I see that all kinds of discussions have been going
on in Bgonline and Facebook BG group, about the
fate of XG and the future of AI gamblegammon bots.
Let's start by first going back in time for a minute.
Until 2001, the last Jellyfish was v3.2 and users were
asking if there would ever be a v4.0 until this post:
https://groups.google.com/g/rec.games.backgammon/c/Wa5yFNkgMqI/m/TIlXI5pyaPgJ
After that and until 2008, the last Snowie was v4.71
and users were asking if there would ever be a v5.0
until this post:
https://groups.google.com/g/rec.games.backgammon/c/NE1HhK27yAA/m/udzwG8exJt0J
Then until 2014, the last XG was v2.1 and users were
wondering if there would ever be a v3.0 while rumors
were circulating such as in this thread about Wachtel's
book (save your time and skip reading the long thread):
https://groups.google.com/g/rec.games.backgammon/c/0oGf7_Dmhpk/m/OjEMeJPWryoJ
In one post, Tim Chow mentions that the book included
rollouts done using XG v3.0 beta. But by 2015, there was
only a minor update to v2.19 and with that, in 2016 I had
predicted that there would never be an XG v3.0 and in
2017 I had reiterated my prediction that Xavier would go
down the way of Fredrik Dahl and Olivier Egger. See:
https://groups.google.com/g/rec.games.backgammon/c/nYr_oLBYH0g/m/8jgOFsvUBgAJ
In 2018, I was mockingly soliciting bets on XG v3.0 in:
https://groups.google.com/g/rec.games.backgammon/c/K9vYdtgUI9M/m/Qz5yTxZwAwAJ
With the comment that "Cows have been milked and
milking bulls isn't lucrative??" ;)
Lo and behold, another 5 years later, it's said that there
won't be an XG v3.0 and that Xavier is fancying selling
it for $1,000,000++ (pun intended;)
People offer all kinds of comments, arguments, advice,
etc. about what to do now/next, with most of the posts
showing what a pathetic group of mentally ill gambling
addicts they are. :(
There nothing I can do to help them and even though I
don't equate the gamblegammon variant with the real
backgammon that I love, I still would like to see better
AlphaZero type BG bots developed.
I can't create an incentive for a better bot but I think I
can create a "need" for it by demonstrating that the
existing bots are no good.
Creating and training AlphaZero type BG bots may not
be easy but demolishing Ex-Gee/Noo-BG/BG-Bzzt/etc.
by doing "AlphaZero rollouts" will only take a couple of
hours to add to the existing bots and then rollouts will
only take a couple of hours each to do.
What I'm talking about is what I had previously called
"clinical rollouts", i.e. millions of trials with purely
random checker and purely random cube decisions.
Since an AlphaZero BG bot would be trained the same
way and since you all are using AlphaZero in referring
to them, I thought I may get my idea through your thick
heads using the same word to call it "AlphaZero rollout".
Once the current bots are debunked to be beyond being
worthy of improvement, then the only remaining choice
will be to develop new and better bots from scratch...
MK
inhale the "good stuff"
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