From
Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to
All on Tue Dec 19 09:22:58 2023
XGID=-Ba-ABBBB-----bbbb-bB-bbB-:0:0:1:22:0:0:0:7:10
Score is X:0 O:0 7 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O O O | | O X O O X |
| O O O O | | O X O O X |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| X X | | X X X |
| X X | | X X X O X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 146 O: 121 X-O: 0-0/7
Cube: 1
X to play 22
I didn't like the prospect of O escaping with a 6, so I tried 8/2* 4/2,
but XG doesn't like my play. Part of the problem is that if O hops out
into the outfield, it's hard for X's back checkers to do anything about
it, since O has a pretty strong prime. Have a look at the variant for comparison.
By the way, for anyone alert to have noticed---I did not intentionally
post this as a match-play problem. It was my intent to post it as an
unlimited game, but I goofed. Fortunately, 7a7a and unlimited are not
that different from each other.
1. Rollout¹ 20/18(2) 8/4 eq:-0.511
Player: 37.59% (G:10.44% B:0.17%)
Opponent: 62.41% (G:19.67% B:1.59%)
Confidence: ±0.011 (-0.523..-0.500) - [100.0%]
2. Rollout¹ 8/4(2) eq:-0.580 (-0.069)
Player: 34.99% (G:8.43% B:0.19%)
Opponent: 65.01% (G:14.14% B:0.74%)
Confidence: ±0.014 (-0.594..-0.567) - [0.0%]
3. Rollout¹ 8/2* 4/2 eq:-0.584 (-0.073)
Player: 34.37% (G:10.51% B:0.27%)
Opponent: 65.63% (G:16.21% B:1.06%)
Confidence: ±0.015 (-0.600..-0.569) - [0.0%]
4. Rollout¹ 7/3(2) eq:-0.649 (-0.137)
Player: 34.17% (G:9.00% B:0.20%)
Opponent: 65.83% (G:18.30% B:1.27%)
Confidence: ±0.012 (-0.661..-0.636) - [0.0%]
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2
-------
Variant
-------
XGID=-Ba-ABBBB-----b-bb-bBbbbB-:1:1:1:22:0:0:0:0:10
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O O | | O X O O O X |
| O O O | | O X O O O X |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | | +---+
| X X | | X X X | | 2 |
| X X | | X X X O X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 146 O: 109 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 22
1. Rollout¹ 8/2* 4/2 eq:-0.312
Player: 33.96% (G:9.91% B:0.16%)
Opponent: 66.04% (G:19.91% B:1.65%)
Confidence: ±0.009 (-0.321..-0.303) - [88.4%]
2. Rollout¹ 8/4(2) eq:-0.319 (-0.007)
Player: 33.43% (G:7.11% B:0.19%)
Opponent: 66.57% (G:17.53% B:1.25%)
Confidence: ±0.007 (-0.327..-0.312) - [11.6%]
3. Rollout¹ 20/18(2) 8/4 eq:-0.361 (-0.049)
Player: 34.74% (G:7.41% B:0.17%)
Opponent: 65.26% (G:24.67% B:2.35%)
Confidence: ±0.008 (-0.369..-0.353) - [0.0%]
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release
---
Tim Chow
--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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