• Q relation between the controlled expr and the iff

    From Cosine@21:1/5 to All on Mon Jun 8 07:06:49 2020
    Hi:

    A controlled experiment is expressed as:

    Ctrl group: no drug
    Expr group: with drug

    And we expect to see that:

    Ctrl group: no effect
    Expr group: has effect

    The above looks like the logic relation: iff

    A iff B
    T T T <- Expr group and has effect
    T F F
    F F F
    F T T <- Ctrl group and has no effect

    Could we say that the degin of a controlled experiment is intended to show that there is an iff logical relation between the drug and the effect?

    Are there some other implications for the above similarity?

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  • From Rich Ulrich@21:1/5 to All on Mon Jun 8 18:56:46 2020
    On Mon, 8 Jun 2020 07:06:49 -0700 (PDT), Cosine <asecant@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    Hi:

    A controlled experiment is expressed as:

    Ctrl group: no drug
    Expr group: with drug

    And we expect to see that:

    Ctrl group: no effect
    Expr group: has effect

    The above looks like the logic relation: iff

    A iff B
    T T T <- Expr group and has effect
    T F F
    F F F
    F T T <- Ctrl group and has no effect

    Could we say that the degin of a controlled experiment is intended to show that there is an iff logical relation between the drug and the effect?

    I was hoping someone else would pitch in an answer,
    because several re-readings still leave me drawing a blank
    as to what is designated by your A and B, and what
    questions are answered by your T and F. So, in general, here
    is a description including IF and Only IF -


    The RANDOMIZED, controlled experiment gives the result that
    was hoped for
    IF the drug shows effect, (and)
    ONLY IF the no-drug group shows no effect (or, much smaller effect).

    If neither or both groups show effect, the experiment
    was an apparent failure to distinguish them, for whatever
    reason.

    If the no-drug group has the better effect, something is screwy
    about the expectations or the carrying out of the experiment.

    I think you know all that.


    Are there some other implications for the above similarity?

    Sorry, I don't imagine what you are driving at.

    --
    Rich Ulrich

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  • From David Duffy@21:1/5 to Rich Ulrich on Tue Jun 9 04:13:19 2020
    Rich Ulrich <rich.ulrich@comcast.net> wrote:
    On Mon, 8 Jun 2020 07:06:49 -0700 (PDT), Cosine <asecant@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    A controlled experiment is expressed as:
    The above looks like the logic relation: iff
    Are there some other implications for the above similarity?

    Sorry, I don't imagine what you are driving at.

    Cosine might like to read the books by Judea Pearl on causal inference,
    who says "I call the levels 1. Association, 2. Intervention, and 3. Counterfactual...At the Intervention layer, we deal with sentences of
    the type P(y|do(x), z) that denote ???The probability of event Y = y,
    given that we intervene and set the value of X to x and subsequently
    observe event Z = z. Such expressions can be estimated experimentally
    from randomized trials or analytically using causal Bayesian
    networks..." The Pearl type causal models can be reformulated as a "non-monotonic modal logic" eg https://www.aaai.org/ocs/index.php/AAAI/AAAI15/paper/viewFile/9686/9417

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