1. Forum
  2. Usenet
  3. REC.SPORT.FOOTBALL.COLLEG

  • Re: History of sure thing Super Bowl bets

    From Johnny RSFCootball@21:1/5 to The NOTBCS Guy on Fri Feb 4 09:13:32 2022
    On Friday, February 4, 2022 at 10:19:53 AM UTC-6, The NOTBCS Guy wrote:
    What's Mia's saying - it doesn't matter how short the odds are if it's a sure thing?

    2018: There will be more sacks than missed extra points

    ...okay, that one hurt a little, but I knew I could make it back with this one:

    2019: There will be more plays (both teams combined) from the Red Zone than missed field goals

    It’s a sure bet that the game will end in a tie, since history has shown that it’s impossible for the Cincinnati Bengals or a former UGA quarterback to win a Super Bowl.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The NOTBCS Guy@21:1/5 to All on Fri Feb 4 08:17:53 2022
    What's Mia's saying - it doesn't matter how short the odds are if it's a sure thing?

    2018: There will be more sacks than missed extra points

    ...okay, that one hurt a little, but I knew I could make it back with this one:

    2019: There will be more plays (both teams combined) from the Red Zone than missed field goals

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The NOTBCS Guy@21:1/5 to All on Fri Feb 4 10:59:11 2022
    Which of these players is least likely to throw a pass?
    Logan Wilson
    Chidobe Awuzie
    Mike Hilton
    Eli Apple
    William Hill is offering 1-10 odds (separately on each one) that they will not throw an interception - or, if you want, 13-2 that they will.

    Here's another one: who will score more points that day - the Rams, or Trae Young against the Celtics?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Michael Falkner@21:1/5 to All on Fri Feb 4 12:14:47 2022
    One you probably won't get short odds on, but is almost a sure thing, given the NFL's booking in these playoffs:

    A score in the final two minutes or overtime.

    Mike

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The NOTBCS Guy@21:1/5 to All on Fri Feb 4 14:12:31 2022
    One you probably won't get short odds on, but is almost a sure thing, given the NFL's booking in these playoffs:

    A score in the final two minutes or overtime.

    In a way, you can get -286 on "there will be a score either in the final 3 1/2 minutes of the fourth quarter or in overtime."
    "There will be a score in the final 3 1/2 minutes of the fourth quarter" (this does not include OT) is -155
    "There will be OT" is 13-2
    Bet 155 on the first one, and 34 on the second one; if either happens, you win 66, but if they both lose, you lose 189.
    Of course, if there is a score in the final 3 1/2 minutes of the fourth quarter and the game goes into OT, you win 321, so it's actually slightly better than -286.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Michael Falkner@21:1/5 to The NOTBCS Guy on Fri Feb 4 21:24:14 2022
    On Friday, February 4, 2022 at 2:12:34 PM UTC-8, The NOTBCS Guy wrote:
    One you probably won't get short odds on, but is almost a sure thing, given the NFL's booking in these playoffs:

    A score in the final two minutes or overtime.
    In a way, you can get -286 on "there will be a score either in the final 3 1/2 minutes of the fourth quarter or in overtime."
    "There will be a score in the final 3 1/2 minutes of the fourth quarter" (this does not include OT) is -155
    "There will be OT" is 13-2
    Bet 155 on the first one, and 34 on the second one; if either happens, you win 66, but if they both lose, you lose 189.
    Of course, if there is a score in the final 3 1/2 minutes of the fourth quarter and the game goes into OT, you win 321, so it's actually slightly better than -286.

    I'd take that -155 in a heartbeat. Every game in the Divisional and Conference rounds was decided by a score in the last 2 minutes of regulation or tied therein.

    Mike

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The NOTBCS Guy@21:1/5 to All on Mon Feb 7 12:49:14 2022
    2018: There will be more sacks than missed extra points

    2019: There will be more plays (both teams combined) from the Red Zone than missed field goals

    This one for sure!

    2021: Mahomes will have at least as many TD passes as Gronkowski has TD receptions

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Johnny RSFCootball@21:1/5 to The NOTBCS Guy on Mon Feb 7 14:45:49 2022
    On Monday, February 7, 2022 at 2:49:16 PM UTC-6, The NOTBCS Guy wrote:
    2018: There will be more sacks than missed extra points

    2019: There will be more plays (both teams combined) from the Red Zone than missed field goals
    This one for sure!

    2021: Mahomes will have at least as many TD passes as Gronkowski has TD receptions

    Another sure bet is that some middle aged person is going to complain about the halftime show. They’ll wonder why it can’t be an act everyone likes eg the eagles.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Michael Falkner@21:1/5 to Johnny RSFCootball on Mon Feb 7 21:35:12 2022
    On Monday, February 7, 2022 at 2:45:52 PM UTC-8, Johnny RSFCootball wrote:

    Another sure bet is that some middle aged person is going to complain about the halftime show. They’ll wonder why it can’t be an act everyone likes eg the eagles.

    You can't bet on something which has already occurred.

    Mike

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The NOTBCS Guy@21:1/5 to The NOTBCS Guy on Mon Feb 14 06:10:07 2022
    On Monday, February 7, 2022 at 12:49:16 PM UTC-8, The NOTBCS Guy wrote:
    2018: There will be more sacks than missed extra points

    2019: There will be more plays (both teams combined) from the Red Zone than missed field goals
    This one for sure!

    2021: Mahomes will have at least as many TD passes as Gronkowski has TD receptions

    Okay, but here's one that makes up for all of those:

    2022: Joe Burrow will throw at least as many TD passes in the first half as Joe Mixon

    (seriously, my two "locks" this year were, "The opening kickoff will not be a touchback," and, "The final play will not be a QB keeper")

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)