XPost: rec.radio.amateur.space, rec.radio.shortwave, rec.radio.info
:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2022 Feb 28 0132 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
#
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
21 - 27 February 2022
Solar activity ranged from very low to low levels throughout the
week. Regions 2954 (N17, L=118, class/area=Hsx/120 on 21 Feb) and
2955 (N14, L=107, class/area=Hsx/150 on 22 Feb) were the primary
regions on the disk, but remained quiescent throughout the period.
No Earth-directed CMEs were observed.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels on 26 Feb, and was normal to moderate throughout the
remainder of the period.
Geomagnetic field activity reached active levels on 21 Feb and Minor
(G1) geomagnetic storm levels on 22 Feb due to the influence of a
positive polarity CH HSS. Active conditions were once again observed
on 27 Feb due to another geoeffective positive polarity CH HSS.
Quiet and quiet to unsettled conditions were observed throughout the
remainder of the week under a background solar wind environment.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
28 February - 26 March 2022
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for C-class
flares throughout the outlook period.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to reach high levels on 28 Feb-08 Mar, 12-17 and 20-22 Mar
in response to enhanced solar wind conditions associated with
recurrent CH HSSs.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to reach active levels on 28
Feb-01 Mar, 05-06, 11-12, and 19-21 Mar due to multiple recurrent CH
HSSs. Quiet and quiet to unsettled field activity is expected to
prevail throughout the remainder of the outlook period.
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