"
peps...@gmail.com" <
pepstein5@gmail.com> writes:
XGID=-BB----------------a----b-:1:1:1:00:8:0:0:11:10
X:Daniel O:XG Roller+
Score is X:8 O:0 11 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| | | O O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | | +---+
| | | X X | | 2 |
| | | X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 6 O: 8 X-O: 8-0/11
Cube: 2, X own cube
X on roll, cube action
Nice one. No need here for any race formulae, but I am surprised by how
good Kleinman works here, in a very short and extreme position. But of
course the game winning chances can be figured out analytically, even
over the board with a clock.
But this is only half of the task ...
Is my advantage strong enough to double? Should XG take?
Over the board this is a clear double according to Woolseys law: Your
oppenent must be either semi-mad or know about METs to at all consider
taking. (-;
Obviously, MET makes this problem completely trivial so please don't
use MET.
Err, what else? I cannot see another reasonable approach to sort this
out at this match score and cube level. (I assume Neil's numbers and
Turner's formula count as using MET.)
Best regards
Axel
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