The subject line is stolen from an old BGO post by Mislav Kovacic.
https://www.bgonline.org/forums/webbbs_config.pl?noframes;read=84926
XGID=-BABABCB----ba---bBbbdb---:0:0:1:32:0:0:0:0:10
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O X | | O O O O | | O X | | O O O O | | | | O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | X |
| O X | | X X X X |
| O X | | X X X X X X | +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 92 O: 98 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 32
XGID=-BABABCB----ba---bBbbdb---:0:0:1:32:0:0:0:0:10
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O X | | O O O O |
| O X | | O O O O |
| | | O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | X |
| O X | | X X X X |
| O X | | X X X X X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 92 O: 98 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 32
I continue to find these sorts of positions difficult to judge. Take a
look at how much difference it makes if we shift the blots around in
X's board.
1. Rollout¹ 7/4 6/4 eq:-0.054
Player: 48.44% (G:2.78% B:0.06%)
Opponent: 51.56% (G:2.50% B:0.10%)
Confidence: ±0.008 (-0.061..-0.046) - [100.0%]
2. Rollout¹ 18/13* eq:-0.238 (-0.184)
Player: 45.67% (G:14.29% B:0.17%)
Opponent: 54.33% (G:30.36% B:3.31%)
Confidence: ±0.011 (-0.248..-0.227) - [0.0%]
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release
-------
Variant
-------
XGID=-ABABBCB----ba---bBbbdb---:0:0:1:32:0:0:0:0:10
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O X | | O O O O |
| O X | | O O O O |
| | | O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | X |
| O X | | X X X X |
| O X | | X X X X X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 94 O: 98 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 32
1. Rollout¹ 7/5 6/3 eq:-0.034
Player: 48.51% (G:3.10% B:0.04%)
Opponent: 51.49% (G:2.04% B:0.07%)
Confidence: ±0.008 (-0.043..-0.026) - [100.0%]
2. Rollout¹ 18/13* eq:-0.054 (-0.020)
Player: 53.41% (G:17.01% B:0.29%)
Opponent: 46.59% (G:26.73% B:2.70%)
Confidence: ±0.008 (-0.062..-0.047) - [0.0%]
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release
---
Tim Chow
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