From Raskolynikov@21:1/5 to All on Sun May 29 10:10:27 2022
Pounding cities full of unsuspecting, innocent civilians based on the assumption that they
support neonazis, when only fewer than 5-10% actually are ... the rest probably view this as
some kind of folklore, or are explicitly against, but silent, as ordinary peaceful citizens are ...
I know this from my own country.
This is undoubtedly wrong.
Even without explicit war crimes and summary executions of PoWs and civilians. It is
simply wrong. Undoubtedly, the "denazification" story goes along with the more significant cause of
political and strategic balance. In which Putin tried to ward off the possibility of having nuke
launchers in Ukraine, but now may have them even closer ...
This is obviously not something that can be resolved with killing more civilians in Ukraine, or
even more Azov members.
Mr. Putin needs to go back to the negotiating table, and also prove that his word in negotiation
is worth something, that it has some weight. Apart from the Soviet-style oppression apparatus
applied to dissidents in Russia itself.
No doubt, Russia needs security against the nuclear threat and no doubt that the Russian
security is a part of global nuclear security.
However, not all paths lead to that goal, and I believe Mr. Putin had chosen the wrong path.
Even if he succeeds in the secession of the Donbas region violating the Budapest Memorandum
of Ukrainian sovereignty, he will not make Russia safer, because he is losing on other fronts. Adding them
to the list of enemies for denazification won't do the trick, for apparently countries will from now
on be prepared for that type of outcome.
Even the Donbas Russians would be better off in a democratised, multinational Ukraine than in
the oligarchic, totalitarian Russia under Mr. Putin or his would-be heir.
Ukraine just needs to reassure the ordinary Russian citizens and the insurgents who have not
committed war crimes of abolition and reassured cultural autonomy and constitutional rights
I believe any peace is better than any war, but Mr. Putin now thinks he can score on temporary
military advantage in the Donbas region and still proclaim victory in the war.
But this may also be a Pyrrhic victory.
In peace, Russia would get a chance for the economic revival, but this is exactly what the "silovniki"
fear: the change that would weaken their monopoly of power.