• Out or in?

    From Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to All on Tue Dec 7 09:48:08 2021
    XGID=-a----E-DAa-dB-----bcBb-bA:0:0:1:62:0:0:0:0:10

    X:Player 1 O:Player 2
    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X | | O O X O O |
    | X | | O O X O O |
    | | | O |
    | | | |
    | | X | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | X |
    | O X | | X |
    | O X | | X |
    | O X | | X |
    | O O X X | | X O |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 164 O: 126 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X to play 62

    ---
    Tim Chow

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to All on Thu Dec 9 22:04:52 2021
    XGID=-a----E-DAa-dB-----bcBb-bA:0:0:1:62:0:0:0:0:10

    X:Player 1 O:Player 2
    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X | | O O X O O |
    | X | | O O X O O |
    | | | O |
    | | | |
    | | X | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | X |
    | O X | | X |
    | O X | | X |
    | O X | | X |
    | O O X X | | X O |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 164 O: 126 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X to play 62

    I played bar/17 here, which also happens to be XG 3-ply's play.
    But the rollout favors bar/23 9/3.

    1. Rollout¹ Bar/23 9/3 eq:-0.861
    Player: 33.33% (G:7.02% B:0.30%)
    Opponent: 66.67% (G:29.81% B:0.60%)
    Confidence: ±0.018 (-0.879..-0.842) - [100.0%]

    2. Rollout¹ Bar/17 eq:-0.938 (-0.077)
    Player: 30.60% (G:5.70% B:0.21%)
    Opponent: 69.40% (G:25.27% B:0.43%)
    Confidence: ±0.017 (-0.954..-0.921) - [0.0%]

    ¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
    Dice Seed: 271828
    Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

    ---
    Tim Chow

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)