/2024 20:18, Animal wrote:

    HMG is trying to force people to build in already traffic jammed
    towns & cities. The result is higher costs & ever more productive
    time lost in ever worsening traffic. Building new towns & > expand
    existing villages would avoid this

    You are erroneously assuming that infrastructure to support new builds
    in villages and small towns exists. It's not just a matter of assigning
    a few fields for a housing estate and expecting things like the local
    sewers and roads to cope with the extra demand. For villages and small
    towns without meaningful public transport building a few hundred houses
    will not magically create a bus route, nor necessarily reopen the local
    pub or village shop.  Furthermore, there also has to be enough
    (worthwhile) jobs locally to prevent "higher costs & ever more
    productive time lost in ever worsening traffic" and long commutes.

    Some do consider infrastructure first:
    <https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-hampshire-67349241>

    Where does that article say anything about the existing infrastructure?
    2500 to 3000 houses isn't a small extension to the housing for a village
    or small town.
    That development just seem to be joining up the green land on the
    outskirts of Southampton in much the same way as urban sprawl is
    occurring around many large towns/cities.

    Apologies - wrong link: <https://www.onehortonheath.co.uk/about/one-horton-heath>
    See "New link road":
    "By putting the roads in first, we can unlock the rest of the site for construction vehicles and keep traffic in the area flowing smoothly. It
    also means new occupants will benefit from the new access routes
    straight away. "

    That's the theory anyway. Goodness knows what the council tax will end
    up to finance all this. It's all part of turning south Hampshire into
    Solent City, which will be an urban conglomeration stretching from
    Portsmouth to Southampton and on to Winchester. When we moved to this
    area over 11 years ago it was to a small village with around 250 houses.
    We now have 3000 houses being built within a kilometre.

    At a cost...:
    <https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-hampshire-67807794>


    £160k(ish) per house (assuming NOTHING goes wrong)*.

    The cost to the council, with a yearly "income" of £65 million, is
    approx x10 this amount and up front to finance the project.

    I assume the local jobs created are only temporary while the building
    work takes place and the people who will eventually occupy those houses
    will mainly commute on the already gridlocked roads to the nearby city.

    Correct. The M27 takes the traffic while it is flowing, but if it is
    blocked for any reason all roads within a km of it are gridlocked.

    *Around my way there is a large uncompleted estate where none of the
    semi completed buildings have watertight roofs because the
    developer/supplier has recently gone bust. Work has been abandoned. It
    also looks if other similar projects have stalled in the past 6/9 months.

    I doubt that's unusual these days, unfortunately.

    --

    Jeff

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  • From alan_m@21:1/5 to Animal on Sat Jan 13 09:29:01 2024
    On 12/01/2024 21:16, Animal wrote:


    I'm not. That inrastructure needs to be built where not present obviously. That's part of the building process.

    I'm writing about where the existing infrastructure in a village or
    small town is barely adequate to cope with the current demand. While
    there may be land available and the infrastructure for the estate is
    first put into place this will feed into the existing
    sewers/roads/utilities. It's not just the cost of the new housing on the
    estate but maybe upgrading 10/20 miles of connecting roads, replacing
    sewage and drainage to 100s of existing properties etc.



    No. Start with the few hundred villages & build 10k, then a shop, pub & bus route become likely.

    10,000 houses in each of a few hundred villages?




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