• Re: The importance of accurate age estimates (and the need for robust d

    From Mario Petrinovic@21:1/5 to JTEM on Fri May 3 08:57:14 2024
    On 3.5.2024. 6:41, JTEM wrote:
     JTEM wrote:
      Mario Petrinovic wrote:
    https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2024/05/240501091650.htm
             And then everybody will use molecular clock, which isn't >>> accurate at all, actually, it is always wrong, but it has one
    advancement, you can adjust it the way you like it. My god, science
    is such a joke.

    When they change the dating by 1,000%, I want to see the previous
    dating methods and what they did wrong. It should be monumental,
    the errors.

    This just seems ridiculous, re-dating 10x younger and not even
    tearing down the old dating? Just saying "We've got new stuff."

    Wiki hasn't been fudged yet, as of the time of my posting this,
    but it places the age at 68k at a minimum.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liujiang_man

    :  High rates of variability yielded by various dating techniques
    :  carried out by different researchers place the most widely accepted
    :  range of dates with 68,000 BP as a minimum, but does not rule out
    :  dates as old as 159,000 BP.

    So it's strange but I auto-suspect anything that re-writes
    previous fines to align with the Out of Africa purity
    narrative.

    Of course, you are right. I just want to say that this fossil was
    discovered 66 years ago, in China, so, who knows, you can expect that
    something wouldn't be done correctly. I wanted to point out to the use
    of completely unreliable molecular clock. Why scientists do that? This
    is completely senseless, stupid, sloven. And yet, absolutely every paper
    that I read revolves around molecular clock estimations. Now, who is
    crazy here? The whole world? The whole scientific community? What the
    heck is going on, for gods sake? Are they all so stupid?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Primum Sapienti@21:1/5 to Mario Petrinovic on Fri May 3 23:08:15 2024
    Mario Petrinovic wrote:
    https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2024/05/240501091650.htm
            And then everybody will use molecular clock, which isn't accurate at all, actually, it is always wrong, but it has one
    advancement, you can adjust it the way you like it. My god, science is
    such a joke.

    The paper is public and explains things better.


    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-024-47787-3
    New Late Pleistocene age for the Homo sapiens
    skeleton from Liujiang southern China
    29 April 2024

    Abstract
    The emergence of Homo sapiens in Eastern Asia
    is a topic of significant research interest.
    However, well-preserved human fossils in secure,
    dateable contexts in this region are extremely
    rare, and often the subject of intense debate
    owing to stratigraphic and geochronological
    problems. Tongtianyan cave, in Liujiang
    District of Liuzhou City, southern China is one
    of the most important fossils finds of H.
    sapiens, though its age has been debated, with
    chronometric dates ranging from the late Middle
    Pleistocene to the early Late Pleistocene. Here
    we provide new age estimates and revised
    provenience information for the Liujiang human
    fossils, which represent one of the most
    complete fossil skeletons of H. sapiens in
    China. U-series dating on the human fossils and
    radiocarbon and optically stimulated
    luminescence dating on the fossil-bearing
    sediments provided ages ranging from ~33,000 to
    23,000 years ago (ka). The revised age estimates
    correspond with the dates of other human fossils
    in northern China, at Tianyuan Cave
    (~40.8–38.1 ka) and Zhoukoudian Upper Cave
    (39.0–36.3 ka), indicating the geographically
    widespread presence of H. sapiens across Eastern
    Asia in the Late Pleistocene, which is
    significant for better understanding human
    dispersals and adaptations in the region.


    "The Liujiang materials were originally recovered in September 1958

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Primum Sapienti@21:1/5 to Mario Petrinovic on Fri May 3 23:48:45 2024
    Mario Petrinovic wrote:
    https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2024/05/240501091650.htm
    And then everybody will use molecular clock, which isn't
    accurate at all, actually, it is always wrong, but it has one
    advancement, you can adjust it the way you like it. My god, science is
    such a joke.

    The paper is public and explains things better.


    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-024-47787-3
    New Late Pleistocene age for the Homo sapiens
    skeleton from Liujiang southern China
    29 April 2024

    Abstract
    The emergence of Homo sapiens in Eastern Asia
    is a topic of significant research interest.
    However, well-preserved human fossils in secure,
    dateable contexts in this region are extremely
    rare, and often the subject of intense debate
    owing to stratigraphic and geochronological
    problems. Tongtianyan cave, in Liujiang
    District of Liuzhou City, southern China is one
    of the most important fossils finds of H.
    sapiens, though its age has been debated, with
    chronometric dates ranging from the late Middle
    Pleistocene to the early Late Pleistocene. Here
    we provide new age estimates and revised
    provenience information for the Liujiang human
    fossils, which represent one of the most
    complete fossil skeletons of H. sapiens in
    China. U-series dating on the human fossils and
    radiocarbon and optically stimulated
    luminescence dating on the fossil-bearing
    sediments provided ages ranging from ~33,000 to
    23,000 years ago (ka). The revised age estimates
    correspond with the dates of other human fossils
    in northern China, at Tianyuan Cave
    (~40.8–38.1 ka) and Zhoukoudian Upper Cave
    (39.0–36.3 ka), indicating the geographically
    widespread presence of H. sapiens across Eastern
    Asia in the Late Pleistocene, which is
    significant for better understanding human
    dispersals and adaptations in the region.


    "The Liujiang materials were originally
    recovered in September 1958, in a cave
    called Tongtianyan by workmen digging for
    phosphorous fertilizer..."

    Less than a decade after the 1949 revolution
    and possibly not the best of times for science
    pursuits. AND the site was chewed up by workers
    after fertilizer components. Yikes. Definitely
    not promising.



    "Since the discovery of the hominin fossils,
    two independent radiometric dating projects
    have been conducted. Using conventional
    radiocarbon and classic α-counting U-series
    dating methods, Yuan and colleagues obtained
    a 14C age of 3.0 ± 0.2 ka cal BP for the
    flowstone near the cave entrance, a U-series
    age of 67 + 6/−5 ka for the thick flowstone on
    top of Unit II (see Supplementary Information,
    section 1.2), and U-series ages ranging between
    227 and 95 ka for the mammalian fossils. The
    investigators suggested that the human fossils
    were older than ~67 ka, but they noted that this
    age estimate remained to be verified given the
    uncertain provenience of the finds. A later
    attempt to establish the age of the Liujiang
    deposits was by Shen and colleagues14,16 using
    α-counting and thermal ionization mass
    spectrometry U-series methods to date the
    flowstones from various depositional units
    and mammalian fossils. The researchers
    concluded that the human fossils dated to at
    least ~68 ka and more likely to ~139–111 ka if
    they came from the refilling breccia. ..."

    Morphological comparisions did come close to the
    new revised dates but radiometric dating is
    preferred.

    According to the references those earlier
    radiometric dating efforts were in 1986, 2002,
    and 2004. Looks like they were taking the
    dating of the layers and faunal remains as being
    applicable to the hominid fossils. This is
    usually a reliable way to do things but as noted,
    this should probably be considered a disturbed
    site thanks to those fertilizer hunters.

    "Tongtianyan cave has long been seen as a
    site demonstrating the co-existence of H.
    sapiens alongside Ailuropoda-Stegodon
    fauna during the Late Pleistocene of south
    China, reinforcing evidence for the deep
    antiquity of the human fossils. Previous
    U-series dating of seven fossil teeth ranged
    from 227 to 95 ka. We collected eight
    mammalian fossil teeth for U-series dating
    to test this relationship. ... disturbed
    sediments as a consequence of digging for
    fertilizer ... However, the human fossils
    were distinct from the mammalian fauna in
    terms of U-series isotopic ratios and
    apparent U-series ages (Fig. 5c), indicating
    that there is no association between the
    human fossils and the Ailuropoda-Stegodon
    fauna."

    This new paper represents a more meticulous
    effort to pin things down.

    "In sum, provenience and dating studies have
    been conducted on the flowstone, sediments
    and the human and mammalian fossil remains.
    Our proveniencing results indicate that the
    Liujiang human fossils derived from Layer 2
    of Unit III. Layer 2 ranged from 32.5 ± 2.5 to
    22.6 ± 7.4 ka using Bayesian analysis on
    radiocarbon, OSL and carbonate U-series ages.
    U-series dating on the human fossils provided
    a minimum age of 23.9 ± 0.5 ka, falling into
    the age range for Layer 2. Collectively, the
    age of the Liujiang human fossils can be
    constrained to ~33–23 ka. The mammalian fossils
    dated to between 227 ka and 95 ka by U-series
    methods indicate a significant hiatus between
    the deposition of the Ailuropoda-Stegodon fauna
    and the human remains."

    If only someone had found that site before
    workmen chewed things up this would have been
    resolved a long time ago.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Mario Petrinovic@21:1/5 to JTEM on Sat May 4 20:24:24 2024
    On 4.5.2024. 8:10, JTEM wrote:
     Primum Sapienti wrote:
    If only someone had found that site before
    workmen chewed things up this would have been
    resolved a long time ago.

    Lol!  It's not resolved now! Seriously? Do you need to
    be told:  Debates BEGIN with publication!  If publication
    settled things, things were settled 20 year ago!

    It's not all science here.

    Whenever you see the words "Bayesian analysis" it's telling
    you that it ain't all science.

    How come everybody is blind to my point that the whole paleoanthropology revolves around completely unreliable molecular clock
    dating? Why is this so? How come nobody bothers?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Primum Sapienti@21:1/5 to Mario Petrinovic on Tue May 7 22:52:27 2024
    Mario Petrinovic wrote:
    Primum Sapienti wrote:

            How come everybody is blind to my point that the whole paleoanthropology revolves around completely unreliable molecular clock dating? Why is this so? How come nobody bothers?

    Neither your article link nor the paper itself mention
    molecular dating. It's only one method of analysis and
    the primary. You'll note the researchers used radiometric
    and optical methods. Molecular clock methods only came
    into use in the 60s.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Mario Petrinovic@21:1/5 to Primum Sapienti on Wed May 8 22:13:17 2024
    On 8.5.2024. 6:52, Primum Sapienti wrote:
    Mario Petrinovic wrote:
    Primum Sapienti wrote:
             How come everybody is blind to my point that the whole
    paleoanthropology revolves around completely unreliable molecular
    clock dating? Why is this so? How come nobody bothers?

    Neither your article link nor the paper itself mention
    molecular dating. It's only one method of analysis and
    the primary. You'll note the researchers used radiometric
    and optical methods. Molecular clock methods only came
    into use in the 60s.

    How can you put so much knowledge into such a small brain? Hm, this
    article is talking about the need for having reliable method. You know a
    lot of "what", you have no clue of any "why". You don't realize the *importance* of having reliable method, you only know that there are
    methods (and you even know when they started to use a specific method).
    And at the end, you are saying that science uses completely unreliable
    method for the last 60 years, and you even don't blink an eye on that
    notion. Like, it has to be that way, it *doesn't matter* at all if this
    is unreliable. See, you know "what", but you don't understand "why". It
    is so easy to know, every idiot can do that, but it isn't a common thing
    to understand, this is what cannot every idiot do.
    And now I am surrounded with all those idiots who know so much, but
    who are completely unable to understand anything. And they are looking
    at me from above, because they have a knowledge, and they feel so
    comfortable, those idiots finally found their place in society, learn
    and you will go up, even if you are completely unable to understand,
    even if you brain doesn't work. And now we have all those brainless
    idiots telling us what to do, because they learnt it from books, lol.
    Following their simple, childish, kindergarten level, patterns.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Primum Sapienti@21:1/5 to Mario Petrinovic on Thu May 9 13:57:40 2024
    Mario Petrinovic wrote:
    On 8.5.2024. 6:52, Primum Sapienti wrote:
    Mario Petrinovic wrote:
    Primum Sapienti wrote:
             How come everybody is blind to my point that the whole
    paleoanthropology revolves around completely unreliable molecular
    clock dating? Why is this so? How come nobody bothers?

    Neither your article link nor the paper itself mention
    molecular dating. It's only one method of analysis and
    the primary. You'll note the researchers used radiometric
    and optical methods. Molecular clock methods only came
    into use in the 60s.

            How can you put so much knowledge into such a small brain? Hm,
    this article is talking about the need for having reliable method. You

    Techniques improve and that helps reliability. Such
    is on display for the re-examining of this site. Do
    not forget that the Liujiang site is a disturbed site.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Disturbance_(archaeology)

    "A disturbance is any change to an archaeological
    site due to events which occurred after the site
    was laid down. Disturbances may be caused by
    natural events or human activity, and may result
    in loss of archaeological value. In some cases, it
    can be difficult to distinguish between features
    caused by human activity in the period of interest,
    and features caused by later human activity or
    natural processes."

    The Liujiang site was afflicted by workers digging
    for "phosphorous fertilizer". Well, they didn't know
    it was an archaeological site. But that does make
    any analysis harder to conduct.

    know a lot of "what", you have no clue of any "why". You don't realize
    the *importance* of having reliable method, you only know that there are methods (and you even know when they started to use a specific method).
    And at the end, you are saying that science uses completely unreliable
    method for the last 60 years, and you even don't blink an eye on that
    notion. Like, it has to be that way, it *doesn't matter* at all if this
    is unreliable. See, you know "what", but you don't understand "why". It
    is so easy to know, every idiot can do that, but it isn't a common thing
    to understand, this is what cannot every idiot do.
            And now I am surrounded with all those idiots who know so much,
    but who are completely unable to understand anything. And they are
    looking at me from above, because they have a knowledge, and they feel
    so comfortable, those idiots finally found their place in society, learn
    and you will go up, even if you are completely unable to understand,
    even if you brain doesn't work. And now we have all those brainless
    idiots telling us what to do, because they learnt it from books, lol. Following their simple, childish, kindergarten level, patterns.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Mario Petrinovic@21:1/5 to JTEM on Thu May 9 23:30:07 2024
    On 9.5.2024. 23:17, JTEM wrote:
     Primum Sapienti wrote:

    Techniques improve and that helps reliability.

    STOP being a pussy!  Explain:

    Would the "Bayesian analysis" be radiometric or
    the optical?

    Actually, and this is funny, but a "Bayesian analysis"
    of Naledi only got the dating, what was it? Like off
    by 100%.

    It determined that Naledia was about 900,000 years
    old. So, more than twice as old as it actually was,
    very possibly 3x as old as it actually was...

    PREDICTED RESPONSE:  "I scratched my bum and now my
    fingers smells bad. Why that?"

    The debate BEGINS with publication. If it doesn't,
    then we're looking at north of 60,000 years old
    and maybe north of 150,000 years old.

    You scratched your bum and now your fingers smell bad? This is a free
    test on COVID, you don't have it, :) .

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Mario Petrinovic@21:1/5 to JTEM on Fri May 10 02:13:03 2024
    On 10.5.2024. 0:00, JTEM wrote:
     Mario Petrinovic wrote:
             You scratched your bum and now your fingers smell bad? This >> is a free test on COVID, you don't have it, :) .

    We had a Republican Governor, Charlie Baker, who determined
    that is a person inserted a finger up their bum hole, and
    their finger thereafter, and without washing, produced an
    aroma that was not entirely pleasant to experience, you
    were infected and needed to quarantine for 18 weeks. If you
    owned a business it needed to be shuttered, unless it was
    a liquor store. Old people needed to die no I meant locked
    away and never heard from again, until the casket arrived,
    we presume, but how can you know when there's no funeral?
    Plus take education away from children. And forget religious
    freedom, no churches. No constitution:  Rule by decree.

    I went back & looked. I started bitching about the over the
    top, unnecessarily EXCESSIVE and quite unlawful idiocy of
    the lockdown back in March of 2020.

    They first began here in March of 2020, btw.

    Gee, I just love democracy (and my Sopwith Camel, :) ). https://youtu.be/pTTDHHkQSFY?si=5x-LjzDOVwcq1uJq

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)