• Why are we desperately short of M107 (155mm) shells?

    From Tommy@21:1/5 to All on Sun Sep 17 22:37:38 2023
    These are being used in Ukraine by the TENS OF THOUSANDS, so why is our supply so low?
    Answer: because Lyin' Biden CUT their production by FORTY-THREE PERCENT!

    "When we looked across the accounts at where we could take a degree of risk to support some of the modernization efforts, this was one area where leadership was comfortable taking some risks," Jack Daniels, deputy assistant secretary of the Army for
    plans, programs and resources, told reporters.

    Well, the risk wasn't worth it.

    https://www.fieldartillery.org/news/army-to-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From -hh@21:1/5 to Tommy on Mon Sep 18 00:53:54 2023
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 2:37:40 PM UTC+9, Tommy wrote:
    These are being used in Ukraine by the TENS OF THOUSANDS, so why is our supply so low?
    Answer: because Lyin' Biden CUT their production by FORTY-THREE PERCENT!

    Nope. The POM for FY22 was done long before Biden was even elected., because they run
    based on the “FYDP”.

    "When we looked across the accounts at where we could take a degree of risk to support
    some of the modernization efforts, this was one area where leadership was comfortable
    taking some risks," Jack Daniels, deputy assistant secretary of the Army for plans,
    programs and resources, told reporters.

    Thats addressing what can be adjusted was a shift between programs, as the ERCA
    R&D was running more expensive than it’s original plan, so they ‘steal’ from other Army
    R&D efforts deemed to be lower priority, such as [recused].

    Well, the risk wasn't worth it.

    https://www.fieldartillery.org/news/army-to-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure

    That’s an old 2021 article that’s been subsumed by Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine,
    as 155mm production has already been more than doubled from the pre-cut values.

    Oh, and it’s not 155mm for the M107, as the M107 is an old, obsolete gun that used 175mm:
    <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M107_self-propelled_gun#Former_users>

    -hh

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  • From Tommy@21:1/5 to -hh on Mon Sep 18 07:44:18 2023
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 12:53:56 AM UTC-7, -hh wrote:
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 2:37:40 PM UTC+9, Tommy wrote:
    These are being used in Ukraine by the TENS OF THOUSANDS, so why is our supply so low?
    Answer: because Lyin' Biden CUT their production by FORTY-THREE PERCENT!
    Nope. The POM for FY22 was done long before Biden was even elected., because they run
    based on the “FYDP”.
    "When we looked across the accounts at where we could take a degree of risk to support
    some of the modernization efforts, this was one area where leadership was comfortable
    taking some risks," Jack Daniels, deputy assistant secretary of the Army for plans,
    programs and resources, told reporters.
    Thats addressing what can be adjusted was a shift between programs, as the ERCA
    R&D was running more expensive than it’s original plan, so they ‘steal’ from other Army
    R&D efforts deemed to be lower priority, such as [recused].
    Well, the risk wasn't worth it.

    https://www.fieldartillery.org/news/army-to-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure
    That’s an old 2021 article that’s been subsumed by Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine,
    as 155mm production has already been more than doubled from the pre-cut values.

    Oh, and it’s not 155mm for the M107, as the M107 is an old, obsolete gun that used 175mm:
    <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M107_self-propelled_gun#Former_users>

    -hh

    Hey Buddy, it happened on Lyin' Biden's watch, so he gets the blame. Case CLOSED!

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  • From -hh@21:1/5 to Tommy on Mon Sep 18 08:42:54 2023
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 11:44:20 PM UTC+9, Tommy wrote:
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 12:53:56 AM UTC-7, -hh wrote:
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 2:37:40 PM UTC+9, Tommy wrote:
    These are being used in Ukraine by the TENS OF THOUSANDS, so why is our supply so low?
    Answer: because Lyin' Biden CUT their production by FORTY-THREE PERCENT!

    Nope. The POM for FY22 was done long before Biden was even elected., because they run
    based on the “FYDP”.

    "When we looked across the accounts at where we could take a degree of risk to support
    some of the modernization efforts, this was one area where leadership was comfortable
    taking some risks," Jack Daniels, deputy assistant secretary of the Army for plans,
    programs and resources, told reporters.

    Thats addressing what can be adjusted was a shift between programs, as the ERCA
    R&D was running more expensive than it’s original plan, so they ‘steal’ from other Army
    R&D efforts deemed to be lower priority, such as [recused].

    Well, the risk wasn't worth it.

    https://www.fieldartillery.org/news/army-to-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure

    That’s an old 2021 article that’s been subsumed by Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine,
    as 155mm production has already been more than doubled from the pre-cut values.

    Oh, and it’s not 155mm for the M107, as the M107 is an old, obsolete gun that used 175mm:
    <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M107_self-propelled_gun#Former_users>

    Hey Buddy, it happened on Lyin' Biden's watch, so he gets the blame. Case CLOSED!

    Indeed: it is “case closed” on your lack of credibility when you try to use a 2.5 year old
    article to criticize something, instead of acknowledging that plans can & do change
    after Russia started a war. Case in point, on what’s now happening under Biden:

    “The Army expects production of 155mm artillery shells will jump more than threefold
    next year from 24,000 per month to between 80,000 and 85,000 per month,”

    < https://www.defensenews.com/digital-show-dailies/2023/03/28/us-army-eyes-six-fold-production-boost-of-155mm-shells-used-in-ukraine/>

    Note the “from 24,000 per month” here, because that relates to how your cite claimed
    that production was only going to be 75,357 per year. That’s already a 4x increase.

    Plus:

    “Army ramping up production of 155mm artillery shells next year”

    < https://taskandpurpose.com/news/army-increasing-155mm-artillery-shell-production/>

    To 85K/month. That’s more than a 13-fold increase.

    -hh

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  • From Alan@21:1/5 to Tommy on Mon Sep 18 12:53:58 2023
    On 2023-09-18 07:44, Tommy wrote:
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 12:53:56 AM UTC-7, -hh wrote:
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 2:37:40 PM UTC+9, Tommy wrote:
    These are being used in Ukraine by the TENS OF THOUSANDS, so why is our supply so low?
    Answer: because Lyin' Biden CUT their production by FORTY-THREE PERCENT!
    Nope. The POM for FY22 was done long before Biden was even elected., because they run
    based on the “FYDP”.
    "When we looked across the accounts at where we could take a degree of risk to support
    some of the modernization efforts, this was one area where leadership was comfortable
    taking some risks," Jack Daniels, deputy assistant secretary of the Army for plans,
    programs and resources, told reporters.
    Thats addressing what can be adjusted was a shift between programs, as the ERCA
    R&D was running more expensive than it’s original plan, so they ‘steal’ from other Army
    R&D efforts deemed to be lower priority, such as [recused].
    Well, the risk wasn't worth it.

    https://www.fieldartillery.org/news/army-to-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure
    That’s an old 2021 article that’s been subsumed by Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine,
    as 155mm production has already been more than doubled from the pre-cut values.

    Oh, and it’s not 155mm for the M107, as the M107 is an old, obsolete gun that used 175mm:
    <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M107_self-propelled_gun#Former_users>

    -hh

    Hey Buddy, it happened on Lyin' Biden's watch, so he gets the blame. Case CLOSED!

    Sunshine... ...this really isn't a subject you're equipped to discuss
    with HH...

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Tommy@21:1/5 to Alan on Mon Sep 18 15:50:25 2023
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 12:54:03 PM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-18 07:44, Tommy wrote:
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 12:53:56 AM UTC-7, -hh wrote:
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 2:37:40 PM UTC+9, Tommy wrote:
    These are being used in Ukraine by the TENS OF THOUSANDS, so why is our supply so low?
    Answer: because Lyin' Biden CUT their production by FORTY-THREE PERCENT! >> Nope. The POM for FY22 was done long before Biden was even elected., because they run
    based on the “FYDP”.
    "When we looked across the accounts at where we could take a degree of risk to support
    some of the modernization efforts, this was one area where leadership was comfortable
    taking some risks," Jack Daniels, deputy assistant secretary of the Army for plans,
    programs and resources, told reporters.
    Thats addressing what can be adjusted was a shift between programs, as the ERCA
    R&D was running more expensive than it’s original plan, so they ‘steal’ from other Army
    R&D efforts deemed to be lower priority, such as [recused].
    Well, the risk wasn't worth it.

    https://www.fieldartillery.org/news/army-to-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure
    That’s an old 2021 article that’s been subsumed by Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine,
    as 155mm production has already been more than doubled from the pre-cut values.

    Oh, and it’s not 155mm for the M107, as the M107 is an old, obsolete gun that used 175mm:
    <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M107_self-propelled_gun#Former_users>

    -hh

    Hey Buddy, it happened on Lyin' Biden's watch, so he gets the blame. Case CLOSED!
    Sunshine... ...this really isn't a subject you're equipped to discuss
    with HH...

    The facts are EXACTLY as the reference I provided stated, Fool. If you have an issue with the FACTS take it up with the publication. And reversing the stupid policy DOES NOT undo the FACT that there is a severe shortage of those shells.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Alan@21:1/5 to Tommy on Mon Sep 18 17:10:10 2023
    On 2023-09-18 15:50, Tommy wrote:
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 12:54:03 PM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-18 07:44, Tommy wrote:
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 12:53:56 AM UTC-7, -hh wrote:
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 2:37:40 PM UTC+9, Tommy wrote:
    These are being used in Ukraine by the TENS OF THOUSANDS, so why is our supply so low?
    Answer: because Lyin' Biden CUT their production by FORTY-THREE PERCENT! >>>> Nope. The POM for FY22 was done long before Biden was even elected., because they run
    based on the “FYDP”.
    "When we looked across the accounts at where we could take a degree of risk to support
    some of the modernization efforts, this was one area where leadership was comfortable
    taking some risks," Jack Daniels, deputy assistant secretary of the Army for plans,
    programs and resources, told reporters.
    Thats addressing what can be adjusted was a shift between programs, as the ERCA
    R&D was running more expensive than it’s original plan, so they ‘steal’ from other Army
    R&D efforts deemed to be lower priority, such as [recused].
    Well, the risk wasn't worth it.

    https://www.fieldartillery.org/news/army-to-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure
    That’s an old 2021 article that’s been subsumed by Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine,
    as 155mm production has already been more than doubled from the pre-cut values.

    Oh, and it’s not 155mm for the M107, as the M107 is an old, obsolete gun that used 175mm:
    <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M107_self-propelled_gun#Former_users>

    -hh

    Hey Buddy, it happened on Lyin' Biden's watch, so he gets the blame. Case CLOSED!
    Sunshine... ...this really isn't a subject you're equipped to discuss
    with HH...

    The facts are EXACTLY as the reference I provided stated, Fool. If you have an issue with the FACTS take it up with the publication. And reversing the stupid policy DOES NOT undo the FACT that there is a severe shortage of those shells.

    A publication 2 years out of date and which HH showed has figures that
    are no longer CLOSE to correct, Sunshine.

    As he quoted:

    “The Army expects production of 155mm artillery shells will jump more
    than threefold next year from 24,000 per month to between 80,000 and
    85,000 per month,”

    Your old publication suggested yearly production was going to be 75,357
    rounds. That would be 6,279 per month.

    So his article notes that at the time of publication, production was
    actually 14,000 per month; more than twice your out-dated source
    mentioned, and that it was going to be kicked up to 24,000 per month
    some time in 2023 ("over 24,000 later this year").

    So no, the facts are NOT exactly as your article stated.

    And your source (https://www.fieldartillery.org), is actually citing information from this article:

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure>

    And wouldn't you know it, that same site has a much more recent article, Sunshine!

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-raises-future-monthly-155mm-artillery-shell-production-target-70k-85k>

    Now... ...would you like to go on losing?

    :-)

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From -hh@21:1/5 to Alan on Wed Sep 20 01:52:55 2023
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 9:10:15 AM UTC+9, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-18 15:50, Tommy wrote:
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 12:54:03 PM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-18 07:44, Tommy wrote:
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 12:53:56 AM UTC-7, -hh wrote:
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 2:37:40 PM UTC+9, Tommy wrote:
    These are being used in Ukraine by the TENS OF THOUSANDS, so why is our supply so low?
    Answer: because Lyin' Biden CUT their production by FORTY-THREE PERCENT!
    Nope. The POM for FY22 was done long before Biden was even elected., because they run
    based on the “FYDP”.
    "When we looked across the accounts at where we could take a degree of risk to support
    some of the modernization efforts, this was one area where leadership was comfortable
    taking some risks," Jack Daniels, deputy assistant secretary of the Army for plans,
    programs and resources, told reporters.
    Thats addressing what can be adjusted was a shift between programs, as the ERCA
    R&D was running more expensive than it’s original plan, so they ‘steal’ from other Army
    R&D efforts deemed to be lower priority, such as [recused].
    Well, the risk wasn't worth it.

    https://www.fieldartillery.org/news/army-to-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure
    That’s an old 2021 article that’s been subsumed by Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine,
    as 155mm production has already been more than doubled from the pre-cut values.

    Oh, and it’s not 155mm for the M107, as the M107 is an old, obsolete gun that used 175mm:
    <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M107_self-propelled_gun#Former_users> >>>>
    -hh

    Hey Buddy, it happened on Lyin' Biden's watch, so he gets the blame. Case CLOSED!

    Sunshine... ...this really isn't a subject you're equipped to discuss
    with HH...

    Well, it has been a few years since I’ve done production support (ESIP),, but based on
    what Tommy’s tried to brag about, he’s _never_ done it.

    The facts are EXACTLY as the reference I provided stated, Fool. If you have an issue with the FACTS take it up with the publication. And reversing the stupid policy DOES NOT undo the FACT that there is a severe shortage of those shells.

    A publication 2 years out of date and which HH showed has figures that
    are no longer CLOSE to correct, Sunshine.

    Plus I didn’t copy incorrectly, by claiming shortages for a weapon system that’s
    no longer in use.


    As he quoted:
    “The Army expects production of 155mm artillery shells will jump more
    than threefold next year from 24,000 per month to between 80,000 and
    85,000 per month,”

    Your old publication suggested yearly production was going to be 75,357 rounds. That would be 6,279 per month.

    So his article notes that at the time of publication, production was actually 14,000 per month; more than twice your out-dated source
    mentioned, and that it was going to be kicked up to 24,000 per month
    some time in 2023 ("over 24,000 later this year").

    So no, the facts are NOT exactly as your article stated.

    Plus that’s merely discussing production rate, not stockpiles.


    And your source (https://www.fieldartillery.org), is actually citing information from this article:

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure>

    And wouldn't you know it, that same site has a much more recent article, Sunshine!

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-raises-future-monthly-155mm-artillery-shell-production-target-70k-85k>

    Now... ...would you like to go on losing?
    :-)

    Losing is the only thing Tommy knows how to do.

    -hh

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  • From Alan@21:1/5 to -hh on Wed Sep 20 07:32:36 2023
    On 2023-09-20 01:52, -hh wrote:
    And your source (https://www.fieldartillery.org), is actually citing
    information from this article:

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure>

    And wouldn't you know it, that same site has a much more recent article,
    Sunshine!

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-raises-future-monthly-155mm-artillery-shell-production-target-70k-85k>

    Now... ...would you like to go on losing?
    🙂
    Losing is the only thing Tommy knows how to do.

    But to be fair...

    ...he is SO good at it!

    😉

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From bruce bowser@21:1/5 to Tommy on Wed Sep 20 11:34:04 2023
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 1:37:40 AM UTC-4, Tommy wrote:
    These are being used in Ukraine by the

    Are you stuck in the 1930's?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From bruce bowser@21:1/5 to bruce bowser on Wed Sep 20 11:36:07 2023
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 2:34:06 PM UTC-4, bruce bowser wrote:
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 1:37:40 AM UTC-4, Tommy wrote:
    These are being used in Ukraine by the
    Are you stuck in the 1930's?

    105mm doesn't drive so deep into the ground and it can do just as much on the surface. Buzz off.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Tommy@21:1/5 to Alan on Sat Sep 23 23:47:35 2023
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:32:43 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-20 01:52, -hh wrote:
    And your source (https://www.fieldartillery.org), is actually citing
    information from this article:

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure>

    And wouldn't you know it, that same site has a much more recent article, >> Sunshine!

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-raises-future-monthly-155mm-artillery-shell-production-target-70k-85k>

    Now... ...would you like to go on losing?
    🙂
    Losing is the only thing Tommy knows how to do.
    But to be fair...

    ...he is SO good at it!

    😉

    LOL! You libtards are totally blinded by your stupidity. We have shipped 800,000 155mm rounds to Ukraine and the Army wants to find suppliers that can produce TWELVE THOUSAND A MONTH! That would take over FIVE YEARS just to replenish our inventory IF no
    more shells are sent to Ukraine. https://www.businessinsider.in/international/news/the-us-has-given-ukraine-nearly-a-million-155-mm-artillery-shells-now-its-looking-for-us-companies-to-build-more-of-them-/articleshow/94186758.cms
    But, WAIT, you just don't start building these rounds overnight: https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2023/03/us-artillery-production-ukraine-limited-lack-machine-tools-army-official-says/383615/

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Alan@21:1/5 to Tommy on Sun Sep 24 00:18:31 2023
    On 2023-09-23 23:47, Tommy wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:32:43 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-20 01:52, -hh wrote:
    And your source (https://www.fieldartillery.org), is actually
    citing information from this article:

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure>



    And wouldn't you know it, that same site has a much more recent article,
    Sunshine!

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-raises-future-monthly-155mm-artillery-shell-production-target-70k-85k>



    Now... ...would you like to go on losing?
    🙂
    Losing is the only thing Tommy knows how to do.
    But to be fair...

    ...he is SO good at it!

    😉

    LOL! You libtards are totally blinded by your stupidity. We have
    shipped 800,000 155mm rounds to Ukraine and the Army wants to find
    suppliers that can produce TWELVE THOUSAND A MONTH! That would take
    over FIVE YEARS just to replenish our inventory IF no more shells are
    sent to Ukraine.

    Wrong again, Sunshine! Current production is already 14,000 per month.

    <https://www.businessinsider.in/international/news/the-us-has-given-ukraine-nearly-a-million-155-mm-artillery-shells-now-its-looking-for-us-companies-to-build-more-of-them-/articleshow/94186758.cms>

    From your own source (from a year ago):

    'The US Army is looking for companies that can build up to 12,000 155 mm artillery shells a month.'

    That would be in addition to production already operating at a rate of
    12-14 thousand a month.

    So that wouldn't be 5 years to replenish stockpiles, now would it?



    But, WAIT, you just don't start building these rounds overnight:
    <https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2023/03/us-artillery-production-ukraine-limited-lack-machine-tools-army-official-says/383615/>
    From your own source, Sunshine:

    "Production is set to rise to 20,000 shells per month by spring 2023,
    and 40,000 per month by 2025, Secretary of the Army Christine Wormuth said."

    You should really read the articles you post.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Tommy@21:1/5 to Alan on Mon Sep 25 19:07:03 2023
    On Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 12:18:35 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-23 23:47, Tommy wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:32:43 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-20 01:52, -hh wrote:
    And your source (https://www.fieldartillery.org), is actually
    citing information from this article:

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure>



    And wouldn't you know it, that same site has a much more recent article, >>>> Sunshine!

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-raises-future-monthly-155mm-artillery-shell-production-target-70k-85k>



    Now... ...would you like to go on losing?
    🙂
    Losing is the only thing Tommy knows how to do.
    But to be fair...

    ...he is SO good at it!

    😉

    LOL! You libtards are totally blinded by your stupidity. We have
    shipped 800,000 155mm rounds to Ukraine and the Army wants to find suppliers that can produce TWELVE THOUSAND A MONTH! That would take
    over FIVE YEARS just to replenish our inventory IF no more shells are
    sent to Ukraine.
    Wrong again, Sunshine! Current production is already 14,000 per month.

    <https://www.businessinsider.in/international/news/the-us-has-given-ukraine-nearly-a-million-155-mm-artillery-shells-now-its-looking-for-us-companies-to-build-more-of-them-/articleshow/94186758.cms>

    From your own source (from a year ago):

    'The US Army is looking for companies that can build up to 12,000 155 mm artillery shells a month.'

    That would be in addition to production already operating at a rate of
    12-14 thousand a month.

    So that wouldn't be 5 years to replenish stockpiles, now would it?


    But, WAIT, you just don't start building these rounds overnight: <https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2023/03/us-artillery-production-ukraine-limited-lack-machine-tools-army-official-says/383615/>
    From your own source, Sunshine:

    "Production is set to rise to 20,000 shells per month by spring 2023,
    and 40,000 per month by 2025, Secretary of the Army Christine Wormuth said."

    You should really read the articles you post.

    Don't you GET IT? We have sent them not 800,000, but ONE AND A HALF MILLION rounds - whatever the production rate it will take YEARS to just replenish our stock, let alone keep up with their usage. They are firing 6 to 8 THOUSAND ROUNDS PER DAY. In other
    words THREE DAYS consumes ONE MONTHS worth of our production. https://apnews.com/article/155mm-howitzer-ukraine-ammunition-russia-7d966c85046b73db2b013f93c51af2a5

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Alan@21:1/5 to Tommy on Mon Sep 25 21:32:57 2023
    On 2023-09-25 19:07, Tommy wrote:
    On Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 12:18:35 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-23 23:47, Tommy wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:32:43 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-20 01:52, -hh wrote:
    And your source (https://www.fieldartillery.org), is actually
    citing information from this article:

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure>



    And wouldn't you know it, that same site has a much more recent article, >>>>>> Sunshine!

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-raises-future-monthly-155mm-artillery-shell-production-target-70k-85k>



    Now... ...would you like to go on losing?
    🙂
    Losing is the only thing Tommy knows how to do.
    But to be fair...

    ...he is SO good at it!

    😉

    LOL! You libtards are totally blinded by your stupidity. We have
    shipped 800,000 155mm rounds to Ukraine and the Army wants to find
    suppliers that can produce TWELVE THOUSAND A MONTH! That would take
    over FIVE YEARS just to replenish our inventory IF no more shells are
    sent to Ukraine.
    Wrong again, Sunshine! Current production is already 14,000 per month.

    <https://www.businessinsider.in/international/news/the-us-has-given-ukraine-nearly-a-million-155-mm-artillery-shells-now-its-looking-for-us-companies-to-build-more-of-them-/articleshow/94186758.cms>

    From your own source (from a year ago):

    'The US Army is looking for companies that can build up to 12,000 155 mm
    artillery shells a month.'

    That would be in addition to production already operating at a rate of
    12-14 thousand a month.

    So that wouldn't be 5 years to replenish stockpiles, now would it?


    But, WAIT, you just don't start building these rounds overnight:
    <https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2023/03/us-artillery-production-ukraine-limited-lack-machine-tools-army-official-says/383615/>
    From your own source, Sunshine:

    "Production is set to rise to 20,000 shells per month by spring 2023,
    and 40,000 per month by 2025, Secretary of the Army Christine Wormuth said." >>
    You should really read the articles you post.

    Don't you GET IT? We have sent them not 800,000, but ONE AND A HALF MILLION rounds - whatever the production rate it will take YEARS to just replenish our stock, let alone keep up with their usage. They are firing 6 to 8 THOUSAND ROUNDS PER DAY. In
    other words THREE DAYS consumes ONE MONTHS worth of our production.
    https://apnews.com/article/155mm-howitzer-ukraine-ammunition-russia-7d966c85046b73db2b013f93c51af2a5

    They're raising the production rate to 85,000 per month.

    Replenishing 1.5 million rounds at that rate would take 17 months.

    And do you know how many rounds the US has stockpiled?

    And you're just assuming that only the US is providing them 155mm
    shells, Sunshine.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alan@21:1/5 to Tommy on Mon Sep 25 21:38:54 2023
    On 2023-09-25 19:07, Tommy wrote:
    On Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 12:18:35 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-23 23:47, Tommy wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:32:43 AM UTC-7, Alan
    wrote:
    On 2023-09-20 01:52, -hh wrote:
    And your source (https://www.fieldartillery.org), is
    actually citing information from this article:

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure>





    And wouldn't you know it, that same site has a much more recent article,
    Sunshine!

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-raises-future-monthly-155mm-artillery-shell-production-target-70k-85k>





    Now... ...would you like to go on losing?
    🙂
    Losing is the only thing Tommy knows how to do.
    But to be fair...

    ...he is SO good at it!

    😉

    LOL! You libtards are totally blinded by your stupidity. We have
    shipped 800,000 155mm rounds to Ukraine and the Army wants to
    find suppliers that can produce TWELVE THOUSAND A MONTH! That
    would take over FIVE YEARS just to replenish our inventory IF no
    more shells are sent to Ukraine.
    Wrong again, Sunshine! Current production is already 14,000 per
    month.

    <https://www.businessinsider.in/international/news/the-us-has-given-ukraine-nearly-a-million-155-mm-artillery-shells-now-its-looking-for-us-companies-to-build-more-of-them-/articleshow/94186758.cms>



    From your own source (from a year ago):

    'The US Army is looking for companies that can build up to 12,000
    155 mm artillery shells a month.'

    That would be in addition to production already operating at a rate
    of 12-14 thousand a month.

    So that wouldn't be 5 years to replenish stockpiles, now would it?


    But, WAIT, you just don't start building these rounds overnight:
    <https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2023/03/us-artillery-production-ukraine-limited-lack-machine-tools-army-official-says/383615/>


    From your own source, Sunshine:

    "Production is set to rise to 20,000 shells per month by spring
    2023, and 40,000 per month by 2025, Secretary of the Army Christine
    Wormuth said."

    You should really read the articles you post.

    Don't you GET IT? We have sent them not 800,000, but ONE AND A HALF
    MILLION rounds - whatever the production rate it will take YEARS to
    just replenish our stock, let alone keep up with their usage. They
    are firing 6 to 8 THOUSAND ROUNDS PER DAY. In other words THREE DAYS
    consumes ONE MONTHS worth of our production. https://apnews.com/article/155mm-howitzer-ukraine-ammunition-russia-7d966c85046b73db2b013f93c51af2a5

    Case in point, pookums:

    "BRUSSELS, March 20 (Reuters) - European Union countries on Monday
    agreed a 2 billion euro plan to send 1 million artillery rounds to
    Ukraine over the next year by digging into their own stockpiles and
    teaming up to buy more shells.

    "We have reached a political consensus to send to Ukraine one million
    rounds of 155 mm calibre ammunition," Estonian Defence Minister Hanno
    Pevkur told reporters on the sidelines of a meeting of EU foreign and
    defence ministers in Brussels."

    <https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/eu-agrees-plan-send-million-artillery-shells-ukraine-2023-03-20/>

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From -hh@21:1/5 to Alan on Tue Sep 26 05:19:30 2023
    On Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 1:38:58 PM UTC+9, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-25 19:07, Tommy wrote:
    On Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 12:18:35 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-23 23:47, Tommy wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:32:43 AM UTC-7, Alan
    wrote:
    On 2023-09-20 01:52, -hh wrote:
    And your source (https://www.fieldartillery.org), is
    actually citing information from this article:

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure>





    And wouldn't you know it, that same site has a much more recent article, >>>>>> Sunshine!

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-raises-future-monthly-155mm-artillery-shell-production-target-70k-85k>





    Now... ...would you like to go on losing?
    🙂
    Losing is the only thing Tommy knows how to do.
    But to be fair...

    ...he is SO good at it!

    😉

    LOL! You libtards are totally blinded by your stupidity. We have
    shipped 800,000 155mm rounds to Ukraine and the Army wants to
    find suppliers that can produce TWELVE THOUSAND A MONTH! That
    would take over FIVE YEARS just to replenish our inventory IF no
    more shells are sent to Ukraine.
    Wrong again, Sunshine! Current production is already 14,000 per
    month.

    <https://www.businessinsider.in/international/news/the-us-has-given-ukraine-nearly-a-million-155-mm-artillery-shells-now-its-looking-for-us-companies-to-build-more-of-them-/articleshow/94186758.cms>



    From your own source (from a year ago):

    'The US Army is looking for companies that can build up to 12,000
    155 mm artillery shells a month.'

    That would be in addition to production already operating at a rate
    of 12-14 thousand a month.

    So that wouldn't be 5 years to replenish stockpiles, now would it?


    But, WAIT, you just don't start building these rounds overnight:
    <https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2023/03/us-artillery-production-ukraine-limited-lack-machine-tools-army-official-says/383615/>


    From your own source, Sunshine:

    "Production is set to rise to 20,000 shells per month by spring
    2023, and 40,000 per month by 2025, Secretary of the Army Christine
    Wormuth said."

    You should really read the articles you post.

    Don't you GET IT? We have sent them not 800,000, but ONE AND A HALF MILLION rounds - whatever the production rate it will take YEARS to
    just replenish our stock, let alone keep up with their usage. They
    are firing 6 to 8 THOUSAND ROUNDS PER DAY. In other words THREE DAYS consumes ONE MONTHS worth of our production. https://apnews.com/article/155mm-howitzer-ukraine-ammunition-russia-7d966c85046b73db2b013f93c51af2a5

    Case in point, pookums:

    "BRUSSELS, March 20 (Reuters) - European Union countries on Monday
    agreed a 2 billion euro plan to send 1 million artillery rounds to
    Ukraine over the next year by digging into their own stockpiles and
    teaming up to buy more shells.

    "We have reached a political consensus to send to Ukraine one million
    rounds of 155 mm calibre ammunition," Estonian Defence Minister Hanno
    Pevkur told reporters on the sidelines of a meeting of EU foreign and defence ministers in Brussels."

    <https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/eu-agrees-plan-send-million-artillery-shells-ukraine-2023-03-20/>

    A similar thing happened with Afghanistan & Iraq: stockpiles exist so that they
    can be drawn down as production ramps up. For example, I forget just how low LCAAP production got during the “peace dividend” 1990s, but ballpark it at probably 250M RMDs/yr .. and after 9/11, it was easy to triple that, but it then
    took some time to get up to the full mobilization requirement, which was well north of 1B/yr. They were supposed to be able to do their design peak without any facilitization upgrade investments, but that turned out to not be the case, in no small part because one subsystem was running on an analog computer
    which had no new spare parts.

    -hh

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alan@21:1/5 to -hh on Tue Sep 26 09:09:20 2023
    On 2023-09-26 05:19, -hh wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 1:38:58 PM UTC+9, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-25 19:07, Tommy wrote:
    On Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 12:18:35 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-23 23:47, Tommy wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:32:43 AM UTC-7, Alan
    wrote:
    On 2023-09-20 01:52, -hh wrote:
    And your source (https://www.fieldartillery.org), is
    actually citing information from this article:

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure>





    And wouldn't you know it, that same site has a much more recent article, >>>>>>>> Sunshine!

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-raises-future-monthly-155mm-artillery-shell-production-target-70k-85k>





    Now... ...would you like to go on losing?
    🙂
    Losing is the only thing Tommy knows how to do.
    But to be fair...

    ...he is SO good at it!

    😉

    LOL! You libtards are totally blinded by your stupidity. We have
    shipped 800,000 155mm rounds to Ukraine and the Army wants to
    find suppliers that can produce TWELVE THOUSAND A MONTH! That
    would take over FIVE YEARS just to replenish our inventory IF no
    more shells are sent to Ukraine.
    Wrong again, Sunshine! Current production is already 14,000 per
    month.

    <https://www.businessinsider.in/international/news/the-us-has-given-ukraine-nearly-a-million-155-mm-artillery-shells-now-its-looking-for-us-companies-to-build-more-of-them-/articleshow/94186758.cms>



    From your own source (from a year ago):

    'The US Army is looking for companies that can build up to 12,000
    155 mm artillery shells a month.'

    That would be in addition to production already operating at a rate
    of 12-14 thousand a month.

    So that wouldn't be 5 years to replenish stockpiles, now would it?


    But, WAIT, you just don't start building these rounds overnight:
    <https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2023/03/us-artillery-production-ukraine-limited-lack-machine-tools-army-official-says/383615/>


    From your own source, Sunshine:

    "Production is set to rise to 20,000 shells per month by spring
    2023, and 40,000 per month by 2025, Secretary of the Army Christine
    Wormuth said."

    You should really read the articles you post.

    Don't you GET IT? We have sent them not 800,000, but ONE AND A HALF
    MILLION rounds - whatever the production rate it will take YEARS to
    just replenish our stock, let alone keep up with their usage. They
    are firing 6 to 8 THOUSAND ROUNDS PER DAY. In other words THREE DAYS
    consumes ONE MONTHS worth of our production.
    https://apnews.com/article/155mm-howitzer-ukraine-ammunition-russia-7d966c85046b73db2b013f93c51af2a5

    Case in point, pookums:

    "BRUSSELS, March 20 (Reuters) - European Union countries on Monday
    agreed a 2 billion euro plan to send 1 million artillery rounds to
    Ukraine over the next year by digging into their own stockpiles and
    teaming up to buy more shells.

    "We have reached a political consensus to send to Ukraine one million
    rounds of 155 mm calibre ammunition," Estonian Defence Minister Hanno
    Pevkur told reporters on the sidelines of a meeting of EU foreign and
    defence ministers in Brussels."

    <https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/eu-agrees-plan-send-million-artillery-shells-ukraine-2023-03-20/>

    A similar thing happened with Afghanistan & Iraq: stockpiles exist so that they
    can be drawn down as production ramps up. For example, I forget just how low LCAAP production got during the “peace dividend” 1990s, but ballpark it at
    probably 250M RMDs/yr .. and after 9/11, it was easy to triple that, but it then
    took some time to get up to the full mobilization requirement, which was well north of 1B/yr. They were supposed to be able to do their design peak without any facilitization upgrade investments, but that turned out to not be the case,
    in no small part because one subsystem was running on an analog computer which had no new spare parts.

    So what would you estimate the US stockpile of—say—155mm shells to be, H?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From -hh@21:1/5 to Alan on Tue Sep 26 12:26:44 2023
    On Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 1:09:24 AM UTC+9, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-26 05:19, -hh wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 1:38:58 PM UTC+9, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-25 19:07, Tommy wrote:
    On Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 12:18:35 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-23 23:47, Tommy wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:32:43 AM UTC-7, Alan
    wrote:
    On 2023-09-20 01:52, -hh wrote:
    And your source (https://www.fieldartillery.org), is
    actually citing information from this article:

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure>





    And wouldn't you know it, that same site has a much more recent article, >>>>>>>> Sunshine!

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-raises-future-monthly-155mm-artillery-shell-production-target-70k-85k>





    Now... ...would you like to go on losing?
    🙂
    Losing is the only thing Tommy knows how to do.
    But to be fair...

    ...he is SO good at it!

    😉

    LOL! You libtards are totally blinded by your stupidity. We have
    shipped 800,000 155mm rounds to Ukraine and the Army wants to
    find suppliers that can produce TWELVE THOUSAND A MONTH! That
    would take over FIVE YEARS just to replenish our inventory IF no
    more shells are sent to Ukraine.
    Wrong again, Sunshine! Current production is already 14,000 per
    month.

    <https://www.businessinsider.in/international/news/the-us-has-given-ukraine-nearly-a-million-155-mm-artillery-shells-now-its-looking-for-us-companies-to-build-more-of-them-/articleshow/94186758.cms>



    From your own source (from a year ago):

    'The US Army is looking for companies that can build up to 12,000
    155 mm artillery shells a month.'

    That would be in addition to production already operating at a rate >>>> of 12-14 thousand a month.

    So that wouldn't be 5 years to replenish stockpiles, now would it? >>>>>

    But, WAIT, you just don't start building these rounds overnight:
    <https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2023/03/us-artillery-production-ukraine-limited-lack-machine-tools-army-official-says/383615/>


    From your own source, Sunshine:

    "Production is set to rise to 20,000 shells per month by spring
    2023, and 40,000 per month by 2025, Secretary of the Army Christine >>>> Wormuth said."

    You should really read the articles you post.

    Don't you GET IT? We have sent them not 800,000, but ONE AND A HALF
    MILLION rounds - whatever the production rate it will take YEARS to
    just replenish our stock, let alone keep up with their usage. They
    are firing 6 to 8 THOUSAND ROUNDS PER DAY. In other words THREE DAYS
    consumes ONE MONTHS worth of our production.
    https://apnews.com/article/155mm-howitzer-ukraine-ammunition-russia-7d966c85046b73db2b013f93c51af2a5

    Case in point, pookums:

    "BRUSSELS, March 20 (Reuters) - European Union countries on Monday
    agreed a 2 billion euro plan to send 1 million artillery rounds to
    Ukraine over the next year by digging into their own stockpiles and
    teaming up to buy more shells.

    "We have reached a political consensus to send to Ukraine one million
    rounds of 155 mm calibre ammunition," Estonian Defence Minister Hanno
    Pevkur told reporters on the sidelines of a meeting of EU foreign and
    defence ministers in Brussels."

    <https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/eu-agrees-plan-send-million-artillery-shells-ukraine-2023-03-20/>

    A similar thing happened with Afghanistan & Iraq: stockpiles exist so that they
    can be drawn down as production ramps up. For example, I forget just how low
    LCAAP production got during the “peace dividend” 1990s, but ballpark it at
    probably 250M RMDs/yr .. and after 9/11, it was easy to triple that, but it then
    took some time to get up to the full mobilization requirement, which was well
    north of 1B/yr. They were supposed to be able to do their design peak without
    any facilitization upgrade investments, but that turned out to not be the case,
    in no small part because one subsystem was running on an analog computer which had no new spare parts.

    So what would you estimate the US stockpile of—say—155mm shells to be, H?

    I know some of the common criteria for determining stockpile size; basically figure the “hot war” daily firing rate per tube, times tubes, times production
    ramp-up time (eg, 30-60-90 days, etc). Then add safety factors for logistical losses, different types, etc.

    For example, just the obsolete DPICM stockpile to basically defend the Fulda Gap
    in Germany (& probably a similar channelizaation in SK) is ~5 million rounds:

    “Both ground and air forces stockpile large numbers of outdated cluster munitions
    that have caused significant harm to civilians in recent conflicts. The Army and
    Marine Corps have 155mm artillery projectiles (M483/M483A1 and M864) containing
    about 402 million Dual Purpose Improved Conventional Munition (DPICM) submunitions.”

    <https://www.hrw.org/legacy/backgrounder/arms/cluster0705/2.htm#:~:text=The%20Army%20and%20Marine%20Corps,Conventional%20Munition%20(DPICM)%20submunitions.>

    And that round type hasn’t even been manufactured for IIRC roughly 2 decades.

    The average American has no concept of what manufacturing volumes can be like. Ditto for your average Engineer too who hasn’t done such production support.

    Case in point, one of the US’s small caliber production machines can crank out
    a million rounds .. per shift. And not only is there a row of these at Lake City,
    but they’ve also been upgraded to higher rates since I worked on them.

    -hh

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alan@21:1/5 to -hh on Tue Sep 26 14:03:51 2023
    On 2023-09-26 12:26, -hh wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 1:09:24 AM UTC+9, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-26 05:19, -hh wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 1:38:58 PM UTC+9, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-25 19:07, Tommy wrote:
    On Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 12:18:35 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-23 23:47, Tommy wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:32:43 AM UTC-7, Alan
    wrote:
    On 2023-09-20 01:52, -hh wrote:
    And your source (https://www.fieldartillery.org), is
    actually citing information from this article:

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure>





    And wouldn't you know it, that same site has a much more recent article, >>>>>>>>>> Sunshine!

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-raises-future-monthly-155mm-artillery-shell-production-target-70k-85k>





    Now... ...would you like to go on losing?
    🙂
    Losing is the only thing Tommy knows how to do.
    But to be fair...

    ...he is SO good at it!

    😉

    LOL! You libtards are totally blinded by your stupidity. We have >>>>>>> shipped 800,000 155mm rounds to Ukraine and the Army wants to
    find suppliers that can produce TWELVE THOUSAND A MONTH! That
    would take over FIVE YEARS just to replenish our inventory IF no >>>>>>> more shells are sent to Ukraine.
    Wrong again, Sunshine! Current production is already 14,000 per
    month.

    <https://www.businessinsider.in/international/news/the-us-has-given-ukraine-nearly-a-million-155-mm-artillery-shells-now-its-looking-for-us-companies-to-build-more-of-them-/articleshow/94186758.cms>



    From your own source (from a year ago):

    'The US Army is looking for companies that can build up to 12,000
    155 mm artillery shells a month.'

    That would be in addition to production already operating at a rate >>>>>> of 12-14 thousand a month.

    So that wouldn't be 5 years to replenish stockpiles, now would it? >>>>>>>

    But, WAIT, you just don't start building these rounds overnight: >>>>>>> <https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2023/03/us-artillery-production-ukraine-limited-lack-machine-tools-army-official-says/383615/>


    From your own source, Sunshine:

    "Production is set to rise to 20,000 shells per month by spring
    2023, and 40,000 per month by 2025, Secretary of the Army Christine >>>>>> Wormuth said."

    You should really read the articles you post.

    Don't you GET IT? We have sent them not 800,000, but ONE AND A HALF
    MILLION rounds - whatever the production rate it will take YEARS to
    just replenish our stock, let alone keep up with their usage. They
    are firing 6 to 8 THOUSAND ROUNDS PER DAY. In other words THREE DAYS >>>>> consumes ONE MONTHS worth of our production.
    https://apnews.com/article/155mm-howitzer-ukraine-ammunition-russia-7d966c85046b73db2b013f93c51af2a5

    Case in point, pookums:

    "BRUSSELS, March 20 (Reuters) - European Union countries on Monday
    agreed a 2 billion euro plan to send 1 million artillery rounds to
    Ukraine over the next year by digging into their own stockpiles and
    teaming up to buy more shells.

    "We have reached a political consensus to send to Ukraine one million
    rounds of 155 mm calibre ammunition," Estonian Defence Minister Hanno
    Pevkur told reporters on the sidelines of a meeting of EU foreign and
    defence ministers in Brussels."

    <https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/eu-agrees-plan-send-million-artillery-shells-ukraine-2023-03-20/>

    A similar thing happened with Afghanistan & Iraq: stockpiles exist so that they
    can be drawn down as production ramps up. For example, I forget just how low
    LCAAP production got during the “peace dividend” 1990s, but ballpark it at
    probably 250M RMDs/yr .. and after 9/11, it was easy to triple that, but it then
    took some time to get up to the full mobilization requirement, which was well
    north of 1B/yr. They were supposed to be able to do their design peak without
    any facilitization upgrade investments, but that turned out to not be the case,
    in no small part because one subsystem was running on an analog computer >>> which had no new spare parts.

    So what would you estimate the US stockpile of—say—155mm shells to be, H?

    I know some of the common criteria for determining stockpile size; basically figure the “hot war” daily firing rate per tube, times tubes, times production
    ramp-up time (eg, 30-60-90 days, etc). Then add safety factors for logistical losses, different types, etc.

    For example, just the obsolete DPICM stockpile to basically defend the Fulda Gap
    in Germany (& probably a similar channelizaation in SK) is ~5 million rounds:

    “Both ground and air forces stockpile large numbers of outdated cluster munitions
    that have caused significant harm to civilians in recent conflicts. The Army and
    Marine Corps have 155mm artillery projectiles (M483/M483A1 and M864) containing
    about 402 million Dual Purpose Improved Conventional Munition (DPICM) submunitions.”

    <https://www.hrw.org/legacy/backgrounder/arms/cluster0705/2.htm#:~:text=The%20Army%20and%20Marine%20Corps,Conventional%20Munition%20(DPICM)%20submunitions.>

    And that round type hasn’t even been manufactured for IIRC roughly 2 decades.

    The average American has no concept of what manufacturing volumes can be like.
    Ditto for your average Engineer too who hasn’t done such production support.

    Case in point, one of the US’s small caliber production machines can crank out
    a million rounds .. per shift. And not only is there a row of these at Lake City,
    but they’ve also been upgraded to higher rates since I worked on them.

    So that's somewhere between 4.5-5.6 million shells (based on the two configurations I found only with 88 and 72 submunitions respectively).

    At 8,000 rounds a day, that's 562-700 days before the stockpile would be exhausted.

    Sounds like plenty of time to ramp up production to me.

    Sad that it's necessary, but appeasing a tyrant has never worked.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alan@21:1/5 to -hh on Tue Sep 26 15:52:38 2023
    On 2023-09-26 15:39, -hh wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 6:03:54 AM UTC+9, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-26 12:26, -hh wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 1:09:24 AM UTC+9, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-26 05:19, -hh wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 1:38:58 PM UTC+9, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-25 19:07, Tommy wrote:
    On Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 12:18:35 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote: >>>>>>>> On 2023-09-23 23:47, Tommy wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:32:43 AM UTC-7, Alan >>>>>>>>> wrote:
    On 2023-09-20 01:52, -hh wrote:
    And your source (https://www.fieldartillery.org), is
    actually citing information from this article:

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure>





    And wouldn't you know it, that same site has a much more recent article, >>>>>>>>>>>> Sunshine!

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-raises-future-monthly-155mm-artillery-shell-production-target-70k-85k>





    Now... ...would you like to go on losing?
    🙂
    Losing is the only thing Tommy knows how to do.
    But to be fair...

    ...he is SO good at it!

    😉

    LOL! You libtards are totally blinded by your stupidity. We have >>>>>>>>> shipped 800,000 155mm rounds to Ukraine and the Army wants to >>>>>>>>> find suppliers that can produce TWELVE THOUSAND A MONTH! That >>>>>>>>> would take over FIVE YEARS just to replenish our inventory IF no >>>>>>>>> more shells are sent to Ukraine.
    Wrong again, Sunshine! Current production is already 14,000 per >>>>>>>> month.

    <https://www.businessinsider.in/international/news/the-us-has-given-ukraine-nearly-a-million-155-mm-artillery-shells-now-its-looking-for-us-companies-to-build-more-of-them-/articleshow/94186758.cms>



    From your own source (from a year ago):

    'The US Army is looking for companies that can build up to 12,000 >>>>>>>> 155 mm artillery shells a month.'

    That would be in addition to production already operating at a rate >>>>>>>> of 12-14 thousand a month.

    So that wouldn't be 5 years to replenish stockpiles, now would it? >>>>>>>>>

    But, WAIT, you just don't start building these rounds overnight: >>>>>>>>> <https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2023/03/us-artillery-production-ukraine-limited-lack-machine-tools-army-official-says/383615/>


    From your own source, Sunshine:

    "Production is set to rise to 20,000 shells per month by spring >>>>>>>> 2023, and 40,000 per month by 2025, Secretary of the Army Christine >>>>>>>> Wormuth said."

    You should really read the articles you post.

    Don't you GET IT? We have sent them not 800,000, but ONE AND A HALF >>>>>>> MILLION rounds - whatever the production rate it will take YEARS to >>>>>>> just replenish our stock, let alone keep up with their usage. They >>>>>>> are firing 6 to 8 THOUSAND ROUNDS PER DAY. In other words THREE DAYS >>>>>>> consumes ONE MONTHS worth of our production.
    https://apnews.com/article/155mm-howitzer-ukraine-ammunition-russia-7d966c85046b73db2b013f93c51af2a5

    Case in point, pookums:

    "BRUSSELS, March 20 (Reuters) - European Union countries on Monday >>>>>> agreed a 2 billion euro plan to send 1 million artillery rounds to >>>>>> Ukraine over the next year by digging into their own stockpiles and >>>>>> teaming up to buy more shells.

    "We have reached a political consensus to send to Ukraine one million >>>>>> rounds of 155 mm calibre ammunition," Estonian Defence Minister Hanno >>>>>> Pevkur told reporters on the sidelines of a meeting of EU foreign and >>>>>> defence ministers in Brussels."

    <https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/eu-agrees-plan-send-million-artillery-shells-ukraine-2023-03-20/>

    A similar thing happened with Afghanistan & Iraq: stockpiles exist so that they
    can be drawn down as production ramps up. For example, I forget just how low
    LCAAP production got during the “peace dividend” 1990s, but ballpark it at
    probably 250M RMDs/yr .. and after 9/11, it was easy to triple that, but it then
    took some time to get up to the full mobilization requirement, which was well
    north of 1B/yr. They were supposed to be able to do their design peak without
    any facilitization upgrade investments, but that turned out to not be the case,
    in no small part because one subsystem was running on an analog computer >>>>> which had no new spare parts.

    So what would you estimate the US stockpile of—say—155mm shells to be, H?

    I know some of the common criteria for determining stockpile size; basically
    figure the “hot war” daily firing rate per tube, times tubes, times production
    ramp-up time (eg, 30-60-90 days, etc). Then add safety factors for logistical
    losses, different types, etc.

    For example, just the obsolete DPICM stockpile to basically defend the Fulda Gap
    in Germany (& probably a similar channelizaation in SK) is ~5 million rounds:

    “Both ground and air forces stockpile large numbers of outdated cluster munitions
    that have caused significant harm to civilians in recent conflicts. The Army and
    Marine Corps have 155mm artillery projectiles (M483/M483A1 and M864) containing
    about 402 million Dual Purpose Improved Conventional Munition (DPICM) submunitions.”

    <https://www.hrw.org/legacy/backgrounder/arms/cluster0705/2.htm#:~:text=The%20Army%20and%20Marine%20Corps,Conventional%20Munition%20(DPICM)%20submunitions.>

    And that round type hasn’t even been manufactured for IIRC roughly 2 decades.

    The average American has no concept of what manufacturing volumes can be like.
    Ditto for your average Engineer too who hasn’t done such production support.

    Case in point, one of the US’s small caliber production machines can crank out
    a million rounds .. per shift. And not only is there a row of these at Lake City,
    but they’ve also been upgraded to higher rates since I worked on them.
    So that's somewhere between 4.5-5.6 million shells (based on the two
    configurations I found only with 88 and 72 submunitions respectively).

    At 8,000 rounds a day, that's 562-700 days before the stockpile would be
    exhausted.

    And that’s just the DPICM stocks.

    Sounds like plenty of time to ramp up production to me.

    Plus there’s the dynamic of the current production rate extending out
    that “runs out”: at a simple ~24K/mo, that’s +3 firing days per month, so using ~18 months for 562-700, that’s 3*18= +54 more days before depletion.

    Sad that it's necessary, but appeasing a tyrant has never worked.

    Precisely why to not let tyrant Tommy get away with any of his rants.

    -hh

    And it is at least momentarily amusing!

    ;-)

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From -hh@21:1/5 to Alan on Tue Sep 26 15:39:58 2023
    On Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 6:03:54 AM UTC+9, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-26 12:26, -hh wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 1:09:24 AM UTC+9, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-26 05:19, -hh wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 1:38:58 PM UTC+9, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-25 19:07, Tommy wrote:
    On Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 12:18:35 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote: >>>>>> On 2023-09-23 23:47, Tommy wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:32:43 AM UTC-7, Alan
    wrote:
    On 2023-09-20 01:52, -hh wrote:
    And your source (https://www.fieldartillery.org), is
    actually citing information from this article:

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure>





    And wouldn't you know it, that same site has a much more recent article,
    Sunshine!

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-raises-future-monthly-155mm-artillery-shell-production-target-70k-85k>





    Now... ...would you like to go on losing?
    🙂
    Losing is the only thing Tommy knows how to do.
    But to be fair...

    ...he is SO good at it!

    😉

    LOL! You libtards are totally blinded by your stupidity. We have >>>>>>> shipped 800,000 155mm rounds to Ukraine and the Army wants to >>>>>>> find suppliers that can produce TWELVE THOUSAND A MONTH! That >>>>>>> would take over FIVE YEARS just to replenish our inventory IF no >>>>>>> more shells are sent to Ukraine.
    Wrong again, Sunshine! Current production is already 14,000 per >>>>>> month.

    <https://www.businessinsider.in/international/news/the-us-has-given-ukraine-nearly-a-million-155-mm-artillery-shells-now-its-looking-for-us-companies-to-build-more-of-them-/articleshow/94186758.cms>



    From your own source (from a year ago):

    'The US Army is looking for companies that can build up to 12,000 >>>>>> 155 mm artillery shells a month.'

    That would be in addition to production already operating at a rate >>>>>> of 12-14 thousand a month.

    So that wouldn't be 5 years to replenish stockpiles, now would it? >>>>>>>

    But, WAIT, you just don't start building these rounds overnight: >>>>>>> <https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2023/03/us-artillery-production-ukraine-limited-lack-machine-tools-army-official-says/383615/>


    From your own source, Sunshine:

    "Production is set to rise to 20,000 shells per month by spring >>>>>> 2023, and 40,000 per month by 2025, Secretary of the Army Christine >>>>>> Wormuth said."

    You should really read the articles you post.

    Don't you GET IT? We have sent them not 800,000, but ONE AND A HALF >>>>> MILLION rounds - whatever the production rate it will take YEARS to >>>>> just replenish our stock, let alone keep up with their usage. They >>>>> are firing 6 to 8 THOUSAND ROUNDS PER DAY. In other words THREE DAYS >>>>> consumes ONE MONTHS worth of our production.
    https://apnews.com/article/155mm-howitzer-ukraine-ammunition-russia-7d966c85046b73db2b013f93c51af2a5

    Case in point, pookums:

    "BRUSSELS, March 20 (Reuters) - European Union countries on Monday
    agreed a 2 billion euro plan to send 1 million artillery rounds to
    Ukraine over the next year by digging into their own stockpiles and >>>> teaming up to buy more shells.

    "We have reached a political consensus to send to Ukraine one million >>>> rounds of 155 mm calibre ammunition," Estonian Defence Minister Hanno >>>> Pevkur told reporters on the sidelines of a meeting of EU foreign and >>>> defence ministers in Brussels."

    <https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/eu-agrees-plan-send-million-artillery-shells-ukraine-2023-03-20/>

    A similar thing happened with Afghanistan & Iraq: stockpiles exist so that they
    can be drawn down as production ramps up. For example, I forget just how low
    LCAAP production got during the “peace dividend” 1990s, but ballpark it at
    probably 250M RMDs/yr .. and after 9/11, it was easy to triple that, but it then
    took some time to get up to the full mobilization requirement, which was well
    north of 1B/yr. They were supposed to be able to do their design peak without
    any facilitization upgrade investments, but that turned out to not be the case,
    in no small part because one subsystem was running on an analog computer >>> which had no new spare parts.

    So what would you estimate the US stockpile of—say—155mm shells to be, H?

    I know some of the common criteria for determining stockpile size; basically
    figure the “hot war” daily firing rate per tube, times tubes, times production
    ramp-up time (eg, 30-60-90 days, etc). Then add safety factors for logistical
    losses, different types, etc.

    For example, just the obsolete DPICM stockpile to basically defend the Fulda Gap
    in Germany (& probably a similar channelizaation in SK) is ~5 million rounds:

    “Both ground and air forces stockpile large numbers of outdated cluster munitions
    that have caused significant harm to civilians in recent conflicts. The Army and
    Marine Corps have 155mm artillery projectiles (M483/M483A1 and M864) containing
    about 402 million Dual Purpose Improved Conventional Munition (DPICM) submunitions.”

    <https://www.hrw.org/legacy/backgrounder/arms/cluster0705/2.htm#:~:text=The%20Army%20and%20Marine%20Corps,Conventional%20Munition%20(DPICM)%20submunitions.>

    And that round type hasn’t even been manufactured for IIRC roughly 2 decades.

    The average American has no concept of what manufacturing volumes can be like.
    Ditto for your average Engineer too who hasn’t done such production support.

    Case in point, one of the US’s small caliber production machines can crank out
    a million rounds .. per shift. And not only is there a row of these at Lake City,
    but they’ve also been upgraded to higher rates since I worked on them.
    So that's somewhere between 4.5-5.6 million shells (based on the two configurations I found only with 88 and 72 submunitions respectively).

    At 8,000 rounds a day, that's 562-700 days before the stockpile would be exhausted.

    And that’s just the DPICM stocks.

    Sounds like plenty of time to ramp up production to me.

    Plus there’s the dynamic of the current production rate extending out
    that “runs out”: at a simple ~24K/mo, that’s +3 firing days per month, so using ~18 months for 562-700, that’s 3*18= +54 more days before
    depletion.

    Sad that it's necessary, but appeasing a tyrant has never worked.

    Precisely why to not let tyrant Tommy get away with any of his rants.

    -hh

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Tommy@21:1/5 to Alan on Tue Sep 26 16:18:34 2023
    On Monday, September 25, 2023 at 9:33:01 PM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-25 19:07, Tommy wrote:
    On Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 12:18:35 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-23 23:47, Tommy wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:32:43 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-20 01:52, -hh wrote:
    And your source (https://www.fieldartillery.org), is actually
    citing information from this article:

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure>



    And wouldn't you know it, that same site has a much more recent article, >>>>>> Sunshine!

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-raises-future-monthly-155mm-artillery-shell-production-target-70k-85k>



    Now... ...would you like to go on losing?
    🙂
    Losing is the only thing Tommy knows how to do.
    But to be fair...

    ...he is SO good at it!

    😉

    LOL! You libtards are totally blinded by your stupidity. We have
    shipped 800,000 155mm rounds to Ukraine and the Army wants to find
    suppliers that can produce TWELVE THOUSAND A MONTH! That would take
    over FIVE YEARS just to replenish our inventory IF no more shells are >>> sent to Ukraine.
    Wrong again, Sunshine! Current production is already 14,000 per month.

    <https://www.businessinsider.in/international/news/the-us-has-given-ukraine-nearly-a-million-155-mm-artillery-shells-now-its-looking-for-us-companies-to-build-more-of-them-/articleshow/94186758.cms>

    From your own source (from a year ago):

    'The US Army is looking for companies that can build up to 12,000 155 mm >> artillery shells a month.'

    That would be in addition to production already operating at a rate of
    12-14 thousand a month.

    So that wouldn't be 5 years to replenish stockpiles, now would it?


    But, WAIT, you just don't start building these rounds overnight:
    <https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2023/03/us-artillery-production-ukraine-limited-lack-machine-tools-army-official-says/383615/>
    From your own source, Sunshine:

    "Production is set to rise to 20,000 shells per month by spring 2023,
    and 40,000 per month by 2025, Secretary of the Army Christine Wormuth said."

    You should really read the articles you post.

    Don't you GET IT? We have sent them not 800,000, but ONE AND A HALF MILLION rounds - whatever the production rate it will take YEARS to just replenish our stock, let alone keep up with their usage. They are firing 6 to 8 THOUSAND ROUNDS PER DAY. In
    other words THREE DAYS consumes ONE MONTHS worth of our production.
    https://apnews.com/article/155mm-howitzer-ukraine-ammunition-russia-7d966c85046b73db2b013f93c51af2a5
    They're raising the production rate to 85,000 per month.

    Replenishing 1.5 million rounds at that rate would take 17 months.

    And do you know how many rounds the US has stockpiled?

    And you're just assuming that only the US is providing them 155mm
    shells, Sunshine.

    Says who, Fool?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Tommy@21:1/5 to Tommy on Tue Sep 26 16:24:31 2023
    On Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 4:18:36 PM UTC-7, Tommy wrote:
    On Monday, September 25, 2023 at 9:33:01 PM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-25 19:07, Tommy wrote:
    On Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 12:18:35 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-23 23:47, Tommy wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:32:43 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote: >>>> On 2023-09-20 01:52, -hh wrote:
    And your source (https://www.fieldartillery.org), is actually >>>>>> citing information from this article:

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure>



    And wouldn't you know it, that same site has a much more recent article,
    Sunshine!

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-raises-future-monthly-155mm-artillery-shell-production-target-70k-85k>



    Now... ...would you like to go on losing?
    🙂
    Losing is the only thing Tommy knows how to do.
    But to be fair...

    ...he is SO good at it!

    😉

    LOL! You libtards are totally blinded by your stupidity. We have
    shipped 800,000 155mm rounds to Ukraine and the Army wants to find
    suppliers that can produce TWELVE THOUSAND A MONTH! That would take >>> over FIVE YEARS just to replenish our inventory IF no more shells are >>> sent to Ukraine.
    Wrong again, Sunshine! Current production is already 14,000 per month. >>
    <https://www.businessinsider.in/international/news/the-us-has-given-ukraine-nearly-a-million-155-mm-artillery-shells-now-its-looking-for-us-companies-to-build-more-of-them-/articleshow/94186758.cms>

    From your own source (from a year ago):

    'The US Army is looking for companies that can build up to 12,000 155 mm
    artillery shells a month.'

    That would be in addition to production already operating at a rate of >> 12-14 thousand a month.

    So that wouldn't be 5 years to replenish stockpiles, now would it?


    But, WAIT, you just don't start building these rounds overnight:
    <https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2023/03/us-artillery-production-ukraine-limited-lack-machine-tools-army-official-says/383615/>
    From your own source, Sunshine:

    "Production is set to rise to 20,000 shells per month by spring 2023, >> and 40,000 per month by 2025, Secretary of the Army Christine Wormuth said."

    You should really read the articles you post.

    Don't you GET IT? We have sent them not 800,000, but ONE AND A HALF MILLION rounds - whatever the production rate it will take YEARS to just replenish our stock, let alone keep up with their usage. They are firing 6 to 8 THOUSAND ROUNDS PER DAY. In
    other words THREE DAYS consumes ONE MONTHS worth of our production.
    https://apnews.com/article/155mm-howitzer-ukraine-ammunition-russia-7d966c85046b73db2b013f93c51af2a5
    They're raising the production rate to 85,000 per month.

    Replenishing 1.5 million rounds at that rate would take 17 months.

    And do you know how many rounds the US has stockpiled?

    And you're just assuming that only the US is providing them 155mm
    shells, Sunshine.
    Says who, Fool?

    NO, we ARE NOT producing 80,000 155mm projectiles per month: https://taskandpurpose.com/news/army-increasing-155mm-artillery-shell-production/#:~:text=Speaking%20to%20reporters%20on%20Monday,million%20new%20shells%20per%20year.
    MAYBE next year we will be at that level, but even if we were that represents TEN DAYS of consumption by Ukraine w/o "replenishing" a damn thing. Boy, is libtard math ever FUCKED UP!

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alan@21:1/5 to Tommy on Tue Sep 26 16:40:49 2023
    On 2023-09-26 16:24, Tommy wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 4:18:36 PM UTC-7, Tommy wrote:
    On Monday, September 25, 2023 at 9:33:01 PM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-25 19:07, Tommy wrote:
    On Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 12:18:35 AM UTC-7, Alan
    wrote:
    On 2023-09-23 23:47, Tommy wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:32:43 AM UTC-7, Alan
    wrote:
    On 2023-09-20 01:52, -hh wrote:
    And your source (https://www.fieldartillery.org), is
    actually citing information from this article:

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure>






    And wouldn't you know it, that same site has a much more recent article, >>>>>>>>> Sunshine!

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-raises-future-monthly-155mm-artillery-shell-production-target-70k-85k>






    Now... ...would you like to go on losing?
    🙂
    Losing is the only thing Tommy knows how to do.
    But to be fair...

    ...he is SO good at it!

    😉

    LOL! You libtards are totally blinded by your stupidity.
    We have shipped 800,000 155mm rounds to Ukraine and the
    Army wants to find suppliers that can produce TWELVE
    THOUSAND A MONTH! That would take over FIVE YEARS just to
    replenish our inventory IF no more shells are sent to
    Ukraine.
    Wrong again, Sunshine! Current production is already 14,000
    per month.

    <https://www.businessinsider.in/international/news/the-us-has-given-ukraine-nearly-a-million-155-mm-artillery-shells-now-its-looking-for-us-companies-to-build-more-of-them-/articleshow/94186758.cms>




    From your own source (from a year ago):

    'The US Army is looking for companies that can build up to
    12,000 155 mm artillery shells a month.'

    That would be in addition to production already operating at
    a rate of 12-14 thousand a month.

    So that wouldn't be 5 years to replenish stockpiles, now
    would it?


    But, WAIT, you just don't start building these rounds
    overnight:
    <https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2023/03/us-artillery-production-ukraine-limited-lack-machine-tools-army-official-says/383615/>



    From your own source, Sunshine:

    "Production is set to rise to 20,000 shells per month by
    spring 2023, and 40,000 per month by 2025, Secretary of the
    Army Christine Wormuth said."

    You should really read the articles you post.

    Don't you GET IT? We have sent them not 800,000, but ONE AND A
    HALF MILLION rounds - whatever the production rate it will
    take YEARS to just replenish our stock, let alone keep up with
    their usage. They are firing 6 to 8 THOUSAND ROUNDS PER DAY. In
    other words THREE DAYS consumes ONE MONTHS worth of our
    production.
    https://apnews.com/article/155mm-howitzer-ukraine-ammunition-russia-7d966c85046b73db2b013f93c51af2a5



    They're raising the production rate to 85,000 per month.

    Replenishing 1.5 million rounds at that rate would take 17
    months.

    And do you know how many rounds the US has stockpiled?

    And you're just assuming that only the US is providing them 155mm
    shells, Sunshine.
    Says who, Fool?

    NO, we ARE NOT producing 80,000 155mm projectiles per month: https://taskandpurpose.com/news/army-increasing-155mm-artillery-shell-production/#:~:text=Speaking%20to%20reporters%20on%20Monday,million%20new%20shells%20per%20year.



    MAYBE next year we will be at that level, but even if we were that represents TEN DAYS of consumption by Ukraine w/o "replenishing" a damn thing. Boy, is libtard math ever FUCKED UP!

    No one said they're currently producing 80,000 per month, Sunshine.

    What was noted is that that's where they're moving production to.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alan@21:1/5 to Tommy on Tue Sep 26 16:58:48 2023
    On 2023-09-26 16:18, Tommy wrote:
    On Monday, September 25, 2023 at 9:33:01 PM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-25 19:07, Tommy wrote:
    On Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 12:18:35 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-23 23:47, Tommy wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:32:43 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote: >>>>>> On 2023-09-20 01:52, -hh wrote:
    And your source (https://www.fieldartillery.org), is actually
    citing information from this article:

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure>



    And wouldn't you know it, that same site has a much more recent article, >>>>>>>> Sunshine!

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-raises-future-monthly-155mm-artillery-shell-production-target-70k-85k>



    Now... ...would you like to go on losing?
    🙂
    Losing is the only thing Tommy knows how to do.
    But to be fair...

    ...he is SO good at it!

    😉

    LOL! You libtards are totally blinded by your stupidity. We have
    shipped 800,000 155mm rounds to Ukraine and the Army wants to find
    suppliers that can produce TWELVE THOUSAND A MONTH! That would take
    over FIVE YEARS just to replenish our inventory IF no more shells are >>>>> sent to Ukraine.
    Wrong again, Sunshine! Current production is already 14,000 per month. >>>>
    <https://www.businessinsider.in/international/news/the-us-has-given-ukraine-nearly-a-million-155-mm-artillery-shells-now-its-looking-for-us-companies-to-build-more-of-them-/articleshow/94186758.cms>

    From your own source (from a year ago):

    'The US Army is looking for companies that can build up to 12,000 155 mm >>>> artillery shells a month.'

    That would be in addition to production already operating at a rate of >>>> 12-14 thousand a month.

    So that wouldn't be 5 years to replenish stockpiles, now would it?


    But, WAIT, you just don't start building these rounds overnight:
    <https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2023/03/us-artillery-production-ukraine-limited-lack-machine-tools-army-official-says/383615/>
    From your own source, Sunshine:

    "Production is set to rise to 20,000 shells per month by spring 2023,
    and 40,000 per month by 2025, Secretary of the Army Christine Wormuth said."

    You should really read the articles you post.

    Don't you GET IT? We have sent them not 800,000, but ONE AND A HALF MILLION rounds - whatever the production rate it will take YEARS to just replenish our stock, let alone keep up with their usage. They are firing 6 to 8 THOUSAND ROUNDS PER DAY. In
    other words THREE DAYS consumes ONE MONTHS worth of our production.
    https://apnews.com/article/155mm-howitzer-ukraine-ammunition-russia-7d966c85046b73db2b013f93c51af2a5
    They're raising the production rate to 85,000 per month.

    Replenishing 1.5 million rounds at that rate would take 17 months.

    And do you know how many rounds the US has stockpiled?

    And you're just assuming that only the US is providing them 155mm
    shells, Sunshine.

    Says who, Fool?

    Says Australia & France:

    <https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-01-31/france-australia-to-supply-ukraine-with-artillery-shells/101909512>

    And:

    Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Crotia, Canada, Cypress, Czech Republic,
    Denmark, Finland, Germany, Greece, Italy, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Norway, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Spain, Sweden, and Turkey

    <https://eda.europa.eu/news-and-events/news/2023/03/20/eda-brings-together-18-countries-for-common-procurement-of-ammunition>

    <https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2023/07/us-paying-contractor-quietly-supply-bulgarian-155mm-shells-ukraine/388480/>

    <https://www.canada.ca/en/department-national-defence/campaigns/canadian-military-support-to-ukraine.html>

    How's that?

    :-)

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alan@21:1/5 to -hh on Tue Sep 26 17:12:39 2023
    On 2023-09-26 15:39, -hh wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 6:03:54 AM UTC+9, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-26 12:26, -hh wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 1:09:24 AM UTC+9, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-26 05:19, -hh wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 1:38:58 PM UTC+9, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-25 19:07, Tommy wrote:
    On Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 12:18:35 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote: >>>>>>>> On 2023-09-23 23:47, Tommy wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:32:43 AM UTC-7, Alan >>>>>>>>> wrote:
    On 2023-09-20 01:52, -hh wrote:
    And your source (https://www.fieldartillery.org), is
    actually citing information from this article:

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure>





    And wouldn't you know it, that same site has a much more recent article, >>>>>>>>>>>> Sunshine!

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-raises-future-monthly-155mm-artillery-shell-production-target-70k-85k>





    Now... ...would you like to go on losing?
    🙂
    Losing is the only thing Tommy knows how to do.
    But to be fair...

    ...he is SO good at it!

    😉

    LOL! You libtards are totally blinded by your stupidity. We have >>>>>>>>> shipped 800,000 155mm rounds to Ukraine and the Army wants to >>>>>>>>> find suppliers that can produce TWELVE THOUSAND A MONTH! That >>>>>>>>> would take over FIVE YEARS just to replenish our inventory IF no >>>>>>>>> more shells are sent to Ukraine.
    Wrong again, Sunshine! Current production is already 14,000 per >>>>>>>> month.

    <https://www.businessinsider.in/international/news/the-us-has-given-ukraine-nearly-a-million-155-mm-artillery-shells-now-its-looking-for-us-companies-to-build-more-of-them-/articleshow/94186758.cms>



    From your own source (from a year ago):

    'The US Army is looking for companies that can build up to 12,000 >>>>>>>> 155 mm artillery shells a month.'

    That would be in addition to production already operating at a rate >>>>>>>> of 12-14 thousand a month.

    So that wouldn't be 5 years to replenish stockpiles, now would it? >>>>>>>>>

    But, WAIT, you just don't start building these rounds overnight: >>>>>>>>> <https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2023/03/us-artillery-production-ukraine-limited-lack-machine-tools-army-official-says/383615/>


    From your own source, Sunshine:

    "Production is set to rise to 20,000 shells per month by spring >>>>>>>> 2023, and 40,000 per month by 2025, Secretary of the Army Christine >>>>>>>> Wormuth said."

    You should really read the articles you post.

    Don't you GET IT? We have sent them not 800,000, but ONE AND A HALF >>>>>>> MILLION rounds - whatever the production rate it will take YEARS to >>>>>>> just replenish our stock, let alone keep up with their usage. They >>>>>>> are firing 6 to 8 THOUSAND ROUNDS PER DAY. In other words THREE DAYS >>>>>>> consumes ONE MONTHS worth of our production.
    https://apnews.com/article/155mm-howitzer-ukraine-ammunition-russia-7d966c85046b73db2b013f93c51af2a5

    Case in point, pookums:

    "BRUSSELS, March 20 (Reuters) - European Union countries on Monday >>>>>> agreed a 2 billion euro plan to send 1 million artillery rounds to >>>>>> Ukraine over the next year by digging into their own stockpiles and >>>>>> teaming up to buy more shells.

    "We have reached a political consensus to send to Ukraine one million >>>>>> rounds of 155 mm calibre ammunition," Estonian Defence Minister Hanno >>>>>> Pevkur told reporters on the sidelines of a meeting of EU foreign and >>>>>> defence ministers in Brussels."

    <https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/eu-agrees-plan-send-million-artillery-shells-ukraine-2023-03-20/>

    A similar thing happened with Afghanistan & Iraq: stockpiles exist so that they
    can be drawn down as production ramps up. For example, I forget just how low
    LCAAP production got during the “peace dividend” 1990s, but ballpark it at
    probably 250M RMDs/yr .. and after 9/11, it was easy to triple that, but it then
    took some time to get up to the full mobilization requirement, which was well
    north of 1B/yr. They were supposed to be able to do their design peak without
    any facilitization upgrade investments, but that turned out to not be the case,
    in no small part because one subsystem was running on an analog computer >>>>> which had no new spare parts.

    So what would you estimate the US stockpile of—say—155mm shells to be, H?

    I know some of the common criteria for determining stockpile size; basically
    figure the “hot war” daily firing rate per tube, times tubes, times production
    ramp-up time (eg, 30-60-90 days, etc). Then add safety factors for logistical
    losses, different types, etc.

    For example, just the obsolete DPICM stockpile to basically defend the Fulda Gap
    in Germany (& probably a similar channelizaation in SK) is ~5 million rounds:

    “Both ground and air forces stockpile large numbers of outdated cluster munitions
    that have caused significant harm to civilians in recent conflicts. The Army and
    Marine Corps have 155mm artillery projectiles (M483/M483A1 and M864) containing
    about 402 million Dual Purpose Improved Conventional Munition (DPICM) submunitions.”

    <https://www.hrw.org/legacy/backgrounder/arms/cluster0705/2.htm#:~:text=The%20Army%20and%20Marine%20Corps,Conventional%20Munition%20(DPICM)%20submunitions.>

    And that round type hasn’t even been manufactured for IIRC roughly 2 decades.

    The average American has no concept of what manufacturing volumes can be like.
    Ditto for your average Engineer too who hasn’t done such production support.

    Case in point, one of the US’s small caliber production machines can crank out
    a million rounds .. per shift. And not only is there a row of these at Lake City,
    but they’ve also been upgraded to higher rates since I worked on them.
    So that's somewhere between 4.5-5.6 million shells (based on the two
    configurations I found only with 88 and 72 submunitions respectively).

    At 8,000 rounds a day, that's 562-700 days before the stockpile would be
    exhausted.

    And that’s just the DPICM stocks.

    Sounds like plenty of time to ramp up production to me.

    Plus there’s the dynamic of the current production rate extending out
    that “runs out”: at a simple ~24K/mo, that’s +3 firing days per month, so using ~18 months for 562-700, that’s 3*18= +54 more days before depletion.

    Sad that it's necessary, but appeasing a tyrant has never worked.

    Precisely why to not let tyrant Tommy get away with any of his rants.

    -hh

    Interesting!

    Sunshine has replied multiple times to me in this thread...

    ...but never a single reply to you.

    Maybe he understands how badly that would go for him!

    ;-)

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From -hh@21:1/5 to Alan on Tue Sep 26 18:36:10 2023
    On Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 9:12:43 AM UTC+9, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-26 15:39, -hh wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 6:03:54 AM UTC+9, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-26 12:26, -hh wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 1:09:24 AM UTC+9, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-26 05:19, -hh wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 1:38:58 PM UTC+9, Alan wrote: >>>>>> On 2023-09-25 19:07, Tommy wrote:
    On Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 12:18:35 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote: >>>>>>>> On 2023-09-23 23:47, Tommy wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:32:43 AM UTC-7, Alan >>>>>>>>> wrote:
    On 2023-09-20 01:52, -hh wrote:
    And your source (https://www.fieldartillery.org), is >>>>>>>>>>>> actually citing information from this article:

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure>





    And wouldn't you know it, that same site has a much more recent article,
    Sunshine!

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-raises-future-monthly-155mm-artillery-shell-production-target-70k-85k>





    Now... ...would you like to go on losing?
    🙂
    Losing is the only thing Tommy knows how to do.
    But to be fair...

    ...he is SO good at it!

    😉

    LOL! You libtards are totally blinded by your stupidity. We have >>>>>>>>> shipped 800,000 155mm rounds to Ukraine and the Army wants to >>>>>>>>> find suppliers that can produce TWELVE THOUSAND A MONTH! That >>>>>>>>> would take over FIVE YEARS just to replenish our inventory IF no >>>>>>>>> more shells are sent to Ukraine.
    Wrong again, Sunshine! Current production is already 14,000 per >>>>>>>> month.

    <https://www.businessinsider.in/international/news/the-us-has-given-ukraine-nearly-a-million-155-mm-artillery-shells-now-its-looking-for-us-companies-to-build-more-of-them-/articleshow/94186758.cms>



    From your own source (from a year ago):

    'The US Army is looking for companies that can build up to 12,000 >>>>>>>> 155 mm artillery shells a month.'

    That would be in addition to production already operating at a rate >>>>>>>> of 12-14 thousand a month.

    So that wouldn't be 5 years to replenish stockpiles, now would it? >>>>>>>>>

    But, WAIT, you just don't start building these rounds overnight: >>>>>>>>> <https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2023/03/us-artillery-production-ukraine-limited-lack-machine-tools-army-official-says/383615/>


    From your own source, Sunshine:

    "Production is set to rise to 20,000 shells per month by spring >>>>>>>> 2023, and 40,000 per month by 2025, Secretary of the Army Christine >>>>>>>> Wormuth said."

    You should really read the articles you post.

    Don't you GET IT? We have sent them not 800,000, but ONE AND A HALF >>>>>>> MILLION rounds - whatever the production rate it will take YEARS to >>>>>>> just replenish our stock, let alone keep up with their usage. They >>>>>>> are firing 6 to 8 THOUSAND ROUNDS PER DAY. In other words THREE DAYS >>>>>>> consumes ONE MONTHS worth of our production.
    https://apnews.com/article/155mm-howitzer-ukraine-ammunition-russia-7d966c85046b73db2b013f93c51af2a5

    Case in point, pookums:

    "BRUSSELS, March 20 (Reuters) - European Union countries on Monday >>>>>> agreed a 2 billion euro plan to send 1 million artillery rounds to >>>>>> Ukraine over the next year by digging into their own stockpiles and >>>>>> teaming up to buy more shells.

    "We have reached a political consensus to send to Ukraine one million >>>>>> rounds of 155 mm calibre ammunition," Estonian Defence Minister Hanno >>>>>> Pevkur told reporters on the sidelines of a meeting of EU foreign and >>>>>> defence ministers in Brussels."

    <https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/eu-agrees-plan-send-million-artillery-shells-ukraine-2023-03-20/>

    A similar thing happened with Afghanistan & Iraq: stockpiles exist so that they
    can be drawn down as production ramps up. For example, I forget just how low
    LCAAP production got during the “peace dividend” 1990s, but ballpark it at
    probably 250M RMDs/yr .. and after 9/11, it was easy to triple that, but it then
    took some time to get up to the full mobilization requirement, which was well
    north of 1B/yr. They were supposed to be able to do their design peak without
    any facilitization upgrade investments, but that turned out to not be the case,
    in no small part because one subsystem was running on an analog computer
    which had no new spare parts.

    So what would you estimate the US stockpile of—say—155mm shells to be, H?

    I know some of the common criteria for determining stockpile size; basically
    figure the “hot war” daily firing rate per tube, times tubes, times production
    ramp-up time (eg, 30-60-90 days, etc). Then add safety factors for logistical
    losses, different types, etc.

    For example, just the obsolete DPICM stockpile to basically defend the Fulda Gap
    in Germany (& probably a similar channelizaation in SK) is ~5 million rounds:

    “Both ground and air forces stockpile large numbers of outdated cluster munitions
    that have caused significant harm to civilians in recent conflicts. The Army and
    Marine Corps have 155mm artillery projectiles (M483/M483A1 and M864) containing
    about 402 million Dual Purpose Improved Conventional Munition (DPICM) submunitions.”

    <https://www.hrw.org/legacy/backgrounder/arms/cluster0705/2.htm#:~:text=The%20Army%20and%20Marine%20Corps,Conventional%20Munition%20(DPICM)%20submunitions.>

    And that round type hasn’t even been manufactured for IIRC roughly 2 decades.

    The average American has no concept of what manufacturing volumes can be like.
    Ditto for your average Engineer too who hasn’t done such production support.

    Case in point, one of the US’s small caliber production machines can crank out
    a million rounds .. per shift. And not only is there a row of these at Lake City,
    but they’ve also been upgraded to higher rates since I worked on them. >> So that's somewhere between 4.5-5.6 million shells (based on the two
    configurations I found only with 88 and 72 submunitions respectively).

    At 8,000 rounds a day, that's 562-700 days before the stockpile would be >> exhausted.

    And that’s just the DPICM stocks.

    Sounds like plenty of time to ramp up production to me.

    Plus there’s the dynamic of the current production rate extending out that “runs out”: at a simple ~24K/mo, that’s +3 firing days per month,
    so using ~18 months for 562-700, that’s 3*18= +54 more days before depletion.

    Sad that it's necessary, but appeasing a tyrant has never worked.

    Precisely why to not let tyrant Tommy get away with any of his rants.

    -hh

    Interesting!

    Sunshine has replied multiple times to me in this thread...

    ...but never a single reply to you.

    Maybe he understands how badly that would go for him!

    ;-)

    Or maybe he finally found one of my .mil email addresses…?

    -hh

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Tommy@21:1/5 to Alan on Wed Sep 27 13:34:32 2023
    On Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 5:12:43 PM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-26 15:39, -hh wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 6:03:54 AM UTC+9, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-26 12:26, -hh wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 1:09:24 AM UTC+9, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-26 05:19, -hh wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 1:38:58 PM UTC+9, Alan wrote: >>>>>> On 2023-09-25 19:07, Tommy wrote:
    On Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 12:18:35 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote: >>>>>>>> On 2023-09-23 23:47, Tommy wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:32:43 AM UTC-7, Alan >>>>>>>>> wrote:
    On 2023-09-20 01:52, -hh wrote:
    And your source (https://www.fieldartillery.org), is >>>>>>>>>>>> actually citing information from this article:

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure>





    And wouldn't you know it, that same site has a much more recent article,
    Sunshine!

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-raises-future-monthly-155mm-artillery-shell-production-target-70k-85k>





    Now... ...would you like to go on losing?
    🙂
    Losing is the only thing Tommy knows how to do.
    But to be fair...

    ...he is SO good at it!

    😉

    LOL! You libtards are totally blinded by your stupidity. We have >>>>>>>>> shipped 800,000 155mm rounds to Ukraine and the Army wants to >>>>>>>>> find suppliers that can produce TWELVE THOUSAND A MONTH! That >>>>>>>>> would take over FIVE YEARS just to replenish our inventory IF no >>>>>>>>> more shells are sent to Ukraine.
    Wrong again, Sunshine! Current production is already 14,000 per >>>>>>>> month.

    <https://www.businessinsider.in/international/news/the-us-has-given-ukraine-nearly-a-million-155-mm-artillery-shells-now-its-looking-for-us-companies-to-build-more-of-them-/articleshow/94186758.cms>



    From your own source (from a year ago):

    'The US Army is looking for companies that can build up to 12,000 >>>>>>>> 155 mm artillery shells a month.'

    That would be in addition to production already operating at a rate >>>>>>>> of 12-14 thousand a month.

    So that wouldn't be 5 years to replenish stockpiles, now would it? >>>>>>>>>

    But, WAIT, you just don't start building these rounds overnight: >>>>>>>>> <https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2023/03/us-artillery-production-ukraine-limited-lack-machine-tools-army-official-says/383615/>


    From your own source, Sunshine:

    "Production is set to rise to 20,000 shells per month by spring >>>>>>>> 2023, and 40,000 per month by 2025, Secretary of the Army Christine >>>>>>>> Wormuth said."

    You should really read the articles you post.

    Don't you GET IT? We have sent them not 800,000, but ONE AND A HALF >>>>>>> MILLION rounds - whatever the production rate it will take YEARS to >>>>>>> just replenish our stock, let alone keep up with their usage. They >>>>>>> are firing 6 to 8 THOUSAND ROUNDS PER DAY. In other words THREE DAYS >>>>>>> consumes ONE MONTHS worth of our production.
    https://apnews.com/article/155mm-howitzer-ukraine-ammunition-russia-7d966c85046b73db2b013f93c51af2a5

    Case in point, pookums:

    "BRUSSELS, March 20 (Reuters) - European Union countries on Monday >>>>>> agreed a 2 billion euro plan to send 1 million artillery rounds to >>>>>> Ukraine over the next year by digging into their own stockpiles and >>>>>> teaming up to buy more shells.

    "We have reached a political consensus to send to Ukraine one million >>>>>> rounds of 155 mm calibre ammunition," Estonian Defence Minister Hanno >>>>>> Pevkur told reporters on the sidelines of a meeting of EU foreign and >>>>>> defence ministers in Brussels."

    <https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/eu-agrees-plan-send-million-artillery-shells-ukraine-2023-03-20/>

    A similar thing happened with Afghanistan & Iraq: stockpiles exist so that they
    can be drawn down as production ramps up. For example, I forget just how low
    LCAAP production got during the “peace dividend” 1990s, but ballpark it at
    probably 250M RMDs/yr .. and after 9/11, it was easy to triple that, but it then
    took some time to get up to the full mobilization requirement, which was well
    north of 1B/yr. They were supposed to be able to do their design peak without
    any facilitization upgrade investments, but that turned out to not be the case,
    in no small part because one subsystem was running on an analog computer
    which had no new spare parts.

    So what would you estimate the US stockpile of—say—155mm shells to be, H?

    I know some of the common criteria for determining stockpile size; basically
    figure the “hot war” daily firing rate per tube, times tubes, times production
    ramp-up time (eg, 30-60-90 days, etc). Then add safety factors for logistical
    losses, different types, etc.

    For example, just the obsolete DPICM stockpile to basically defend the Fulda Gap
    in Germany (& probably a similar channelizaation in SK) is ~5 million rounds:

    “Both ground and air forces stockpile large numbers of outdated cluster munitions
    that have caused significant harm to civilians in recent conflicts. The Army and
    Marine Corps have 155mm artillery projectiles (M483/M483A1 and M864) containing
    about 402 million Dual Purpose Improved Conventional Munition (DPICM) submunitions.”

    <https://www.hrw.org/legacy/backgrounder/arms/cluster0705/2.htm#:~:text=The%20Army%20and%20Marine%20Corps,Conventional%20Munition%20(DPICM)%20submunitions.>

    And that round type hasn’t even been manufactured for IIRC roughly 2 decades.

    The average American has no concept of what manufacturing volumes can be like.
    Ditto for your average Engineer too who hasn’t done such production support.

    Case in point, one of the US’s small caliber production machines can crank out
    a million rounds .. per shift. And not only is there a row of these at Lake City,
    but they’ve also been upgraded to higher rates since I worked on them. >> So that's somewhere between 4.5-5.6 million shells (based on the two
    configurations I found only with 88 and 72 submunitions respectively).

    At 8,000 rounds a day, that's 562-700 days before the stockpile would be >> exhausted.

    And that’s just the DPICM stocks.

    Sounds like plenty of time to ramp up production to me.

    Plus there’s the dynamic of the current production rate extending out that “runs out”: at a simple ~24K/mo, that’s +3 firing days per month,
    so using ~18 months for 562-700, that’s 3*18= +54 more days before depletion.

    Sad that it's necessary, but appeasing a tyrant has never worked.

    Precisely why to not let tyrant Tommy get away with any of his rants.

    -hh
    Interesting!

    Sunshine has replied multiple times to me in this thread...

    ...but never a single reply to you.

    Maybe he understands how badly that would go for him!

    ;-)

    Interesting, the Fool CAN'T deal with the FACTS!

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Tommy@21:1/5 to -hh on Wed Sep 27 13:35:13 2023
    On Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 6:36:11 PM UTC-7, -hh wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 9:12:43 AM UTC+9, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-26 15:39, -hh wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 6:03:54 AM UTC+9, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-26 12:26, -hh wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 1:09:24 AM UTC+9, Alan wrote: >>>> On 2023-09-26 05:19, -hh wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 1:38:58 PM UTC+9, Alan wrote: >>>>>> On 2023-09-25 19:07, Tommy wrote:
    On Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 12:18:35 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote: >>>>>>>> On 2023-09-23 23:47, Tommy wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:32:43 AM UTC-7, Alan >>>>>>>>> wrote:
    On 2023-09-20 01:52, -hh wrote:
    And your source (https://www.fieldartillery.org), is >>>>>>>>>>>> actually citing information from this article:

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure>





    And wouldn't you know it, that same site has a much more recent article,
    Sunshine!

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-raises-future-monthly-155mm-artillery-shell-production-target-70k-85k>





    Now... ...would you like to go on losing?
    🙂
    Losing is the only thing Tommy knows how to do.
    But to be fair...

    ...he is SO good at it!

    😉

    LOL! You libtards are totally blinded by your stupidity. We have >>>>>>>>> shipped 800,000 155mm rounds to Ukraine and the Army wants to >>>>>>>>> find suppliers that can produce TWELVE THOUSAND A MONTH! That >>>>>>>>> would take over FIVE YEARS just to replenish our inventory IF no >>>>>>>>> more shells are sent to Ukraine.
    Wrong again, Sunshine! Current production is already 14,000 per >>>>>>>> month.

    <https://www.businessinsider.in/international/news/the-us-has-given-ukraine-nearly-a-million-155-mm-artillery-shells-now-its-looking-for-us-companies-to-build-more-of-them-/articleshow/94186758.cms>



    From your own source (from a year ago):

    'The US Army is looking for companies that can build up to 12,000 >>>>>>>> 155 mm artillery shells a month.'

    That would be in addition to production already operating at a rate
    of 12-14 thousand a month.

    So that wouldn't be 5 years to replenish stockpiles, now would it?


    But, WAIT, you just don't start building these rounds overnight: >>>>>>>>> <https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2023/03/us-artillery-production-ukraine-limited-lack-machine-tools-army-official-says/383615/>


    From your own source, Sunshine:

    "Production is set to rise to 20,000 shells per month by spring >>>>>>>> 2023, and 40,000 per month by 2025, Secretary of the Army Christine
    Wormuth said."

    You should really read the articles you post.

    Don't you GET IT? We have sent them not 800,000, but ONE AND A HALF
    MILLION rounds - whatever the production rate it will take YEARS to
    just replenish our stock, let alone keep up with their usage. They >>>>>>> are firing 6 to 8 THOUSAND ROUNDS PER DAY. In other words THREE DAYS
    consumes ONE MONTHS worth of our production.
    https://apnews.com/article/155mm-howitzer-ukraine-ammunition-russia-7d966c85046b73db2b013f93c51af2a5

    Case in point, pookums:

    "BRUSSELS, March 20 (Reuters) - European Union countries on Monday >>>>>> agreed a 2 billion euro plan to send 1 million artillery rounds to >>>>>> Ukraine over the next year by digging into their own stockpiles and >>>>>> teaming up to buy more shells.

    "We have reached a political consensus to send to Ukraine one million
    rounds of 155 mm calibre ammunition," Estonian Defence Minister Hanno
    Pevkur told reporters on the sidelines of a meeting of EU foreign and
    defence ministers in Brussels."

    <https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/eu-agrees-plan-send-million-artillery-shells-ukraine-2023-03-20/>

    A similar thing happened with Afghanistan & Iraq: stockpiles exist so that they
    can be drawn down as production ramps up. For example, I forget just how low
    LCAAP production got during the “peace dividend” 1990s, but ballpark it at
    probably 250M RMDs/yr .. and after 9/11, it was easy to triple that, but it then
    took some time to get up to the full mobilization requirement, which was well
    north of 1B/yr. They were supposed to be able to do their design peak without
    any facilitization upgrade investments, but that turned out to not be the case,
    in no small part because one subsystem was running on an analog computer
    which had no new spare parts.

    So what would you estimate the US stockpile of—say—155mm shells to be, H?

    I know some of the common criteria for determining stockpile size; basically
    figure the “hot war” daily firing rate per tube, times tubes, times production
    ramp-up time (eg, 30-60-90 days, etc). Then add safety factors for logistical
    losses, different types, etc.

    For example, just the obsolete DPICM stockpile to basically defend the Fulda Gap
    in Germany (& probably a similar channelizaation in SK) is ~5 million rounds:

    “Both ground and air forces stockpile large numbers of outdated cluster munitions
    that have caused significant harm to civilians in recent conflicts. The Army and
    Marine Corps have 155mm artillery projectiles (M483/M483A1 and M864) containing
    about 402 million Dual Purpose Improved Conventional Munition (DPICM) submunitions.”

    <https://www.hrw.org/legacy/backgrounder/arms/cluster0705/2.htm#:~:text=The%20Army%20and%20Marine%20Corps,Conventional%20Munition%20(DPICM)%20submunitions.>

    And that round type hasn’t even been manufactured for IIRC roughly 2 decades.

    The average American has no concept of what manufacturing volumes can be like.
    Ditto for your average Engineer too who hasn’t done such production support.

    Case in point, one of the US’s small caliber production machines can crank out
    a million rounds .. per shift. And not only is there a row of these at Lake City,
    but they’ve also been upgraded to higher rates since I worked on them.
    So that's somewhere between 4.5-5.6 million shells (based on the two
    configurations I found only with 88 and 72 submunitions respectively). >>
    At 8,000 rounds a day, that's 562-700 days before the stockpile would be
    exhausted.

    And that’s just the DPICM stocks.

    Sounds like plenty of time to ramp up production to me.

    Plus there’s the dynamic of the current production rate extending out that “runs out”: at a simple ~24K/mo, that’s +3 firing days per month,
    so using ~18 months for 562-700, that’s 3*18= +54 more days before depletion.

    Sad that it's necessary, but appeasing a tyrant has never worked.

    Precisely why to not let tyrant Tommy get away with any of his rants.

    -hh

    Interesting!

    Sunshine has replied multiple times to me in this thread...

    ...but never a single reply to you.

    Maybe he understands how badly that would go for him!

    ;-)
    Or maybe he finally found one of my .mil email addresses…?

    -hh

    Believe me, there IS a reason why I call you the "Lyin' Asshole"!

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From -hh@21:1/5 to Tommy on Wed Sep 27 23:43:16 2023
    On Thursday, September 28, 2023 at 5:35:15 AM UTC+9, Tommy wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 6:36:11 PM UTC-7, -hh wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 9:12:43 AM UTC+9, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-26 15:39, -hh wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 6:03:54 AM UTC+9, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-26 12:26, -hh wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 1:09:24 AM UTC+9, Alan wrote: >>>> On 2023-09-26 05:19, -hh wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 1:38:58 PM UTC+9, Alan wrote: >>>>>> On 2023-09-25 19:07, Tommy wrote:
    On Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 12:18:35 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-23 23:47, Tommy wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:32:43 AM UTC-7, Alan >>>>>>>>> wrote:
    On 2023-09-20 01:52, -hh wrote:
    And your source (https://www.fieldartillery.org), is >>>>>>>>>>>> actually citing information from this article:

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure>





    And wouldn't you know it, that same site has a much more recent article,
    Sunshine!

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-raises-future-monthly-155mm-artillery-shell-production-target-70k-85k>





    Now... ...would you like to go on losing?
    🙂
    Losing is the only thing Tommy knows how to do.
    But to be fair...

    ...he is SO good at it!

    😉

    LOL! You libtards are totally blinded by your stupidity. We have
    shipped 800,000 155mm rounds to Ukraine and the Army wants to >>>>>>>>> find suppliers that can produce TWELVE THOUSAND A MONTH! That >>>>>>>>> would take over FIVE YEARS just to replenish our inventory IF no
    more shells are sent to Ukraine.
    Wrong again, Sunshine! Current production is already 14,000 per >>>>>>>> month.

    <https://www.businessinsider.in/international/news/the-us-has-given-ukraine-nearly-a-million-155-mm-artillery-shells-now-its-looking-for-us-companies-to-build-more-of-them-/articleshow/94186758.cms>



    From your own source (from a year ago):

    'The US Army is looking for companies that can build up to 12,000
    155 mm artillery shells a month.'

    That would be in addition to production already operating at a rate
    of 12-14 thousand a month.

    So that wouldn't be 5 years to replenish stockpiles, now would it?


    But, WAIT, you just don't start building these rounds overnight:
    <https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2023/03/us-artillery-production-ukraine-limited-lack-machine-tools-army-official-says/383615/>


    From your own source, Sunshine:

    "Production is set to rise to 20,000 shells per month by spring >>>>>>>> 2023, and 40,000 per month by 2025, Secretary of the Army Christine
    Wormuth said."

    You should really read the articles you post.

    Don't you GET IT? We have sent them not 800,000, but ONE AND A HALF
    MILLION rounds - whatever the production rate it will take YEARS to
    just replenish our stock, let alone keep up with their usage. They
    are firing 6 to 8 THOUSAND ROUNDS PER DAY. In other words THREE DAYS
    consumes ONE MONTHS worth of our production.
    https://apnews.com/article/155mm-howitzer-ukraine-ammunition-russia-7d966c85046b73db2b013f93c51af2a5

    Case in point, pookums:

    "BRUSSELS, March 20 (Reuters) - European Union countries on Monday
    agreed a 2 billion euro plan to send 1 million artillery rounds to
    Ukraine over the next year by digging into their own stockpiles and
    teaming up to buy more shells.

    "We have reached a political consensus to send to Ukraine one million
    rounds of 155 mm calibre ammunition," Estonian Defence Minister Hanno
    Pevkur told reporters on the sidelines of a meeting of EU foreign and
    defence ministers in Brussels."

    <https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/eu-agrees-plan-send-million-artillery-shells-ukraine-2023-03-20/>

    A similar thing happened with Afghanistan & Iraq: stockpiles exist so that they
    can be drawn down as production ramps up. For example, I forget just how low
    LCAAP production got during the “peace dividend” 1990s, but ballpark it at
    probably 250M RMDs/yr .. and after 9/11, it was easy to triple that, but it then
    took some time to get up to the full mobilization requirement, which was well
    north of 1B/yr. They were supposed to be able to do their design peak without
    any facilitization upgrade investments, but that turned out to not be the case,
    in no small part because one subsystem was running on an analog computer
    which had no new spare parts.

    So what would you estimate the US stockpile of—say—155mm shells to be, H?

    I know some of the common criteria for determining stockpile size; basically
    figure the “hot war” daily firing rate per tube, times tubes, times production
    ramp-up time (eg, 30-60-90 days, etc). Then add safety factors for logistical
    losses, different types, etc.

    For example, just the obsolete DPICM stockpile to basically defend the Fulda Gap
    in Germany (& probably a similar channelizaation in SK) is ~5 million rounds:

    “Both ground and air forces stockpile large numbers of outdated cluster munitions
    that have caused significant harm to civilians in recent conflicts. The Army and
    Marine Corps have 155mm artillery projectiles (M483/M483A1 and M864) containing
    about 402 million Dual Purpose Improved Conventional Munition (DPICM) submunitions.”

    <https://www.hrw.org/legacy/backgrounder/arms/cluster0705/2.htm#:~:text=The%20Army%20and%20Marine%20Corps,Conventional%20Munition%20(DPICM)%20submunitions.>

    And that round type hasn’t even been manufactured for IIRC roughly 2 decades.

    The average American has no concept of what manufacturing volumes can be like.
    Ditto for your average Engineer too who hasn’t done such production support.

    Case in point, one of the US’s small caliber production machines can crank out
    a million rounds .. per shift. And not only is there a row of these at Lake City,
    but they’ve also been upgraded to higher rates since I worked on them.
    So that's somewhere between 4.5-5.6 million shells (based on the two >> configurations I found only with 88 and 72 submunitions respectively).

    At 8,000 rounds a day, that's 562-700 days before the stockpile would be
    exhausted.

    And that’s just the DPICM stocks.

    Sounds like plenty of time to ramp up production to me.

    Plus there’s the dynamic of the current production rate extending out
    that “runs out”: at a simple ~24K/mo, that’s +3 firing days per month,
    so using ~18 months for 562-700, that’s 3*18= +54 more days before depletion.

    Sad that it's necessary, but appeasing a tyrant has never worked.

    Precisely why to not let tyrant Tommy get away with any of his rants.

    -hh

    Interesting!

    Sunshine has replied multiple times to me in this thread...

    ...but never a single reply to you.

    Maybe he understands how badly that would go for him!

    ;-)
    Or maybe he finally found one of my .mil email addresses…?

    -hh

    Believe me, there IS a reason why I call you the "Lyin' Asshole"!

    Oh, of course there is: it’s because you can’t dispute the facts, so you resort
    to Ad Hominem attacks on the person instead. Shows that you know that
    you lost the debate *and* that you’re a pathetically sore loser too.

    TL;DR: “Cry Harder!”

    -hh

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Tommy@21:1/5 to -hh on Thu Sep 28 21:00:14 2023
    On Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 11:43:17 PM UTC-7, -hh wrote:
    On Thursday, September 28, 2023 at 5:35:15 AM UTC+9, Tommy wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 6:36:11 PM UTC-7, -hh wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 9:12:43 AM UTC+9, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-26 15:39, -hh wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 6:03:54 AM UTC+9, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-26 12:26, -hh wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 1:09:24 AM UTC+9, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-26 05:19, -hh wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 1:38:58 PM UTC+9, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-25 19:07, Tommy wrote:
    On Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 12:18:35 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-23 23:47, Tommy wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:32:43 AM UTC-7, Alan >>>>>>>>> wrote:
    On 2023-09-20 01:52, -hh wrote:
    And your source (https://www.fieldartillery.org), is >>>>>>>>>>>> actually citing information from this article: >>>>>>>>>>>>
    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure>





    And wouldn't you know it, that same site has a much more recent article,
    Sunshine!

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-raises-future-monthly-155mm-artillery-shell-production-target-70k-85k>





    Now... ...would you like to go on losing?
    🙂
    Losing is the only thing Tommy knows how to do.
    But to be fair...

    ...he is SO good at it!

    😉

    LOL! You libtards are totally blinded by your stupidity. We have
    shipped 800,000 155mm rounds to Ukraine and the Army wants to
    find suppliers that can produce TWELVE THOUSAND A MONTH! That
    would take over FIVE YEARS just to replenish our inventory IF no
    more shells are sent to Ukraine.
    Wrong again, Sunshine! Current production is already 14,000 per
    month.

    <https://www.businessinsider.in/international/news/the-us-has-given-ukraine-nearly-a-million-155-mm-artillery-shells-now-its-looking-for-us-companies-to-build-more-of-them-/articleshow/94186758.cms>



    From your own source (from a year ago):

    'The US Army is looking for companies that can build up to 12,000
    155 mm artillery shells a month.'

    That would be in addition to production already operating at a rate
    of 12-14 thousand a month.

    So that wouldn't be 5 years to replenish stockpiles, now would it?


    But, WAIT, you just don't start building these rounds overnight:
    <https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2023/03/us-artillery-production-ukraine-limited-lack-machine-tools-army-official-says/383615/>


    From your own source, Sunshine:

    "Production is set to rise to 20,000 shells per month by spring
    2023, and 40,000 per month by 2025, Secretary of the Army Christine
    Wormuth said."

    You should really read the articles you post.

    Don't you GET IT? We have sent them not 800,000, but ONE AND A HALF
    MILLION rounds - whatever the production rate it will take YEARS to
    just replenish our stock, let alone keep up with their usage. They
    are firing 6 to 8 THOUSAND ROUNDS PER DAY. In other words THREE DAYS
    consumes ONE MONTHS worth of our production.
    https://apnews.com/article/155mm-howitzer-ukraine-ammunition-russia-7d966c85046b73db2b013f93c51af2a5

    Case in point, pookums:

    "BRUSSELS, March 20 (Reuters) - European Union countries on Monday
    agreed a 2 billion euro plan to send 1 million artillery rounds to
    Ukraine over the next year by digging into their own stockpiles and
    teaming up to buy more shells.

    "We have reached a political consensus to send to Ukraine one million
    rounds of 155 mm calibre ammunition," Estonian Defence Minister Hanno
    Pevkur told reporters on the sidelines of a meeting of EU foreign and
    defence ministers in Brussels."

    <https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/eu-agrees-plan-send-million-artillery-shells-ukraine-2023-03-20/>

    A similar thing happened with Afghanistan & Iraq: stockpiles exist so that they
    can be drawn down as production ramps up. For example, I forget just how low
    LCAAP production got during the “peace dividend” 1990s, but ballpark it at
    probably 250M RMDs/yr .. and after 9/11, it was easy to triple that, but it then
    took some time to get up to the full mobilization requirement, which was well
    north of 1B/yr. They were supposed to be able to do their design peak without
    any facilitization upgrade investments, but that turned out to not be the case,
    in no small part because one subsystem was running on an analog computer
    which had no new spare parts.

    So what would you estimate the US stockpile of—say—155mm shells to be, H?

    I know some of the common criteria for determining stockpile size; basically
    figure the “hot war” daily firing rate per tube, times tubes, times production
    ramp-up time (eg, 30-60-90 days, etc). Then add safety factors for logistical
    losses, different types, etc.

    For example, just the obsolete DPICM stockpile to basically defend the Fulda Gap
    in Germany (& probably a similar channelizaation in SK) is ~5 million rounds:

    “Both ground and air forces stockpile large numbers of outdated cluster munitions
    that have caused significant harm to civilians in recent conflicts. The Army and
    Marine Corps have 155mm artillery projectiles (M483/M483A1 and M864) containing
    about 402 million Dual Purpose Improved Conventional Munition (DPICM) submunitions.”

    <https://www.hrw.org/legacy/backgrounder/arms/cluster0705/2.htm#:~:text=The%20Army%20and%20Marine%20Corps,Conventional%20Munition%20(DPICM)%20submunitions.>

    And that round type hasn’t even been manufactured for IIRC roughly 2 decades.

    The average American has no concept of what manufacturing volumes can be like.
    Ditto for your average Engineer too who hasn’t done such production support.

    Case in point, one of the US’s small caliber production machines can crank out
    a million rounds .. per shift. And not only is there a row of these at Lake City,
    but they’ve also been upgraded to higher rates since I worked on them.
    So that's somewhere between 4.5-5.6 million shells (based on the two
    configurations I found only with 88 and 72 submunitions respectively).

    At 8,000 rounds a day, that's 562-700 days before the stockpile would be
    exhausted.

    And that’s just the DPICM stocks.

    Sounds like plenty of time to ramp up production to me.

    Plus there’s the dynamic of the current production rate extending out
    that “runs out”: at a simple ~24K/mo, that’s +3 firing days per month,
    so using ~18 months for 562-700, that’s 3*18= +54 more days before depletion.

    Sad that it's necessary, but appeasing a tyrant has never worked.

    Precisely why to not let tyrant Tommy get away with any of his rants.

    -hh

    Interesting!

    Sunshine has replied multiple times to me in this thread...

    ...but never a single reply to you.

    Maybe he understands how badly that would go for him!

    ;-)
    Or maybe he finally found one of my .mil email addresses…?

    -hh

    Believe me, there IS a reason why I call you the "Lyin' Asshole"!
    Oh, of course there is: it’s because you can’t dispute the facts, so you resort
    to Ad Hominem attacks on the person instead. Shows that you know that
    you lost the debate *and* that you’re a pathetically sore loser too.

    TL;DR: “Cry Harder!”

    -hh

    Hey, YOU asked and I answered - you ARE a LYING ASSHOLE!

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alan@21:1/5 to Tommy on Thu Sep 28 22:29:49 2023
    On 2023-09-28 21:00, Tommy wrote:
    Plus there’s the dynamic of the current production rate extending out >>>>>> that “runs out”: at a simple ~24K/mo, that’s +3 firing days per month,
    so using ~18 months for 562-700, that’s 3*18= +54 more days before >>>>>> depletion.

    Sad that it's necessary, but appeasing a tyrant has never worked. >>>>>> Precisely why to not let tyrant Tommy get away with any of his rants. >>>>>>
    -hh
    Interesting!

    Sunshine has replied multiple times to me in this thread...

    ...but never a single reply to you.

    Maybe he understands how badly that would go for him!

    😉
    Or maybe he finally found one of my .mil email addresses…?

    -hh
    Believe me, there IS a reason why I call you the "Lyin' Asshole"!
    Oh, of course there is: it’s because you can’t dispute the facts, so you resort
    to Ad Hominem attacks on the person instead. Shows that you know that
    you lost the debate*and* that you’re a pathetically sore loser too.

    TL;DR: “Cry Harder!”

    -hh
    Hey, YOU asked and I answered - you ARE a LYING ASSHOLE!


    Dude.... ....Sunshine...

    ...you are SO far out of your depth here.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From -hh@21:1/5 to Alan on Fri Sep 29 00:20:17 2023
    On Friday, September 29, 2023 at 2:29:53 PM UTC+9, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-28 21:00, Tommy wrote:
    Plus there’s the dynamic of the current production rate extending out
    that “runs out”: at a simple ~24K/mo, that’s +3 firing days per month,
    so using ~18 months for 562-700, that’s 3*18= +54 more days before >>>>>> depletion.

    Sad that it's necessary, but appeasing a tyrant has never worked. >>>>>> Precisely why to not let tyrant Tommy get away with any of his rants. >>>>>>
    -hh
    Interesting!

    Sunshine has replied multiple times to me in this thread...

    ...but never a single reply to you.

    Maybe he understands how badly that would go for him!

    😉
    Or maybe he finally found one of my .mil email addresses…?

    -hh
    Believe me, there IS a reason why I call you the "Lyin' Asshole"!

    Oh, of course there is: it’s because you can’t dispute the facts, so you resort
    to Ad Hominem attacks on the person instead. Shows that you know that
    you lost the debate*and* that you’re a pathetically sore loser too.

    TL;DR: “Cry Harder!”


    Hey, YOU asked and I answered - you ARE a LYING ASSHOLE!

    Dude.... ....Sunshine...

    ...you are SO far out of your depth here.

    Poor Tommy has only cried harder, instead of finding any factual errors.

    -hh

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alan@21:1/5 to Tommy on Fri Sep 29 07:54:47 2023
    On 2023-09-27 13:34, Tommy wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 5:12:43 PM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-26 15:39, -hh wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 6:03:54 AM UTC+9, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-26 12:26, -hh wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 1:09:24 AM UTC+9, Alan wrote: >>>>>> On 2023-09-26 05:19, -hh wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 1:38:58 PM UTC+9, Alan wrote: >>>>>>>> On 2023-09-25 19:07, Tommy wrote:
    On Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 12:18:35 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote: >>>>>>>>>> On 2023-09-23 23:47, Tommy wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:32:43 AM UTC-7, Alan >>>>>>>>>>> wrote:
    On 2023-09-20 01:52, -hh wrote:
    And your source (https://www.fieldartillery.org), is >>>>>>>>>>>>>> actually citing information from this article:

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure>





    And wouldn't you know it, that same site has a much more recent article,
    Sunshine!

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-raises-future-monthly-155mm-artillery-shell-production-target-70k-85k>





    Now... ...would you like to go on losing?
    🙂
    Losing is the only thing Tommy knows how to do.
    But to be fair...

    ...he is SO good at it!

    😉

    LOL! You libtards are totally blinded by your stupidity. We have >>>>>>>>>>> shipped 800,000 155mm rounds to Ukraine and the Army wants to >>>>>>>>>>> find suppliers that can produce TWELVE THOUSAND A MONTH! That >>>>>>>>>>> would take over FIVE YEARS just to replenish our inventory IF no >>>>>>>>>>> more shells are sent to Ukraine.
    Wrong again, Sunshine! Current production is already 14,000 per >>>>>>>>>> month.

    <https://www.businessinsider.in/international/news/the-us-has-given-ukraine-nearly-a-million-155-mm-artillery-shells-now-its-looking-for-us-companies-to-build-more-of-them-/articleshow/94186758.cms>



    From your own source (from a year ago):

    'The US Army is looking for companies that can build up to 12,000 >>>>>>>>>> 155 mm artillery shells a month.'

    That would be in addition to production already operating at a rate >>>>>>>>>> of 12-14 thousand a month.

    So that wouldn't be 5 years to replenish stockpiles, now would it? >>>>>>>>>>>

    But, WAIT, you just don't start building these rounds overnight: >>>>>>>>>>> <https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2023/03/us-artillery-production-ukraine-limited-lack-machine-tools-army-official-says/383615/>


    From your own source, Sunshine:

    "Production is set to rise to 20,000 shells per month by spring >>>>>>>>>> 2023, and 40,000 per month by 2025, Secretary of the Army Christine >>>>>>>>>> Wormuth said."

    You should really read the articles you post.

    Don't you GET IT? We have sent them not 800,000, but ONE AND A HALF >>>>>>>>> MILLION rounds - whatever the production rate it will take YEARS to >>>>>>>>> just replenish our stock, let alone keep up with their usage. They >>>>>>>>> are firing 6 to 8 THOUSAND ROUNDS PER DAY. In other words THREE DAYS >>>>>>>>> consumes ONE MONTHS worth of our production.
    https://apnews.com/article/155mm-howitzer-ukraine-ammunition-russia-7d966c85046b73db2b013f93c51af2a5

    Case in point, pookums:

    "BRUSSELS, March 20 (Reuters) - European Union countries on Monday >>>>>>>> agreed a 2 billion euro plan to send 1 million artillery rounds to >>>>>>>> Ukraine over the next year by digging into their own stockpiles and >>>>>>>> teaming up to buy more shells.

    "We have reached a political consensus to send to Ukraine one million >>>>>>>> rounds of 155 mm calibre ammunition," Estonian Defence Minister Hanno >>>>>>>> Pevkur told reporters on the sidelines of a meeting of EU foreign and >>>>>>>> defence ministers in Brussels."

    <https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/eu-agrees-plan-send-million-artillery-shells-ukraine-2023-03-20/>

    A similar thing happened with Afghanistan & Iraq: stockpiles exist so that they
    can be drawn down as production ramps up. For example, I forget just how low
    LCAAP production got during the “peace dividend” 1990s, but ballpark it at
    probably 250M RMDs/yr .. and after 9/11, it was easy to triple that, but it then
    took some time to get up to the full mobilization requirement, which was well
    north of 1B/yr. They were supposed to be able to do their design peak without
    any facilitization upgrade investments, but that turned out to not be the case,
    in no small part because one subsystem was running on an analog computer
    which had no new spare parts.

    So what would you estimate the US stockpile of—say—155mm shells to be, H?

    I know some of the common criteria for determining stockpile size; basically
    figure the “hot war” daily firing rate per tube, times tubes, times production
    ramp-up time (eg, 30-60-90 days, etc). Then add safety factors for logistical
    losses, different types, etc.

    For example, just the obsolete DPICM stockpile to basically defend the Fulda Gap
    in Germany (& probably a similar channelizaation in SK) is ~5 million rounds:

    “Both ground and air forces stockpile large numbers of outdated cluster munitions
    that have caused significant harm to civilians in recent conflicts. The Army and
    Marine Corps have 155mm artillery projectiles (M483/M483A1 and M864) containing
    about 402 million Dual Purpose Improved Conventional Munition (DPICM) submunitions.”

    <https://www.hrw.org/legacy/backgrounder/arms/cluster0705/2.htm#:~:text=The%20Army%20and%20Marine%20Corps,Conventional%20Munition%20(DPICM)%20submunitions.>

    And that round type hasn’t even been manufactured for IIRC roughly 2 decades.

    The average American has no concept of what manufacturing volumes can be like.
    Ditto for your average Engineer too who hasn’t done such production support.

    Case in point, one of the US’s small caliber production machines can crank out
    a million rounds .. per shift. And not only is there a row of these at Lake City,
    but they’ve also been upgraded to higher rates since I worked on them. >>>> So that's somewhere between 4.5-5.6 million shells (based on the two
    configurations I found only with 88 and 72 submunitions respectively). >>>>
    At 8,000 rounds a day, that's 562-700 days before the stockpile would be >>>> exhausted.

    And that’s just the DPICM stocks.

    Sounds like plenty of time to ramp up production to me.

    Plus there’s the dynamic of the current production rate extending out
    that “runs out”: at a simple ~24K/mo, that’s +3 firing days per month,
    so using ~18 months for 562-700, that’s 3*18= +54 more days before
    depletion.

    Sad that it's necessary, but appeasing a tyrant has never worked.

    Precisely why to not let tyrant Tommy get away with any of his rants.

    -hh
    Interesting!

    Sunshine has replied multiple times to me in this thread...

    ...but never a single reply to you.

    Maybe he understands how badly that would go for him!

    ;-)

    Interesting, the Fool CAN'T deal with the FACTS!

    What FACT have you presented that actually shows the US is 'desperately
    short of M107 (155mm) shells', Sunshine?

    Do you know how many shells the US has in inventory?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Tommy@21:1/5 to Alan on Sat Sep 30 19:24:50 2023
    On Friday, September 29, 2023 at 7:54:51 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-27 13:34, Tommy wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 5:12:43 PM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-26 15:39, -hh wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 6:03:54 AM UTC+9, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-26 12:26, -hh wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 1:09:24 AM UTC+9, Alan wrote: >>>>>> On 2023-09-26 05:19, -hh wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 1:38:58 PM UTC+9, Alan wrote: >>>>>>>> On 2023-09-25 19:07, Tommy wrote:
    On Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 12:18:35 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote: >>>>>>>>>> On 2023-09-23 23:47, Tommy wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:32:43 AM UTC-7, Alan >>>>>>>>>>> wrote:
    On 2023-09-20 01:52, -hh wrote:
    And your source (https://www.fieldartillery.org), is >>>>>>>>>>>>>> actually citing information from this article:

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure>





    And wouldn't you know it, that same site has a much more recent article,
    Sunshine!

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-raises-future-monthly-155mm-artillery-shell-production-target-70k-85k>





    Now... ...would you like to go on losing?
    🙂
    Losing is the only thing Tommy knows how to do.
    But to be fair...

    ...he is SO good at it!

    😉

    LOL! You libtards are totally blinded by your stupidity. We have >>>>>>>>>>> shipped 800,000 155mm rounds to Ukraine and the Army wants to >>>>>>>>>>> find suppliers that can produce TWELVE THOUSAND A MONTH! That >>>>>>>>>>> would take over FIVE YEARS just to replenish our inventory IF no >>>>>>>>>>> more shells are sent to Ukraine.
    Wrong again, Sunshine! Current production is already 14,000 per >>>>>>>>>> month.

    <https://www.businessinsider.in/international/news/the-us-has-given-ukraine-nearly-a-million-155-mm-artillery-shells-now-its-looking-for-us-companies-to-build-more-of-them-/articleshow/94186758.cms>



    From your own source (from a year ago):

    'The US Army is looking for companies that can build up to 12,000 >>>>>>>>>> 155 mm artillery shells a month.'

    That would be in addition to production already operating at a rate
    of 12-14 thousand a month.

    So that wouldn't be 5 years to replenish stockpiles, now would it?


    But, WAIT, you just don't start building these rounds overnight: >>>>>>>>>>> <https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2023/03/us-artillery-production-ukraine-limited-lack-machine-tools-army-official-says/383615/>


    From your own source, Sunshine:

    "Production is set to rise to 20,000 shells per month by spring >>>>>>>>>> 2023, and 40,000 per month by 2025, Secretary of the Army Christine
    Wormuth said."

    You should really read the articles you post.

    Don't you GET IT? We have sent them not 800,000, but ONE AND A HALF
    MILLION rounds - whatever the production rate it will take YEARS to
    just replenish our stock, let alone keep up with their usage. They >>>>>>>>> are firing 6 to 8 THOUSAND ROUNDS PER DAY. In other words THREE DAYS
    consumes ONE MONTHS worth of our production.
    https://apnews.com/article/155mm-howitzer-ukraine-ammunition-russia-7d966c85046b73db2b013f93c51af2a5

    Case in point, pookums:

    "BRUSSELS, March 20 (Reuters) - European Union countries on Monday >>>>>>>> agreed a 2 billion euro plan to send 1 million artillery rounds to >>>>>>>> Ukraine over the next year by digging into their own stockpiles and >>>>>>>> teaming up to buy more shells.

    "We have reached a political consensus to send to Ukraine one million
    rounds of 155 mm calibre ammunition," Estonian Defence Minister Hanno
    Pevkur told reporters on the sidelines of a meeting of EU foreign and
    defence ministers in Brussels."

    <https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/eu-agrees-plan-send-million-artillery-shells-ukraine-2023-03-20/>

    A similar thing happened with Afghanistan & Iraq: stockpiles exist so that they
    can be drawn down as production ramps up. For example, I forget just how low
    LCAAP production got during the “peace dividend” 1990s, but ballpark it at
    probably 250M RMDs/yr .. and after 9/11, it was easy to triple that, but it then
    took some time to get up to the full mobilization requirement, which was well
    north of 1B/yr. They were supposed to be able to do their design peak without
    any facilitization upgrade investments, but that turned out to not be the case,
    in no small part because one subsystem was running on an analog computer
    which had no new spare parts.

    So what would you estimate the US stockpile of—say—155mm shells to be, H?

    I know some of the common criteria for determining stockpile size; basically
    figure the “hot war” daily firing rate per tube, times tubes, times production
    ramp-up time (eg, 30-60-90 days, etc). Then add safety factors for logistical
    losses, different types, etc.

    For example, just the obsolete DPICM stockpile to basically defend the Fulda Gap
    in Germany (& probably a similar channelizaation in SK) is ~5 million rounds:

    “Both ground and air forces stockpile large numbers of outdated cluster munitions
    that have caused significant harm to civilians in recent conflicts. The Army and
    Marine Corps have 155mm artillery projectiles (M483/M483A1 and M864) containing
    about 402 million Dual Purpose Improved Conventional Munition (DPICM) submunitions.”

    <https://www.hrw.org/legacy/backgrounder/arms/cluster0705/2.htm#:~:text=The%20Army%20and%20Marine%20Corps,Conventional%20Munition%20(DPICM)%20submunitions.>

    And that round type hasn’t even been manufactured for IIRC roughly 2 decades.

    The average American has no concept of what manufacturing volumes can be like.
    Ditto for your average Engineer too who hasn’t done such production support.

    Case in point, one of the US’s small caliber production machines can crank out
    a million rounds .. per shift. And not only is there a row of these at Lake City,
    but they’ve also been upgraded to higher rates since I worked on them.
    So that's somewhere between 4.5-5.6 million shells (based on the two >>>> configurations I found only with 88 and 72 submunitions respectively). >>>>
    At 8,000 rounds a day, that's 562-700 days before the stockpile would be
    exhausted.

    And that’s just the DPICM stocks.

    Sounds like plenty of time to ramp up production to me.

    Plus there’s the dynamic of the current production rate extending out >>> that “runs out”: at a simple ~24K/mo, that’s +3 firing days per month,
    so using ~18 months for 562-700, that’s 3*18= +54 more days before
    depletion.

    Sad that it's necessary, but appeasing a tyrant has never worked.

    Precisely why to not let tyrant Tommy get away with any of his rants. >>>
    -hh
    Interesting!

    Sunshine has replied multiple times to me in this thread...

    ...but never a single reply to you.

    Maybe he understands how badly that would go for him!

    ;-)

    Interesting, the Fool CAN'T deal with the FACTS!
    What FACT have you presented that actually shows the US is 'desperately short of M107 (155mm) shells', Sunshine?

    Do you know how many shells the US has in inventory?

    LOL! Well, that would be the senile pervert's OWN WORDS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alan@21:1/5 to Tommy on Sat Sep 30 19:27:15 2023
    On 2023-09-30 19:24, Tommy wrote:
    On Friday, September 29, 2023 at 7:54:51 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-27 13:34, Tommy wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 5:12:43 PM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-26 15:39, -hh wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 6:03:54 AM UTC+9, Alan wrote: >>>>>> On 2023-09-26 12:26, -hh wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 1:09:24 AM UTC+9, Alan wrote: >>>>>>>> On 2023-09-26 05:19, -hh wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 1:38:58 PM UTC+9, Alan wrote: >>>>>>>>>> On 2023-09-25 19:07, Tommy wrote:
    On Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 12:18:35 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote: >>>>>>>>>>>> On 2023-09-23 23:47, Tommy wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:32:43 AM UTC-7, Alan >>>>>>>>>>>>> wrote:
    On 2023-09-20 01:52, -hh wrote:
    And your source (https://www.fieldartillery.org), is >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> actually citing information from this article: >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure>





    And wouldn't you know it, that same site has a much more recent article,
    Sunshine!

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-raises-future-monthly-155mm-artillery-shell-production-target-70k-85k>





    Now... ...would you like to go on losing?
    🙂
    Losing is the only thing Tommy knows how to do.
    But to be fair...

    ...he is SO good at it!

    😉

    LOL! You libtards are totally blinded by your stupidity. We have >>>>>>>>>>>>> shipped 800,000 155mm rounds to Ukraine and the Army wants to >>>>>>>>>>>>> find suppliers that can produce TWELVE THOUSAND A MONTH! That >>>>>>>>>>>>> would take over FIVE YEARS just to replenish our inventory IF no >>>>>>>>>>>>> more shells are sent to Ukraine.
    Wrong again, Sunshine! Current production is already 14,000 per >>>>>>>>>>>> month.

    <https://www.businessinsider.in/international/news/the-us-has-given-ukraine-nearly-a-million-155-mm-artillery-shells-now-its-looking-for-us-companies-to-build-more-of-them-/articleshow/94186758.cms>



    From your own source (from a year ago):

    'The US Army is looking for companies that can build up to 12,000 >>>>>>>>>>>> 155 mm artillery shells a month.'

    That would be in addition to production already operating at a rate
    of 12-14 thousand a month.

    So that wouldn't be 5 years to replenish stockpiles, now would it? >>>>>>>>>>>>>

    But, WAIT, you just don't start building these rounds overnight: >>>>>>>>>>>>> <https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2023/03/us-artillery-production-ukraine-limited-lack-machine-tools-army-official-says/383615/>


    From your own source, Sunshine:

    "Production is set to rise to 20,000 shells per month by spring >>>>>>>>>>>> 2023, and 40,000 per month by 2025, Secretary of the Army Christine
    Wormuth said."

    You should really read the articles you post.

    Don't you GET IT? We have sent them not 800,000, but ONE AND A HALF >>>>>>>>>>> MILLION rounds - whatever the production rate it will take YEARS to >>>>>>>>>>> just replenish our stock, let alone keep up with their usage. They >>>>>>>>>>> are firing 6 to 8 THOUSAND ROUNDS PER DAY. In other words THREE DAYS
    consumes ONE MONTHS worth of our production.
    https://apnews.com/article/155mm-howitzer-ukraine-ammunition-russia-7d966c85046b73db2b013f93c51af2a5

    Case in point, pookums:

    "BRUSSELS, March 20 (Reuters) - European Union countries on Monday >>>>>>>>>> agreed a 2 billion euro plan to send 1 million artillery rounds to >>>>>>>>>> Ukraine over the next year by digging into their own stockpiles and >>>>>>>>>> teaming up to buy more shells.

    "We have reached a political consensus to send to Ukraine one million
    rounds of 155 mm calibre ammunition," Estonian Defence Minister Hanno
    Pevkur told reporters on the sidelines of a meeting of EU foreign and
    defence ministers in Brussels."

    <https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/eu-agrees-plan-send-million-artillery-shells-ukraine-2023-03-20/>

    A similar thing happened with Afghanistan & Iraq: stockpiles exist so that they
    can be drawn down as production ramps up. For example, I forget just how low
    LCAAP production got during the “peace dividend” 1990s, but ballpark it at
    probably 250M RMDs/yr .. and after 9/11, it was easy to triple that, but it then
    took some time to get up to the full mobilization requirement, which was well
    north of 1B/yr. They were supposed to be able to do their design peak without
    any facilitization upgrade investments, but that turned out to not be the case,
    in no small part because one subsystem was running on an analog computer
    which had no new spare parts.

    So what would you estimate the US stockpile of—say—155mm shells to be, H?

    I know some of the common criteria for determining stockpile size; basically
    figure the “hot war” daily firing rate per tube, times tubes, times production
    ramp-up time (eg, 30-60-90 days, etc). Then add safety factors for logistical
    losses, different types, etc.

    For example, just the obsolete DPICM stockpile to basically defend the Fulda Gap
    in Germany (& probably a similar channelizaation in SK) is ~5 million rounds:

    “Both ground and air forces stockpile large numbers of outdated cluster munitions
    that have caused significant harm to civilians in recent conflicts. The Army and
    Marine Corps have 155mm artillery projectiles (M483/M483A1 and M864) containing
    about 402 million Dual Purpose Improved Conventional Munition (DPICM) submunitions.”

    <https://www.hrw.org/legacy/backgrounder/arms/cluster0705/2.htm#:~:text=The%20Army%20and%20Marine%20Corps,Conventional%20Munition%20(DPICM)%20submunitions.>

    And that round type hasn’t even been manufactured for IIRC roughly 2 decades.

    The average American has no concept of what manufacturing volumes can be like.
    Ditto for your average Engineer too who hasn’t done such production support.

    Case in point, one of the US’s small caliber production machines can crank out
    a million rounds .. per shift. And not only is there a row of these at Lake City,
    but they’ve also been upgraded to higher rates since I worked on them.
    So that's somewhere between 4.5-5.6 million shells (based on the two >>>>>> configurations I found only with 88 and 72 submunitions respectively). >>>>>>
    At 8,000 rounds a day, that's 562-700 days before the stockpile would be >>>>>> exhausted.

    And that’s just the DPICM stocks.

    Sounds like plenty of time to ramp up production to me.

    Plus there’s the dynamic of the current production rate extending out >>>>> that “runs out”: at a simple ~24K/mo, that’s +3 firing days per month,
    so using ~18 months for 562-700, that’s 3*18= +54 more days before >>>>> depletion.

    Sad that it's necessary, but appeasing a tyrant has never worked.

    Precisely why to not let tyrant Tommy get away with any of his rants. >>>>>
    -hh
    Interesting!

    Sunshine has replied multiple times to me in this thread...

    ...but never a single reply to you.

    Maybe he understands how badly that would go for him!

    ;-)

    Interesting, the Fool CAN'T deal with the FACTS!
    What FACT have you presented that actually shows the US is 'desperately
    short of M107 (155mm) shells', Sunshine?

    Do you know how many shells the US has in inventory?

    LOL! Well, that would be the senile pervert's OWN WORDS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Really?

    Quote those, would you?

    Because what I recall is that he mentioned only one specific KIND of shell.

    :-)

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Tommy@21:1/5 to Alan on Sat Sep 30 19:56:51 2023
    On Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 7:27:21 PM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-30 19:24, Tommy wrote:
    On Friday, September 29, 2023 at 7:54:51 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-27 13:34, Tommy wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 5:12:43 PM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-26 15:39, -hh wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 6:03:54 AM UTC+9, Alan wrote: >>>>>> On 2023-09-26 12:26, -hh wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 1:09:24 AM UTC+9, Alan wrote: >>>>>>>> On 2023-09-26 05:19, -hh wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 1:38:58 PM UTC+9, Alan wrote: >>>>>>>>>> On 2023-09-25 19:07, Tommy wrote:
    On Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 12:18:35 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-23 23:47, Tommy wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:32:43 AM UTC-7, Alan >>>>>>>>>>>>> wrote:
    On 2023-09-20 01:52, -hh wrote:
    And your source (https://www.fieldartillery.org), is >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> actually citing information from this article: >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure>





    And wouldn't you know it, that same site has a much more recent article,
    Sunshine!

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-raises-future-monthly-155mm-artillery-shell-production-target-70k-85k>





    Now... ...would you like to go on losing?
    🙂
    Losing is the only thing Tommy knows how to do. >>>>>>>>>>>>>> But to be fair...

    ...he is SO good at it!

    😉

    LOL! You libtards are totally blinded by your stupidity. We have
    shipped 800,000 155mm rounds to Ukraine and the Army wants to >>>>>>>>>>>>> find suppliers that can produce TWELVE THOUSAND A MONTH! That >>>>>>>>>>>>> would take over FIVE YEARS just to replenish our inventory IF no
    more shells are sent to Ukraine.
    Wrong again, Sunshine! Current production is already 14,000 per >>>>>>>>>>>> month.

    <https://www.businessinsider.in/international/news/the-us-has-given-ukraine-nearly-a-million-155-mm-artillery-shells-now-its-looking-for-us-companies-to-build-more-of-them-/articleshow/94186758.cms>



    From your own source (from a year ago):

    'The US Army is looking for companies that can build up to 12,000
    155 mm artillery shells a month.'

    That would be in addition to production already operating at a rate
    of 12-14 thousand a month.

    So that wouldn't be 5 years to replenish stockpiles, now would it?


    But, WAIT, you just don't start building these rounds overnight:
    <https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2023/03/us-artillery-production-ukraine-limited-lack-machine-tools-army-official-says/383615/>


    From your own source, Sunshine:

    "Production is set to rise to 20,000 shells per month by spring >>>>>>>>>>>> 2023, and 40,000 per month by 2025, Secretary of the Army Christine
    Wormuth said."

    You should really read the articles you post.

    Don't you GET IT? We have sent them not 800,000, but ONE AND A HALF
    MILLION rounds - whatever the production rate it will take YEARS to
    just replenish our stock, let alone keep up with their usage. They
    are firing 6 to 8 THOUSAND ROUNDS PER DAY. In other words THREE DAYS
    consumes ONE MONTHS worth of our production.
    https://apnews.com/article/155mm-howitzer-ukraine-ammunition-russia-7d966c85046b73db2b013f93c51af2a5

    Case in point, pookums:

    "BRUSSELS, March 20 (Reuters) - European Union countries on Monday
    agreed a 2 billion euro plan to send 1 million artillery rounds to
    Ukraine over the next year by digging into their own stockpiles and
    teaming up to buy more shells.

    "We have reached a political consensus to send to Ukraine one million
    rounds of 155 mm calibre ammunition," Estonian Defence Minister Hanno
    Pevkur told reporters on the sidelines of a meeting of EU foreign and
    defence ministers in Brussels."

    <https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/eu-agrees-plan-send-million-artillery-shells-ukraine-2023-03-20/>

    A similar thing happened with Afghanistan & Iraq: stockpiles exist so that they
    can be drawn down as production ramps up. For example, I forget just how low
    LCAAP production got during the “peace dividend” 1990s, but ballpark it at
    probably 250M RMDs/yr .. and after 9/11, it was easy to triple that, but it then
    took some time to get up to the full mobilization requirement, which was well
    north of 1B/yr. They were supposed to be able to do their design peak without
    any facilitization upgrade investments, but that turned out to not be the case,
    in no small part because one subsystem was running on an analog computer
    which had no new spare parts.

    So what would you estimate the US stockpile of—say—155mm shells to be, H?

    I know some of the common criteria for determining stockpile size; basically
    figure the “hot war” daily firing rate per tube, times tubes, times production
    ramp-up time (eg, 30-60-90 days, etc). Then add safety factors for logistical
    losses, different types, etc.

    For example, just the obsolete DPICM stockpile to basically defend the Fulda Gap
    in Germany (& probably a similar channelizaation in SK) is ~5 million rounds:

    “Both ground and air forces stockpile large numbers of outdated cluster munitions
    that have caused significant harm to civilians in recent conflicts. The Army and
    Marine Corps have 155mm artillery projectiles (M483/M483A1 and M864) containing
    about 402 million Dual Purpose Improved Conventional Munition (DPICM) submunitions.”

    <https://www.hrw.org/legacy/backgrounder/arms/cluster0705/2.htm#:~:text=The%20Army%20and%20Marine%20Corps,Conventional%20Munition%20(DPICM)%20submunitions.>

    And that round type hasn’t even been manufactured for IIRC roughly 2 decades.

    The average American has no concept of what manufacturing volumes can be like.
    Ditto for your average Engineer too who hasn’t done such production support.

    Case in point, one of the US’s small caliber production machines can crank out
    a million rounds .. per shift. And not only is there a row of these at Lake City,
    but they’ve also been upgraded to higher rates since I worked on them.
    So that's somewhere between 4.5-5.6 million shells (based on the two >>>>>> configurations I found only with 88 and 72 submunitions respectively).

    At 8,000 rounds a day, that's 562-700 days before the stockpile would be
    exhausted.

    And that’s just the DPICM stocks.

    Sounds like plenty of time to ramp up production to me.

    Plus there’s the dynamic of the current production rate extending out
    that “runs out”: at a simple ~24K/mo, that’s +3 firing days per month,
    so using ~18 months for 562-700, that’s 3*18= +54 more days before >>>>> depletion.

    Sad that it's necessary, but appeasing a tyrant has never worked. >>>>>
    Precisely why to not let tyrant Tommy get away with any of his rants. >>>>>
    -hh
    Interesting!

    Sunshine has replied multiple times to me in this thread...

    ...but never a single reply to you.

    Maybe he understands how badly that would go for him!

    ;-)

    Interesting, the Fool CAN'T deal with the FACTS!
    What FACT have you presented that actually shows the US is 'desperately >> short of M107 (155mm) shells', Sunshine?

    Do you know how many shells the US has in inventory?

    LOL! Well, that would be the senile pervert's OWN WORDS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
    Really?

    Quote those, would you?

    Because what I recall is that he mentioned only one specific KIND of shell.

    :-)

    LOL! LOOK IT UP, you LAZY BASTARD!!

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alan@21:1/5 to Tommy on Sat Sep 30 20:01:16 2023
    On 2023-09-30 19:56, Tommy wrote:
    On Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 7:27:21 PM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-30 19:24, Tommy wrote:
    On Friday, September 29, 2023 at 7:54:51 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-27 13:34, Tommy wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 5:12:43 PM UTC-7, Alan wrote:
    On 2023-09-26 15:39, -hh wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 6:03:54 AM UTC+9, Alan wrote: >>>>>>>> On 2023-09-26 12:26, -hh wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 1:09:24 AM UTC+9, Alan wrote: >>>>>>>>>> On 2023-09-26 05:19, -hh wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 1:38:58 PM UTC+9, Alan wrote: >>>>>>>>>>>> On 2023-09-25 19:07, Tommy wrote:
    On Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 12:18:35 AM UTC-7, Alan wrote: >>>>>>>>>>>>>> On 2023-09-23 23:47, Tommy wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:32:43 AM UTC-7, Alan >>>>>>>>>>>>>>> wrote:
    On 2023-09-20 01:52, -hh wrote:
    And your source (https://www.fieldartillery.org), is >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> actually citing information from this article: >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-cut-155-mm-artillery-spending-citing-budget-pressure>





    And wouldn't you know it, that same site has a much more recent article,
    Sunshine!

    <https://insidedefense.com/daily-news/army-raises-future-monthly-155mm-artillery-shell-production-target-70k-85k>





    Now... ...would you like to go on losing?
    🙂
    Losing is the only thing Tommy knows how to do. >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> But to be fair...

    ...he is SO good at it!

    😉

    LOL! You libtards are totally blinded by your stupidity. We have
    shipped 800,000 155mm rounds to Ukraine and the Army wants to >>>>>>>>>>>>>>> find suppliers that can produce TWELVE THOUSAND A MONTH! That >>>>>>>>>>>>>>> would take over FIVE YEARS just to replenish our inventory IF no
    more shells are sent to Ukraine.
    Wrong again, Sunshine! Current production is already 14,000 per >>>>>>>>>>>>>> month.

    <https://www.businessinsider.in/international/news/the-us-has-given-ukraine-nearly-a-million-155-mm-artillery-shells-now-its-looking-for-us-companies-to-build-more-of-them-/articleshow/94186758.cms>



    From your own source (from a year ago):

    'The US Army is looking for companies that can build up to 12,000
    155 mm artillery shells a month.'

    That would be in addition to production already operating at a rate
    of 12-14 thousand a month.

    So that wouldn't be 5 years to replenish stockpiles, now would it?


    But, WAIT, you just don't start building these rounds overnight:
    <https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2023/03/us-artillery-production-ukraine-limited-lack-machine-tools-army-official-says/383615/>


    From your own source, Sunshine:

    "Production is set to rise to 20,000 shells per month by spring >>>>>>>>>>>>>> 2023, and 40,000 per month by 2025, Secretary of the Army Christine
    Wormuth said."

    You should really read the articles you post.

    Don't you GET IT? We have sent them not 800,000, but ONE AND A HALF
    MILLION rounds - whatever the production rate it will take YEARS to
    just replenish our stock, let alone keep up with their usage. They
    are firing 6 to 8 THOUSAND ROUNDS PER DAY. In other words THREE DAYS
    consumes ONE MONTHS worth of our production.
    https://apnews.com/article/155mm-howitzer-ukraine-ammunition-russia-7d966c85046b73db2b013f93c51af2a5

    Case in point, pookums:

    "BRUSSELS, March 20 (Reuters) - European Union countries on Monday >>>>>>>>>>>> agreed a 2 billion euro plan to send 1 million artillery rounds to >>>>>>>>>>>> Ukraine over the next year by digging into their own stockpiles and
    teaming up to buy more shells.

    "We have reached a political consensus to send to Ukraine one million
    rounds of 155 mm calibre ammunition," Estonian Defence Minister Hanno
    Pevkur told reporters on the sidelines of a meeting of EU foreign and
    defence ministers in Brussels."

    <https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/eu-agrees-plan-send-million-artillery-shells-ukraine-2023-03-20/>

    A similar thing happened with Afghanistan & Iraq: stockpiles exist so that they
    can be drawn down as production ramps up. For example, I forget just how low
    LCAAP production got during the “peace dividend” 1990s, but ballpark it at
    probably 250M RMDs/yr .. and after 9/11, it was easy to triple that, but it then
    took some time to get up to the full mobilization requirement, which was well
    north of 1B/yr. They were supposed to be able to do their design peak without
    any facilitization upgrade investments, but that turned out to not be the case,
    in no small part because one subsystem was running on an analog computer
    which had no new spare parts.

    So what would you estimate the US stockpile of—say—155mm shells to be, H?

    I know some of the common criteria for determining stockpile size; basically
    figure the “hot war” daily firing rate per tube, times tubes, times production
    ramp-up time (eg, 30-60-90 days, etc). Then add safety factors for logistical
    losses, different types, etc.

    For example, just the obsolete DPICM stockpile to basically defend the Fulda Gap
    in Germany (& probably a similar channelizaation in SK) is ~5 million rounds:

    “Both ground and air forces stockpile large numbers of outdated cluster munitions
    that have caused significant harm to civilians in recent conflicts. The Army and
    Marine Corps have 155mm artillery projectiles (M483/M483A1 and M864) containing
    about 402 million Dual Purpose Improved Conventional Munition (DPICM) submunitions.”

    <https://www.hrw.org/legacy/backgrounder/arms/cluster0705/2.htm#:~:text=The%20Army%20and%20Marine%20Corps,Conventional%20Munition%20(DPICM)%20submunitions.>

    And that round type hasn’t even been manufactured for IIRC roughly 2 decades.

    The average American has no concept of what manufacturing volumes can be like.
    Ditto for your average Engineer too who hasn’t done such production support.

    Case in point, one of the US’s small caliber production machines can crank out
    a million rounds .. per shift. And not only is there a row of these at Lake City,
    but they’ve also been upgraded to higher rates since I worked on them.
    So that's somewhere between 4.5-5.6 million shells (based on the two >>>>>>>> configurations I found only with 88 and 72 submunitions respectively). >>>>>>>>
    At 8,000 rounds a day, that's 562-700 days before the stockpile would be
    exhausted.

    And that’s just the DPICM stocks.

    Sounds like plenty of time to ramp up production to me.

    Plus there’s the dynamic of the current production rate extending out >>>>>>> that “runs out”: at a simple ~24K/mo, that’s +3 firing days per month,
    so using ~18 months for 562-700, that’s 3*18= +54 more days before >>>>>>> depletion.

    Sad that it's necessary, but appeasing a tyrant has never worked. >>>>>>>
    Precisely why to not let tyrant Tommy get away with any of his rants. >>>>>>>
    -hh
    Interesting!

    Sunshine has replied multiple times to me in this thread...

    ...but never a single reply to you.

    Maybe he understands how badly that would go for him!

    ;-)

    Interesting, the Fool CAN'T deal with the FACTS!
    What FACT have you presented that actually shows the US is 'desperately >>>> short of M107 (155mm) shells', Sunshine?

    Do you know how many shells the US has in inventory?

    LOL! Well, that would be the senile pervert's OWN WORDS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
    Really?

    Quote those, would you?

    Because what I recall is that he mentioned only one specific KIND of shell. >>
    :-)

    LOL! LOOK IT UP, you LAZY BASTARD!!

    I did. He mentioned one specific kind of shell.

    Refute me.

    :-)

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