• Obvious to Tim but some lesser players might not be interested

    From pepstein5@gmail.com@21:1/5 to All on Sat Oct 14 17:08:17 2023
    If you've really got absolutely nothing better to do, you might like to
    think about all three possible symmetric races where:
    1) The on-roll player has the cube.
    2) The pip count for each player is 7.
    3) Each player has exactly two checkers.

    If the checkers are on the points 6 and 1, it's a pass.
    Otherwise it's a take.
    With the checkers on 5 and 2, it's a bigger take than with
    the checkers on 4 and 3. Note that with the checkers on 5 and 2,
    it's a redouble whenever the on-roll player doesn't immediately bearoff.
    All positions need 3 rolls to bear off iff the first two rolls are 21,
    1 roll to bear off if the player immediately bears off (duh!)
    and 2 rolls to bear off otherwise.
    This means that the EPC depends only on the number of out shots.
    There are 19 outshots in the 5, 2 position, 17 in the 4, 3 position
    and 15 in the 6, 1 position.
    So the higher the EPC, the worse for the off-roll player.

    This seems paradoxical to me but I recently had a croissant and two
    fried eggs for breakfast and used the croissant to mop up the left over yolk, so I may not be a reliable source of info.

    Paradoxical because in a symmetrical position, a person might naively
    expect that the longer the race, the more chances the underdog has.
    But these three positions go in exactly the other direction.

    Thanks for listening. And thank you just as much if you didn't listen at all.

    Paul

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MK@21:1/5 to peps...@gmail.com on Sat Oct 14 21:18:47 2023
    On October 14, 2023 at 6:08:18 PM UTC-6, peps...@gmail.com wrote:

    Thanks for listening. And thank you
    just as much if you didn't listen at all.

    In either case, you must be thanking
    "a certain Tim" for listening or not, as
    your subject title infers that everyone
    else are lesser players who might not
    be interested, just like I wasn't ;).

    And I have this hunch that "your Tim"
    is the one with a math PHD; "RGB's
    infamous Tim The Math-Giver" who
    gave us "The 21^7 < 2^32 < 21^8"... :)

    If that's the case, then I have a strange
    suspicion that you intended to give him
    a private math lesson by discouraging
    everyone else as lesser players, (which
    adds injury to insult), but you sent your
    email to RGB by mistake... ;)

    MK

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From pepstein5@gmail.com@21:1/5 to All on Sun Oct 15 04:07:29 2023
    On Sunday, October 15, 2023 at 5:18:48 AM UTC+1, MK wrote:
    On October 14, 2023 at 6:08:18 PM UTC-6, peps...@gmail.com wrote:

    Thanks for listening. And thank you
    just as much if you didn't listen at all.
    In either case, you must be thanking
    "a certain Tim" for listening or not, as
    your subject title infers that everyone
    else are lesser players who might not
    be interested, just like I wasn't ;).

    And I have this hunch that "your Tim"
    is the one with a math PHD; "RGB's
    infamous Tim The Math-Giver" who
    gave us "The 21^7 < 2^32 < 21^8"... :)

    If that's the case, then I have a strange
    suspicion that you intended to give him
    a private math lesson by discouraging
    everyone else as lesser players, (which
    adds injury to insult), but you sent your
    email to RGB by mistake... ;)

    MK
    Thanks for your feedback.
    I didn't mean what you thought I meant.

    I will change the title of the thread.

    Paul

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MK@21:1/5 to peps...@gmail.com on Tue Oct 17 00:07:07 2023
    On October 15, 2023 at 5:07:31 AM UTC-6, peps...@gmail.com wrote:

    On October 15, 2023 at 5:18:48 AM UTC+1, MK wrote:

    On October 14, 2023 at 6:08:18 PM UTC-6, peps...@gmail.com wrote:

    Thanks for listening. And thank you
    just as much if you didn't listen at all.

    And I have this hunch that "your Tim"
    is the one with a math PHD; "RGB's
    infamous Tim The Math-Giver" who
    gave us "The 21^7 < 2^32 < 21^8"... :)

    If that's the case, then I have a strange
    suspicion that you intended to give him
    a private math lesson by discouraging
    everyone else as lesser players, (which
    adds injury to insult), but you sent your
    email to RGB by mistake... ;)

    Thanks for your feedback.
    I didn't mean what you thought I meant.
    I will change the title of the thread.

    It's too late. Your good deed is already
    done even if unintentionally, as it often
    happens... :)

    I had complained many times in the past
    that you start very interesting threads but
    that you don't pursue them to fruition and
    one of my frustrations with you is thay you
    are not adverserial enough with the likes
    of Tim, Axel, etc... :(

    It may be because of your shit-licking dog
    personality towards the members of your
    pack of ilks, whom you will nibble at but
    not bite, even though I consider you more
    capable of analytical and logical thinking
    than them half-brained PHD math-shitters.

    Despite my being snide in my previous post,
    I did indeed find your symmetrical examples
    interesting. Ever since I stuffed our "Tim The
    Math-Giver" into donkey's ass, I doubt that
    you will hear from him even though you were
    serviently reaching out to him specifically. :(

    But I think you yourself will be capable of
    developing further on what you posted. So,
    I will encourage you to do that by asking you
    whether the numbers you gave were based
    on Botsight or Isight..??

    Since I never considered anything to know
    about, I know nothing about Isight and I
    would more specifically like to hear what
    Isight says about your examples...??

    MK

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MK@21:1/5 to All on Tue Nov 7 01:50:09 2023
    On October 17, 2023 at 1:07:09 AM UTC-6, MK wrote:

    I had complained many times in the past
    that you start very interesting threads but
    that you don't pursue them to fruition and
    one of my frustrations with you is thay you
    are not adverserial enough with the likes
    of Tim, Axel, etc... :(

    It may be because of your shit-licking dog
    personality towards the members of your
    pack of ilks, whom you will nibble at but
    not bite, even though I consider you more
    capable of analytical and logical thinking
    than them half-brained PHD math-shitters.

    Despite my being snide in my previous post,
    I did indeed find your symmetrical examples
    interesting. Ever since I stuffed our "Tim The
    Math-Giver" into donkey's ass, I doubt that
    you will hear from him even though you were
    serviently reaching out to him specifically. :(

    But I think you yourself will be capable of
    developing further on what you posted. So,
    I will encourage you to do that by asking you
    whether the numbers you gave were based
    on Botsight or Isight..??

    Since I never considered anything to know
    about, I know nothing about Isight and I
    would more specifically like to hear what
    Isight says about your examples...??

    I'm not disappointed that Tim didn't respond
    to you, since I had predicted that he wouldn't.

    Perhaps he "gave you math" by private email
    as it's very common practice among the sick
    dog pack of the gamblegammon world.

    I'm not disappointed that Axel didn't chime in
    either about his Isight that I had asked about.

    But I'm slightly disappointed that you didn't
    respond to my question on a subject that you
    initiated yourself... :(

    So, let me do the dirty work and answer you all.

    Noo-BG says:

    43 EPC 12.502 Wastage 5.502 3 ply: 74.9 Double, take
    52 EPC 12.048 Wastage 5.048 3 ply: 74.9 Double, take
    61 EPC 12.956 Wastage 5.956 3 ply: 75.5 Double, pass

    Quite obviously, you below paraphrased comments
    were based on those numbers.

    "19 outshots in the 5, 2
    "17 outshots in the 4, 3
    "15 outshots in the 6, 1 position.
    "So the higher the EPC, the worse for the off-roll player.

    Let me see if I can figure what Axel's Isight would say?

    "To decide on cube action, start with a straight pip
    "count for each player.

    7 in all examples for both sides.

    "Add 1 pip for each additional checker on the board
    "compared to the opponent.

    N/A in all examples for both sides.

    "Add 2 pips for each checker more than 2 on point 1.

    N/A in all examples for both sides.

    "Add 1 pip for each checker more than 2 on point 2.

    N/A in all examples for both sides.

    "Add 1 pip for each checker more than 3 on point 3.

    N/A in all examples for both sides.

    "Add 1 pip for each empty space on points 4, 5, or 6
    "(only if the other player has a checker on his
    "corresponding point).

    N/A in all examples for both sides.

    "Add 1 pip for each additional crossover compared
    "to the opponent.

    N/A in all examples for both sides.

    "The cube action for money is with your adjusted
    "pip count L and your lead ∆L (can be negative),
    "p = 80 − L / 3 + 2∆L is your approximated CPW.

    L = 7
    ∆L = 0
    p = 80 - 7 / 3 + 2 * 0 = 82.333

    "The cube action for money is:
    "p < 68 : No double, take.

    N/A

    "68 ≤ p < 70 : Double, take.

    N/A

    "70 ≤ p ≤ 76 : Redouble, take.

    N/A

    "p > 76 : Redouble, pass.

    82.333 > 76: Redouble, pass in all 3 positions

    Unless I misunderstand it, it looks like Axel's
    Isight is a pile of horse-muffins...?

    And the reason why nobody publicly followed
    up to your original post, as well as the reason
    why you haven't responded to my questions...?

    MK

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MK@21:1/5 to All on Sun Nov 26 03:22:49 2023
    On November 7, 2023 at 2:50:11 AM UTC-7, MK wrote:

    82.333 > 76: Redouble, pass in all 3 positions
    Unless I misunderstand it, it looks like Axel's
    Isight is a pile of horse-muffins...?

    And the reason why nobody publicly followed
    up to your original post, as well as the reason
    why you haven't responded to my questions...?

    After three weeks since I posted the above,
    nobody corrected my arithmetic either... :( ;)

    We know that Tim, Axel, et al. are not really
    mathematicians but not even arithmeticians?
    Come on sick basses bite my bait so that I can
    mount you on my wall...

    In the alternative, you can all eat cow-pies and
    horse-muffins and die...! :)

    MK

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)