On Monday, June 20, 2016 at 3:45:17 PM UTC-5,
plutonium....@gmail.com wrote:
On Friday, June 10, 2016 at 2:59:56 PM UTC-5, plutonium....@gmail.com wrote:
some GSK #635 Optimal Strategy of Playing the StockMarket via VonNeumann Game Theory
Portfolio of PAF on 10JUN2016
Alright, I was fully aware of Brexit, where UK leaves the EU on a referendum vote 23 June and how that can cause major upheaval in UK economics but not really stocks such as GSK.
VZ 1,800
T 24,800
GSK 200
_______________
26,800
Alright, I had a suspicion that Leave would win the Brexit referendum, because subconsciously, as I see it, Britain and the UK were never really members of EU in that they kept their pound currency, while EU made the euro as dollar. In my esteem, only
when your money is the same as all the others in the club, can you actually be a member.
So it never surprised me that Britain would vote "leave" because in the subconscious mind of the British people, they were never intending to be in that EU club from the beginning. Their currency says it all. Like the Native American Indian saying--"what
you do, speaks so loudly, I cannot hear what you are saying".
Not surprised at all.
So I identified a nice switch campaign with T and GSK where the two are hovering close in price to one another.
So, news of the Leave win, I had set myself up for a switch wherein I sold a quantity of AT&T and bought shares of Glaxo SmithKline GSK, thinking T would rise to near 42 while GSK drop to 39. But those numbers did not happen, only a spread of about
80cents which is not good enough.
total share-wealth-units last reported which was 31MAY2016 was 26,600
and total share-wealth-units today 26,800
GSK is up to 41.50 today, on news, I believe where they are going to have a lung drug with three drugs combined as one, so GSK is up not from Brexit news. And T is 40.85 today. So, today I sold 200 GSK at 41.51 and bought 200 AT&T at 40.85.
Now, the profit is not large of a mere $100 approx, but, a gain is a gain.
So, I predicted the direction, but the amount was not suitable enough for me.
Now, the way the switch works is that as this week progresses with Brexit fears, it is likely that GSK will drop to say 39 while T rises to 41, and so, switch back. If not, well, I am happy to hold T with its nice dividend.
Portfolio of PAF on 20JUN2016
VZ 1,800
T 25,000
_______________
26,800
AP
As for the referendum, I think it was a fact that was already evident for the past 40 some years, that UK was just not a real member of EU and now with the vote, the British can fully consciously and subconsciously as a nation, realize they were never a
part of EU as a member but just kidding themselves.
In my book, if your currency is different from EU, you are not a member.
Now, if Britain had gone into this referendum vote and its currency was the Euro, there would never have been a call to have a referendum in the first place, because smart voters and dumb voters all know the disaster of leaving a body, when the currency
is --of that body.
So will Netherland, will France, will Sweden, will Italy, will Spain have a similar Exit referendum? Ask yourself if they have the Euro? If they use the euro, then no, they will not even consider leaving, because dumb voters and smart voters all have
stakes in the game if they leave and have the currency the Euro.
By the way, thanks to Google that we now have the newsgroups up and running. For several days now, Google newsgroups were "down", and that really hinders me.
AP
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