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  • Teams with > 20% chance of winning out

    From JGibson@21:1/5 to All on Wed Nov 2 13:35:32 2022
    according to FPI

    (think this does include conference championship games):

    Ohio State 58%
    Penn State 44%
    Air Force 41%
    Toledo 41%
    Georgia 34%
    Clemson 33%
    Alabama 32%
    Boise State 28%
    Cincinnati 24%
    Minnesota 23%
    Utah 22%

    Undefeated teams not in above list:
    Michigan 17%
    Tennessee 9%
    TCU 4%

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From RSFC Moderator@21:1/5 to JGibson on Wed Nov 2 14:51:48 2022
    On Wednesday, November 2, 2022 at 4:35:34 PM UTC-4, JGibson wrote:
    according to FPI
    ...
    Undefeated teams not in above list:
    Michigan 17%

    Who can look at this and not think: Rutgers! Fear the Schiano!

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From TE@21:1/5 to RSFC Moderator on Wed Nov 2 17:52:04 2022
    On Wednesday, November 2, 2022 at 5:51:50 PM UTC-4, RSFC Moderator wrote:
    On Wednesday, November 2, 2022 at 4:35:34 PM UTC-4, JGibson wrote:
    according to FPI
    ...
    Undefeated teams not in above list:
    Michigan 17%]

    Who can look at this and not think: Rutgers! Fear the Schiano!

    A really, really good Michigan team only, and always, loses the last two games of the season.

    -TE

    ”You sure them’s ducks — and not, say, some other kind of water fowl?” ”No, those are definitely ducks.” Billy cocked his shotgun. “You can tell
    by the beak. And the little sailor suits.”

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From michael anderson@21:1/5 to JGibson on Thu Nov 3 08:03:21 2022
    On Wednesday, November 2, 2022 at 3:35:34 PM UTC-5, JGibson wrote:
    according to FPI

    (think this does include conference championship games):

    Ohio State 58%
    Penn State 44%
    Air Force 41%
    Toledo 41%
    Georgia 34%
    Clemson 33%
    Alabama 32%
    Boise State 28%
    Cincinnati 24%
    Minnesota 23%
    Utah 22%

    Undefeated teams not in above list:
    Michigan 17%
    Tennessee 9%
    TCU 4%

    Yes those numbers definately include cc games.(hence why ga, al, tenn percentage is what it is)

    I'd probably have tcu a little above 4 percent, but I definately agree that there chances are not good with those 5 games left.

    And of the last three teams listed, it's important to note that Tennessee is still in a good position for the playoff. Their goal isn't
    so much to win this saturday as it is to just play a good fairly competitive game and not get blown out. The final score won't be as important as just the way the game goes since it will be a game everyone watches.

    The most important game of the year to this point by far is the alabama/tennessee game. Unfortunately. Thats what has tennessee
    in a good spot to claim the 4th seed without even winning their division, and that's what has Alabama having to likely
    beat the #1 team in the nation in atlanta to claim their spot. They did it last year, but it's a big thing to ask to do it again.

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