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  • Re: Yes, I know, but I didn't ask you that

    From Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to peps...@gmail.com on Thu Dec 14 08:26:59 2023
    On 12/13/2023 7:16 PM, peps...@gmail.com wrote:
    Who is the equity favourite after my play?

    After your roll, your raw pip count is 48, and your EPC is probably
    about 10 pips more than that.

    An 8-roll position has an EPC of 57. O's position is a little worse
    than that, but not much worse. For the equity to be equal, the player
    on roll should be about 4 pips behind. So is O's EPC 62 or higher?
    I'd guess no, meaning that O is the equity favorite, but it looks
    close.

    Paul

    XGID=-CCBBBC----------a---ccdd-:2:1:1:21:0:0:3:0:10

    X:Daniel O:XG Roller+
    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | O | | O O O O |
    | | | O O O O |
    | | | O O O O |
    | | | O O |
    | | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | | | X X X | +---+
    | | | X X X X X X | | 4 |
    | | | X X X X X X | +---+
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 51 O: 41 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 4, X own cube
    X to play 21


    ---
    Tim Chow

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to peps...@gmail.com on Fri Dec 15 09:33:31 2023
    On 12/14/2023 6:13 PM, peps...@gmail.com wrote:

    I think XG said my position was 0.025

    XG 4-ply evaluation says -0.025 so maybe you misread the sign?

    XGID=-CCBBBC----------a---ccdd-:2:1:1:21:0:0:3:0:10

    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | O | | O O O O |
    | | | O O O O |
    | | | O O O O |
    | | | O O |
    | | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | | | X X X | +---+
    | | | X X X X X X | | 4 |
    | | | X X X X X X | +---+
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 51 O: 41 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 4, X own cube
    X to play 21

    1. 4-ply 2/Off 1/Off eq:-0.025
    Player: 42.25% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
    Opponent: 57.75% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

    ---
    Tim Chow

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