• Evidence of a chimpanzee-sized ancestor of humans but a gibbon-sized an

    From Paul Crowley@21:1/5 to All on Tue Nov 2 15:10:45 2021
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-017-00997-4

    I agree with the conclusions of this paper, but have
    little idea how the authors came to them. They seem
    to have surveyed the sizes of all available, relevant
    and roughly comparable species at the respective
    times, and come up with certain standards.

    I'll post something on it shortly -- but arguing from
    ordinary commonsense logic.

    The authors of the paper have hit upon a great
    wheeze -- a way of ensuring that their paper will
    have no problem with peer review. They've found
    some really recondite maths and claim to have
    applied it in their methodology:

    " . . . we used the recently introduced “SURFACE” approach that fits a series of evolutionary hypotheses via Ornstein-Uhlenbeck or OU stabilizing selection models to phenotypic species data related via a phylogeny and
    retains the hypotheses that best fits the data (seen in the lowest corrected Akaike Information Criterion or AICc score). OU models permit the
    realization of Simpson’s adaptive zones by allowing for the placement of selective regimes along different branches of a phylogeny, where species in each regime evolve toward a distinct trait optimum—in this case the
    optimal body mass for a given regime. . . "

    There are a few paragraphs of mathematical
    jargon with some equations.

    Not something I know anything about, and I guess
    that there are about 20 people in the world who
    understand the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck theory (and
    a lot more who make the claim).

    Maybe it's 200 or 2,000, but none of them are
    going to be the PA referees who review papers
    like this. But are those latter going to admit their
    ignorance? No way! So the authors get a free run!

    When you see this kind of thing going on, you can
    be certain of one thing. The maths is packed with
    error, and hopelessly misapplied. (It's a kind of
    "naked emperor's clothes" thing and routine in
    every field where degenerate science occurs.)
    Only a well-qualified expert will be able to show
    the errors; they are rare and usually have no
    good reason to get involved.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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