XPost: can.politics, can.general
338canada.com
Regional distribution
Federal vote projection averages per region | September 16, 2021
ATL QC ON MB/SK AB BC TR National
LPC 41% 33% 38% 21% 16% 26% 32% 32.0%
CPC 30% 18% 32% 42% 55% 31% 24% 31.7%
NDP 19% 12% 20% 24% 17% 30% 33% 19.3%
BQ 0% 30% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 6.9%
PPC 5% 3% 6% 8% 7% 6% 0% 5.7%
GPC 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 7% 9% 3.4%
MPC 0% 0% 0% 2% 2% 0% 0% 0.4%
Federal seat projection averages per region | September 16, 2021
ATL QC ON MB/SK AB BC TR National
LPC 24.5 35.0 67.5 4.8 1.9 9.9 1.4 145.0
CPC 6.8 10.6 41.6 18.7 30.8 17.3 0.1 125.9
NDP 0.7 1.1 11.4 4.5 1.3 13.3 1.5 33.8
BQ 0.0 31.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 31.2
GPC 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 2.0
PPC 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0.1
Source
https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/poll-tracker/canada/
Liberal Justin Trudeau 31.7% +0.1
Conservative Erin O'Toole 31.2% -0.1
New Democrat Jagmeet Singh 20.1% +0.3
Bloc Quebecois Yves-Francois Blanchet 6.4% -0.2
People's Party Maxime Bernier 6.2% +0.1
Green Annamie Paul 3.3% -0.2
Other 1.1% -0.1
Seats
LPC 150
CPC 120
NDP 38
BQ 29
GPC 1
PPC 0
Other 0
https://calculatedpolitics.ca/projection/canadian-federal-election/#1613342571189-f997c9a0-4ca3
LPC 31.8%
CPC 31.4%
NDP 20.2%
BQ 6.5 %
GPC 3.3%
Other 6.9%
https://calculatedpolitics.ca/projection/canadian-federal-election/#1613342571207-b57a6991-2530
LPC 152 seats
CPC 120
NDP 36
BQ 28
Green 2
Other 0
http://www.electionprediction.org/2021_fed/index.php
Liberal Party Parti Liberal 112
Conservative Party Parti Conservateur 110
N.D.P. N.P.D. 22
Bloc Quebecois 24
Green Party Parti Vert 2
Too Close 68
Total 338
https://nanos.co/2021-reports/
Nightly Tracking LPC 31.9%, CPC 30.3%, NDP 21.2%, PPC 6.7%, BQ 6.4%, GPC 3.2%, CTV News/Globe and Mail/Nanos three nights ending September 15
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2021_Canadian_federal_election
Campaign research
LPC and CPC 31 NDP 21 BQ 7 GPC 4 PPC 5 Others 1
Abacus Data LPC 34 CPC 30 NDP 21 BQ 6 GPC 3 PPC 5 Others 1
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