• Re: 23 +1Bn$ Extreme Weather Events In U.S. Alone In 2023

    From John Larkin@21:1/5 to bloggs.fredbloggs.fred@gmail.com on Thu Jan 11 07:06:16 2024
    On Thu, 11 Jan 2024 05:48:45 -0800 (PST), Fred Bloggs <bloggs.fredbloggs.fred@gmail.com> wrote:

    And these estimates by NOAA are considered conservative.

    All the while U.S. is racing to produce as much gas and petroleum as possible. Manmade GHG emissions are increasing. Morons are doing as much as possible to obstruct conversion to renewable energy, defame new technologies, such as cold weather heat
    pumps, defame EVs.

    Democracy is clearly not working, or, maybe it is if you allow for people getting their just deserts as a benefit, some kind of correction as the finance industry describes disaster.

    https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/billions/events/US/2023?disasters[]=all-disasters

    The US accounts for 14% of world CO2 and that will decline greatly as developing countries keep developing. China and India build a coal
    power plant every few days, and people in Africa want electricity and
    trucks.

    There is no giant plastic dome over the USA, or Berkeley CA, that
    makes our emissions control our weather.

    And CO2 is good for the planet. We need more and, fortunately, will
    get it.

    Hey, I found a web site that you will love:

    https://endtimeheadlines.org/

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From john larkin@21:1/5 to bloggs.fredbloggs.fred@gmail.com on Thu Jan 11 15:06:43 2024
    On Thu, 11 Jan 2024 12:55:16 -0800 (PST), Fred Bloggs <bloggs.fredbloggs.fred@gmail.com> wrote:

    On Thursday, January 11, 2024 at 10:07:43?AM UTC-5, John Larkin wrote:
    On Thu, 11 Jan 2024 05:48:45 -0800 (PST), Fred Bloggs
    <bloggs.fred...@gmail.com> wrote:

    And these estimates by NOAA are considered conservative.

    All the while U.S. is racing to produce as much gas and petroleum as possible. Manmade GHG emissions are increasing. Morons are doing as much as possible to obstruct conversion to renewable energy, defame new technologies, such as cold weather heat
    pumps, defame EVs.

    Democracy is clearly not working, or, maybe it is if you allow for people getting their just deserts as a benefit, some kind of correction as the finance industry describes disaster.

    https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/billions/events/US/2023?disasters[]=all-disasters
    The US accounts for 14% of world CO2 and that will decline greatly as
    developing countries keep developing. China and India build a coal
    power plant every few days, and people in Africa want electricity and
    trucks.

    There is no giant plastic dome over the USA, or Berkeley CA, that
    makes our emissions control our weather.

    And CO2 is good for the planet. We need more and, fortunately, will
    get it.

    The damage tally for the NOAA list for 2023 is just shy of 60 Bn$, who do you think is paying for that? Then the insurance industry is bailing left and right in disaster prone areas, that would be as indicated by more recent short term statistics, the
    old 50-year almanac is thrown out the window. They can't begin to take these huge hits. It really doesn't sound like excess CO2 is good for anybody.



    The total value of US real estate is about $47 trillion. So $60B
    damage is ballpark 0.1%. And people shouldn't build in forests or
    flood plains or on ocean beaches if they want cheap insurance.

    Federal flood insurance gets a lot of blame for encouraging building
    and rebuilding in bad places.

    Hurricane cyclone energy is pretty much flat over the last 70 years.
    Of course the density and value of coastal real estate is way up.

    I don't know why people want to live in Florida, but they do.


    Hey, I found a web site that you will love:

    https://endtimeheadlines.org/

    That doesn't look very scientific.

    Doomesay prophets aren't. I thoughy you'd enjoy it.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Bill Sloman@21:1/5 to Carl Ijames on Fri Jan 12 16:34:17 2024
    On 12/01/2024 11:01 am, Carl Ijames wrote:
    On Thu Jan 11 05:48:45 2024 Fred Bloggs wrote:
    And these estimates by NOAA are considered conservative.

    All the while U.S. is racing to produce as much gas and petroleum as possible. Manmade GHG emissions are increasing. Morons are doing as much as possible to obstruct conversion to renewable energy, defame new technologies, such as cold weather heat
    pumps, defame EVs.

    Democracy is clearly not working, or, maybe it is if you allow for people getting their just deserts as a benefit, some kind of correction as the finance industry describes disaster.

    https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/billions/events/US/2023?disasters[]=all-disasters

    There's at least one report, not peer reviewed yet, that severely criticizes that report. See https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/energy/study-finds-problems-noaas-scientific-integrity-reporting-billion-dollar for one article, I'm sure there are
    others. Quoting justthenews:

    The studys author, Dr. Roger Pielke Jr., professor of environmental studies at the University of Colorado at Boulder, has done extensive research over nearly three decades into the trends of disaster costs over time, which show the trends are actually
    declining.

    He's a climate change skeptic. He's not flagrant about it - his
    criticisms are carefully couched so that his partisanship isn't obvious,
    to maximise his credibility.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roger_A._Pielke_Jr.

    Pielkes research normalizes the disaster costs, which means he adjusts for differences in wealth over time. Pielke explains why this is important in an article on his The Honest Broker Substack. If a category 3 hurricane hit Miami Beach in 1926, it
    would impact far less development than a storm of equal intensity hitting the beach today. Without controlling for these differences, Pielke writes, its impossible to reliably determine trends.
    In a preprint released last week, Pielke evaluates the methods NOAA uses to calculate billion-dollar disasters. He finds that the data NOAA publishes lacks transparency that would allow the sources of the data to be verified. This doesnt follow the
    agencys own guidelines for scientific integrity, the study notes. Likewise, the cost figures are not normalized, which produces misleading results. The agency is also, according to the study, incorrectly attributing the trends to changes in climate over
    time.

    He's nit-picking. The kind of nit-picking makes you popular with the
    fossil carbon extraction industry, but he's careful not to take direct
    pay-offs from them.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From John Larkin@21:1/5 to bloggs.fredbloggs.fred@gmail.com on Fri Jan 12 09:21:30 2024
    On Thu, 11 Jan 2024 05:48:45 -0800 (PST), Fred Bloggs <bloggs.fredbloggs.fred@gmail.com> wrote:

    And these estimates by NOAA are considered conservative.

    All the while U.S. is racing to produce as much gas and petroleum as possible. Manmade GHG emissions are increasing. Morons are doing as much as possible to obstruct conversion to renewable energy, defame new technologies, such as cold weather heat
    pumps, defame EVs.

    Democracy is clearly not working, or, maybe it is if you allow for people getting their just deserts as a benefit, some kind of correction as the finance industry describes disaster.

    https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/billions/events/US/2023?disasters[]=all-disasters

    Global Warming is now "life threatening cold" in mid-USA.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From jim whitby@21:1/5 to John Larkin on Fri Jan 12 15:34:51 2024
    On 1/12/24 12:21, John Larkin wrote:
    <snip>


    Global Warming is now "life threatening cold" in mid-USA.


    Tell it like it is Rush!

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From john larkin@21:1/5 to jim whitby on Fri Jan 12 14:26:30 2024
    On Fri, 12 Jan 2024 15:34:51 -0500, jim whitby <jim@afraid.org> wrote:

    On 1/12/24 12:21, John Larkin wrote:
    <snip>


    Global Warming is now "life threatening cold" in mid-USA.


    Tell it like it is Rush!


    Once the climate experts said we'd all freeze to death. Then we'd die
    of heat exhaustion. They have hedged their "science" to be "climate
    change" now so that whatever happens, they were right.

    That's the story when predicting future states of strongly chaotic
    systems. Most any predictions are eventually true.

    It's nice day here. We finally had a bunch of rain and I expect that
    our seasonal creek is running again. And there's snow in the
    mountains.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Bill Sloman@21:1/5 to John Larkin on Sat Jan 13 13:25:11 2024
    On 13/01/2024 4:21 am, John Larkin wrote:
    On Thu, 11 Jan 2024 05:48:45 -0800 (PST), Fred Bloggs <bloggs.fredbloggs.fred@gmail.com> wrote:

    And these estimates by NOAA are considered conservative.

    All the while U.S. is racing to produce as much gas and petroleum as possible. Manmade GHG emissions are increasing. Morons are doing as much as possible to obstruct conversion to renewable energy, defame new technologies, such as cold weather heat
    pumps, defame EVs.

    Democracy is clearly not working, or, maybe it is if you allow for people getting their just deserts as a benefit, some kind of correction as the finance industry describes disaster.

    https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/billions/events/US/2023?disasters[]=all-disasters

    Global Warming is now "life threatening cold" in mid-USA.

    That's why people prefer to talk about climate change.

    Global warming is a higher surface temperature averaged over the entire
    planet. This is perfectly compatible with periods of colder-than usual
    weather in particular places.

    The main effect of global warming is warmer sea-surface temperatures and
    more water vapour in the air.

    When this condenses out - often over land - it dumps the heat of
    vapourisation into local weather systems which can become more energetic
    than they used to.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Bill Sloman@21:1/5 to john larkin on Sat Jan 13 13:33:23 2024
    On 13/01/2024 9:26 am, john larkin wrote:
    On Fri, 12 Jan 2024 15:34:51 -0500, jim whitby <jim@afraid.org> wrote:

    On 1/12/24 12:21, John Larkin wrote:
    <snip>


    Global Warming is now "life threatening cold" in mid-USA.


    Tell it like it is Rush!


    Once the climate experts said we'd all freeze to death.

    They never did. In the 1970's a few people speculated about a new ice
    age, but our species has survived a few of them, so another one wouldn't
    have frozen us all to death.

    Then we'd die of heat exhaustion. They have hedged their "science" to be "climate
    change" now so that whatever happens, they were right.

    You don't pay any attention to what they actually say, so your opinion
    is worthless.

    That's the story when predicting future states of strongly chaotic
    systems. Most any predictions are eventually true.

    If you don't pay any attention to what is actually predicted, you can
    think that.

    It's nice day here. We finally had a bunch of rain and I expect that
    our seasonal creek is running again. And there's snow in the
    mountains.
    Global warming science needs to integrate a few more observations than that.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Bill Sloman@21:1/5 to John Larkin on Sat Jan 13 13:19:06 2024
    On 13/01/2024 4:21 am, John Larkin wrote:
    On Thu, 11 Jan 2024 05:48:45 -0800 (PST), Fred Bloggs <bloggs.fredbloggs.fred@gmail.com> wrote:

    And these estimates by NOAA are considered conservative.

    All the while U.S. is racing to produce as much gas and petroleum as possible. Manmade GHG emissions are increasing. Morons are doing as much as possible to obstruct conversion to renewable energy, defame new technologies, such as cold weather heat
    pumps, defame EVs.

    Democracy is clearly not working, or, maybe it is if you allow for people getting their just deserts as a benefit, some kind of correction as the finance industry describes disaster.

    https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/billions/events/US/2023?disasters[]=all-disasters

    Global Warming is now "life threatening cold" in mid-USA.

    That's why people prefer to talk about "climate change". Global warming
    talks about the average temperatures over the entire planet, but that
    does admit periods of colder-than-usual weather in some places.

    The major effect of a warmer average temperature over the entire planet
    is warmer ocean surfaces and more water vapour in the atmosphere, which
    drives more extreme weather.

    When that water vapour condenses over land (as a lot of it does) it
    dumps energy into weather systems which can get more energetic than they
    used to be.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From none) (albert@21:1/5 to bill.sloman@ieee.org on Sat Jan 13 11:59:01 2024
    In article <4acd9bb1-8225-411c-a1b1-193f2edd1c83n@googlegroups.com>,
    Anthony William Sloman <bill.sloman@ieee.org> wrote:
    On Friday, January 12, 2024 at 2:07:43 AM UTC+11, John Larkin wrote:
    On Thu, 11 Jan 2024 05:48:45 -0800 (PST), Fred Bloggs
    <bloggs.fred...@gmail.com> wrote:

    And these estimates by NOAA are considered conservative.

    All the while U.S. is racing to produce as much gas and petroleum as >possible. Manmade GHG emissions are increasing. Morons are doing as much
    as possible to obstruct conversion to renewable energy, defame new >technologies, such as cold weather heat pumps, defame EVs.

    Democracy is clearly not working, or, maybe it is if you allow for
    people getting their just deserts as a benefit, some kind of correction
    as the finance industry describes disaster.

    https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/billions/events/US/2023?disasters[]=all-disasters

    The US accounts for 14% of world CO2 and that will decline greatly as
    developing countries keep developing.

    The US accounts for just 4% of the world's population.

    https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/co-emissions-per-capita?tab=table

    At 14.9 tonnes per head it is just behind Australia (15.0 tonnes per head).

    China and India build a coal power plant every few days, and people
    in Africa want electricity and trucks.

    China is also building solar farms at a huge rate - it's got more
    renewable energy generation capacity than the rest of the world put
    together. Their new coal-fired power stations are around 40% efficient
    and replace old 8% efficient coal fired generators, and are as much a
    back up for renewables as they are base-line generators. Battery and
    pumped storage are coming on, but they haven't got it a lot of it yet.

    Not to mention that China is serious about developing nuclear energy,
    the plutonium reactors and helium cooled reactors, important for deserts.
    Once this takes off, the rest of the world is years behind like with
    solar panels and led's.

    Africa wants energy - and it no longer has to burn fossil carbon to get
    it. Renewables are a cheaper source, and you can buy renewablle
    generating capacity in much smaller chunks, and skip the nation-wdie
    grid to distribute it.

    There is no giant plastic dome over the USA, or Berkeley CA, that
    makes our emissions control our weather.

    But your emissions still control your weather, and everybody else's.

    And CO2 is good for the planet. We need more and, fortunately, will get it.

    It isn't. More CO2 may help weeds, but it creates other problems that
    don't help the plants that we grow for food.,

    I could snip this, bit it bears repeating.

    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    Groetjes Albert
    --
    Don't praise the day before the evening. One swallow doesn't make spring.
    You must not say "hey" before you have crossed the bridge. Don't sell the
    hide of the bear until you shot it. Better one bird in the hand than ten in
    the air. First gain is a cat purring. - the Wise from Antrim -

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From John Larkin@21:1/5 to bloggs.fredbloggs.fred@gmail.com on Sat Jan 13 07:46:13 2024
    On Sat, 13 Jan 2024 05:15:25 -0800 (PST), Fred Bloggs <bloggs.fredbloggs.fred@gmail.com> wrote:

    On Friday, January 12, 2024 at 12:22:57?PM UTC-5, John Larkin wrote:
    On Thu, 11 Jan 2024 05:48:45 -0800 (PST), Fred Bloggs
    <bloggs.fred...@gmail.com> wrote:
    And these estimates by NOAA are considered conservative.

    All the while U.S. is racing to produce as much gas and petroleum as possible. Manmade GHG emissions are increasing. Morons are doing as much as possible to obstruct conversion to renewable energy, defame new technologies, such as cold weather heat
    pumps, defame EVs.

    Democracy is clearly not working, or, maybe it is if you allow for people getting their just deserts as a benefit, some kind of correction as the finance industry describes disaster.

    https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/billions/events/US/2023?disasters[]=all-disasters
    Global Warming is now "life threatening cold" in mid-USA.

    That sounds sarcastic but it's actually scientifically factual. The exceedingly warm atmospheric temperatures and their accompanying high pressure have produced a sudden warming of the stratospheric polar vortex. The high pressure regions acting on the
    tropospheric base of the vortex have pinched it in two. It was so severe this year they were expecting the tropospheric jet stream to come to a complete halt and possibly even reverse direction. The major end result is this fragmented dual polar vortex
    in the troposphere that is longer 'polar', dipping into ridiculously low latitudes, and bringing freezing weather with it, it is winter afterall, equatorial plane has negative declination.

    So, yep, you're right, global warming has in fact produced exceedingly cold winter weather across the U.S.

    Global warming is much more involved than just high temperatures. It is mainly high climate energy, and with that comes highly erratic and extreme weather. And there's an added bonus: the sensitivity of climate response to the Earth energy imbalance
    increase nonlinearly. Best estimates are that the current level of energy imbalance is equivalent to atmospheric CO2 concentration of 500 ppm.

    I'd vote for 800.

    Climate Change is more a social+political thing than a physical event.
    The public is bored with it already.


    2023 was an example of 1.5oC temperature rise, it's here to stay, and the climate is accelerating to 10oC.

    Enjoy watching your children die, because there's nothing that can be done to save them.

    Absurd. People are healthier and living longer than in past times, and
    the trend is still up. I expect some serious advances in disease and
    cancer treatment in this century, and of course better lives for the
    billions now in extreme poverty.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From John Robertson@21:1/5 to John Larkin on Sat Jan 13 08:06:48 2024
    On 2024/01/13 7:46 a.m., John Larkin wrote:
    On Sat, 13 Jan 2024 05:15:25 -0800 (PST), Fred Bloggs <bloggs.fredbloggs.fred@gmail.com> wrote:

    On Friday, January 12, 2024 at 12:22:57?PM UTC-5, John Larkin wrote:
    On Thu, 11 Jan 2024 05:48:45 -0800 (PST), Fred Bloggs
    <bloggs.fred...@gmail.com> wrote:
    And these estimates by NOAA are considered conservative.

    All the while U.S. is racing to produce as much gas and petroleum as possible. Manmade GHG emissions are increasing. Morons are doing as much as possible to obstruct conversion to renewable energy, defame new technologies, such as cold weather heat
    pumps, defame EVs.

    Democracy is clearly not working, or, maybe it is if you allow for people getting their just deserts as a benefit, some kind of correction as the finance industry describes disaster.

    https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/billions/events/US/2023?disasters[]=all-disasters
    Global Warming is now "life threatening cold" in mid-USA.

    That sounds sarcastic but it's actually scientifically factual. The exceedingly warm atmospheric temperatures and their accompanying high pressure have produced a sudden warming of the stratospheric polar vortex. The high pressure regions acting on
    the tropospheric base of the vortex have pinched it in two. It was so severe this year they were expecting the tropospheric jet stream to come to a complete halt and possibly even reverse direction. The major end result is this fragmented dual polar
    vortex in the troposphere that is longer 'polar', dipping into ridiculously low latitudes, and bringing freezing weather with it, it is winter afterall, equatorial plane has negative declination.

    So, yep, you're right, global warming has in fact produced exceedingly cold winter weather across the U.S.

    Global warming is much more involved than just high temperatures. It is mainly high climate energy, and with that comes highly erratic and extreme weather. And there's an added bonus: the sensitivity of climate response to the Earth energy imbalance
    increase nonlinearly. Best estimates are that the current level of energy imbalance is equivalent to atmospheric CO2 concentration of 500 ppm.

    I'd vote for 800.

    Climate Change is more a social+political thing than a physical event.
    The public is bored with it already.


    2023 was an example of 1.5oC temperature rise, it's here to stay, and the climate is accelerating to 10oC.

    Enjoy watching your children die, because there's nothing that can be done to save them.

    Absurd. People are healthier and living longer than in past times, and
    the trend is still up. I expect some serious advances in disease and
    cancer treatment in this century, and of course better lives for the
    billions now in extreme poverty.


    I like to read old 1930s newspapers to get an idea of the last extreme
    warming event - you may have heard of the Dust Bowl and the record heat
    waves then that haven't yet been broken. Odd how the 'modern' heat
    records always start from 1938.

    Anyway, one thing that came out during the heat wave in 1936 was the unprecedented extreme cold the previous winter. Winter temperatures like today's set records then.

    After a couple of years of extreme cold and heat the planet average temp dropped for a while as the remnants of the Little Ice Age worked their
    course.

    And that is the period that 'modern' records start as it looks better on
    the graphs.

    John ;-#)#

    PS, what is particularly interesting is the NASA study by Patrick
    Minnis, on contrails both after 911 and Covid events. World temperatures dropped by 1 to 1.5F just after 911 (essentially all the warming from
    1970 to 2001), and a slight drop was noticed during the dramatic drop in
    air traffic during Covid.

    https://clouds.larc.nasa.gov/sass/NY_TIMES_091702.html

    https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/article/contrail-effect/

    Note this research was denounced by James Hansen and other climatologists...

    What was it that someone once said about a single person can prove his
    theory wrong? I suspect Patrick Minnis, a senior research scientist at
    NASA's Langely Research Center may fit that.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Jeroen Belleman@21:1/5 to All on Sun Jan 14 11:08:27 2024
    On 1/14/24 10:39, whit3rd wrote:
    On Friday, January 12, 2024 at 2:26:44 PM UTC-8, john larkin wrote:
    On Fri, 12 Jan 2024 15:34:51 -0500, jim whitby <j...@afraid.org> wrote:

    On 1/12/24 12:21, John Larkin wrote:
    <snip>


    Global Warming is now "life threatening cold" in mid-USA.

    The warming is seen in the world temperature map.

    <https://arstechnica.com/science/2024/01/nasa-scientist-on-2023-temperatures-were-frankly-astonished/>

    Once the climate experts said we'd all freeze to death.

    That's a lie. We've heard it before, and it doesn't pass factchecking.

    I don't agree. I remember it well. In the 1960's we had a
    spade of very cold winters and the scare of the time was that
    it would get worse. It didn't.

    Today's climatologists will deny it, of course, but it was
    really what they told us at the time. And of course, there
    were dissidents then too.

    Jeroen Belleman

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Jeroen Belleman@21:1/5 to All on Sun Jan 14 10:54:59 2024
    On 1/14/24 10:24, whit3rd wrote:
    On Thursday, January 11, 2024 at 7:07:43 AM UTC-8, John Larkin wrote:
    On Thu, 11 Jan 2024 05:48:45 -0800 (PST), Fred Bloggs
    <bloggs.fred...@gmail.com> wrote:

    And these estimates by NOAA are considered conservative.

    All the while U.S. is racing to produce as much gas and petroleum as possible. Manmade GHG emissions are increasing. Morons are doing as much as possible to obstruct conversion to renewable energy, defame new technologies, such as cold weather heat
    pumps, defame EVs.

    Democracy is clearly not working, or, maybe it is if you allow for people getting their just deserts as a benefit, some kind of correction as the finance industry describes disaster.

    https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/billions/events/US/2023?disasters[]=all-disasters

    The US accounts for 14% of world CO2 and that will decline greatly as
    developing countries keep developing. China and India build a coal
    power plant every few days, and people in Africa want electricity and
    trucks.

    There is no giant plastic dome over the USA, or Berkeley CA, that
    makes our emissions control our weather.

    Excellent observation. It won't be necessary to address a dome problem
    in those regions.


    OT anecdote: While flying to Rome one bright and calm summer day,
    I saw in the distance what looked like a yellowish half-sphere
    sitting on the landscape. On further approach, this turned out
    to be a stagnant dome of polluted air over the city of Rome!

    We humans are a disgusting lot.

    Jeroen Belleman

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Joe Gwinn@21:1/5 to jeroen@nospam.please on Mon Jan 15 11:23:10 2024
    On Sun, 14 Jan 2024 11:08:27 +0100, Jeroen Belleman
    <jeroen@nospam.please> wrote:

    On 1/14/24 10:39, whit3rd wrote:
    On Friday, January 12, 2024 at 2:26:44?PM UTC-8, john larkin wrote:
    On Fri, 12 Jan 2024 15:34:51 -0500, jim whitby <j...@afraid.org> wrote:

    On 1/12/24 12:21, John Larkin wrote:
    <snip>


    Global Warming is now "life threatening cold" in mid-USA.

    The warming is seen in the world temperature map.

    <https://arstechnica.com/science/2024/01/nasa-scientist-on-2023-temperatures-were-frankly-astonished/>

    Once the climate experts said we'd all freeze to death.

    That's a lie. We've heard it before, and it doesn't pass factchecking.

    I don't agree. I remember it well. In the 1960's we had a
    spade of very cold winters and the scare of the time was that
    it would get worse. It didn't.

    Today's climatologists will deny it, of course, but it was
    really what they told us at the time. And of course, there
    were dissidents then too.

    Jeroen Belleman

    Yes, my wife and I remember it as well.

    "The Cooling World", Newsweek, April 28, 1975, page 64.

    It was called Global Cooling, and peaked in the 1970s or so, giving
    way to Global Warming. The following describes the transition:

    "Scientists Ask Why World Climate Is Changing", by Walter Sullivan,
    NWT May 21, 1975, page 45.

    Later still, it transitioned to Climate Change when the heating did
    not proceed as predicted.

    Joe Gwinn

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From John Larkin@21:1/5 to All on Mon Jan 15 09:17:23 2024
    On Mon, 15 Jan 2024 11:23:10 -0500, Joe Gwinn <joegwinn@comcast.net>
    wrote:

    On Sun, 14 Jan 2024 11:08:27 +0100, Jeroen Belleman
    <jeroen@nospam.please> wrote:

    On 1/14/24 10:39, whit3rd wrote:
    On Friday, January 12, 2024 at 2:26:44?PM UTC-8, john larkin wrote:
    On Fri, 12 Jan 2024 15:34:51 -0500, jim whitby <j...@afraid.org> wrote: >>>>
    On 1/12/24 12:21, John Larkin wrote:
    <snip>


    Global Warming is now "life threatening cold" in mid-USA.

    The warming is seen in the world temperature map.

    <https://arstechnica.com/science/2024/01/nasa-scientist-on-2023-temperatures-were-frankly-astonished/>

    Once the climate experts said we'd all freeze to death.

    That's a lie. We've heard it before, and it doesn't pass factchecking.

    I don't agree. I remember it well. In the 1960's we had a
    spade of very cold winters and the scare of the time was that
    it would get worse. It didn't.

    Today's climatologists will deny it, of course, but it was
    really what they told us at the time. And of course, there
    were dissidents then too.

    Jeroen Belleman

    Yes, my wife and I remember it as well.

    "The Cooling World", Newsweek, April 28, 1975, page 64.

    It was called Global Cooling, and peaked in the 1970s or so, giving
    way to Global Warming. The following describes the transition:

    "Scientists Ask Why World Climate Is Changing", by Walter Sullivan,
    NWT May 21, 1975, page 45.

    Later still, it transitioned to Climate Change when the heating did
    not proceed as predicted.

    Joe Gwinn

    Everything is about on schedule.

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/5/53/MilankovitchCyclesOrbitandCores.png/660px-MilankovitchCyclesOrbitandCores.png

    We can probably geoegineer away the worst of the coming ice age.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Bill Sloman@21:1/5 to Joe Gwinn on Tue Jan 16 13:00:49 2024
    On 16/01/2024 3:23 am, Joe Gwinn wrote:
    On Sun, 14 Jan 2024 11:08:27 +0100, Jeroen Belleman
    <jeroen@nospam.please> wrote:

    On 1/14/24 10:39, whit3rd wrote:
    On Friday, January 12, 2024 at 2:26:44?PM UTC-8, john larkin wrote:
    On Fri, 12 Jan 2024 15:34:51 -0500, jim whitby <j...@afraid.org> wrote: >>>>
    On 1/12/24 12:21, John Larkin wrote:
    <snip>


    Global Warming is now "life threatening cold" in mid-USA.

    The warming is seen in the world temperature map.

    <https://arstechnica.com/science/2024/01/nasa-scientist-on-2023-temperatures-were-frankly-astonished/>

    Once the climate experts said we'd all freeze to death.

    That's a lie. We've heard it before, and it doesn't pass factchecking.

    I don't agree. I remember it well. In the 1960's we had a
    spade of very cold winters and the scare of the time was that
    it would get worse. It didn't.

    Today's climatologists will deny it, of course, but it was
    really what they told us at the time. And of course, there
    were dissidents then too.

    Jeroen Belleman

    Yes, my wife and I remember it as well.

    "The Cooling World", Newsweek, April 28, 1975, page 64.

    It was called Global Cooling, and peaked in the 1970s or so, giving
    way to Global Warming. The following describes the transition:

    "Scientists Ask Why World Climate Is Changing", by Walter Sullivan,
    NWT May 21, 1975, page 45.

    Later still, it transitioned to Climate Change when the heating did
    not proceed as predicted.

    But nobody said "we'd all freeze to death".

    All that was going on was a cooling phase of multidecal Atlantic
    oscillation (which hadn't been noticed at time).

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atlantic_multidecadal_oscillation

    At the same time coal fired generating plants were dumping lots of SO2
    into the atmosphere, producing acid rain - which is why we have SO2
    scrubbers in the smoke stacks of modern generating plants - and that was increasing the aerosol level in the stratosphere, which also had a minor cooling effect.

    It was all fractions of a degree stuff, and not remotely comparable with anthropogenic global warming.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Bill Sloman@21:1/5 to John Larkin on Tue Jan 16 13:33:00 2024
    On 16/01/2024 4:17 am, John Larkin wrote:
    On Mon, 15 Jan 2024 11:23:10 -0500, Joe Gwinn <joegwinn@comcast.net>
    wrote:

    On Sun, 14 Jan 2024 11:08:27 +0100, Jeroen Belleman
    <jeroen@nospam.please> wrote:

    On 1/14/24 10:39, whit3rd wrote:
    On Friday, January 12, 2024 at 2:26:44?PM UTC-8, john larkin wrote:
    On Fri, 12 Jan 2024 15:34:51 -0500, jim whitby <j...@afraid.org> wrote: >>>>>
    On 1/12/24 12:21, John Larkin wrote:
    <snip>


    Global Warming is now "life threatening cold" in mid-USA.

    The warming is seen in the world temperature map.

    <https://arstechnica.com/science/2024/01/nasa-scientist-on-2023-temperatures-were-frankly-astonished/>

    Once the climate experts said we'd all freeze to death.

    That's a lie. We've heard it before, and it doesn't pass factchecking. >>>
    I don't agree. I remember it well. In the 1960's we had a
    spade of very cold winters and the scare of the time was that
    it would get worse. It didn't.

    Today's climatologists will deny it, of course, but it was
    really what they told us at the time. And of course, there
    were dissidents then too.

    Jeroen Belleman

    Yes, my wife and I remember it as well.

    "The Cooling World", Newsweek, April 28, 1975, page 64.

    It was called Global Cooling, and peaked in the 1970s or so, giving
    way to Global Warming. The following describes the transition:

    "Scientists Ask Why World Climate Is Changing", by Walter Sullivan,
    NWT May 21, 1975, page 45.

    Later still, it transitioned to Climate Change when the heating did
    not proceed as predicted.

    Everything is about on schedule.

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/5/53/MilankovitchCyclesOrbitandCores.png/660px-MilankovitchCyclesOrbitandCores.png

    It isn't, and an out-of-context bunch of graphs isn't any kind of
    evidence of anything.

    It's just the graphs that might support a long version of this article,
    without the commentary that would have illustrated that John Larkin (or
    more likely his climate change denial source) - was misrepresenting them.

    https://climate.nasa.gov/news/2948/milankovitch-orbital-cycles-and-their-role-in-earths-climate/


    We can probably geoegineer away the worst of the coming ice age.

    https://www.whoi.edu/know-your-ocean/ocean-topics/climate-weather/abrupt-climate-change/are-we-on-the-brink-of-a-new-little-ice-age/

    doesn't think that there's any "coming ice age". There might have been
    if we hadn't geo-engineered a nasty lump of anthropogenic global
    warming, but one of the side effect of looking at anthropogenic global
    warming is that we now have a much better idea of how we flip from ice
    ages to interglacials, and back, and it is now thought that the current interglacial would have been a long one anyway.

    --
    Bill Slomnan, Sydney

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Joe Gwinn@21:1/5 to All on Tue Jan 16 12:30:02 2024
    On Mon, 15 Jan 2024 22:19:30 -0800 (PST), whit3rd <whit3rd@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Monday, January 15, 2024 at 8:23:28?AM UTC-8, Joe Gwinn wrote:
    On Sun, 14 Jan 2024 11:08:27 +0100, Jeroen Belleman
    <jer...@nospam.please> wrote:

    On 1/14/24 10:39, whit3rd wrote:
    On Friday, January 12, 2024 at 2:26:44?PM UTC-8, john larkin wrote:
    On Fri, 12 Jan 2024 15:34:51 -0500, jim whitby <j...@afraid.org> wrote: >> >>>
    On 1/12/24 12:21, John Larkin wrote:
    <snip>


    Global Warming is now "life threatening cold" in mid-USA.

    The warming is seen in the world temperature map.

    <https://arstechnica.com/science/2024/01/nasa-scientist-on-2023-temperatures-were-frankly-astonished/>

    Once the climate experts said we'd all freeze to death.

    That's a lie. We've heard it before, and it doesn't pass factchecking.

    I don't agree. I remember it well. In the 1960's we had a
    spade of very cold winters and the scare of the time was that
    it would get worse. It didn't.

    Today's climatologists will deny it, of course, but it was
    really what they told us at the time. And of course, there
    were dissidents then too.

    No denial is necessary. Science makes progress, and
    peer review (looks like dissident activity) happens.
    No news there, it was just another add-a-piece to the
    big spreadsheet full of climate effects.

    Sometimes the piece is UP, sometimes DOWN, sometimes
    oscillatory. Until greenhouse gas changes, there was no
    'scare of the time' happening.

    Yes, my wife and I remember it as well.

    "The Cooling World", Newsweek, April 28, 1975, page 64.

    It was called Global Cooling, and peaked in the 1970s or so, giving
    way to Global Warming. The following describes the transition:

    "Scientists Ask Why World Climate Is Changing", by Walter Sullivan,
    NYT May 21, 1975, page 45.

    Later still, it transitioned to Climate Change when the heating did
    not proceed as predicted.

    Nonsense. The 1970s story was about smog (and subsequent air-quality >improvements killed the effect). Entirely different issues and solutions, and
    more importantly, NEVER a prediction of long term deviation
    from normality.

    Here's an account you can read without a trip to a library ><https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-the-global-cooling-story-came-to-be/>

    Easier isn't necessarily better. This ScAm article was written in
    2014, but it actually doesn't matter if the author changed his mind
    forty years after the fact.

    We are talking about what people believed in the 1970s, when it was in
    fact Global Cooling that people worried about.

    Read the New York Times article, from their morgue. This is a
    contemporaneous original source, written long before political storms
    of today.

    Here is the URL:

    .<https://timesmachine.nytimes.com/timesmachine/1975/05/21/80043535.html?pageNumber=45>

    Scroll past the paywall stuff to see the text of the article. For the
    diagrams you may need to subscribe, or visit your local Library.

    Joe Gwinn

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Jeroen Belleman@21:1/5 to All on Wed Jan 17 18:08:25 2024
    On 1/17/24 20:24, whit3rd wrote:
    On Tuesday, January 16, 2024 at 9:30:19 AM UTC-8, Joe Gwinn wrote:
    On Mon, 15 Jan 2024 22:19:30 -0800 (PST), whit3rd <whi...@gmail.com>
    wrote:
    On Monday, January 15, 2024 at 8:23:28?AM UTC-8, Joe Gwinn wrote:

    "Scientists Ask Why World Climate Is Changing", by Walter Sullivan,
    NYT May 21, 1975, page 45.

    Later still, it transitioned to Climate Change when the heating did
    not proceed as predicted.

    Nonsense. ...
    Here's an account you can read without a trip to a library
    <https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-the-global-cooling-story-came-to-be/>
    Easier isn't necessarily better. This ScAm article was written in
    2014, but it actually doesn't matter if the author changed his mind
    forty years after the fact.

    Oh, facts as the author relates are also the facts I recall. NO ONE
    thought there was a scare, just a bit if extra-dramatic headline composition.

    We are talking about what people believed in the 1970s, when it was in
    fact Global Cooling that people worried about.

    No, not in fact. That's a fiction. It was a news blip, no one was scared. The connection to our current concerns is a fabrication with no merit.

    There is no point in continuing this conversation. You believe
    what you want. It doesn't matter either way.

    What does worry me is people who want to act against climate
    change by meddling with the economy or with the environment.

    What remains is that there are too many humans on this planet. If
    we don't rein in ourselves, nature will do it for us and it's going
    to hurt. It has always been thus for wild animal populations. We
    are privileged to live in a time of abundance. Let's make it last
    as long as we can.

    Jeroen Belleman

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Joe Gwinn@21:1/5 to All on Wed Jan 17 18:28:24 2024
    On Wed, 17 Jan 2024 11:24:47 -0800 (PST), whit3rd <whit3rd@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Tuesday, January 16, 2024 at 9:30:19?AM UTC-8, Joe Gwinn wrote:
    On Mon, 15 Jan 2024 22:19:30 -0800 (PST), whit3rd <whi...@gmail.com>
    wrote:
    On Monday, January 15, 2024 at 8:23:28?AM UTC-8, Joe Gwinn wrote:

    "Scientists Ask Why World Climate Is Changing", by Walter Sullivan,
    NYT May 21, 1975, page 45.

    Later still, it transitioned to Climate Change when the heating did
    not proceed as predicted.

    Nonsense. ...
    Here's an account you can read without a trip to a library
    <https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-the-global-cooling-story-came-to-be/>
    Easier isn't necessarily better. This ScAm article was written in
    2014, but it actually doesn't matter if the author changed his mind
    forty years after the fact.

    Oh, facts as the author relates are also the facts I recall. NO ONE
    thought there was a scare, just a bit if extra-dramatic headline composition.

    In 1975, how old were you? I was 28, and remember the scare quite
    well. As does my wife. And Jeroen.

    It was being thundered off all rooftops, with talk of Britain becoming
    like Siberia and so on.


    We are talking about what people believed in the 1970s, when it was in
    fact Global Cooling that people worried about.

    No, not in fact. That's a fiction. It was a news blip, no one was scared. >The connection to our current concerns is a fabrication with no merit.

    I saw it with my own eyes.

    Look into the morgues of the major newspapers and magazines of that
    day - these document what they thought back in the day, in their own
    words, without modern spin. Which means before about 1985 for Global
    Warming et seq. And there was as always a range of opinions back
    then, so don't read just one source.

    Joe Gwinn

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