• Canada Election 2021 polls 16 Sept 2021

    From The Doctor@21:1/5 to All on Fri Sep 17 04:39:02 2021
    XPost: can.politics, can.general

    338canada.com

    Regional distribution

    Federal vote projection averages per region | September 16, 2021

    ATL QC ON MB/SK AB BC TR National
    LPC 41% 33% 38% 21% 16% 26% 32% 32.0%
    CPC 30% 18% 32% 42% 55% 31% 24% 31.7%
    NDP 19% 12% 20% 24% 17% 30% 33% 19.3%
    BQ 0% 30% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 6.9%
    PPC 5% 3% 6% 8% 7% 6% 0% 5.7%
    GPC 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 7% 9% 3.4%
    MPC 0% 0% 0% 2% 2% 0% 0% 0.4%


    Federal seat projection averages per region | September 16, 2021

    ATL QC ON MB/SK AB BC TR National
    LPC 24.5 35.0 67.5 4.8 1.9 9.9 1.4 145.0
    CPC 6.8 10.6 41.6 18.7 30.8 17.3 0.1 125.9
    NDP 0.7 1.1 11.4 4.5 1.3 13.3 1.5 33.8
    BQ 0.0 31.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 31.2
    GPC 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 2.0
    PPC 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0.1

    Source

    https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/poll-tracker/canada/


    Liberal Justin Trudeau 31.7% +0.1
    Conservative Erin O'Toole 31.2% -0.1
    New Democrat Jagmeet Singh 20.1% +0.3
    Bloc Quebecois Yves-Francois Blanchet 6.4% -0.2
    People's Party Maxime Bernier 6.2% +0.1
    Green Annamie Paul 3.3% -0.2
    Other 1.1% -0.1

    Seats

    LPC 150
    CPC 120
    NDP 38
    BQ 29
    GPC 1
    PPC 0
    Other 0

    https://calculatedpolitics.ca/projection/canadian-federal-election/#1613342571189-f997c9a0-4ca3

    LPC 31.8%
    CPC 31.4%
    NDP 20.2%
    BQ 6.5 %
    GPC 3.3%
    Other 6.9%

    https://calculatedpolitics.ca/projection/canadian-federal-election/#1613342571207-b57a6991-2530

    LPC 152 seats
    CPC 120
    NDP 36
    BQ 28
    Green 2
    Other 0

    http://www.electionprediction.org/2021_fed/index.php

    Liberal Party Parti Liberal 112
    Conservative Party Parti Conservateur 110
    N.D.P. N.P.D. 22
    Bloc Quebecois 24
    Green Party Parti Vert 2
    Too Close 68

    Total 338

    https://nanos.co/2021-reports/

    Nightly Tracking LPC 31.9%, CPC 30.3%, NDP 21.2%, PPC 6.7%, BQ 6.4%, GPC 3.2%, CTV News/Globe and Mail/Nanos three nights ending September 15

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2021_Canadian_federal_election

    Campaign research

    LPC and CPC 31 NDP 21 BQ 7 GPC 4 PPC 5 Others 1

    Abacus Data LPC 34 CPC 30 NDP 21 BQ 6 GPC 3 PPC 5 Others 1




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