XPost: la.general, talk.politics.mideast, alt.journalism.newspapers
XPost: atl.general

Nate Silver’s wry response to this new Morning Consult poll
showing Biden’s lead holding steady made me laugh.

Nate Silver
?
@NateSilver538
A lot of people expected Biden to drop but, to be fair, it's
hard to think of any recent examples where a candidate
continuously held on to 30-35% of the vote in the primaries by
capitalizing on support from older non-college voters when the
media constantly predicted his demise. https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1143342378780168193 …

(((Harry Enten)))
?
@ForecasterEnten
Morning Consult finds that Biden's standing remains... unchanged
this week compared to last nationally. (FWIW, Warren up 2 points
to 13%. I believe her best showing in an MC poll.) https://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/Political- Intelligence-6.24.19.pdf …

View image on TwitterView image on Twitter
856
7:22 PM - Jun 24, 2019
Twitter Ads info and privacy
253 people are talking about this

Surely a guy whose support rests on a diminishing cohort of
working-class Boomers can’t get elected president in America.
Anyway, the new numbers:

Uncle Joe hasn’t lost so much as a point after days of media
coverage of his “civility” as a young senator towards
segregationist colleagues like James Eastland and Herman
Talmadge. He’s actually gained a few points in the early states
of Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina, rising from
40 percent last week to 43 percent now with Bernie Sanders a
very distant second at 21 percent. A larger share of likely
primary voters said Biden’s comments made them *more* likely to
vote for him (29 percent) than less likely (18 percent) — and
that includes black voters (30/20). America loves legislative
compromise, even with farking segregationists! The only sign of
slippage for Biden is in net favorability, where he’s lost five
points or so since June 10th. But given that his lead over the
field hasn’t declined, those points must have come from voters
who were already leaning in another direction or are so pro-Joe
that they’re sticking with him even though their personal views
of him have slipped a bit.

Steve Kornacki dug even deeper into the data. Last week, before
the kerfuffle about segregationists, Biden stood at 45 percent
support with black voters. This week, after attacks by Kamala
Harris and Cory Booker and days of unflattering news reports,
his support with black voters is at … 46 percent. They don’t
care. And they’re willing to tell reporters who come asking:

“They need to leave it be,” said Cheri Reed, a 66-year-old
Democrat from Columbia as she waited in line with friends for
fish at Clyburn’s event on Friday night. She chided Democrats
like New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker, who criticized Biden for his
remarks and called on him to apologize.

“We don’t need a rookie in the game right now. Because it’s the
anti-Christ that we’re up against,” Reed said, referring to
President Donald Trump. “He’s despicable. He’s destructive. He’s
a liar. He’s trigger-happy. He’s everything that you don’t want
in a President.”…

“Like Biden said, you’ve got to work with everybody to get
along,” [Isaac] Moore said. “Back in those days, that’s all
there was — segregationists. So what he’s saying is perfectly
all right with me, because it’s still that way. You still have
to go across the aisle and work with those types of people today
to get anything done.”

Bloomberg got same of the same responses in interviewing black
South Carolinians (“You have to be able to work with everybody”)
and noted, as CNN did, an age gap in views of Biden. Older black
voters who experienced segregation seem more willing to shrug
off Biden’s comity with segregationists than younger black
voters do. Which is good news for Biden on balance: “[T]he
generational split may not matter much in South Carolina, where
primary voters skew older, according to exit polls from 2016,
which show that 47% of voters were between the ages of 45 and
64. The next largest group, 20%, was between the ages of 30 and
44, while voters 65 and older accounted for 19%.” Whoever ends
up as the alternative to Uncle Joe in SC will need to turn out
younger Democrats en masse or they’re on track to get crushed.

Exit question: Will political media, me included, learn anything
from this latest reminder that the only Democratic subgroup that
seems to care much about crimes against wokeness is educated
white progressives who are Very Online? Exit answer: No way.
There’s too much easy bloggy content to write about by
pretending otherwise!

https://hotair.com/archives/2019/06/25/poll-pretty-much-no-one- cares-biden-chummy-segregationists-senate/
 

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)