XGID=---ABcBCB-----A-bbbbBbBb--:1:1:1:64:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O O | | O X O X O |
| O O O | | O X O X O |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| X | | O | +---+
| X X | | X O X | | 2 |
| X X | | X O X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 158 O: 132 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 64

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

On Tuesday, November 9, 2021 at 2:11:46 AM UTC, Tim Chow wrote:

XGID=---ABcBCB-----A-bbbbBbBb--:1:1:1:64:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O O | | O X O X O |
| O O O | | O X O X O |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| X | | O | +---+
| X X | | X O X | | 2 |
| X X | | X O X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 158 O: 132 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 64

I don't particularly like being tricked so I'll mount a rearguard action in case you're being a bit tricky.
The post title is like "We know it's 7/3 to cover but are you leaving the anchor, or maintaining the anchor
and covering the outfield?"
Well, no! I don't have to play 7/3. Show me the law which mandates this. Maybe it's childish to want everything but I want to maintain the presence in the outfield and my anchors.
Also I don't want to be hit because then I'm likely to get stuck and crash.
8/2 8/4 for me. A three point prime is hardly the world's strongest force so disintegrating it seems like the least evil.

Paul

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

On 11/8/2021 9:11 PM, Timothy Chow wrote:

XGID=---ABcBCB-----A-bbbbBbBb--:1:1:1:64:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1   O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game  +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
 |    X     O  O  O |   | O  X  O  X  O    |  |          O  O  O |   | O  X  O  X  O    |  |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |BAR|                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                X |   |    O             | +---+
 |             X  X |   | X  O  X          | | 2 |  |             X  X |   | X  O  X  X       | +---+  +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count  X: 158  O: 132 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 64

14/8 gives up outfield control. After making the three point, playing
off the 8 or 7 seems too loose. That seems to leave 20/14. O's points
in front of the anchor are stripped so not that many hitting numbers and
not enough timing for a backgame. I'll go for that.

20/14 7/3

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

XGID=---ABcBCB-----A-bbbbBbBb--:1:1:1:64:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O O | | O X O X O |
| O O O | | O X O X O |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| X | | O | +---+
| X X | | X O X | | 2 |
| X X | | X O X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 158 O: 132 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 64

It is true that sometimes when my subject line is "How do you
play the 6?" I am trying to trick the reader into assuming
that the rest of the roll is obvious, when it really isn't.
But for this ploy to work well, I need to sometimes use that
type of subject line when the rest of the roll really is obvious.

After 7/3, 14/8 is the "obvious" play, but the trouble is that
O has the better prime and X is in danger of collapsing. 20/14
does risk getting attacked but O doesn't have spares to attack
with and X's board is as strong as O's.

1. Rollout¹ 20/14 7/3 eq:-0.125
Player: 39.96% (G:8.53% B:0.33%)
Opponent: 60.04% (G:15.21% B:0.53%)
Confidence: ±0.012 (-0.137..-0.113) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 14/8 7/3 eq:-0.222 (-0.097)
Player: 36.08% (G:7.21% B:0.30%)
Opponent: 63.92% (G:14.18% B:0.43%)
Confidence: ±0.009 (-0.231..-0.214) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)