XPost: alt.global-warming
The NHC has announced Nicolas has formed in the W Gulf. As expected
for more than a week it will remain a TS with windspeeds peaking upto
65 kt at landfall ~7am Tue on the central TX coast. But it will
deliver rainfall and a storm surge to most of the coast from the
Mexico to LA borders as it parallels the coast.
<
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT14/refresh/AL142021_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/174537_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png>
Peak surge is 2-4 ft:
<
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT14/refresh/AL142021_peak_surge+png/174537_peak_surge.png>
Rainfall along the coast is expected to be upto 15" around Houston
with upto 10" as far as upto Lk Charles and downto Brownsville.
<
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT14/refresh/AL1421WPCQPF+gif/174537WPCQPF_sm.gif>
With these levels of rainfall there are flash flood alerts upto Mississippi:
<
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT14/refresh/AL1421WPCERO+gif/174537WPCERO_sm.gif>
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Upcoming events:
8 Oct NOAA Billion-Dollar Disasters Q3 update
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