• Re: Yes, I know it's a double!

    From Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to peps...@gmail.com on Wed Jan 10 22:05:27 2024
    On 1/10/2024 4:38 PM, peps...@gmail.com wrote:
    XGID=aECEA-------a--b-cbccA----:1:-1:-1:00:3:2:0:11:10
    X:XG Roller+ O:Daniel

    Score is X:2 O:3 11 pt.(s) match.
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X | | O O O O |
    | | | O O O |
    | | | O O O |
    | | | O O |
    | | X | O O |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | X | | X X | +---+
    | X X X | | X X | | 2 |
    | X X X | | X X O | +---+
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 129 O: 51 X-O: 2-3/11
    Cube: 2, X own cube
    X on roll, cube action

    I'd pass this one. The leader should be cautious about taking redoubles
    to 4 when losing a gammon is still a possibility. O's gammon loss rate
    is not super high here, but I don't think it's negligible, and it's
    also not that easy for O to win from here. Even if X dances, O is still
    in trouble unless O rolls an immediate 5.

    ---
    Tim Chow

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)