• Re: Time of death: 5:15pm, August 4, 2023

    From Steve@21:1/5 to xyzzy on Fri Aug 4 16:29:22 2023
    On Friday, August 4, 2023 at 7:23:14 PM UTC-4, xyzzy wrote:
    The patient was on life support already but passed away this afternoon.
    RIP.

    https://bigten.org/news/2023/8/4/general-big-ten.aspx

    --
    “I usually skip over your posts because of your disguistng, contrarian, liberal personality.” — Altie

    So we'll end up with two conferences - Big Dumb, and South Dumber.

    The inevitable greed-fed explosion and destruction will be glorious.
    I wonder how FanDuel will book it.

    Steve

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  • From xyzzy@21:1/5 to All on Fri Aug 4 23:23:08 2023
    The patient was on life support already but passed away this afternoon.
    RIP.

    https://bigten.org/news/2023/8/4/general-big-ten.aspx

    --
    “I usually skip over your posts because of your disguistng, contrarian, liberal personality.” — Altie

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Ken Olson@21:1/5 to xyzzy on Fri Aug 4 21:54:16 2023
    On 8/4/2023 7:23 PM, xyzzy wrote:
    The patient was on life support already but passed away this afternoon.
    RIP.

    https://bigten.org/news/2023/8/4/general-big-ten.aspx


    Is this the first coast to coast conference?

    Ken
    --
    ÄLSKAR - Fänga Dagen

    Слава Україні та НАТО

    Härlighet till Sverige

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  • From Michael Falkner@21:1/5 to Steve on Fri Aug 4 20:30:30 2023
    On Friday, August 4, 2023 at 4:29:24 PM UTC-7, Steve wrote:
    On Friday, August 4, 2023 at 7:23:14 PM UTC-4, xyzzy wrote:
    The patient was on life support already but passed away this afternoon. RIP.

    https://bigten.org/news/2023/8/4/general-big-ten.aspx

    --
    “I usually skip over your posts because of your disguistng, contrarian, liberal personality.” — Altie
    So we'll end up with two conferences - Big Dumb, and South Dumber.

    The inevitable greed-fed explosion and destruction will be glorious.
    I wonder how FanDuel will book it.

    Once they start jettisoning the Purdues and Northwesterns and Vanderbilts of the world, that's about what I see happening.

    Mike

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Eric Ramon@21:1/5 to xyzzy on Fri Aug 4 23:09:12 2023
    On Friday, August 4, 2023 at 4:23:14 PM UTC-7, xyzzy wrote:
    The patient was on life support already but passed away this afternoon.
    RIP.

    https://bigten.org/news/2023/8/4/general-big-ten.aspx

    --
    “I usually skip over your posts because of your disguistng, contrarian, liberal personality.” — Altie

    Apparently Oregon and Washington didn't think much of Kliavkoff's plan which would mean the schools would have to go door to door selling subscriptions like they were peddling Grit Magazine.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Michael Falkner@21:1/5 to Eric Ramon on Sat Aug 5 08:06:57 2023
    On Friday, August 4, 2023 at 11:09:15 PM UTC-7, Eric Ramon wrote:

    Apparently Oregon and Washington didn't think much of Kliavkoff's plan which would mean the schools would have to go door to door selling subscriptions like they were peddling Grit Magazine.

    I, for one, am happy with the death of such an irrelevant conference.

    Seeing the Pac-12 die actually is a good thing, because the only thing hanging on in football was the Rose Bowl, and when was the last Pac-12 team relevant in men's basketball?

    Mike

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From xyzzy@21:1/5 to Michael Falkner on Sat Aug 5 15:17:46 2023
    Michael Falkner <darkstar7646@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Friday, August 4, 2023 at 11:09:15 PM UTC-7, Eric Ramon wrote:

    Apparently Oregon and Washington didn't think much of Kliavkoff's plan
    which would mean the schools would have to go door to door selling
    subscriptions like they were peddling Grit Magazine.

    I, for one, am happy with the death of such an irrelevant conference.

    Seeing the Pac-12 die actually is a good thing, because the only thing hanging on in football was the Rose Bowl, and when was the last Pac-12
    team relevant in men's basketball?

    Mike


    I mourn the loss of the PAC12. It was the last of the major conferences
    with a geographic identity and long-time traditional rivalries that made
    sense.

    That it collapsed so spectacularly also shows how relevant the things I
    care about are to college football.

    --
    “I usually skip over your posts because of your disguistng, contrarian, liberal personality.” — Altie

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Michael Falkner@21:1/5 to xyzzy on Sat Aug 5 09:40:01 2023
    On Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 8:17:51 AM UTC-7, xyzzy wrote:

    I mourn the loss of the PAC12. It was the last of the major conferences
    with a geographic identity and long-time traditional rivalries that made sense.

    That it collapsed so spectacularly also shows how relevant the things I
    care about are to college football.

    Basically, we just lost a Power 5 conference in a matter of days. They can point to USC and UCLA, but the fact is the Pac-12 could still have survived.

    Now, real chance (at least IMODO) that at least one of the remaining four schools drops it's athletic program completely.

    Mike

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From xyzzy@21:1/5 to Michael Falkner on Sat Aug 5 17:06:24 2023
    Michael Falkner <darkstar7646@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 8:17:51 AM UTC-7, xyzzy wrote:

    I mourn the loss of the PAC12. It was the last of the major conferences
    with a geographic identity and long-time traditional rivalries that made
    sense.

    That it collapsed so spectacularly also shows how relevant the things I
    care about are to college football.

    Basically, we just lost a Power 5 conference in a matter of days. They
    can point to USC and UCLA, but the fact is the Pac-12 could still have survived.

    Now, real chance (at least IMODO) that at least one of the remaining four schools drops it's athletic program completely.

    There is zero chance that happens. They may drop to a lower level but will
    not completely eliminate.

    --
    “I usually skip over your posts because of your disguistng, contrarian, liberal personality.” — Altie

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Michael Falkner@21:1/5 to xyzzy on Sat Aug 5 12:07:04 2023
    On Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 10:06:29 AM UTC-7, xyzzy wrote:

    There is zero chance that happens. They may drop to a lower level but will not completely eliminate.

    I could easily see Berkeley doing it, Stanford I would definitely put non-zero.

    And who's gonna take Oregon St. or Washington St.?

    Mike

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The NOTBCS Guy@21:1/5 to All on Sat Aug 5 12:14:08 2023
    Now, real chance (at least IMODO) that at least one of the remaining four schools drops it's athletic program completely.

    There is zero chance that happens. They may drop to a lower level but will not completely eliminate.

    "Drop to a lower level?" He's not talking about just football; he's talking about all sports. No way any of these schools ends up in Division II, much less get rid of all of their sports, or change them all to "club level," whatever that means.
    Cal and Stanford are far too entrenched in the "minor sports" to drop them. Cut a few, maybe - back in 2010, Cal tried cutting its baseball, women's lacrosse, and men's and women's gymnastics programs (all four of which currently exist) - but certainly
    not the one thing that still brings in money; men's basketball.

    There's a slim change Oregon State or Washington State could drop their football program, and a slightly less slim chance one or more of the four drops down to FCS and joins the Big West.

    Men's basketball...pardon me while I look something up...
    Normally, when a school leaves a conference, any shares of the Basketball TV money that it earned remain with the conference. However, according to the NCAA Bylaws, once a multisport (as opposed to something like the CCHA) conference drops below 7
    schools, it has 2 years to get back to 7, or its remaining shares go to the teams' new conferences.
    Assuming none of these four teams gets into the NCAA tournament in the next few years (and the last time any of them did was when Cal and Oregon State got in in 2016, although I think Cal was one of the "first four out" in 2017), that's about $10.9
    million in 2025 and $9.25 million in 2026.

    Also, the NCAA is probably sweating about whether Cal and Stanford can keep up their mens' gymnastics programs, as there are already so few schools that support it that any defections could mean the NCAA no longer conductiong a championship for it.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Michael Falkner@21:1/5 to The NOTBCS Guy on Sat Aug 5 12:25:40 2023
    On Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 12:14:10 PM UTC-7, The NOTBCS Guy wrote:
    Now, real chance (at least IMODO) that at least one of the remaining four
    schools drops it's athletic program completely.

    There is zero chance that happens. They may drop to a lower level but will not completely eliminate.
    "Drop to a lower level?" He's not talking about just football; he's talking about all sports. No way any of these schools ends up in Division II, much less get rid of all of their sports, or change them all to "club level," whatever that means.

    I disagree. Cal-Berkeley has a culture most people find... weird. And then you have the culture in California that if you aren't some form of a pro team (HS football counts for the sports factories), no one cares. Which see, again, the vote to
    disallow sports gambling.

    I don't know where any of these schools ends up otherwise.

    Cal and Stanford are far too entrenched in the "minor sports" to drop them. Cut a few, maybe - back in 2010, Cal tried cutting its baseball, women's lacrosse, and men's and women's gymnastics programs (all four of which currently exist) - but certainly
    not the one thing that still brings in money; men's basketball.

    Which is what's going to take care of the rest if they don't just walk part and parcel.

    Mike

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Eric Ramon@21:1/5 to The NOTBCS Guy on Sat Aug 5 12:27:54 2023
    On Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 12:14:10 PM UTC-7, The NOTBCS Guy wrote:
    Now, real chance (at least IMODO) that at least one of the remaining four
    schools drops it's athletic program completely.

    There is zero chance that happens. They may drop to a lower level but will not completely eliminate.
    "Drop to a lower level?" He's not talking about just football; he's talking about all sports. No way any of these schools ends up in Division II, much less get rid of all of their sports, or change them all to "club level," whatever that means.
    Cal and Stanford are far too entrenched in the "minor sports" to drop them. Cut a few, maybe - back in 2010, Cal tried cutting its baseball, women's lacrosse, and men's and women's gymnastics programs (all four of which currently exist) - but certainly
    not the one thing that still brings in money; men's basketball.

    There's a slim change Oregon State or Washington State could drop their football program, and a slightly less slim chance one or more of the four drops down to FCS and joins the Big West.

    Men's basketball...pardon me while I look something up...
    Normally, when a school leaves a conference, any shares of the Basketball TV money that it earned remain with the conference. However, according to the NCAA Bylaws, once a multisport (as opposed to something like the CCHA) conference drops below 7
    schools, it has 2 years to get back to 7, or its remaining shares go to the teams' new conferences.
    Assuming none of these four teams gets into the NCAA tournament in the next few years (and the last time any of them did was when Cal and Oregon State got in in 2016, although I think Cal was one of the "first four out" in 2017), that's about $10.9
    million in 2025 and $9.25 million in 2026.

    Also, the NCAA is probably sweating about whether Cal and Stanford can keep up their mens' gymnastics programs, as there are already so few schools that support it that any defections could mean the NCAA no longer conductiong a championship for it.

    there is NO chance Oregon State drops football. Jonathan Smith has a contract that runs until 2029. They have to pay him somehow and football is the best way to raise that money. I think they end up in the Mountain West. Additionally, with Oregon State,
    the Beavers are a national power in baseball. If any school does drop sports it won't be Oregon State

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The NOTBCS Guy@21:1/5 to All on Sat Aug 5 13:31:47 2023
    I disagree. Cal-Berkeley has a culture most people find... weird. And then you have the culture in California that if you aren't some form of a pro team (HS football counts for the sports factories), no one cares. Which see, again, the vote to disallow
    sports gambling.

    Cal and Stanford have one advantage when it comes to the minor sports. Nobody plays a minor sport expecting to make it their professional career, which means a scholarship is pretty much a free ticket into a school where a degree just might be worth
    something.

    And refresh my memory - you're not from California? I am, and I saw the politics behind this vote first hand, starting long before the ballot propositions even had numbers.
    One problem with the vote was, there were two competing propositions. One would limit it to being physically in a tribal casino, or one of the four (oops - now three, now that Golden Gate Fields is being sold) major horse racing tracks in California; the
    other would allow for online betting, but while technically it had to be run by the tribes, they could (and would) outsource it to companies like DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM (which, in fact, were the main contributors to that proposition). The TV
    commercials weren't so much "vote for me" as they were "don't vote for my opponent" - and the TV commercials started LONG before there were enough signatures for either one to qualify for the ballot. The commercials for the "no online betting" ones
    pretty much consisted of two kinds: (a) "DraftKings and FanDuel will pocket most of the money, and California will get very little of it!", and (b) "Do you honestly think your teenagers won't be able to place bets?" Meanwhile, the ones supporting online
    betting also had two kinds; the ones that aired outside of sporting events touted how some of the profits would go towards supporting the state's homeless, while the ones that aired during sporting events (literally, one aired for the first time in the
    first 10 minutes of Fox's first NFL pregame show of 2022) said, "Online betting in California if you vote for us. Enough said." Between each side's detractors and the people against sports betting in California in general (plus who knows how much money
    from various Vegas/Reno/Tahoe casino interests), both were doomed to defeat.

    Note that, under California law, the next chance to change the law to allow for sports betting of any sort (besides horse racing) is in November, 2024.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From xyzzy@21:1/5 to The NOTBCS Guy on Sat Aug 5 21:41:50 2023
    The NOTBCS Guy <don.p.del.grande@gmail.com> wrote:
    Now, real chance (at least IMODO) that at least one of the remaining four >>> schools drops it's athletic program completely.

    There is zero chance that happens. They may drop to a lower level but will >> not completely eliminate.

    "Drop to a lower level?" He's not talking about just football; he's
    talking about all sports. No way any of these schools ends up in Division
    II, much less get rid of all of their sports, or change them all to "club level," whatever that means.
    Cal and Stanford are far too entrenched in the "minor sports" to drop
    them. Cut a few, maybe - back in 2010, Cal tried cutting its baseball, women's lacrosse, and men's and women's gymnastics programs (all four of which currently exist) - but certainly not the one thing that still
    brings in money; men's basketball.

    There's a slim change Oregon State or Washington State could drop their football program, and a slightly less slim chance one or more of the four drops down to FCS and joins the Big West.

    Men's basketball...pardon me while I look something up...
    Normally, when a school leaves a conference, any shares of the Basketball
    TV money that it earned remain with the conference. However, according to
    the NCAA Bylaws, once a multisport (as opposed to something like the
    CCHA) conference drops below 7 schools, it has 2 years to get back to 7,
    or its remaining shares go to the teams' new conferences.
    Assuming none of these four teams gets into the NCAA tournament in the
    next few years (and the last time any of them did was when Cal and Oregon State got in in 2016, although I think Cal was one of the "first four
    out" in 2017), that's about $10.9 million in 2025 and $9.25 million in 2026.

    Also, the NCAA is probably sweating about whether Cal and Stanford can
    keep up their mens' gymnastics programs, as there are already so few
    schools that support it that any defections could mean the NCAA no longer conductiong a championship for it.


    Also doesn’t a league lose its NCAA tournament automatic bid if it doesn’t have six continuous members for four years or something like that? By six continuous members I mean the same six teams together for four years, so
    for those purposes the PAC-4 is already screwed. I remember when this
    happened to the Metro Conference in the 1990s.

    --
    “I usually skip over your posts because of your disguistng, contrarian, liberal personality.” — Altie

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Michael Falkner@21:1/5 to The NOTBCS Guy on Sat Aug 5 16:33:20 2023
    On Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 1:31:50 PM UTC-7, The NOTBCS Guy wrote:
    I disagree. Cal-Berkeley has a culture most people find... weird. And then you have the culture in California that if you aren't some form of a pro team (HS football counts for the sports factories), no one cares. Which see, again, the vote to
    disallow sports gambling.
    Cal and Stanford have one advantage when it comes to the minor sports. Nobody plays a minor sport expecting to make it their professional career, which means a scholarship is pretty much a free ticket into a school where a degree just might be worth
    something.

    The problem being, even if those sports survive, they will only survive as long as it would take for the sport to be shown non-self-sufficient.

    And refresh my memory - you're not from California? I am, and I saw the politics behind this vote first hand, starting long before the ballot propositions even had numbers.

    I actually AM from California.

    One problem with the vote was, there were two competing propositions. One would limit it to being physically in a tribal casino, or one of the four (oops - now three, now that Golden Gate Fields is being sold) major horse racing tracks in California;
    the other would allow for online betting, but while technically it had to be run by the tribes, they could (and would) outsource it to companies like DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM (which, in fact, were the main contributors to that proposition). The TV
    commercials weren't so much "vote for me" as they were "don't vote for my opponent" - and the TV commercials started LONG before there were enough signatures for either one to qualify for the ballot.

    That is correct, but there are two other things you need to keep in mind.

    1) Especially in the Bay Area, no one gives a tinker's fuck about any sports unless the team is winning AND usually also it's one of the pro teams (usually 49ers/Giants/Warriors).

    2) Though you are correct in the idea: If there was interest in sports betting _in any form_ in California, ONE of the two (at minimum) would've ended up with some support, and not lose the tribes by 2 or 3 to 1, and the online apps by 5 to 1. Those
    are numbers indicating not only "We don't want you doing it" nor "We don't want sports betting in this state." but "Don't you DARE waste our time coming back and trying again!"

    The commercials for the "no online betting" ones pretty much consisted of two kinds: (a) "DraftKings and FanDuel will pocket most of the money, and California will get very little of it!", and (b) "Do you honestly think your teenagers won't be able to
    place bets?" Meanwhile,

    That b) argument was a very compelling one -- and, facts be facts, you're seeing some of that argument come to fruition in the Iowa/Iowa State investigation, with at least seven athletes or former athletes arrested for deliberate misrepresentation to bet
    on those apps.

    the ones supporting online betting also had two kinds; the ones that aired outside of sporting events touted how some of the profits would go towards supporting the state's homeless,

    Which, speaking as one formerly and soon-to-be-future, is a complete laugh. The only way you're dealing with the homeless problem in CA now is to basically raise a militia and liquidate the cities.

    The time for non-punitive (which, in this case, does mean non-lethal -- jail or prison is often a significant improvement for a homeless person -- there's no deterrent whatsoever, save prison rape or direct death) action was 20 years ago, and even I told
    a member of the SFPD they were gonna have to turn Golden Gate Park into a mass processing center and bring in the National Guard _then_.

    while the ones that aired during sporting events (literally, one aired for the first time in the first 10 minutes of Fox's first NFL pregame show of 2022) said, "Online betting in California if you vote for us. Enough said." Between each side's
    detractors and the people against sports betting in California in general (plus who knows how much money from various Vegas/Reno/Tahoe casino interests), both were doomed to defeat.

    ... because the only sports fans in California are some of the worst bandwagoners in history, doubly so in the Bay Area. (Hence my comment about Cal-Berkeley)

    Note that, under California law, the next chance to change the law to allow for sports betting of any sort (besides horse racing) is in November, 2024.

    Not happening, as I said above.

    Mike

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From JGibson@21:1/5 to Eric Ramon on Sat Aug 5 18:49:01 2023
    On Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 3:27:57 PM UTC-4, Eric Ramon wrote:
    On Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 12:14:10 PM UTC-7, The NOTBCS Guy wrote:
    Now, real chance (at least IMODO) that at least one of the remaining four
    schools drops it's athletic program completely.

    There is zero chance that happens. They may drop to a lower level but will
    not completely eliminate.
    "Drop to a lower level?" He's not talking about just football; he's talking about all sports. No way any of these schools ends up in Division II, much less get rid of all of their sports, or change them all to "club level," whatever that means.
    Cal and Stanford are far too entrenched in the "minor sports" to drop them. Cut a few, maybe - back in 2010, Cal tried cutting its baseball, women's lacrosse, and men's and women's gymnastics programs (all four of which currently exist) - but
    certainly not the one thing that still brings in money; men's basketball.

    There's a slim change Oregon State or Washington State could drop their football program, and a slightly less slim chance one or more of the four drops down to FCS and joins the Big West.

    Men's basketball...pardon me while I look something up...
    Normally, when a school leaves a conference, any shares of the Basketball TV money that it earned remain with the conference. However, according to the NCAA Bylaws, once a multisport (as opposed to something like the CCHA) conference drops below 7
    schools, it has 2 years to get back to 7, or its remaining shares go to the teams' new conferences.
    Assuming none of these four teams gets into the NCAA tournament in the next few years (and the last time any of them did was when Cal and Oregon State got in in 2016, although I think Cal was one of the "first four out" in 2017), that's about $10.9
    million in 2025 and $9.25 million in 2026.

    Also, the NCAA is probably sweating about whether Cal and Stanford can keep up their mens' gymnastics programs, as there are already so few schools that support it that any defections could mean the NCAA no longer conductiong a championship for it.
    there is NO chance Oregon State drops football. Jonathan Smith has a contract that runs until 2029. They have to pay him somehow and football is the best way to raise that money. I think they end up in the Mountain West. Additionally, with Oregon State,
    the Beavers are a national power in baseball. If any school does drop sports it won't be Oregon State

    Oregon State, Cal, Stanford, and Washington State might not be brand-name enough for the Big Ten, but they are still miles ahead of most of the Mountain West. I feel like the MWC would take any of those schools in a heartbeat.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From AJ@21:1/5 to JGibson on Sun Aug 6 02:44:44 2023
    JGibson <james.m.gibson@gmail.com> wrote in news:4b98f554-7b89-4657-99bf-93838d516a02n@googlegroups.com:

    On Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 3:27:57 PM UTC-4, Eric Ramon wrote:
    On Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 12:14:10 PM UTC-7, The NOTBCS Guy
    wrote:
    Now, real chance (at least IMODO) that at least one of the
    remainin
    g four
    schools drops it's athletic program completely.

    There is zero chance that happens. They may drop to a lower level
    but
    will
    not completely eliminate.
    "Drop to a lower level?" He's not talking about just football; he's
    tal
    king about all sports. No way any of these schools ends up in Division
    II, much less get rid of all of their sports, or change them all to
    "club level," whatever that means.
    Cal and Stanford are far too entrenched in the "minor sports" to
    drop t
    hem. Cut a few, maybe - back in 2010, Cal tried cutting its baseball,
    women's lacrosse, and men's and women's gymnastics programs (all four
    of which currently exist) - but certainly not the one thing that still
    brings in money; men's basketball.

    There's a slim change Oregon State or Washington State could drop
    their
    football program, and a slightly less slim chance one or more of the
    four drops down to FCS and joins the Big West.

    Men's basketball...pardon me while I look something up...
    Normally, when a school leaves a conference, any shares of the
    Basketba
    ll TV money that it earned remain with the conference. However,
    according to the NCAA Bylaws, once a multisport (as opposed to
    something like the CCHA) conference drops below 7 schools, it has 2
    years to get back to 7, or its remaining shares go to the teams' new conferences.
    Assuming none of these four teams gets into the NCAA tournament in
    the
    next few years (and the last time any of them did was when Cal and
    Oregon State got in in 2016, although I think Cal was one of the
    "first four out" in 2017), that's about $10.9 million in 2025 and
    $9.25 million in 2026.

    Also, the NCAA is probably sweating about whether Cal and Stanford
    can
    keep up their mens' gymnastics programs, as there are already so few
    schools that support it that any defections could mean the NCAA no
    longer conductiong a championship for it.
    there is NO chance Oregon State drops football. Jonathan Smith has a
    cont
    ract that runs until 2029. They have to pay him somehow and football
    is the best way to raise that money. I think they end up in the
    Mountain West. Additionally, with Oregon State, the Beavers are a
    national power in baseball. If any school does drop sports it won't be
    Oregon State

    Oregon State, Cal, Stanford, and Washington State might not be
    brand-name enough for the Big Ten, but they are still miles ahead of
    most of the Mountain West. I feel like the MWC would take any of
    those schools in a heartbeat.

    You might run to run your numbers on that again. Half the MW can beat any
    of those leftover teams.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Michael Falkner@21:1/5 to All on Sat Aug 5 20:13:57 2023
    On Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 7:44:49 PM UTC-7, AJ wrote:

    You might run to run your numbers on that again. Half the MW can beat any
    of those leftover teams.

    He's talking Mar-Kee Val-You.

    Mike

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From JGibson@21:1/5 to Michael Falkner on Sun Aug 6 05:31:36 2023
    On Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 11:14:00 PM UTC-4, Michael Falkner wrote:
    On Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 7:44:49 PM UTC-7, AJ wrote:

    You might run to run your numbers on that again. Half the MW can beat any of those leftover teams.
    He's talking Mar-Kee Val-You.

    Yep. Attendance rankings may not be a perfect way to rank this, but it gets it close. Looking at this site:

    https://collegefootballnews.com/rankings/college-football-attendance-rankings-2023-five-year-program-analysis

    we have the following for the MWC plus the remaining Pac-4:

    121. San Jose State
    116. New Mexico
    112. Hawaii
    108. Nevada
    97. Utah State
    91. UNLV
    88. Wyoming
    87. San Diego State
    80. Air Force
    78. Colorado State
    77. Washington State
    69. Oregon State
    67. Boise State
    64. Stanford
    60. Fresno State
    55. Cal

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  • From xyzzy@21:1/5 to JGibson on Sun Aug 6 16:45:45 2023
    JGibson <james.m.gibson@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 11:14:00 PM UTC-4, Michael Falkner wrote:
    On Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 7:44:49 PM UTC-7, AJ wrote:

    You might run to run your numbers on that again. Half the MW can beat any >>> of those leftover teams.
    He's talking Mar-Kee Val-You.

    Yep. Attendance rankings may not be a perfect way to rank this, but it
    gets it close. Looking at this site:

    https://collegefootballnews.com/rankings/college-football-attendance-rankings-2023-five-year-program-analysis

    we have the following for the MWC plus the remaining Pac-4:

    121. San Jose State
    116. New Mexico
    112. Hawaii
    108. Nevada
    97. Utah State
    91. UNLV
    88. Wyoming
    87. San Diego State
    80. Air Force
    78. Colorado State
    77. Washington State
    69. Oregon State
    67. Boise State
    64. Stanford
    60. Fresno State
    55. Cal



    That was an informative link. By my reckoning, and I’m not sure I know who all the B12 members are, the worst power conference teams in that ranking
    are:

    86 Duke
    77 Washington State
    76 Vanderbilt
    72 Wake Forest

    Also for the B1G, the rear is brought up by successful expansion candidate:

    62 Maryland


    --
    “I usually skip over your posts because of your disguistng, contrarian, liberal personality.” — Altie

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  • From RSFC Moderator@21:1/5 to All on Mon Aug 7 07:33:24 2023
    On Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 10:44:49 PM UTC-4, AJ wrote:

    You might run to run your numbers on that again. Half the MW can beat any
    of those leftover teams.

    Per 2022 Sagarin, the worst of the leftovers--- Stanford--- was better than 9/12 of the MW teams. OSU was significantly better than all teams in the MW, or for that matter, better than all teams in the ACC.

    Granted, it was a good year for the Beavers. But all of the leftovers have had good years.

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  • From JGibson@21:1/5 to xyzzy on Mon Aug 7 07:22:00 2023
    On Sunday, August 6, 2023 at 12:45:51 PM UTC-4, xyzzy wrote:
    JGibson <james.m...@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 11:14:00 PM UTC-4, Michael Falkner wrote:
    On Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 7:44:49 PM UTC-7, AJ wrote:

    You might run to run your numbers on that again. Half the MW can beat any
    of those leftover teams.
    He's talking Mar-Kee Val-You.

    Yep. Attendance rankings may not be a perfect way to rank this, but it gets it close. Looking at this site:

    https://collegefootballnews.com/rankings/college-football-attendance-rankings-2023-five-year-program-analysis

    we have the following for the MWC plus the remaining Pac-4:

    121. San Jose State
    116. New Mexico
    112. Hawaii
    108. Nevada
    97. Utah State
    91. UNLV
    88. Wyoming
    87. San Diego State
    80. Air Force
    78. Colorado State
    77. Washington State
    69. Oregon State
    67. Boise State
    64. Stanford
    60. Fresno State
    55. Cal


    That was an informative link. By my reckoning, and I’m not sure I know who all the B12 members are, the worst power conference teams in that ranking are:

    86 Duke
    77 Washington State
    76 Vanderbilt
    72 Wake Forest

    Also for the B1G, the rear is brought up by successful expansion candidate:

    62 Maryland

    Here's some things that strike me from the list. After Oklahoma and Texas (but still prior to the Big Ten acquisitions) went to the SEC, 18 of the top 20 are Big Ten or SEC schools, the only exceptions being Notre Dame and Clemson. The Pac-12 only had
    2 in the top 30: Washington and USC, and two more between 30 and 40: Oregon and Utah. Without USC and UCLA, I don't think the Pac-N was ever going to be able to pull a really good TV deal. The Big 12 did themselves some favors by quickly snagging BYU (
    23rd), and UCF (49th). Certainly not as good as Oklahoma and Texas but right in line with the next tier. With the recent moves, the team with the best attendance that does not belong to the Big Ten, SEC, ACC, or Big 12 is Cal at #55.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From The NOTBCS Guy@21:1/5 to All on Mon Aug 7 08:53:40 2023
    Here's some things that strike me from the list. After Oklahoma and Texas (but still prior to the Big Ten acquisitions) went to the SEC, 18 of the top 20 are Big Ten or SEC schools, the only exceptions being Notre Dame and Clemson. The Pac-12 only had
    2 in the top 30: Washington and USC, and two more between 30 and 40: Oregon and Utah. Without USC and UCLA, I don't think the Pac-N was ever going to be able to pull a really good TV deal. The Big 12 did themselves some favors by quickly snagging BYU (
    23rd), and UCF (49th). Certainly not as good as Oklahoma and Texas but right in line with the next tier. With the recent moves, the team with the best attendance that does not belong to the Big Ten, SEC, ACC, or Big 12 is Cal at #55.

    And how much of that Cal attendance rating is the 70,000+ it packs into Memorial Stadium every other year when it hosts Stanford - and if it doesn't do the same every other year when it hosts USC (something that's not going to happen on a regular basis,
    much less every other year, any more), it comes considerably close?

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  • From The NOTBCS Guy@21:1/5 to All on Mon Aug 7 09:38:43 2023
    Note that, under California law, the next chance to change the law to allow for sports betting of any sort (besides horse racing) is in November, 2024.
    Not happening, as I said above.

    Usually, even repeated serious losses at the ballot box doesn't stop some people from trying again (examples: all of the attempts in the late 1980s to get an independent commission to draw the Congressional districts, and then all of the attempts to
    require that minors have permission from a parent or judge to get an abortion), but you're right; there aren't even any petitions being circulated to authorize sports betting in California at the moment. I guess Vegas is betting on Plan B: that high-
    speed rail link between Vegas and LA.

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  • From Michael Falkner@21:1/5 to The NOTBCS Guy on Mon Aug 7 11:17:17 2023
    On Monday, August 7, 2023 at 9:38:46 AM UTC-7, The NOTBCS Guy wrote:
    Note that, under California law, the next chance to change the law to allow for sports betting of any sort (besides horse racing) is in November, 2024.
    Not happening, as I said above.
    Usually, even repeated serious losses at the ballot box doesn't stop some people from trying again (examples: all of the attempts in the late 1980s to get an independent commission to draw the Congressional districts, and then all of the attempts to
    require that minors have permission from a parent or judge to get an abortion), but you're right; there aren't even any petitions being circulated to authorize sports betting in California at the moment. I guess Vegas is betting on Plan B: that high-
    speed rail link between Vegas and LA.

    The point is the margin of loss, as I said, isn't just "We don't want it." but "Get that shit outta here!"

    Mike

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  • From Michael Falkner@21:1/5 to JGibson on Mon Aug 7 11:16:31 2023
    On Monday, August 7, 2023 at 7:22:04 AM UTC-7, JGibson wrote:

    Here's some things that strike me from the list. After Oklahoma and Texas (but still prior to the Big Ten acquisitions) went to the SEC, 18 of the top 20 are Big Ten or SEC schools, the only exceptions being Notre Dame and Clemson. The Pac-12 only had
    2 in the top 30: Washington and USC, and two more between 30 and 40: Oregon and Utah. Without USC and UCLA, I don't think the Pac-N was ever going to be able to pull a really good TV deal. The Big 12 did themselves some favors by quickly snagging BYU (
    23rd), and UCF (49th). Certainly not as good as Oklahoma and Texas but right in line with the next tier. With the recent moves, the team with the best attendance that does not belong to the Big Ten, SEC, ACC, or Big 12 is Cal at #55.

    And Cal hasn't been on-field relevant since the year they got screwed out and told the Holiday Bowl to go fuck off.

    You are basically going to be down to four major conferences and Notre Dame. Do you get a re-breakaway, or...

    Mike

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  • From RSFC Moderator@21:1/5 to JGibson on Mon Aug 7 18:50:38 2023
    On Sunday, August 6, 2023 at 8:31:38 AM UTC-4, JGibson wrote:
    On Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 11:14:00 PM UTC-4, Michael Falkner wrote:
    On Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 7:44:49 PM UTC-7, AJ wrote:

    You might run to run your numbers on that again. Half the MW can beat any
    of those leftover teams.
    He's talking Mar-Kee Val-You.
    Yep. Attendance rankings may not be a perfect way to rank this, but it gets it close. Looking at this site:

    https://collegefootballnews.com/rankings/college-football-attendance-rankings-2023-five-year-program-analysis

    we have the following for the MWC plus the remaining Pac-4:

    121. San Jose State
    116. New Mexico
    112. Hawaii
    108. Nevada
    97. Utah State
    91. UNLV
    88. Wyoming
    87. San Diego State
    80. Air Force
    78. Colorado State
    77. Washington State
    69. Oregon State
    67. Boise State
    64. Stanford
    60. Fresno State
    55. Cal

    I wonder what effect Covid had on these numbers--- IIRC, not all parts of the country had the same attendance rules. In particular, this might tend to make the SEC's performance here look better than it should relative to west coast and northeastern
    teams.

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