• Facon 9 crashes on Moon ?

    From JF Mezei@21:1/5 to All on Thu Jan 27 16:05:17 2022
    BBC reports a Falcon 9 launched on 2015 is abourt to crash on the moon.

    https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-60148543

    Mentions it didn't have enough fuel to return to Earth and got caught in various gravitational pulls to end up on Moon.

    If we are discussing Falcon 9 as the first stage (the only thing that
    normally returns), it is capable of reaching orbital speeds or is it
    doomed to be slowed down by thin atmosphere and renter Earth one way or another?

    or is the BBC confused and they are talking about a second stage?


    And from a "crash into the Moon" aspect would there be an actual
    explision due to content of tanks, or just the explosion of some mass
    going really fast hitting the ground? After over 6 years, would there
    be enough fuel and O2 left in the tanks to explode?

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  • From Niklas Holsti@21:1/5 to JF Mezei on Fri Jan 28 01:18:46 2022
    On 2022-01-27 23:05, JF Mezei wrote:

    BBC reports a Falcon 9 launched on 2015 is abourt to crash on the moon.

    https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-60148543

    Mentions it didn't have enough fuel to return to Earth and got caught in various gravitational pulls to end up on Moon.

    If we are discussing Falcon 9 as the first stage (the only thing that normally returns), it is capable of reaching orbital speeds or is it
    doomed to be slowed down by thin atmosphere and renter Earth one way or another?

    or is the BBC confused and they are talking about a second stage?


    It is the second stage, of course. But it is still a part of the "Falcon
    9 launcher". BBC says "The Falcon 9 booster", which is misleading. I
    suppose I am reading the same article as you (https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-60148543).


    And from a "crash into the Moon" aspect would there be an actual
    explision due to content of tanks, or just the explosion of some mass
    going really fast hitting the ground? After over 6 years, would there
    be enough fuel and O2 left in the tanks to explode?


    Often such left-over stages are passivated by letting the propellants
    out into space. I don't know if that was done for this stage, but one of
    the sources quoted by BBC (prof. McDowell) describes it as "basically a four-tonne empty metal tank", so it may have been passivated.

    Most of the remaining O2 must have been let out to avoid overpressuring
    the LOX tank as the left-over LOX boiled. So with little O2, even if
    there is some RP1 left, the explosion, if any, will be minor.

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  • From Snidely@21:1/5 to All on Fri Jan 28 17:47:17 2022
    Niklas Holsti is guilty of <j5gninFkq2oU1@mid.individual.net> as of
    1/27/2022 3:18:46 PM
    On 2022-01-27 23:05, JF Mezei wrote:

    BBC reports a Falcon 9 launched on 2015 is abourt to crash on the moon.

    https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-60148543

    Mentions it didn't have enough fuel to return to Earth and got caught in
    various gravitational pulls to end up on Moon.

    If we are discussing Falcon 9 as the first stage (the only thing that
    normally returns), it is capable of reaching orbital speeds or is it
    doomed to be slowed down by thin atmosphere and renter Earth one way or
    another?

    or is the BBC confused and they are talking about a second stage?


    It is the second stage, of course. But it is still a part of the "Falcon 9 launcher". BBC says "The Falcon 9 booster", which is misleading. I suppose I am reading the same article as you (https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-60148543).


    And from a "crash into the Moon" aspect would there be an actual
    explision due to content of tanks, or just the explosion of some mass
    going really fast hitting the ground? After over 6 years, would there
    be enough fuel and O2 left in the tanks to explode?


    Often such left-over stages are passivated by letting the propellants out into space. I don't know if that was done for this stage, but one of the sources quoted by BBC (prof. McDowell) describes it as "basically a four-tonne empty metal tank", so it may have been passivated.

    Most of the remaining O2 must have been let out to avoid overpressuring the LOX tank as the left-over LOX boiled. So with little O2, even if there is some RP1 left, the explosion, if any, will be minor.

    Scott Manley has advised me that this stage was from the DSCOVR
    mission, which is interesting timing ... DSCOVR is at L1 for sun
    observations (and little blue pearl monitoring), so we're still getting
    news about getting to Lagrangian points.

    <URL:https://www.nesdis.noaa.gov/current-satellite-missions/currently-flying/dscovr-deep-space-climate-observatory>

    /dps

    --
    Yes, I have had a cucumber soda. Why do you ask?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Snidely@21:1/5 to All on Fri Jan 28 18:27:27 2022
    Snidely speculated:
    Niklas Holsti is guilty of <j5gninFkq2oU1@mid.individual.net> as of 1/27/2022 3:18:46 PM
    On 2022-01-27 23:05, JF Mezei wrote:

    BBC reports a Falcon 9 launched on 2015 is abourt to crash on the moon.

    https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-60148543

    Mentions it didn't have enough fuel to return to Earth and got caught in >>> various gravitational pulls to end up on Moon.

    If we are discussing Falcon 9 as the first stage (the only thing that
    normally returns), it is capable of reaching orbital speeds or is it
    doomed to be slowed down by thin atmosphere and renter Earth one way or
    another?

    or is the BBC confused and they are talking about a second stage?


    It is the second stage, of course. But it is still a part of the "Falcon 9 >> launcher". BBC says "The Falcon 9 booster", which is misleading. I suppose >> I am reading the same article as you
    (https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-60148543).


    And from a "crash into the Moon" aspect would there be an actual
    explision due to content of tanks, or just the explosion of some mass
    going really fast hitting the ground? After over 6 years, would there
    be enough fuel and O2 left in the tanks to explode?


    Often such left-over stages are passivated by letting the propellants out
    into space. I don't know if that was done for this stage, but one of the
    sources quoted by BBC (prof. McDowell) describes it as "basically a
    four-tonne empty metal tank", so it may have been passivated.

    Most of the remaining O2 must have been let out to avoid overpressuring the >> LOX tank as the left-over LOX boiled. So with little O2, even if there is
    some RP1 left, the explosion, if any, will be minor.

    Scott Manley has advised me that this stage was from the DSCOVR mission, which is interesting timing ... DSCOVR is at L1 for sun observations (and little blue pearl monitoring), so we're still getting news about getting to Lagrangian points.

    <URL:https://www.nesdis.noaa.gov/current-satellite-missions/currently-flying/dscovr-deep-space-climate-observatory>

    And of course, the Ars Technica article where I overlooked the L1
    connection on first reading.

    <URL:https://arstechnica.com/science/2022/01/an-old-falcon-9-rocket-may-strike-the-moon-within-weeks/>

    /dps

    --
    And the Raiders and the Broncos have life now in the West. I thought
    they were both nearly dead if not quite really most sincerely dead. --
    Mike Salfino, fivethirtyeight.com

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