• Challenger

    From john larkin@21:1/5 to All on Sat Jun 8 19:42:08 2024
    https://www.amazon.com/Challenger-Story-Heroism-Disaster-Space/dp/198217661X

    This is a very well researched and written book, and a sad, ghastly
    story.

    It reminds me that humans have no purpose in space but to die.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Jeff Layman@21:1/5 to john larkin on Sun Jun 9 08:21:52 2024
    On 09/06/2024 03:42, john larkin wrote:
    https://www.amazon.com/Challenger-Story-Heroism-Disaster-Space/dp/198217661X

    This is a very well researched and written book, and a sad, ghastly
    story.

    It reminds me that humans have no purpose in space but to die.

    That's a very jaundiced and negative view. Firstly, they weren't in
    space when they died; they were at 46000 feet, which was below the
    operational height of Concorde.

    On that subject, the only fatal crash of Concorde took place just after take-off almost 25 years after it started service. By your criterion, supersonic flight would have been blamed for the crash, and its purpose
    deemed unnecessary, even though the accident had nothing to do with
    supersonic flight, or perhaps even flight itself. Those Wright Brothers
    have a lot to answer for!

    It is human nature to explore, even at the extremes. Where would America
    be if it wasn't for the Vikings, Columbus, and others like them?

    --
    Jeff

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Nick Hayward@21:1/5 to Jeff Layman on Sun Jun 9 10:17:24 2024
    On Sun, 9 Jun 2024 08:21:52 +0100, Jeff Layman wrote:

    On 09/06/2024 03:42, john larkin wrote:
    https://www.amazon.com/Challenger-Story-Heroism-Disaster-Space/dp/ 198217661X

    This is a very well researched and written book, and a sad, ghastly
    story.

    It reminds me that humans have no purpose in space but to die.

    That's a very jaundiced and negative view. Firstly, they weren't in
    space when they died; they were at 46000 feet, which was below the operational height of Concorde.

    On that subject, the only fatal crash of Concorde took place just after take-off almost 25 years after it started service. By your criterion, supersonic flight would have been blamed for the crash, and its purpose deemed unnecessary, even though the accident had nothing to do with supersonic flight, or perhaps even flight itself. Those Wright Brothers
    have a lot to answer for!

    It is human nature to explore, even at the extremes. Where would America
    be if it wasn't for the Vikings, Columbus, and others like them?

    Hey - don't forget the Africans.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Bill Sloman@21:1/5 to john larkin on Sun Jun 9 21:22:00 2024
    On 9/06/2024 12:42 pm, john larkin wrote:
    https://www.amazon.com/Challenger-Story-Heroism-Disaster-Space/dp/198217661X

    This is a very well researched and written book, and a sad, ghastly
    story.

    It reminds me that humans have no purpose in space but to die.

    None that John Larkin can understand.

    His mud-skipper ancestor couldn't see the point of exploring the area
    beyond his local mud-flats either.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney


    --
    This email has been checked for viruses by Norton antivirus software. www.norton.com

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Phil Hobbs@21:1/5 to john larkin on Sun Jun 9 13:28:58 2024
    john larkin <jl@650pot.com> wrote:
    https://www.amazon.com/Challenger-Story-Heroism-Disaster-Space/dp/198217661X

    This is a very well researched and written book, and a sad, ghastly
    story.

    It reminds me that humans have no purpose in space but to die.




    Of course most folks here don’t really think that we have any purpose here either.

    Cheers

    Phil Hobbs

    --
    Dr Philip C D Hobbs Principal Consultant ElectroOptical Innovations LLC / Hobbs ElectroOptics Optics, Electro-optics, Photonics, Analog Electronics

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From john larkin@21:1/5 to All on Sun Jun 9 08:08:26 2024
    On Sun, 9 Jun 2024 08:21:52 +0100, Jeff Layman <Jeff@invalid.invalid>
    wrote:

    On 09/06/2024 03:42, john larkin wrote:
    https://www.amazon.com/Challenger-Story-Heroism-Disaster-Space/dp/198217661X >>
    This is a very well researched and written book, and a sad, ghastly
    story.

    It reminds me that humans have no purpose in space but to die.

    That's a very jaundiced and negative view. Firstly, they weren't in
    space when they died; they were at 46000 feet, which was below the >operational height of Concorde.

    Dead is dead. Optimistically, they died instantly but probably not.



    On that subject, the only fatal crash of Concorde took place just after >take-off almost 25 years after it started service. By your criterion, >supersonic flight would have been blamed for the crash, and its purpose >deemed unnecessary, even though the accident had nothing to do with >supersonic flight, or perhaps even flight itself. Those Wright Brothers
    have a lot to answer for!

    It is human nature to explore, even at the extremes. Where would America
    be if it wasn't for the Vikings, Columbus, and others like them?

    What is there to "explore", sealed in a metal can with a few
    portholes?

    Robots are better "explorers" of "outer space" than people. Nobody
    much cares when they die.

    Read the book.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From john larkin@21:1/5 to pcdhSpamMeSenseless@electrooptical. on Sun Jun 9 08:17:12 2024
    On Sun, 9 Jun 2024 13:28:58 -0000 (UTC), Phil Hobbs <pcdhSpamMeSenseless@electrooptical.net> wrote:

    john larkin <jl@650pot.com> wrote:
    https://www.amazon.com/Challenger-Story-Heroism-Disaster-Space/dp/198217661X >>
    This is a very well researched and written book, and a sad, ghastly
    story.

    It reminds me that humans have no purpose in space but to die.




    Of course most folks here don’t really think that we have any purpose here >either.

    Cheers

    Phil Hobbs

    Whatever our purpose, killing astronauts probably doesn't help.

    Spending hundreds of billions on spam-in-a-can is a waste of resources
    that could truly help.

    The book is fascinating. The fatheads that decided to launch cared
    about power, money, and politics. The investigations after the
    disaster, the same. A few very brave engineers runined their careers
    to literally shout the truth. And Richard Feynman, who knew he was
    dying of cancer.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Cursitor Doom@21:1/5 to john larkin on Sun Jun 9 16:31:58 2024
    On Sun, 09 Jun 2024 08:17:12 -0700, john larkin wrote:

    On Sun, 9 Jun 2024 13:28:58 -0000 (UTC), Phil Hobbs <pcdhSpamMeSenseless@electrooptical.net> wrote:

    john larkin <jl@650pot.com> wrote:
    https://www.amazon.com/Challenger-Story-Heroism-Disaster-Space/dp/ 198217661X

    This is a very well researched and written book, and a sad, ghastly
    story.

    It reminds me that humans have no purpose in space but to die.




    Of course most folks here donÂ’t really think that we have any purpose
    here either.

    Cheers

    Phil Hobbs

    Whatever our purpose, killing astronauts probably doesn't help.

    Spending hundreds of billions on spam-in-a-can is a waste of resources
    that could truly help.

    The book is fascinating. The fatheads that decided to launch cared about power, money, and politics. The investigations after the disaster, the
    same. A few very brave engineers runined their careers to literally
    shout the truth. And Richard Feynman, who knew he was dying of cancer.

    What did the venerable Feynman have to do with this?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Phil Hobbs@21:1/5 to john larkin on Sun Jun 9 17:05:06 2024
    john larkin <jl@650pot.com> wrote:
    On Sun, 9 Jun 2024 13:28:58 -0000 (UTC), Phil Hobbs <pcdhSpamMeSenseless@electrooptical.net> wrote:

    john larkin <jl@650pot.com> wrote:
    https://www.amazon.com/Challenger-Story-Heroism-Disaster-Space/dp/198217661X

    This is a very well researched and written book, and a sad, ghastly
    story.

    It reminds me that humans have no purpose in space but to die.




    Of course most folks here donÂ’t really think that we have any purpose here >> either.

    Cheers

    Phil Hobbs

    Whatever our purpose, killing astronauts probably doesn't help.

    Spending hundreds of billions on spam-in-a-can is a waste of resources
    that could truly help.

    The book is fascinating. The fatheads that decided to launch cared
    about power, money, and politics. The investigations after the
    disaster, the same. A few very brave engineers runined their careers
    to literally shout the truth. And Richard Feynman, who knew he was
    dying of cancer.



    Sounds like an expanded rehash of the presidential commission report. For
    the other side of the story, I highly recommend Diane Vaughan’s “The Challenger Launch Decision”.

    Cheers

    Phil Hobbs

    --
    Dr Philip C D Hobbs Principal Consultant ElectroOptical Innovations LLC / Hobbs ElectroOptics Optics, Electro-optics, Photonics, Analog Electronics

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From john larkin@21:1/5 to cd999666@notformail.com on Sun Jun 9 10:09:23 2024
    On Sun, 9 Jun 2024 16:31:58 -0000 (UTC), Cursitor Doom <cd999666@notformail.com> wrote:

    On Sun, 09 Jun 2024 08:17:12 -0700, john larkin wrote:

    On Sun, 9 Jun 2024 13:28:58 -0000 (UTC), Phil Hobbs
    <pcdhSpamMeSenseless@electrooptical.net> wrote:

    john larkin <jl@650pot.com> wrote:
    https://www.amazon.com/Challenger-Story-Heroism-Disaster-Space/dp/ >198217661X

    This is a very well researched and written book, and a sad, ghastly
    story.

    It reminds me that humans have no purpose in space but to die.




    Of course most folks here don?t really think that we have any purpose >>>here either.

    Cheers

    Phil Hobbs

    Whatever our purpose, killing astronauts probably doesn't help.

    Spending hundreds of billions on spam-in-a-can is a waste of resources
    that could truly help.

    The book is fascinating. The fatheads that decided to launch cared about
    power, money, and politics. The investigations after the disaster, the
    same. A few very brave engineers runined their careers to literally
    shout the truth. And Richard Feynman, who knew he was dying of cancer.

    What did the venerable Feynman have to do with this?

    It's in the book.

    O-rings and ice water.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Cursitor Doom@21:1/5 to john larkin on Sun Jun 9 17:29:13 2024
    On Sun, 09 Jun 2024 08:08:26 -0700, john larkin wrote:

    On Sun, 9 Jun 2024 08:21:52 +0100, Jeff Layman <Jeff@invalid.invalid>
    wrote:

    On 09/06/2024 03:42, john larkin wrote:
    https://www.amazon.com/Challenger-Story-Heroism-Disaster-Space/dp/ 198217661X

    This is a very well researched and written book, and a sad, ghastly
    story.

    It reminds me that humans have no purpose in space but to die.

    That's a very jaundiced and negative view. Firstly, they weren't in
    space when they died; they were at 46000 feet, which was below the >>operational height of Concorde.

    Dead is dead. Optimistically, they died instantly but probably not.

    I would guess it must have been very much like being exposed to a nuclear blast. So basically frazzled to death over several seconds. Not nice.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From john larkin@21:1/5 to cd999666@notformail.com on Sun Jun 9 11:47:50 2024
    On Sun, 9 Jun 2024 17:29:13 -0000 (UTC), Cursitor Doom <cd999666@notformail.com> wrote:

    On Sun, 09 Jun 2024 08:08:26 -0700, john larkin wrote:

    On Sun, 9 Jun 2024 08:21:52 +0100, Jeff Layman <Jeff@invalid.invalid>
    wrote:

    On 09/06/2024 03:42, john larkin wrote:
    https://www.amazon.com/Challenger-Story-Heroism-Disaster-Space/dp/ >198217661X

    This is a very well researched and written book, and a sad, ghastly
    story.

    It reminds me that humans have no purpose in space but to die.

    That's a very jaundiced and negative view. Firstly, they weren't in
    space when they died; they were at 46000 feet, which was below the >>>operational height of Concorde.

    Dead is dead. Optimistically, they died instantly but probably not.

    I would guess it must have been very much like being exposed to a nuclear >blast. So basically frazzled to death over several seconds. Not nice.

    The crew may have been alive when the cabin hit the water. The
    recovery of the remains and the forensics was grim. I'm shocked that
    NASA ever flew another shuttle.

    The tiles and the SRBs and the external tanks and the engines were all
    known hazards. Columbia was the nail in the coffin.

    Two shuttles out of five were lost. NASA estimated that the loss rate
    would be 1 in 100,000 flights.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Cursitor Doom@21:1/5 to john larkin on Sun Jun 9 22:05:33 2024
    On Sun, 09 Jun 2024 11:47:50 -0700, john larkin wrote:

    On Sun, 9 Jun 2024 17:29:13 -0000 (UTC), Cursitor Doom <cd999666@notformail.com> wrote:

    On Sun, 09 Jun 2024 08:08:26 -0700, john larkin wrote:

    On Sun, 9 Jun 2024 08:21:52 +0100, Jeff Layman <Jeff@invalid.invalid>
    wrote:

    On 09/06/2024 03:42, john larkin wrote:
    https://www.amazon.com/Challenger-Story-Heroism-Disaster-Space/dp/ >>198217661X

    This is a very well researched and written book, and a sad, ghastly
    story.

    It reminds me that humans have no purpose in space but to die.

    That's a very jaundiced and negative view. Firstly, they weren't in >>>>space when they died; they were at 46000 feet, which was below the >>>>operational height of Concorde.

    Dead is dead. Optimistically, they died instantly but probably not.

    I would guess it must have been very much like being exposed to a
    nuclear blast. So basically frazzled to death over several seconds. Not >>nice.

    The crew may have been alive when the cabin hit the water. The recovery
    of the remains and the forensics was grim. I'm shocked that NASA ever
    flew another shuttle.

    The tiles and the SRBs and the external tanks and the engines were all
    known hazards. Columbia was the nail in the coffin.

    Two shuttles out of five were lost. NASA estimated that the loss rate
    would be 1 in 100,000 flights.

    So about as reliable a statistic as their figures for historical CO2 in
    the atmosphere, then.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Joe Gwinn@21:1/5 to john larkin on Sun Jun 9 18:09:24 2024
    On Sun, 09 Jun 2024 11:47:50 -0700, john larkin <jl@650pot.com> wrote:

    On Sun, 9 Jun 2024 17:29:13 -0000 (UTC), Cursitor Doom ><cd999666@notformail.com> wrote:

    On Sun, 09 Jun 2024 08:08:26 -0700, john larkin wrote:

    On Sun, 9 Jun 2024 08:21:52 +0100, Jeff Layman <Jeff@invalid.invalid>
    wrote:

    On 09/06/2024 03:42, john larkin wrote:
    https://www.amazon.com/Challenger-Story-Heroism-Disaster-Space/dp/ >>198217661X

    This is a very well researched and written book, and a sad, ghastly
    story.

    It reminds me that humans have no purpose in space but to die.

    That's a very jaundiced and negative view. Firstly, they weren't in >>>>space when they died; they were at 46000 feet, which was below the >>>>operational height of Concorde.

    Dead is dead. Optimistically, they died instantly but probably not.

    I would guess it must have been very much like being exposed to a nuclear >>blast. So basically frazzled to death over several seconds. Not nice.

    The crew may have been alive when the cabin hit the water. The
    recovery of the remains and the forensics was grim. I'm shocked that
    NASA ever flew another shuttle.

    The tiles and the SRBs and the external tanks and the engines were all
    known hazards. Columbia was the nail in the coffin.

    Two shuttles out of five were lost. NASA estimated that the loss rate
    would be 1 in 100,000 flights.

    Hmm. I recall estimates of one in four from the days of Feynman and
    the investigation into the Challenger loss. Maybe that was the post
    crash estimate, but I don't think even NASA would think that one in
    10^5 was realistic, as that rate is more like civil aviation in the
    1950s and 1960s (with accidents like the Electra).

    .<chrome-extension://efaidnbmnnnibpcajpcglclefindmkaj/https://www.boeing.com/content/dam/boeing/boeingdotcom/company/about_bca/pdf/statsum.pdf>

    Joe Gwinn

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From bitrex@21:1/5 to Phil Hobbs on Mon Jun 10 12:14:14 2024
    On 6/9/2024 1:05 PM, Phil Hobbs wrote:
    john larkin <jl@650pot.com> wrote:
    On Sun, 9 Jun 2024 13:28:58 -0000 (UTC), Phil Hobbs
    <pcdhSpamMeSenseless@electrooptical.net> wrote:

    john larkin <jl@650pot.com> wrote:
    https://www.amazon.com/Challenger-Story-Heroism-Disaster-Space/dp/198217661X

    This is a very well researched and written book, and a sad, ghastly
    story.

    It reminds me that humans have no purpose in space but to die.




    Of course most folks here donÂ’t really think that we have any purpose here >>> either.

    Cheers

    Phil Hobbs

    Whatever our purpose, killing astronauts probably doesn't help.

    Spending hundreds of billions on spam-in-a-can is a waste of resources
    that could truly help.

    The book is fascinating. The fatheads that decided to launch cared
    about power, money, and politics. The investigations after the
    disaster, the same. A few very brave engineers runined their careers
    to literally shout the truth. And Richard Feynman, who knew he was
    dying of cancer.



    Sounds like an expanded rehash of the presidential commission report. For the other side of the story, I highly recommend Diane Vaughan’s “The Challenger Launch Decision”.

    Cheers

    Phil Hobbs


    I think it's less about any particular individual's greed or will to
    power but more about the dangers of formal "processes" in large
    organizations which have become so large and ossified that the processes
    become circular and self-referential.

    In some particularly idiotic cases the processes don't have to become particularly large or self-referential to cause disaster, the classic
    "Well the designer signed off on the modifications to the plans so that
    means they reviewed them and they're safe for the contractor to
    implement.." "Wait, the designer signed off on them because they thought
    the contractor had reviewed them...didn't they?" has definitely cost
    lives before, and probably will again

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Phil Hobbs@21:1/5 to bitrex on Mon Jun 10 18:34:00 2024
    bitrex <user@example.net> wrote:
    On 6/9/2024 1:05 PM, Phil Hobbs wrote:
    john larkin <jl@650pot.com> wrote:
    On Sun, 9 Jun 2024 13:28:58 -0000 (UTC), Phil Hobbs
    <pcdhSpamMeSenseless@electrooptical.net> wrote:

    john larkin <jl@650pot.com> wrote:
    https://www.amazon.com/Challenger-Story-Heroism-Disaster-Space/dp/198217661X

    This is a very well researched and written book, and a sad, ghastly
    story.

    It reminds me that humans have no purpose in space but to die.




    Of course most folks here donÂ’t really think that we have any purpose here
    either.

    Cheers

    Phil Hobbs

    Whatever our purpose, killing astronauts probably doesn't help.

    Spending hundreds of billions on spam-in-a-can is a waste of resources
    that could truly help.

    The book is fascinating. The fatheads that decided to launch cared
    about power, money, and politics. The investigations after the
    disaster, the same. A few very brave engineers runined their careers
    to literally shout the truth. And Richard Feynman, who knew he was
    dying of cancer.



    Sounds like an expanded rehash of the presidential commission report. For >> the other side of the story, I highly recommend Diane Vaughan’s “The
    Challenger Launch Decision”.

    Cheers

    Phil Hobbs


    I think it's less about any particular individual's greed or will to
    power but more about the dangers of formal "processes" in large organizations which have become so large and ossified that the processes become circular and self-referential.

    In some particularly idiotic cases the processes don't have to become particularly large or self-referential to cause disaster, the classic
    "Well the designer signed off on the modifications to the plans so that
    means they reviewed them and they're safe for the contractor to
    implement.." "Wait, the designer signed off on them because they thought
    the contractor had reviewed them...didn't they?" has definitely cost
    lives before, and probably will again




    Nah, it was much more careful and conscientious than that, and so even more tragic.

    Vaughan was expecting to find misconduct and evil capitalism, but her
    research showed the opposite. She’s an honest and intelligent woman, so she presented what she found in a compelling way, despite it being sociology.
    ;)

    Folks like that don’t grow on trees, which is why I recommend the book so highly.

    Cheers

    Phil Hobbs

    --
    Dr Philip C D Hobbs Principal Consultant ElectroOptical Innovations LLC / Hobbs ElectroOptics Optics, Electro-optics, Photonics, Analog Electronics

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From john larkin@21:1/5 to john larkin on Mon Jun 10 18:07:42 2024
    On Sat, 08 Jun 2024 19:42:08 -0700, john larkin <jl@650pot.com> wrote:

    https://www.amazon.com/Challenger-Story-Heroism-Disaster-Space/dp/198217661X

    This is a very well researched and written book, and a sad, ghastly
    story.

    It reminds me that humans have no purpose in space but to die.


    This is even crazier.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deep_Space_Transport

    "A mission to Mars launching in 2033, the report concluded, would need
    to have life support systems and propulsion tested by 2022, which is unlikely.[5] The report estimated that the total cost of the elements
    needed for the Mars mission, including SLS, Orion, Gateway, DST and
    other logistics, at $120.6 billion through fiscal year 2037.[5]"

    Of course, NASA always blows budgets big-time.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From bitrex@21:1/5 to Phil Hobbs on Mon Jun 10 22:35:42 2024
    On 6/10/2024 2:34 PM, Phil Hobbs wrote:
    bitrex <user@example.net> wrote:
    On 6/9/2024 1:05 PM, Phil Hobbs wrote:
    john larkin <jl@650pot.com> wrote:
    On Sun, 9 Jun 2024 13:28:58 -0000 (UTC), Phil Hobbs
    <pcdhSpamMeSenseless@electrooptical.net> wrote:

    john larkin <jl@650pot.com> wrote:
    https://www.amazon.com/Challenger-Story-Heroism-Disaster-Space/dp/198217661X

    This is a very well researched and written book, and a sad, ghastly >>>>>> story.

    It reminds me that humans have no purpose in space but to die.




    Of course most folks here donÂ’t really think that we have any purpose here
    either.

    Cheers

    Phil Hobbs

    Whatever our purpose, killing astronauts probably doesn't help.

    Spending hundreds of billions on spam-in-a-can is a waste of resources >>>> that could truly help.

    The book is fascinating. The fatheads that decided to launch cared
    about power, money, and politics. The investigations after the
    disaster, the same. A few very brave engineers runined their careers
    to literally shout the truth. And Richard Feynman, who knew he was
    dying of cancer.



    Sounds like an expanded rehash of the presidential commission report. For >>> the other side of the story, I highly recommend Diane Vaughan’s “The >>> Challenger Launch Decision”.

    Cheers

    Phil Hobbs


    I think it's less about any particular individual's greed or will to
    power but more about the dangers of formal "processes" in large
    organizations which have become so large and ossified that the processes
    become circular and self-referential.

    In some particularly idiotic cases the processes don't have to become
    particularly large or self-referential to cause disaster, the classic
    "Well the designer signed off on the modifications to the plans so that
    means they reviewed them and they're safe for the contractor to
    implement.." "Wait, the designer signed off on them because they thought
    the contractor had reviewed them...didn't they?" has definitely cost
    lives before, and probably will again




    Nah, it was much more careful and conscientious than that, and so even more tragic.

    Vaughan was expecting to find misconduct and evil capitalism, but her research showed the opposite. She’s an honest and intelligent woman, so she presented what she found in a compelling way, despite it being sociology.
    ;)

    Folks like that don’t grow on trees, which is why I recommend the book so highly.

    Cheers

    Phil Hobbs


    " In retelling how the decision unfolded through the eyes of the
    managers and the engineers, Vaughan uncovers an incremental descent into
    poor judgment, supported by a culture of high-risk technology. She
    reveals how and why NASA insiders, when repeatedly faced with evidence
    that something was wrong, normalized the deviance so that it became
    acceptable to them."

    I guess I'm not grasping from the summary of the Vaughan book how its conclusions greatly differ from the conclusions of Feynman et al.

    Surely "normalization of deviance" counts as "misconduct" of some fashion.

    As for "evil capitalism" that seems like a strange thing to look for in
    the Shuttle program given that IIRC it's one of those projects that's
    pointed to as a quintessential example of a government make-work project.

    It surely made some paydays for some contractors but they were mostly
    companies like Thiokol, Rockwell and NAA who were heavily into the military-industrial pie to begin with. The design was compromised from
    the start due to DOD requirements for a thousand miles of crossrange for once-around polar missions to scare the Soviets, which it likely did,
    but it made a lousy space freighter or pure science vessel.

    Under Lord Musk's guidance spaceflight has likely never been more
    profitable, or more generally uninteresting to the public-at-large.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Phil Hobbs@21:1/5 to bitrex on Tue Jun 11 03:11:33 2024
    bitrex <user@example.net> wrote:
    On 6/10/2024 2:34 PM, Phil Hobbs wrote:
    bitrex <user@example.net> wrote:
    On 6/9/2024 1:05 PM, Phil Hobbs wrote:
    john larkin <jl@650pot.com> wrote:
    On Sun, 9 Jun 2024 13:28:58 -0000 (UTC), Phil Hobbs
    <pcdhSpamMeSenseless@electrooptical.net> wrote:

    john larkin <jl@650pot.com> wrote:
    https://www.amazon.com/Challenger-Story-Heroism-Disaster-Space/dp/198217661X

    This is a very well researched and written book, and a sad, ghastly >>>>>>> story.

    It reminds me that humans have no purpose in space but to die.




    Of course most folks here donÂ’t really think that we have any purpose here
    either.

    Cheers

    Phil Hobbs

    Whatever our purpose, killing astronauts probably doesn't help.

    Spending hundreds of billions on spam-in-a-can is a waste of resources >>>>> that could truly help.

    The book is fascinating. The fatheads that decided to launch cared
    about power, money, and politics. The investigations after the
    disaster, the same. A few very brave engineers runined their careers >>>>> to literally shout the truth. And Richard Feynman, who knew he was
    dying of cancer.



    Sounds like an expanded rehash of the presidential commission report. For >>>> the other side of the story, I highly recommend Diane Vaughan’s “The >>>> Challenger Launch Decision”.

    Cheers

    Phil Hobbs


    I think it's less about any particular individual's greed or will to
    power but more about the dangers of formal "processes" in large
    organizations which have become so large and ossified that the processes >>> become circular and self-referential.

    In some particularly idiotic cases the processes don't have to become
    particularly large or self-referential to cause disaster, the classic
    "Well the designer signed off on the modifications to the plans so that
    means they reviewed them and they're safe for the contractor to
    implement.." "Wait, the designer signed off on them because they thought >>> the contractor had reviewed them...didn't they?" has definitely cost
    lives before, and probably will again




    Nah, it was much more careful and conscientious than that, and so even more >> tragic.

    Vaughan was expecting to find misconduct and evil capitalism, but her
    research showed the opposite. She’s an honest and intelligent woman, so she
    presented what she found in a compelling way, despite it being sociology.
    ;)

    Folks like that don’t grow on trees, which is why I recommend the book so >> highly.

    Cheers

    Phil Hobbs


    " In retelling how the decision unfolded through the eyes of the
    managers and the engineers, Vaughan uncovers an incremental descent into
    poor judgment, supported by a culture of high-risk technology. She
    reveals how and why NASA insiders, when repeatedly faced with evidence
    that something was wrong, normalized the deviance so that it became acceptable to them."

    I guess I'm not grasping from the summary of the Vaughan book how its conclusions greatly differ from the conclusions of Feynman et al.

    Maybe if you read the book, you’ll understand. The conclusions could hardly be more different, given the basic facts of the case. Boisjoly et al. and
    the Rogers commission are only a fraction of the story.

    Cheers

    Phil Hobbs

    --
    Dr Philip C D Hobbs Principal Consultant ElectroOptical Innovations LLC / Hobbs ElectroOptics Optics, Electro-optics, Photonics, Analog Electronics

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From john larkin@21:1/5 to bitrex on Mon Jun 10 22:49:56 2024
    On Tue, 11 Jun 2024 01:43:37 -0400, bitrex <user@example.net> wrote:

    On 6/10/2024 11:11 PM, Phil Hobbs wrote:

    " In retelling how the decision unfolded through the eyes of the
    managers and the engineers, Vaughan uncovers an incremental descent into >>> poor judgment, supported by a culture of high-risk technology. She
    reveals how and why NASA insiders, when repeatedly faced with evidence
    that something was wrong, normalized the deviance so that it became
    acceptable to them."

    I guess I'm not grasping from the summary of the Vaughan book how its
    conclusions greatly differ from the conclusions of Feynman et al.

    Maybe if you read the book, you’ll understand. The conclusions could hardly >> be more different, given the basic facts of the case. Boisjoly et al. and >> the Rogers commission are only a fraction of the story.

    Cheers

    Phil Hobbs


    I was able to at least find a summary, 620 pages about a disaster I'm
    barely old enough to remember is a tall ask at this time.

    <https://web.mit.edu/esd.83/www/notebook/The%20Challenger%20Launch%20Decision_1.pdf>

    I think I somewhat understand the thrust of the argument, that nobody in >management really believed themselves to be taking risks of the kind the >public later perceived them to have been taking.

    There was no particular person who was actively like "Welp there's
    probably a decent chance the crew won't make it but we're going anyway >because if we don't <some easily enumerable bad thing will happen>", the >consequences to everyone involved were far too high to ever be actively >cavalier.

    They had their processes and they followed the processes. Yeah Thiokol >engineers balked when asked about this particular launch but I expect
    they balked relatively regularly it's no skin off their ass to say "no
    go", but at the end of the day as a NASA-person your job is to fire
    rockets with people on them from time to time, either have a manned
    space program or don't. Can always find reasons not to launch.

    The Thiokol engineers said not to launch below 56 degrees F, or the
    SRB o-rings wouldn't seal. The temp was 19 that morning.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From bitrex@21:1/5 to Phil Hobbs on Tue Jun 11 01:43:37 2024
    On 6/10/2024 11:11 PM, Phil Hobbs wrote:

    " In retelling how the decision unfolded through the eyes of the
    managers and the engineers, Vaughan uncovers an incremental descent into
    poor judgment, supported by a culture of high-risk technology. She
    reveals how and why NASA insiders, when repeatedly faced with evidence
    that something was wrong, normalized the deviance so that it became
    acceptable to them."

    I guess I'm not grasping from the summary of the Vaughan book how its
    conclusions greatly differ from the conclusions of Feynman et al.

    Maybe if you read the book, you’ll understand. The conclusions could hardly be more different, given the basic facts of the case. Boisjoly et al. and the Rogers commission are only a fraction of the story.

    Cheers

    Phil Hobbs


    I was able to at least find a summary, 620 pages about a disaster I'm
    barely old enough to remember is a tall ask at this time.

    <https://web.mit.edu/esd.83/www/notebook/The%20Challenger%20Launch%20Decision_1.pdf>

    I think I somewhat understand the thrust of the argument, that nobody in management really believed themselves to be taking risks of the kind the
    public later perceived them to have been taking.

    There was no particular person who was actively like "Welp there's
    probably a decent chance the crew won't make it but we're going anyway
    because if we don't <some easily enumerable bad thing will happen>", the consequences to everyone involved were far too high to ever be actively cavalier.

    They had their processes and they followed the processes. Yeah Thiokol engineers balked when asked about this particular launch but I expect
    they balked relatively regularly it's no skin off their ass to say "no
    go", but at the end of the day as a NASA-person your job is to fire
    rockets with people on them from time to time, either have a manned
    space program or don't. Can always find reasons not to launch.

    It seems there were chain-of-communications problem that may have
    prevented engineers at Thiokol from emphasizing that this situation was significantly different than others they may have had reservations about before, but it's unclear to me if there was any one person at NASA at
    the time who had the authority to say "shut it all down, now!", even if
    those engineers had been able to do so effectively.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Bill Sloman@21:1/5 to john larkin on Tue Jun 11 22:24:45 2024
    On 10/06/2024 1:17 am, john larkin wrote:
    On Sun, 9 Jun 2024 13:28:58 -0000 (UTC), Phil Hobbs <pcdhSpamMeSenseless@electrooptical.net> wrote:

    john larkin <jl@650pot.com> wrote:
    https://www.amazon.com/Challenger-Story-Heroism-Disaster-Space/dp/198217661X

    This is a very well researched and written book, and a sad, ghastly
    story.

    It reminds me that humans have no purpose in space but to die.




    Of course most folks here don’t really think that we have any purpose here >> either.

    Cheers

    Phil Hobbs

    Whatever our purpose, killing astronauts probably doesn't help.

    They weren't being killed intentionally.

    Spending hundreds of billions on spam-in-a-can is a waste of resources
    that could truly help.

    In your singularly inexpert opinion.

    The book is fascinating. The fatheads that decided to launch cared
    about power, money, and politics. The investigations after the
    disaster, the same. A few very brave engineers ruined their careers
    to literally shout the truth. And Richard Feynman, who knew he was
    dying of cancer.

    So what. That's how the world works, and clown like you are lot of the
    problem.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney


    --
    This email has been checked for viruses by Norton antivirus software. www.norton.com

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Phil Hobbs@21:1/5 to john larkin on Tue Jun 11 12:21:20 2024
    john larkin <jl@650pot.com> wrote:
    On Tue, 11 Jun 2024 01:43:37 -0400, bitrex <user@example.net> wrote:

    On 6/10/2024 11:11 PM, Phil Hobbs wrote:

    " In retelling how the decision unfolded through the eyes of the
    managers and the engineers, Vaughan uncovers an incremental descent into >>>> poor judgment, supported by a culture of high-risk technology. She
    reveals how and why NASA insiders, when repeatedly faced with evidence >>>> that something was wrong, normalized the deviance so that it became
    acceptable to them."

    I guess I'm not grasping from the summary of the Vaughan book how its
    conclusions greatly differ from the conclusions of Feynman et al.

    Maybe if you read the book, youÂ’ll understand. The conclusions could hardly
    be more different, given the basic facts of the case. Boisjoly et al. and >>> the Rogers commission are only a fraction of the story.

    Cheers

    Phil Hobbs


    I was able to at least find a summary, 620 pages about a disaster I'm
    barely old enough to remember is a tall ask at this time.

    <https://web.mit.edu/esd.83/www/notebook/The%20Challenger%20Launch%20Decision_1.pdf>

    I think I somewhat understand the thrust of the argument, that nobody in
    management really believed themselves to be taking risks of the kind the
    public later perceived them to have been taking.

    There was no particular person who was actively like "Welp there's
    probably a decent chance the crew won't make it but we're going anyway
    because if we don't <some easily enumerable bad thing will happen>", the
    consequences to everyone involved were far too high to ever be actively
    cavalier.

    They had their processes and they followed the processes. Yeah Thiokol
    engineers balked when asked about this particular launch but I expect
    they balked relatively regularly it's no skin off their ass to say "no
    go", but at the end of the day as a NASA-person your job is to fire
    rockets with people on them from time to time, either have a manned
    space program or don't. Can always find reasons not to launch.

    The Thiokol engineers said not to launch below 56 degrees F, or the
    SRB o-rings wouldn't seal. The temp was 19 that morning.


    They were nervous, rightly so. But it’s not the outside air temperature
    that matters, it’s the temperature of the o-rings.

    The main issue is that what NASA had was a developmental system, with all
    sorts of unknowns, and they were trying to run it as though it was a well-understood production system.

    Apollo had delivered amazingly—men on the moon in 9 years, starting with modified ICBMs! The cultural impact of that was very large—not only did it fix the US’s Sputnik problem and reassure their allies (which was the point of the exercise), but it changed everyone’s attitude towards the Earth itself.

    To my eye, that “Earthrise” photo has had more lasting influence than all the trudging around up there.

    Naturally—NASA being a big government agency and therefore having pathological incentives—they reacted by asking for the sky: enough dough
    for a permanent space station, a Mars mission, and a fleet of space trucks
    to get all that stuff to and from orbit.

    Under severe budget constraints (for NASA, at least), they canceled all of
    it except the truck fleet. Then they got some fancy consultants
    (Mathematica Inc., no relation to Wolfram & Co.) to make a plan for 60
    launches per year using 6 shuttles, with mostly commercial payloads, so
    that they could afford to build them.

    Eventually they managed nine launches per year, mostly military, and
    instead of being everyone’s idol and independently wealthy, they were
    begging for money and firmly under the thumb of the Air Force.

    Meanwhile, they were trying to learn how to make and run the spacecraft.
    They did it by the book, with a very highly organized system of flight
    reviews and engineering criteria that allowed them to apply uniform
    standards of evidence and decision-making to a wildly multifarious effort.

    The workings of this system, and the people who made it work so well almost
    all the time, are what Vaughan’s book is about, and what makes it so fascinating.

    What bit them in the end was that Thiokol wasn’t able to show a good statistical correlation between O-ring erosion and the calculated
    temperature. It got worse at low temperature, of course, but there was this
    one launch where the rings were at 80 degrees or something, yet which had
    the largest erosion to date.

    Least squares analysis is very sensitive to outliers, so that one data
    point destroyed the calculated correlation. The procedure required firm
    data to delay the launch, and Thiokol didn’t have it. That’s how you run a well-understood production system: You learn by doing, and make adjustments based on accumulated experience. They were very good at that.

    Because the shuttle was really a developmental system, though, the
    procedures for making those adjustments actually pushed the SRBs closer to disaster with each anomaly.

    I can’t do justice to it here, but the way this whole team of highly competent people, who followed all the rules of the system conscientiously, nevertheless caused a disaster, is a story right out of Greek tragedy.

    Cheers

    Phil Hobbs



    --
    Dr Philip C D Hobbs Principal Consultant ElectroOptical Innovations LLC / Hobbs ElectroOptics Optics, Electro-optics, Photonics, Analog Electronics

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Bill Sloman@21:1/5 to Cursitor Doom on Wed Jun 12 00:55:21 2024
    On 10/06/2024 8:05 am, Cursitor Doom wrote:
    On Sun, 09 Jun 2024 11:47:50 -0700, john larkin wrote:

    On Sun, 9 Jun 2024 17:29:13 -0000 (UTC), Cursitor Doom
    <cd999666@notformail.com> wrote:

    On Sun, 09 Jun 2024 08:08:26 -0700, john larkin wrote:

    On Sun, 9 Jun 2024 08:21:52 +0100, Jeff Layman <Jeff@invalid.invalid>
    wrote:

    On 09/06/2024 03:42, john larkin wrote:

    So about as reliable a statistic as their figures for historical CO2 in
    the atmosphere, then.

    Not really. We've been observing the CO2 level in the atmosphere
    continuously since 1958 and Manua Loa wasn't NASA.

    The entirely independent Cape Grim observatory got going in 1976 - it's
    run by Australia's CSIRO

    https://capegrim.csiro.au/

    and presents much the same story. It's southern hemisphere rather than
    northern hemisphere so that the annual fluctuation isn't as big.

    NASA estimate of how many shuttles' they'd lose were just that - they
    dated back to before they'd lost any.

    You objections to the thoroughly reliable climate data involve your
    demented conspiracy theory which has everybody involved in taking the
    published the measurements consistently lying to the public for more
    than sixty years.

    Nobody even thought that anyone would bother until around 1990, when
    global warming hit statistical significance, and the fossil carbon
    extraction industry woke up the threat to their long term cash flows.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney


    --
    This email has been checked for viruses by Norton antivirus software. www.norton.com

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Martin Brown@21:1/5 to Phil Hobbs on Tue Jun 11 15:58:00 2024
    On 10/06/2024 19:34, Phil Hobbs wrote:
    bitrex <user@example.net> wrote:
    On 6/9/2024 1:05 PM, Phil Hobbs wrote:

    Sounds like an expanded rehash of the presidential commission report. For >>> the other side of the story, I highly recommend Diane Vaughan’s “The >>> Challenger Launch Decision”.

    Cheers

    Phil Hobbs


    I think it's less about any particular individual's greed or will to
    power but more about the dangers of formal "processes" in large
    organizations which have become so large and ossified that the processes
    become circular and self-referential.

    In some particularly idiotic cases the processes don't have to become
    particularly large or self-referential to cause disaster, the classic
    "Well the designer signed off on the modifications to the plans so that
    means they reviewed them and they're safe for the contractor to
    implement.." "Wait, the designer signed off on them because they thought
    the contractor had reviewed them...didn't they?" has definitely cost
    lives before, and probably will again

    Nah, it was much more careful and conscientious than that, and so even more tragic.

    I'm still inclined to believe that the suits pressured the engineers
    into compliance with something that they were deeply uncomfortable with
    - namely launching when the ambient temperature was so far below the
    norm in Florida. They had a nationwide TV tie in and VIPs to impress.
    The show must go on...

    So they got a lot more of a spectacle than they had bargained for.

    Likewise with the Columbia disaster where they essentially refused to
    call in a favour off the military imaging kit operators that could have
    looked at the vehicle's leading edge for signs of damage.

    That time they convinced themselves that because it (foam impacts) had
    happened before with no ill effects it would be OK again this time. ISTR
    an intern was tasked with the first impact analysis. It did get
    escalated but not far enough up the hierarchy to make a difference.

    HST mirror by PE also suffered from a painstakingly exact measurement
    process that created a fabulously smooth polished mirror using very sophisticated methods but precisely figured to the wrong shape.

    These things happen due to human fallibility and plain bad luck. The
    backup Kodak mirror was correct in every detail but never flew.

    Vaughan was expecting to find misconduct and evil capitalism, but her research showed the opposite. She’s an honest and intelligent woman, so she presented what she found in a compelling way, despite it being sociology.
    ;)

    Folks like that don’t grow on trees, which is why I recommend the book so highly.

    ISTR at least one Morton Thiokol engineer was begging them not to launch
    with it so cold but was over ruled by more senior people in the end.

    Rocket launches and landings are intrinsically dangerous. On this I am
    inclined to agree with JL - unless and until we find something that our
    robotic and AI kit cannot do we shouldn't be sending people into space.

    It was the *only* way to explore the moon back in 1969 but not any more...

    --
    Martin Brown

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Phil Hobbs@21:1/5 to Martin Brown on Tue Jun 11 16:11:12 2024
    Martin Brown <'''newspam'''@nonad.co.uk> wrote:
    On 10/06/2024 19:34, Phil Hobbs wrote:
    bitrex <user@example.net> wrote:
    On 6/9/2024 1:05 PM, Phil Hobbs wrote:

    Sounds like an expanded rehash of the presidential commission report. For >>>> the other side of the story, I highly recommend Diane Vaughan’s “The >>>> Challenger Launch Decision”.

    Cheers

    Phil Hobbs


    I think it's less about any particular individual's greed or will to
    power but more about the dangers of formal "processes" in large
    organizations which have become so large and ossified that the processes >>> become circular and self-referential.

    In some particularly idiotic cases the processes don't have to become
    particularly large or self-referential to cause disaster, the classic
    "Well the designer signed off on the modifications to the plans so that
    means they reviewed them and they're safe for the contractor to
    implement.." "Wait, the designer signed off on them because they thought >>> the contractor had reviewed them...didn't they?" has definitely cost
    lives before, and probably will again

    Nah, it was much more careful and conscientious than that, and so even more >> tragic.

    I'm still inclined to believe that the suits pressured the engineers
    into compliance with something that they were deeply uncomfortable with
    - namely launching when the ambient temperature was so far below the
    norm in Florida. They had a nationwide TV tie in and VIPs to impress.
    The show must go on...

    So they got a lot more of a spectacle than they had bargained for.

    Likewise with the Columbia disaster where they essentially refused to
    call in a favour off the military imaging kit operators that could have looked at the vehicle's leading edge for signs of damage.

    That time they convinced themselves that because it (foam impacts) had happened before with no ill effects it would be OK again this time. ISTR
    an intern was tasked with the first impact analysis. It did get
    escalated but not far enough up the hierarchy to make a difference.

    HST mirror by PE also suffered from a painstakingly exact measurement
    process that created a fabulously smooth polished mirror using very sophisticated methods but precisely figured to the wrong shape.

    These things happen due to human fallibility and plain bad luck. The
    backup Kodak mirror was correct in every detail but never flew.

    Vaughan was expecting to find misconduct and evil capitalism, but her
    research showed the opposite. She’s an honest and intelligent woman, so she
    presented what she found in a compelling way, despite it being sociology.
    ;)

    Folks like that don’t grow on trees, which is why I recommend the book so >> highly.

    ISTR at least one Morton Thiokol engineer was begging them not to launch
    with it so cold but was over ruled by more senior people in the end.

    Rocket launches and landings are intrinsically dangerous. On this I am inclined to agree with JL - unless and until we find something that our robotic and AI kit cannot do we shouldn't be sending people into space.

    It was the *only* way to explore the moon back in 1969 but not any more...


    Read the book if you have the chance.

    Space exploration has little value outside its cultural impact.

    Cheers

    Phil Hobbs

    --
    Dr Philip C D Hobbs Principal Consultant ElectroOptical Innovations LLC / Hobbs ElectroOptics Optics, Electro-optics, Photonics, Analog Electronics

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From john larkin@21:1/5 to '''newspam'''@nonad.co.uk on Tue Jun 11 09:13:00 2024
    On Tue, 11 Jun 2024 15:58:00 +0100, Martin Brown
    <'''newspam'''@nonad.co.uk> wrote:

    On 10/06/2024 19:34, Phil Hobbs wrote:
    bitrex <user@example.net> wrote:
    On 6/9/2024 1:05 PM, Phil Hobbs wrote:

    Sounds like an expanded rehash of the presidential commission report. For >>>> the other side of the story, I highly recommend Diane Vaughan’s “The
    Challenger Launch Decision”.

    Cheers

    Phil Hobbs


    I think it's less about any particular individual's greed or will to
    power but more about the dangers of formal "processes" in large
    organizations which have become so large and ossified that the processes >>> become circular and self-referential.

    In some particularly idiotic cases the processes don't have to become
    particularly large or self-referential to cause disaster, the classic
    "Well the designer signed off on the modifications to the plans so that
    means they reviewed them and they're safe for the contractor to
    implement.." "Wait, the designer signed off on them because they thought >>> the contractor had reviewed them...didn't they?" has definitely cost
    lives before, and probably will again

    Nah, it was much more careful and conscientious than that, and so even more >> tragic.

    I'm still inclined to believe that the suits pressured the engineers
    into compliance with something that they were deeply uncomfortable with
    - namely launching when the ambient temperature was so far below the
    norm in Florida. They had a nationwide TV tie in and VIPs to impress.
    The show must go on...

    So they got a lot more of a spectacle than they had bargained for.

    Likewise with the Columbia disaster where they essentially refused to
    call in a favour off the military imaging kit operators that could have >looked at the vehicle's leading edge for signs of damage.

    That time they convinced themselves that because it (foam impacts) had >happened before with no ill effects it would be OK again this time. ISTR
    an intern was tasked with the first impact analysis. It did get
    escalated but not far enough up the hierarchy to make a difference.

    HST mirror by PE also suffered from a painstakingly exact measurement
    process that created a fabulously smooth polished mirror using very >sophisticated methods but precisely figured to the wrong shape.

    These things happen due to human fallibility and plain bad luck. The
    backup Kodak mirror was correct in every detail but never flew.

    Vaughan was expecting to find misconduct and evil capitalism, but her
    research showed the opposite. She’s an honest and intelligent woman, so she >> presented what she found in a compelling way, despite it being sociology.
    ;)

    Folks like that don’t grow on trees, which is why I recommend the book so
    highly.

    ISTR at least one Morton Thiokol engineer was begging them not to launch
    with it so cold but was over ruled by more senior people in the end.


    Big institutions tend to be immoral. Money and power dominate honest
    engineers.

    Remember "Don't be evil" ?


    Rocket launches and landings are intrinsically dangerous. On this I am >inclined to agree with JL - unless and until we find something that our >robotic and AI kit cannot do we shouldn't be sending people into space.

    It was the *only* way to explore the moon back in 1969 but not any more...

    We coud have put robots on the moon in 1969. The astronauts were
    mostly passive passengers anyhow.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From bitrex@21:1/5 to Martin Brown on Tue Jun 11 12:45:40 2024
    On 6/11/2024 10:58 AM, Martin Brown wrote:

    ISTR at least one Morton Thiokol engineer was begging them not to launch
    with it so cold but was over ruled by more senior people in the end.

    Rocket launches and landings are intrinsically dangerous. On this I am inclined to agree with JL - unless and until we find something that our robotic and AI kit cannot do we shouldn't be sending people into space.

    It was the *only* way to explore the moon back in 1969 but not any more...


    The shuttle was a dual-use vehicle, it could've made a formidable weapon
    in a pinch. The Soviets thought so, at least.

    The large crossrange from the delta wings made once-around space bomber missions north from Vandenburg feasible, though IIRC they never launched
    from there.

    The DOD didn't "force" the delta wings, exactly, crossrange was a desire
    of theirs that NASA eventually came around to as beneficial in general,
    it made another abort mode possible and simplified design calculations/simulations to be tractable with the tech available at the
    time.

    But it's likely if they couldn't have come to a path of convergent
    evolution then the project wouldn't have gone forward at all.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From bitrex@21:1/5 to john larkin on Tue Jun 11 12:23:04 2024
    On 6/11/2024 1:49 AM, john larkin wrote:
    On Tue, 11 Jun 2024 01:43:37 -0400, bitrex <user@example.net> wrote:

    On 6/10/2024 11:11 PM, Phil Hobbs wrote:

    " In retelling how the decision unfolded through the eyes of the
    managers and the engineers, Vaughan uncovers an incremental descent into >>>> poor judgment, supported by a culture of high-risk technology. She
    reveals how and why NASA insiders, when repeatedly faced with evidence >>>> that something was wrong, normalized the deviance so that it became
    acceptable to them."

    I guess I'm not grasping from the summary of the Vaughan book how its
    conclusions greatly differ from the conclusions of Feynman et al.

    Maybe if you read the book, you’ll understand. The conclusions could hardly
    be more different, given the basic facts of the case. Boisjoly et al. and >>> the Rogers commission are only a fraction of the story.

    Cheers

    Phil Hobbs


    I was able to at least find a summary, 620 pages about a disaster I'm
    barely old enough to remember is a tall ask at this time.

    <https://web.mit.edu/esd.83/www/notebook/The%20Challenger%20Launch%20Decision_1.pdf>

    I think I somewhat understand the thrust of the argument, that nobody in
    management really believed themselves to be taking risks of the kind the
    public later perceived them to have been taking.

    There was no particular person who was actively like "Welp there's
    probably a decent chance the crew won't make it but we're going anyway
    because if we don't <some easily enumerable bad thing will happen>", the
    consequences to everyone involved were far too high to ever be actively
    cavalier.

    They had their processes and they followed the processes. Yeah Thiokol
    engineers balked when asked about this particular launch but I expect
    they balked relatively regularly it's no skin off their ass to say "no
    go", but at the end of the day as a NASA-person your job is to fire
    rockets with people on them from time to time, either have a manned
    space program or don't. Can always find reasons not to launch.

    The Thiokol engineers said not to launch below 56 degrees F, or the
    SRB o-rings wouldn't seal. The temp was 19 that morning.



    The Shuttle's raw reliability was likely about 1 vehicle loss in 100 and
    it pushed the limits of the tech of the time so much it would probably
    haven been difficult to get it much better than that that without
    hundreds of flights to learn from. They did 135 launches with 2 losses,
    par for the course.

    If it hadn't been the O-rings and TPS it probably would have been one of
    the dozens of other must-work systems on the ship. I think there had to
    be some level of institutional delusion about what the fundamental
    reliability of the thing was to have a program at all.

    The list of anomalies from STS-1 is long, most of them minor, a couple
    of them very severe. It was crazy to some degree to launch it the first
    time and if it were built today it likely would've undergone years more simulation and static testing but they felt they were at the limit of
    what could be tested at the time with the technology and budget they had.

    Here in 2024 God only knows how many Starships Mr. Musk is going to blow
    up on test flights, before they figure it's safe enough to put anyone on.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From bitrex@21:1/5 to bitrex on Tue Jun 11 13:03:55 2024
    On 6/11/2024 12:45 PM, bitrex wrote:
    On 6/11/2024 10:58 AM, Martin Brown wrote:

    ISTR at least one Morton Thiokol engineer was begging them not to
    launch with it so cold but was over ruled by more senior people in the
    end.

    Rocket launches and landings are intrinsically dangerous. On this I am
    inclined to agree with JL - unless and until we find something that
    our robotic and AI kit cannot do we shouldn't be sending people into
    space.

    It was the *only* way to explore the moon back in 1969 but not any
    more...


    The shuttle was a dual-use vehicle, it could've made a formidable weapon
    in a pinch. The Soviets thought so, at least.

    The Soviets were very concerned about the possibility of a decapitating
    US first strike in the late 70s and early 80s and took Reagan to be a
    madman (they weren't half-wrong.)

    At least an ICBM launch is unambiguous, what do you do when a scientific vehicle/bomb truck launches northbound during a period of tension, with
    its payload concealed.

    What's going on? Is it a test flight? Are they launching a spy
    satellite? Are they carrying a rack of nuclear bunker-busters to drop
    straight on our heads? Do we assume that and try to shoot it down and
    maybe start a war that way, or wait for the first strike to land on us? Unpleasant choices...

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Cursitor Doom@21:1/5 to Bill Sloman on Tue Jun 11 22:43:51 2024
    On Wed, 12 Jun 2024 00:55:21 +1000, Bill Sloman wrote:

    On 10/06/2024 8:05 am, Cursitor Doom wrote:
    On Sun, 09 Jun 2024 11:47:50 -0700, john larkin wrote:

    On Sun, 9 Jun 2024 17:29:13 -0000 (UTC), Cursitor Doom
    <cd999666@notformail.com> wrote:

    On Sun, 09 Jun 2024 08:08:26 -0700, john larkin wrote:

    On Sun, 9 Jun 2024 08:21:52 +0100, Jeff Layman
    <Jeff@invalid.invalid>
    wrote:

    On 09/06/2024 03:42, john larkin wrote:

    So about as reliable a statistic as their figures for historical CO2 in
    the atmosphere, then.

    Not really. We've been observing the CO2 level in the atmosphere
    continuously since 1958 and Manua Loa wasn't NASA.

    The entirely independent Cape Grim observatory got going in 1976 - it's
    run by Australia's CSIRO

    https://capegrim.csiro.au/

    and presents much the same story. It's southern hemisphere rather than northern hemisphere so that the annual fluctuation isn't as big.

    NASA estimate of how many shuttles' they'd lose were just that - they
    dated back to before they'd lost any.

    You objections to the thoroughly reliable climate data involve your
    demented conspiracy theory which has everybody involved in taking the published the measurements consistently lying to the public for more
    than sixty years.

    Nobody even thought that anyone would bother until around 1990, when
    global warming hit statistical significance, and the fossil carbon
    extraction industry woke up the threat to their long term cash flows.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    Sorry, Bill. I've got better things to do than get drawn into another of
    your pointless pissing contests.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Bill Sloman@21:1/5 to Cursitor Doom on Wed Jun 12 15:06:49 2024
    On 12/06/2024 8:43 am, Cursitor Doom wrote:
    On Wed, 12 Jun 2024 00:55:21 +1000, Bill Sloman wrote:

    On 10/06/2024 8:05 am, Cursitor Doom wrote:
    On Sun, 09 Jun 2024 11:47:50 -0700, john larkin wrote:

    On Sun, 9 Jun 2024 17:29:13 -0000 (UTC), Cursitor Doom
    <cd999666@notformail.com> wrote:

    On Sun, 09 Jun 2024 08:08:26 -0700, john larkin wrote:

    On Sun, 9 Jun 2024 08:21:52 +0100, Jeff Layman
    <Jeff@invalid.invalid>
    wrote:

    On 09/06/2024 03:42, john larkin wrote:

    So about as reliable a statistic as their figures for historical CO2 in
    the atmosphere, then.

    Not really. We've been observing the CO2 level in the atmosphere
    continuously since 1958 and Manua Loa wasn't NASA.

    The entirely independent Cape Grim observatory got going in 1976 - it's
    run by Australia's CSIRO

    https://capegrim.csiro.au/

    and presents much the same story. It's southern hemisphere rather than
    northern hemisphere so that the annual fluctuation isn't as big.

    NASA estimate of how many shuttles' they'd lose were just that - they
    dated back to before they'd lost any.

    You objections to the thoroughly reliable climate data involve your
    demented conspiracy theory which has everybody involved in taking the
    published the measurements consistently lying to the public for more
    than sixty years.

    Nobody even thought that anyone would bother until around 1990, when
    global warming hit statistical significance, and the fossil carbon
    extraction industry woke up the threat to their long term cash flows.

    Sorry, Bill. I've got better things to do than get drawn into another of
    your pointless pissing contests.

    Lying about the science evidence demonstrating that climate change is
    happening is a well-paid commercial activity. You aren't remotely good
    enough at it to get paid for it, but that doesn't seem to stop you
    hoping that you might.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney


    --
    This email has been checked for viruses by Norton antivirus software. www.norton.com

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Bill Sloman@21:1/5 to john larkin on Wed Jun 12 15:23:55 2024
    On 12/06/2024 2:13 am, john larkin wrote:
    On Tue, 11 Jun 2024 15:58:00 +0100, Martin Brown
    <'''newspam'''@nonad.co.uk> wrote:

    On 10/06/2024 19:34, Phil Hobbs wrote:
    bitrex <user@example.net> wrote:
    On 6/9/2024 1:05 PM, Phil Hobbs wrote:

    Sounds like an expanded rehash of the presidential commission report. For
    the other side of the story, I highly recommend Diane Vaughan’s “The >>>>> Challenger Launch Decision”.

    Cheers

    Phil Hobbs


    I think it's less about any particular individual's greed or will to
    power but more about the dangers of formal "processes" in large
    organizations which have become so large and ossified that the processes >>>> become circular and self-referential.

    In some particularly idiotic cases the processes don't have to become
    particularly large or self-referential to cause disaster, the classic
    "Well the designer signed off on the modifications to the plans so that >>>> means they reviewed them and they're safe for the contractor to
    implement.." "Wait, the designer signed off on them because they thought >>>> the contractor had reviewed them...didn't they?" has definitely cost
    lives before, and probably will again

    Nah, it was much more careful and conscientious than that, and so even more >>> tragic.

    I'm still inclined to believe that the suits pressured the engineers
    into compliance with something that they were deeply uncomfortable with
    - namely launching when the ambient temperature was so far below the
    norm in Florida. They had a nationwide TV tie in and VIPs to impress.
    The show must go on...

    So they got a lot more of a spectacle than they had bargained for.

    Likewise with the Columbia disaster where they essentially refused to
    call in a favour off the military imaging kit operators that could have
    looked at the vehicle's leading edge for signs of damage.

    That time they convinced themselves that because it (foam impacts) had
    happened before with no ill effects it would be OK again this time. ISTR
    an intern was tasked with the first impact analysis. It did get
    escalated but not far enough up the hierarchy to make a difference.

    HST mirror by PE also suffered from a painstakingly exact measurement
    process that created a fabulously smooth polished mirror using very
    sophisticated methods but precisely figured to the wrong shape.

    These things happen due to human fallibility and plain bad luck. The
    backup Kodak mirror was correct in every detail but never flew.

    Vaughan was expecting to find misconduct and evil capitalism, but her
    research showed the opposite. She’s an honest and intelligent woman, so she
    presented what she found in a compelling way, despite it being sociology. >>> ;)

    Folks like that don’t grow on trees, which is why I recommend the book so >>> highly.

    ISTR at least one Morton Thiokol engineer was begging them not to launch
    with it so cold but was over ruled by more senior people in the end.


    Big institutions tend to be immoral. Money and power dominate honest engineers.

    They aren't even immoral. They just have inflexible procedures.

    Remember "Don't be evil" ?

    Why bother? It's just one more corporate slogan.

    Rocket launches and landings are intrinsically dangerous. On this I am
    inclined to agree with JL - unless and until we find something that our
    robotic and AI kit cannot do we shouldn't be sending people into space.

    It was the *only* way to explore the moon back in 1969 but not any more...

    We could have put robots on the moon in 1969. The astronauts were
    mostly passive passengers anyhow.

    But the robots wouldn't have been up to much.

    Having people with names and faces up there made the newspaper and TV
    reports much more interesting to the general public and created the
    cultural effect sought.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney


    --
    This email has been checked for viruses by Norton antivirus software. www.norton.com

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    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Bill Sloman@21:1/5 to Phil Hobbs on Wed Jun 12 15:17:18 2024
    On 12/06/2024 2:11 am, Phil Hobbs wrote:
    Martin Brown <'''newspam'''@nonad.co.uk> wrote:
    On 10/06/2024 19:34, Phil Hobbs wrote:
    bitrex <user@example.net> wrote:
    On 6/9/2024 1:05 PM, Phil Hobbs wrote:

    Sounds like an expanded rehash of the presidential commission report. For
    the other side of the story, I highly recommend Diane Vaughan’s “The >>>>> Challenger Launch Decision”.

    Cheers

    Phil Hobbs


    I think it's less about any particular individual's greed or will to
    power but more about the dangers of formal "processes" in large
    organizations which have become so large and ossified that the processes >>>> become circular and self-referential.

    In some particularly idiotic cases the processes don't have to become
    particularly large or self-referential to cause disaster, the classic
    "Well the designer signed off on the modifications to the plans so that >>>> means they reviewed them and they're safe for the contractor to
    implement.." "Wait, the designer signed off on them because they thought >>>> the contractor had reviewed them...didn't they?" has definitely cost
    lives before, and probably will again

    Nah, it was much more careful and conscientious than that, and so even more >>> tragic.

    I'm still inclined to believe that the suits pressured the engineers
    into compliance with something that they were deeply uncomfortable with
    - namely launching when the ambient temperature was so far below the
    norm in Florida. They had a nationwide TV tie in and VIPs to impress.
    The show must go on...

    So they got a lot more of a spectacle than they had bargained for.

    Likewise with the Columbia disaster where they essentially refused to
    call in a favour off the military imaging kit operators that could have
    looked at the vehicle's leading edge for signs of damage.

    That time they convinced themselves that because it (foam impacts) had
    happened before with no ill effects it would be OK again this time. ISTR
    an intern was tasked with the first impact analysis. It did get
    escalated but not far enough up the hierarchy to make a difference.

    HST mirror by PE also suffered from a painstakingly exact measurement
    process that created a fabulously smooth polished mirror using very
    sophisticated methods but precisely figured to the wrong shape.

    These things happen due to human fallibility and plain bad luck. The
    backup Kodak mirror was correct in every detail but never flew.

    Vaughan was expecting to find misconduct and evil capitalism, but her
    research showed the opposite. She’s an honest and intelligent woman, so she
    presented what she found in a compelling way, despite it being sociology. >>> ;)

    Folks like that don’t grow on trees, which is why I recommend the book so >>> highly.

    ISTR at least one Morton Thiokol engineer was begging them not to launch
    with it so cold but was over ruled by more senior people in the end.

    Rocket launches and landings are intrinsically dangerous. On this I am
    inclined to agree with JL - unless and until we find something that our
    robotic and AI kit cannot do we shouldn't be sending people into space.

    It was the *only* way to explore the moon back in 1969 but not any more... >>

    Read the book if you have the chance.

    Space exploration has little value outside its cultural impact.

    And this will continue to be true until we find something interesting.
    The nature of exploration is that we don't know what we will find until
    we find it.

    Residents of Australian find it perfectly sensible that people kept
    poking around the Pacific until Cooke found Australia and mapped enough
    of it to suggests that it might be worth establishing a colony there.

    Most the residents of North America with European ancestry would think
    much the same about Columbus and his daft misconceptions about the size
    of the earth, if they thought about the matter at all.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney


    --
    This email has been checked for viruses by Norton antivirus software. www.norton.com

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Martin Brown@21:1/5 to Bill Sloman on Wed Jun 12 09:31:30 2024
    On 12/06/2024 06:17, Bill Sloman wrote:
    On 12/06/2024 2:11 am, Phil Hobbs wrote:
    Martin Brown <'''newspam'''@nonad.co.uk> wrote:

    Rocket launches and landings are intrinsically dangerous. On this I am
    inclined to agree with JL - unless and until we find something that our
    robotic and AI kit cannot do we shouldn't be sending people into space.

    It was the *only* way to explore the moon back in 1969 but not any
    more...

    Read the book if you have the chance.

    Space exploration has little value outside its cultural impact.

    And this will continue to be true until we find something interesting.
    The nature of exploration is that we don't know what we will find until
    we find it.

    OTOH we are much better equipped at remote sensing than they were. Our
    robotics have now reached the point where they can do almost everything
    that a man can do and they don't need feeding and air whilst in transit.
    They also have multispectral imaging beyond what a human eye can see.
    The vacuum of space is an incredibly hostile environment humans are far
    too fragile to survive for long without a lot of support.

    Sending humans to explore any of the interesting places in our solar
    system is doomed to failure. At best it will be a "Big Brother" reality
    TV show with real teeth. John you have been voted out of the spacecraft:
    the airlock is over there. You are the weakest link - goodbye.

    At worst we would contaminate a pristine unique independently evolved biological environment with terrestrial micro organisms that hitch a
    ride with us. A bit like introducing rats or hedgehogs onto remote
    islands full of creatures that are unable to deal with such threats.

    Residents of Australian find it perfectly sensible that people kept
    poking around the Pacific until Cooke found Australia and mapped enough
    of it to suggests that it might be worth establishing a colony there.

    Most the residents of North America with European ancestry would think
    much the same about Columbus and his daft misconceptions about the size
    of the earth, if they thought about the matter at all.

    There isn't anywhere remotely habitable that we can see within striking distance at the moment. North pole of the moon might be OK for a small
    lunar research base in the same way as we have in Antarctica and the far
    side of the moon would be a nice radio quiet spot for radio telescopes
    to use frequencies that are impossible from the Earth. That is about it.

    Going to Mars with current technologies will merely result in the deaths
    of the astronauts that we send. NASA doesn't deliberately set out to do
    one way suicide missions (unlike some vocal proponents of manned Mars exploration).

    The main purpose of the ISS was to distract redundant Russian rocket
    scientists away from ICBM design (and I suppose it worked for a while).

    Most of the "research" done on that low gravity platform wouldn't pass
    muster at a high school science fair. It has fostered international co-operation though - especially during the period where the US had to
    rely on Russian space vehicles for transit to and from the ISS.

    --
    Martin Brown

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Bill Sloman@21:1/5 to Martin Brown on Thu Jun 13 01:46:13 2024
    On 12/06/2024 6:31 pm, Martin Brown wrote:
    On 12/06/2024 06:17, Bill Sloman wrote:
    On 12/06/2024 2:11 am, Phil Hobbs wrote:
    Martin Brown <'''newspam'''@nonad.co.uk> wrote:

    Rocket launches and landings are intrinsically dangerous. On this I am >>>> inclined to agree with JL - unless and until we find something that our >>>> robotic and AI kit cannot do we shouldn't be sending people into space. >>>>
    It was the *only* way to explore the moon back in 1969 but not any
    more...

    Read the book if you have the chance.

    Space exploration has little value outside its cultural impact.

    And this will continue to be true until we find something interesting.
    The nature of exploration is that we don't know what we will find
    until we find it.

    OTOH we are much better equipped at remote sensing than they were. Our robotics have now reached the point where they can do almost everything
    that a man can do and they don't need feeding and air whilst in transit.

    What they can't do is notice the unexpected.

    They also have multispectral imaging beyond what a human eye can see.
    The vacuum of space is an incredibly hostile environment humans are far
    too fragile to survive for long without a lot of support.

    The "hostility" is perfectly credible, and well documented. It can kill
    you even faster than an arctic or antarctic winter, if something goes wrong.

    Sending humans to explore any of the interesting places in our solar
    system is doomed to failure.

    Twaddle. It has to be done carefully, and you'd need a very good reason
    to do it at all, but an "interesting place" has to be interesting for a
    reason.

    At best it will be a "Big Brother" reality
    TV show with real teeth. John you have been voted out of the spacecraft:
    the airlock is over there. You are the weakest link - goodbye.

    That's an idiotic proposition. If you want to make money out of
    revolting inter-person competitions, you won't want to spend a lot of
    time and money getting the contestants out to some extra-planetary
    location, which lying about where they were would be so much cheaper.

    At worst we would contaminate a pristine unique independently evolved biological environment with terrestrial micro organisms that hitch a
    ride with us. A bit like introducing rats or hedgehogs onto remote
    islands full of creatures that are unable to deal with such threats.

    It's easy enough to avoid.

    Residents of Australian find it perfectly sensible that people kept
    poking around the Pacific until Cooke found Australia and mapped
    enough of it to suggests that it might be worth establishing a colony
    there.

    Most the residents of North America with European ancestry would think
    much the same about Columbus and his daft misconceptions about the
    size of the earth, if they thought about the matter at all.

    There isn't anywhere remotely habitable that we can see within striking distance at the moment. North pole of the moon might be OK for a small
    lunar research base in the same way as we have in Antarctica and the far
    side of the moon would be a nice radio quiet spot for radio telescopes
    to use frequencies that are impossible from the Earth. That is about it.

    With the advantages we can see today.There may be others we haven't
    thought about yet.

    Going to Mars with current technologies will merely result in the deaths
    of the astronauts that we send. NASA doesn't deliberately set out to do
    one way suicide missions (unlike some vocal proponents of manned Mars exploration).

    It would be likely to result in the deaths of some the astronauts sent.
    It's highly unlikely to kill off the lot.

    The main purpose of the ISS was to distract redundant Russian rocket scientists away from ICBM design (and I suppose it worked for a while).

    Most of the "research" done on that low gravity platform wouldn't pass
    muster at a high school science fair. It has fostered international co-operation though - especially during the period where the US had to
    rely on Russian space vehicles for transit to and from the ISS.

    Perhaps. The cube-sats now being sent up seem to be a very mixed bunch,
    if I'm to believe what my acquaintances tell me, and make money in
    variety of different ways, all of which sound plausible. No people yet.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney



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  • From Cursitor Doom@21:1/5 to Bill Sloman on Wed Jun 12 17:11:19 2024
    On Wed, 12 Jun 2024 15:06:49 +1000, Bill Sloman wrote:

    On 12/06/2024 8:43 am, Cursitor Doom wrote:
    On Wed, 12 Jun 2024 00:55:21 +1000, Bill Sloman wrote:

    On 10/06/2024 8:05 am, Cursitor Doom wrote:
    On Sun, 09 Jun 2024 11:47:50 -0700, john larkin wrote:

    On Sun, 9 Jun 2024 17:29:13 -0000 (UTC), Cursitor Doom
    <cd999666@notformail.com> wrote:

    On Sun, 09 Jun 2024 08:08:26 -0700, john larkin wrote:

    On Sun, 9 Jun 2024 08:21:52 +0100, Jeff Layman
    <Jeff@invalid.invalid>
    wrote:

    On 09/06/2024 03:42, john larkin wrote:

    So about as reliable a statistic as their figures for historical CO2
    in the atmosphere, then.

    Not really. We've been observing the CO2 level in the atmosphere
    continuously since 1958 and Manua Loa wasn't NASA.

    The entirely independent Cape Grim observatory got going in 1976 -
    it's run by Australia's CSIRO

    https://capegrim.csiro.au/

    and presents much the same story. It's southern hemisphere rather than
    northern hemisphere so that the annual fluctuation isn't as big.

    NASA estimate of how many shuttles' they'd lose were just that - they
    dated back to before they'd lost any.

    You objections to the thoroughly reliable climate data involve your
    demented conspiracy theory which has everybody involved in taking the
    published the measurements consistently lying to the public for more
    than sixty years.

    Nobody even thought that anyone would bother until around 1990, when
    global warming hit statistical significance, and the fossil carbon
    extraction industry woke up the threat to their long term cash flows.

    Sorry, Bill. I've got better things to do than get drawn into another
    of your pointless pissing contests.

    Lying about the science evidence demonstrating that climate change is happening is a well-paid commercial activity. You aren't remotely good enough at it to get paid for it, but that doesn't seem to stop you
    hoping that you might.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    Nice try, Bill, but I'm not falling for it. I know a barb when I see it
    and I'm not getting hooked. Try plying your trade on some other poor sap.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Bill Sloman@21:1/5 to Cursitor Doom on Thu Jun 13 18:06:36 2024
    On 13/06/2024 3:11 am, Cursitor Doom wrote:
    On Wed, 12 Jun 2024 15:06:49 +1000, Bill Sloman wrote:

    On 12/06/2024 8:43 am, Cursitor Doom wrote:
    On Wed, 12 Jun 2024 00:55:21 +1000, Bill Sloman wrote:

    On 10/06/2024 8:05 am, Cursitor Doom wrote:
    On Sun, 09 Jun 2024 11:47:50 -0700, john larkin wrote:

    On Sun, 9 Jun 2024 17:29:13 -0000 (UTC), Cursitor Doom
    <cd999666@notformail.com> wrote:

    On Sun, 09 Jun 2024 08:08:26 -0700, john larkin wrote:

    On Sun, 9 Jun 2024 08:21:52 +0100, Jeff Layman
    <Jeff@invalid.invalid>
    wrote:

    On 09/06/2024 03:42, john larkin wrote:

    So about as reliable a statistic as their figures for historical CO2 >>>>> in the atmosphere, then.

    Not really. We've been observing the CO2 level in the atmosphere
    continuously since 1958 and Manua Loa wasn't NASA.

    The entirely independent Cape Grim observatory got going in 1976 -
    it's run by Australia's CSIRO

    https://capegrim.csiro.au/

    and presents much the same story. It's southern hemisphere rather than >>>> northern hemisphere so that the annual fluctuation isn't as big.

    NASA estimate of how many shuttles' they'd lose were just that - they
    dated back to before they'd lost any.

    You objections to the thoroughly reliable climate data involve your
    demented conspiracy theory which has everybody involved in taking the
    published the measurements consistently lying to the public for more
    than sixty years.

    Nobody even thought that anyone would bother until around 1990, when
    global warming hit statistical significance, and the fossil carbon
    extraction industry woke up the threat to their long term cash flows.

    Sorry, Bill. I've got better things to do than get drawn into another
    of your pointless pissing contests.

    Lying about the science evidence demonstrating that climate change is
    happening is a well-paid commercial activity. You aren't remotely good
    enough at it to get paid for it, but that doesn't seem to stop you
    hoping that you might.

    Nice try, Bill, but I'm not falling for it. I know a barb when I see it
    and I'm not getting hooked. Try plying your trade on some other poor sap.

    You've gotten well hooked by climate change denial propaganda, and
    thrashing around pretending to be sceptical is just more of your futile attempts to evade the point. The barb is deeply embedded. You probably
    need a brain implant to get off the hook, and you'd probably reject
    functional brain tissue as incompatible with your right-wing goof genome.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney


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  • From Cursitor Doom@21:1/5 to Bill Sloman on Sun Jun 16 16:45:17 2024
    On Thu, 13 Jun 2024 18:06:36 +1000, Bill Sloman wrote:

    On 13/06/2024 3:11 am, Cursitor Doom wrote:
    On Wed, 12 Jun 2024 15:06:49 +1000, Bill Sloman wrote:

    On 12/06/2024 8:43 am, Cursitor Doom wrote:
    On Wed, 12 Jun 2024 00:55:21 +1000, Bill Sloman wrote:

    On 10/06/2024 8:05 am, Cursitor Doom wrote:
    On Sun, 09 Jun 2024 11:47:50 -0700, john larkin wrote:

    On Sun, 9 Jun 2024 17:29:13 -0000 (UTC), Cursitor Doom
    <cd999666@notformail.com> wrote:

    On Sun, 09 Jun 2024 08:08:26 -0700, john larkin wrote:

    On Sun, 9 Jun 2024 08:21:52 +0100, Jeff Layman
    <Jeff@invalid.invalid>
    wrote:

    On 09/06/2024 03:42, john larkin wrote:

    So about as reliable a statistic as their figures for historical
    CO2 in the atmosphere, then.

    Not really. We've been observing the CO2 level in the atmosphere
    continuously since 1958 and Manua Loa wasn't NASA.

    The entirely independent Cape Grim observatory got going in 1976 -
    it's run by Australia's CSIRO

    https://capegrim.csiro.au/

    and presents much the same story. It's southern hemisphere rather
    than northern hemisphere so that the annual fluctuation isn't as
    big.

    NASA estimate of how many shuttles' they'd lose were just that -
    they dated back to before they'd lost any.

    You objections to the thoroughly reliable climate data involve your
    demented conspiracy theory which has everybody involved in taking
    the published the measurements consistently lying to the public for
    more than sixty years.

    Nobody even thought that anyone would bother until around 1990, when >>>>> global warming hit statistical significance, and the fossil carbon
    extraction industry woke up the threat to their long term cash
    flows.

    Sorry, Bill. I've got better things to do than get drawn into another
    of your pointless pissing contests.

    Lying about the science evidence demonstrating that climate change is
    happening is a well-paid commercial activity. You aren't remotely
    good enough at it to get paid for it, but that doesn't seem to stop
    you hoping that you might.

    Nice try, Bill, but I'm not falling for it. I know a barb when I see it
    and I'm not getting hooked. Try plying your trade on some other poor
    sap.

    You've gotten well hooked by climate change denial propaganda, and
    thrashing around pretending to be sceptical is just more of your futile attempts to evade the point. The barb is deeply embedded. You probably
    need a brain implant to get off the hook, and you'd probably reject functional brain tissue as incompatible with your right-wing goof
    genome.

    Nope. Still not tempted. You need to up your game, Bill.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Bill Sloman@21:1/5 to Cursitor Doom on Wed Jun 19 15:00:24 2024
    On 17/06/2024 2:45 am, Cursitor Doom wrote:
    On Thu, 13 Jun 2024 18:06:36 +1000, Bill Sloman wrote:

    On 13/06/2024 3:11 am, Cursitor Doom wrote:
    On Wed, 12 Jun 2024 15:06:49 +1000, Bill Sloman wrote:

    On 12/06/2024 8:43 am, Cursitor Doom wrote:
    On Wed, 12 Jun 2024 00:55:21 +1000, Bill Sloman wrote:

    On 10/06/2024 8:05 am, Cursitor Doom wrote:
    On Sun, 09 Jun 2024 11:47:50 -0700, john larkin wrote:

    On Sun, 9 Jun 2024 17:29:13 -0000 (UTC), Cursitor Doom
    <cd999666@notformail.com> wrote:

    On Sun, 09 Jun 2024 08:08:26 -0700, john larkin wrote:

    On Sun, 9 Jun 2024 08:21:52 +0100, Jeff Layman
    <Jeff@invalid.invalid>
    wrote:

    On 09/06/2024 03:42, john larkin wrote:

    <snip>

    You objections to the thoroughly reliable climate data involve your >>>>>> demented conspiracy theory which has everybody involved in taking
    the published the measurements consistently lying to the public for >>>>>> more than sixty years.

    Nobody even thought that anyone would bother until around 1990, when >>>>>> global warming hit statistical significance, and the fossil carbon >>>>>> extraction industry woke up the threat to their long term cash
    flows.

    Sorry, Bill. I've got better things to do than get drawn into another >>>>> of your pointless pissing contests.

    Lying about the science evidence demonstrating that climate change is
    happening is a well-paid commercial activity. You aren't remotely
    good enough at it to get paid for it, but that doesn't seem to stop
    you hoping that you might.
    >
    Nice try, Bill, but I'm not falling for it. I know a barb when I see it
    and I'm not getting hooked. Try plying your trade on some other poor
    sap.

    You've gotten well hooked by climate change denial propaganda, and
    thrashing around pretending to be sceptical is just more of your futile
    attempts to evade the point. The barb is deeply embedded. You probably
    need a brain implant to get off the hook, and you'd probably reject
    functional brain tissue as incompatible with your right-wing goof
    genome.

    Nope. Still not tempted. You need to up your game, Bill.

    For a brain dead creep like you? You do like to make your fantasies
    thoroughly implausible, but this is even sillier than usual.

    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    --
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