On 1/17/2024 9:07 AM, I wrote:
On 1/16/2024 11:33 AM, peps...@gmail.com wrote:
But I haven't been doing rollouts.
So isn't it possible that you're reporting an analysis/rollout difference
rather than a match/money difference?
I did a match score rollout as well and it confirmed the
4-ply analysis. Maybe I'll post it later, but I have to
run now.
XGID=aABBCBC------A---c-dbAcb--:0:0:1:00:8:6:0:11:10
Score is X:8 O:6 11 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O | | O O X O O |
| O | | O O O O |
| O | | O O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| | | |
| | | X X |
| | | X X X X X |
| | | X X X X X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 85 O: 96 X-O: 8-6/11
Cube: 1
X on roll, cube action
Analyzed in Rollout
No double
Player Winning Chances: 92.50% (G:12.75% B:0.07%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 7.50% (G:0.76% B:0.02%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 93.19% (G:12.27% B:0.16%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 6.81% (G:1.22% B:0.05%)
Cubeful Equities:
No double: +1.013
Double/Take: +1.969 (+0.957)
Double/Pass: +1.000 (-0.013)
Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 1.3%
Rollout:
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Confidence No Double: ± 0.004 (+1.009..+1.016)
Confidence Double: ± 0.006 (+1.964..+1.975)
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2
---
Tim Chow
--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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