• I would love for a liberal to answer this

    From Irving S@21:1/5 to All on Tue Nov 15 05:05:26 2022
    Why is it that in almost every case, I mean in almost every case, a Republican is ahead, then there is a delay, or some technical glitch, and when the counting resumes, the Democratic trends up and wins.

    THIS IS STATISTICALLY IMPOSSIBLE FOR THE NUMBER OF CASES WE ARE TALKING. STATISTICALLY IMPOSSIBLE!

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Alan@21:1/5 to Irving S on Tue Nov 15 09:00:47 2022
    On 2022-11-15 05:05, Irving S wrote:
    Why is it that in almost every case, I mean in almost every case, a Republican is ahead, then there is a delay, or some technical glitch, and when the counting resumes, the Democratic trends up and wins.

    THIS IS STATISTICALLY IMPOSSIBLE FOR THE NUMBER OF CASES WE ARE TALKING. STATISTICALLY IMPOSSIBLE!

    I'm afraid you're not really qualified to make that determination.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Irving S@21:1/5 to Alan on Tue Nov 15 10:22:19 2022
    On Tuesday, November 15, 2022 at 12:00:50 PM UTC-5, Alan wrote:
    On 2022-11-15 05:05, Irving S wrote:
    Why is it that in almost every case, I mean in almost every case, a Republican is ahead, then there is a delay, or some technical glitch, and when the counting resumes, the Democratic trends up and wins.

    THIS IS STATISTICALLY IMPOSSIBLE FOR THE NUMBER OF CASES WE ARE TALKING. STATISTICALLY IMPOSSIBLE!
    I'm afraid you're not really qualified to make that determination.

    Instead of insulting my qualifcations, how about answering the question.

    Would you not agree that what has transpired is STATISTICIALLY IMPOSSIBLE?

    And another question. If the shoe was on the other foot, would the Democrats not be crying foul. I say the answer would unequivocally be yes. Would you disagree with that assertion?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Alan@21:1/5 to Irving S on Tue Nov 15 10:34:00 2022
    On 2022-11-15 10:22, Irving S wrote:
    On Tuesday, November 15, 2022 at 12:00:50 PM UTC-5, Alan wrote:
    On 2022-11-15 05:05, Irving S wrote:
    Why is it that in almost every case, I mean in almost every case, a Republican is ahead, then there is a delay, or some technical glitch, and when the counting resumes, the Democratic trends up and wins.

    THIS IS STATISTICALLY IMPOSSIBLE FOR THE NUMBER OF CASES WE ARE TALKING. STATISTICALLY IMPOSSIBLE!
    I'm afraid you're not really qualified to make that determination.

    Instead of insulting my qualifcations, how about answering the question.

    Would you not agree that what has transpired is STATISTICIALLY IMPOSSIBLE?

    No. I wouldn't.


    And another question. If the shoe was on the other foot, would the Democrats not be crying foul. I say the answer would unequivocally be yes. Would you disagree with that assertion?

    Probably some would.

    But just as last time, there will be allegations made of irregularities.

    And I guarantee you, they're going to get tossed...

    ...just like they did last time.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Irving S@21:1/5 to Alan on Tue Nov 15 10:40:11 2022
    On Tuesday, November 15, 2022 at 1:34:03 PM UTC-5, Alan wrote:
    On 2022-11-15 10:22, Irving S wrote:
    On Tuesday, November 15, 2022 at 12:00:50 PM UTC-5, Alan wrote:
    On 2022-11-15 05:05, Irving S wrote:
    Why is it that in almost every case, I mean in almost every case, a Republican is ahead, then there is a delay, or some technical glitch, and when the counting resumes, the Democratic trends up and wins.

    THIS IS STATISTICALLY IMPOSSIBLE FOR THE NUMBER OF CASES WE ARE TALKING. STATISTICALLY IMPOSSIBLE!
    I'm afraid you're not really qualified to make that determination.

    Instead of insulting my qualifcations, how about answering the question.

    Would you not agree that what has transpired is STATISTICIALLY IMPOSSIBLE?
    No. I wouldn't.

    And another question. If the shoe was on the other foot, would the Democrats not be crying foul. I say the answer would unequivocally be yes. Would you disagree with that assertion?
    Probably some would.

    But just as last time, there will be allegations made of irregularities.

    And I guarantee you, they're going to get tossed...

    ...just like they did last time.

    Good, at least you answered. Yes, all the allegations will get tossed. It is going no where, we can agree on that. But from a common sense and gut level, it all does not feel right. Something stinks. Both sides have done it for sure, and both sides
    will continue for sure. Makes you almost not want to even cast a vote again.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Alan@21:1/5 to Irving S on Tue Nov 15 10:41:32 2022
    On 2022-11-15 10:40, Irving S wrote:
    On Tuesday, November 15, 2022 at 1:34:03 PM UTC-5, Alan wrote:
    On 2022-11-15 10:22, Irving S wrote:
    On Tuesday, November 15, 2022 at 12:00:50 PM UTC-5, Alan wrote:
    On 2022-11-15 05:05, Irving S wrote:
    Why is it that in almost every case, I mean in almost every
    case, a Republican is ahead, then there is a delay, or some
    technical glitch, and when the counting resumes, the
    Democratic trends up and wins.

    THIS IS STATISTICALLY IMPOSSIBLE FOR THE NUMBER OF CASES WE
    ARE TALKING. STATISTICALLY IMPOSSIBLE!
    I'm afraid you're not really qualified to make that
    determination.

    Instead of insulting my qualifcations, how about answering the
    question.

    Would you not agree that what has transpired is STATISTICIALLY
    IMPOSSIBLE?
    No. I wouldn't.

    And another question. If the shoe was on the other foot, would
    the Democrats not be crying foul. I say the answer would
    unequivocally be yes. Would you disagree with that assertion?
    Probably some would.

    But just as last time, there will be allegations made of
    irregularities.

    And I guarantee you, they're going to get tossed...

    ...just like they did last time.

    Good, at least you answered. Yes, all the allegations will get
    tossed. It is going no where, we can agree on that. But from a
    common sense and gut level, it all does not feel right. Something
    stinks. Both sides have done it for sure, and both sides will
    continue for sure. Makes you almost not want to even cast a vote
    again.

    No, "Irving".

    You have no evidence that "both sides have done it for sure".

    Literally none.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Irving S@21:1/5 to Alan on Tue Nov 15 10:53:54 2022
    On Tuesday, November 15, 2022 at 1:41:35 PM UTC-5, Alan wrote:
    On 2022-11-15 10:40, Irving S wrote:
    On Tuesday, November 15, 2022 at 1:34:03 PM UTC-5, Alan wrote:
    On 2022-11-15 10:22, Irving S wrote:
    On Tuesday, November 15, 2022 at 12:00:50 PM UTC-5, Alan wrote:
    On 2022-11-15 05:05, Irving S wrote:
    Why is it that in almost every case, I mean in almost every
    case, a Republican is ahead, then there is a delay, or some
    technical glitch, and when the counting resumes, the
    Democratic trends up and wins.

    THIS IS STATISTICALLY IMPOSSIBLE FOR THE NUMBER OF CASES WE
    ARE TALKING. STATISTICALLY IMPOSSIBLE!
    I'm afraid you're not really qualified to make that
    determination.

    Instead of insulting my qualifcations, how about answering the
    question.

    Would you not agree that what has transpired is STATISTICIALLY
    IMPOSSIBLE?
    No. I wouldn't.

    And another question. If the shoe was on the other foot, would
    the Democrats not be crying foul. I say the answer would
    unequivocally be yes. Would you disagree with that assertion?
    Probably some would.

    But just as last time, there will be allegations made of
    irregularities.

    And I guarantee you, they're going to get tossed...

    ...just like they did last time.

    Good, at least you answered. Yes, all the allegations will get
    tossed. It is going no where, we can agree on that. But from a
    common sense and gut level, it all does not feel right. Something
    stinks. Both sides have done it for sure, and both sides will
    continue for sure. Makes you almost not want to even cast a vote
    again.
    No, "Irving".

    You have no evidence that "both sides have done it for sure".

    Literally none.

    As long as their have been elections, there has been fraud on all sides. Sad to say that, but it would be naive to think otherwise. Corruption is rampant to the left and right.

    From the beginning of time, elections have been rigged. Happens at the local, state, and federal level. You know what Alan, I have an HOA where I live. Each year we have an election for officers. A few years back there were accusations of rigging
    that got really bitter. I stayed out of it. but yes things might be rigged at the level of an HOA, school board, whatever.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Tommy@21:1/5 to Irving S on Fri Nov 18 16:55:02 2022
    On Tuesday, November 15, 2022 at 10:53:56 AM UTC-8, Irving S wrote:
    On Tuesday, November 15, 2022 at 1:41:35 PM UTC-5, Alan wrote:
    On 2022-11-15 10:40, Irving S wrote:
    On Tuesday, November 15, 2022 at 1:34:03 PM UTC-5, Alan wrote:
    On 2022-11-15 10:22, Irving S wrote:
    On Tuesday, November 15, 2022 at 12:00:50 PM UTC-5, Alan wrote:
    On 2022-11-15 05:05, Irving S wrote:
    Why is it that in almost every case, I mean in almost every
    case, a Republican is ahead, then there is a delay, or some
    technical glitch, and when the counting resumes, the
    Democratic trends up and wins.

    THIS IS STATISTICALLY IMPOSSIBLE FOR THE NUMBER OF CASES WE
    ARE TALKING. STATISTICALLY IMPOSSIBLE!
    I'm afraid you're not really qualified to make that
    determination.

    Instead of insulting my qualifcations, how about answering the
    question.

    Would you not agree that what has transpired is STATISTICIALLY
    IMPOSSIBLE?
    No. I wouldn't.

    And another question. If the shoe was on the other foot, would
    the Democrats not be crying foul. I say the answer would
    unequivocally be yes. Would you disagree with that assertion?
    Probably some would.

    But just as last time, there will be allegations made of
    irregularities.

    And I guarantee you, they're going to get tossed...

    ...just like they did last time.

    Good, at least you answered. Yes, all the allegations will get
    tossed. It is going no where, we can agree on that. But from a
    common sense and gut level, it all does not feel right. Something stinks. Both sides have done it for sure, and both sides will
    continue for sure. Makes you almost not want to even cast a vote
    again.
    No, "Irving".

    You have no evidence that "both sides have done it for sure".

    Literally none.
    As long as their have been elections, there has been fraud on all sides. Sad to say that, but it would be naive to think otherwise. Corruption is rampant to the left and right.

    From the beginning of time, elections have been rigged. Happens at the local, state, and federal level. You know what Alan, I have an HOA where I live. Each year we have an election for officers. A few years back there were accusations of rigging that
    got really bitter. I stayed out of it. but yes things might be rigged at the level of an HOA, school board, whatever.

    In an unbiased contest there would be a 50% probability that either party were favored.
    With the same party winning TWO unbiased races the probability drops to 25%, or 1 in 4.
    With the same party winning FOUR unbiased races the probability drops to 6.25%, or 1 in 16.
    With the same party winning FIVE unbiased races the probability drops to 3.125%, or 1 in 32.
    With the same party winning SIX unbiased races the probability drops to 1.5625%, or 1 in 64.
    With the same party winning TEN unbiased races the probability drops to 0.097956%, or 1 in 1024.

    At some point one must reach the conclusion that these close contests ARE NOT "unbiased," but something non-random is occurring.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Bigbird@21:1/5 to Tommy on Sat Nov 19 11:31:20 2022
    Tommy wrote:

    In an unbiased contest there would be a 50% probability that either
    party were favored.

    What?

    Can you put that in language that an intelligent adult might use?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From -hh@21:1/5 to Bigbird on Sat Nov 19 06:08:28 2022
    On Saturday, November 19, 2022 at 6:31:22 AM UTC-5, Bigbird wrote:
    Tommy wrote:

    In an unbiased contest there would be a 50% probability that either
    party were favored.

    What?

    Can you put that in language that an intelligent adult might use?

    I think he’s trying to claim that if it was a statistical coin toss, then the unlikelihood could factor in. Problem for Tommy is that he doesn’t know enough about statistics to know how his simplifying assumptions are wrong.

    -hh

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Bigbird@21:1/5 to -hh on Sun Nov 20 11:19:56 2022
    -hh wrote:

    On Saturday, November 19, 2022 at 6:31:22 AM UTC-5, Bigbird wrote:
    Tommy wrote:

    In an unbiased contest there would be a 50% probability that
    either party were favored.

    What?

    Can you put that in language that an intelligent adult might use?

    I think he’s trying to claim that if it was a statistical coin toss,
    then the unlikelihood could factor in. Problem for Tommy is that he doesn’t know enough about statistics to know how his simplifying assumptions are wrong.


    The cumulative effect of ignorance.

    If he had even a hint of a scientific background he might formulate a hypothesis then state and test his assumptions.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Tommy@21:1/5 to Bigbird on Mon Nov 21 21:22:36 2022
    On Saturday, November 19, 2022 at 3:31:22 AM UTC-8, Bigbird wrote:
    Tommy wrote:

    In an unbiased contest there would be a 50% probability that either
    party were favored.
    What?

    Can you put that in language that an intelligent adult might use?

    HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA!

    I DID, BirdBrain!!!!!!!!

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Tommy@21:1/5 to -hh on Mon Nov 21 21:23:31 2022
    On Saturday, November 19, 2022 at 6:08:30 AM UTC-8, -hh wrote:
    On Saturday, November 19, 2022 at 6:31:22 AM UTC-5, Bigbird wrote:
    Tommy wrote:

    In an unbiased contest there would be a 50% probability that either party were favored.

    What?

    Can you put that in language that an intelligent adult might use?
    I think he’s trying to claim that if it was a statistical coin toss, then the
    unlikelihood could factor in. Problem for Tommy is that he doesn’t know enough about statistics to know how his simplifying assumptions are wrong.

    -hh

    Of course the Lyin' Asshole DOES NOT explain how the "assumptions" are wrong!!!!!

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Bigbird@21:1/5 to Tommy on Tue Nov 22 10:53:20 2022
    Tommy wrote:

    On Saturday, November 19, 2022 at 3:31:22 AM UTC-8, Bigbird wrote:
    Tommy wrote:

    In an unbiased contest there would be a 50% probability that
    either party were favored.
    What?

    Can you put that in language that an intelligent adult might use?

    HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA!

    I DID, BirdBrain!!!!!!!!

    You mean you did your best; you fell well short.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From -hh@21:1/5 to Tommy on Tue Nov 22 03:21:36 2022
    On Tuesday, November 22, 2022 at 12:23:32 AM UTC-5, Tommy wrote:
    On Saturday, November 19, 2022 at 6:08:30 AM UTC-8, -hh wrote:
    On Saturday, November 19, 2022 at 6:31:22 AM UTC-5, Bigbird wrote:
    Tommy wrote:

    In an unbiased contest there would be a 50% probability that either party were favored.

    What?

    Can you put that in language that an intelligent adult might use?
    I think he’s trying to claim that if it was a statistical coin toss, then the
    unlikelihood could factor in. Problem for Tommy is that he doesn’t know enough about statistics to know how his simplifying assumptions are wrong.

    Of course the Lyin' Asshole DOES NOT explain how the "assumptions" are wrong!!!!!

    Since the stats were your claim, you should list what your assumptions were. From there, it should be easy for you to then figure it out on your own, because
    your model didn't match the evidence.

    -hh

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Tommy@21:1/5 to -hh on Wed Nov 23 19:11:25 2022
    On Tuesday, November 22, 2022 at 3:21:37 AM UTC-8, -hh wrote:
    On Tuesday, November 22, 2022 at 12:23:32 AM UTC-5, Tommy wrote:
    On Saturday, November 19, 2022 at 6:08:30 AM UTC-8, -hh wrote:
    On Saturday, November 19, 2022 at 6:31:22 AM UTC-5, Bigbird wrote:
    Tommy wrote:

    In an unbiased contest there would be a 50% probability that either party were favored.

    What?

    Can you put that in language that an intelligent adult might use?
    I think he’s trying to claim that if it was a statistical coin toss, then the
    unlikelihood could factor in. Problem for Tommy is that he doesn’t know
    enough about statistics to know how his simplifying assumptions are wrong.

    Of course the Lyin' Asshole DOES NOT explain how the "assumptions" are wrong!!!!!
    Since the stats were your claim, you should list what your assumptions were. From there, it should be easy for you to then figure it out on your own, because
    your model didn't match the evidence.

    -hh

    The "assumption" is that you have a perfectly fair election with a Gaussian distribution of Republican and Democratic votes.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From -hh@21:1/5 to Tommy on Thu Nov 24 00:31:45 2022
    On Wednesday, November 23, 2022 at 10:11:27 PM UTC-5, Tommy wrote:
    On Tuesday, November 22, 2022 at 3:21:37 AM UTC-8, -hh wrote:
    On Tuesday, November 22, 2022 at 12:23:32 AM UTC-5, Tommy wrote:
    On Saturday, November 19, 2022 at 6:08:30 AM UTC-8, -hh wrote:
    On Saturday, November 19, 2022 at 6:31:22 AM UTC-5, Bigbird wrote:
    Tommy wrote:

    In an unbiased contest there would be a 50% probability that either
    party were favored.

    What?

    Can you put that in language that an intelligent adult might use?
    I think he’s trying to claim that if it was a statistical coin toss, then the
    unlikelihood could factor in. Problem for Tommy is that he doesn’t know
    enough about statistics to know how his simplifying assumptions are wrong.

    Of course the Lyin' Asshole DOES NOT explain how the "assumptions" are wrong!!!!!

    Since the stats were your claim, you should list what your assumptions were.
    From there, it should be easy for you to then figure it out on your own, because
    your model didn't match the evidence.


    The "assumption" is that you have a perfectly fair election with a Gaussian distribution of Republican and Democratic votes.

    Is that your only required assumption, Tommy?


    -hh

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Bigbird@21:1/5 to Tommy on Thu Nov 24 10:26:46 2022
    Tommy wrote:

    On Tuesday, November 22, 2022 at 3:21:37 AM UTC-8, -hh wrote:
    On Tuesday, November 22, 2022 at 12:23:32 AM UTC-5, Tommy wrote:
    On Saturday, November 19, 2022 at 6:08:30 AM UTC-8, -hh wrote:
    On Saturday, November 19, 2022 at 6:31:22 AM UTC-5, Bigbird
    wrote:
    Tommy wrote:

    In an unbiased contest there would be a 50% probability
    that either party were favored.

    What?

    Can you put that in language that an intelligent adult might
    use?
    I think he’s trying to claim that if it was a statistical coin
    toss, then the unlikelihood could factor in. Problem for Tommy
    is that he doesn’t know enough about statistics to know how his simplifying assumptions are wrong.

    Of course the Lyin' Asshole DOES NOT explain how the
    "assumptions" are wrong!!!!!
    Since the stats were your claim, you should list what your
    assumptions were. From there, it should be easy for you to then
    figure it out on your own, because your model didn't match the
    evidence.

    -hh

    The "assumption" is that you have a perfectly fair election with a
    Gaussian distribution of Republican and Democratic votes.

    Show that to be a valid assumption; it clearly isn't but I'd like to
    see you try.

    It is clearly not your only assumption so the truth is you don't even
    know what assumptions you have made.

    If only you had any sort of mathematical or scientific competence you
    would know this...
    ...but what can we expect from a demented old pervert that you have
    proven to be, Betty.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Tommy@21:1/5 to -hh on Thu Nov 24 22:37:07 2022
    On Thursday, November 24, 2022 at 12:31:47 AM UTC-8, -hh wrote:
    On Wednesday, November 23, 2022 at 10:11:27 PM UTC-5, Tommy wrote:
    On Tuesday, November 22, 2022 at 3:21:37 AM UTC-8, -hh wrote:
    On Tuesday, November 22, 2022 at 12:23:32 AM UTC-5, Tommy wrote:
    On Saturday, November 19, 2022 at 6:08:30 AM UTC-8, -hh wrote:
    On Saturday, November 19, 2022 at 6:31:22 AM UTC-5, Bigbird wrote:
    Tommy wrote:

    In an unbiased contest there would be a 50% probability that either
    party were favored.

    What?

    Can you put that in language that an intelligent adult might use?
    I think he’s trying to claim that if it was a statistical coin toss, then the
    unlikelihood could factor in. Problem for Tommy is that he doesn’t know
    enough about statistics to know how his simplifying assumptions are wrong.

    Of course the Lyin' Asshole DOES NOT explain how the "assumptions" are wrong!!!!!

    Since the stats were your claim, you should list what your assumptions were.
    From there, it should be easy for you to then figure it out on your own, because
    your model didn't match the evidence.


    The "assumption" is that you have a perfectly fair election with a Gaussian distribution of Republican and Democratic votes.
    Is that your only required assumption, Tommy?


    -hh

    Asked and answered, Asshole.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alan@21:1/5 to Tommy on Fri Nov 25 08:34:00 2022
    On 2022-11-24 22:37, Tommy wrote:
    On Thursday, November 24, 2022 at 12:31:47 AM UTC-8, -hh wrote:
    On Wednesday, November 23, 2022 at 10:11:27 PM UTC-5, Tommy wrote:
    On Tuesday, November 22, 2022 at 3:21:37 AM UTC-8, -hh wrote:
    On Tuesday, November 22, 2022 at 12:23:32 AM UTC-5, Tommy wrote:
    On Saturday, November 19, 2022 at 6:08:30 AM UTC-8, -hh wrote:
    On Saturday, November 19, 2022 at 6:31:22 AM UTC-5, Bigbird wrote: >>>>>>> Tommy wrote:

    In an unbiased contest there would be a 50% probability that either >>>>>>>> party were favored.

    What?

    Can you put that in language that an intelligent adult might use? >>>>>> I think he’s trying to claim that if it was a statistical coin toss, then the
    unlikelihood could factor in. Problem for Tommy is that he doesn’t know
    enough about statistics to know how his simplifying assumptions are wrong.

    Of course the Lyin' Asshole DOES NOT explain how the "assumptions" are wrong!!!!!

    Since the stats were your claim, you should list what your assumptions were.
    From there, it should be easy for you to then figure it out on your own, because
    your model didn't match the evidence.


    The "assumption" is that you have a perfectly fair election with a Gaussian distribution of Republican and Democratic votes.
    Is that your only required assumption, Tommy?


    -hh

    Asked and answered, Asshole.

    No...

    Asked and dodged.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From -hh@21:1/5 to Alan on Wed Nov 30 10:03:49 2022
    On Friday, November 25, 2022 at 5:34:03 PM UTC+1, Alan wrote:
    On 2022-11-24 22:37, Tommy wrote:
    On Thursday, November 24, 2022 at 12:31:47 AM UTC-8, -hh wrote:
    On Wednesday, November 23, 2022 at 10:11:27 PM UTC-5, Tommy wrote:
    On Tuesday, November 22, 2022 at 3:21:37 AM UTC-8, -hh wrote:
    On Tuesday, November 22, 2022 at 12:23:32 AM UTC-5, Tommy wrote:
    On Saturday, November 19, 2022 at 6:08:30 AM UTC-8, -hh wrote:
    On Saturday, November 19, 2022 at 6:31:22 AM UTC-5, Bigbird wrote: >>>>>>> Tommy wrote:

    In an unbiased contest there would be a 50% probability that either >>>>>>>> party were favored.

    What?

    Can you put that in language that an intelligent adult might use? >>>>>> I think he’s trying to claim that if it was a statistical coin toss, then the
    unlikelihood could factor in. Problem for Tommy is that he doesn’t know
    enough about statistics to know how his simplifying assumptions are wrong.

    Of course the Lyin' Asshole DOES NOT explain how the "assumptions" are wrong!!!!!

    Since the stats were your claim, you should list what your assumptions were.
    From there, it should be easy for you to then figure it out on your own, because
    your model didn't match the evidence.


    The "assumption" is that you have a perfectly fair election
    with a Gaussian distribution of Republican and Democratic votes.

    Is that your only required assumption, Tommy?


    -hh

    Asked and answered, Asshole.

    No...

    Asked and dodged.

    Predictably so. Really is a shame how Tommy can’t even bring
    himself to answer a direct yes/no question. Gosh, it can’t be
    because he knows he’s been caught in yet another lie?

    -hh

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From m syadoz@21:1/5 to Irving S on Thu Dec 1 09:54:54 2022
    On Tuesday, November 15, 2022 at 7:05:28 AM UTC-6, Irving S wrote:
    Why is it that in almost every case, I mean in almost every case, a Republican is ahead, then there is a delay, or some technical glitch, and when the counting resumes, the Democratic trends up and wins.

    THIS IS STATISTICALLY IMPOSSIBLE FOR THE NUMBER OF CASES WE ARE TALKING. STATISTICALLY IMPOSSIBLE!

    Lachlan Murdoch probably knows the answers

    Fox CEO Lachlan Murdoch to face questioning as part of Dominion Voting’s $1.6 billion lawsuit

    https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/01/fox-ceo-lachlan-murdoch-deposition-dominion-lawsuit.html

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Tommy@21:1/5 to -hh on Fri Dec 2 17:39:54 2022
    On Wednesday, November 30, 2022 at 10:03:51 AM UTC-8, -hh wrote:
    On Friday, November 25, 2022 at 5:34:03 PM UTC+1, Alan wrote:
    On 2022-11-24 22:37, Tommy wrote:
    On Thursday, November 24, 2022 at 12:31:47 AM UTC-8, -hh wrote:
    On Wednesday, November 23, 2022 at 10:11:27 PM UTC-5, Tommy wrote:
    On Tuesday, November 22, 2022 at 3:21:37 AM UTC-8, -hh wrote:
    On Tuesday, November 22, 2022 at 12:23:32 AM UTC-5, Tommy wrote: >>>>> On Saturday, November 19, 2022 at 6:08:30 AM UTC-8, -hh wrote: >>>>>> On Saturday, November 19, 2022 at 6:31:22 AM UTC-5, Bigbird wrote: >>>>>>> Tommy wrote:

    In an unbiased contest there would be a 50% probability that either
    party were favored.

    What?

    Can you put that in language that an intelligent adult might use? >>>>>> I think he’s trying to claim that if it was a statistical coin toss, then the
    unlikelihood could factor in. Problem for Tommy is that he doesn’t know
    enough about statistics to know how his simplifying assumptions are wrong.

    Of course the Lyin' Asshole DOES NOT explain how the "assumptions" are wrong!!!!!

    Since the stats were your claim, you should list what your assumptions were.
    From there, it should be easy for you to then figure it out on your own, because
    your model didn't match the evidence.


    The "assumption" is that you have a perfectly fair election
    with a Gaussian distribution of Republican and Democratic votes.

    Is that your only required assumption, Tommy?


    -hh

    Asked and answered, Asshole.

    No...

    Asked and dodged.
    Predictably so. Really is a shame how Tommy can’t even bring
    himself to answer a direct yes/no question. Gosh, it can’t be
    because he knows he’s been caught in yet another lie?

    -hh

    Hardly - the question was ASKED and ANSWERED, Lyin' Asshole (and you KNOW why I call you the LYIN' ASSHOLE, don't you?).

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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