• =?UTF-8?Q?Electrical_grids_aren=E2=80=99t_keeping_up_with_the_green_?=

    From Fred Bloggs@21:1/5 to All on Wed Oct 18 08:07:55 2023
    Eye-opening factoid:

    IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol told The Associated Press in an interview that there is a long line of renewable projects waiting for the green light to connect to the grid. The stalled projects could generate 1,500 gigawatts of power, or five times
    the amount of solar and wind capacity that was added worldwide last year, he said.

    https://apnews.com/article/renewable-energy-climate-change-electrical-grids-82d1fedd21e58d36e27c6c2396498c0c

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Eddy Lee@21:1/5 to Fred Bloggs on Wed Oct 18 11:06:27 2023
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 8:08:01 AM UTC-7, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    Eye-opening factoid:

    IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol told The Associated Press in an interview that there is a long line of renewable projects waiting for the green light to connect to the grid. The stalled projects could generate 1,500 gigawatts of power, or five times
    the amount of solar and wind capacity that was added worldwide last year, he said.

    https://apnews.com/article/renewable-energy-climate-change-electrical-grids-82d1fedd21e58d36e27c6c2396498c0c

    Don't worry, the next solar storm will kill off all our grids, green or not. The estimated 200 years cycle will hit us eventually, in our lifetime.

    "Geomagnetic storm of 1859, also called Carrington storm, largest geomagnetic storm ever recorded. The storm, which occurred on Sept. 2, 1859, produced intense auroral displays as far south as the tropics. It also caused fires as the enhanced electric
    current flowing through telegraph wires ignited recording tape at telegraph stations."

    https://www.britannica.com/event/geomagnetic-storm-of-1859

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From john larkin@21:1/5 to bloggs.fredbloggs.fred@gmail.com on Wed Oct 18 12:41:16 2023
    On Wed, 18 Oct 2023 08:07:55 -0700 (PDT), Fred Bloggs <bloggs.fredbloggs.fred@gmail.com> wrote:

    Eye-opening factoid:

    IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol told The Associated Press in an interview that there is a long line of renewable projects waiting for the green light to connect to the grid. The stalled projects could generate 1,500 gigawatts of power, or five times
    the amount of solar and wind capacity that was added worldwide last year, he said.

    https://apnews.com/article/renewable-energy-climate-change-electrical-grids-82d1fedd21e58d36e27c6c2396498c0c

    The distributed nature of solar and wind power - especially offshore -
    is going to require millions of miles of new transmission lines. Buy
    copper futures.

    The idea of averaging solar and wind between states and countries adds
    to the fun.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From whit3rd@21:1/5 to john larkin on Wed Oct 18 14:55:15 2023
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 12:41:35 PM UTC-7, john larkin wrote:

    The distributed nature of solar and wind power - especially offshore -
    is going to require millions of miles of new transmission lines. Buy
    copper futures.

    Huh?
    Steel poles, with aluminum wires, is how 'miles of new transmission lines'
    are likely to be built.

    Offshore (meaning ships at sea? archipelagos somewhere?) might use
    liquid or gaseous hydrogen, delivered in batches or through a pipe. Or,
    just economize, and when the batteries get low, take 'em ashore to recharge.

    Offshore (off-the-grid) can also have its own solar or wind facilities, of course.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From john larkin@21:1/5 to All on Wed Oct 18 15:29:33 2023
    On Wed, 18 Oct 2023 14:55:15 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whit3rd@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 12:41:35?PM UTC-7, john larkin wrote:

    The distributed nature of solar and wind power - especially offshore -
    is going to require millions of miles of new transmission lines. Buy
    copper futures.

    Huh?
    Steel poles, with aluminum wires, is how 'miles of new transmission lines' >are likely to be built.

    Offshore (meaning ships at sea? archipelagos somewhere?) might use
    liquid or gaseous hydrogen, delivered in batches or through a pipe. Or, >just economize, and when the batteries get low, take 'em ashore to recharge.

    I meant offshore windmills that deliver power to onshore loads. That's
    popular lately, as long as the windmills aren't visible from
    Nantucket.


    Offshore (off-the-grid) can also have its own solar or wind facilities, of course.

    I thought that the point of an all-electric all-renewable world was to
    have wind and solar power the grid.

    Even a dinky power line needs right-of-way, construction access and
    crews, poles, insulators, wires, maintenance. If it only transmits a
    megawatt, or less, some of the time, the costs will make the windmill
    or solar panel unattractive.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From john larkin@21:1/5 to All on Wed Oct 18 15:38:35 2023
    On Wed, 18 Oct 2023 14:55:15 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whit3rd@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 12:41:35?PM UTC-7, john larkin wrote:

    The distributed nature of solar and wind power - especially offshore -
    is going to require millions of miles of new transmission lines. Buy
    copper futures.

    Huh?
    Steel poles, with aluminum wires, is how 'miles of new transmission lines' >are likely to be built.

    Offshore (meaning ships at sea? archipelagos somewhere?) might use
    liquid or gaseous hydrogen, delivered in batches or through a pipe. Or, >just economize, and when the batteries get low, take 'em ashore to recharge.

    Offshore (off-the-grid) can also have its own solar or wind facilities, of course.

    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2023/10/18/iea-grid-lack-of-ambition-endangering-the-green-energy-revolution/


    "Achieving all national climate and energy goals will require adding
    or replacing 80 million kilometres of power lines by 2040 – an amount
    equal to the entire existing global grid – according to a detailed country-by-country analysis carried out for the report. Major changes
    to how grids operate and are regulated are also essential, while
    annual investment in grids, which has remained broadly stagnant, needs
    to double to more than USD 600 billion a year by 2030."

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Fred Bloggs@21:1/5 to john larkin on Wed Oct 18 16:35:22 2023
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 6:38:52 PM UTC-4, john larkin wrote:
    On Wed, 18 Oct 2023 14:55:15 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whi...@gmail.com>
    wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 12:41:35?PM UTC-7, john larkin wrote:

    The distributed nature of solar and wind power - especially offshore -
    is going to require millions of miles of new transmission lines. Buy
    copper futures.

    Huh?
    Steel poles, with aluminum wires, is how 'miles of new transmission lines' >are likely to be built.

    Offshore (meaning ships at sea? archipelagos somewhere?) might use
    liquid or gaseous hydrogen, delivered in batches or through a pipe. Or, >just economize, and when the batteries get low, take 'em ashore to recharge.

    Offshore (off-the-grid) can also have its own solar or wind facilities, of course.
    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2023/10/18/iea-grid-lack-of-ambition-endangering-the-green-energy-revolution/


    "Achieving all national climate and energy goals will require adding
    or replacing 80 million kilometres of power lines by 2040 – an amount equal to the entire existing global grid – according to a detailed country-by-country analysis carried out for the report. Major changes
    to how grids operate and are regulated are also essential, while
    annual investment in grids, which has remained broadly stagnant, needs
    to double to more than USD 600 billion a year by 2030."

    That's worldwide, not just the U.S. Looks like they're going to have to settle for less.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From john larkin@21:1/5 to bloggs.fredbloggs.fred@gmail.com on Wed Oct 18 17:05:19 2023
    On Wed, 18 Oct 2023 16:35:22 -0700 (PDT), Fred Bloggs <bloggs.fredbloggs.fred@gmail.com> wrote:

    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 6:38:52?PM UTC-4, john larkin wrote:
    On Wed, 18 Oct 2023 14:55:15 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whi...@gmail.com>
    wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 12:41:35?PM UTC-7, john larkin wrote:

    The distributed nature of solar and wind power - especially offshore -
    is going to require millions of miles of new transmission lines. Buy
    copper futures.

    Huh?
    Steel poles, with aluminum wires, is how 'miles of new transmission lines' >> >are likely to be built.

    Offshore (meaning ships at sea? archipelagos somewhere?) might use
    liquid or gaseous hydrogen, delivered in batches or through a pipe. Or,
    just economize, and when the batteries get low, take 'em ashore to recharge.

    Offshore (off-the-grid) can also have its own solar or wind facilities, of course.
    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2023/10/18/iea-grid-lack-of-ambition-endangering-the-green-energy-revolution/


    "Achieving all national climate and energy goals will require adding
    or replacing 80 million kilometres of power lines by 2040 – an amount
    equal to the entire existing global grid – according to a detailed
    country-by-country analysis carried out for the report. Major changes
    to how grids operate and are regulated are also essential, while
    annual investment in grids, which has remained broadly stagnant, needs
    to double to more than USD 600 billion a year by 2030."

    That's worldwide, not just the U.S. Looks like they're going to have to settle for less.

    The power of an NG or coal or nuke power plant is gigawatts in a
    fairly small footprint, and a pretty big solar site or windmill is
    megawatts. And the power plant uses its transmission lines 24/7.

    So the USA will have to be covered with a lot of miles of fairly fine
    mesh of transmission lines. The low duty cycle uses copper
    inefficiently.

    Goofy. It probably won't happen.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Fred Bloggs@21:1/5 to john larkin on Wed Oct 18 17:06:42 2023
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 6:29:51 PM UTC-4, john larkin wrote:
    On Wed, 18 Oct 2023 14:55:15 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whi...@gmail.com>
    wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 12:41:35?PM UTC-7, john larkin wrote:

    The distributed nature of solar and wind power - especially offshore -
    is going to require millions of miles of new transmission lines. Buy
    copper futures.

    Huh?
    Steel poles, with aluminum wires, is how 'miles of new transmission lines' >are likely to be built.

    Offshore (meaning ships at sea? archipelagos somewhere?) might use
    liquid or gaseous hydrogen, delivered in batches or through a pipe. Or, >just economize, and when the batteries get low, take 'em ashore to recharge. I meant offshore windmills that deliver power to onshore loads. That's popular lately, as long as the windmills aren't visible from
    Nantucket.

    Offshore (off-the-grid) can also have its own solar or wind facilities, of course.
    I thought that the point of an all-electric all-renewable world was to
    have wind and solar power the grid.

    Even a dinky power line needs right-of-way, construction access and
    crews, poles, insulators, wires, maintenance. If it only transmits a megawatt, or less, some of the time, the costs will make the windmill
    or solar panel unattractive.

    I think most offshore wind farms are multiples of GW these days. And, in the U.S. anyway, they're not real far out in the water. Most of them seem to be 10-20 miles, some are even closer. That's not a lot of line. And does anyone waste their time
    building out a solar plant less than 500 MW?

    Seems the Texas model for wind power worked pretty well. It's quite massive, and the impetus was to extract 'free' energy, not anything to do with climate. Once they realized the huge savings to be had, it went into service quite rapidly.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From whit3rd@21:1/5 to john larkin on Wed Oct 18 17:26:38 2023
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 5:05:37 PM UTC-7, john larkin wrote:

    So the USA will have to be covered with a lot of miles of fairly fine
    mesh of transmission lines. The low duty cycle uses copper
    inefficiently.

    Goofy. It probably won't happen.

    Well, not in the whole USA. Texas, Alaska, Hawaii, Puerto
    Rico... aren't on "the grid" now. As for 'low duty cycle' that
    circumstance favors investment in grid-connected storage, I guess.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Anthony William Sloman@21:1/5 to john larkin on Wed Oct 18 20:47:57 2023
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 9:29:51 AM UTC+11, john larkin wrote:
    On Wed, 18 Oct 2023 14:55:15 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whi...@gmail.com>
    wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 12:41:35?PM UTC-7, john larkin wrote:

    The distributed nature of solar and wind power - especially offshore - is going to require millions of miles of new transmission lines. Buy copper futures.

    Or beefing up existing links.

    Huh? Steel poles, with aluminum wires, is how 'miles of new transmission lines' are likely to be built.

    At least some of the wires are going to be aluminium clad steel cable.

    https://apar.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/7.-Aluminium-clad-steel-wire.pdf

    Offshore (meaning ships at sea? archipelagos somewhere?) might use liquid or gaseous hydrogen, delivered in batches or through a pipe.

    That means throwing away 75% of the energy collected. Just putting the energy into battereies or pumped storage throws away about 15%

    Or, just economize, and when the batteries get low, take 'em ashore to recharge.

    That got it backwards.

    I meant offshore windmills that deliver power to onshore loads. That's popular lately, as long as the windmills aren't visible from Nantucket.

    People are getting more relaxed about seeing wind farms on the horizon.

    Offshore (off-the-grid) can also have its own solar or wind facilities, of course.

    Why is off-shore supposed to be off the grid? It will probably be shipped onshore as 500kV DC, but that will be functionally part of the grid.

    I thought that the point of an all-electric all-renewable world was to have wind and solar power the grid.

    Even a dinky power line needs right-of-way, construction access and crews, poles, insulators, wires, maintenance. If it only transmits a megawatt, or less, some of the time, the costs will make the windmill or solar panel unattractive.

    And pigs might fly. Or John Larkin might learn stuff, including how to think. Both are equally improbable.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Anthony William Sloman@21:1/5 to Fred Bloggs on Wed Oct 18 20:55:54 2023
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 10:35:27 AM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 6:38:52 PM UTC-4, john larkin wrote:
    On Wed, 18 Oct 2023 14:55:15 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whi...@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 12:41:35?PM UTC-7, john larkin wrote:

    The distributed nature of solar and wind power - especially offshore - >> is going to require millions of miles of new transmission lines. Buy
    copper futures.

    Huh?
    Steel poles, with aluminum wires, is how 'miles of new transmission lines'
    are likely to be built.

    Offshore (meaning ships at sea? archipelagos somewhere?) might use >liquid or gaseous hydrogen, delivered in batches or through a pipe. Or, >just economize, and when the batteries get low, take 'em ashore to recharge.

    Offshore (off-the-grid) can also have its own solar or wind facilities, of course.
    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2023/10/18/iea-grid-lack-of-ambition-endangering-the-green-energy-revolution/


    "Achieving all national climate and energy goals will require adding
    or replacing 80 million kilometres of power lines by 2040 – an amount equal to the entire existing global grid – according to a detailed country-by-country analysis carried out for the report. Major changes
    to how grids operate and are regulated are also essential, while
    annual investment in grids, which has remained broadly stagnant, needs
    to double to more than USD 600 billion a year by 2030."

    That's worldwide, not just the U.S. Looks like they're going to have to settle for less.

    Not to anybody with half a brain.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Anthony William Sloman@21:1/5 to john larkin on Wed Oct 18 20:54:36 2023
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 9:38:52 AM UTC+11, john larkin wrote:
    On Wed, 18 Oct 2023 14:55:15 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whi...@gmail.com>
    wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 12:41:35?PM UTC-7, john larkin wrote:

    The distributed nature of solar and wind power - especially offshore -
    is going to require millions of miles of new transmission lines. Buy
    copper futures.

    Huh?
    Steel poles, with aluminum wires, is how 'miles of new transmission lines' >are likely to be built.

    Offshore (meaning ships at sea? archipelagos somewhere?) might use
    liquid or gaseous hydrogen, delivered in batches or through a pipe. Or, >just economize, and when the batteries get low, take 'em ashore to recharge.

    Offshore (off-the-grid) can also have its own solar or wind facilities, of course.
    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2023/10/18/iea-grid-lack-of-ambition-endangering-the-green-energy-revolution/


    "Achieving all national climate and energy goals will require adding
    or replacing 80 million kilometres of power lines by 2040 – an amount equal to the entire existing global grid – according to a detailed country-by-country analysis carried out for the report. Major changes
    to how grids operate and are regulated are also essential, while
    annual investment in grids, which has remained broadly stagnant, needs
    to double to more than USD 600 billion a year by 2030."

    The US power grid grew at a steady 5% per year from the 1950's to about 2000, when the US started off-shoring manufacturing and generating capacity stagnated for some twenty years. It can start growing again at 5% per year without any drastic change in
    society , Getting rid of a few Republican politicans - the really dumb ones who like Donald Trump - might help.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Anthony William Sloman@21:1/5 to john larkin on Wed Oct 18 21:07:21 2023
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 11:05:37 AM UTC+11, john larkin wrote:
    On Wed, 18 Oct 2023 16:35:22 -0700 (PDT), Fred Bloggs <bloggs.fred...@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 6:38:52?PM UTC-4, john larkin wrote:
    On Wed, 18 Oct 2023 14:55:15 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whi...@gmail.com>
    wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 12:41:35?PM UTC-7, john larkin wrote:

    <snip>

    That's worldwide, not just the U.S. Looks like they're going to have to settle for less.

    The power of an NG or coal or nuke power plant is gigawatts in a fairly small footprint, and a pretty big solar site or windmill is megawatts. And the power plant uses its transmission lines 24/7.

    Put grid storage at the solar farm or wind farm and it too will use its transmission line 24/7.

    And there 's no virtue in generating all your power in a very small footprint. It makes senses to distribute the power generation roughly as widely as the consumption. The sun shines and the wind blows petty much everywhere - you don't have to ship it in
    from a sun-mine or a wind-mine.

    So the USA will have to be covered with a lot of miles of fairly fine mesh of transmission lines.

    It already is.

    The low duty cycle uses copper inefficiently.

    Transmission lines are build with aluminium-coated steel cables, and if you want to use them more efficiently put grid storage at the solar farms and wind farms.

    Goofy. It probably won't happen.

    John Larkin does post goofy misapprehensions. Next he'll be telling us his ideas about climate change - all drawn fro Anthony Watts' climate change denial propaganda web-wsite.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From upsidedown@downunder.com@21:1/5 to All on Thu Oct 19 14:58:34 2023
    On Wed, 18 Oct 2023 14:55:15 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whit3rd@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 12:41:35?PM UTC-7, john larkin wrote:

    The distributed nature of solar and wind power - especially offshore -
    is going to require millions of miles of new transmission lines. Buy
    copper futures.

    Huh?
    Steel poles, with aluminum wires, is how 'miles of new transmission lines' >are likely to be built.

    Offshore (meaning ships at sea? archipelagos somewhere?) might use
    liquid or gaseous hydrogen, delivered in batches or through a pipe. Or, >just economize, and when the batteries get low, take 'em ashore to recharge.

    Offshore (off-the-grid) can also have its own solar or wind facilities, of course.

    For offshore wind plants, use HVDC to carry the power to the shore in
    aluminum underwater cables.

    If the power is in HVDC format use underground cables also on shore.
    There will be much less right-of-way issues with underground cables
    than with HV AC poles. Do the DC to AC conversion closer to the
    consumption.

    In the future we might even have HVDC/MVDC/LVDC(/ELVDC) networks for
    DC distribution and LVDC/LVAC conversion at each electric motor.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Fred Bloggs@21:1/5 to Anthony William Sloman on Thu Oct 19 05:39:24 2023
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 11:56:00 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 10:35:27 AM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 6:38:52 PM UTC-4, john larkin wrote:
    On Wed, 18 Oct 2023 14:55:15 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whi...@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 12:41:35?PM UTC-7, john larkin wrote:

    The distributed nature of solar and wind power - especially offshore -
    is going to require millions of miles of new transmission lines. Buy >> copper futures.

    Huh?
    Steel poles, with aluminum wires, is how 'miles of new transmission lines'
    are likely to be built.

    Offshore (meaning ships at sea? archipelagos somewhere?) might use >liquid or gaseous hydrogen, delivered in batches or through a pipe. Or, >just economize, and when the batteries get low, take 'em ashore to recharge.

    Offshore (off-the-grid) can also have its own solar or wind facilities, of course.
    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2023/10/18/iea-grid-lack-of-ambition-endangering-the-green-energy-revolution/


    "Achieving all national climate and energy goals will require adding
    or replacing 80 million kilometres of power lines by 2040 – an amount equal to the entire existing global grid – according to a detailed country-by-country analysis carried out for the report. Major changes
    to how grids operate and are regulated are also essential, while
    annual investment in grids, which has remained broadly stagnant, needs to double to more than USD 600 billion a year by 2030."

    That's worldwide, not just the U.S. Looks like they're going to have to settle for less.
    Not to anybody with half a brain.

    U.S. is not going to pay for building out transmission lines worldwide. There are lots of third world situations that are already in hock from what little they do have.


    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Fred Bloggs@21:1/5 to Anthony William Sloman on Thu Oct 19 05:46:10 2023
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 11:54:42 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 9:38:52 AM UTC+11, john larkin wrote:
    On Wed, 18 Oct 2023 14:55:15 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whi...@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 12:41:35?PM UTC-7, john larkin wrote:

    The distributed nature of solar and wind power - especially offshore - >> is going to require millions of miles of new transmission lines. Buy
    copper futures.

    Huh?
    Steel poles, with aluminum wires, is how 'miles of new transmission lines'
    are likely to be built.

    Offshore (meaning ships at sea? archipelagos somewhere?) might use >liquid or gaseous hydrogen, delivered in batches or through a pipe. Or, >just economize, and when the batteries get low, take 'em ashore to recharge.

    Offshore (off-the-grid) can also have its own solar or wind facilities, of course.
    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2023/10/18/iea-grid-lack-of-ambition-endangering-the-green-energy-revolution/


    "Achieving all national climate and energy goals will require adding
    or replacing 80 million kilometres of power lines by 2040 – an amount equal to the entire existing global grid – according to a detailed country-by-country analysis carried out for the report. Major changes
    to how grids operate and are regulated are also essential, while
    annual investment in grids, which has remained broadly stagnant, needs
    to double to more than USD 600 billion a year by 2030."
    The US power grid grew at a steady 5% per year from the 1950's to about 2000, when the US started off-shoring manufacturing and generating capacity stagnated for some twenty years. It can start growing again at 5% per year without any drastic change in
    society , Getting rid of a few Republican politicans - the really dumb ones who like Donald Trump - might help.

    (1.05)^n=2, makes n= Log(2)/log(1.05)= 14 years. Allowing 5 years to get the ball rolling puts it at 2023 +20= 2043. They're not going to make it. The world will be a sizzling cauldron before then.

    Power suppliers size lines with an allowance of 3% loss at full capacity, and the present situation demonstrates they're not exactly brilliant when it comes to anticipation of growth.


    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Jeroen Belleman@21:1/5 to upsidedown@downunder.com on Thu Oct 19 14:54:14 2023
    On 10/19/23 13:58, upsidedown@downunder.com wrote:
    [...]

    In the future we might even have HVDC/MVDC/LVDC(/ELVDC) networks for
    DC distribution and LVDC/LVAC conversion at each electric motor.

    Edison avenged at last!

    Jeroen Belleman

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Fred Bloggs@21:1/5 to upsid...@downunder.com on Thu Oct 19 06:06:28 2023
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 7:58:46 AM UTC-4, upsid...@downunder.com wrote:
    On Wed, 18 Oct 2023 14:55:15 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whi...@gmail.com>
    wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 12:41:35?PM UTC-7, john larkin wrote:

    The distributed nature of solar and wind power - especially offshore -
    is going to require millions of miles of new transmission lines. Buy
    copper futures.

    Huh?
    Steel poles, with aluminum wires, is how 'miles of new transmission lines' >are likely to be built.

    Offshore (meaning ships at sea? archipelagos somewhere?) might use
    liquid or gaseous hydrogen, delivered in batches or through a pipe. Or, >just economize, and when the batteries get low, take 'em ashore to recharge.

    Offshore (off-the-grid) can also have its own solar or wind facilities, of course.
    For offshore wind plants, use HVDC to carry the power to the shore in aluminum underwater cables.

    If the power is in HVDC format use underground cables also on shore.
    There will be much less right-of-way issues with underground cables
    than with HV AC poles. Do the DC to AC conversion closer to the
    consumption.

    In the future we might even have HVDC/MVDC/LVDC(/ELVDC) networks for
    DC distribution and LVDC/LVAC conversion at each electric motor.

    Undergrounding has major right of way issues, far more than overhead, because it's MUCH more expensive, requiring that it take the most direct route. In U.S., 1M$/mi in built up areas may be an underestimate.

    The industry is pushing UHVDC, U as in ultra, to double the capacity of existing right of ways. But is it has been implemented in very few places. China is breaking ground on the technology.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From John Larkin@21:1/5 to upsidedown@downunder.com on Thu Oct 19 06:10:47 2023
    On Thu, 19 Oct 2023 14:58:34 +0300, upsidedown@downunder.com wrote:

    On Wed, 18 Oct 2023 14:55:15 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whit3rd@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 12:41:35?PM UTC-7, john larkin wrote:

    The distributed nature of solar and wind power - especially offshore -
    is going to require millions of miles of new transmission lines. Buy
    copper futures.

    Huh?
    Steel poles, with aluminum wires, is how 'miles of new transmission lines' >>are likely to be built.

    Offshore (meaning ships at sea? archipelagos somewhere?) might use
    liquid or gaseous hydrogen, delivered in batches or through a pipe. Or, >>just economize, and when the batteries get low, take 'em ashore to recharge. >>
    Offshore (off-the-grid) can also have its own solar or wind facilities, of course.

    For offshore wind plants, use HVDC to carry the power to the shore in >aluminum underwater cables.

    If the power is in HVDC format use underground cables also on shore.
    There will be much less right-of-way issues with underground cables
    than with HV AC poles. Do the DC to AC conversion closer to the
    consumption.

    In the future we might even have HVDC/MVDC/LVDC(/ELVDC) networks for
    DC distribution and LVDC/LVAC conversion at each electric motor.

    Cost is no object.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From John Larkin@21:1/5 to jeroen@nospam.please on Thu Oct 19 06:27:55 2023
    On Thu, 19 Oct 2023 14:54:14 +0200, Jeroen Belleman
    <jeroen@nospam.please> wrote:

    On 10/19/23 13:58, upsidedown@downunder.com wrote:
    [...]

    In the future we might even have HVDC/MVDC/LVDC(/ELVDC) networks for
    DC distribution and LVDC/LVAC conversion at each electric motor.

    Edison avenged at last!

    Jeroen Belleman

    Think of all the copper we can scavenge from all those transformers we
    don't need anymore.

    What voltage should an outlet in the kitchen be? 20 KVDC?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Jeroen Belleman@21:1/5 to John Larkin on Thu Oct 19 15:44:11 2023
    On 10/19/23 15:27, John Larkin wrote:
    On Thu, 19 Oct 2023 14:54:14 +0200, Jeroen Belleman
    <jeroen@nospam.please> wrote:

    On 10/19/23 13:58, upsidedown@downunder.com wrote:
    [...]

    In the future we might even have HVDC/MVDC/LVDC(/ELVDC) networks for
    DC distribution and LVDC/LVAC conversion at each electric motor.

    Edison avenged at last!

    Jeroen Belleman

    Think of all the copper we can scavenge from all those transformers we
    don't need anymore.

    What voltage should an outlet in the kitchen be? 20 KVDC?


    The economics may not be advantageous, but a hierarchy of
    DC-DC converters could replace the current hierarchy of
    transformers. At the lowest level, they already did: No
    wal wart or small DC supply uses 50Hz transformers anymore.

    Jeroen Belleman

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From upsidedown@downunder.com@21:1/5 to All on Fri Oct 20 00:33:58 2023
    On Thu, 19 Oct 2023 06:06:28 -0700 (PDT), Fred Bloggs <bloggs.fredbloggs.fred@gmail.com> wrote:


    In a previous post you claimed that only 3 % losses are allowed at
    full load. Such a low percentage makes sense only when the produced
    electricity is very expensive, With unreliable renewable sources such
    as wind and solar the peak to average rate is high and the electricity
    price at peak production is very cheap (possibly negative) and much
    large losses can be tolerated during peak production hours. The main
    issue is going to be the conductor heating (and cable sagging with
    overhead lines).


    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 7:58:46?AM UTC-4, upsid...@downunder.com wrote:

    <snip>

    For offshore wind plants, use HVDC to carry the power to the shore in
    aluminum underwater cables.

    If the power is in HVDC format use underground cables also on shore.
    There will be much less right-of-way issues with underground cables
    than with HV AC poles. Do the DC to AC conversion closer to the
    consumption.

    In the future we might even have HVDC/MVDC/LVDC(/ELVDC) networks for
    DC distribution and LVDC/LVAC conversion at each electric motor.

    With HVDC source feeds, you are going to need DC/DC or DC/AC
    converters, so adjusting variable input voltages (due to voltage
    losses), the converter output to the customers can be made stable
    regardless variable losses on the input side. A semiconductor (IGBT)
    converter is much faster compared to a tap changer on an AC
    transformer.


    Undergrounding has major right of way issues, far more than overhead,
    because it's MUCH more expensive,

    The electric companies exaggerate those costs in order to just ivy
    those ugly overhead lines. MV and LV cabling is not so much an issue.


    Due to the much larger stray capacitance in underground / undersea
    cables, making long HV AC cables impractical, or you have to install compensating stations every few kilometer to get rid of the reactive
    power, which increases the cost. Due to skin effect on 50/60 Hz it
    does not make sense to use individual wires thicker than about 20-30
    mm so you have to use multiple wires / phase separated from each other
    on both overhead lines as well as underground cables.

    With HVDC, the capacitance is your friend. Using aluminum conductors
    instead of copper also reduces the cost and thick conductors can be
    used, without worrying about skin effect.

    The main issue with HVDC lines is the heat generated by the ohmic
    (I2R) losses, so you have to use some separation between the two poles
    not to heating the ground too much, drying out the ground around the
    cables.

    requiring that it take the most direct route. In U.S., 1M$/mi in built up areas may be an underestimate.


    Those US prices must be for AC lines in urban areas. The cost for HVDC
    cables is much less.


    The industry is pushing UHVDC, U as in ultra, to double the capacity of existing right of ways. But is it has been implemented in very few places. China is breaking ground on the technology.


    Sounds like old fashioned SCR based DC systems, which are usable in
    long lines (over 1000 km) from a hydroelectric dam. Those SCR based
    systems require switching the line voltage to opposite to transfer
    power in opposite direction. Thus is usable only for point to point applications, not for multi drop connections in a network.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From upsidedown@downunder.com@21:1/5 to All on Fri Oct 20 00:49:56 2023
    On Thu, 19 Oct 2023 06:27:55 -0700, John Larkin <jl@997PotHill.com>
    wrote:

    On Thu, 19 Oct 2023 14:54:14 +0200, Jeroen Belleman
    <jeroen@nospam.please> wrote:

    On 10/19/23 13:58, upsidedown@downunder.com wrote:
    [...]

    In the future we might even have HVDC/MVDC/LVDC(/ELVDC) networks for
    DC distribution and LVDC/LVAC conversion at each electric motor.

    Edison avenged at last!

    Jeroen Belleman

    Think of all the copper we can scavenge from all those transformers we
    don't need anymore.

    What voltage should an outlet in the kitchen be? 20 KVDC?

    I vote for 400 Vdc. Some computer centers use 380 Vdc (+/-190 V), most
    EVs have batteries at 400 V, although some are 800 V.

    Perhaps +/-400 Vdc would also be OK, since it would be easy to make
    three phase 230/400 Vac from it.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From john larkin@21:1/5 to upsidedown@downunder.com on Thu Oct 19 16:14:46 2023
    On Fri, 20 Oct 2023 00:49:56 +0300, upsidedown@downunder.com wrote:

    On Thu, 19 Oct 2023 06:27:55 -0700, John Larkin <jl@997PotHill.com>
    wrote:

    On Thu, 19 Oct 2023 14:54:14 +0200, Jeroen Belleman
    <jeroen@nospam.please> wrote:

    On 10/19/23 13:58, upsidedown@downunder.com wrote:
    [...]

    In the future we might even have HVDC/MVDC/LVDC(/ELVDC) networks for
    DC distribution and LVDC/LVAC conversion at each electric motor.

    Edison avenged at last!

    Jeroen Belleman

    Think of all the copper we can scavenge from all those transformers we >>don't need anymore.

    What voltage should an outlet in the kitchen be? 20 KVDC?

    I vote for 400 Vdc. Some computer centers use 380 Vdc (+/-190 V), most
    EVs have batteries at 400 V, although some are 800 V.

    400 DC is probably safer than 240/50 and certainly safer than 120/60.



    Perhaps +/-400 Vdc would also be OK, since it would be easy to make
    three phase 230/400 Vac from it.

    Since PoE has got popular, there are a lot of 54 volt wall-warts
    around. That's an interesting voltage.

    But for residential use, converting to DC outlets would make all our
    gadgets obsolete, so that may not happen for a few hundred years.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Joe Gwinn@21:1/5 to john larkin on Thu Oct 19 19:57:49 2023
    On Thu, 19 Oct 2023 16:14:46 -0700, john larkin <jl@650pot.com> wrote:

    On Fri, 20 Oct 2023 00:49:56 +0300, upsidedown@downunder.com wrote:

    On Thu, 19 Oct 2023 06:27:55 -0700, John Larkin <jl@997PotHill.com>
    wrote:

    On Thu, 19 Oct 2023 14:54:14 +0200, Jeroen Belleman >>><jeroen@nospam.please> wrote:

    On 10/19/23 13:58, upsidedown@downunder.com wrote:
    [...]

    In the future we might even have HVDC/MVDC/LVDC(/ELVDC) networks for >>>>> DC distribution and LVDC/LVAC conversion at each electric motor.

    Edison avenged at last!

    Jeroen Belleman

    Think of all the copper we can scavenge from all those transformers we >>>don't need anymore.

    What voltage should an outlet in the kitchen be? 20 KVDC?

    I vote for 400 Vdc. Some computer centers use 380 Vdc (+/-190 V), most
    EVs have batteries at 400 V, although some are 800 V.

    400 DC is probably safer than 240/50 and certainly safer than 120/60.

    With DC, you don't jump around at all, but cannot let go.

    A boss that I met in the 1970s had personal experience: He touched a
    600-Vdc bus in the power lab in the 1920s, and just froze. Eventually
    somebody noticed and turned the power off. He did survive, and didn't
    seem to be the worse for it.


    Perhaps +/-400 Vdc would also be OK, since it would be easy to make
    three phase 230/400 Vac from it.

    I'd worry about Arc Flash if the power source is stiff. Above about
    300 Volts AC, arcs won't extinguish. Lower for DC.


    Since PoE has got popular, there are a lot of 54 volt wall-warts
    around. That's an interesting voltage.

    But for residential use, converting to DC outlets would make all our
    gadgets obsolete, so that may not happen for a few hundred years.

    Exactly. I don't think that any outlet ever used in the UK has been
    outlawed and replaced. Used to be that one bought an appliance
    without plug and also the correct plug for your house, and installed
    plug on wire. Don't know if this is still true, but I did find some
    strange beasts in London in late September.

    Joe Gwinn

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Anthony William Sloman@21:1/5 to Fred Bloggs on Thu Oct 19 19:33:03 2023
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 11:46:15 PM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 11:54:42 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 9:38:52 AM UTC+11, john larkin wrote:
    On Wed, 18 Oct 2023 14:55:15 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whi...@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 12:41:35?PM UTC-7, john larkin wrote:

    The distributed nature of solar and wind power - especially offshore -
    is going to require millions of miles of new transmission lines. Buy >> copper futures.

    Huh?
    Steel poles, with aluminum wires, is how 'miles of new transmission lines'
    are likely to be built.

    Offshore (meaning ships at sea? archipelagos somewhere?) might use >liquid or gaseous hydrogen, delivered in batches or through a pipe. Or, >just economize, and when the batteries get low, take 'em ashore to recharge.

    Offshore (off-the-grid) can also have its own solar or wind facilities, of course.
    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2023/10/18/iea-grid-lack-of-ambition-endangering-the-green-energy-revolution/


    "Achieving all national climate and energy goals will require adding
    or replacing 80 million kilometres of power lines by 2040 – an amount equal to the entire existing global grid – according to a detailed country-by-country analysis carried out for the report. Major changes
    to how grids operate and are regulated are also essential, while
    annual investment in grids, which has remained broadly stagnant, needs to double to more than USD 600 billion a year by 2030."

    The US power grid grew at a steady 5% per year from the 1950's to about 2000, when the US started off-shoring manufacturing and generating capacity stagnated for some twenty years. It can start growing again at 5% per year without any drastic change
    in society , Getting rid of a few Republican politicans - the really dumb ones who like Donald Trump - might help.

    (1.05)^n=2, makes n= Log(2)/log(1.05)= 14 years. Allowing 5 years to get the ball rolling puts it at 2023 +20= 2043. They're not going to make it. The world will be a sizzling cauldron before then.

    There's nothing magical about 5%. If we need to do better, we can

    Power suppliers size lines with an allowance of 3% loss at full capacity, and the present situation demonstrates they're not exactly brilliant when it comes to anticipation of growth

    They don't build new line until they are confident that there will be a market for them. They seem to have been brilliant at predicting that the politician were going to dither about actually tackling anthropogenic global warming. They will probably be
    equally brilliant at delivering new transmission capacity when the politicians get serious.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Anthony William Sloman@21:1/5 to John Larkin on Thu Oct 19 19:40:12 2023
    On Friday, October 20, 2023 at 12:11:16 AM UTC+11, John Larkin wrote:
    On Thu, 19 Oct 2023 14:58:34 +0300, upsid...@downunder.com wrote:

    On Wed, 18 Oct 2023 14:55:15 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whi...@gmail.com> >wrote:

    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 12:41:35?PM UTC-7, john larkin wrote:

    The distributed nature of solar and wind power - especially offshore - >>> is going to require millions of miles of new transmission lines. Buy
    copper futures.

    Huh?
    Steel poles, with aluminum wires, is how 'miles of new transmission lines' >>are likely to be built.

    Offshore (meaning ships at sea? archipelagos somewhere?) might use >>liquid or gaseous hydrogen, delivered in batches or through a pipe. Or, >>just economize, and when the batteries get low, take 'em ashore to recharge.

    Offshore (off-the-grid) can also have its own solar or wind facilities, of course.

    For offshore wind plants, use HVDC to carry the power to the shore in >aluminum underwater cables.

    If the power is in HVDC format use underground cables also on shore.
    There will be much less right-of-way issues with underground cables
    than with HV AC poles. Do the DC to AC conversion closer to the >consumption.

    In the future we might even have HVDC/MVDC/LVDC(/ELVDC) networks for
    DC distribution and LVDC/LVAC conversion at each electric motor.

    Cost is no object.

    High frequency transformers are smaller, lighter and cheaper than 50/60Hz transformers. If you can make the high frequency switches cheap you can save money that way. That changeover was already happening instrument power supplies when I stared working
    as an electronic engineer in the 1970s.

    To quote from John's next post "Think of all the copper we can scavenge from all those transformers we
    don't need anymore."

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From upsidedown@downunder.com@21:1/5 to john larkin on Fri Oct 20 12:32:10 2023
    On Thu, 19 Oct 2023 16:14:46 -0700, john larkin <jl@650pot.com> wrote:

    On Fri, 20 Oct 2023 00:49:56 +0300, upsidedown@downunder.com wrote:

    On Thu, 19 Oct 2023 06:27:55 -0700, John Larkin <jl@997PotHill.com>
    wrote:

    On Thu, 19 Oct 2023 14:54:14 +0200, Jeroen Belleman >>><jeroen@nospam.please> wrote:

    On 10/19/23 13:58, upsidedown@downunder.com wrote:
    [...]

    In the future we might even have HVDC/MVDC/LVDC(/ELVDC) networks for >>>>> DC distribution and LVDC/LVAC conversion at each electric motor.

    Edison avenged at last!

    Jeroen Belleman

    Think of all the copper we can scavenge from all those transformers we >>>don't need anymore.

    What voltage should an outlet in the kitchen be? 20 KVDC?

    I vote for 400 Vdc. Some computer centers use 380 Vdc (+/-190 V), most
    EVs have batteries at 400 V, although some are 800 V.

    400 DC is probably safer than 240/50 and certainly safer than 120/60.



    Perhaps +/-400 Vdc would also be OK, since it would be easy to make
    three phase 230/400 Vac from it.

    Since PoE has got popular, there are a lot of 54 volt wall-warts
    around. That's an interesting voltage.

    48 Vdc is a quite common telecom voltage.

    In India they make a full series of household applications running
    from 48 Vdc, for off-grid villages pith solar panels. No need to use
    DC/AC converters to make 220 Vac and then AC/DC conversion at each
    device with the extra losses. Not so much losses with direct DC/DC
    conversion or no conversions at all (resistive loads).


    But for residential use, converting to DC outlets would make all our
    gadgets obsolete, so that may not happen for a few hundred years.

    Most likely only a single format (either AC or DC) is supplied to each
    house. In each house there can be a converter to make the missing
    format. Within the house separate wiring is required for AC and DC.

    If at least 330 Vdc is supplied to a house, the in-house DC/AC
    converter can make 230 Vac single phase with a full bridge converter.
    To make 230/400 Vac three phase you would need at least 700 Vdc
    (+/-350 Vdc) and three half-bridge converters.

    With both DC and AC sockets are installed in a house, the user can
    freely use devices made for DC or AC.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Phil Hobbs@21:1/5 to upsidedown@downunder.com on Fri Oct 20 12:02:07 2023
    <upsidedown@downunder.com> wrote:
    On Thu, 19 Oct 2023 16:14:46 -0700, john larkin <jl@650pot.com> wrote:

    On Fri, 20 Oct 2023 00:49:56 +0300, upsidedown@downunder.com wrote:

    On Thu, 19 Oct 2023 06:27:55 -0700, John Larkin <jl@997PotHill.com>
    wrote:

    On Thu, 19 Oct 2023 14:54:14 +0200, Jeroen Belleman
    <jeroen@nospam.please> wrote:

    On 10/19/23 13:58, upsidedown@downunder.com wrote:
    [...]

    In the future we might even have HVDC/MVDC/LVDC(/ELVDC) networks for >>>>>> DC distribution and LVDC/LVAC conversion at each electric motor.

    Edison avenged at last!

    Jeroen Belleman

    Think of all the copper we can scavenge from all those transformers we >>>> don't need anymore.

    What voltage should an outlet in the kitchen be? 20 KVDC?

    I vote for 400 Vdc. Some computer centers use 380 Vdc (+/-190 V), most
    EVs have batteries at 400 V, although some are 800 V.

    400 DC is probably safer than 240/50 and certainly safer than 120/60.



    Perhaps +/-400 Vdc would also be OK, since it would be easy to make
    three phase 230/400 Vac from it.

    Since PoE has got popular, there are a lot of 54 volt wall-warts
    around. That's an interesting voltage.

    48 Vdc is a quite common telecom voltage.

    In India they make a full series of household applications running
    from 48 Vdc, for off-grid villages pith solar panels. No need to use
    DC/AC converters to make 220 Vac and then AC/DC conversion at each
    device with the extra losses. Not so much losses with direct DC/DC
    conversion or no conversions at all (resistive loads).


    But for residential use, converting to DC outlets would make all our
    gadgets obsolete, so that may not happen for a few hundred years.

    Most likely only a single format (either AC or DC) is supplied to each
    house. In each house there can be a converter to make the missing
    format. Within the house separate wiring is required for AC and DC.

    If at least 330 Vdc is supplied to a house, the in-house DC/AC
    converter can make 230 Vac single phase with a full bridge converter.
    To make 230/400 Vac three phase you would need at least 700 Vdc
    (+/-350 Vdc) and three half-bridge converters.

    With both DC and AC sockets are installed in a house, the user can
    freely use devices made for DC or AC.


    You’d have a lot more electrical fires. Youtube has a lot of arc flash videos for your enjoyment. They aren’t enjoyable close up.

    Cheers

    Phil Hobbs

    --
    Dr Philip C D Hobbs Principal Consultant ElectroOptical Innovations LLC / Hobbs ElectroOptics Optics, Electro-optics, Photonics, Analog Electronics

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Fred Bloggs@21:1/5 to Anthony William Sloman on Fri Oct 20 08:19:37 2023
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 10:33:08 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 11:46:15 PM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 11:54:42 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 9:38:52 AM UTC+11, john larkin wrote:
    On Wed, 18 Oct 2023 14:55:15 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whi...@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 12:41:35?PM UTC-7, john larkin wrote:

    The distributed nature of solar and wind power - especially offshore -
    is going to require millions of miles of new transmission lines. Buy
    copper futures.

    Huh?
    Steel poles, with aluminum wires, is how 'miles of new transmission lines'
    are likely to be built.

    Offshore (meaning ships at sea? archipelagos somewhere?) might use >liquid or gaseous hydrogen, delivered in batches or through a pipe. Or,
    just economize, and when the batteries get low, take 'em ashore to recharge.

    Offshore (off-the-grid) can also have its own solar or wind facilities, of course.
    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2023/10/18/iea-grid-lack-of-ambition-endangering-the-green-energy-revolution/


    "Achieving all national climate and energy goals will require adding or replacing 80 million kilometres of power lines by 2040 – an amount
    equal to the entire existing global grid – according to a detailed country-by-country analysis carried out for the report. Major changes to how grids operate and are regulated are also essential, while annual investment in grids, which has remained broadly stagnant, needs to double to more than USD 600 billion a year by 2030."

    The US power grid grew at a steady 5% per year from the 1950's to about 2000, when the US started off-shoring manufacturing and generating capacity stagnated for some twenty years. It can start growing again at 5% per year without any drastic
    change in society , Getting rid of a few Republican politicans - the really dumb ones who like Donald Trump - might help.

    (1.05)^n=2, makes n= Log(2)/log(1.05)= 14 years. Allowing 5 years to get the ball rolling puts it at 2023 +20= 2043. They're not going to make it. The world will be a sizzling cauldron before then.
    There's nothing magical about 5%. If we need to do better, we can

    The only way that type of growth makes sense is if the growth produces more revenue with which they can expand their building rate, otherwise their growth would exponentially diminish year over year.

    Power suppliers size lines with an allowance of 3% loss at full capacity, and the present situation demonstrates they're not exactly brilliant when it comes to anticipation of growth
    They don't build new line until they are confident that there will be a market for them. They seem to have been brilliant at predicting that the politician were going to dither about actually tackling anthropogenic global warming. They will probably be
    equally brilliant at delivering new transmission capacity when the politicians get serious.

    I don't consider them brilliant when they parameterize their analyses with things like "accounts per branch per mile per past 10 years" in making a determination on the necessity of under-/above- ground feeds. That type of thing makes them sound like
    mindless number hacks.


    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Fred Bloggs@21:1/5 to upsid...@downunder.com on Fri Oct 20 08:21:31 2023
    On Friday, October 20, 2023 at 5:32:22 AM UTC-4, upsid...@downunder.com wrote:
    On Thu, 19 Oct 2023 16:14:46 -0700, john larkin <j...@650pot.com> wrote:
    On Fri, 20 Oct 2023 00:49:56 +0300, upsid...@downunder.com wrote:

    On Thu, 19 Oct 2023 06:27:55 -0700, John Larkin <j...@997PotHill.com> >>wrote:

    On Thu, 19 Oct 2023 14:54:14 +0200, Jeroen Belleman >>><jer...@nospam.please> wrote:

    On 10/19/23 13:58, upsid...@downunder.com wrote:
    [...]

    In the future we might even have HVDC/MVDC/LVDC(/ELVDC) networks for >>>>> DC distribution and LVDC/LVAC conversion at each electric motor.

    Edison avenged at last!

    Jeroen Belleman

    Think of all the copper we can scavenge from all those transformers we >>>don't need anymore.

    What voltage should an outlet in the kitchen be? 20 KVDC?

    I vote for 400 Vdc. Some computer centers use 380 Vdc (+/-190 V), most >>EVs have batteries at 400 V, although some are 800 V.

    400 DC is probably safer than 240/50 and certainly safer than 120/60.



    Perhaps +/-400 Vdc would also be OK, since it would be easy to make >>three phase 230/400 Vac from it.

    Since PoE has got popular, there are a lot of 54 volt wall-warts
    around. That's an interesting voltage.
    48 Vdc is a quite common telecom voltage.

    In India they make a full series of household applications running
    from 48 Vdc, for off-grid villages pith solar panels. No need to use
    DC/AC converters to make 220 Vac and then AC/DC conversion at each
    device with the extra losses. Not so much losses with direct DC/DC conversion or no conversions at all (resistive loads).
    But for residential use, converting to DC outlets would make all our >gadgets obsolete, so that may not happen for a few hundred years.
    Most likely only a single format (either AC or DC) is supplied to each house. In each house there can be a converter to make the missing
    format. Within the house separate wiring is required for AC and DC.

    If at least 330 Vdc is supplied to a house, the in-house DC/AC
    converter can make 230 Vac single phase with a full bridge converter.
    To make 230/400 Vac three phase you would need at least 700 Vdc
    (+/-350 Vdc) and three half-bridge converters.

    With both DC and AC sockets are installed in a house, the user can
    freely use devices made for DC or AC.

    There's a metallic corrosion problem with DC not present with AC.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Eddy Lee@21:1/5 to upsid...@downunder.com on Fri Oct 20 08:35:58 2023
    On Friday, October 20, 2023 at 2:32:22 AM UTC-7, upsid...@downunder.com wrote:
    On Thu, 19 Oct 2023 16:14:46 -0700, john larkin <j...@650pot.com> wrote:
    On Fri, 20 Oct 2023 00:49:56 +0300, upsid...@downunder.com wrote:

    On Thu, 19 Oct 2023 06:27:55 -0700, John Larkin <j...@997PotHill.com> >>wrote:

    On Thu, 19 Oct 2023 14:54:14 +0200, Jeroen Belleman >>><jer...@nospam.please> wrote:

    On 10/19/23 13:58, upsid...@downunder.com wrote:
    [...]

    In the future we might even have HVDC/MVDC/LVDC(/ELVDC) networks for >>>>> DC distribution and LVDC/LVAC conversion at each electric motor.

    Edison avenged at last!

    Jeroen Belleman

    Think of all the copper we can scavenge from all those transformers we >>>don't need anymore.

    What voltage should an outlet in the kitchen be? 20 KVDC?

    I vote for 400 Vdc. Some computer centers use 380 Vdc (+/-190 V), most >>EVs have batteries at 400 V, although some are 800 V.

    400 DC is probably safer than 240/50 and certainly safer than 120/60.



    Perhaps +/-400 Vdc would also be OK, since it would be easy to make >>three phase 230/400 Vac from it.

    Since PoE has got popular, there are a lot of 54 volt wall-warts
    around. That's an interesting voltage.
    48 Vdc is a quite common telecom voltage.

    Yes, we want 48V charger, but 54V outlet would not make sense. We need it to current limit to reasonable value (2A to 10A). So, voltage needs to be between 40V to 52V. 54V outlet might not be able to charge fully at 52V. Perhaps we should have 60V
    outlet.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Anthony William Sloman@21:1/5 to Fred Bloggs on Fri Oct 20 20:02:22 2023
    On Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 2:21:36 AM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Friday, October 20, 2023 at 5:32:22 AM UTC-4, upsid...@downunder.com wrote:
    On Thu, 19 Oct 2023 16:14:46 -0700, john larkin <j...@650pot.com> wrote: >On Fri, 20 Oct 2023 00:49:56 +0300, upsid...@downunder.com wrote:
    On Thu, 19 Oct 2023 06:27:55 -0700, John Larkin <j...@997PotHill.com> wrote:
    On Thu, 19 Oct 2023 14:54:14 +0200, Jeroen Belleman <jer...@nospam.please> wrote:
    On 10/19/23 13:58, upsid...@downunder.com wrote:

    <snip>

    With both DC and AC sockets are installed in a house, the user can freely use devices made for DC or AC.

    There's a metallic corrosion problem with DC not present with AC.

    If there's enough leakage current to create corrosion, the installation is defective.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Anthony William Sloman@21:1/5 to Fred Bloggs on Fri Oct 20 19:59:03 2023
    On Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 2:19:43 AM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 10:33:08 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 11:46:15 PM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 11:54:42 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 9:38:52 AM UTC+11, john larkin wrote:
    On Wed, 18 Oct 2023 14:55:15 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whi...@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 12:41:35?PM UTC-7, john larkin wrote:

    <snip>

    "Achieving all national climate and energy goals will require adding or replacing 80 million kilometres of power lines by 2040 – an amount
    equal to the entire existing global grid – according to a detailed country-by-country analysis carried out for the report. Major changes
    to how grids operate and are regulated are also essential, while annual investment in grids, which has remained broadly stagnant, needs
    to double to more than USD 600 billion a year by 2030."

    The US power grid grew at a steady 5% per year from the 1950's to about 2000, when the US started off-shoring manufacturing and generating capacity stagnated for some twenty years. It can start growing again at 5% per year without any drastic
    change in society , Getting rid of a few Republican politicans - the really dumb ones who like Donald Trump - might help.

    (1.05)^n=2, makes n= Log(2)/log(1.05)= 14 years. Allowing 5 years to get the ball rolling puts it at 2023 +20= 2043. They're not going to make it. The world will be a sizzling cauldron before then.

    There's nothing magical about 5%. If we need to do better, we can.

    The only way that type of growth makes sense is if the growth produces more revenue with which they can expand their building rate, otherwise their growth would exponentially diminish year over year.

    Power lines aren't financed that way. They don't get paid directly for the current that they carry - they get paid by the people who generate the current and the people who buy it, and they get built because people want to buy more current and the
    generating companies what to get paid for satisfying that demand, and the transmission network that gets it to the customers is a necessary part of the apparatus for doing that.

    Finding more money to build more power lines isn't a problem if people want to buy more power.

    Power suppliers size lines with an allowance of 3% loss at full capacity, and the present situation demonstrates they're not exactly brilliant when it comes to anticipation of growth.

    They don't build new line until they are confident that there will be a market for them. They seem to have been brilliant at predicting that the politician were going to dither about actually tackling anthropogenic global warming. They will probably
    be equally brilliant at delivering new transmission capacity when the politicians get serious.

    I don't consider them brilliant when they parameterize their analyses with things like "accounts per branch per mile per past 10 years" in making a determination on the necessity of under-/above- ground feeds. That type of thing makes them sound like
    mindless number hacks.

    They provide the numbers that their customers understand. You aren't a customer - or at least not one with serious money to spend - so you opinion doesn't matter.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Fred Bloggs@21:1/5 to Anthony William Sloman on Sat Oct 21 10:08:47 2023
    On Friday, October 20, 2023 at 11:02:27 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 2:21:36 AM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Friday, October 20, 2023 at 5:32:22 AM UTC-4, upsid...@downunder.com wrote:
    On Thu, 19 Oct 2023 16:14:46 -0700, john larkin <j...@650pot.com> wrote: >On Fri, 20 Oct 2023 00:49:56 +0300, upsid...@downunder.com wrote:
    On Thu, 19 Oct 2023 06:27:55 -0700, John Larkin <j...@997PotHill.com> wrote:
    On Thu, 19 Oct 2023 14:54:14 +0200, Jeroen Belleman <jer...@nospam.please> wrote:
    On 10/19/23 13:58, upsid...@downunder.com wrote:
    <snip>
    With both DC and AC sockets are installed in a house, the user can freely use devices made for DC or AC.

    There's a metallic corrosion problem with DC not present with AC.
    If there's enough leakage current to create corrosion, the installation is defective.

    But they thought it was good design:

    https://www.osti.gov/biblio/5851179


    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Fred Bloggs@21:1/5 to Anthony William Sloman on Sat Oct 21 10:05:12 2023
    On Friday, October 20, 2023 at 10:59:08 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 2:19:43 AM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 10:33:08 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 11:46:15 PM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 11:54:42 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 9:38:52 AM UTC+11, john larkin wrote:
    On Wed, 18 Oct 2023 14:55:15 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whi...@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 12:41:35?PM UTC-7, john larkin wrote:
    <snip>
    "Achieving all national climate and energy goals will require adding
    or replacing 80 million kilometres of power lines by 2040 – an amount
    equal to the entire existing global grid – according to a detailed
    country-by-country analysis carried out for the report. Major changes
    to how grids operate and are regulated are also essential, while annual investment in grids, which has remained broadly stagnant, needs
    to double to more than USD 600 billion a year by 2030."

    The US power grid grew at a steady 5% per year from the 1950's to about 2000, when the US started off-shoring manufacturing and generating capacity stagnated for some twenty years. It can start growing again at 5% per year without any drastic
    change in society , Getting rid of a few Republican politicans - the really dumb ones who like Donald Trump - might help.

    (1.05)^n=2, makes n= Log(2)/log(1.05)= 14 years. Allowing 5 years to get the ball rolling puts it at 2023 +20= 2043. They're not going to make it. The world will be a sizzling cauldron before then.

    There's nothing magical about 5%. If we need to do better, we can.

    The only way that type of growth makes sense is if the growth produces more revenue with which they can expand their building rate, otherwise their growth would exponentially diminish year over year.
    Power lines aren't financed that way. They don't get paid directly for the current that they carry - they get paid by the people who generate the current and the people who buy it, and they get built because people want to buy more current and the
    generating companies what to get paid for satisfying that demand, and the transmission network that gets it to the customers is a necessary part of the apparatus for doing that.

    Ass usual you completely missed the point that these new lines are purposed to add green energy sources onto the grid. There is no speculation to it, the load demand is already in place.

    Dunno how they did it in the mythical 50s, but these days the regulatory authorities allow the power industry to tack on an increment of rate increase, temporarily, to finance the costs. NY in their infinite lack of wisdom just disallowed this for a big
    wind project which as a result may pull out of the project altogether.


    Finding more money to build more power lines isn't a problem if people want to buy more power.

    It's not a matter of buying more power, it's a matter of getting green power to the existing customer base.


    Power suppliers size lines with an allowance of 3% loss at full capacity, and the present situation demonstrates they're not exactly brilliant when it comes to anticipation of growth.

    They don't build new line until they are confident that there will be a market for them. They seem to have been brilliant at predicting that the politician were going to dither about actually tackling anthropogenic global warming. They will
    probably be equally brilliant at delivering new transmission capacity when the politicians get serious.

    I don't consider them brilliant when they parameterize their analyses with things like "accounts per branch per mile per past 10 years" in making a determination on the necessity of under-/above- ground feeds. That type of thing makes them sound like
    mindless number hacks.
    They provide the numbers that their customers understand. You aren't a customer - or at least not one with serious money to spend - so you opinion doesn't matter.

    The ignorance of their customer base pegs the Richter scale, there is no such comprehension of their gobbledygook.



    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From whit3rd@21:1/5 to upsid...@downunder.com on Sat Oct 21 10:15:41 2023
    On Friday, October 20, 2023 at 2:32:22 AM UTC-7, upsid...@downunder.com wrote:
    On Thu, 19 Oct 2023 16:14:46 -0700, john larkin <j...@650pot.com> wrote:

    Since PoE has got popular, there are a lot of 54 volt wall-warts
    around. That's an interesting voltage.
    48 Vdc is a quite common telecom voltage.

    In India they make a full series of household applications running
    from 48 Vdc, for off-grid villages pith solar panels.

    That was also a common power supply voltage a century ago, with
    rural folk using banks of lead-acid batteries and charging 'em from a windmill generator.

    The ugly old battery jars were common in antique stores for a while...

    <https://www.ebay.com/itm/155693011982>

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Joe Gwinn@21:1/5 to All on Sat Oct 21 13:48:47 2023
    On Sat, 21 Oct 2023 10:15:41 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whit3rd@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Friday, October 20, 2023 at 2:32:22?AM UTC-7, upsid...@downunder.com wrote: >> On Thu, 19 Oct 2023 16:14:46 -0700, john larkin <j...@650pot.com> wrote:

    Since PoE has got popular, there are a lot of 54 volt wall-warts
    around. That's an interesting voltage.
    48 Vdc is a quite common telecom voltage.

    In India they make a full series of household applications running
    from 48 Vdc, for off-grid villages pith solar panels.

    That was also a common power supply voltage a century ago, with
    rural folk using banks of lead-acid batteries and charging 'em from a windmill >generator.

    The ugly old battery jars were common in antique stores for a while...

    <https://www.ebay.com/itm/155693011982>

    There are modern equivalents. Look for flooded lead-acid battery.

    .<https://eepowersolutions.com/products/stationary-power-systems/stationary-batteries-industrial-battery-bank/flooded-lead-acid-opzs-batteries/>

    Joe Gwinn

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Anthony William Sloman@21:1/5 to Fred Bloggs on Sat Oct 21 19:56:50 2023
    On Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 4:05:17 AM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Friday, October 20, 2023 at 10:59:08 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 2:19:43 AM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 10:33:08 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 11:46:15 PM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 11:54:42 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 9:38:52 AM UTC+11, john larkin wrote:
    On Wed, 18 Oct 2023 14:55:15 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whi...@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 12:41:35?PM UTC-7, john larkin wrote:
    <snip>
    "Achieving all national climate and energy goals will require adding
    or replacing 80 million kilometres of power lines by 2040 – an amount
    equal to the entire existing global grid – according to a detailed
    country-by-country analysis carried out for the report. Major changes
    to how grids operate and are regulated are also essential, while annual investment in grids, which has remained broadly stagnant, needs
    to double to more than USD 600 billion a year by 2030."

    The US power grid grew at a steady 5% per year from the 1950's to about 2000, when the US started off-shoring manufacturing and generating capacity stagnated for some twenty years. It can start growing again at 5% per year without any drastic
    change in society , Getting rid of a few Republican politicans - the really dumb ones who like Donald Trump - might help.

    (1.05)^n=2, makes n= Log(2)/log(1.05)= 14 years. Allowing 5 years to get the ball rolling puts it at 2023 +20= 2043. They're not going to make it. The world will be a sizzling cauldron before then.

    There's nothing magical about 5%. If we need to do better, we can.

    The only way that type of growth makes sense is if the growth produces more revenue with which they can expand their building rate, otherwise their growth would exponentially diminish year over year.

    Power lines aren't financed that way. They don't get paid directly for the current that they carry - they get paid by the people who generate the current and the people who buy it, and they get built because people want to buy more current and the
    generating companies what to get paid for satisfying that demand, and the transmission network that gets it to the customers is a necessary part of the apparatus for doing that.

    As usual you completely missed the point that these new lines are purposed to add green energy sources onto the grid. There is no speculation to it, the load demand is already in place.

    Except that the green energy sources are replacing fossil-carbon-fired electrical generators. They can be put closer to the customers they are supplying and in many cases the existing lines will be perfectly adequate. The move to electric vehicles will
    eventually add about 30% to the demand for electric power, which probably will mean adding more transmission lines but it's a much more ad hoc process than youy seem to imagine

    Dunno how they did it in the mythical 50s, but these days the regulatory authorities allow the power industry to tack on an increment of rate increase, temporarily, to finance the costs. NY in their infinite lack of wisdom just disallowed this for a
    big wind project which as a result may pull out of the project altogether.

    In the mythical 1950s, electrical power generation was a closely regulated monopoly. When the privatision of natural monoplies got fashionable in the 1980, some very stupud scheme were set up - remember ENRON?

    Finding more money to build more power lines isn't a problem if people want to buy more power.

    It's not a matter of buying more power, it's a matter of getting green power to the existing customer base.

    The power stops being green the moment it is generated. After that it is just electric current.

    Power suppliers size lines with an allowance of 3% loss at full capacity, and the present situation demonstrates they're not exactly brilliant when it comes to anticipation of growth.

    They don't build new line until they are confident that there will be a market for them. They seem to have been brilliant at predicting that the politician were going to dither about actually tackling anthropogenic global warming. They will
    probably be equally brilliant at delivering new transmission capacity when the politicians get serious.

    I don't consider them brilliant when they parameterize their analyses with things like "accounts per branch per mile per past 10 years" in making a determination on the necessity of under-/above- ground feeds. That type of thing makes them sound
    like mindless number hacks.

    They provide the numbers that their customers understand. You aren't a customer - or at least not one with serious money to spend - so you opinion doesn't matter.

    The ignorance of their customer base pegs the Richter scale, there is no such comprehension of their gobbledygook.

    None that you can detect.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Fred Bloggs@21:1/5 to Anthony William Sloman on Sun Oct 22 05:40:11 2023
    On Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 10:56:55 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 4:05:17 AM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Friday, October 20, 2023 at 10:59:08 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 2:19:43 AM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 10:33:08 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 11:46:15 PM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 11:54:42 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 9:38:52 AM UTC+11, john larkin wrote:
    On Wed, 18 Oct 2023 14:55:15 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whi...@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 12:41:35?PM UTC-7, john larkin wrote:
    <snip>
    "Achieving all national climate and energy goals will require adding
    or replacing 80 million kilometres of power lines by 2040 – an amount
    equal to the entire existing global grid – according to a detailed
    country-by-country analysis carried out for the report. Major changes
    to how grids operate and are regulated are also essential, while
    annual investment in grids, which has remained broadly stagnant, needs
    to double to more than USD 600 billion a year by 2030."

    The US power grid grew at a steady 5% per year from the 1950's to about 2000, when the US started off-shoring manufacturing and generating capacity stagnated for some twenty years. It can start growing again at 5% per year without any
    drastic change in society , Getting rid of a few Republican politicans - the really dumb ones who like Donald Trump - might help.

    (1.05)^n=2, makes n= Log(2)/log(1.05)= 14 years. Allowing 5 years to get the ball rolling puts it at 2023 +20= 2043. They're not going to make it. The world will be a sizzling cauldron before then.

    There's nothing magical about 5%. If we need to do better, we can.

    The only way that type of growth makes sense is if the growth produces more revenue with which they can expand their building rate, otherwise their growth would exponentially diminish year over year.

    Power lines aren't financed that way. They don't get paid directly for the current that they carry - they get paid by the people who generate the current and the people who buy it, and they get built because people want to buy more current and the
    generating companies what to get paid for satisfying that demand, and the transmission network that gets it to the customers is a necessary part of the apparatus for doing that.

    As usual you completely missed the point that these new lines are purposed to add green energy sources onto the grid. There is no speculation to it, the load demand is already in place.

    Except that the green energy sources are replacing fossil-carbon-fired electrical generators. They can be put closer to the customers they are supplying and in many cases the existing lines will be perfectly adequate. The move to electric vehicles will
    eventually add about 30% to the demand for electric power, which probably will mean adding more transmission lines but it's a much more ad hoc process than youy seem to imagine

    It's ad hoc to the extent the new builds have to be made specific to the circumstances of their location. And that is anything but uniform. For some reason they need thousands of hectares per 100 MW solar capacity, so that is really limiting putting the
    installation close to the end users.

    Dunno how they did it in the mythical 50s, but these days the regulatory authorities allow the power industry to tack on an increment of rate increase, temporarily, to finance the costs. NY in their infinite lack of wisdom just disallowed this for a
    big wind project which as a result may pull out of the project altogether.
    In the mythical 1950s, electrical power generation was a closely regulated monopoly. When the privatision of natural monoplies got fashionable in the 1980, some very stupud scheme were set up - remember ENRON?
    Finding more money to build more power lines isn't a problem if people want to buy more power.

    It's not a matter of buying more power, it's a matter of getting green power to the existing customer base.
    The power stops being green the moment it is generated. After that it is just electric current.
    Power suppliers size lines with an allowance of 3% loss at full capacity, and the present situation demonstrates they're not exactly brilliant when it comes to anticipation of growth.

    They don't build new line until they are confident that there will be a market for them. They seem to have been brilliant at predicting that the politician were going to dither about actually tackling anthropogenic global warming. They will
    probably be equally brilliant at delivering new transmission capacity when the politicians get serious.

    I don't consider them brilliant when they parameterize their analyses with things like "accounts per branch per mile per past 10 years" in making a determination on the necessity of under-/above- ground feeds. That type of thing makes them sound
    like mindless number hacks.

    They provide the numbers that their customers understand. You aren't a customer - or at least not one with serious money to spend - so you opinion doesn't matter.

    The ignorance of their customer base pegs the Richter scale, there is no such comprehension of their gobbledygook.
    None that you can detect.

    They do publish commentary from the public on the matter. Most of it is laughable.



    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From upsidedown@downunder.com@21:1/5 to bill.sloman@ieee.org on Sun Oct 22 17:14:24 2023
    On Sat, 21 Oct 2023 19:56:50 -0700 (PDT), Anthony William Sloman <bill.sloman@ieee.org> wrote:


    <about needing new additional power lines>

    Except that the green energy sources are replacing fossil-carbon-fired electrical generators.

    Unreliable renewable sources (such as wind or solar) will add the need
    new power lines, since one day you have to get energy from one site,
    the next day from an other site if you want to use electricity every
    day at nominal power levels.

    They can be put closer to the customers they are supplying and

    You can put a coal or NG fired power plant within a large city, but is unrealistic to assume large wind or solar farms within a city.

    in many cases the existing lines will be perfectly adequate.

    No way.

    The move to electric vehicles will eventually add about 30% to
    the demand for electric power, which probably will mean adding
    more transmission lines but it's a much more ad hoc process than youy seem to imagine

    When average EV battery capacity becomes so large that you on average
    needs to charge them once a week, you can schedule the charging when
    there is more unreliable renewable energy available.


    The current HV transfer capacity is inadequate at least in
    Scandinavia. Take a look at production and area prices:


    https://www.svk.se/en/national-grid/the-control-room/

    Follow this page for a few hours or few days.

    At the upper half of the page, there is the current bidding prices in
    different regions.

    Each country is an own region and some countries are divided into
    multiple regions. The price can greatly vary between countries and
    also there can be huge price differences within a country.

    One would expect that the same average price would apply to the whole Scandinavia, but why is there so much differences ?

    The reason is that the cross border and cross region transfer capacity
    is inadequate.

    For instance Norway has a big surplus thanks to plenty of hydro and
    the price is low in northern regions. However, the price in southern
    Norway can be many times that. The reason is multiple HVDC cables to
    UK, the Netherlands and Denmark but inadequate transfer capacity
    between mid-Norway and south Norway.

    With better cross border and cross region HV lines or cables, the
    price difference would be much smaller.

    That same page also shows the total production separated by source for
    each country and also the whole Scandinavia. It should be noted that
    during the low consumption (summer) very little fossil fuels are used.
    Norway is the great producer of hydro. Both Sweden and Finland produce
    a lot of nuclear and hydro and sometimes some wind.

    The 'thermal power' for both Sweden and Finland contains some
    byproducts from the pulp and paper industry, so it is partially
    renewable.

    During the cold period (winter) more fossil fuels needs to be used.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Anthony William Sloman@21:1/5 to Fred Bloggs on Sun Oct 22 06:52:03 2023
    On Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 11:40:16 PM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 10:56:55 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 4:05:17 AM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Friday, October 20, 2023 at 10:59:08 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 2:19:43 AM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 10:33:08 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 11:46:15 PM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 11:54:42 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 9:38:52 AM UTC+11, john larkin wrote:
    On Wed, 18 Oct 2023 14:55:15 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whi...@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 12:41:35?PM UTC-7, john larkin wrote:
    <snip>
    "Achieving all national climate and energy goals will require adding
    or replacing 80 million kilometres of power lines by 2040 – an amount
    equal to the entire existing global grid – according to a detailed
    country-by-country analysis carried out for the report. Major changes
    to how grids operate and are regulated are also essential, while
    annual investment in grids, which has remained broadly stagnant, needs
    to double to more than USD 600 billion a year by 2030."

    The US power grid grew at a steady 5% per year from the 1950's to about 2000, when the US started off-shoring manufacturing and generating capacity stagnated for some twenty years. It can start growing again at 5% per year without any
    drastic change in society , Getting rid of a few Republican politicians - the really dumb ones who like Donald Trump - might help.

    (1.05)^n=2, makes n= Log(2)/log(1.05)= 14 years. Allowing 5 years to get the ball rolling puts it at 2023 +20= 2043. They're not going to make it. The world will be a sizzling cauldron before then.

    There's nothing magical about 5%. If we need to do better, we can.

    The only way that type of growth makes sense is if the growth produces more revenue with which they can expand their building rate, otherwise their growth would exponentially diminish year over year.

    Power lines aren't financed that way. They don't get paid directly for the current that they carry - they get paid by the people who generate the current and the people who buy it, and they get built because people want to buy more current and
    the generating companies want to get paid for satisfying that demand, and the transmission network that gets it to the customers is a necessary part of the apparatus for doing that.

    As usual you completely missed the point that these new lines are purposed to add green energy sources onto the grid. There is no speculation to it, the load demand is already in place.

    Except that the green energy sources are replacing fossil-carbon-fired electrical generators. They can be put closer to the customers they are supplying and in many cases the existing lines will be perfectly adequate. The move to electric vehicles
    will eventually add about 30% to the demand for electric power, which probably will mean adding more transmission lines but it's a much more ad hoc process than you seem to imagine.

    It's ad hoc to the extent the new builds have to be made specific to the circumstances of their location. And that is anything but uniform. For some reason they need thousands of hectares per 100 MW solar capacity, so that is really limiting putting
    the installation close to the end users.

    The reason is perfectly obvious - solar power depends on the area of solar cells collecting the sunlight. You can put solar cells on the roof of a house, which is putting the source directly above the end user. Cities that are big enough to go for
    multistory buildings need solar farms beyond the outer suburbs, and they do compete with the truck farms that sell the produce to the same city, but it's not "really limiting" - just the usual juggling to get the right mix of land use.

    Dunno how they did it in the mythical 50s, but these days the regulatory authorities allow the power industry to tack on an increment of rate increase, temporarily, to finance the costs. NY in their infinite lack of wisdom just disallowed this for
    a big wind project which as a result may pull out of the project altogether.

    In the mythical 1950s, electrical power generation was a closely regulated monopoly. When the privatisation of natural monoplies got fashionable in the 1980s, some very stupid scheme were set up - remember ENRON?

    Finding more money to build more power lines isn't a problem if people want to buy more power.

    It's not a matter of buying more power, it's a matter of getting green power to the existing customer base.

    The power stops being green the moment it is generated. After that it is just electric current.

    Power suppliers size lines with an allowance of 3% loss at full capacity, and the present situation demonstrates they're not exactly brilliant when it comes to anticipation of growth.

    They don't build new line until they are confident that there will be a market for them. They seem to have been brilliant at predicting that the politician were going to dither about actually tackling anthropogenic global warming. They will
    probably be equally brilliant at delivering new transmission capacity when the politicians get serious.

    I don't consider them brilliant when they parameterize their analyses with things like "accounts per branch per mile per past 10 years" in making a determination on the necessity of under-/above- ground feeds. That type of thing makes them
    sound like mindless number hacks.

    They provide the numbers that their customers understand. You aren't a customer - or at least not one with serious money to spend - so you opinion doesn't matter.

    The ignorance of their customer base pegs the Richter scale, there is no such comprehension of their gobbledygook.

    None that you can detect.

    They do publish commentary from the public on the matter. Most of it is laughable.

    But you can't quote any of it, and "laughable" may just mean that you don't understand it. Quite a lot of technical jargon looks like gobbledygook to people who don't understand it. It's a foreign language, and people prefer to despise people who don't
    speak their language in preference for doing the work required to master a different grammar and vocabulary.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Anthony William Sloman@21:1/5 to upsid...@downunder.com on Sun Oct 22 07:55:03 2023
    On Monday, October 23, 2023 at 1:14:34 AM UTC+11, upsid...@downunder.com wrote:
    On Sat, 21 Oct 2023 19:56:50 -0700 (PDT), Anthony William Sloman <bill....@ieee.org> wrote:


    <about needing new additional power lines>
    Except that the green energy sources are replacing fossil-carbon-fired electrical generators.
    Unreliable renewable sources (such as wind or solar) will add the need
    new power lines, since one day you have to get energy from one site,
    the next day from an other site if you want to use electricity every
    day at nominal power levels.

    Less so if you have a respectable amount of grid scale storage.

    They can be put closer to the customers they are supplying and
    in many cases the existing lines will be perfectly adequate.

    No way.

    You can put a coal or NG fired power plant within a large city, but is unrealistic to assume large wind or solar farms within a city.

    Nobody is assuming that. You can put them close to cities, and it lots of cases that's where the big fossil-fueled power plants were built anyway.
    Smaller ones where put in - or very close - to city centres in the early days of electrification, and still are where district heating is popular.

    The move to electric vehicles will eventually add about 30% to the demand for electric power, which probably will mean adding
    more transmission lines but it's a much more ad hoc process than youy seem to imagine.

    When average EV battery capacity becomes so large that you on average needs to charge them once a week, you can schedule the charging when there is more unreliable renewable energy available.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hot,_Flat,_and_Crowded

    from 2008 makes the point that if you move over to mainly electric vehicles, the car batteries - which spend 95% of their time parked - could collectively delver about three time as much power as the local national grid. You recharge them when there is
    plenty of power and it should allow you to match the load to the power available. You don't need huge batteries in each car to do it.

    The current HV transfer capacity is inadequate at least in Scandinavia. Take a look at production and area prices:

    https://www.svk.se/en/national-grid/the-control-room/

    Follow this page for a few hours or few days.

    At the upper half of the page, there is the current bidding prices in different regions.

    That's the mechanism that matches the consumption to available capacity

    Each country is an own region and some countries are divided into multiple regions. The price can greatly vary between countries and also there can be huge price differences within a country.

    But it is designed match supply to demand, and the huge variations average out to sensible average prices, while compensating the people who keep expensive fast start gas-turbine generation capacity idling most of the time until the system runs out of
    cheaper power generation. It a highly specialised and technical free market, even if it looks chaotic to people who don't see the point.

    One would expect that the same average price would apply to the whole Scandinavia, but why is there so much differences ?

    To move power to where it is needed.

    The reason is that the cross border and cross region transfer capacity is inadequate.

    If were you'd have power failures and the lights would go out from time to time, as happens frequnetly in third world countries.

    For instance Norway has a big surplus thanks to plenty of hydro and
    the price is low in northern regions. However, the price in southern
    Norway can be many times that. The reason is multiple HVDC cables to
    UK, the Netherlands and Denmark but inadequate transfer capacity
    between mid-Norway and south Norway.

    Wrong.

    With better cross border and cross region HV lines or cables, the
    price difference would be much smaller.

    But better - bigger - HV links are an expensive capital investment, and a clever free market can let you get away with a just adequate system.

    That same page also shows the total production separated by source for
    each country and also the whole Scandinavia. It should be noted that
    during the low consumption (summer) very little fossil fuels are used. Norway is the great producer of hydro. Both Sweden and Finland produce
    a lot of nuclear and hydro and sometimes some wind.

    The 'thermal power' for both Sweden and Finland contains some byproducts from the pulp and paper industry, so it is partially renewable.

    The pulp and paper mill where my father was research manager when I was growing up had a Norwegian (Kamyr) continuous digester and its own steam plant.
    Tasmania has a lot of hydroelectric generating capacity, but it made sense to use some of the steam to generate electric power on site

    During the cold period (winter) more fossil fuels needs to be used.

    No surprise there.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Fred Bloggs@21:1/5 to Anthony William Sloman on Sun Oct 22 07:46:45 2023
    On Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 9:52:08 AM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 11:40:16 PM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 10:56:55 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 4:05:17 AM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Friday, October 20, 2023 at 10:59:08 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 2:19:43 AM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 10:33:08 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 11:46:15 PM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 11:54:42 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 9:38:52 AM UTC+11, john larkin wrote:
    On Wed, 18 Oct 2023 14:55:15 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whi...@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 12:41:35?PM UTC-7, john larkin wrote:
    <snip>
    "Achieving all national climate and energy goals will require adding
    or replacing 80 million kilometres of power lines by 2040 – an amount
    equal to the entire existing global grid – according to a detailed
    country-by-country analysis carried out for the report. Major changes
    to how grids operate and are regulated are also essential, while
    annual investment in grids, which has remained broadly stagnant, needs
    to double to more than USD 600 billion a year by 2030."

    The US power grid grew at a steady 5% per year from the 1950's to about 2000, when the US started off-shoring manufacturing and generating capacity stagnated for some twenty years. It can start growing again at 5% per year without any
    drastic change in society , Getting rid of a few Republican politicians - the really dumb ones who like Donald Trump - might help.

    (1.05)^n=2, makes n= Log(2)/log(1.05)= 14 years. Allowing 5 years to get the ball rolling puts it at 2023 +20= 2043. They're not going to make it. The world will be a sizzling cauldron before then.

    There's nothing magical about 5%. If we need to do better, we can.

    The only way that type of growth makes sense is if the growth produces more revenue with which they can expand their building rate, otherwise their growth would exponentially diminish year over year.

    Power lines aren't financed that way. They don't get paid directly for the current that they carry - they get paid by the people who generate the current and the people who buy it, and they get built because people want to buy more current and
    the generating companies want to get paid for satisfying that demand, and the transmission network that gets it to the customers is a necessary part of the apparatus for doing that.

    As usual you completely missed the point that these new lines are purposed to add green energy sources onto the grid. There is no speculation to it, the load demand is already in place.

    Except that the green energy sources are replacing fossil-carbon-fired electrical generators. They can be put closer to the customers they are supplying and in many cases the existing lines will be perfectly adequate. The move to electric vehicles
    will eventually add about 30% to the demand for electric power, which probably will mean adding more transmission lines but it's a much more ad hoc process than you seem to imagine.

    It's ad hoc to the extent the new builds have to be made specific to the circumstances of their location. And that is anything but uniform. For some reason they need thousands of hectares per 100 MW solar capacity, so that is really limiting putting
    the installation close to the end users.
    The reason is perfectly obvious - solar power depends on the area of solar cells collecting the sunlight. You can put solar cells on the roof of a house, which is putting the source directly above the end user. Cities that are big enough to go for
    multistory buildings need solar farms beyond the outer suburbs, and they do compete with the truck farms that sell the produce to the same city, but it's not "really limiting" - just the usual juggling to get the right mix of land use.

    You're not likely to find a 1,000 acre+ 'truck farm'. The usual thing is usually to purchase the land from another corporate entity, things like obsolete timber land, or full landfill, or some other undesirable state of condition. Other than that and
    they need to go the eminent domain stretch which causes lengthy delays/ appeals in court.

    Dunno how they did it in the mythical 50s, but these days the regulatory authorities allow the power industry to tack on an increment of rate increase, temporarily, to finance the costs. NY in their infinite lack of wisdom just disallowed this
    for a big wind project which as a result may pull out of the project altogether.

    In the mythical 1950s, electrical power generation was a closely regulated monopoly. When the privatisation of natural monoplies got fashionable in the 1980s, some very stupid scheme were set up - remember ENRON?

    Finding more money to build more power lines isn't a problem if people want to buy more power.

    It's not a matter of buying more power, it's a matter of getting green power to the existing customer base.

    The power stops being green the moment it is generated. After that it is just electric current.

    Power suppliers size lines with an allowance of 3% loss at full capacity, and the present situation demonstrates they're not exactly brilliant when it comes to anticipation of growth.

    They don't build new line until they are confident that there will be a market for them. They seem to have been brilliant at predicting that the politician were going to dither about actually tackling anthropogenic global warming. They will
    probably be equally brilliant at delivering new transmission capacity when the politicians get serious.

    I don't consider them brilliant when they parameterize their analyses with things like "accounts per branch per mile per past 10 years" in making a determination on the necessity of under-/above- ground feeds. That type of thing makes them
    sound like mindless number hacks.

    They provide the numbers that their customers understand. You aren't a customer - or at least not one with serious money to spend - so you opinion doesn't matter.

    The ignorance of their customer base pegs the Richter scale, there is no such comprehension of their gobbledygook.

    None that you can detect.

    They do publish commentary from the public on the matter. Most of it is laughable.
    But you can't quote any of it, and "laughable" may just mean that you don't understand it. Quite a lot of technical jargon looks like gobbledygook to people who don't understand it. It's a foreign language, and people prefer to despise people who don't
    speak their language in preference for doing the work required to master a different grammar and vocabulary.

    I seriously doubt the utility engineering bunch are going to be over my head in any matter. I know bullshit when I hear it. And the idiot criteria I originally referred to was in regards to designating above ground lines for underground refurbishment. It
    was a completely mindless presentation of factoid regurgitation by an engineer who didn't have a clue in hell about the why's and therefore's, and consequently didn't offer anything up.


    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Anthony William Sloman@21:1/5 to Fred Bloggs on Sun Oct 22 08:05:16 2023
    On Monday, October 23, 2023 at 1:46:50 AM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 9:52:08 AM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 11:40:16 PM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 10:56:55 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 4:05:17 AM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Friday, October 20, 2023 at 10:59:08 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 2:19:43 AM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 10:33:08 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 11:46:15 PM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 11:54:42 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 9:38:52 AM UTC+11, john larkin wrote:
    On Wed, 18 Oct 2023 14:55:15 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whi...@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 12:41:35?PM UTC-7, john larkin wrote:
    <snip>
    "Achieving all national climate and energy goals will require adding
    or replacing 80 million kilometres of power lines by 2040 – an amount
    equal to the entire existing global grid – according to a detailed
    country-by-country analysis carried out for the report. Major changes
    to how grids operate and are regulated are also essential, while
    annual investment in grids, which has remained broadly stagnant, needs
    to double to more than USD 600 billion a year by 2030."

    The US power grid grew at a steady 5% per year from the 1950's to about 2000, when the US started off-shoring manufacturing and generating capacity stagnated for some twenty years. It can start growing again at 5% per year without any
    drastic change in society , Getting rid of a few Republican politicians - the really dumb ones who like Donald Trump - might help.

    (1.05)^n=2, makes n= Log(2)/log(1.05)= 14 years. Allowing 5 years to get the ball rolling puts it at 2023 +20= 2043. They're not going to make it. The world will be a sizzling cauldron before then.

    There's nothing magical about 5%. If we need to do better, we can.

    The only way that type of growth makes sense is if the growth produces more revenue with which they can expand their building rate, otherwise their growth would exponentially diminish year over year.

    Power lines aren't financed that way. They don't get paid directly for the current that they carry - they get paid by the people who generate the current and the people who buy it, and they get built because people want to buy more current
    and the generating companies want to get paid for satisfying that demand, and the transmission network that gets it to the customers is a necessary part of the apparatus for doing that.

    As usual you completely missed the point that these new lines are purposed to add green energy sources onto the grid. There is no speculation to it, the load demand is already in place.

    Except that the green energy sources are replacing fossil-carbon-fired electrical generators. They can be put closer to the customers they are supplying and in many cases the existing lines will be perfectly adequate. The move to electric
    vehicles will eventually add about 30% to the demand for electric power, which probably will mean adding more transmission lines but it's a much more ad hoc process than you seem to imagine.

    It's ad hoc to the extent the new builds have to be made specific to the circumstances of their location. And that is anything but uniform. For some reason they need thousands of hectares per 100 MW solar capacity, so that is really limiting
    putting the installation close to the end users.

    The reason is perfectly obvious - solar power depends on the area of solar cells collecting the sunlight. You can put solar cells on the roof of a house, which is putting the source directly above the end user. Cities that are big enough to go for
    multistory buildings need solar farms beyond the outer suburbs, and they do compete with the truck farms that sell the produce to the same city, but it's not "really limiting" - just the usual juggling to get the right mix of land use.

    You're not likely to find a 1,000 acre+ 'truck farm'. The usual thing is usually to purchase the land from another corporate entity, things like obsolete timber land, or full landfill, or some other undesirable state of condition. Other than that and
    they need to go the eminent domain stretch which causes lengthy delays/ appeals in court.

    Why would you want a single thousand acres site for your solar farm? Solar power is thoroughly modular. Wind farms have bigger modular chunks, but they can share land with agriculture much more easily.

    Dunno how they did it in the mythical 50s, but these days the regulatory authorities allow the power industry to tack on an increment of rate increase, temporarily, to finance the costs. NY in their infinite lack of wisdom just disallowed this
    for a big wind project which as a result may pull out of the project altogether.

    In the mythical 1950s, electrical power generation was a closely regulated monopoly. When the privatisation of natural monoplies got fashionable in the 1980s, some very stupid scheme were set up - remember ENRON?

    Finding more money to build more power lines isn't a problem if people want to buy more power.

    It's not a matter of buying more power, it's a matter of getting green power to the existing customer base.

    The power stops being green the moment it is generated. After that it is just electric current.

    Power suppliers size lines with an allowance of 3% loss at full capacity, and the present situation demonstrates they're not exactly brilliant when it comes to anticipation of growth.

    They don't build new line until they are confident that there will be a market for them. They seem to have been brilliant at predicting that the politician were going to dither about actually tackling anthropogenic global warming. They
    will probably be equally brilliant at delivering new transmission capacity when the politicians get serious.

    I don't consider them brilliant when they parameterize their analyses with things like "accounts per branch per mile per past 10 years" in making a determination on the necessity of under-/above- ground feeds. That type of thing makes them
    sound like mindless number hacks.

    They provide the numbers that their customers understand. You aren't a customer - or at least not one with serious money to spend - so you opinion doesn't matter.

    The ignorance of their customer base pegs the Richter scale, there is no such comprehension of their gobbledygook.

    None that you can detect.

    They do publish commentary from the public on the matter. Most of it is laughable.
    But you can't quote any of it, and "laughable" may just mean that you don't understand it. Quite a lot of technical jargon looks like gobbledygook to people who don't understand it. It's a foreign language, and people prefer to despise people who don'
    t speak their language in preference for doing the work required to master a different grammar and vocabulary.

    I seriously doubt the utility engineering bunch are going to be over my head in any matter.

    You've been adverstising your over-confidence here for years.

    I know bullshit when I hear it.

    Or think you do.

    And the idiot criteria I originally referred to was in regards to designating above ground lines for underground refurbishment. It was a completely mindless presentation of factoid regurgitation by an engineer who didn't have a clue in hell about the
    why's and therefore's, and consequently didn't offer anything up.

    Or had assumed more background knowledge in his audience than you had mastered.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Fred Bloggs@21:1/5 to Anthony William Sloman on Sun Oct 22 08:09:14 2023
    On Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 11:05:21 AM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Monday, October 23, 2023 at 1:46:50 AM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 9:52:08 AM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 11:40:16 PM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 10:56:55 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 4:05:17 AM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Friday, October 20, 2023 at 10:59:08 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 2:19:43 AM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 10:33:08 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 11:46:15 PM UTC+11, Fred Bloggs wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 11:54:42 PM UTC-4, Anthony William Sloman wrote:
    On Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 9:38:52 AM UTC+11, john larkin wrote:
    On Wed, 18 Oct 2023 14:55:15 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whi...@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 12:41:35?PM UTC-7, john larkin wrote:
    <snip>
    "Achieving all national climate and energy goals will require adding
    or replacing 80 million kilometres of power lines by 2040 – an amount
    equal to the entire existing global grid – according to a detailed
    country-by-country analysis carried out for the report. Major changes
    to how grids operate and are regulated are also essential, while
    annual investment in grids, which has remained broadly stagnant, needs
    to double to more than USD 600 billion a year by 2030."

    The US power grid grew at a steady 5% per year from the 1950's to about 2000, when the US started off-shoring manufacturing and generating capacity stagnated for some twenty years. It can start growing again at 5% per year without
    any drastic change in society , Getting rid of a few Republican politicians - the really dumb ones who like Donald Trump - might help.

    (1.05)^n=2, makes n= Log(2)/log(1.05)= 14 years. Allowing 5 years to get the ball rolling puts it at 2023 +20= 2043. They're not going to make it. The world will be a sizzling cauldron before then.

    There's nothing magical about 5%. If we need to do better, we can.

    The only way that type of growth makes sense is if the growth produces more revenue with which they can expand their building rate, otherwise their growth would exponentially diminish year over year.

    Power lines aren't financed that way. They don't get paid directly for the current that they carry - they get paid by the people who generate the current and the people who buy it, and they get built because people want to buy more current
    and the generating companies want to get paid for satisfying that demand, and the transmission network that gets it to the customers is a necessary part of the apparatus for doing that.

    As usual you completely missed the point that these new lines are purposed to add green energy sources onto the grid. There is no speculation to it, the load demand is already in place.

    Except that the green energy sources are replacing fossil-carbon-fired electrical generators. They can be put closer to the customers they are supplying and in many cases the existing lines will be perfectly adequate. The move to electric
    vehicles will eventually add about 30% to the demand for electric power, which probably will mean adding more transmission lines but it's a much more ad hoc process than you seem to imagine.

    It's ad hoc to the extent the new builds have to be made specific to the circumstances of their location. And that is anything but uniform. For some reason they need thousands of hectares per 100 MW solar capacity, so that is really limiting
    putting the installation close to the end users.

    The reason is perfectly obvious - solar power depends on the area of solar cells collecting the sunlight. You can put solar cells on the roof of a house, which is putting the source directly above the end user. Cities that are big enough to go for
    multistory buildings need solar farms beyond the outer suburbs, and they do compete with the truck farms that sell the produce to the same city, but it's not "really limiting" - just the usual juggling to get the right mix of land use.

    You're not likely to find a 1,000 acre+ 'truck farm'. The usual thing is usually to purchase the land from another corporate entity, things like obsolete timber land, or full landfill, or some other undesirable state of condition. Other than that and
    they need to go the eminent domain stretch which causes lengthy delays/ appeals in court.
    Why would you want a single thousand acres site for your solar farm? Solar power is thoroughly modular. Wind farms have bigger modular chunks, but they can share land with agriculture much more easily.
    Dunno how they did it in the mythical 50s, but these days the regulatory authorities allow the power industry to tack on an increment of rate increase, temporarily, to finance the costs. NY in their infinite lack of wisdom just disallowed
    this for a big wind project which as a result may pull out of the project altogether.

    In the mythical 1950s, electrical power generation was a closely regulated monopoly. When the privatisation of natural monoplies got fashionable in the 1980s, some very stupid scheme were set up - remember ENRON?

    Finding more money to build more power lines isn't a problem if people want to buy more power.

    It's not a matter of buying more power, it's a matter of getting green power to the existing customer base.

    The power stops being green the moment it is generated. After that it is just electric current.

    Power suppliers size lines with an allowance of 3% loss at full capacity, and the present situation demonstrates they're not exactly brilliant when it comes to anticipation of growth.

    They don't build new line until they are confident that there will be a market for them. They seem to have been brilliant at predicting that the politician were going to dither about actually tackling anthropogenic global warming. They
    will probably be equally brilliant at delivering new transmission capacity when the politicians get serious.

    I don't consider them brilliant when they parameterize their analyses with things like "accounts per branch per mile per past 10 years" in making a determination on the necessity of under-/above- ground feeds. That type of thing makes
    them sound like mindless number hacks.

    They provide the numbers that their customers understand. You aren't a customer - or at least not one with serious money to spend - so you opinion doesn't matter.

    The ignorance of their customer base pegs the Richter scale, there is no such comprehension of their gobbledygook.

    None that you can detect.

    They do publish commentary from the public on the matter. Most of it is laughable.
    But you can't quote any of it, and "laughable" may just mean that you don't understand it. Quite a lot of technical jargon looks like gobbledygook to people who don't understand it. It's a foreign language, and people prefer to despise people who
    don't speak their language in preference for doing the work required to master a different grammar and vocabulary.

    I seriously doubt the utility engineering bunch are going to be over my head in any matter.
    You've been adverstising your over-confidence here for years.
    I know bullshit when I hear it.
    Or think you do.
    And the idiot criteria I originally referred to was in regards to designating above ground lines for underground refurbishment. It was a completely mindless presentation of factoid regurgitation by an engineer who didn't have a clue in hell about the
    why's and therefore's, and consequently didn't offer anything up.
    Or had assumed more background knowledge in his audience than you had mastered.

    Unlike you, I was integrating the presentation with other background material on the work...no mistake made.


    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From keith@kjwdesigns.com@21:1/5 to upsid...@downunder.com on Sun Oct 22 10:23:20 2023
    On Sunday, 22 October 2023 at 07:14:34 UTC-7, upsid...@downunder.com wrote:
    ..
    They can be put closer to the customers they are supplying and
    You can put a coal or NG fired power plant within a large city, but is unrealistic to assume large wind or solar farms within a city.

    NG fired plants are practical in built-up areas but not coal fired.

    in many cases the existing lines will be perfectly adequate.
    No way.
    The move to electric vehicles will eventually add about 30% to
    the demand for electric power,

    EVs will increase the demand for overall energy delivered but not a 30% increase in power as much charging will occur during times when the consumption for other uses is low, eg at night.

    which probably will mean adding
    more transmission lines but it's a much more ad hoc process than youy seem to imagine
    When average EV battery capacity becomes so large that you on average
    needs to charge them once a week, you can schedule the charging when
    there is more unreliable renewable energy available.

    That is already the case for many EV users where the cars have 250mile or more range. I often only charge once per week.

    The charging times are influenced by financial incentives; Tariffs are usually lower at night (some areas in Texas have zero energy charge for a few hours after midnight, other areas have a less drastic reduction from peak rates)

    Also there are many schemes where the vehicle charging is controlled centrally to dynamically coordinate EV charging with grid loading. I use one called EVpulse (local naming for Gridshift). I receive various bonuses as an incentive to use the scheme.
    There is no fee.

    I have my Tesla linked to my solar panels such that the car can be charged when there is excess solar power to minimize the churn of power being sent to the grid only to be consumed later.

    The tariff scheme for PG&E in northern California charges separately for power delivery and generation.
    Among other fees I pay about 3 cents/kWh for any power coming into the house regardless of the source. I pay another company for the power I consume. (It's all combined into a single bill so it happens transparently to me)

    Another function is to allow the batteries in my PV system to be discharged to the grid in times of very high utilization - for that I'm paid $2/kWh.

    These schemes are all part of the approach to improve the utilization of power transmission infrastructure. Over the coming years I anticipate they will avoid much of the additional infrastructure build-out that many analysts are predicting.

    kw

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From John Larkin@21:1/5 to upsidedown@downunder.com on Sun Oct 22 11:21:28 2023
    On Sun, 22 Oct 2023 17:14:24 +0300, upsidedown@downunder.com wrote:

    On Sat, 21 Oct 2023 19:56:50 -0700 (PDT), Anthony William Sloman ><bill.sloman@ieee.org> wrote:


    <about needing new additional power lines>

    Except that the green energy sources are replacing fossil-carbon-fired electrical generators.

    Unreliable renewable sources (such as wind or solar) will add the need
    new power lines, since one day you have to get energy from one site,
    the next day from an other site if you want to use electricity every
    day at nominal power levels.

    They can be put closer to the customers they are supplying and

    You can put a coal or NG fired power plant within a large city, but is >unrealistic to assume large wind or solar farms within a city.

    in many cases the existing lines will be perfectly adequate.

    No way.

    The move to electric vehicles will eventually add about 30% to
    the demand for electric power, which probably will mean adding
    more transmission lines but it's a much more ad hoc process than youy seem to imagine

    When average EV battery capacity becomes so large that you on average
    needs to charge them once a week, you can schedule the charging when
    there is more unreliable renewable energy available.


    The current HV transfer capacity is inadequate at least in
    Scandinavia. Take a look at production and area prices:


    https://www.svk.se/en/national-grid/the-control-room/

    Follow this page for a few hours or few days.

    At the upper half of the page, there is the current bidding prices in >different regions.

    Each country is an own region and some countries are divided into
    multiple regions. The price can greatly vary between countries and
    also there can be huge price differences within a country.

    One would expect that the same average price would apply to the whole >Scandinavia, but why is there so much differences ?

    The reason is that the cross border and cross region transfer capacity
    is inadequate.

    For instance Norway has a big surplus thanks to plenty of hydro and
    the price is low in northern regions. However, the price in southern
    Norway can be many times that. The reason is multiple HVDC cables to
    UK, the Netherlands and Denmark but inadequate transfer capacity
    between mid-Norway and south Norway.

    With better cross border and cross region HV lines or cables, the
    price difference would be much smaller.

    That same page also shows the total production separated by source for
    each country and also the whole Scandinavia. It should be noted that
    during the low consumption (summer) very little fossil fuels are used.
    Norway is the great producer of hydro. Both Sweden and Finland produce
    a lot of nuclear and hydro and sometimes some wind.

    The 'thermal power' for both Sweden and Finland contains some
    byproducts from the pulp and paper industry, so it is partially
    renewable.

    During the cold period (winter) more fossil fuels needs to be used.

    The greenies will wreck our power systems, electricity will become
    intermittent and unaffordable, people will revolt and elect some
    sensible people, and eventually things will get fixed in maybe 20
    years, namely about where we were 20 years ago.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From John Larkin@21:1/5 to bloggs.fredbloggs.fred@gmail.com on Sun Oct 22 12:29:22 2023
    On Sun, 22 Oct 2023 12:18:06 -0700 (PDT), Fred Bloggs <bloggs.fredbloggs.fred@gmail.com> wrote:

    On Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 2:21:53?PM UTC-4, John Larkin wrote:
    On Sun, 22 Oct 2023 17:14:24 +0300, upsid...@downunder.com wrote:

    On Sat, 21 Oct 2023 19:56:50 -0700 (PDT), Anthony William Sloman
    <bill....@ieee.org> wrote:


    <about needing new additional power lines>

    Except that the green energy sources are replacing fossil-carbon-fired electrical generators.

    Unreliable renewable sources (such as wind or solar) will add the need
    new power lines, since one day you have to get energy from one site,
    the next day from an other site if you want to use electricity every
    day at nominal power levels.

    They can be put closer to the customers they are supplying and

    You can put a coal or NG fired power plant within a large city, but is
    unrealistic to assume large wind or solar farms within a city.

    in many cases the existing lines will be perfectly adequate.

    No way.

    The move to electric vehicles will eventually add about 30% to
    the demand for electric power, which probably will mean adding
    more transmission lines but it's a much more ad hoc process than youy seem to imagine

    When average EV battery capacity becomes so large that you on average
    needs to charge them once a week, you can schedule the charging when
    there is more unreliable renewable energy available.


    The current HV transfer capacity is inadequate at least in
    Scandinavia. Take a look at production and area prices:


    https://www.svk.se/en/national-grid/the-control-room/

    Follow this page for a few hours or few days.

    At the upper half of the page, there is the current bidding prices in
    different regions.

    Each country is an own region and some countries are divided into
    multiple regions. The price can greatly vary between countries and
    also there can be huge price differences within a country.

    One would expect that the same average price would apply to the whole
    Scandinavia, but why is there so much differences ?

    The reason is that the cross border and cross region transfer capacity
    is inadequate.

    For instance Norway has a big surplus thanks to plenty of hydro and
    the price is low in northern regions. However, the price in southern
    Norway can be many times that. The reason is multiple HVDC cables to
    UK, the Netherlands and Denmark but inadequate transfer capacity
    between mid-Norway and south Norway.

    With better cross border and cross region HV lines or cables, the
    price difference would be much smaller.

    That same page also shows the total production separated by source for
    each country and also the whole Scandinavia. It should be noted that
    during the low consumption (summer) very little fossil fuels are used.
    Norway is the great producer of hydro. Both Sweden and Finland produce
    a lot of nuclear and hydro and sometimes some wind.

    The 'thermal power' for both Sweden and Finland contains some
    byproducts from the pulp and paper industry, so it is partially
    renewable.

    During the cold period (winter) more fossil fuels needs to be used.
    The greenies will wreck our power systems, electricity will become
    intermittent and unaffordable, people will revolt and elect some
    sensible people, and eventually things will get fixed in maybe 20
    years, namely about where we were 20 years ago.

    Maybe the political leadership want to keep their heads. Only a person suffering a combination of mental illness and low IQ could deny the absolute necessity for eliminating fossil fuel GHG emissions entirely and as fast as possible. Apparently the
    people controlling the terra-bucks have gotten the message. It is an indisputable fact that mankind has overdone it, they know by analyzing the types and proportions of carbon isotopes -12, -13, and -14. That's in addition to the historical data on a
    geological scale which shows a gigantic step increase of CO2. It's not a matter of belief or taking anything on faith. The world as you know/ knew it is dying fast and not coming back. Get over it.

    Earth is greening and getting better for plants and people. Sorry to disappoint.

    750 PPM of CO2 or so would be great.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Fred Bloggs@21:1/5 to John Larkin on Sun Oct 22 12:18:06 2023
    On Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 2:21:53 PM UTC-4, John Larkin wrote:
    On Sun, 22 Oct 2023 17:14:24 +0300, upsid...@downunder.com wrote:

    On Sat, 21 Oct 2023 19:56:50 -0700 (PDT), Anthony William Sloman ><bill....@ieee.org> wrote:


    <about needing new additional power lines>

    Except that the green energy sources are replacing fossil-carbon-fired electrical generators.

    Unreliable renewable sources (such as wind or solar) will add the need
    new power lines, since one day you have to get energy from one site,
    the next day from an other site if you want to use electricity every
    day at nominal power levels.

    They can be put closer to the customers they are supplying and

    You can put a coal or NG fired power plant within a large city, but is >unrealistic to assume large wind or solar farms within a city.

    in many cases the existing lines will be perfectly adequate.

    No way.

    The move to electric vehicles will eventually add about 30% to
    the demand for electric power, which probably will mean adding
    more transmission lines but it's a much more ad hoc process than youy seem to imagine

    When average EV battery capacity becomes so large that you on average >needs to charge them once a week, you can schedule the charging when
    there is more unreliable renewable energy available.


    The current HV transfer capacity is inadequate at least in
    Scandinavia. Take a look at production and area prices:


    https://www.svk.se/en/national-grid/the-control-room/

    Follow this page for a few hours or few days.

    At the upper half of the page, there is the current bidding prices in >different regions.

    Each country is an own region and some countries are divided into
    multiple regions. The price can greatly vary between countries and
    also there can be huge price differences within a country.

    One would expect that the same average price would apply to the whole >Scandinavia, but why is there so much differences ?

    The reason is that the cross border and cross region transfer capacity
    is inadequate.

    For instance Norway has a big surplus thanks to plenty of hydro and
    the price is low in northern regions. However, the price in southern >Norway can be many times that. The reason is multiple HVDC cables to
    UK, the Netherlands and Denmark but inadequate transfer capacity
    between mid-Norway and south Norway.

    With better cross border and cross region HV lines or cables, the
    price difference would be much smaller.

    That same page also shows the total production separated by source for >each country and also the whole Scandinavia. It should be noted that >during the low consumption (summer) very little fossil fuels are used. >Norway is the great producer of hydro. Both Sweden and Finland produce
    a lot of nuclear and hydro and sometimes some wind.

    The 'thermal power' for both Sweden and Finland contains some
    byproducts from the pulp and paper industry, so it is partially
    renewable.

    During the cold period (winter) more fossil fuels needs to be used.
    The greenies will wreck our power systems, electricity will become intermittent and unaffordable, people will revolt and elect some
    sensible people, and eventually things will get fixed in maybe 20
    years, namely about where we were 20 years ago.

    Maybe the political leadership want to keep their heads. Only a person suffering a combination of mental illness and low IQ could deny the absolute necessity for eliminating fossil fuel GHG emissions entirely and as fast as possible. Apparently the
    people controlling the terra-bucks have gotten the message. It is an indisputable fact that mankind has overdone it, they know by analyzing the types and proportions of carbon isotopes -12, -13, and -14. That's in addition to the historical data on a
    geological scale which shows a gigantic step increase of CO2. It's not a matter of belief or taking anything on faith. The world as you know/ knew it is dying fast and not coming back. Get over it.

    https://www.climate.gov/news-features/climate-qa/how-do-we-know-build-carbon-dioxide-atmosphere-caused-humans

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Fred Bloggs@21:1/5 to John Larkin on Sun Oct 22 12:34:56 2023
    On Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 3:29:47 PM UTC-4, John Larkin wrote:
    On Sun, 22 Oct 2023 12:18:06 -0700 (PDT), Fred Bloggs <bloggs.fred...@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 2:21:53?PM UTC-4, John Larkin wrote:
    On Sun, 22 Oct 2023 17:14:24 +0300, upsid...@downunder.com wrote:

    On Sat, 21 Oct 2023 19:56:50 -0700 (PDT), Anthony William Sloman
    <bill....@ieee.org> wrote:


    <about needing new additional power lines>

    Except that the green energy sources are replacing fossil-carbon-fired electrical generators.

    Unreliable renewable sources (such as wind or solar) will add the need >> >new power lines, since one day you have to get energy from one site,
    the next day from an other site if you want to use electricity every
    day at nominal power levels.

    They can be put closer to the customers they are supplying and

    You can put a coal or NG fired power plant within a large city, but is >> >unrealistic to assume large wind or solar farms within a city.

    in many cases the existing lines will be perfectly adequate.

    No way.

    The move to electric vehicles will eventually add about 30% to
    the demand for electric power, which probably will mean adding
    more transmission lines but it's a much more ad hoc process than youy seem to imagine

    When average EV battery capacity becomes so large that you on average
    needs to charge them once a week, you can schedule the charging when
    there is more unreliable renewable energy available.


    The current HV transfer capacity is inadequate at least in
    Scandinavia. Take a look at production and area prices:


    https://www.svk.se/en/national-grid/the-control-room/

    Follow this page for a few hours or few days.

    At the upper half of the page, there is the current bidding prices in
    different regions.

    Each country is an own region and some countries are divided into
    multiple regions. The price can greatly vary between countries and
    also there can be huge price differences within a country.

    One would expect that the same average price would apply to the whole
    Scandinavia, but why is there so much differences ?

    The reason is that the cross border and cross region transfer capacity >> >is inadequate.

    For instance Norway has a big surplus thanks to plenty of hydro and
    the price is low in northern regions. However, the price in southern
    Norway can be many times that. The reason is multiple HVDC cables to
    UK, the Netherlands and Denmark but inadequate transfer capacity
    between mid-Norway and south Norway.

    With better cross border and cross region HV lines or cables, the
    price difference would be much smaller.

    That same page also shows the total production separated by source for >> >each country and also the whole Scandinavia. It should be noted that
    during the low consumption (summer) very little fossil fuels are used. >> >Norway is the great producer of hydro. Both Sweden and Finland produce >> >a lot of nuclear and hydro and sometimes some wind.

    The 'thermal power' for both Sweden and Finland contains some
    byproducts from the pulp and paper industry, so it is partially
    renewable.

    During the cold period (winter) more fossil fuels needs to be used.
    The greenies will wreck our power systems, electricity will become
    intermittent and unaffordable, people will revolt and elect some
    sensible people, and eventually things will get fixed in maybe 20
    years, namely about where we were 20 years ago.

    Maybe the political leadership want to keep their heads. Only a person suffering a combination of mental illness and low IQ could deny the absolute necessity for eliminating fossil fuel GHG emissions entirely and as fast as possible. Apparently the
    people controlling the terra-bucks have gotten the message. It is an indisputable fact that mankind has overdone it, they know by analyzing the types and proportions of carbon isotopes -12, -13, and -14. That's in addition to the historical data on a
    geological scale which shows a gigantic step increase of CO2. It's not a matter of belief or taking anything on faith. The world as you know/ knew it is dying fast and not coming back. Get over it.
    Earth is greening and getting better for plants and people. Sorry to disappoint.

    750 PPM of CO2 or so would be great.


    That's just some dime store tabloid misinformation for the lowest elements of society. Not worthy of a reply.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From John Larkin@21:1/5 to bloggs.fredbloggs.fred@gmail.com on Sun Oct 22 13:41:05 2023
    On Sun, 22 Oct 2023 12:34:56 -0700 (PDT), Fred Bloggs <bloggs.fredbloggs.fred@gmail.com> wrote:

    On Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 3:29:47?PM UTC-4, John Larkin wrote:
    On Sun, 22 Oct 2023 12:18:06 -0700 (PDT), Fred Bloggs
    <bloggs.fred...@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 2:21:53?PM UTC-4, John Larkin wrote:
    On Sun, 22 Oct 2023 17:14:24 +0300, upsid...@downunder.com wrote:

    On Sat, 21 Oct 2023 19:56:50 -0700 (PDT), Anthony William Sloman
    <bill....@ieee.org> wrote:


    <about needing new additional power lines>

    Except that the green energy sources are replacing fossil-carbon-fired electrical generators.

    Unreliable renewable sources (such as wind or solar) will add the need >> >> >new power lines, since one day you have to get energy from one site,
    the next day from an other site if you want to use electricity every
    day at nominal power levels.

    They can be put closer to the customers they are supplying and

    You can put a coal or NG fired power plant within a large city, but is >> >> >unrealistic to assume large wind or solar farms within a city.

    in many cases the existing lines will be perfectly adequate.

    No way.

    The move to electric vehicles will eventually add about 30% to
    the demand for electric power, which probably will mean adding
    more transmission lines but it's a much more ad hoc process than youy seem to imagine

    When average EV battery capacity becomes so large that you on average
    needs to charge them once a week, you can schedule the charging when
    there is more unreliable renewable energy available.


    The current HV transfer capacity is inadequate at least in
    Scandinavia. Take a look at production and area prices:


    https://www.svk.se/en/national-grid/the-control-room/

    Follow this page for a few hours or few days.

    At the upper half of the page, there is the current bidding prices in
    different regions.

    Each country is an own region and some countries are divided into
    multiple regions. The price can greatly vary between countries and
    also there can be huge price differences within a country.

    One would expect that the same average price would apply to the whole
    Scandinavia, but why is there so much differences ?

    The reason is that the cross border and cross region transfer capacity >> >> >is inadequate.

    For instance Norway has a big surplus thanks to plenty of hydro and
    the price is low in northern regions. However, the price in southern
    Norway can be many times that. The reason is multiple HVDC cables to
    UK, the Netherlands and Denmark but inadequate transfer capacity
    between mid-Norway and south Norway.

    With better cross border and cross region HV lines or cables, the
    price difference would be much smaller.

    That same page also shows the total production separated by source for >> >> >each country and also the whole Scandinavia. It should be noted that
    during the low consumption (summer) very little fossil fuels are used. >> >> >Norway is the great producer of hydro. Both Sweden and Finland produce >> >> >a lot of nuclear and hydro and sometimes some wind.

    The 'thermal power' for both Sweden and Finland contains some
    byproducts from the pulp and paper industry, so it is partially
    renewable.

    During the cold period (winter) more fossil fuels needs to be used.
    The greenies will wreck our power systems, electricity will become
    intermittent and unaffordable, people will revolt and elect some
    sensible people, and eventually things will get fixed in maybe 20
    years, namely about where we were 20 years ago.

    Maybe the political leadership want to keep their heads. Only a person suffering a combination of mental illness and low IQ could deny the absolute necessity for eliminating fossil fuel GHG emissions entirely and as fast as possible. Apparently the
    people controlling the terra-bucks have gotten the message. It is an indisputable fact that mankind has overdone it, they know by analyzing the types and proportions of carbon isotopes -12, -13, and -14. That's in addition to the historical data on a
    geological scale which shows a gigantic step increase of CO2. It's not a matter of belief or taking anything on faith. The world as you know/ knew it is dying fast and not coming back. Get over it.
    Earth is greening and getting better for plants and people. Sorry to
    disappoint.

    750 PPM of CO2 or so would be great.


    That's just some dime store tabloid misinformation for the lowest elements of society. Not worthy of a reply.

    Looks like a reply to me. Not a very good one.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From upsidedown@downunder.com@21:1/5 to bill.sloman@ieee.org on Sun Oct 22 23:39:58 2023
    On Sun, 22 Oct 2023 07:55:03 -0700 (PDT), Anthony William Sloman <bill.sloman@ieee.org> wrote:

    On Monday, October 23, 2023 at 1:14:34?AM UTC+11, upsid...@downunder.com wrote:
    On Sat, 21 Oct 2023 19:56:50 -0700 (PDT), Anthony William Sloman
    <bill....@ieee.org> wrote:


    <about needing new additional power lines>
    Except that the green energy sources are replacing fossil-carbon-fired electrical generators.
    Unreliable renewable sources (such as wind or solar) will add the need
    new power lines, since one day you have to get energy from one site,
    the next day from an other site if you want to use electricity every
    day at nominal power levels.

    Less so if you have a respectable amount of grid scale storage.

    With unreliable renewable sources, there are two additional situation
    that must be addressed:

    * Underproduction:

    - use HV lines to transfer power from places, where there is
    overproduction
    - use battery storage. For how long has the batteries last ?

    Now the question is which is more expensive

    * Overproduction:

    - district heating companies are currently installing electric
    boilers to use during overproduction hours. A less lossy system would
    use electric boilers in each house or electric heaters in each room
    and activate these only when the electric price is low
    - hydrogen economy which some politicians support wildly

    Anyway, you need extra wires to carry this overproduction. Electric
    transfer is cheaper than district heating pipes.



    They can be put closer to the customers they are supplying and
    in many cases the existing lines will be perfectly adequate.

    No way.

    You can put a coal or NG fired power plant within a large city, but is unrealistic to assume large wind or solar farms within a city.

    Nobody is assuming that. You can put them close to cities, and it lots of cases that's where the big fossil-fueled power plants were built anyway.
    Smaller ones where put in - or very close - to city centres in the early days of electrification, and still are where district heating is popular.


    Depends how good filters are used. Now the power plant was replaced
    with gas turbines, which also heated a steam boiler and steam turbine
    and the exhaust heat is used for district heating. Now we have two
    such power stations within the city.

    The move to electric vehicles will eventually add about 30% to the demand for electric power, which probably will mean adding
    more transmission lines but it's a much more ad hoc process than youy seem to imagine.

    When average EV battery capacity becomes so large that you on average needs to charge them once a week, you can schedule the charging when there is more unreliable renewable energy available.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hot,_Flat,_and_Crowded

    from 2008 makes the point that if you move over to mainly electric vehicles, the car batteries - which spend 95% of their time parked - could collectively delver about three time as much power as the local national grid. You recharge them when there is
    plenty of power and it should allow you to match the load to the power available. You don't need huge batteries in each car to do it.

    How many full charge/discharge cycles does the EV battery last, before
    the storage capacity is reduced ? The use of EV battery to support the
    power grid will shorten the battery life and needs a costly earlier replacement.An other poster said that their company us paying USD2/kWh
    to use the charge from the EV battery. Is that enough ?

    The current HV transfer capacity is inadequate at least in Scandinavia. Take a look at production and area prices:

    https://www.svk.se/en/national-grid/the-control-room/

    Follow this page for a few hours or few days.

    At the upper half of the page, there is the current bidding prices in different regions.

    That's the mechanism that matches the consumption to available capacity

    Each country is an own region and some countries are divided into multiple regions. The price can greatly vary between countries and also there can be huge price differences within a country.

    But it is designed match supply to demand, and the huge variations average out to sensible average prices,
    while compensating the people who keep expensive fast start gas-turbine generation capacity idling most
    of the time until the system runs out of cheaper power generation. It a highly specialised and technical
    free market, even if it looks chaotic to people who don't see the point.

    In any sensible country the fast starting emergency gas turbines are
    already installed. Their combined power should be greater than the
    largest unit in the net. If the largest unit suddenly fails, all those
    gas turbines are started and they run until slower starting power
    plants have started. After this the network satisfies again the N-1
    criterion and the second largest unit can fail. In a good network,
    those emergency gas turbines run less than 100 hours/year, including
    scheduled start tests. If these emergency turbines has to be used for supporting insufficient renewables, the gas turbines would have to
    several hundred or up to thousand hours a year.

    If emergency gas turbines are used to support renewables, the N-1
    criterion for the largest unit (often nuclear) is no longer possible,
    so the power of the largest unit must be reduced to match the free
    emergency gas turbine capacity. This would further harm the total
    network production.


    One would expect that the same average price would apply to the whole Scandinavia, but why is there so much differences ?

    To move power to where it is needed.

    The reason is that the cross border and cross region transfer capacity is inadequate.

    If were you'd have power failures and the lights would go out from time
    to time, as happens frequnetly in third world countries.

    Why make our country to a third world country just to satisfy the
    greenies.


    For instance Norway has a big surplus thanks to plenty of hydro and
    the price is low in northern regions. However, the price in southern
    Norway can be many times that. The reason is multiple HVDC cables to
    UK, the Netherlands and Denmark but inadequate transfer capacity
    between mid-Norway and south Norway.

    Wrong.

    How do you explain the price differences in Norway ?


    With better cross border and cross region HV lines or cables, the
    price difference would be much smaller.

    But better - bigger - HV links are an expensive capital investment,
    and a clever free market can let you get away with a just adequate system.

    The greenies must accept that the costs will increase.


    The 'thermal power' for both Sweden and Finland contains some byproducts from the pulp and paper industry, so it is partially renewable.

    The pulp and paper mill where my father was research manager
    when I was growing up had a Norwegian (Kamyr) continuous digester and its own steam plant.
    Tasmania has a lot of hydroelectric generating capacity, but it made sense to use some of
    the steam to generate electric power on site

    During the cold period (winter) more fossil fuels needs to be used.

    No surprise there.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From keith@kjwdesigns.com@21:1/5 to upsid...@downunder.com on Sun Oct 22 16:48:43 2023
    On Sunday, 22 October 2023 at 13:40:08 UTC-7, upsid...@downunder.com wrote:
    ...
    How many full charge/discharge cycles does the EV battery last, before
    the storage capacity is reduced ? The use of EV battery to support the
    power grid will shorten the battery life and needs a costly earlier replacement.An other poster said that their company us paying USD2/kWh
    to use the charge from the EV battery. Is that enough ?
    ...

    That $2/kWh was for energy supplied from batteries that are part of the PV system.

    Currently batteries for residential PV systems cost $500-1000/kWh at the system level including inverters, control circuitry, thermal management and mounting structure/cabinet etc. The manufacturers typically guarantee 70% capacity retention after 10
    years when cycled daily (ie ~3,000 cycles).

    If we assume $600/kWh with 3000 cycles that works out to 20 cents/kWh. Much less than the $2/kWh paid during grid distress times in California. Texas has been paying up to $5/kWh.

    The cells are actually only a fraction of the system price with manufacturing costs now tending towards $100/kWh.

    There has not yet been any widespread replacement needed of such batteries to establish a reasonable replacement cost at the cell level (the electronics and mechanicals will still be OK). It will probably be significantly less than the system level cost,
    maybe $200/kWh. That will result in a 7cents/kWh cost per cycle.

    At that level it is even worth doing arbitrage to charge form the grid at off-peak rates and discharge at peak rates. Understandably many utilities disallow that type of use. My utility (PG&E) only allows energy from solar to be discharged to the grid.

    kw

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Anthony William Sloman@21:1/5 to John Larkin on Sun Oct 22 19:25:41 2023
    On Monday, October 23, 2023 at 5:21:53 AM UTC+11, John Larkin wrote:
    On Sun, 22 Oct 2023 17:14:24 +0300, upsid...@downunder.com wrote:
    On Sat, 21 Oct 2023 19:56:50 -0700 (PDT), Anthony William Sloman <bill....@ieee.org> wrote:

    <snip>

    The greenies will wreck our power systems, electricity will become intermittent and unaffordable, people will revolt and elect some sensible people, and eventually things will get fixed in maybe 20 years, namely about where we were 20 years ago.

    John Larkin gets his information from climate change denial propaganda. His "greenies" are invented by climate change denial propaganda machine.

    Power from renewable sources is cheaper than power generated by burning fossil carbon. It is intermittent, but not unreliable. Geographical averaging helps. Grid scale storage helps more. Sensible people aren't suckered by climate change denial
    propaganda - which is in practice only aimed at the fossil carbon extraction industries cash flow high for a few more years while they diversify into renewables.

    In twenty years the propaganda will have served its purpose, and the suckers who were gullible enough to fall for it will deny that that they7 were ever that foolish.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Anthony William Sloman@21:1/5 to John Larkin on Sun Oct 22 19:31:19 2023
    On Monday, October 23, 2023 at 6:29:47 AM UTC+11, John Larkin wrote:
    On Sun, 22 Oct 2023 12:18:06 -0700 (PDT), Fred Bloggs <bloggs.fred...@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 2:21:53?PM UTC-4, John Larkin wrote:
    On Sun, 22 Oct 2023 17:14:24 +0300, upsid...@downunder.com wrote:
    On Sat, 21 Oct 2023 19:56:50 -0700 (PDT), Anthony William Sloman <bill....@ieee.org> wrote:

    <snip>

    Earth is greening and getting better for plants and people.

    Only in climate change denial propaganda.

    Sorry to disappoint.

    You don't disappoint us - you are perfectly reliably gullible sucker for climate change denial propaganda, and have been for years.

    750 PPM of CO2 or so would be great.

    You wouldn't like the side-effects, not that you'd last long enough to experience them.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From upsidedown@downunder.com@21:1/5 to bill.sloman@ieee.org on Mon Oct 23 09:41:22 2023
    On Sun, 22 Oct 2023 19:25:41 -0700 (PDT), Anthony William Sloman <bill.sloman@ieee.org> wrote:

    On Monday, October 23, 2023 at 5:21:53?AM UTC+11, John Larkin wrote:
    On Sun, 22 Oct 2023 17:14:24 +0300, upsid...@downunder.com wrote:
    On Sat, 21 Oct 2023 19:56:50 -0700 (PDT), Anthony William Sloman <bill....@ieee.org> wrote:

    <snip>

    The greenies will wreck our power systems, electricity will become intermittent and unaffordable, people will revolt and elect some sensible people, and eventually things will get fixed in maybe 20 years, namely about where we were 20 years ago.

    The transition can be done safely in a few decades as long as the
    worst alarmists are kept out of policy making


    John Larkin gets his information from climate change denial propaganda.
    His "greenies" are invented by climate change denial propaganda machine.


    We have also seen alarmist propaganda in this newsgroup.

    Power from renewable sources is cheaper than power generated by burning fossil carbon.

    This situation is partially achieved by emission trading of fossil
    fuels. Thus renewables look relatively cheaper.

    The cost of PV solar can go very low in sunny regions and
    environmentally harmless especially if the panels are mounted sparsely
    so that grass will receive some sun light and rain and when installed
    high enough, animals can graze that grass.


    It is intermittent, but not unreliable.

    What is the reliability of weather forecasts ?

    Geographical averaging helps.

    Requires new power lines.

    Grid scale storage helps more.

    For how long breaks should be handled at what cost ?

    Sensible people aren't suckered by climate change denial propaganda -

    Avoid also worst alarmist propaganda.

    which is in practice only aimed at the fossil carbon extraction industries cash flow high for a few more years while they diversify into renewables.

    It is sad to see that fully functional relatively new power plants are dismantled long before their end of life due to alarmist propaganda.
    The remaining fossil plants will require fossil fuels for a few
    decades, why shutting down the fossil industry prematurely ?

    When new fossil systems are no longer installed, the fossil industry
    will fade away with time.

    In twenty years the propaganda will have served its purpose,
    and the suckers who were gullible enough to fall for it will deny that that they7 were ever that foolish.

    I am equally afraid of the worst alarmists.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From whit3rd@21:1/5 to John Larkin on Mon Oct 23 00:30:26 2023
    On Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 12:29:47 PM UTC-7, John Larkin wrote:

    Earth is greening and getting better for plants and people.

    That word 'greening' is too vague.

    Coloration isn't the issue. There's not enough green growth to sequester the added carbon (we aren't seeing lots of old-growth millennium-old timber under the
    thin green seasonal canopy).

    Better for plants, I dunno; do you mean better for vegetable reproductive success, or what?

    As for people, we're suffering climate change.

    750 PPM of CO2 or so would be great.

    It'd be near twice the present pollution. That's still only a couple of percent, though, of
    toxic atmospheric levels.

    The deadly effect is in the food/water/housing detriments. Those, we need more than
    seasonal green coloration.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From John Larkin@21:1/5 to upsidedown@downunder.com on Mon Oct 23 04:07:04 2023
    On Mon, 23 Oct 2023 09:41:22 +0300, upsidedown@downunder.com wrote:

    On Sun, 22 Oct 2023 19:25:41 -0700 (PDT), Anthony William Sloman ><bill.sloman@ieee.org> wrote:

    On Monday, October 23, 2023 at 5:21:53?AM UTC+11, John Larkin wrote:
    On Sun, 22 Oct 2023 17:14:24 +0300, upsid...@downunder.com wrote:
    On Sat, 21 Oct 2023 19:56:50 -0700 (PDT), Anthony William Sloman <bill....@ieee.org> wrote:

    <snip>

    The greenies will wreck our power systems, electricity will become intermittent and unaffordable, people will revolt and elect some sensible people, and eventually things will get fixed in maybe 20 years, namely about where we were 20 years ago.

    The transition can be done safely in a few decades as long as the
    worst alarmists are kept out of policy making


    John Larkin gets his information from climate change denial propaganda.
    His "greenies" are invented by climate change denial propaganda machine.


    We have also seen alarmist propaganda in this newsgroup.

    Power from renewable sources is cheaper than power generated by burning fossil carbon.

    This situation is partially achieved by emission trading of fossil
    fuels. Thus renewables look relatively cheaper.

    Stop subsidizing dumb projects and let the market decide.


    The cost of PV solar can go very low in sunny regions and
    environmentally harmless especially if the panels are mounted sparsely
    so that grass will receive some sun light and rain and when installed
    high enough, animals can graze that grass.

    Just apply money.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From John Larkin@21:1/5 to All on Mon Oct 23 04:04:19 2023
    On Mon, 23 Oct 2023 00:30:26 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whit3rd@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 12:29:47?PM UTC-7, John Larkin wrote:

    Earth is greening and getting better for plants and people.

    That word 'greening' is too vague.


    Argue that with NASA.

    https://www.nasa.gov/technology/carbon-dioxide-fertilization-greening-earth-study-finds/


    Coloration isn't the issue. There's not enough green growth to sequester the >added carbon (we aren't seeing lots of old-growth millennium-old timber under the
    thin green seasonal canopy).

    Better for plants, I dunno; do you mean better for vegetable reproductive success, or what?

    As for people, we're suffering climate change.

    750 PPM of CO2 or so would be great.

    It'd be near twice the present pollution. That's still only a couple of percent, though, of
    toxic atmospheric levels.

    Pollution? CO2 feeds all life on earth.


    The deadly effect is in the food/water/housing detriments. Those, we need more than
    seasonal green coloration.

    What we need more of, besides CO2, is common sense.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Anthony William Sloman@21:1/5 to upsid...@downunder.com on Mon Oct 23 03:26:38 2023
    On Monday, October 23, 2023 at 5:41:35 PM UTC+11, upsid...@downunder.com wrote:
    On Sun, 22 Oct 2023 19:25:41 -0700 (PDT), Anthony William Sloman <bill....@ieee.org> wrote:
    On Monday, October 23, 2023 at 5:21:53?AM UTC+11, John Larkin wrote:
    On Sun, 22 Oct 2023 17:14:24 +0300, upsid...@downunder.com wrote:
    On Sat, 21 Oct 2023 19:56:50 -0700 (PDT), Anthony William Sloman <bill....@ieee.org> wrote:

    <snip>

    The greenies will wreck our power systems, electricity will become intermittent and unaffordable, people will revolt and elect some sensible people, and eventually things will get fixed in maybe 20 years, namely about where we were 20 years ago.

    The transition can be done safely in a few decades as long as the worst alarmists are kept out of policy making.

    They aren't making any money out of alarmism, unlike the climate change denial crew. You need to read

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Merchants_of_Doubt

    John Larkin gets his information from climate change denial propaganda. >His "greenies" are invented by climate change denial propaganda machine.

    We have also seen alarmist propaganda in this newsgroup.

    I don't think that Fred Bloggs qualifies as a propagandist. He may have a depressive disorder.

    Power from renewable sources is cheaper than power generated by burning fossil carbon.

    This situation is partially achieved by emission trading of fossil fuels. Thus renewables look relatively cheaper.

    It isn't. They are now absolutely cheaper, and people are signing contracts to deliver energy from renewable source at price that would bankrupt anybody who tried to reply on burning fossil carbon to get the power. It's has been true since China invested
    the money to make make marginally high yield solar cells in ten times the volume that anybody had before. Wind turbines got bigger at about the same time and also got under the wire.

    The cost of PV solar can go very low in sunny regions and environmentally harmless especially if the panels are mounted sparsely so that grass will receive some sun light and rain and when installed high enough, animals can graze that grass.

    The biggest contracts got signed in Arabia, which is sunny and relatively grass free. The Australian power generating companies work at a similarly favouralbe latitude, and won't invest in fossil-carbon based generating plant no matter how
    enthusiastically the government (under pressure from the mining community) twists their arms.

    It might not be true in Finland (whicnh isn't all that sunny in winter, but you still have wind).

    It is intermittent, but not unreliable.

    What is the reliability of weather forecasts?

    The wind blows reliably, but it is hard to predict exactly when.

    Geographical averaging helps.

    Requires new power lines.

    Sometimes.

    Grid scale storage helps more.

    For how long breaks should be handled at what cost ?

    That is a complicated technical question. We do have a century or so of weather data, so it can be answered - unless you badly mess up the weather by burning even more fossil carbon.

    Sensible people aren't suckered by climate change denial propaganda -

    Avoid also worst alarmist propaganda.

    Nobody is making any money out of it, so there is a lot less of it.

    which is in practice only aimed at the fossil carbon extraction industries cash flow high for a few more years while they diversify into renewables.

    It is sad to see that fully functional relatively new power plants are dismantled long before their end of life due to alarmist propaganda.

    And where is this actually happening? The bad effects of dumping even more CO2 into the atmosphere are obvious and well documented, but it is taking time to build up renewable generating capacity. Old fossil-carbon-fueled power plants are getting shut
    down in Australia rather faster than was originally expected, but it's mainly because cheap renewable power is eating away at their market - the power they generate cost more than the power generated by renewable plant and the utility companies are
    maximising their income.

    The remaining fossil plants will require fossil fuels for a few decades, why shutting down the fossil industry prematurely ?

    Because the CO2 they emit is bad for planet and the electricity they generate costs too much.

    When new fossil systems are no longer installed, the fossil industry will fade away with time.

    Probably not. Coal and oil are great chemical feed-stuffs, and burning them as fuel is scandalously wasteful, even if it generate huge cash flows.

    In twenty years the propaganda will have served its purpose, and the suckers who were gullible enough to fall for it will deny that that they were ever that foolish.

    I am equally afraid of the worst alarmists.

    They don't have the same deep pockets. John Larkin cites Anthony Watts who is a well-funded lunatic. Fred Bloggs merely misrepresents serious academics, which makes him a much less serious threat.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Anthony William Sloman@21:1/5 to John Larkin on Mon Oct 23 05:40:45 2023
    On Monday, October 23, 2023 at 10:04:45 PM UTC+11, John Larkin wrote:
    On Mon, 23 Oct 2023 00:30:26 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whi...@gmail.com>
    wrote:
    On Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 12:29:47?PM UTC-7, John Larkin wrote:

    Earth is greening and getting better for plants and people.

    That word 'greening' is too vague.

    Argue that with NASA.

    https://www.nasa.gov/technology/carbon-dioxide-fertilization-greening-earth-study-finds/

    Coloration isn't the issue. There's not enough green growth to sequester the added carbon (we aren't seeing lots of old-growth millennium-old timber under the thin green seasonal canopy).

    Better for plants, I dunno; do you mean better for vegetable reproductive success, or what?

    As for people, we're suffering climate change.

    750 PPM of CO2 or so would be great.

    It'd be near twice the present pollution. That's still only a couple of percent, though, of toxic atmospheric levels.

    Pollution? CO2 feeds all life on earth.

    That's one of the things it does. It also warms them up. which isn't so benign. And the plants it feeds best are weeds, rather than the crops that feed us, which are well adapted to the climate we've had since the end of the most recent ice age, which
    we have recently started unintentionally re-adjusting.

    The deadly effect is in the food/water/housing detriments. Those, we need more than seasonal green coloration.

    What we need more of, besides CO2, is common sense.

    And John Larkin is more in need of it than most. He thinks that Donald Trump has "common sense" which suggests that he doesn't even understand the basic concept.

    --
    Bil Sloman, Sydney

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Anthony William Sloman@21:1/5 to John Larkin on Mon Oct 23 05:54:37 2023
    On Monday, October 23, 2023 at 10:07:29 PM UTC+11, John Larkin wrote:
    On Mon, 23 Oct 2023 09:41:22 +0300, upsid...@downunder.com wrote:
    On Sun, 22 Oct 2023 19:25:41 -0700 (PDT), Anthony William Sloman <bill....@ieee.org> wrote:
    On Monday, October 23, 2023 at 5:21:53?AM UTC+11, John Larkin wrote:
    On Sun, 22 Oct 2023 17:14:24 +0300, upsid...@downunder.com wrote:
    On Sat, 21 Oct 2023 19:56:50 -0700 (PDT), Anthony William Sloman <bill....@ieee.org> wrote:

    <snip>

    The greenies will wreck our power systems, electricity will become intermittent and unaffordable, people will revolt and elect some sensible people, and eventually things will get fixed in maybe 20 years, namely about where we were 20 years ago.

    The transition can be done safely in a few decades as long as the worst alarmists are kept out of policy making.

    They don't get a look in.

    John Larkin gets his information from climate change denial propaganda. >>His "greenies" are invented by climate change denial propaganda machine.

    We have also seen alarmist propaganda in this newsgroup.

    Fred Bloggs isn't a propagandist.He does seem to be suffering from some kind of depression which prompts him to misrepresent tolerably respectable academic research. but he doesn't seem to be making money out of the process.

    Power from renewable sources is cheaper than power generated by burning fossil carbon.

    This situation is partially achieved by emission trading of fossil fuels. Thus renewables look relatively cheaper.

    It isn't.

    Stop subsidizing dumb projects and let the market decide.

    They did that years ago, and the market like renewables - they are a cheaper source of power than burning fossil carbon, not that John Larkin's climate change denial propaganda is going to admit it.

    The cost of PV solar can go very low in sunny regions and environmentally harmless especially if the panels are mounted sparsely so that grass will receive some sun light and rain and when installed high enough, animals can graze that grass.

    Or grapes can grow. Not that it makes much difference. The Gulf states seem to have decided to get their electric power from renewable without bothering to look for any agricultural bonuses.

    Just apply money.

    It grows great climate change denial propganda too. John Larkin wouldn't be suckered by anything cheap - nasty doesn't seem to worry him.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Merchants_of_Doubt

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Fred Bloggs@21:1/5 to John Larkin on Mon Oct 23 06:56:06 2023
    On Monday, October 23, 2023 at 7:04:45 AM UTC-4, John Larkin wrote:
    On Mon, 23 Oct 2023 00:30:26 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whi...@gmail.com>
    wrote:
    On Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 12:29:47?PM UTC-7, John Larkin wrote:

    Earth is greening and getting better for plants and people.

    That word 'greening' is too vague.

    Argue that with NASA.

    https://www.nasa.gov/technology/carbon-dioxide-fertilization-greening-earth-study-finds/

    Another aged source with speculative findings, as admitted by the study authors themselves, and largely obsolete and outright wrong as determined by more recent studies. For one thing, the NASA article, written by a PR/Communications office journalist
    and low life hack under orders from the Trump administration, did not anticipate the evolving climate change processes and their deleterious effects of plant life. The big ones are droughts, excessive heat, and fires. In case you haven't noticed, plants
    require soil nutrients ( a host of dissolved minerals ) , nitrogen, phosphorus, potassium, and water to not only grow but survive. Larger leaf area exacerbates super-dehydration under conditions of heat and drought resulting in plant death and fire. When
    it comes to trees, the rapid change in climatic conditions doesn't just mean they don't do well, it means they die. That particular process takes a few years, trees don't abruptly keel over dead like humans, they go into a process of 'decline', and that
    could take years. All the boreal forests are in rapid and widespread decline.

    A broad perspective by a plant specialist on the ultimate effects of excessive CO2:

    https://climate.mit.edu/ask-mit/dont-plants-do-better-environments-very-high-co2

    In addition to dispelling the myth of CO2 improvement, he also talks about the futility of doing things like planting a trillion trees, as, under conditions of heat stress, the plant respirates CO2 back into the air.

    Science article finding that the fertilizing effect of CO2 insofar as 'greening' has been in steady decline for the past 40 years.

    https://phys.org/news/2020-12-greening-earth-approaching-limit.html





    Coloration isn't the issue. There's not enough green growth to sequester the
    added carbon (we aren't seeing lots of old-growth millennium-old timber under the
    thin green seasonal canopy).

    Better for plants, I dunno; do you mean better for vegetable reproductive success, or what?

    As for people, we're suffering climate change.

    750 PPM of CO2 or so would be great.

    It'd be near twice the present pollution. That's still only a couple of percent, though, of
    toxic atmospheric levels.
    Pollution? CO2 feeds all life on earth.

    The deadly effect is in the food/water/housing detriments. Those, we need more than
    seasonal green coloration.
    What we need more of, besides CO2, is common sense.

    Dime store tabloid conclusion...

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Fred Bloggs@21:1/5 to John Larkin on Mon Oct 23 07:31:57 2023
    On Monday, October 23, 2023 at 10:23:26 AM UTC-4, John Larkin wrote:
    On Mon, 23 Oct 2023 06:56:06 -0700 (PDT), Fred Bloggs <bloggs.fred...@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Monday, October 23, 2023 at 7:04:45?AM UTC-4, John Larkin wrote:
    On Mon, 23 Oct 2023 00:30:26 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whi...@gmail.com>
    wrote:
    On Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 12:29:47?PM UTC-7, John Larkin wrote:

    Earth is greening and getting better for plants and people.

    That word 'greening' is too vague.

    Argue that with NASA.

    https://www.nasa.gov/technology/carbon-dioxide-fertilization-greening-earth-study-finds/

    Another aged source with speculative findings, as admitted by the study authors themselves, and largely obsolete and outright wrong as determined by more recent studies. For one thing, the NASA article, written by a PR/Communications office journalist
    and low life hack under orders from the Trump administration, did not anticipate the evolving climate change processes and their deleterious effects of plant life. The big ones are droughts, excessive heat, and fires. In case you haven't noticed, plants
    require soil nutrients ( a host of dissolved minerals ) , nitrogen, phosphorus, potassium, and water to not only grow but survive. Larger leaf area exacerbates super-dehydration under conditions of heat and drought resulting in plant death and fire. When
    it comes to trees, the rapid change in climatic conditions doesn't just mean they don't do well, it means they die. That particular process takes a few years, trees don't abruptly keel over dead like humans, they go into a process of
    'decline', and that could take years. All the boreal forests are in rapid and widespread decline.

    A broad perspective by a plant specialist on the ultimate effects of excessive CO2:

    https://climate.mit.edu/ask-mit/dont-plants-do-better-environments-very-high-co2

    In addition to dispelling the myth of CO2 improvement, he also talks about the futility of doing things like planting a trillion trees, as, under conditions of heat stress, the plant respirates CO2 back into the air.

    Science article finding that the fertilizing effect of CO2 insofar as 'greening' has been in steady decline for the past 40 years.

    https://phys.org/news/2020-12-greening-earth-approaching-limit.html



    Crop yields are up radically in the last 100 years, about 8x in the
    case of corn, for example. Wheat yield per acre has about doubled
    since 1950. A greatly increased human population is in relatively less hunger than ever.

    Look it up.

    And you think that is a result of atmospheric CO2???

    There are quite few other factors that come into play and which have been massively improved upon in the past 100 years.

    Things like breeding and development of better, more productive crop varieties, more effective fertilization, more effective pesticides, more effective herbicides, hugely improved mechanization for cultivation, planting, and harvesting, improved storage
    technology, improved weather prediction, advanced irrigation techniques, and more. But don't pay any attention to that gazzillion dollar effort, just mistakenly assume it's all CO2, because that suits your denial.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From John Larkin@21:1/5 to bloggs.fredbloggs.fred@gmail.com on Mon Oct 23 07:22:10 2023
    On Mon, 23 Oct 2023 06:56:06 -0700 (PDT), Fred Bloggs <bloggs.fredbloggs.fred@gmail.com> wrote:

    On Monday, October 23, 2023 at 7:04:45?AM UTC-4, John Larkin wrote:
    On Mon, 23 Oct 2023 00:30:26 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whi...@gmail.com>
    wrote:
    On Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 12:29:47?PM UTC-7, John Larkin wrote:

    Earth is greening and getting better for plants and people.

    That word 'greening' is too vague.

    Argue that with NASA.

    https://www.nasa.gov/technology/carbon-dioxide-fertilization-greening-earth-study-finds/

    Another aged source with speculative findings, as admitted by the study authors themselves, and largely obsolete and outright wrong as determined by more recent studies. For one thing, the NASA article, written by a PR/Communications office journalist
    and low life hack under orders from the Trump administration, did not anticipate the evolving climate change processes and their deleterious effects of plant life. The big ones are droughts, excessive heat, and fires. In case you haven't noticed, plants
    require soil nutrients ( a host of dissolved minerals ) , nitrogen, phosphorus, potassium, and water to not only grow but survive. Larger leaf area exacerbates super-dehydration under conditions of heat and drought resulting in plant death and fire. When
    it comes to trees, the rapid change in climatic conditions doesn't just mean they don't do well, it means they die. That particular process takes a few years, trees don't abruptly keel over dead like humans, they go into a process of
    'decline', and that could take years. All the boreal forests are in rapid and widespread decline.

    A broad perspective by a plant specialist on the ultimate effects of excessive CO2:

    https://climate.mit.edu/ask-mit/dont-plants-do-better-environments-very-high-co2

    In addition to dispelling the myth of CO2 improvement, he also talks about the futility of doing things like planting a trillion trees, as, under conditions of heat stress, the plant respirates CO2 back into the air.

    Science article finding that the fertilizing effect of CO2 insofar as 'greening' has been in steady decline for the past 40 years.

    https://phys.org/news/2020-12-greening-earth-approaching-limit.html




    Crop yields are up radically in the last 100 years, about 8x in the
    case of corn, for example. Wheat yield per acre has about doubled
    since 1950. A greatly increased human population is in relatively less
    hunger than ever.

    Look it up.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From John Larkin@21:1/5 to bloggs.fredbloggs.fred@gmail.com on Mon Oct 23 09:22:21 2023
    On Mon, 23 Oct 2023 07:31:57 -0700 (PDT), Fred Bloggs <bloggs.fredbloggs.fred@gmail.com> wrote:

    On Monday, October 23, 2023 at 10:23:26?AM UTC-4, John Larkin wrote:
    On Mon, 23 Oct 2023 06:56:06 -0700 (PDT), Fred Bloggs
    <bloggs.fred...@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Monday, October 23, 2023 at 7:04:45?AM UTC-4, John Larkin wrote:
    On Mon, 23 Oct 2023 00:30:26 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whi...@gmail.com>
    wrote:
    On Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 12:29:47?PM UTC-7, John Larkin wrote:

    Earth is greening and getting better for plants and people.

    That word 'greening' is too vague.

    Argue that with NASA.

    https://www.nasa.gov/technology/carbon-dioxide-fertilization-greening-earth-study-finds/

    Another aged source with speculative findings, as admitted by the study authors themselves, and largely obsolete and outright wrong as determined by more recent studies. For one thing, the NASA article, written by a PR/Communications office
    journalist and low life hack under orders from the Trump administration, did not anticipate the evolving climate change processes and their deleterious effects of plant life. The big ones are droughts, excessive heat, and fires. In case you haven't
    noticed, plants require soil nutrients ( a host of dissolved minerals ) , nitrogen, phosphorus, potassium, and water to not only grow but survive. Larger leaf area exacerbates super-dehydration under conditions of heat and drought resulting in plant
    death and fire. When it comes to trees, the rapid change in climatic conditions doesn't just mean they don't do well, it means they die. That particular process takes a few years, trees don't abruptly keel over dead like humans, they go into a process of
    'decline', and that could take years. All the boreal forests are in rapid and widespread decline.

    A broad perspective by a plant specialist on the ultimate effects of excessive CO2:

    https://climate.mit.edu/ask-mit/dont-plants-do-better-environments-very-high-co2

    In addition to dispelling the myth of CO2 improvement, he also talks about the futility of doing things like planting a trillion trees, as, under conditions of heat stress, the plant respirates CO2 back into the air.

    Science article finding that the fertilizing effect of CO2 insofar as 'greening' has been in steady decline for the past 40 years.

    https://phys.org/news/2020-12-greening-earth-approaching-limit.html



    Crop yields are up radically in the last 100 years, about 8x in the
    case of corn, for example. Wheat yield per acre has about doubled
    since 1950. A greatly increased human population is in relatively less
    hunger than ever.

    Look it up.

    And you think that is a result of atmospheric CO2???

    Partially. What it's really a result of is oil.

    Fertilizers
    Tractors
    Electricity
    Water pumps
    Trucks to get stuff to market before the rats eat it
    Insecticides

    The virtous cycle is that burning all that oil, and making all that
    fertilizer, makes more CO2 also.

    Win-win.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Fred Bloggs@21:1/5 to John Larkin on Mon Oct 23 10:03:34 2023
    On Monday, October 23, 2023 at 12:22:45 PM UTC-4, John Larkin wrote:
    On Mon, 23 Oct 2023 07:31:57 -0700 (PDT), Fred Bloggs <bloggs.fred...@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Monday, October 23, 2023 at 10:23:26?AM UTC-4, John Larkin wrote:
    On Mon, 23 Oct 2023 06:56:06 -0700 (PDT), Fred Bloggs
    <bloggs.fred...@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Monday, October 23, 2023 at 7:04:45?AM UTC-4, John Larkin wrote:
    On Mon, 23 Oct 2023 00:30:26 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whi...@gmail.com> >> >> wrote:
    On Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 12:29:47?PM UTC-7, John Larkin wrote: >> >> >
    Earth is greening and getting better for plants and people.

    That word 'greening' is too vague.

    Argue that with NASA.

    https://www.nasa.gov/technology/carbon-dioxide-fertilization-greening-earth-study-finds/

    Another aged source with speculative findings, as admitted by the study authors themselves, and largely obsolete and outright wrong as determined by more recent studies. For one thing, the NASA article, written by a PR/Communications office
    journalist and low life hack under orders from the Trump administration, did not anticipate the evolving climate change processes and their deleterious effects of plant life. The big ones are droughts, excessive heat, and fires. In case you haven't
    noticed, plants require soil nutrients ( a host of dissolved minerals ) , nitrogen, phosphorus, potassium, and water to not only grow but survive. Larger leaf area exacerbates super-dehydration under conditions of heat and drought resulting in plant
    death and fire. When it comes to trees, the rapid change in climatic conditions doesn't just mean they don't do well, it means they die. That particular process takes a few years, trees don't abruptly keel over dead like humans, they go into a process of
    'decline', and that could take years. All the boreal forests are in rapid and widespread decline.

    A broad perspective by a plant specialist on the ultimate effects of excessive CO2:

    https://climate.mit.edu/ask-mit/dont-plants-do-better-environments-very-high-co2

    In addition to dispelling the myth of CO2 improvement, he also talks about the futility of doing things like planting a trillion trees, as, under conditions of heat stress, the plant respirates CO2 back into the air.

    Science article finding that the fertilizing effect of CO2 insofar as 'greening' has been in steady decline for the past 40 years.

    https://phys.org/news/2020-12-greening-earth-approaching-limit.html



    Crop yields are up radically in the last 100 years, about 8x in the
    case of corn, for example. Wheat yield per acre has about doubled
    since 1950. A greatly increased human population is in relatively less
    hunger than ever.

    Look it up.

    And you think that is a result of atmospheric CO2???
    Partially. What it's really a result of is oil.

    Fertilizers
    Tractors
    Electricity
    Water pumps
    Trucks to get stuff to market before the rats eat it
    Insecticides


    All those things can be and are being made green.

    https://farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/2021/02/synthetic-nitrogen-fertilizer-in-the-us.html

    This looks pretty good- can't beat extracting fertilizer from air :"One of the most important scientific discoveries of the 20th century is the Haber-Bosch process, which transforms atmospheric nitrogen into synthetic nitrogen for crop fertilization. The
    discovery of the Haber-Bosch process allowed for the widespread fertilization of crops, and together with other agricultural technology advancements, helped revolutionize food production for a growing world population. This article explores the history
    of nitrogen fertilizer use in the U.S., briefly explains the science of synthetic nitrogen production, and provides a discussion about the nitrogen industry in the U.S. today."

    But it does look like it requires relatively energy intensive ingredients.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Haber_process




    The virtous cycle is that burning all that oil, and making all that fertilizer, makes more CO2 also.

    That was working well in its day, back when CO2 was under 300ppm, but that day has come and gone.

    If the activity requires too much manmade intervention, it's not sustainable.


    Win-win.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From john larkin@21:1/5 to bloggs.fredbloggs.fred@gmail.com on Mon Oct 23 10:19:20 2023
    On Mon, 23 Oct 2023 10:03:34 -0700 (PDT), Fred Bloggs <bloggs.fredbloggs.fred@gmail.com> wrote:

    On Monday, October 23, 2023 at 12:22:45?PM UTC-4, John Larkin wrote:
    On Mon, 23 Oct 2023 07:31:57 -0700 (PDT), Fred Bloggs
    <bloggs.fred...@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Monday, October 23, 2023 at 10:23:26?AM UTC-4, John Larkin wrote:
    On Mon, 23 Oct 2023 06:56:06 -0700 (PDT), Fred Bloggs
    <bloggs.fred...@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Monday, October 23, 2023 at 7:04:45?AM UTC-4, John Larkin wrote:
    On Mon, 23 Oct 2023 00:30:26 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whi...@gmail.com> >> >> >> wrote:
    On Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 12:29:47?PM UTC-7, John Larkin wrote: >> >> >> >
    Earth is greening and getting better for plants and people.

    That word 'greening' is too vague.

    Argue that with NASA.

    https://www.nasa.gov/technology/carbon-dioxide-fertilization-greening-earth-study-finds/

    Another aged source with speculative findings, as admitted by the study authors themselves, and largely obsolete and outright wrong as determined by more recent studies. For one thing, the NASA article, written by a PR/Communications office
    journalist and low life hack under orders from the Trump administration, did not anticipate the evolving climate change processes and their deleterious effects of plant life. The big ones are droughts, excessive heat, and fires. In case you haven't
    noticed, plants require soil nutrients ( a host of dissolved minerals ) , nitrogen, phosphorus, potassium, and water to not only grow but survive. Larger leaf area exacerbates super-dehydration under conditions of heat and drought resulting in plant
    death and fire. When it comes to trees, the rapid change in climatic conditions doesn't just mean they don't do well, it means they die. That particular process takes a few years, trees don't abruptly keel over dead like humans, they go into a process
    of
    'decline', and that could take years. All the boreal forests are in rapid and widespread decline.

    A broad perspective by a plant specialist on the ultimate effects of excessive CO2:

    https://climate.mit.edu/ask-mit/dont-plants-do-better-environments-very-high-co2

    In addition to dispelling the myth of CO2 improvement, he also talks about the futility of doing things like planting a trillion trees, as, under conditions of heat stress, the plant respirates CO2 back into the air.

    Science article finding that the fertilizing effect of CO2 insofar as 'greening' has been in steady decline for the past 40 years.

    https://phys.org/news/2020-12-greening-earth-approaching-limit.html



    Crop yields are up radically in the last 100 years, about 8x in the
    case of corn, for example. Wheat yield per acre has about doubled
    since 1950. A greatly increased human population is in relatively less
    hunger than ever.

    Look it up.

    And you think that is a result of atmospheric CO2???
    Partially. What it's really a result of is oil.

    Fertilizers
    Tractors
    Electricity
    Water pumps
    Trucks to get stuff to market before the rats eat it
    Insecticides


    All those things can be and are being made green.

    https://farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/2021/02/synthetic-nitrogen-fertilizer-in-the-us.html

    This looks pretty good- can't beat extracting fertilizer from air :"One of the most important scientific discoveries of the 20th century is the Haber-Bosch process, which transforms atmospheric nitrogen into synthetic nitrogen for crop fertilization.
    The discovery of the Haber-Bosch process allowed for the widespread fertilization of crops, and together with other agricultural technology advancements, helped revolutionize food production for a growing world population. This article explores the
    history of nitrogen fertilizer use in the U.S., briefly explains the science of synthetic nitrogen production, and provides a discussion about the nitrogen industry in the U.S. today."

    But it does look like it requires relatively energy intensive ingredients.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Haber_process




    The virtous cycle is that burning all that oil, and making all that
    fertilizer, makes more CO2 also.

    That was working well in its day, back when CO2 was under 300ppm, but that day has come and gone.

    If the activity requires too much manmade intervention, it's not sustainable.


    Win-win.

    What's sustainable is a planet with a few hundred million malnourished
    people with 32-year average life spans.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From whit3rd@21:1/5 to John Larkin on Mon Oct 23 11:31:33 2023
    On Monday, October 23, 2023 at 4:04:45 AM UTC-7, John Larkin wrote:
    On Mon, 23 Oct 2023 00:30:26 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whi...@gmail.com>
    wrote:
    On Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 12:29:47?PM UTC-7, John Larkin wrote:

    Earth is greening and getting better for plants and people.

    That word 'greening' is too vague.

    Argue that with NASA.

    https://www.nasa.gov/technology/carbon-dioxide-fertilization-greening-earth-study-finds/

    No need to argue, they clearly state that they're looking at coloration from space.

    Coloration isn't the issue. There's not enough green growth to sequester the
    added carbon (we aren't seeing lots of old-growth millennium-old timber under the
    thin green seasonal canopy).

    Better for plants, I dunno; do you mean better for vegetable reproductive success, or what?

    As for people, we're suffering climate change.

    750 PPM of CO2 or so would be great.

    It'd be near twice the present pollution. That's still only a couple of percent, though, of
    toxic atmospheric levels.
    Pollution? CO2 feeds all life on earth.

    The deadly effect is in the food/water/housing detriments. Those, we need more than
    seasonal green coloration.

    What we need more of, besides CO2, is common sense.

    John Larkin is not familiar with common sense, prefers "maybe it ain't broke, so don't fix it"
    conservatism. Use of that principle does nothing good for a long-lived organism like
    a human...

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Anthony William Sloman@21:1/5 to john larkin on Mon Oct 23 19:01:08 2023
    On Tuesday, October 24, 2023 at 4:19:38 AM UTC+11, john larkin wrote:
    On Mon, 23 Oct 2023 10:03:34 -0700 (PDT), Fred Bloggs <bloggs.fred...@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Monday, October 23, 2023 at 12:22:45?PM UTC-4, John Larkin wrote:
    On Mon, 23 Oct 2023 07:31:57 -0700 (PDT), Fred Bloggs <bloggs.fred...@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Monday, October 23, 2023 at 10:23:26?AM UTC-4, John Larkin wrote:
    On Mon, 23 Oct 2023 06:56:06 -0700 (PDT), Fred Bloggs <bloggs.fred...@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Monday, October 23, 2023 at 7:04:45?AM UTC-4, John Larkin wrote: >> >> >> On Mon, 23 Oct 2023 00:30:26 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whi...@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 12:29:47?PM UTC-7, John Larkin wrote:

    <snip>

    What's sustainable is a planet with a few hundred million malnourished people with 32-year average life spans.

    Since that's what we had until very recently, this is obviously true. It's a trivial solution.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/British_Agricultural_Revolution

    did better, without burning a lot of fossil carbon. We don't to burn fossil carbon to get energy any more, so we can maintain modern agriculture without doing that.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Fred Bloggs@21:1/5 to john larkin on Tue Oct 24 10:42:18 2023
    On Monday, October 23, 2023 at 1:19:38 PM UTC-4, john larkin wrote:
    On Mon, 23 Oct 2023 10:03:34 -0700 (PDT), Fred Bloggs <bloggs.fred...@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Monday, October 23, 2023 at 12:22:45?PM UTC-4, John Larkin wrote:
    On Mon, 23 Oct 2023 07:31:57 -0700 (PDT), Fred Bloggs
    <bloggs.fred...@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Monday, October 23, 2023 at 10:23:26?AM UTC-4, John Larkin wrote:
    On Mon, 23 Oct 2023 06:56:06 -0700 (PDT), Fred Bloggs
    <bloggs.fred...@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Monday, October 23, 2023 at 7:04:45?AM UTC-4, John Larkin wrote: >> >> >> On Mon, 23 Oct 2023 00:30:26 -0700 (PDT), whit3rd <whi...@gmail.com>
    wrote:
    On Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 12:29:47?PM UTC-7, John Larkin wrote:

    Earth is greening and getting better for plants and people.

    That word 'greening' is too vague.

    Argue that with NASA.

    https://www.nasa.gov/technology/carbon-dioxide-fertilization-greening-earth-study-finds/

    Another aged source with speculative findings, as admitted by the study authors themselves, and largely obsolete and outright wrong as determined by more recent studies. For one thing, the NASA article, written by a PR/Communications office
    journalist and low life hack under orders from the Trump administration, did not anticipate the evolving climate change processes and their deleterious effects of plant life. The big ones are droughts, excessive heat, and fires. In case you haven't
    noticed, plants require soil nutrients ( a host of dissolved minerals ) , nitrogen, phosphorus, potassium, and water to not only grow but survive. Larger leaf area exacerbates super-dehydration under conditions of heat and drought resulting in plant
    death and fire. When it comes to trees, the rapid change in climatic conditions doesn't just mean they don't do well, it means they die. That particular process takes a few years, trees don't abruptly keel over dead like humans, they go into a process
    of
    'decline', and that could take years. All the boreal forests are in rapid and widespread decline.

    A broad perspective by a plant specialist on the ultimate effects of excessive CO2:

    https://climate.mit.edu/ask-mit/dont-plants-do-better-environments-very-high-co2

    In addition to dispelling the myth of CO2 improvement, he also talks about the futility of doing things like planting a trillion trees, as, under conditions of heat stress, the plant respirates CO2 back into the air.

    Science article finding that the fertilizing effect of CO2 insofar as 'greening' has been in steady decline for the past 40 years.

    https://phys.org/news/2020-12-greening-earth-approaching-limit.html >> >> >


    Crop yields are up radically in the last 100 years, about 8x in the
    case of corn, for example. Wheat yield per acre has about doubled
    since 1950. A greatly increased human population is in relatively less >> >> hunger than ever.

    Look it up.

    And you think that is a result of atmospheric CO2???
    Partially. What it's really a result of is oil.

    Fertilizers
    Tractors
    Electricity
    Water pumps
    Trucks to get stuff to market before the rats eat it
    Insecticides


    All those things can be and are being made green.

    https://farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/2021/02/synthetic-nitrogen-fertilizer-in-the-us.html

    This looks pretty good- can't beat extracting fertilizer from air :"One of the most important scientific discoveries of the 20th century is the Haber-Bosch process, which transforms atmospheric nitrogen into synthetic nitrogen for crop fertilization.
    The discovery of the Haber-Bosch process allowed for the widespread fertilization of crops, and together with other agricultural technology advancements, helped revolutionize food production for a growing world population. This article explores the
    history of nitrogen fertilizer use in the U.S., briefly explains the science of synthetic nitrogen production, and provides a discussion about the nitrogen industry in the U.S. today."

    But it does look like it requires relatively energy intensive ingredients.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Haber_process




    The virtous cycle is that burning all that oil, and making all that
    fertilizer, makes more CO2 also.

    That was working well in its day, back when CO2 was under 300ppm, but that day has come and gone.

    If the activity requires too much manmade intervention, it's not sustainable.


    Win-win.
    What's sustainable is a planet with a few hundred million malnourished people with 32-year average life spans.

    Most deaths by malnourishment are caused by wars and government abuse. The statistic on India is 3,000 children die of starvation every single day while India puts surplus wheat crop on the international export market. Obviously starving children don't
    pay the bills to grow wheat there. Africa is another situation where the wars and abuse take a horrendous toll. Even the neolithics learned to store their staples to get them through the lean years, but when an abusive autocracy steps in and orders them
    to grow crop for export, not leaving enough to build up stores, the lean years take their toll. Just because something looks like a famine, doesn't mean it actually is. Climate change will bring about the Biblical real famines of yore soon enough.

    Looks like you're going to have to find some other excuse to justify fossil fuel business as usual.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)