• =?UTF-8?Q?Russia_won=E2=80=99t_try_to_complete_Ukraine_operation_by_?=

    From ltlee1@21:1/5 to All on Mon May 2 07:35:52 2022
    "MOSCOW, May 2. /TASS/. Moscow won’t set artificial timeframes for its military operation in Ukraine in order to complete it by Victory Day, celebrated on May 9, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said in an interview with Italy’s Mediaset
    broadcaster.

    "Our troops won’t artificially base their activities on a specific date, including Victory Day," he pointed out in response to a question. "We will solemnly celebrate May 9 the way we always do," Lavrov added.

    According to him, the pace of Russia’s special military operation in Ukraine first and foremost depends "on the need to mitigate risks for civilians and Russian troops."

    Lavrov noted that the operation was particularly aimed at ensuring the safety of civilians and making sure that there were no threats from Ukraine to civilians and Russia, "which would be related to offensive weapons and the spread of Nazi ideas that the
    West is trying to downplay.""

    https://tass.com/politics/1446173

    The longer the operation, the more Russia is played into U.S. hand. The UK as well as some Eastern European countries may not mind long operation in Ukraine too. Former Soviet bloc nations such as Czech and Poland would welcome an opportunity to exchange
    old Soviet era weapons for newer Western weapons.

    How about Western European power such as German and France? How will a long war affect them economically?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From borie@21:1/5 to All on Mon May 2 09:58:45 2022
    On Monday, May 2, 2022 at 10:35:54 PM UTC+8, ltlee1 wrote:
    "MOSCOW, May 2. /TASS/. Moscow won’t set artificial timeframes for its military operation in Ukraine in order to complete it by Victory Day, celebrated on May 9, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said in an interview with Italy’s Mediaset
    broadcaster.

    "Our troops won’t artificially base their activities on a specific date, including Victory Day," he pointed out in response to a question. "We will solemnly celebrate May 9 the way we always do," Lavrov added.

    According to him, the pace of Russia’s special military operation in Ukraine first and foremost depends "on the need to mitigate risks for civilians and Russian troops."

    Lavrov noted that the operation was particularly aimed at ensuring the safety of civilians and making sure that there were no threats from Ukraine to civilians and Russia, "which would be related to offensive weapons and the spread of Nazi ideas that
    the West is trying to downplay.""

    https://tass.com/politics/1446173

    The longer the operation, the more Russia is played into U.S. hand. The UK as well as some Eastern European countries may not mind long operation in Ukraine too. Former Soviet bloc nations such as Czech and Poland would welcome an opportunity to
    exchange old Soviet era weapons for newer Western weapons.

    How about Western European power such as German and France? How will a long war affect them economically?

    No need to rush to victory day. War that is going on is not the same of a victory parade.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From A. Filip@21:1/5 to ltlee1@hotmail.com on Mon May 2 21:01:35 2022
    ltlee1 <ltlee1@hotmail.com> wrote:
    "MOSCOW, May 2. /TASS/. Moscow won’t set artificial timeframes for its military operation in Ukraine in order to complete it by Victory Day, celebrated on May 9, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said in an interview with Italy’s Mediaset broadcaster.
    […]
    https://tass.com/politics/1446173

    The longer the operation, the more Russia is played into
    U.S. hand. The UK as well as some Eastern European countries may not
    mind long operation in Ukraine too. Former Soviet bloc nations such as
    Czech and Poland would welcome an opportunity to exchange old Soviet
    era weapons for newer Western weapons.

    How about Western European power such as German and France? How will a
    long war affect them economically?

    The war at Ukrainian territory is much more costly for Ukraine
    *BUT* Ukraine seems *so far* to be unwilling for "surrender" -
    cease fire *at current positions*.

    --
    A. Filip : Big (Tech) Brother is watching you.
    | If you are of the opinion that the contemplation of suicide is
    | sufficient evidence of a poetic nature, do not forget that actions
    | speak louder than words. (Fran Lebowitz, "Metropolitan Life")

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From ltlee1@21:1/5 to A. Filip on Tue May 3 14:05:55 2022
    On Monday, May 2, 2022 at 5:01:56 PM UTC-4, A. Filip wrote:
    ltlee1 wrote:
    "MOSCOW, May 2. /TASS/. Moscow won’t set artificial timeframes for its military operation in Ukraine in order to complete it by Victory Day, celebrated on May 9, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said in an interview with Italy’s Mediaset broadcaster.
    […]
    https://tass.com/politics/1446173

    The longer the operation, the more Russia is played into
    U.S. hand. The UK as well as some Eastern European countries may not
    mind long operation in Ukraine too. Former Soviet bloc nations such as Czech and Poland would welcome an opportunity to exchange old Soviet
    era weapons for newer Western weapons.

    How about Western European power such as German and France? How will a long war affect them economically?
    The war at Ukrainian territory is much more costly for Ukraine
    *BUT* Ukraine seems *so far* to be unwilling for "surrender" -
    cease fire *at current positions*.

    Needless to say, the war is very costly to Ukraine and to Russia. However, if one sees the
    region with a longer view, Macron's description that they are two brotherly peoples may
    still hold in the future.

    What are Ukraine's neighbors trying to accomplish short and long term? What strategic
    goals underpinned by what assumptions, consciously and unconsciously? And at what
    cost? Would such action split Europe?

    "As Americans ingest the constant feed of dire reports and heartbreaking photographs from
    the war in Ukraine, it behooves us to look at Europe’s views of a European conflict.

    First, these views are far from harmonious; there is, as the English Russia scholar Richard
    Sakwa has said, “no strategic European Union vision” on Ukraine – most members have merely
    been “shamed” into upping the ante in the supply of arms.

    Second, in general, Europe is divided between east and west: the new Olaf Scholz government
    in Berlin sputters to create a coherent set of policies, and in France, President Emmanuel
    Macron won re-election despite criticism for his willingness to engage Russian President Vladimir
    Putin deep into the night before the invasion."

    https://asiatimes.com/2022/05/the-folly-of-isolating-russia/




    --
    A. Filip : Big (Tech) Brother is watching you.
    | If you are of the opinion that the contemplation of suicide is
    | sufficient evidence of a poetic nature, do not forget that actions
    | speak louder than words. (Fran Lebowitz, "Metropolitan Life")

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From borie@21:1/5 to All on Tue May 3 16:45:10 2022
    On Wednesday, May 4, 2022 at 5:05:57 AM UTC+8, ltlee1 wrote:
    On Monday, May 2, 2022 at 5:01:56 PM UTC-4, A. Filip wrote:
    ltlee1 wrote:
    "MOSCOW, May 2. /TASS/. Moscow won’t set artificial timeframes for its military operation in Ukraine in order to complete it by Victory Day, celebrated on May 9, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said in an interview with Italy’s Mediaset broadcaster.
    […]
    https://tass.com/politics/1446173

    The longer the operation, the more Russia is played into
    U.S. hand. The UK as well as some Eastern European countries may not mind long operation in Ukraine too. Former Soviet bloc nations such as Czech and Poland would welcome an opportunity to exchange old Soviet
    era weapons for newer Western weapons.

    How about Western European power such as German and France? How will a long war affect them economically?
    The war at Ukrainian territory is much more costly for Ukraine
    *BUT* Ukraine seems *so far* to be unwilling for "surrender" -
    cease fire *at current positions*.
    Needless to say, the war is very costly to Ukraine and to Russia. However, if one sees the
    region with a longer view, Macron's description that they are two brotherly peoples may
    still hold in the future.

    What are Ukraine's neighbors trying to accomplish short and long term? What strategic
    goals underpinned by what assumptions, consciously and unconsciously? And at what
    cost? Would such action split Europe?

    "As Americans ingest the constant feed of dire reports and heartbreaking photographs from
    the war in Ukraine, it behooves us to look at Europe’s views of a European conflict.

    First, these views are far from harmonious; there is, as the English Russia scholar Richard
    Sakwa has said, “no strategic European Union vision” on Ukraine – most members have merely
    been “shamed” into upping the ante in the supply of arms.

    Second, in general, Europe is divided between east and west: the new Olaf Scholz government
    in Berlin sputters to create a coherent set of policies, and in France, President Emmanuel
    Macron won re-election despite criticism for his willingness to engage Russian President Vladimir
    Putin deep into the night before the invasion."

    https://asiatimes.com/2022/05/the-folly-of-isolating-russia/

    --
    A. Filip : Big (Tech) Brother is watching you.
    | If you are of the opinion that the contemplation of suicide is
    | sufficient evidence of a poetic nature, do not forget that actions
    | speak louder than words. (Fran Lebowitz, "Metropolitan Life")

    US is using Ukraine as a sucker in their war with Russia. US has no concerns about the condition of Ukraine. They will make Zelensky addicted for supply of their US and NATO arms and weapons into a long drawn war to tired out Russia. After the war,
    Ukraine will be destructed to dust and ash. US will then send a "big hug" multi-billion dollar bill to Ukraine for payment of their supply of arms and weapons to them. As Ukraine will be broke and emptied of money, US will ask Ukraine to pay by land,
    which they can then be resold to the US and EU business oligarch for a huge and mighty profit.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From A. Filip@21:1/5 to borie on Wed May 4 08:44:06 2022
    borie <zifon990@gmail.com> wrote:
    […]
    US is using Ukraine as a sucker in their war with Russia. US has no
    concerns about the condition of Ukraine. They will make Zelensky
    addicted for supply of their US and NATO arms and weapons into a long
    drawn war to tired out Russia. After the war, Ukraine will be
    destructed to dust and ash. US will then send a "big hug"
    multi-billion dollar bill to Ukraine for payment of their supply of
    arms and weapons to them. As Ukraine will be broke and emptied of
    money, US will ask Ukraine to pay by land, which they can then be
    resold to the US and EU business oligarch for a huge and mighty
    profit.

    <cynicism> Too strong Russian may be a too costly ally against PRC.
    Too strong Russia may be an "uncomfortable" ally for PRC.
    Too weak (humiliated) Russia may be "uncomfortably unpredictable" in choosing/switching alliances (in long term). </cynicism>
    International politics frequently is not based on binary logic :-)

    Life is a game of reaching a few (partially) contradictory goals at once.
    Do not oversimplify unaware that you oversimplify.

    --
    A. Filip : Big (Tech) Brother is watching you.
    | His honour rooted in dishonour stood,
    | And faith unfaithful kept him falsely true.
    | (Alfred Lord Tennyson)

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From ltlee1@21:1/5 to A. Filip on Wed May 4 06:02:08 2022
    On Wednesday, May 4, 2022 at 4:44:55 AM UTC-4, A. Filip wrote:
    borie <zifo...@gmail.com> wrote:
    […]
    US is using Ukraine as a sucker in their war with Russia. US has no concerns about the condition of Ukraine. They will make Zelensky
    addicted for supply of their US and NATO arms and weapons into a long drawn war to tired out Russia. After the war, Ukraine will be
    destructed to dust and ash. US will then send a "big hug"
    multi-billion dollar bill to Ukraine for payment of their supply of
    arms and weapons to them. As Ukraine will be broke and emptied of
    money, US will ask Ukraine to pay by land, which they can then be
    resold to the US and EU business oligarch for a huge and mighty
    profit.
    <cynicism> Too strong Russian may be a too costly ally against PRC.
    Too strong Russia may be an "uncomfortable" ally for PRC.
    Too weak (humiliated) Russia may be "uncomfortably unpredictable" in choosing/switching alliances (in long term). </cynicism>
    International politics frequently is not based on binary logic :-)

    Life is a game of reaching a few (partially) contradictory goals at once.
    Do not oversimplify unaware that you oversimplify.

    Very well said.
    Unfortunately, in trying to reach the last possible eyeball, US media inevitably
    oversimplifies and foists this version of "truth" to the unaware public.

    And of course, democratic US and autocratic China is the most damaging oversimplification.

    --
    A. Filip : Big (Tech) Brother is watching you.
    | His honour rooted in dishonour stood,
    | And faith unfaithful kept him falsely true.
    | (Alfred Lord Tennyson)

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From bmoore@21:1/5 to A. Filip on Wed May 4 06:38:55 2022
    On Wednesday, May 4, 2022 at 1:44:55 AM UTC-7, A. Filip wrote:
    borie <zifo...@gmail.com> wrote:
    […]
    US is using Ukraine as a sucker in their war with Russia. US has no concerns about the condition of Ukraine. They will make Zelensky
    addicted for supply of their US and NATO arms and weapons into a long drawn war to tired out Russia. After the war, Ukraine will be
    destructed to dust and ash. US will then send a "big hug"
    multi-billion dollar bill to Ukraine for payment of their supply of
    arms and weapons to them. As Ukraine will be broke and emptied of
    money, US will ask Ukraine to pay by land, which they can then be
    resold to the US and EU business oligarch for a huge and mighty
    profit.
    <cynicism> Too strong Russian may be a too costly ally against PRC.
    Too strong Russia may be an "uncomfortable" ally for PRC.
    Too weak (humiliated) Russia may be "uncomfortably unpredictable" in choosing/switching alliances (in long term). </cynicism>
    International politics frequently is not based on binary logic :-)

    Life is a game of reaching a few (partially) contradictory goals at once.
    Do not oversimplify unaware that you oversimplify.

    Yes. To that end, it is good to have a variety of voices. People should be free to disagree, without fear of being thrown in jail or "disappeared".

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From ltlee1@21:1/5 to All on Thu May 5 05:36:59 2022
    On Tuesday, May 3, 2022 at 5:05:57 PM UTC-4, ltlee1 wrote:
    On Monday, May 2, 2022 at 5:01:56 PM UTC-4, A. Filip wrote:
    ltlee1 wrote:
    "MOSCOW, May 2. /TASS/. Moscow won’t set artificial timeframes for its military operation in Ukraine in order to complete it by Victory Day, celebrated on May 9, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said in an interview with Italy’s Mediaset broadcaster.
    […]
    https://tass.com/politics/1446173

    The longer the operation, the more Russia is played into
    U.S. hand. The UK as well as some Eastern European countries may not mind long operation in Ukraine too. Former Soviet bloc nations such as Czech and Poland would welcome an opportunity to exchange old Soviet
    era weapons for newer Western weapons.

    How about Western European power such as German and France? How will a long war affect them economically?
    The war at Ukrainian territory is much more costly for Ukraine
    *BUT* Ukraine seems *so far* to be unwilling for "surrender" -
    cease fire *at current positions*.
    Needless to say, the war is very costly to Ukraine and to Russia. However, if one sees the
    region with a longer view, Macron's description that they are two brotherly peoples may
    still hold in the future.

    What are Ukraine's neighbors trying to accomplish short and long term? What strategic
    goals underpinned by what assumptions, consciously and unconsciously? And at what
    cost? Would such action split Europe?

    "As Americans ingest the constant feed of dire reports and heartbreaking photographs from
    the war in Ukraine, it behooves us to look at Europe’s views of a European conflict.

    First, these views are far from harmonious; there is, as the English Russia scholar Richard
    Sakwa has said, “no strategic European Union vision” on Ukraine – most members have merely
    been “shamed” into upping the ante in the supply of arms.

    Second, in general, Europe is divided between east and west: the new Olaf Scholz government
    in Berlin sputters to create a coherent set of policies, and in France, President Emmanuel
    Macron won re-election despite criticism for his willingness to engage Russian President Vladimir
    Putin deep into the night before the invasion."

    https://asiatimes.com/2022/05/the-folly-of-isolating-russia/

    Anyway, the bottom line question whether Russia prolonging the conflict from a position of
    strength or from a position of weakness. The same for EU nations. They are prepared for
    short term pain. Have they prepared their citizens and economies with Russia gas and oil
    being cut off?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From A. Filip@21:1/5 to ltlee1@hotmail.com on Thu May 5 14:03:32 2022
    ltlee1 <ltlee1@hotmail.com> wrote:
    On Tuesday, May 3, 2022 at 5:05:57 PM UTC-4, ltlee1 wrote:
    On Monday, May 2, 2022 at 5:01:56 PM UTC-4, A. Filip wrote:
    ltlee1 wrote:
    "MOSCOW, May 2. /TASS/. Moscow won’t set artificial timeframes for its >> > > military operation in Ukraine in order to complete it by Victory Day,
    celebrated on May 9, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said in an >> > > interview with Italy’s Mediaset broadcaster.
    […]
    https://tass.com/politics/1446173

    The longer the operation, the more Russia is played into
    U.S. hand. The UK as well as some Eastern European countries may not
    mind long operation in Ukraine too. Former Soviet bloc nations such as >> > > Czech and Poland would welcome an opportunity to exchange old Soviet
    era weapons for newer Western weapons.

    How about Western European power such as German and France? How will a >> > > long war affect them economically?
    The war at Ukrainian territory is much more costly for Ukraine
    *BUT* Ukraine seems *so far* to be unwilling for "surrender" -
    cease fire *at current positions*.
    Needless to say, the war is very costly to Ukraine and to Russia. However, if one sees the
    region with a longer view, Macron's description that they are two brotherly peoples may
    still hold in the future.

    What are Ukraine's neighbors trying to accomplish short and long term? What strategic
    goals underpinned by what assumptions, consciously and unconsciously? And at what
    cost? Would such action split Europe?

    "As Americans ingest the constant feed of dire reports and heartbreaking photographs from
    the war in Ukraine, it behooves us to look at Europe’s views of a European conflict.

    First, these views are far from harmonious; there is, as the English Russia scholar Richard
    Sakwa has said, “no strategic European Union vision” on Ukraine – most members have merely
    been “shamed” into upping the ante in the supply of arms.

    Second, in general, Europe is divided between east and west: the new Olaf Scholz government
    in Berlin sputters to create a coherent set of policies, and in France, President Emmanuel
    Macron won re-election despite criticism for his willingness to engage Russian President Vladimir
    Putin deep into the night before the invasion."

    https://asiatimes.com/2022/05/the-folly-of-isolating-russia/

    Anyway, the bottom line question whether Russia prolonging the
    conflict from a position of strength or from a position of
    weakness. The same for EU nations. They are prepared for short term
    pain. Have they prepared their citizens and economies with Russia gas
    and oil being cut off?

    Position of strength would require "conquering" Ukraine (at least regime change).
    Position of weakness would require fighting at Russia territory.
    IMHO the most likely scenario at very least would include making two
    people republics bigger. It is going to be a mix of weakness and
    strength with proportions being crucial, even perceived proportions.

    --
    A. Filip : Big (Tech) Brother is watching you.
    | A fanatic is a person who can't change his mind and won't change
    | the subject. (Winston Churchill)

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From ltlee1@21:1/5 to All on Sun May 8 03:36:24 2022
    On Thursday, May 5, 2022 at 8:37:01 AM UTC-4, ltlee1 wrote:
    On Tuesday, May 3, 2022 at 5:05:57 PM UTC-4, ltlee1 wrote:
    On Monday, May 2, 2022 at 5:01:56 PM UTC-4, A. Filip wrote:
    ltlee1 wrote:
    "MOSCOW, May 2. /TASS/. Moscow won’t set artificial timeframes for its
    military operation in Ukraine in order to complete it by Victory Day, celebrated on May 9, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said in an interview with Italy’s Mediaset broadcaster.
    […]
    https://tass.com/politics/1446173

    The longer the operation, the more Russia is played into
    U.S. hand. The UK as well as some Eastern European countries may not mind long operation in Ukraine too. Former Soviet bloc nations such as Czech and Poland would welcome an opportunity to exchange old Soviet era weapons for newer Western weapons.

    How about Western European power such as German and France? How will a long war affect them economically?
    The war at Ukrainian territory is much more costly for Ukraine
    *BUT* Ukraine seems *so far* to be unwilling for "surrender" -
    cease fire *at current positions*.
    Needless to say, the war is very costly to Ukraine and to Russia. However, if one sees the
    region with a longer view, Macron's description that they are two brotherly peoples may
    still hold in the future.

    What are Ukraine's neighbors trying to accomplish short and long term? What strategic
    goals underpinned by what assumptions, consciously and unconsciously? And at what
    cost? Would such action split Europe?

    "As Americans ingest the constant feed of dire reports and heartbreaking photographs from
    the war in Ukraine, it behooves us to look at Europe’s views of a European conflict.

    First, these views are far from harmonious; there is, as the English Russia scholar Richard
    Sakwa has said, “no strategic European Union vision” on Ukraine – most members have merely
    been “shamed” into upping the ante in the supply of arms.

    Second, in general, Europe is divided between east and west: the new Olaf Scholz government
    in Berlin sputters to create a coherent set of policies, and in France, President Emmanuel
    Macron won re-election despite criticism for his willingness to engage Russian President Vladimir
    Putin deep into the night before the invasion."

    https://asiatimes.com/2022/05/the-folly-of-isolating-russia/
    Anyway, the bottom line question whether Russia prolonging the conflict from a position of
    strength or from a position of weakness. The same for EU nations. They are prepared for
    short term pain. Have they prepared their citizens and economies with Russia gas and oil
    being cut off?

    Negative Western reaction such as economic sanction should be part of Russia's expected cost
    for its special operation. Deteriorating economy would certainly put a limit on operational time
    horizon. But its economy seems to be resilient. According to Economist.com analysis,
    Russia’s economy is back on its feet. https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2022/05/07/russias-economy-is-back-on-its-feet?
    Longer war is rational if overall cost-benefit ration is more favorable and not necessarily a
    sign of political weakness.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)