XGID=a--B-aCBB---dB---baeB-a-B-:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O X O X |
| X O | | O X X |
| | | O |
| | | O |
| | | O |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| O | | |
| O | | X |
| O X X | | X X |
| O X X | | X O X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 168 O: 153 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X on roll, cube action
---
Tim Chow
XGID=a--B-aCBB---dB---baeB-a-B-:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O X O X |
| X O | | O X X |
| | | O |
| | | O |
| | | O |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| O | | |
| O | | X |
| O X X | | X X |
| O X X | | X O X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 168 O: 153 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X on roll, cube action
XGID=a--B-aCBB---dB---baeB-a-B-:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O X O X |
| X O | | O X X |
| | | O |
| | | O |
| | | O |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| O | | |
| O | | X |
| O X X | | X X |
| O X X | | X O X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 168 O: 153 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X on roll, cube action
Like Renan, I thought this was a clear take, with only nine checkers
in the zone, two home-board points made, and four checkers still in
O's home board. But XG says this is a big pass! In part, this is
because even if X misses, it's not so easy for O to clean up her
blots. In the variant, I have moved a spare from O's 6pt to her 8pt,
which you might not think makes that big a difference, but according
to XG, it turns the position into a borderline take/pass.
Analyzed in Rollout
No double
Player Winning Chances: 67.67% (G:34.84% B:3.98%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32.33% (G:6.97% B:0.36%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 67.83% (G:35.56% B:4.16%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32.17% (G:7.12% B:0.35%)
Cubeful Equities:
No double: +0.852 (-0.148)
Double/Take: +1.100 (+0.100)
Double/Pass: +1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout:
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Confidence No Double: ± 0.015 (+0.837..+0.866)
Confidence Double: ± 0.022 (+1.077..+1.122)
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release
-------
Variant
-------
XGID=a--B-aCBB---dB---cadB-a-B-:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O X O X |
| X O | | O X X |
| O | | O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| O | | |
| O | | X |
| O X X | | X X |
| O X X | | X O X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 168 O: 155 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X on roll, cube action
Analyzed in Rollout
No double
Player Winning Chances: 65.99% (G:34.01% B:3.78%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 34.01% (G:7.29% B:0.34%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 66.15% (G:34.26% B:4.05%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 33.85% (G:7.16% B:0.33%)
Cubeful Equities:
No double: +0.807 (-0.184)
Double/Take: +0.991
Double/Pass: +1.000 (+0.009)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout:
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Confidence No Double: ± 0.015 (+0.792..+0.822)
Confidence Double: ± 0.022 (+0.969..+1.014)
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release
---
Tim Chow
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