Just what it says:

"New Atlanticist

March 9, 2022

Russia Crisis Military Assessment: How will Russia stage the battle of Kyiv?
By Atlantic Council military fellows"

"In light of the ongoing Russia crisis, the Scowcroft Center’s Forward Defense (FD) practice will share weekly assessments of the latest force developments surrounding Ukraine, leveraging the expert perspectives of
our senior military fellows. The opinions, conclusions, and
recommendations expressed or implied here are solely those of the
authors and do not represent the views of the Department of Defense or
any other US government agency.

The bottom line
After two weeks of fighting, Russia’s own force miscalculations and
fierce Ukrainian opposition have dashed the Kremlin’s hopes of a
lightning victory over Ukraine. This week, we anticipate another Russian offensive against Kyiv which would heavily rely on artillery and air
strikes targeting Ukrainian forces—but with little regard for civilian casualties and collateral damage. The fight for air superiority remains
highly contested, with unanticipated Russian Air Force losses. Neither
Russia nor Ukraine is likely to gain air superiority over the next week,
and we expect high attrition of Russian attack aircraft and helicopters
to continue as Russia attempts to support its ground forces. Meanwhile,
Russian forces are enjoying much greater success in the south, where
they are close to solidifying a land bridge from the Crimean Peninsula
to the Donbas region. We predict Russia will carry out a major attack on
Odesa, leveraging a small amphibious operation used to reinforce ground
forces with additional personnel and ground-based fire systems and
augmented by air and missile strikes against Ukrainian positions.
Furthermore, we assess that Russian President Vladimir Putin will
maintain, if not increase, his tacit or explicit threats of nuclear
escalation.
[snip]

https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/russia-crisis-military-assessment-how-will-russia-stage-the-battle-of-kyiv/

TB

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