• Shuttle to the moon

    From JF Mezei@21:1/5 to All on Sun Nov 13 01:36:06 2022
    Catching up on "For all Mankind" (season 2, I am very late).

    They depict the shuttle as going to/from the moon. Forgetting
    landing/taking off on moon (and reality):

    If the payload pay had been filled with hydrazine tanks, could the OMSs
    have gotten the shuttle to a moon orbit and back?

    Easy with plenty of space left in payload bay?
    Close but no cigar?
    Not even close?

    Any issue with the OMS engines running long enought for TLI delta-V (and leaving moon orbit?) Or can all hydrazene engines run for short or long
    period?

    Would fuel needed to go from LEO to moon and back have exceeded the
    roughlty 15 tonnes payload max for takeoff?


    From a re-entry point of view at much higher speed, could tweating the insulation (tiles, RCC) make this possible (thicker tiles and
    carbon-carbon surfaces), or is this a "not even close" situation?

    And generic question: say payload bay has plenty of fuel: coming back to
    Earth, would retrograde firing of OMS to put Shuttle into speed its
    tiles could support end up costing roughly the same amount of fuel as
    the TLI to get to moon? much less? more ?


    If this is within realm of "possible", would it have costed less than
    SLS to go around the moon? (and perhaps of there is space in payload
    bay, drop off a LEM and bring it back).

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  • From Sylvia Else@21:1/5 to JF Mezei on Sun Nov 13 18:41:07 2022
    On 13/11/2022 5:36 pm, JF Mezei wrote:
    Catching up on "For all Mankind" (season 2, I am very late).

    They depict the shuttle as going to/from the moon. Forgetting
    landing/taking off on moon (and reality):

    If the payload pay had been filled with hydrazine tanks, could the OMSs
    have gotten the shuttle to a moon orbit and back?

    Easy with plenty of space left in payload bay?
    Close but no cigar?
    Not even close?

    Any issue with the OMS engines running long enought for TLI delta-V (and leaving moon orbit?) Or can all hydrazene engines run for short or long period?

    Would fuel needed to go from LEO to moon and back have exceeded the
    roughlty 15 tonnes payload max for takeoff?


    From a re-entry point of view at much higher speed, could tweating the insulation (tiles, RCC) make this possible (thicker tiles and
    carbon-carbon surfaces), or is this a "not even close" situation?

    And generic question: say payload bay has plenty of fuel: coming back to Earth, would retrograde firing of OMS to put Shuttle into speed its
    tiles could support end up costing roughly the same amount of fuel as
    the TLI to get to moon? much less? more ?


    If this is within realm of "possible", would it have costed less than
    SLS to go around the moon? (and perhaps of there is space in payload
    bay, drop off a LEM and bring it back).

    I'm pretty sure the shuttle orbiter could not survive a direct entry
    into the atmosphere from the moon. Not only would the thermal
    environment be too severe, but the mechanical stresses would likely
    exceed the limits of the structure. The Apollo missions pulled some
    serious gs on reentry, and the shuttle was never designed for that.

    The Wikipedia article for the Apollo missions indicate that the
    translunar injection required a delta-v of somewhat over 3km/s. If we
    assume that the shuttle were put onto a free return trajectory, and that
    on the return it needed to shed the same 3km/s of delta-v, then it would
    need 6km/s of delta-v.

    The Wikipedia article for the Shuttle's OMS system indicates that it
    used about 10 tonnes of propellant to achieve a 300m/s delta-v, for a 29
    tonne payload. We're talking about 20 times the delta-v, which even
    ignoring the propellant required to accelerate the propellant, is 200
    tonnes, or way above anything plausible. And note that this just takes
    you around the moon and back - you don't even get into lunar orbit.

    So, unless some gravity assist method can be found to get to the moon,
    the shuttle is not going there, and it's definitely not coming back intact.

    Sylvia.

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  • From Alain Fournier@21:1/5 to Sylvia Else on Sun Nov 13 08:09:28 2022
    On Nov/13/2022 at 02:41, Sylvia Else wrote :
    On 13/11/2022 5:36 pm, JF Mezei wrote:
    Catching up on "For all Mankind" (season 2, I am very late).

    They depict the shuttle as going to/from the moon.  Forgetting
    landing/taking off on moon (and reality):

    If the payload pay had been filled with hydrazine tanks, could the OMSs
    have gotten the shuttle to a moon orbit and back?

    Easy with plenty of space left in payload bay?
    Close but no cigar?
    Not even close?

    Any issue with the OMS engines running long enought for TLI delta-V (and
    leaving moon orbit?) Or can all hydrazene engines run for short or long
    period?

    Would fuel needed to go from LEO to moon and back have exceeded the
    roughlty 15 tonnes payload max for takeoff?


     From a re-entry point of view at much higher speed, could tweating the
    insulation (tiles, RCC) make this possible (thicker tiles and
    carbon-carbon surfaces), or is this a "not even close" situation?

    And generic question: say payload bay has plenty of fuel: coming back to
    Earth, would retrograde firing of OMS to put Shuttle into speed its
    tiles could support end up costing roughly the same amount of fuel as
    the TLI to get to moon? much less? more ?


    If this is within realm of "possible", would it have costed less than
    SLS to go around the moon? (and perhaps of there is space in payload
    bay, drop off a LEM and bring it back).

    I'm pretty sure the shuttle orbiter could not survive a direct entry
    into the atmosphere from the moon. Not only would the thermal
    environment be too severe, but the mechanical stresses would likely
    exceed the limits of the structure. The Apollo missions pulled some
    serious gs on reentry, and the shuttle was never designed for that.

    The Wikipedia article for the Apollo missions indicate that the
    translunar injection required a delta-v of somewhat over 3km/s. If we
    assume that the shuttle were put onto a free return trajectory, and that
    on the return it needed to shed the same 3km/s of delta-v, then it would
    need 6km/s of delta-v.

    The Wikipedia article for the Shuttle's OMS system indicates that it
    used about 10 tonnes of propellant to achieve a 300m/s delta-v, for a 29 tonne payload. We're talking about 20 times the delta-v, which even
    ignoring the propellant required to accelerate the propellant, is 200
    tonnes, or way above anything plausible. And note that this just takes
    you around the moon and back - you don't even get into lunar orbit.

    So, unless some gravity assist method can be found to get to the moon,
    the shuttle is not going there, and it's definitely not coming back intact.

    Sylvia.

    You wouldn't need to shed the 3 km/s of delta-v on the way back. You use aero-breaking, making multiple passes. So instead of having zero
    probability to make it to the Moon and back as Sylvia was saying your probability of doing it is double that ;-)


    Alain Fournier

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  • From Sylvia Else@21:1/5 to Alain Fournier on Mon Nov 14 08:30:28 2022
    On 14/11/2022 12:09 am, Alain Fournier wrote:
    On Nov/13/2022 at 02:41, Sylvia Else wrote :
    On 13/11/2022 5:36 pm, JF Mezei wrote:
    Catching up on "For all Mankind" (season 2, I am very late).

    They depict the shuttle as going to/from the moon.  Forgetting
    landing/taking off on moon (and reality):

    If the payload pay had been filled with hydrazine tanks, could the OMSs
    have gotten the shuttle to a moon orbit and back?

    Easy with plenty of space left in payload bay?
    Close but no cigar?
    Not even close?

    Any issue with the OMS engines running long enought for TLI delta-V (and >>> leaving moon orbit?) Or can all hydrazene engines run for short or long
    period?

    Would fuel needed to go from LEO to moon and back have exceeded the
    roughlty 15 tonnes payload max for takeoff?


     From a re-entry point of view at much higher speed, could tweating the >>> insulation (tiles, RCC) make this possible (thicker tiles and
    carbon-carbon surfaces), or is this a "not even close" situation?

    And generic question: say payload bay has plenty of fuel: coming back to >>> Earth, would retrograde firing of OMS to put Shuttle into speed its
    tiles could support end up costing roughly the same amount of fuel as
    the TLI to get to moon? much less? more ?


    If this is within realm of "possible", would it have costed less than
    SLS to go around the moon? (and perhaps of there is space in payload
    bay, drop off a LEM and bring it back).

    I'm pretty sure the shuttle orbiter could not survive a direct entry
    into the atmosphere from the moon. Not only would the thermal
    environment be too severe, but the mechanical stresses would likely
    exceed the limits of the structure. The Apollo missions pulled some
    serious gs on reentry, and the shuttle was never designed for that.

    The Wikipedia article for the Apollo missions indicate that the
    translunar injection required a delta-v of somewhat over 3km/s. If we
    assume that the shuttle were put onto a free return trajectory, and
    that on the return it needed to shed the same 3km/s of delta-v, then
    it would need 6km/s of delta-v.

    The Wikipedia article for the Shuttle's OMS system indicates that it
    used about 10 tonnes of propellant to achieve a 300m/s delta-v, for a
    29 tonne payload. We're talking about 20 times the delta-v, which even
    ignoring the propellant required to accelerate the propellant, is 200
    tonnes, or way above anything plausible. And note that this just takes
    you around the moon and back - you don't even get into lunar orbit.

    So, unless some gravity assist method can be found to get to the moon,
    the shuttle is not going there, and it's definitely not coming back
    intact.

    Sylvia.

    You wouldn't need to shed the 3 km/s of delta-v on the way back. You use aero-breaking, making multiple passes. So instead of having zero
    probability to make it to the Moon and back as Sylvia was saying your probability of doing it is double that ;-)


    Alain Fournier


    I think the problem with aerobraking is that there's a limit on how much
    energy it can shed on the first pass. So the question then, is where
    will it go? I suppose it won't leave the Earth-Moon system - probably.
    But it could then be in a highly elliptical orbit taking days for each
    pass. Perhaps with no limits on time in space it would be doable, but
    the shuttle did have such limits.

    So we're still on zero ;)

    Sylvia.

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  • From Alain Fournier@21:1/5 to Sylvia Else on Sun Nov 13 20:45:44 2022
    On Nov/13/2022 at 16:30, Sylvia Else wrote :
    On 14/11/2022 12:09 am, Alain Fournier wrote:

    You wouldn't need to shed the 3 km/s of delta-v on the way back. You
    use aero-breaking, making multiple passes. So instead of having zero
    probability to make it to the Moon and back as Sylvia was saying your
    probability of doing it is double that ;-)


    Alain Fournier


    I think the problem with aerobraking is that there's a limit on how much energy it can shed on the first pass. So the question then, is where
    will it go? I suppose it won't leave the Earth-Moon system - probably.
    But it could then be in a highly elliptical orbit taking days for each
    pass. Perhaps with no limits on time in space it would be doable, but
    the shuttle did have such limits.

    So we're still on zero ;)

    Sylvia.

    The Shuttle could stay in orbit for more than 2 weeks (the record is 17
    days for Columbia in 1996). Apollo 8 had a total mission time of 6 days
    and 3 hours, which included 10 lunar orbits totalling 20 h hours. So you
    have nearly 12 days for aerobraking. I don't see why you couldn't shed
    1.5 km/s per pass, so two passes before de-orbit should be enough. But admittedly, a more careful analysis should be done to evaluate how much
    delta-v can be loss on each pass. You might want to have a little extra
    time to fully cool down the Shuttle between your last aerobraking pass
    and your de-orbit. Still a few days between first touching the
    atmosphere and landing should be enough. You have plenty of time.

    There might be some other constraints. I don't know for sure that the
    Shuttle could open and close the Shuttle bay doors repeatedly on the
    same flight. I see no reason why it couldn't be done, but as far as I
    know, it was never done.

    So I maintain the probability of success of such a mission is a at least
    a full two times zero.


    Alain Fournier

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  • From Scott Kozel@21:1/5 to Sylvia Else on Sun Nov 13 20:19:01 2022
    On Sunday, November 13, 2022 at 2:41:10 AM UTC-5, Sylvia Else wrote:

    So, unless some gravity assist method can be found to get to the moon,
    the shuttle is not going there, and it's definitely not coming back intact.

    Unless it carried some kind of supplementary rocket that could do a TLI
    and also a EOI on return to Earth.

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  • From JF Mezei@21:1/5 to Sylvia Else on Mon Nov 14 00:23:49 2022
    On 2022-11-13 02:41, Sylvia Else wrote:

    I'm pretty sure the shuttle orbiter could not survive a direct entry
    into the atmosphere from the moon.

    I think this is a stated fact. It wasn't designed for that. The question
    is how close to it would it be if work was done to eother research
    re-entry protocol or beef up the tiles and RCC). This ia a problem Musk
    will gaev to deal with for his Starship shoudl it even become
    interplanetary.

    Again, consider how much was spent on SLS which might fly one day.


    The Wikipedia article for the Shuttle's OMS system indicates that it
    used about 10 tonnes of propellant to achieve a 300m/s delta-v, for a 29 tonne payload.

    But if that 29 tonnes of payload is fuel, this is different from a 29
    tonne static payload since you burn fuel and your acceleration at the
    end is far greater.

    Curious to see if NASA ever considered this when it was tasked to gosub
    the moon. Shuttle gets into lunar orbit, drops off or docks with LEM
    which then lands on moon and Shuttle then returns to earth.

    When you consider the inefficiencies of SLS AND Starship (huge chunk of
    steel to land a couple person on moon for weekend camping trip), it
    makes me wonder if Shuttle couldn't have been in the competition with
    some upgrades (consider that SSMEs got performance upgrades as part of conversion to RS25, so this could have been applied to the orbiters).


    They had a working vehicle with known eprformance and known
    components/engines, it sees to me it should have been faster and cheaper
    to upgrade it compared to building that SLS boondgle to nowhere. And as shuttles got upgraded (or new one built,) they could have been tested to
    ISS to continue to service it).

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  • From Sylvia Else@21:1/5 to JF Mezei on Mon Nov 14 18:05:38 2022
    On 14/11/2022 4:23 pm, JF Mezei wrote:

    They had a working vehicle with known eprformance and known components/engines, it sees to me it should have been faster and cheaper
    to upgrade it compared to building that SLS boondgle to nowhere. And as shuttles got upgraded (or new one built,) they could have been tested to
    ISS to continue to service it).

    I think what they'd realised about the shuttle was that it was hideously dangerous, and an absolute money pit. After Columbia had again shown
    that NASA management have no understanding of risk, I'm surprised anyone
    was willing to fly in it.

    As for the SLS, it might fly, but then so might pigs. I'm not holding my breath.

    Sylvia.

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  • From JF Mezei@21:1/5 to Sylvia Else on Mon Nov 14 05:14:24 2022
    On 2022-11-14 02:05, Sylvia Else wrote:

    I think what they'd realised about the shuttle was that it was hideously dangerous, and an absolute money pit.

    One needs to put political PR out of the equation when making real
    decisions. From an ISS point of view, Shuttle was killed without a
    viable replacement in line. Yes, it turned out that Falcon9/Dragon and
    Antares provide more efficient space truck/bus service to/from ISS but
    those came later.

    Consider the risk factor here since Boeing's Starliner hasn't exactly
    delivered on time.

    From the other missions, originally to Mars and now just camping trips
    to the moon, hindsight shows that trying to build a new rocket from the
    same ingredients ends up more complicated thought.

    Once the mission is reduced to bringing stuff to lunar orbit, this is
    why I wonder if it might have been simpler and faster to upgrade the
    shuttle.

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  • From David Spain@21:1/5 to All on Mon Nov 14 08:55:19 2022
    I'd love to see them shoehorn in the flight software for a pointless
    trip to the moon. Pointless because, 1) It ain't landing on the moon,
    and 2) it probably ain't carrying much cargo in lieu of fuel.

    Shuttle was purpose built for LEO operation only. In fact, as originally intended for military payloads, it acted primary as a reusable 2nd stage
    for the Centaur upper-stage. Which post-Challenger accident, never flew
    on Shuttle, but was adapted to the Titan IV.

    Waving the re-usability flag means little when the cost to refurbish per
    flight isn't better than or worse than an ELV. SpaceX got us off that
    curve thank goodness.

    Dave

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  • From Snidely@21:1/5 to All on Tue Nov 15 02:22:02 2022
    Lo, on the 11/12/2022, JF Mezei did proclaim ...

    And generic question: say payload bay has plenty of fuel: coming back to Earth, would retrograde firing of OMS to put Shuttle into speed its
    tiles could support end up costing roughly the same amount of fuel as
    the TLI to get to moon? much less? more ?

    First cut: the speed the shuttle's tile could support is orbital speed
    (17K etc). The TLI converts chemical energy into to kinetic energy
    which is then converted to potential energy by the path to the moon.
    Returning from the moon (free return, frex) converts that potential to
    kinetic energy; to return to orbital speed, you need the same delta-v
    as the TLI.

    /dps

    --
    You could try being nicer and politer
    instead, and see how that works out.
    -- Katy Jennison

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  • From Snidely@21:1/5 to All on Tue Nov 15 02:25:15 2022
    Just this Saturday, JF Mezei explained that ...
    Catching up on "For all Mankind" (season 2, I am very late).

    They depict the shuttle as going to/from the moon. Forgetting
    landing/taking off on moon (and reality):

    [..]
    If this is within realm of "possible", would it have costed less than
    SLS to go around the moon? (and perhaps of there is space in payload
    bay, drop off a LEM and bring it back).

    The changes you describe would require about as much redesign work as
    SLS; you'd essentially have a whole new shuttle except for the RS25s
    and the fragile tiles, and the shuttle would still be exposed to ice
    debris.

    /dps

    --
    I have always been glad we weren't killed that night. I do not know
    any particular reason, but I have always been glad.
    _Roughing It_, Mark Twain

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  • From JF Mezei@21:1/5 to Snidely on Wed Nov 16 02:44:03 2022
    On 2022-11-15 05:22, Snidely wrote:

    Returning from the moon (free return, frex) converts that potential to kinetic energy; to return to orbital speed, you need the same delta-v
    as the TLI.

    Thanks.

    Shuttle's max tested altitude in orbit was Hubble, right? Was this
    above the maximum designed specs for the tile system requiring greater
    OMS de-orbit burn to bring the shuttle in line with design capability of
    tiles? or was Shuttle designed to be able to re-enter from higher orbit ?

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  • From JF Mezei@21:1/5 to Snidely on Wed Nov 16 02:54:25 2022
    On 2022-11-15 05:25, Snidely wrote:

    The changes you describe would require about as much redesign work as
    SLS; you'd essentially have a whole new shuttle except for the RS25s
    and the fragile tiles, and the shuttle would still be exposed to ice
    debris.


    both Boeing and Airbus make iterative improvements to their aircraft
    (called derivatives). (the MAX fiasco was due to regulatory issues that
    pushed Boeing to keep the new 737 cockpit behaving as the original 1967
    one to keep commonality and hence not add new warnings, buttons etc).

    NASA aklready had the plans to go with electric APU instead of hydrazine
    APUs. Had already converted cockpit to glass cockpit. And early on made
    major modifications to heat shield system by using blakets for top
    portion. The Shuttle wasn't as static as it seemed.


    So a modified Shuttle woudln't need a total redesign as happened with
    SLS for 12st stage, 2nd stage and service module and Orion.

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  • From JF Mezei@21:1/5 to David Spain on Wed Nov 16 02:39:19 2022
    On 2022-11-14 08:55, David Spain wrote:
    I'd love to see them shoehorn in the flight software for a pointless
    trip to the moon. Pointless because, 1) It ain't landing on the moon,
    and 2) it probably ain't carrying much cargo in lieu of fuel.

    SLS is also pointless saince they will need to launch a big heavy
    Starship to land on moon.


    Shuttle was purpose built for LEO operation only.

    Ny curiosity pertains to converting the Shuttle to act as a shuttle
    between earth and moon orbit. And only after seeing the massive costs/boondoggle of Constellation/SLS.

    Waving the re-usability flag means little when the cost to refurbish per flight isn't better than or worse than an ELV.

    But one isn't comparing against private enterprise, one is comparing
    against SLS where costs are far greater per flight. And the disposable SSMEs/RS25 won't be cheap.


    SpaceX got us off that
    curve thank goodness.

    SpaceX was not a player at the time decisions for SLS were made. And it
    still isn't. As I post this, all Musk has achieved is 1 successful hop
    of something in the shape of starship. (and earlier, succesful hop of
    something unlike Starship).

    Considering the way he is managing Twitter, I have concerns that the
    whole starship project may be a Spruce Goose. once FAA told Musk that
    he can't keep exploding rockets over Texas willy-nilly, that whole
    iterative testing thing went out. Once Musk realised the cost of
    building the launch tower, he realised that he can't afford to blow up
    rockets at the pad anymore. And it remains to be seen if the
    revolutioanry approach to landing will work again, consider the cost of
    the tower should a landing fail.

    While it looked lie Starship would fly well before SLS, tonight, that
    didn't happen and it remains to be seen when it will fly. I know people
    say first starship orbital flight is imminent. But it has been imminent
    for how many years now?

    For a lunar lander sharship to work, it will need to be refueled in
    lunar orbit. That means a Starship shuttle that bring in fuel and
    returns to Earth, so Musk has to deal/develop a proper heat shield for
    re-entry from moon.

    Has Musk given details of habitable volume on the lunar lander version
    of Starship? ECLSS that works in 0G as well as lunar gravity? toilets
    that work in 0-g as well as lunar gravity?

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  • From Snidely@21:1/5 to All on Wed Nov 16 00:54:51 2022
    JF Mezei formulated the question :
    On 2022-11-15 05:25, Snidely wrote:

    The changes you describe would require about as much redesign work as
    SLS; you'd essentially have a whole new shuttle except for the RS25s
    and the fragile tiles, and the shuttle would still be exposed to ice
    debris.


    both Boeing and Airbus make iterative improvements to their aircraft
    (called derivatives). (the MAX fiasco was due to regulatory issues that pushed Boeing to keep the new 737 cockpit behaving as the original 1967
    one to keep commonality and hence not add new warnings, buttons etc).

    NASA aklready had the plans to go with electric APU instead of hydrazine APUs. Had already converted cockpit to glass cockpit. And early on made
    major modifications to heat shield system by using blakets for top
    portion. The Shuttle wasn't as static as it seemed.


    So a modified Shuttle woudln't need a total redesign as happened with
    SLS for 12st stage, 2nd stage and service module and Orion.

    Those changes were peanuts compared to what you've suggested be done to
    reach lunar orbit.

    /dps

    --
    Yes, I have had a cucumber soda. Why do you ask?

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  • From Niklas Holsti@21:1/5 to JF Mezei on Wed Nov 16 12:48:55 2022
    On 2022-11-16 9:54, JF Mezei wrote:
    On 2022-11-15 05:25, Snidely wrote:

    The changes you describe would require about as much redesign work as
    SLS; you'd essentially have a whole new shuttle except for the RS25s
    and the fragile tiles, and the shuttle would still be exposed to ice
    debris.


    both Boeing and Airbus make iterative improvements to their aircraft
    (called derivatives). (the MAX fiasco was due to regulatory issues that pushed Boeing to keep the new 737 cockpit behaving as the original 1967
    one to keep commonality and hence not add new warnings, buttons etc).


    Off topic, but that is IMO a mis-characterization of the causes for the
    Boeing 737 MAX failures, almost clearing Boeing of wrong-doing.

    AIUI, the root cause was Boeing's marketing promise to prospective
    customers that 737 pilots would not need much retraining to fly 737 MAX.
    That led Boeing to hide the existence of the MCAS SW in the flight
    manuals. Reneging on that promise would have cost Boeing money. But that
    does not make Boeing blameless for hiding the true nature and
    criticality of the MCAS SW from the FAA, nor for implementing such failure-prone life-critical SW. Those are symbols of the corruption and
    decay of the safety practices at Boeing.

    In fact, the MCAS SW was needed only to compensate for the flight
    problems caused by the "incremental improvements" (larger engines) in
    the 737 MAX. (You can argue that those flight problems were trivial and
    only violated some nit-picking FAA regulations, but them's the rules.) A
    larger redesign would have obviated the need for MCAS, but would have
    been more expensive and taken longer, reducing Boeing's revenues, as
    well as making it impossible for Boeing to keep its marketing promise.

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  • From David Spain@21:1/5 to JF Mezei on Thu Nov 17 08:30:27 2022
    On 2022-11-16 2:39 AM, JF Mezei wrote:
    On 2022-11-14 08:55, David Spain wrote:
    I'd love to see them shoehorn in the flight software for a pointless
    trip to the moon. Pointless because, 1) It ain't landing on the moon,
    and 2) it probably ain't carrying much cargo in lieu of fuel.

    SLS is also pointless saince they will need to launch a big heavy
    Starship to land on moon.


    Shuttle was purpose built for LEO operation only.

    Ny curiosity pertains to converting the Shuttle to act as a shuttle
    between earth and moon orbit. And only after seeing the massive costs/boondoggle of Constellation/SLS.
    SLS/Orion *is* primarily that conversion. Not happy with that?

    Waving the re-usability flag means little when the cost to refurbish per
    flight isn't better than or worse than an ELV.

    But one isn't comparing against private enterprise, one is comparing
    against SLS where costs are far greater per flight. And the disposable SSMEs/RS25 won't be cheap.

    Your point?

    SpaceX got us off that
    curve thank goodness.

    SpaceX was not a player at the time decisions for SLS were made. And it
    still isn't. As I post this, all Musk has achieved is 1 successful hop
    of something in the shape of starship. (and earlier, succesful hop of something unlike Starship).


    And it still isn't? Seriously? The points you miss by this statement are
    too numerous to bother rebutting. Suggest you read up a bit on what
    SpaceX is actually doing in Boca Chica.

    Considering the way he is managing Twitter, I have concerns that the
    whole starship project may be a Spruce Goose. once FAA told Musk that
    he can't keep exploding rockets over Texas willy-nilly, that whole
    iterative testing thing went out. Once Musk realised the cost of
    building the launch tower, he realised that he can't afford to blow up rockets at the pad anymore. And it remains to be seen if the
    revolutioanry approach to landing will work again, consider the cost of
    the tower should a landing fail.

    You are joking right? Am I supposed to take you seriously? You do know
    he is building another one at the Cape as I write this? It's steel. It's
    known how to do. Take a look at the NYC skyline sometime.

    While it looked lie Starship would fly well before SLS, tonight, that
    didn't happen and it remains to be seen when it will fly. I know people
    say first starship orbital flight is imminent. But it has been imminent
    for how many years now?

    Only imminent next year or possibly end of this year. But I think most
    people accept that it might be early next year. Testing proceeds apace.
    SpaceX successfully completed a full thrust test on 14 engines just last
    week. 19 to go. Sounds iterative to me.

    For a lunar lander sharship to work, it will need to be refueled in
    lunar orbit. That means a Starship shuttle that bring in fuel and
    returns to Earth, so Musk has to deal/develop a proper heat shield for re-entry from moon.

    No it doesn't. To me, the most non-nonsensical proposal as I understand
    it is to place tankers at both LEO and LLO (Low Lunar Orbit). The LLO
    one is basically a holding tank. Artemis Starship would deliver its TEI
    fuel to it so it does not have to land and lift that mass on/from the
    lunar surface. The LEO tanker to be refueled from tanker Starships
    designed for fuel transfer that do have heat shields for return to Earth
    from LEO only.

    The current proposal is for Starship to ferry between the lunar surface
    and the toll-both in NRHO, acting as both the tanker and docking port
    with arrival and return from the toll-booth on the SLS/Orion capsule.

    But an alternate proposal has the Artemis Starship as a ferry going
    directly between LEO and the Lunar Surface. It does not return to
    Earth's surface. Did you ever see the movie 2001: A Space Odyssey?

    The alternative proposal would eliminate SLS/Orion all together and
    launch crew into LEO on Falcon-9/Crew-Dragon for transfer to the
    Starship derivative Artemis lander in LEO at the LEO tanker for TLI.
    Followed by TEI fuel dump to the LLO tanker, then a descent and landing
    on the moon. Return to LLO, refuel at the tanker with the TEI fuel and
    return to LEO tanker for refueling and crew transfer back to the Crew
    Dragon for return to Earth.

    Has Musk given details of habitable volume on the lunar lander version
    of Starship? ECLSS that works in 0G as well as lunar gravity? toilets
    that work in 0-g as well as lunar gravity?

    No, but Artemis is very early in the design cycle. How about this
    concept; place Dragon Crew Capsule inside the Starship pretty much as is
    minus the unneeded trunk? You could even keep the heat shield on the
    Dragon if the Artemis is able to slow into LEO first as an emergency
    escape plan.

    There is a lot of work to be done. What we have now is an expensive non-reusable rocket that can launch once a year at best. And that's all
    we have. NASA is *depending* upon SpaceX to deliver a lunar lander. We
    don't even have a working lunar spacesuit.

    Dave

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  • From Sylvia Else@21:1/5 to Sylvia Else on Fri Nov 18 10:47:39 2022
    On 14/11/2022 6:05 pm, Sylvia Else wrote:

    As for the SLS, it might fly, but then so might pigs. I'm not holding my breath.

    So they launch it successfully the next day. NASA should admit it - they
    just did it to spite me.

    Sylvia.

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