• This is why NOTBCS doesn't start until Week 3...

    From The NOTBCS Guy@21:1/5 to All on Sun Sep 10 12:29:10 2023
    Here's my SRS/Colley-style ratings after Week 2:
    1 - Texas
    2 - Miami
    3 - Rice
    4 - Rutgers
    5 - Miami Ohio
    6 - Oklahoma
    7 - Auburn
    8 - UCLA
    9 - Texas A&M
    10 - Florida State
    11 - Alabama
    12 - USC
    t13 - Houston
    t13 - Iowa
    t13 - Minnesota
    t13 - North Carolina
    t13 - Colorado
    18 - Idaho
    19 - Liberty
    20 - SMU
    21 - Washington
    22 - Fresno State
    23 - Temple
    t24 - Mississippi
    t24 - Michigan

    This is based on 50% average "adjusted margin of victory" and 50% average opponents' rating.
    "Adjusted margin of victory" is 30 for an away or neutral win; for a home win, it is 25 + 1 for every 7 points of actual MOV, up to an adjusted value of 30 (for an actual MOV of 35 or more), except that a home OT win is always 25.
    It sounds strange, but it has an accuracy rate of 83.804% over all Division I games from 2014 through 2022 except in 2020.
    The problem is, not all teams are "connected" - for example, the only FBS teams Arizona and Mississippi State have played so far are each other - so the strength of schedule component isn't very accurate yet.

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