XPost: alt.global-warming

8 days into the month and the initial read on global SST shows the
potential new La Nina is not knocking the sea surface temps back by
much. A normal La Nina cools the world a mighty .05C from where it
would have been in neutral conditions; an El Nino warms it by the same
amount. But we're continuing to see La Nina's in the 21st century
regularly warmer than the warmest El Ninos of the 20th Cent.

This plot shows it all: <kymhorsell.com/ONI.gif>

The warmest El Ninos -- about every 15y -- are steadily getting warmer
(they are easy to spot by eye because they run along the top part of
the plot). The biggest La Ninas every approx 15 y and running near
the bottom of the plot also show a warming trend. Big surprise
eventually the smaller La Ninas start to beat the average El Nino and
as we get further into the 21st cent even the biggest 20th cent El
Nino of 1998.

date GMT avg SST deg C rel Hadley baseline
14sep2021 0.567924
15sep2021 0.570054
16sep2021 0.568304
17sep2021 0.567531
18sep2021 0.565583
19sep2021 0.568639
20sep2021 0.567063
21sep2021 0.57047
22sep2021 0.571208
23sep2021 0.556546
24sep2021 0.550125
25sep2021 0.544806
26sep2021 0.543852
27sep2021 0.540706
28sep2021 0.542858
29sep2021 0.549248
30sep2021 0.546805
01oct2021 0.541852
02oct2021 0.537878
03oct2021 0.535834
04oct2021 0.538192
05oct2021 0.537264
06oct2021 0.541069
07oct2021 0.549387
08oct2021 0.547855

avg last 2 wks: 0.544021
avg last 4 wks: 0.559436



Top 10 warmest Octs according to Hadley SST:

Year Avg Oct SST deg C rel ~1980s
2015 0.6990
2019 0.6150
2016 0.6010
<-- 2021: ~.56C new #4?
2018 0.5570
2014 0.5280
2020 0.5080
2017 0.4870
1997 0.4680
2003 0.4480
2012 0.4370

--
BREAKING (9 Oct): The Business Council of Australia has reversed its
position on bigger climate pledges. In the 80s and 90s it said
fighting climate change was "an economy wrecker" and refused to back
measures such as the Gillard govt's carbon tax. Now it says Australia
should pledge to net 0 by 2050 and up its ambitions on a range of
other measures because it makes economic sense.

BREAKING (9 Oct): Passengers on 6 Virgin flights to/from Melbourne
Airport have been warned to isolate and get tested after Delta cases
were confirmed on the aircraft.

BREAKING (9 Oct): NSW has recorded another 11 deaths from covid over
the past 24 hrs.
[Later reports say 4 of the dead had been fully vaccinated and another
3 had 1 jab].

["Keeping People Safe":]
BREAKING (9 Oct). NSW had recorded another 580 cases of Delta in the
past 24 hrs. In a growing trend, deaths have not been reported.
There are more than 800 people in hospital with the disease and almost
200 in intensive care.
[In a press conf the new Premier kept arguing his changes to "the
roadmap", that will see NSW open up on Mon, are "small" and "modest". Unfortunately, with chaotic systems the response of the system to even
small changes can be dis-proportionate. The experts are worrying with
10+ people a day dying from Delta -- a significant fraction of them
fully vaccinated and a larger fraction partially vaccinated -- plans
to allow dozens of people to congregate in restaurants is too soon and
even conservative newspapers are asking what is wrong with Prem Perrottet].

High-stakes gamble as a new premier stamps his authority
The Australian, 08 Oct 2021 12:49Z
Heads are still spinning after the abrupt resignation of Gladys Berejiklian
as Liberal premier of NSW a week ago.

Questions over 'unclear' roadmap infrastructure amid fears of
'catastrophic' COVID-19 outbreak
9News, ABC News, 08 Oct 2021 22:36Z

Australia COVID LIVE updates: COVID-19 cases continue to grow across
the nation as states and territories inch towards vaccination targets
Sydney Morning Herald, 08 Oct 2021 23:08Z

Warning as NEW DELTA strain detected ahead of `exciting time' for NSW
7NEWS, 08 Oct 2021 03:37Z

[Moon pidgeons have put on some weight in the past 50y!]
`Death Star' UFO spotted flying at `high speed' across surface of the moon sending alien conspiracy theorists wild
Irish Sun, 08 Oct 2021 09:34Z
A "DEATH Star" UFO craft was allegedly spotted flying at high speed across
the surface of the moon, sending alien conspiracy ...

[New AUS record!]
BREAKING (9 Ict): Vic has recorded another 1965 covid cases and 5
deaths in the past 24 hrs. The health system is increasingly under
strain. Unfortunately, modeling shows the peak is still weeks off.

Qantas confirms Darwin as new transit hub for direct Australia-London flights ABC News, 08 Oct 2021 10:38Z
Qantas confirms it will operate its flagship direct Australia-to-London
route via Darwin when international flights resume next month.

California fires may have killed 100s of giant sequoias
NPR, 08 Oct 2021 14:22Z

Lincoln-Lancaster Health reports first West Nile death of season
KETV Omaha, 08 Oct 2021 16:50Z
[2 men in 80s die from West Nile in El Paso].

CDC director defends overruling expert panel on booster shots
STAT, 08 Oct 2021 0:21Z

[POexit!]
Poland's defiance of EU law raises concern over a possible exit
CNBC, 08 Oct 2021 11:22Z

China warns US following reports Marines are training Taiwanese forces
Yahoo News, 08 Oct 2021 16:22Z

As heat waves intensify, AC can mean life or death
Los Angeles Times, 06 Oct 2021

An Expert on the Criminal Mind, Now He's Suspected in California Arson Spree The New York Times, 08 Oct 2021 16:22Z

World leaders reach landmark deal on a global corporate tax rate
CNBC30 minutes ago

Farmers say they'll stick with homegrown Roundup advice as Bayer wins US
court case
ABC Rural, 08 Oct 2021 08:04Z
Australian farmers say a decision by a US court in favour of Roundup maker Bayer has no bearing on their use of the weedkiller.

Bayer Wins 1st Roundup Jury Judgment in Case of Child's Cancer
Krishi Jagran, 07 Oct 2021 14:26Z
In a California case involving a kid whose non-Hodgkin's Lymphoma was blamed
on the Bayer AG's weed killer, Roundup the Company won its first trial,...

Sailors on US nuclear sub injured after collision in South China Sea
ABC News, 08 Oct 2021 04:21Z
The United States Navy says the submarine's nuclear propulsion system was
not damaged in the incident.

Victoria's new $500m property scheme will see the govt own part of homes
ABC News, 08 Oct 2021 05:19Z
The Victorian Homebuyer Fund is expected to help about 3,000 people get into the property market, with the govt getting up to a 25 per cent stake
in the home.

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