XPost: rec.radio.amateur.space, rec.radio.shortwave, rec.radio.info
:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2023 Feb 06 0112 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
#
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
30 January - 05 February 2023
Solar activity was low. The largest event of the period was a C6.6
flare at 05/0326 UTC from an unnumbered region from around the east
limb. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed throughout the period.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
normal to moderate levels throughout the reporting period.
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to active levels. Active
conditions were observed on 02 Feb, unsettled levels were observed
on 30-31 Jan and 01, 03-04 Feb due to CH HSS influence. Quiet
conditions prevailed on 05 Feb.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
06 February - 04 March 2023
Solar activity is expected to be low with a slight chance for
M-class flare activity (R1-R2) throughout the outlook period.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to be at normal to moderate levels for the duration of the
outlook period.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to range from quiet to active
levels. Active conditions are likely on 07-08 Feb. Unsettled levels
are likely on 06, 09-10, 18-19, 22-24, 27 Feb and 02 Mar. Increased
geomagnetic activity is in response to multiple, recurrent CH HSSs.
The remainder of the outlook period is expected to be mostly quiet.
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