XGID=--BBBBC-A------c-cBdb-Aab-:1:1:1:61:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O X | | O O X O O |
| O O X | | O O O |
| O O | | O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | X | +---+
| | | X X X X X | | 2 |
| X | | X X X X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 112 O: 92 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 61

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

XGID=--BBBBC-A------c-cBdb-Aab-:1:1:1:61:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O X | | O O X O O |
| O O X | | O O O |
| O O | | O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | X | +---+
| | | X X X X X | | 2 |
| X | | X X X X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 112 O: 92 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 61

OTB, I judged that 8/1 was the DMP play, and I figured that my strong
board and O's somewhat awkward structure meant that I wouldn't lose
too many gammons. According to XG, however, 22/16 along with 8/7
or 6/5 wins about as many games as 8/1 and loses significantly fewer
gammons.

1. Rollout¹ 22/16 6/5 eq:-0.502
Player: 21.84% (G:0.22% B:0.00%)
Opponent: 78.16% (G:0.53% B:0.00%)
Confidence: ±0.004 (-0.506..-0.498) - [69.5%]

2. Rollout¹ 22/16 8/7 eq:-0.503 (-0.001)
Player: 21.81% (G:0.24% B:0.00%)
Opponent: 78.19% (G:0.52% B:0.01%)
Confidence: ±0.004 (-0.507..-0.500) - [30.5%]

3. Rollout¹ 22/16 5/4 eq:-0.534 (-0.033)
Player: 21.39% (G:0.56% B:0.01%)
Opponent: 78.61% (G:3.12% B:0.10%)
Confidence: ±0.004 (-0.538..-0.531) - [0.0%]

4. Rollout¹ 22/16 2/1 eq:-0.538 (-0.036)
Player: 21.39% (G:0.66% B:0.01%)
Opponent: 78.61% (G:3.42% B:0.17%)
Confidence: ±0.004 (-0.542..-0.534) - [0.0%]

5. Rollout¹ 22/16 4/3 eq:-0.544 (-0.042)
Player: 20.98% (G:0.68% B:0.02%)
Opponent: 79.02% (G:3.27% B:0.09%)
Confidence: ±0.004 (-0.548..-0.540) - [0.0%]

6. Rollout¹ 22/16 3/2 eq:-0.545 (-0.043)
Player: 20.93% (G:0.62% B:0.01%)
Opponent: 79.07% (G:3.30% B:0.12%)
Confidence: ±0.004 (-0.549..-0.541) - [0.0%]

7. Rollout¹ 8/1 eq:-0.562 (-0.060)
Player: 22.01% (G:1.02% B:0.02%)
Opponent: 77.99% (G:7.10% B:0.06%)
Confidence: ±0.004 (-0.566..-0.558) - [0.0%]

8. Rollout¹ 8/2 6/5 eq:-0.566 (-0.064)
Player: 21.89% (G:0.94% B:0.02%)
Opponent: 78.11% (G:7.19% B:0.06%)
Confidence: ±0.004 (-0.570..-0.561) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)